Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for MANGKHUT-18 in China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar from 07 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC to 16 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 160900
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180916075806
2018091606 26W MANGKHUT 038 01 300 17 SATL 030
T000 216N 1136E 080 R064 085 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 160 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 120 NW QD R034 275 NE QD 200 SE QD 165 SW QD 215 NW QD
T012 227N 1102E 060 R050 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 200 SE QD 130 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
T024 236N 1075E 040
T036 243N 1049E 030
T048 253N 1028E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 038
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 038
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 21.6N 113.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 113.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.7N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 23.6N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 24.3N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 25.3N 102.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 112.7E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 54 NM SOUTHWEST OF
HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 161500Z, 162100Z, 170300Z AND 170900Z.
//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091100 140N1412E 120
2618091100 140N1412E 120
2618091100 140N1412E 120
2618091106 139N1398E 135
2618091106 139N1398E 135
2618091106 139N1398E 135
2618091112 137N1387E 140
2618091112 137N1387E 140
2618091112 137N1387E 140
2618091118 139N1373E 140
2618091118 139N1373E 140
2618091118 139N1373E 140
2618091200 139N1362E 140
2618091200 139N1362E 140
2618091200 139N1362E 140
2618091206 140N1352E 150
2618091206 140N1352E 150
2618091206 140N1352E 150
2618091212 142N1340E 150
2618091212 142N1340E 150
2618091212 142N1340E 150
2618091218 143N1325E 155
2618091218 143N1325E 155
2618091218 143N1325E 155
2618091300 145N1312E 145
2618091300 145N1312E 145
2618091300 145N1312E 145
2618091306 147N1301E 145
2618091306 147N1301E 145
2618091306 147N1301E 145
2618091312 150N1290E 145
2618091312 150N1290E 145
2618091312 150N1290E 145
2618091318 152N1279E 150
2618091318 152N1279E 150
2618091318 152N1279E 150
2618091400 159N1269E 150
2618091400 159N1269E 150
2618091400 159N1269E 150
2618091406 168N1256E 145
2618091406 168N1256E 145
2618091406 168N1256E 145
2618091412 174N1241E 145
2618091412 174N1241E 145
2618091412 174N1241E 145
2618091418 180N1223E 145
2618091418 180N1223E 145
2618091418 180N1223E 145
2618091500 181N1206E 115
2618091500 181N1206E 115
2618091500 181N1206E 115
2618091506 185N1197E 105
2618091506 185N1197E 105
2618091506 185N1197E 105
2618091512 192N1183E 100
2618091512 192N1183E 100
2618091512 192N1183E 100
2618091518 198N1169E 90
2618091518 198N1169E 90
2618091518 198N1169E 90
2618091600 207N1152E 85
2618091600 207N1152E 85
2618091600 207N1152E 85
2618091606 216N1136E 85
2618091606 216N1136E 85
2618091606 216N1136E 85

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 038
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 21.6N 113.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 113.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.7N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 23.6N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 24.3N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 25.3N 102.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 112.7E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 54 NM SOUTHWEST OF
HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 26
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z, 162100Z, 170300Z AND 170900Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 160900
WARNING 160900.
WARNING VALID 170900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 960 HPA
AT 22.0N 112.7E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 162100UTC AT 22.8N 109.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170900UTC AT 23.7N 106.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 160300
WARNING 160300.
WARNING VALID 170300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 960 HPA
AT 21.0N 114.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161500UTC AT 22.1N 111.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170300UTC AT 23.0N 108.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 160000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.36 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 20.6N, 115.3E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 152100
WARNING 152100.
WARNING VALID 162100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 955 HPA
AT 20.3N 116.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160900UTC AT 21.7N 112.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 162100UTC AT 22.5N 109.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 151800
WARNING 151800.
WARNING VALID 161800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 955 HPA
AT 19.8N 117.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 21.2N 113.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 22.3N 110.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 24.6N 105.2E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 151500
WARNING 151500.
WARNING VALID 161500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 950 HPA
AT 19.5N 117.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160300UTC AT 20.9N 114.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161500UTC AT 22.1N 110.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 151200
WARNING 151200.
WARNING VALID 161200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 950 HPA
AT 19.2N 118.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 20.5N 115.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 21.8N 111.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 23.5N 105.8E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 24.6N 101.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 150900
WARNING 150900.
