Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for KONG-REY-18
in Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Democratic People's Republic of, Korea, Republic of, China, Guam

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 062100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181006192156
2018100618 30W KONG-REY 036 01 075 29 SATL 060
T000 398N 1370E 045 R034 230 NE QD 200 SE QD 190 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 417N 1459E 035 R034 190 NE QD 270 SE QD 200 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 409N 1565E 025
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 036
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 39.8N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 29 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 39.8N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 41.7N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 40 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 40.9N 156.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 40.3N 139.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 196 NM WEST
OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z
IS 16 FEET.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100606 376N1307E 55
3018100606 376N1307E 55
3018100612 390N1334E 50
3018100612 390N1334E 50
3018100618 398N1370E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 061500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181006131442
2018100612 30W KONG-REY 035 01 055 25 SATL 050
T000 390N 1334E 050 R050 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 225 SE QD 190 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 419N 1409E 040 R034 220 NE QD 270 SE QD 220 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 428N 1490E 035 R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 035
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 035
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 39.0N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 39.0N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 41.9N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 42.8N 149.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 39.7N 135.3E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
370 NM WEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100606 376N1307E 55
3018100606 376N1307E 55
3018100612 390N1334E 50
3018100612 390N1334E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 061500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 035
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 39.0N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 39.0N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 41.9N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 42.8N 149.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 39.7N 135.3E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
370 NM WEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 060900
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 34
NAME 1825 KONG-REY
ANALYSIS
POSITION 060900UTC 38.3N 131.8E
MOVEMENT NE 30KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 061500UTC 40.0N 135.6E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
12HR
POSITION 062100UTC 41.3N 139.8E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
18HR
POSITION 070300UTC 42.4N 144.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 060900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181006075439
2018100606 30W KONG-REY 034 01 030 31 SATL 045
T000 376N 1307E 055 R050 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 235 NE QD 240 SE QD 210 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 413N 1373E 050 R050 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 260 SE QD 250 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 434N 1458E 040 R034 160 NE QD 250 SE QD 260 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 034
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 034
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 37.6N 130.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 31 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 37.6N 130.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 41.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 43.4N 145.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 38.5N 132.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
169 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PUSAN, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100606 376N1307E 55
3018100606 376N1307E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 034
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 37.6N 130.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 31 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 37.6N 130.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 41.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 43.4N 145.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 38.5N 132.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
169 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PUSAN, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 060300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 32
NAME 1825 KONG-REY
ANALYSIS
POSITION 060300UTC 35.8N 129.2E
MOVEMENT NE 29KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 060900UTC 37.7N 131.8E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
12HR
POSITION 061500UTC 39.1N 135.1E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
18HR
POSITION 062100UTC 40.6N 139.8E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 070300UTC 42.1N 144.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 060300
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181006013023
2018100600 30W KONG-REY 033 01 035 26 SATL 060
T000 350N 1286E 055 R050 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 210 SE QD 135 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 389N 1335E 050 R050 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 230 SE QD 190 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 421N 1414E 040 R034 210 NE QD 240 SE QD 210 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 431N 1505E 035 R034 090 NE QD 190 SE QD 190 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 033
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 35.0N 128.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N 128.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.9N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 42.1N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.1N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 36.0N 129.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 6 NM SOUTH
OF CHINHAE, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
3018100600 350N1286E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 35.0N 128.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N 128.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.9N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 42.1N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.1N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 36.0N 129.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 6 NM SOUTH
OF CHINHAE, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z
IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 052100
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 30
NAME 1825 KONG-REY
ANALYSIS
POSITION 052100UTC 33.8N 127.3E
MOVEMENT NE 26KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 060300UTC 35.4N 129.1E WITHIN 10NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
12HR
POSITION 060900UTC 36.8N 131.4E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
18HR
POSITION 061500UTC 38.7N 135.0E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 062100UTC 40.4N 139.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
30HR
POSITION 070300UTC 42.0N 144.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 052100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181005195739
2018100518 30W KONG-REY 032 01 030 17 SATL 060
