Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MEKUNU-18 in Oman from 22 May 2018 00:00 UTC to 26 May 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MEKUNU-18

in Oman

22 May 2018 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Oman, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Somalia
Exposed population	3 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	129 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (25 May 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	129 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	156 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

156 km/h

Up to 3 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 May 2018 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Oman, Yemen	2,526	+
	Oman	1,221
	Yemen	1,305
Tropical Storm	Oman, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Somalia	372,937	+
	Oman	279,985
	Saudi Arabia	651
	Yemen	65,978
	Other countries	400
	Somalia	25,923

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	22 May 2018 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 May 2018 06:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 May 2018 12:00	129	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Oman, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Other countries, Somalia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 May 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	22 May 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 May 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 May 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Sudh, Oman. This height is estimated for 25 May 2018 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 May 2018 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 May 2018 09:00	Sudh	Oman	0.4
	25 May 2018 09:00	Taqah	Oman	0.4
	25 May 2018 06:00	Marbat	Oman	0.4
	25 May 2018 09:00	Salalah	Oman	0.4
	25 May 2018 09:00	Al Kathir	Oman	0.4
	22 May 2018 17:00	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.4
	22 May 2018 17:00	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.4
	25 May 2018 05:30	Sadh	Oman	0.3
	25 May 2018 09:00	Araft	Oman	0.3
	22 May 2018 15:00	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.3
	25 May 2018 06:00	Hasik	Oman	0.3
	22 May 2018 14:15	Bargaal	Somalia	0.2
	25 May 2018 00:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 00:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 00:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	23 May 2018 08:15	Tabut	Yemen	0.2
	23 May 2018 08:15	Hayrut	Yemen	0.2
	23 May 2018 08:15	Nishtun	Yemen	0.2
	25 May 2018 09:00	Mughsayl	Oman	0.2
	22 May 2018 12:15	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 12:15	Mach	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 17:00	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.2
	25 May 2018 05:15	Fararah	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 05:30	Dhalqut	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 05:30	Al Kharifut	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 05:30	Safqut	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 05:30	Kharfat	Oman	0.2
	22 May 2018 20:45	Qishn	Yemen	0.2
	22 May 2018 23:30	Tooxin	Somalia	0.2
	23 May 2018 11:15	Ascira	Somalia	0.2
	25 May 2018 09:30	Hauf	Yemen	0.2
	25 May 2018 09:15	Jadib	Yemen	0.2
	25 May 2018 12:00	Al Fatk	Yemen	0.2
	25 May 2018 12:00	Damqawt	Yemen	0.2
	25 May 2018 00:30	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	22 May 2018 16:30	Saqr	Yemen	0.2
	23 May 2018 13:45	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.2
	25 May 2018 05:15	Miji	Oman	0.2
	22 May 2018 16:45	'Ag	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 13:45	Eddi Gellei	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 13:45	Bandarbeyla	Somalia	0.2
	25 May 2018 12:00	Ad Dasma'	Kuwait	0.2
	25 May 2018 12:00	Al Kuwayt	Kuwait	0.2
	25 May 2018 12:00	Shumaymah	Kuwait	0.2
	25 May 2018 00:45	Hubaris	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	22 May 2018 14:45	Cadayo	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 15:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	22 May 2018 15:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	22 May 2018 15:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	25 May 2018 07:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 07:30	Filim	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 12:00	Az Zawr	Kuwait	0.2
	24 May 2018 00:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	23 May 2018 20:30	Mandvi	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:00	Boosaaso	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:00	Marero	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:00	Bacaad	Somalia	0.1
	24 May 2018 11:15	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	24 May 2018 11:15	Makola	Pakistan	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:30	Lamba	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Al Funaytis	Kuwait	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:15	Baarbacadle	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:15	Eyl	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:15	Daga Laha Uein	Somalia	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Al Funnayhil	Kuwait	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:30	Bhogat	India	0.1
	25 May 2018 10:15	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 12:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 12:30	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 12:30	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 12:30	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 12:30	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 12:30	Billa	Oman	0.1
	22 May 2018 23:45	Abd Allah Gharib	Yemen	0.1
	22 May 2018 23:45	Jarub	Yemen	0.1
	22 May 2018 23:45	Al Faydami	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Mina Abd Allah	Kuwait	0.1
	23 May 2018 21:00	Okha	India	0.1
	23 May 2018 21:00	Aramda	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:15	Berizak	Iran	0.1
	22 May 2018 13:15	Suthri	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:15	Boho	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:15	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:15	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 20:45	Ceel Dhahanaan	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:15	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	22 May 2018 20:15	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:00	Loyado	Djibouti	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:00	Takhushih	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:00	Saylac	Somalia	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Al Ad'ami	Kuwait	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Al Khawwari	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	23 May 2018 18:30	Madhi	India	0.1
	23 May 2018 19:45	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 19:45	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 19:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 19:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	23 May 2018 19:45	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Mina Said	Kuwait	0.1
	24 May 2018 15:30	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	22 May 2018 20:30	Ceelbacduur	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:15	Dauli	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 12:00	Gadechi	India	0.1
	25 May 2018 00:00	Markaz ash Shurtah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	23 May 2018 17:15	Harag Jid	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 16:00	Darimoh	Somalia	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Manifah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 May 2018 04:30	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	24 May 2018 05:00	Qadub	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 05:00	Hadiboh	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 15:45	Aantaara	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:00	Djibouti	Djibouti	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:45	Rehayto	Eritrea	0.1
	22 May 2018 13:30	Gaalacoodday	Somalia	0.1
	25 May 2018 00:00	Nahud	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	22 May 2018 19:30	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	22 May 2018 12:30	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:30	Quddam	Yemen	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:30	Dhubab	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 00:15	Bandar Jedid	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 21:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:45	Al Ghulayfiqah	Yemen	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:45	Buyut al Muhamirah	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	23 May 2018 13:00	Laasqoray	Somalia	0.1
	23 May 2018 18:45	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	23 May 2018 05:30	Gishub	Yemen	0.1
	23 May 2018 05:30	Steroh	Yemen	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:30	Murad	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 18:45	Kamaran	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 18:45	Sayfaf	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 18:45	Al Jazirah	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 18:45	Qurayyah	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 18:45	Ibn Abbas	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 01:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	22 May 2018 16:30	Beylu	Eritrea	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:00	Alela	Eritrea	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:00	Aseb	Eritrea	0.1
	22 May 2018 17:00	Aylu	Eritrea	0.1
	22 May 2018 15:45	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	23 May 2018 00:30	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	23 May 2018 00:30	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	23 May 2018 00:30	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	23 May 2018 00:30	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	24 May 2018 04:45	Ghubbah	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 04:45	Qashlu	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 23:45	Al Birk	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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