Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19
Off-shore
18 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 Nov 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 162 km/h 0.3 m 538 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 162 km/h 0.3 m 538 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Nov 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Nov 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Nov 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Nov 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Nov 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Nov 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 15 Nov 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 15 Nov 2019 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 16 Nov 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 16 Nov 2019 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 17 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 17 Nov 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 18 Nov 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 18 Nov 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

538 mm

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan, Federated States of Micronesia2,720
+
Japan1,698 
Federated States of Micronesia1,022 
50-100 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia175,180
+
Japan563 
Northern Mariana Islands1,152 
Guam161,001 
Marshall Islands2,644 
Federated States of Micronesia9,820 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Nov 2019 00:00 453 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 2 11 Nov 2019 12:00 518 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Nov 2019 12:00 456 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Nov 2019 00:00 378 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Nov 2019 12:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Nov 2019 00:00 364 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Nov 2019 12:00 385 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 9 15 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 15 Nov 2019 12:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 Nov 2019 00:00 234 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 16 Nov 2019 12:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 17 Nov 2019 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Nov 2019 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 18 Nov 2019 00:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Nov 2019 12:00 129 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Oki, Japan. This height is estimated for 16 Nov 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Oki Japan  0.3
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.3
14 Nov 2019 15:30 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 16:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 16:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 16:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 16:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 00:30 Omura Japan  0.2
19 Nov 2019 00:30 Ogigaura Japan  0.2
19 Nov 2019 00:30 Sakaiura Japan  0.2
14 Nov 2019 15:30 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
18 Nov 2019 02:15 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
18 Nov 2019 02:15 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
18 Nov 2019 02:15 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
18 Nov 2019 02:15 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Piti Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Asan Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Inarajan Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Hagatna Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Sinajana Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Talofofo Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Mongmong Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Ylig Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Yona Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Tamuning Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Barrigada Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Oceanview Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Dededo Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 South Acres Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Asbeco Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Adacao Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Ipapao Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Upi Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Gayinero Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Asatdas Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:15 Lupog Guam  0.2
20 Nov 2019 22:30 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
21 Nov 2019 09:45 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
21 Nov 2019 09:45 Agat Guam  0.2
21 Nov 2019 09:45 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
21 Nov 2019 09:45 Umatac Guam  0.2
21 Nov 2019 09:45 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
21 Nov 2019 09:45 Merizo Guam  0.2
15 Nov 2019 13:15 Higashi Japan  0.2