Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAULETTE-20
in Bermuda,
13 Sep 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bermuda
Exposed population 70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Sep 17:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 0.3 m 89 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.7 m 633 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 70 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Bermuda69,839 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Sep 2020 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Sep 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Sep 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Sep 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Sep 2020 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Sep 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Sep 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Sep 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 10 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 10 Sep 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 10 Sep 2020 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Sep 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 11 Sep 2020 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Sep 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Sep 2020 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Sep 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 12 Sep 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 12 Sep 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 12 Sep 2020 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Sep 2020 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 13 Sep 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 13 Sep 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 13 Sep 2020 12:00 184 70 thousand -
- - - - Bermuda
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBermuda69,839 
50-100 mmPuerto Rico37,120 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Sep 2020 00:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Sep 2020 06:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Sep 2020 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Sep 2020 18:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Sep 2020 00:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Sep 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Sep 2020 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Sep 2020 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 09 Sep 2020 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Sep 2020 06:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Sep 2020 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Sep 2020 18:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 10 Sep 2020 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Sep 2020 06:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Sep 2020 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Sep 2020 18:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 11 Sep 2020 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 11 Sep 2020 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 11 Sep 2020 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 11 Sep 2020 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 12 Sep 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 12 Sep 2020 06:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 12 Sep 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 12 Sep 2020 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 13 Sep 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 13 Sep 2020 06:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 13 Sep 2020 12:00 261 70 thousand
- - - - Bermuda, Puerto Rico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in West End Village, Anguilla. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2020 17:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Sep 2020 17:15 West End Village Anguilla  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 The Valley Anguilla  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 18:00 Baie-Mahault Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 18:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 18:00 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 18:00 Sainte-Anne Guadeloupe  0.3
13 Sep 2020 16:15 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.2
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.2
13 Sep 2020 17:15 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 13:30 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
13 Sep 2020 14:15 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Matias Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Aguada Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Las Corozas Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Coloso Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Victoria Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Aguadilla Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Camaceyes Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Caban Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Arenales Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Corrales Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 San Antonio Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Rafael Hernandez Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Jobos Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Isabela Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Sol y Mar Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Quebradillas Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 14:15 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 14:15 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Benner Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Contant Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 12:15 East End Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Culebra Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.2
13 Sep 2020 18:00 Hamilton Bermuda  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 La Tosca Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 El Combate Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 La Playa Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Belvedere Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Pole Ojea Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Guaniquilla Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Boqueron Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Conde Avila Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Cornelia Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Mani Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Brisas de Mal Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Delicias Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Guanajibo Castillo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Malecon Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Cerrillos Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Cabo Rojo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Betances Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Cuesta de las Piedras Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Mayagnez Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Colonia Dolores Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 La Soledad Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Ponce de Leon Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Villa Benni Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Guanabana Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Maguayo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Finca Juanita Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 La Parguera Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Puerta de Tierra Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Nemesio Canales Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Condado Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Baldrich Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 San Juan Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Punta Las Marias Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Manuel A Perez Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Biascoechea Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Parque Isla Verde Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Country Club Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Carolina Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Extension Vista Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Campamento Pinones Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Arenas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Loiza Aldea Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Suarez Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Rio Grande Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Hato Candal Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Palmer Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Playa Fortuna Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 San Vicente Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Luquillo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Ramos Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 El Banco Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Margarita Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Convento Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Fajardo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Isidra Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Luis M. Cintron Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:30 Las Croabas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Ingenio Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Camino Delmar Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Sabana Seca Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Levittown Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Enramada Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Palo Seco Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Las Palmas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Catano Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Jardines de Caparra Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 El Morro Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Guaynabo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Vietnam Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Caparra Hills Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Maunabo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Emajagua Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Yabucoa Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 El Negro Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Comunas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Candelero Arriba Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Playa de Guayanes Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Rio Abajo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:15 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Buyones Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Capitanejo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Parcelas Penuelas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 17:45 Marigot Dominica  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:45 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Nelson's Spring St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Cotton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Jessup's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Westbury St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Fountain St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Taylors Pleasure St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Hanley's Road St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Hick's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Zion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Brink Kiln St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 New River St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 15:45 Butlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Central Aguirre Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Coqui Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:15 San Felipe Puerto Rico  0.1
13 Sep 2020 16:15 Villodas Puerto Rico  0.1