Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19
Off-shore
15 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Nov 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 151 km/h 0.2 m 268 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 162 km/h 0.3 m 538 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Nov 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Nov 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Nov 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Nov 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Nov 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Nov 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 15 Nov 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 15 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

538 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmJapan, Guam1,237
+
Japan01 
Guam1,236 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Nov 2019 00:00 453 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 2 11 Nov 2019 12:00 518 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Nov 2019 12:00 456 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Nov 2019 00:00 378 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Nov 2019 12:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Nov 2019 00:00 364 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Nov 2019 12:00 385 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 9 15 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 15 Nov 2019 12:00 461 -
- - - - - Japan, Guam




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 15 Nov 2019 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Nov 2019 13:15 Higashi Japan  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
18 Nov 2019 10:15 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:45 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
17 Nov 2019 21:45 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
17 Nov 2019 21:45 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
17 Nov 2019 21:45 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Oceanview Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Dededo Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Upi Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Asatdas Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:00 Lupog Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Asan Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Hagatna Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Mongmong Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Tamuning Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Barrigada Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 South Acres Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Asbeco Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Adacao Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Ipapao Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Gayinero Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Agat Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Camp Bright Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Santa Rita Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Piti Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Sinajana Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Talofofo Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Ylig Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Yona Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:45 Camp Quezon Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Umatac Guam  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 Merizo Guam  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:30 Inarajan Guam  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:15 Omura Japan  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:15 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:15 Sakaiura Japan  0.1