Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
18 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (18 Sep 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 115 km/h 0.9 m 316 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

169 km/h

Up to 990 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.986,863
+
Turks and Caicos Islands6,185 
Dominican Republic62,778 
Puerto Rico865,335 
Virgin Islands, U.S.52,564 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
GREEN 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
GREEN 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 151 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPuerto Rico682,666 
100-250 mmCanada, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela3,818,462
+
Canada81 
United States1,657 
Turks and Caicos Islands4,967 
Dominican Republic696,466 
Puerto Rico2,998,782 
Venezuela5,125 
Colombia111,381 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Puerto Rico, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama11,251,828
+
Canada1,790,609 
United States805,483 
Turks and Caicos Islands27,621 
Dominican Republic3,259,094 
Puerto Rico1,788 
British Virgin Islands28,228 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Venezuela772,500 
Colombia4,320,906 
Panama139,303 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 197 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 361 390 thousand
- - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Blue 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Panama
Blue 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 181 6 thousand
- - - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 490 4.5 million
- - - Canada, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Venezuela, Colombia, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC