Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MEGI-22
in Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEGI-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (11 Apr 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h n.a. 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.9 m 1568 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines1,077,243 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Apr 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Apr 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Apr 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPhilippines3,545 
500-750 mmPhilippines81,313 
250-500 mmPhilippines1,433,899 
100-250 mmPhilippines4,287,163 
50-100 mmPhilippines5,160,501 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Apr 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Apr 2022 06:00 177 20 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 3 09 Apr 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC