Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEBASTIEN-19
in Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Nov 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.5 m 164 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.6 m 383 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Nov 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 19 Nov 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Nov 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Nov 2019 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Nov 2019 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmVenezuela2,015 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Nov 2019 12:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 19 Nov 2019 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Nov 2019 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Nov 2019 06:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Nov 2019 12:00 278 -
- - - - - Venezuela




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in West End Village, Anguilla. This height is estimated for 20 Nov 2019 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Nov 2019 17:45 West End Village Anguilla  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 The Valley Anguilla  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.5
20 Nov 2019 14:45 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 14:45 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 14:45 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 14:45 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 14:45 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 14:45 Culebra Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 14:45 San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Playa Fortuna Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 San Vicente Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Luquillo Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Ramos Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 El Banco Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Margarita Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Convento Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Fajardo Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Isidra Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Luis M. Cintron Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Las Croabas Puerto Rico  0.3
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Baie-Mahault Guadeloupe  0.3
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.3
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.3
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Sainte-Anne Guadeloupe  0.3
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Lero Martinique  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Contant Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 East End Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Biscoitos Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Angra do Heroismo Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Angra Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Feteira Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Vila Nova Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Baia da Vila Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Praia da Vitoria Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:15 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Maia Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Ponta Garca Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Povoacao Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Agua Retorta Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Nordeste Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Anbre St. Lucia  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Argyle Grenada  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 L'Appelle Grenada  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Ashton St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Engagement Umbrella St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Mustique St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Victoria Grenada  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Thebaide Grenada  0.2
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Grenville Grenada  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 'Praia do Norte' Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 'Castelo Branco' Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Cedros Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Horta Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Ribeirinha Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Madalena Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Candelaria Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Cachorro Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 14:15 Hamilton Bermuda  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:00 Benner Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Saint George's Grenada  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 The Lance Grenada  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Prickley Bay Grenada  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Morro Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Vila do Maio Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Calheta Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Morrinho Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Cascabulho Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Santo Antonio Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Pedro Vaz Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:30 Alcatraz Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Remedios Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Relva Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 S. Vicente Ferreira Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Ponta Delgada Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Ponte Delgada Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Lagoa Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Ribeira Grande Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Caloura Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Vila Franca do Campo Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Gustavia Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:15 Butzberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:15 Fareham Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:15 Carden Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:15 Cotton Grove Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:15 Cotton Valley Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:15 Knight Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Mosteiros Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Feteiras Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Kingstown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Chateaubelair St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Holetown Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Bridgetown Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Oistins Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Collins Barbados  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Serreta Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Bofareira Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Espingueira Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Derrubado Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Fundo de Figueiras Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Cabeco Dos Tarefes Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Gata Cape Verde  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Nelson's Spring St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Cotton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Jessup's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Westbury St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Fountain St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Taylors Pleasure St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Hanley's Road St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Hick's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Zion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Brink Kiln St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 New River St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Butlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Santa Barbara Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Vila do Porto Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 Sao Lourenco Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Moule Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Puerta de Tierra Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Nemesio Canales Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Condado Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Baldrich Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 San Juan Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Punta Las Marias Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Manuel A Perez Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Biascoechea Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Parque Isla Verde Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Country Club Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Carolina Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Extension Vista Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Campamento Pinones Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Arenas Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Loiza Aldea Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Suarez Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Rio Grande Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Hato Candal Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Palmer Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 'Topo' Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 'Barreiras' Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Saint-Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:00 Le Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Matias Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Aguada Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Las Corozas Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Coloso Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Victoria Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Aguadilla Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Camaceyes Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Caban Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Arenales Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Corrales Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 San Antonio Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Rafael Hernandez Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Jobos Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Isabela Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Sol y Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Quebradillas Puerto Rico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Santa Cruz da Graciosa Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Grand-Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Faja Grande Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Ponta Delgada Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Lajes Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Santa Cruz Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Corvo Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Flores Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:15 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:15 'Ribeira Seca' Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:45 Beira Mar Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 'Norte Grande' Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Sao Roque do Pico Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Urzelina Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 18:00 Velas Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 17:30 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1