Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SEVEN-19 Off-shore from 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC to 04 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEVEN-19

Off-shore

05 Dec 2019 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEVEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Maldives
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (05 Dec 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	61 km/h	0.1 m	429 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	0.2 m	607 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Maldives	13,451

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	03 Dec 2019 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	03 Dec 2019 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Dec 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Dec 2019 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	05 Dec 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Maldives

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Oman, India, Maldives	45,243	+
	Oman	457
	India	4,372
	Maldives	40,414
50-100 mm	Oman, India, Maldives	228,134	+
	Oman	972
	India	163,625
	Maldives	63,537

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	03 Dec 2019 00:00	507	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	03 Dec 2019 12:00	339	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Dec 2019 00:00	233	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Dec 2019 12:00	261	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	05 Dec 2019 00:00	452	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Oman, India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Ghogha, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2019 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Dec 2019 07:15	Ghogha	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 07:45	Asarsa	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 07:45	Harinagar	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 08:00	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 08:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 08:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 08:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 07:45	Dahej	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 07:45	Tankari	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 07:45	Muler	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:00	Daman	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:00	Udvada	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:00	Dharasana	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:00	Valsad	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:45	Kambhat	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:45	Kavi	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:45	Sarod	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:45	Wadgam	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 06:00	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 06:00	Rohisa	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 06:00	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 00:15	Mahuva	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 00:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:15	Purangad	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:15	Purnagad	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2019 09:15	Adiura	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.