Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua
14 Nov 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 300 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 2.0 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

166 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia15,862
+
Honduras3,170 
Nicaragua7,684 
Colombia5,008 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPanama, Colombia238
+
Colombia71 
Panama167 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama490,458
+
Mexico19,152 
Guatemala9,768 
Honduras6,951 
Nicaragua12,834 
Colombia260,855 
Venezuela166,255 
Costa Rica10,191 
Panama4,452 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Aruba, Curacao, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama7,138,089
+
Mexico291,298 
Belize128 
Guatemala400,803 
Honduras151,335 
Nicaragua126,848 
Colombia4,659,342 
Aruba37,508 
Curacao16 
Venezuela989,602 
Costa Rica269,153 
Panama212,056 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 130 40 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 12:00 209 Few people
- - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Panama
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 403 490 thousand
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Aruba, Curacao, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 03:15 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 03:15 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 03:15 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Canco Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Kanko Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Raya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Clubki Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Kaski Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Dapat Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Tibana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Sanare Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Cuara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 El Cuatro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 La Soledad Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Santa Ana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 El Muertico Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 La Luisa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Chichiriviche Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Morrocoy Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:15 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:45 Victoria Mexico  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:45 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:45 Uhi Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:15 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:15 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Cujizal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Palencia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Jagueicito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 La Vela de Coro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Playa Negra Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 El Carrizal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Muaco Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Mataruca Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Taimetaima Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Cuji Leon Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Taratara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 La Aguada Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Puente de Piedra Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 El Cerro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 El Capulin Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 El Zapote Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Gualora Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 El Moray Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Campamento Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:30 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Caduto Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 La Punta Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Juruba Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1