Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-23
in Bangladesh, Myanmar, India
10 Jun 2023 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries China, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h n.a. 102 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.6 m 484 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

Up to 90 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jun 2023 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, India90,718
+
China05 
India90,713 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Jun 2023 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Jun 2023 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Jun 2023 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 4 10 Jun 2023 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Jun 2023 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Jun 2023 12:00 68 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jun 2023 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMyanmar143,599 
100-250 mmIndia, Myanmar, China, Bangladesh, Laos, Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia13,470,160
+
China1,387,158 
India4,353,354 
Myanmar1,636,027 
Bangladesh3,815,990 
Vietnam599,061 
Laos192,913 
Thailand726,789 
Cambodia3,601 
Sri Lanka745,139 
Malaysia10,123 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia115,718,326
+
China3,701,020 
India38,707,221 
Myanmar8,955,027 
Nepal1,850,471 
Bhutan187,877 
Bangladesh41,970,309 
Vietnam5,457,741 
Laos3,228,893 
Thailand5,412,473 
Cambodia162,809 
Sri Lanka5,466,887 
Malaysia617,593 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Jun 2023 06:00 87 -
- - - - - China, Bangladesh, India
Blue 2 09 Jun 2023 12:00 80 -
- - - - - China, India
Blue 3 09 Jun 2023 18:00 67 -
- - - - - India, China
Blue 4 10 Jun 2023 00:00 87 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 10 Jun 2023 06:00 98 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Blue 6 10 Jun 2023 12:00 249 14.1 million
- - - - India, China, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Laos, Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Jun 2023 12:00 UTC
    

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