Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
16 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 Jun 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 359 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.6 m 632 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica586,203
+
Mexico279,654 
Guatemala690 
Nicaragua147,964 
Costa Rica157,895 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama13,824,113
+
Mexico5,473,578 
Belize5,163 
Guatemala2,576,758 
Honduras472,552 
El Salvador532,477 
Nicaragua2,815,371 
Costa Rica1,711,621 
Panama236,589 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 483 590 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16/06/2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16/06/2022 06:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.3
16/06/2022 04:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
16/06/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
16/06/2022 04:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.2
16/06/2022 09:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
16/06/2022 09:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
16/06/2022 05:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.2
16/06/2022 05:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.2
16/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
16/06/2022 09:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
16/06/2022 03:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
16/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
17/06/2022 01:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
16/06/2022 04:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
16/06/2022 07:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
16/06/2022 06:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.1
16/06/2022 17:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.1
16/06/2022 17:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 14:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
16/06/2022 10:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 10:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 08:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
18/06/2022 05:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.1
16/06/2022 04:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 02:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
16/06/2022 09:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 07:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 21:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
18/06/2022 10:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1