Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CODY-22
in Fiji

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CODY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (11 Jan 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 119 km/h 0.8 m 522 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.8 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormFiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand76,743
+
Fiji76,287 
New Caledonia02 
New Zealand453 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Jan 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 2 09 Jan 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 5 09 Jan 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 6 10 Jan 2022 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 7 10 Jan 2022 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 8 10 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Jan 2022 18:00 79 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 10 11 Jan 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 11 11 Jan 2022 06:00 83 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 12 11 Jan 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 13 11 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Jan 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Jan 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Jan 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - New Zealand
GREEN 17 12 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 13 Jan 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 13 Jan 2022 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 13 Jan 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Jan 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 14 Jan 2022 00:00 119 -
- - - - - New Zealand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

522 mm

Up to 1.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmFiji5,983 
250-500 mmSamoa, Fiji851,643
+
Fiji819,343 
Samoa32,300 
100-250 mmTokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, American Samoa, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Tonga, New Zealand390,278
+
Tokelau812 
Solomon Islands22,484 
Cook Islands536 
American Samoa11 
Fiji66,729 
Vanuatu46,346 
Wallis and Futuna13,150 
Samoa148,897 
Tonga90,417 
New Zealand892 
50-100 mmKiribati, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Samoa, American Samoa, Tonga, Niue, New Caledonia, New Zealand203,210
+
Kiribati3,084 
Tokelau437 
Tuvalu21 
American Samoa55,526 
Vanuatu92,993 
Samoa12,030 
Tonga15,752 
Niue1,609 
New Caledonia17,133 
New Zealand4,621 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Jan 2022 18:00 133 90 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 2 09 Jan 2022 00:00 161 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 06:00 153 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 162 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 5 09 Jan 2022 18:00 165 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 6 10 Jan 2022 00:00 71 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 7 10 Jan 2022 06:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Jan 2022 18:00 99 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 10 11 Jan 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Jan 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Jan 2022 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Jan 2022 18:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Jan 2022 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Jan 2022 06:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Jan 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Jan 2022 18:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 13 Jan 2022 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 13 Jan 2022 06:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 13 Jan 2022 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Jan 2022 18:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 14 Jan 2022 00:00 497 520 thousand
- - - Tokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, American Samoa, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa, Tonga, New Zealand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mNew Zealand10,776 
0.25 - 0.5 mFiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand60,933
+
Fiji20,269 
New Caledonia9,644 
New Zealand31,019 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC