Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Jun 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.5 m 55 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.7 m 259 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 6.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPakistan, India6,219,220
+
Pakistan2,186,437 
India4,032,783 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia19,555 
50-100 mmIndia29,809,894 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 110 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 131 20 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 05 Jun 2020 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kambhat India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kavi India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Sarod India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Wadgam India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Asarsa India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 13:30 Harinagar India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 12:15 Tankari India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 12:15 Muler India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 12:30 Dahej India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 13:00 Ghogha India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 New Kandla India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Bhagva India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Olpad India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Damka India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jodiya India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Tuna India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Surat India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Jambura India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Jalalpur India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Mahuver India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Nausari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Navsari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Dharasana India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Bilimora India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Mumbai India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Uran India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Trombay India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Mundra India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Mandve India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kotada India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Murud India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Valsad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Alibag India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Revadanda India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Udvada India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Sika India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Daman India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Navinal India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 00:15 Gadechi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 00:15 Okha India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 00:15 Aramda India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Bankot India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Kelshi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Salaya India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 14:15 Umbargam India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 14:15 Maroli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Bhadia India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Kumta India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Honavar India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 11:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Mandvi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Manki India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 23:15 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Mavalli India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Bada Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Bordi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Boria India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Guhagar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Jaigarh India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Palghar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Mahim India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Agashi India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Vasai India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Navghar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 11:30 Jafarabad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Miski Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Malad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:45 Gholvad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Belekeri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Ankola India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Anjuna India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Marmagao India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Panaji India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Agacaim India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Madgaon India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Karwar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Mirya India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Ratnagiri India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Malyan India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Suthri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Akri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Bhatkal India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Bainduru India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Chittadi India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 18:15 Tarapur India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 18:15 Sakhare India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 09:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 09:30 Boisar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Rohisa India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Shirali India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Kundapura India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 01:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 01:45 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 09:15 Dongri India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 09:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Udipi India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Keti Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Majali India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 19:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 19:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 19:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Delvada India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Advota India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Chaudi India  0.1