Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for HALONG-19 Off-shore from 02 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC to 09 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALONG-19

Off-shore

03 Nov 2019 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALONG-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (03 Nov 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	101 km/h	0.2 m	231 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	151 km/h	0.2 m	623 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	02 Nov 2019 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	02 Nov 2019 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	03 Nov 2019 00:00	130	Few people			-	-	-	-	Marshall Islands
4	03 Nov 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Marshall Islands	814
50-100 mm	Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia	82,228	+
	Marshall Islands	379
	Federated States of Micronesia	81,849

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	02 Nov 2019 00:00	183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	02 Nov 2019 12:00	298	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	03 Nov 2019 00:00	189	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	03 Nov 2019 12:00	501	Few people			-	-	-	-	Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Wotje, Marshall Islands. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2019 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Nov 2019 18:15	Wotje	Marshall Islands	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 17:45	Palikir	Micronesia	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 17:45	Kolonia	Micronesia	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 17:45	Lot	Micronesia	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 17:45	Metalanim	Micronesia	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Omura	Japan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Ogigaura	Japan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Sakaiura	Japan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 18:00	Ronkiti	Micronesia	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:45	Kaven	Marshall Islands	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Lockwood Terrace	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Agat	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Camp Bright	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Umatac	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Santa Rita	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Merizo	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Piti	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Asan	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Inarajan	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Hagatna	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Sinajana	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Talofofo	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Mongmong	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Ylig	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Yona	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Tamuning	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Barrigada	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Camp Quezon	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Harmon Village	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	South Acres	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Asbeco	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Adacao	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Ipapao	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Perez Acres	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Spring Hill Subdivision	Guam	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 17:30	Gayinero	Guam	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.