WARNING VALID 160900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 940 HPA
AT 18.9N 119.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 20.2N 116.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160900UTC AT 21.6N 112.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150900UTC 18.9N 119.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160900UTC 21.6N 112.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 170600UTC 22.8N 107.0E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 180600UTC 23.0N 102.7E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 150600
WARNING 150600.
WARNING VALID 160600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 940 HPA
AT 18.5N 119.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 19.8N 116.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 21.2N 113.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 22.8N 107.0E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 23.0N 102.7E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.33 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 18.5N, 119.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING
AROUND THE EYE BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL
FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72
DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150600UTC 18.5N 119.7E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160600UTC 21.2N 113.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 170600UTC 22.8N 107.0E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 180600UTC 23.0N 102.7E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 150300
WARNING 150300.
WARNING VALID 160300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 940 HPA
AT 18.3N 120.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 19.5N 117.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160300UTC AT 20.9N 114.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150300UTC 18.3N 120.1E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160300UTC 20.9N 114.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 170000UTC 22.5N 108.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 180000UTC 23.2N 103.3E 140NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 150000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.32 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 18.0N, 120.5E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A CDO PATTERN.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72
DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 150000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.32 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 18.0N, 120.5E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A CDO PATTERN.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72
DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 150000
WARNING 150000.
WARNING VALID 160000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 940 HPA
AT 18.0N 120.5E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 19.1N 118.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 20.6N 115.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 22.5N 108.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 23.2N 103.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 142245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 142100 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (1822) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0
N) ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 125 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 270 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 162100 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 172100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 142100
WARNING 142100.
WARNING VALID 152100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 925 HPA
AT 18.1N 121.5E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150900UTC AT 18.9N 118.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 20.2N 116.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 141945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 141800 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (1822) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 900 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 135 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 270 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171800 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (103.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 141800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141800UTC 18.0N 122.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
30KT 400NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 151800UTC 19.8N 116.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 161800UTC 21.9N 110.0E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 171800UTC 22.7N 104.2E 140NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 141645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 141500 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (1822) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 900 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7
N) ONE TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (123.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 135 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 270 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151500 UTC
ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171500 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 141500
WARNING 141500.
WARNING VALID 151500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 17.8N 123.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150300UTC AT 18.5N 120.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 19.4N 117.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 141345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 141200 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (1822) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 905 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4
N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 130 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151200 UTC
ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (19.2 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (118.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 110 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 110 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171200 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (105.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 141200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141200UTC 17.4N 124.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 151200UTC 19.0N 118.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 161200UTC 21.5N 112.2E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 171200UTC 22.4N 105.4E 140NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 181200UTC 22.3N 100.7E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 11KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 141045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (1822) HAS ENTERED THE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY.

AT 140900 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (1822) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 905 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1
N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (124.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 130 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 110 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 160900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 110 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 170900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 180900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 140900
WARNING 140900.
WARNING VALID 150900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 17.2N 124.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 17.9N 121.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150900UTC AT 18.8N 119.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 140600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 16.7N, 125.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
PHILIPPINES BY FT18. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 140600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140600UTC 16.7N 125.7E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 150600UTC 18.4N 119.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 160600UTC 20.8N 113.9E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 170600UTC 22.1N 107.2E 140NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 180600UTC 22.0N 101.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 14KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 140300
WARNING 140300.
WARNING VALID 150300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 16.3N 126.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141500UTC AT 17.5N 123.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150300UTC AT 18.2N 120.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 140000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 16.0N, 126.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
PHILIPPINES BY FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 140000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140000UTC 16.0N 126.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 350NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 150000UTC 18.0N 121.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 160000UTC 20.0N 115.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 170000UTC 21.6N 108.6E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 180000UTC 22.1N 101.4E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 132100
WARNING 132100.
WARNING VALID 142100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 15.6N 127.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 450 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 350
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140900UTC AT 16.7N 124.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 17.7N 121.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131800UTC 15.2N 127.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 350NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141800UTC 17.4N 122.6E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
48HF 151800UTC 19.3N 116.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 161800UTC 21.4N 110.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 171800UTC 21.9N 103.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 131500
WARNING 131500.
