Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MAX-17 in Mexico from 13 Sep 2017 15:00 UTC to 15 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAX-17

in Mexico

13 Sep 2017 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAX-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	73 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (13 Sep 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	73 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
ECMWF Overall	123 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

123 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	13 Sep 2017 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	13 Sep 2017 12:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	13 Sep 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	13 Sep 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Cachoana, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2017 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	13 Sep 2017 14:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2017 15:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2017 13:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 13:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 15:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 19:30	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 19:30	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 19:15	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:15	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:15	Agua	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:15	Canoguero	El Salvador	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:30	Hacienda La Chepona	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:30	Balneario El Espino	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:30	La Periquera	El Salvador	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 22:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 22:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 22:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	16 Sep 2017 01:45	Isla de Mendez	El Salvador	0.1
	16 Sep 2017 01:45	El Espiritu Santo	El Salvador	0.1
	16 Sep 2017 01:45	Corral de Mulas	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 22:45	La Concepion	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 22:45	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 03:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 03:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 23:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 23:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 23:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:30	San Diego	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:30	Cangrejera	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 16:30	Canton Pimiental	El Salvador	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 03:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 03:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2017 14:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.