Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALONG-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALONG-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Federated States of Micronesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 187 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 Nov 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 187 km/h 0.3 m 183 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 274 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormFederated States of Micronesia4,123 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Nov 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Nov 2019 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Nov 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Nov 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Nov 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 04 Nov 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Nov 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Nov 2019 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Nov 2019 18:00 191 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

621 mm

Up to 90 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFederated States of Micronesia, Marshall Islands92,124
+
Marshall Islands40,347 
Federated States of Micronesia51,777 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Guam, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia95,057
+
Northern Mariana Islands50,873 
Guam1,144 
Marshall Islands7,291 
Federated States of Micronesia35,749 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Nov 2019 12:00 174 -
- - - - - Marshall Islands
Blue 2 02 Nov 2019 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Nov 2019 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Nov 2019 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Nov 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 04 Nov 2019 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Nov 2019 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Nov 2019 12:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Nov 2019 18:00 571 90 thousand
- - - - Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Koamikura, Japan. This height is estimated for 04 Nov 2019 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Koamikura Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Tsukihama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Kobuchi Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Ommaehama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Oharahama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Ogatsu Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Yagawa Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Samenoura Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Kukunari Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Aikawa Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Funagoshi Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Terahama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Tatsuhama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Ohama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Ozashi Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Tomari Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Izushima Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Kodaki Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Kuwahama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Yoriiso Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Niiyama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Terama Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Kumazawa Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Osu Japan  0.3
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Unozumai Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Ryoishi Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Hakozaki Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Kirikiri Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Tsugaruishi Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Yamada Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Anto Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Akamae Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Funakoshi Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Osawa Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Omoe Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Sasasawa Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Koyatori Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Ishihama Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Sukuiso Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Oura Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Agat Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Umatac Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Merizo Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Piti Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Asan Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Inarajan Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Hagatna Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Sinajana Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Talofofo Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Mongmong Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Ylig Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Yona Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Tamuning Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Barrigada Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 South Acres Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Asbeco Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Adacao Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Ipapao Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Gayinero Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Upi Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:15 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Shizugawa Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Inohana Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Aratohama Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Koizumi Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Motoyoshi Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Kesaiso Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Isatomae Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Minato Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Hiraiso Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Natari Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Tomarihama Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Oya Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Nakase Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Hama Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Akuao Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Tsurugaura Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Matsuzaki Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Uranohama Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Koharagi Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Tadagoe Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Shuku Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Sakihama Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Kesennuma Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Tomari Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Kurosaki Japan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 23:30 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
04 Nov 2019 23:45 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Kudschi Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Minato Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Honnami Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Nei Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Kuji Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Noda Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Ojiri Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Tamagawa Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Minami-Samuraihama Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Kuki Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Kosode Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Noda-Tamagawa Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Torii Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Horinai Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Fudai Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Shimanokoshi Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Shimanokoe Japan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:00 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:00 Palikir Micronesia  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:00 Kolonia Micronesia  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:00 Lot Micronesia  0.1