WARNING VALID 141500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 15.0N 128.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 450 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140300UTC AT 16.1N 126.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141500UTC AT 17.2N 123.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 131500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131500UTC 15.0N 128.3E GOOD
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141500UTC 17.2N 123.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
45HF 151200UTC 18.7N 118.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 161200UTC 21.0N 112.5E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 14.9N, 128.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT96 BUT LOW THEREAFTER.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY
UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS PRESENCE OVER THE SEA. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 131200
WARNING 131200.
WARNING VALID 141200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.9N 128.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 450 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 15.8N 126.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 17.0N 124.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 18.7N 118.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 21.0N 112.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131200UTC 14.9N 128.9E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141200UTC 17.0N 124.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
48HF 151200UTC 18.7N 118.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 161200UTC 21.0N 112.5E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 171200UTC 21.8N 105.6E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT
120HF 181200UTC 22.2N 099.3E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 15KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131200UTC 14.9N 128.9E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141200UTC 17.0N 124.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
48HF 151200UTC 18.7N 118.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 161200UTC 21.0N 112.5E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 130900
WARNING 130900.
WARNING VALID 140900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.9N 129.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 15.6N 127.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140900UTC AT 16.8N 125.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130900UTC 14.9N 129.4E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140900UTC 16.8N 125.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
45HF 150600UTC 18.2N 119.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
69HF 160600UTC 20.3N 114.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 130600
WARNING 130600.
WARNING VALID 140600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.8N 130.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 15.4N 127.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 16.4N 125.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 18.2N 119.8E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 20.3N 114.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 14.8N, 130.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE
JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130600UTC 14.8N 130.0E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 300NM
FORECAST
24HF 140600UTC 16.4N 125.6E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
48HF 150600UTC 18.2N 119.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 160600UTC 20.3N 114.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 170600UTC 21.5N 107.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT
120HF 180600UTC 22.3N 100.5E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 130300
WARNING 130300.
WARNING VALID 140300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.7N 130.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131500UTC AT 15.4N 128.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140300UTC AT 16.3N 126.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
900 HPA, MAX WINDS 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130000UTC 14.5N 131.4E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 240NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140000UTC 16.0N 127.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
48HF 150000UTC 17.9N 121.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
72HF 160000UTC 19.8N 116.0E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 170000UTC 20.9N 109.5E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 15KT
120HF 180000UTC 21.9N 103.2E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 15KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 122100
WARNING 122100.
WARNING VALID 132100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.4N 131.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130900UTC AT 14.9N 129.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 15.7N 127.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
900 HPA, MAX WINDS 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 14.4N 132.5E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 240NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 15.5N 128.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
48HF 141800UTC 17.8N 123.0E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
72HF 151800UTC 19.5N 117.4E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
96HF 161800UTC 21.1N 111.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
120HF 171800UTC 21.9N 104.7E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 15KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 121500
WARNING 121500.
WARNING VALID 131500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.4N 133.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130300UTC AT 14.9N 130.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131500UTC AT 15.5N 128.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
900 HPA, MAX WINDS 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 121200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 14.3N, 134.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121200UTC 14.3N 134.0E GOOD
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 131200UTC 15.3N 129.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
48HF 141200UTC 17.3N 124.7E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
72HF 151200UTC 19.1N 118.9E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 161200UTC 20.8N 112.8E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
120HF 171200UTC 21.6N 105.9E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 16KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 120900
WARNING 120900.
WARNING VALID 130900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 14.2N 134.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 14.7N 132.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130900UTC AT 15.2N 130.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
900 HPA, MAX WINDS 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 14.0N 135.2E GOOD
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 130600UTC 15.0N 130.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
48HF 140600UTC 16.9N 126.0E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
72HF 150600UTC 18.8N 120.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
96HF 160600UTC 20.8N 114.6E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
120HF 170600UTC 21.9N 108.1E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 15KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 120300
WARNING 120300.
WARNING VALID 130300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 13.9N 135.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121500UTC AT 14.4N 133.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130300UTC AT 14.9N 131.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 13.9N 136.2E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 130000UTC 14.9N 131.6E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
48HF 140000UTC 16.4N 127.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
72HF 150000UTC 19.0N 121.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
96HF 160000UTC 20.7N 116.1E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
120HF 170000UTC 21.9N 109.8E 290NM 70.
MOVE W 15KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 112100
WARNING 112100.
