Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-19
Off-shore
17 Mar 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (18 Mar 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines773 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Mar 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Mar 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Mar 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Mar 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Mar 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Mar 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Mar 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Mar 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Mar 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 17 Mar 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Mar 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 17 Mar 2019 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 17 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Calaya, Philippines. This height is estimated for 18 Mar 2019 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Mar 2019 16:15 Calaya Philippines  0.2
18 Mar 2019 16:15 Barcelona Philippines  0.2
18 Mar 2019 16:15 Valencia Philippines  0.2
18 Mar 2019 16:15 Pulupandan Philippines  0.2
18 Mar 2019 16:15 Pontevedra Philippines  0.2
18 Mar 2019 16:15 Sum-ag Philippines  0.2
18 Mar 2019 16:00 Jaro Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 16:00 Avila Philippines  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:00 Kuala Balingian Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:00 Kuala Tatau Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Bacolod Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Talisay Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 03:45 Nunukan Indonesia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 03:45 Mentadak Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 03:45 Kpg Sungai Pendak Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 12:15 Narandong Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 12:15 Taburan Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:30 Silay Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:15 Talisay Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:15 Saravia Philippines  0.1
20 Mar 2019 12:45 Bintulu Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Kpg Lihak Lihak Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Kampong Bakong Bakong Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Kampong Kababak Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Silawa Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Bahru Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Kpg Sen Buligisan Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Semporna Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Kampong Gallam Gallam Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Kampong Terusan Baharu Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 02:15 Igang Igang Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:15 Anilao Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:15 Banate Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Bukon Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Tucuran Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Bonifacio Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Pangabuan Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Villaba Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Lala Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Tangub Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Labinay Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Banasilon Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Baroy Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Tubod Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Bongbong Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Pingping Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 18:00 Ozamiz Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:30 Barotac Viejo Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:30 Culasi Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 12:15 Jambongan Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 01:15 Kpg Kunak Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 01:15 Kampong Pangi Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:45 Beluran Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:45 Kampong Kolapis Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:45 Kampong Samawang Malaysia  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:30 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:30 Matas Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:30 Cadgianao Philippines  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:30 Layagoang Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:30 Estado Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:30 Victorias Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Santa Maria Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Zamboanga Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Boalan Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Culianan Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Masinloc Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Manicahan Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Bolong Philippines  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:45 Curuan Philippines  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:30 Kampong Dandulit Malaysia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 15:30 Punta Buri Philippines  0.1