Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILIA-18 Off-shore from 27 Jun 2018 21:00 UTC to 02 Jul 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EMILIA-18

Off-shore

29 Jun 2018 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILIA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	132 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (01 Jul 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	132 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	103 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Jun 2018 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	28 Jun 2018 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 06:00	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 12:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Jun 2018 18:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	29 Jun 2018 00:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	27 Jun 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	28 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Jun 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	29 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2018 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jul 2018 11:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 10:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 10:15	Molino	Mexico	0.5
	01 Jul 2018 10:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.5
	29 Jun 2018 18:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.5
	29 Jun 2018 18:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.5
	01 Jul 2018 10:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.5
	01 Jul 2018 10:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.4
	30 Jun 2018 21:15	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	30 Jun 2018 08:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2018 00:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 09:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 09:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 08:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 09:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 19:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 00:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 00:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 19:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 00:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 09:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 00:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 17:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 17:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 09:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 03:45	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 03:45	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 03:45	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 03:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 08:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 04:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 02:15	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:15	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 18:00	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:30	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:30	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 03:45	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 03:45	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 15:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 15:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 18:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.