WARNING VALID 122100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 905 HPA
AT 13.9N 136.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120900UTC AT 14.3N 134.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 14.8N 132.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
905 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 14.0N 137.4E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 121800UTC 14.8N 132.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
48HF 131800UTC 15.8N 128.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
72HF 141800UTC 18.5N 123.6E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
96HF 151800UTC 20.4N 118.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
120HF 161800UTC 22.0N 111.7E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 111500
WARNING 111500.
WARNING VALID 121500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 915 HPA
AT 14.0N 138.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120300UTC AT 14.3N 135.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121500UTC AT 14.7N 133.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 13.7N 138.7E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 110NM
30KT 210NM
FORECAST
24HF 121200UTC 14.2N 134.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 131200UTC 15.3N 129.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
72HF 141200UTC 17.7N 125.0E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
96HF 151200UTC 19.9N 119.5E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
120HF 161200UTC 21.8N 113.6E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 110900
WARNING 110900.
WARNING VALID 120900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 915 HPA
AT 13.8N 139.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 13.8N 136.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120900UTC AT 14.1N 134.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 13.9N 139.8E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 110NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 14.2N 135.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 130600UTC 15.3N 130.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 110KT
GUST 155KT
72HF 140600UTC 17.1N 126.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 900HPA
MXWD 115KT
GUST 165KT
96HF 150600UTC 19.2N 120.8E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT
120HF 160600UTC 21.3N 115.4E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 14KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 110300
WARNING 110300.
WARNING VALID 120300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 925 HPA
AT 13.9N 140.6E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 13.9N 138.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120300UTC AT 14.0N 135.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 110300
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180911015027
2018091100 26W MANGKHUT 017 02 270 14 SATL 060
T000 140N 1412E 120 R064 045 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 120 SE QD 125 SW QD 170 NW QD
T012 140N 1386E 130 R064 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 145 SW QD 185 NW QD
T024 142N 1363E 135 R064 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 170 SE QD 155 SW QD 195 NW QD
T036 147N 1339E 135 R064 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 120 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 200 NW QD
T048 154N 1316E 135 R064 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 135 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 235 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 210 NW QD
T072 173N 1270E 135 R064 090 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW Q
D 140 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 240 SE QD 205 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 195N 1217E 125 R064 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD R050 160 NE QD 135 SE QD 115 SW Q
D 145 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 265 SE QD 200 SW QD 275 NW QD
T120 219N 1163E 115 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 235 SE QD 160 SW QD 195 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 14.0N 141.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 141.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 138.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.2N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.7N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.4N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.3N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
275 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.9N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 140.6E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 201 NM WEST OF
NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091100 140N1412E 120
2618091100 140N1412E 120
2618091100 140N1412E 120

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 14.0N 141.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 141.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 138.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.2N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.7N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.4N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.3N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
275 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.9N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 140.6E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 201 NM WEST OF
NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 102100
WARNING 102100.
WARNING VALID 112100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 950 HPA
AT 14.0N 142.0E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 14.0N 139.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 14.1N 137.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180910194808
2018091018 26W MANGKHUT 016 02 265 17 SATL 010
T000 140N 1426E 110 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 130 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T012 140N 1400E 120 R064 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 155 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 141N 1375E 125 R064 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 105 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 155 SE QD 150 SW QD 185 NW QD
T036 145N 1352E 130 R064 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 165 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 150N 1329E 135 R064 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 105 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 120 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 180 SE QD 165 SW QD 200 NW QD
T072 165N 1281E 135 R064 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 115 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 130 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 215 SE QD 185 SW QD 230 NW QD
T096 189N 1231E 125 R064 090 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 155 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW Q
D 145 NW QD R034 255 NE QD 235 SE QD 190 SW QD 260 NW QD
T120 209N 1175E 115 R064 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 105 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 265 NE QD 235 SE QD 170 SW QD 215 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 14.0N 142.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 142.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.1N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.5N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.0N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 16.5N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 18.9N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.9N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 141.9E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 122 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091012 141N1443E 100
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091018 140N1426E 110
2618091018 140N1426E 110

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 14.0N 142.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 142.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.1N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.5N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.0N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 16.5N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 18.9N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.9N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 141.9E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 122 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 101500
WARNING 101500.
