Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
09 May 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 May 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndonesia, Timor-Leste3,351
+
Indonesia2,393 
Other countries04 
Timor-Leste954 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Other countries, Timor-Leste
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2019 00:30 Wickham Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 00:30 Point Samson Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 00:30 Cossack Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 07:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:45 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:45 Semisir Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:45 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:45 Salinau Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:45 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:45 Berangas Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:45 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:15 Karratha Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:15 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Mardie Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 06:45 Derby Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:30 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 15:45 Kollan I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 07:00 Pender Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:45 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 08:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:45 Longar Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:45 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:45 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:45 Masian Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:30 Broome Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:30 Thangoo Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:15 Waterbank Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 The Palms Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Larrakeyah Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Parap Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Darwin Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Bagot Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:45 Berrimah Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 15:30 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 15:30 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 15:30 Krai Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 06:30 Leanyer Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Mabodo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Raha Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Lohia Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Wakarumba Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Nunu Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Boeboe Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Ronta Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Latambela Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Bangbong Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Walue Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Labuban-Tobelo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Laboean-tobelo Indonesia  0.1