Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILIA-18 Off-shore from 27 Jun 2018 21:00 UTC to 02 Jul 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EMILIA-18

Off-shore

28 Jun 2018 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILIA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	120 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (01 Jul 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	120 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	168 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	28 Jun 2018 00:00	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	28 Jun 2018 06:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 12:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 18:00	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	28 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	28 Jun 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2018 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jul 2018 17:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.7
	01 Jul 2018 17:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.7
	01 Jul 2018 17:45	Molino	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 17:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 17:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 18:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.5
	01 Jul 2018 18:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.5
	01 Jul 2018 17:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.5
	01 Jul 2018 17:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 23:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 05:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 06:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 06:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 06:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 06:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 06:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 05:15	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 00:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 00:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 15:30	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 15:30	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 04:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 04:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 06:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 22:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 23:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:30	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 06:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 06:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:45	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:45	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:45	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 01:45	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:30	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 21:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.