WARNING VALID 111500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 950 HPA
AT 14.1N 143.6E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 13.9N 140.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 14.0N 138.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180910132839
2018091012 26W MANGKHUT 015 02 260 15 SATL 015
T000 141N 1442E 100 R064 045 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 155 NW QD
T012 140N 1414E 110 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 105 SE QD 115 SW QD 155 NW QD
T024 140N 1389E 120 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 125 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 143N 1365E 125 R064 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 165 NW QD
T048 147N 1342E 130 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 155 SE QD 140 SW QD 175 NW QD
T072 161N 1300E 135 R064 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 205 NW QD
T096 185N 1248E 140 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 225 SE QD 180 SW QD 225 NW QD
T120 209N 1195E 125 R064 080 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 165 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 240 SE QD 160 SW QD 235 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 14.1N 144.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 144.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.0N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.3N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.7N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 16.1N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.9N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 143.5E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 47 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z
IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091012 141N1442E 100
2618091012 141N1442E 100
2618091012 141N1442E 100

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 14.1N 144.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 144.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.0N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.3N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.7N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 16.1N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.9N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 143.5E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 47 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z
IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100900
WARNING 100900.
WARNING VALID 110900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 955 HPA
AT 14.2N 144.8E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 14.0N 142.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 14.0N 139.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180910074400
2018091006 26W MANGKHUT 014 02 265 17 SATL 015
T000 143N 1457E 090 R064 045 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 045 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 075 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 090 SE QD 105 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 140N 1427E 100 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 105 SE QD 115 SW QD 155 NW QD
T024 140N 1401E 110 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 125 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 143N 1377E 115 R064 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 165 NW QD
T048 146N 1353E 120 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 155 SE QD 140 SW QD 175 NW QD
T072 158N 1308E 130 R064 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 205 NW QD
T096 179N 1260E 135 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 225 SE QD 180 SW QD 225 NW QD
T120 202N 1207E 130 R064 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 165 NE QD 125 SE QD 105 SW Q
D 135 NW QD R034 265 NE QD 235 SE QD 175 SW QD 250 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 14.3N 145.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N 145.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 14.0N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.3N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.6N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 15.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 17.9N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.2N 120.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 144.9E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM NORTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 29 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z. REFER TO
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90
2618091006 143N1457E 90

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 14.3N 145.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N 145.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 14.0N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.3N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.6N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 15.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 17.9N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.2N 120.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 144.9E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM NORTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 29 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100300
WARNING 100300.
WARNING VALID 110300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 955 HPA
AT 14.4N 146.5E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 19 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 14.0N 143.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 13.9N 141.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180910011517
2018091000 26W MANGKHUT 013 02 260 16 SATL RADR 020
T000 145N 1474E 080 R064 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 065 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 141N 1442E 090 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 105 SE QD 115 SW QD 155 NW QD
T024 140N 1414E 100 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 125 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 142N 1387E 110 R064 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 165 NW QD
T048 145N 1361E 115 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 155 SE QD 140 SW QD 175 NW QD
T072 157N 1312E 125 R064 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 205 NW QD
T096 173N 1266E 135 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 225 SE QD 180 SW QD 225 NW QD
T120 193N 1218E 130 R064 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 165 NE QD 125 SE QD 105 SW Q
D 135 NW QD R034 265 NE QD 235 SE QD 175 SW QD 250 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 14.5N 147.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 147.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 14.1N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.0N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.2N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.5N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.7N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.3N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 146.6E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 153 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z,
101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
UPDATES.//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090906 153N1529E 70
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090912 151N1509E 75
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618090918 148N1490E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80
2618091000 145N1474E 80

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 14.5N 147.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 147.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 14.1N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.0N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.2N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.5N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.7N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.3N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 146.6E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 153 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z,
101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 092100
WARNING 092100.
WARNING VALID 102100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 955 HPA
AT 14.6N 148.6E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 14.0N 145.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 13.6N 142.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 091500
WARNING 091500.
WARNING VALID 101500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 965 HPA
AT 15.0N 150.4E TRUKS MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 14.5N 147.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 14.2N 144.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 090900
WARNING 090900.
WARNING VALID 100900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 975 HPA
AT 15.1N 152.1E TRUKS MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 14.7N 148.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 14.2N 145.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 090300
WARNING 090300.
