Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OLGA-19
in United States
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OLGA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (25 Oct 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.4 m 201 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 0.4 m 304 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 280 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico281,250 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico1,508,427
+
United States1,490,591 
Mexico17,836 
50-100 mmUnited States, Canada, Mexico24,188,272
+
United States23,109,789 
Canada37,052 
Mexico1,041,431 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Oct 2019 00:00 296 1.5 million
- - - - United States, Canada, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Gilchrist, United States. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2019 11:30 Gilchrist United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:30 High Island United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:30 Caplen United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:30 Patton United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Flake United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Elmgrove United States  0.4
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Constance Beach United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Fort Travis United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Galveston United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:30 Hitchcock United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:30 Virginia Point United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:15 Sea Isle United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 04:45 Hoskins United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 04:45 Port Morris United States  0.3
25 Oct 2019 05:00 Surfside United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 05:00 Mims United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 05:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Freeport United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Quintana United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:30 Gulf Park United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:30 Hoskins United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 06:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 06:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 06:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:30 Chinquapin United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Matagorda United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 02:45 Laja Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 06:45 Conejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:30 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:45 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:30 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:00 Tonala Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:15 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:15 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 05:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Fulton United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Lamar United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:15 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Estes United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Rockport United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Holly Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Port Isabel United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 South Padre Island United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:45 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 01:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:15 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:15 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:30 La Presita Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:30 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:15 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Boca Chica United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 02:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 05:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 01:45 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 01:45 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1