Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BLAS-22 in Mexico from 14 Jun 2022 09:00 UTC to 20 Jun 2022 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLAS-22

in Mexico

16 Jun 2022 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (17 Jun 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	90 km/h	0.5 m	359 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	72 km/h	0.5 m	624 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	13 Jun 2022 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jun 2022 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Jun 2022 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jun 2022 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jun 2022 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Jun 2022 00:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	281,485	+
	Mexico	280,795
	Guatemala	690
50-100 mm	Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua	8,946,167	+
	Mexico	5,462,380
	Belize	4,998
	Guatemala	2,578,247
	Honduras	377,872
	El Salvador	515,197
	Nicaragua	7,471

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 Jun 2022 12:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	Honduras, El Salvador
2	14 Jun 2022 00:00	151	3 thousand		-	-	-	-	Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua
3	14 Jun 2022 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	Guatemala, Honduras
4	15 Jun 2022 00:00	218	3 thousand		-	-	-	-	Mexico, Guatemala
5	15 Jun 2022 12:00	241	-	-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	16 Jun 2022 00:00	483	280 thousand		-	-	-	-	Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

3.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 3.1m in Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16/06/2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16/06/2022 12:00	Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico	Mexico	3.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Toledo, Cattle Landing	Belize	0.4
	16/06/2022 12:00	Corozal, Corozal	Belize	0.4
	16/06/2022 12:00	Quintana Roo, Calderita	Mexico	0.4
	16/06/2022 09:00	Belize, Belize City	Belize	0.4
	16/06/2022 10:00	Corozal, Santeneja	Belize	0.4
	16/06/2022 12:00	Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro	Belize	0.3
	16/06/2022 12:00	Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico	Belize	0.3
	16/06/2022 12:00	Quintana Roo, Majahual	Mexico	0.3
	16/06/2022 12:00	Quintana Roo, El Placer	Mexico	0.3
	15/06/2022 10:00	Sonora, La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	13/06/2022 12:00	Texas, North Beach	United States	0.2
	13/06/2022 12:00	Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real	Mexico	0.2
	14/06/2022 09:00	Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	15/06/2022 08:00	Baja California, Puertecitos	Mexico	0.2
	13/06/2022 19:00	Texas, El Campo Club Community	United States	0.2
	13/06/2022 12:00	Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.2
	13/06/2022 17:00	Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.2
	15/06/2022 20:00	Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.2
	15/06/2022 11:00	Tamaulipas, El Mezquite	Mexico	0.2
	15/06/2022 19:00	Texas, Beach City	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 20:00	Louisiana, Cypremort Point	United States	0.1
	13/06/2022 17:00	Texas, Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 16:00	Sonora, San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	13/06/2022 18:00	Sinaloa, Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	14/06/2022 16:00	Sonora, Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	13/06/2022 15:00	Sonora, Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 21:00	Escuintla, Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	15/06/2022 21:00	Escuintla, El Naranjo	Guatemala	0.1
	15/06/2022 14:00	Louisiana, Cameron	United States	0.1
	13/06/2022 14:00	Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 11:00	Alabama, Bellefontaine	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 17:00	Baja California Sur, Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	14/06/2022 09:00	Baja California Sur, San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 18:00	Texas, Cedar Point	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 23:00	Escuintla, La Barrita	Guatemala	0.1
	13/06/2022 13:00	Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	14/06/2022 10:00	Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Mississippi, Mississippi City	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Mississippi, Handsboro	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Mississippi, Pass Christian	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Mississippi, White Harbor	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Valle, Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Valle, El Moray	Honduras	0.1
	16/06/2022 07:00	Veracruz, Buen Pais	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 11:00	Alabama, Bayleys Corner	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 11:00	Alabama, Mon Louis	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 10:00	Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14/06/2022 10:00	Baja California Sur, Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Mississippi, Bay St Louis	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Mississippi, Henderson Point	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 14:00	Louisiana, North Side	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 14:00	Louisiana, English Lookout	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 19:00	Texas, Smith Point	United States	0.1
	13/06/2022 13:00	Baja California Sur, El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Mississippi, Edgewater Park	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Mississippi, Beauvoir	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Valle, El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Valle, Las Piletas	Honduras	0.1
	15/06/2022 15:00	Texas, Caplen	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 15:00	Texas, Gilchrist	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 21:00	Texas, Seabrook	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 23:00	Escuintla, San Jose	Guatemala	0.1
	16/06/2022 11:00	Alabama, Heron Bay	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 11:00	Alabama, Alabama Port	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Veracruz, Veracruz	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 12:00	Santa Rosa, Papaturro	Guatemala	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Oaxaca, Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Valle, Gualora	Honduras	0.1
	15/06/2022 14:00	Texas, Crystal Beach	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 14:00	Texas, Patton	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 10:00	Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 12:00	Escuintla, Iztapa	Guatemala	0.1
	16/06/2022 05:00	Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 11:00	Oaxaca, Puerto Angel	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 17:00	Louisiana, Cocodrie	United States	0.1
	14/06/2022 20:00	Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 13:00	Tamaulipas, El Mezquital	Mexico	0.1
	14/06/2022 09:00	Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Veracruz, Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.1
	15/06/2022 13:00	Tamaulipas, El Porvenir	Mexico	0.1
	16/06/2022 09:00	Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa	United States	0.1
	15/06/2022 14:00	Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	16/06/2022 10:00	Alabama, Fort Morgan	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.