WARNING VALID 100300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 975 HPA
AT 15.2N 153.8E TRUKS MOVING WEST 22 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 14.8N 150.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 14.4N 146.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180909013629
2018090900 26W MANGKHUT 009 01 275 20 SATL 020
T000 151N 1549E 065 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 150N 1511E 090 R064 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 135 NW QD
T024 146N 1478E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 075 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 142N 1448E 115 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 143N 1419E 125 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 125 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 149N 1376E 135 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 145 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 162N 1327E 135 R064 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 115 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 185 SE QD 170 SW QD 200 NW QD
T120 180N 1276E 135 R064 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 135 NE QD 110 SE QD 115 SW Q
D 125 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 225 SE QD 185 SW QD 220 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 009
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 26W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 15.1N 154.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 154.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 15.0N 151.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 14.6N 147.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 14.2N 144.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.3N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.9N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.2N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 18.0N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 154.0E.
TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 587 NM EAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS
22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND
100300Z.//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20
2618090706 125N1667E 25
2618090712 128N1653E 30
2618090718 132N1638E 35
2618090800 136N1623E 35
2618090806 143N1608E 40
2618090812 148N1591E 45
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090818 149N1570E 55
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65
2618090900 151N1549E 65

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 082100
WARNING 082100.
WARNING VALID 092100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 985 HPA
AT 14.7N 156.1E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 14.6N 152.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 14.3N 148.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 081500
WARNING 081500.
WARNING VALID 091500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 992 HPA
AT 14.4N 158.1E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 14.7N 154.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 14.4N 150.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 080900
WARNING 080900.
WARNING VALID 090900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 996 HPA
AT 14.4N 160.3E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 14.8N 156.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 15.0N 153.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 080300
WARNING 080300.
WARNING VALID 090300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 1000 HPA
AT 14.0N 161.5E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081500UTC AT 14.5N 158.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 14.6N 154.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080000
WARNING 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 1000 HPA
AT 13.6N 162.3E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 14.2N 159.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 14.4N 155.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 13.5N 149.0E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.1N 143.9E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 13.6N 162.3E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 090000UTC 14.4N 155.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 100000UTC 13.5N 149.0E 110NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 110000UTC 13.1N 143.9E 140NM 70.
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 120000UTC 14.0N 140.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
120HF 130000UTC 16.0N 136.3E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 071800
WARNING 071800.
WARNING VALID 081800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) 998 HPA
AT 13.0N 163.9E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 13.8N 160.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 14.2N 157.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 13.9N 150.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 13.2N 145.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071800UTC 13.0N 163.9E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 081800UTC 14.2N 157.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 091800UTC 13.9N 150.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 101800UTC 13.2N 145.2E 140NM 70.
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 111800UTC 13.7N 141.4E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 09KT
120HF 121800UTC 15.7N 137.7E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 071200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 2 FOR TS 1822 MANGKHUT (1822)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 12.2N, 166.3E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MANGKHUT) STATUS. TS MANGKHUT IS LOCATED AT 12.9N, 165.3E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS,
HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND
MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 071200
WARNING 071200.
WARNING VALID 081200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 12.9N 165.3E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 13.6N 162.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 14.2N 159.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 13.6N 152.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 13.0N 146.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1822 MANGKHUT (1822) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 12.9N 165.3E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 081200UTC 14.2N 159.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091200UTC 13.6N 152.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 101200UTC 13.0N 146.4E 140NM 70.
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 111200UTC 13.4N 143.2E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
120HF 121200UTC 15.2N 140.2E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 070300
WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 180907010730
2018090700 26W TWENTYSIX 001 01 275 16 SATL 025
T000 123N 1680E 020
T012 128N 1658E 030
T024 133N 1632E 040 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 137N 1603E 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 137N 1571E 055 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T072 130N 1512E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 105 NW QD
T096 128N 1471E 105 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 135 SE QD 145 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 143N 1433E 135 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 155 SW QD 135 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 12.3N 168.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 168.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 12.8N 165.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 13.3N 163.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 13.7N 160.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 13.7N 157.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 151.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 12.8N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.3N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 12.4N 167.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 216 NM
NORTH OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL, RMI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 8
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.//
2618090412 100N1780E 15
2618090418 100N1771E 15
2618090500 100N1762E 15
2618090506 102N1754E 15
2618090512 106N1748E 15
2618090518 110N1742E 20
2618090600 115N1731E 20
2618090606 120N1720E 20
2618090612 121N1708E 20
2618090618 121N1696E 20
2618090700 123N1680E 20

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