Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERNON-22
Off-shore
04 Mar 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERNON-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (28 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 0.6 m 505 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 0.6 m 505 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Feb 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Feb 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Feb 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Feb 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Feb 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Feb 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 27 Feb 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Feb 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 28 Feb 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Mar 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Mar 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Mar 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Mar 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Mar 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Mar 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 04 Mar 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia134,874 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Cocos Islands18,857,416
+
Indonesia18,856,798 
Cocos Islands618 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island49,300,827
+
Indonesia49,298,518 
Christmas Island2,308 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Feb 2022 12:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Feb 2022 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Feb 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Feb 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 5 26 Feb 2022 12:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 27 Feb 2022 00:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 27 Feb 2022 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Feb 2022 00:00 263 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 9 28 Feb 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Mar 2022 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Mar 2022 12:00 239 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Mar 2022 00:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Mar 2022 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Mar 2022 00:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Mar 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 04 Mar 2022 00:00 274 4 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Banten, Jawa (Java) Muarabinuangeun, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 25/02/2022 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 0.25m) based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 00:00 UTC

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25/02/2022 21:00 Banten, Jawa (Java) Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
24/02/2022 15:00 Lampung, Sumatera (Sumatra) Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
25/02/2022 00:00 , West Island West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
24/02/2022 20:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
26/02/2022 07:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
26/02/2022 00:00 , South Point Christmas Island  0.1