Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ROSE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ROSE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (25 Sep 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.0 m 71 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.3 m 342 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Sep 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Sep 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Prazeres, Cape Verde. This height is estimated for 25 Sep 2021 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Prazeres Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Espingueira Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Derrubado Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Curral Velho Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Joao Barrosa Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Fundo de Figueiras Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Cabeco Dos Tarefes Cape Verde  0.2
25 Sep 2021 04:00 Gata Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 05:00 Palmeira Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 05:00 Beirona Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 05:00 Santa Maria Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 05:00 Vila Santa Maria Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 05:00 Feijoal Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 05:00 Pedra Lume Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Morro Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Vila do Maio Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Calheta Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Morrinho Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Cascabulho Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Santo Antonio Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Pedro Vaz Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Alcatraz Cape Verde  0.2
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Vila de Sal Rei Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Provoacao Velha Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Povocao Velha Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Sal Rel Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Cabecadas Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Rabil Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Ponta Adiante Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 11:45 Bofareira Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Mindelo Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Salamansa Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Madeiral Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Calhau Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 12:15 Ponta da Cruz Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 19:45 Pedrinha Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 19:45 Sao Pedro Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 19:45 Vila do Porto Novo Cape Verde  0.1
24 Sep 2021 19:45 Porto Novo Cape Verde  0.1