Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for IMOGEN-21 in Australia from 03 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC to 12:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IMOGEN-21

in Australia

03 Jan 2021 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IMOGEN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (03 Jan 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	76 km/h	0.3 m	21 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	76 km/h	0.5 m	355 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	868

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	03 Jan 2021 06:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	24,655	+
	Indonesia	2,497
	Papua New Guinea	18,796
	Australia	3,362
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	1,109,579	+
	Indonesia	236,654
	Papua New Guinea	624,094
	Australia	248,831

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	03 Jan 2021 06:00	265	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Kowanyama, Australia. This height is estimated for 03 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.3
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Karumba	Australia	0.3
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 11:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 11:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 11:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 10:45	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 10:45	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 10:45	Daub	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 11:15	Barattar	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 10:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 11:45	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	03 Jan 2021 10:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 10:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 10:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 10:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Weipa	Australia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 11:30	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 09:45	Dumande	Indonesia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 12:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.1
	03 Jan 2021 09:30	Kotad	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.