T000 329N 1268E 055 R050 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 065 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 200 SE QD 125 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 366N 1304E 050 R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 404N 1366E 040 R034 230 NE QD 250 SE QD 210 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 429N 1457E 035 R034 160 NE QD 230 SE QD 230 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 032
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 32.9N 126.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N 126.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.6N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 42.9N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 33.8N 127.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 146 NM WEST
OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100506 295N1257E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100512 314N1258E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
3018100518 329N1268E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 052100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 32.9N 126.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N 126.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.6N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 42.9N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 33.8N 127.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 146 NM WEST
OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 051500
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 28
NAME 1825 KONG-REY
ANALYSIS
POSITION 051500UTC 31.9N 125.9E
MOVEMENT N 14KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 052100UTC 33.5N 127.1E WITHIN 10NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
12HR
POSITION 060300UTC 35.2N 128.9E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
18HR
POSITION 060900UTC 36.9N 131.4E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 061500UTC 38.7N 135.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
30HR
POSITION 062100UTC 40.5N 139.5E WITHIN 70NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 051500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181005131510
2018100512 30W KONG-REY 031 01 005 19 SATL 030
T000 315N 1261E 055 R050 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 270 SE QD 220 SW QD 225 NW QD
T012 352N 1284E 055 R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 389N 1333E 050 R050 020 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 260 SE QD 250 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 422N 1404E 050 R050 050 NE QD 160 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 280 SE QD 270 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 435N 1499E 045 R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD 290 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 031
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 31.5N 126.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N 126.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 35.2N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.9N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 42.2N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.5N 149.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 32.4N 126.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 206 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 19 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 296N1259E 55
3018100506 296N1259E 55
3018100512 315N1261E 55
3018100512 315N1261E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 31.5N 126.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N 126.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 35.2N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.9N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 42.2N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.5N 149.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 32.4N 126.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 206 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 19 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z
IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 050900
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 26
NAME 1825 KONG-REY
ANALYSIS
POSITION 050900UTC 30.2N 125.7E
MOVEMENT N 16KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 052100UTC 33.6N 127.2E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 060900UTC 36.8N 131.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 062100UTC 40.5N 139.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 070900UTC 42.8N 149.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050900 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 030A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 29.6N 125.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N 125.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 33.1N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 43.4N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 30.5N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 211 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z
IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.
JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED TRACKING DIRECTION.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 050900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181005073459
2018100506 30W KONG-REY 030 01 010 16 SATL 030
T000 296N 1259E 055 R050 110 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 235 NW QD
T012 331N 1273E 055 R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 190 NW QD
T024 368N 1308E 050 R050 020 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 404N 1370E 045 R034 270 NE QD 300 SE QD 250 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 434N 1443E 040 R034 220 NE QD 300 SE QD 280 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 030
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 29.6N 125.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N 125.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 33.1N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 43.4N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 30.5N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 211 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100500 280N1256E 55
3018100506 296N1259E 55
3018100506 296N1259E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 29.6N 125.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N 125.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 33.1N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 43.4N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 30.5N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 211 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 16
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 050300
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181005014658
2018100500 30W KONG-REY 029 01 345 13 SATL 030
T000 281N 1256E 055 R050 105 NE QD 095 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 230 SE QD 225 SW QD 260 NW QD
T012 313N 1265E 050 R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 230 SE QD 210 SW QD 220 NW QD
T024 348N 1285E 050 R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 220 SE QD 210 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 386N 1336E 045 R034 210 NE QD 240 SE QD 250 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 419N 1413E 040 R034 220 NE QD 270 SE QD 270 SW QD 170 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 029
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 28.1N 125.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 125.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 31.3N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 34.8N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.6N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 41.9N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 28.9N 125.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 367 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100418 268N1260E 55
3018100500 281N1256E 55
3018100500 281N1256E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 28.1N 125.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 125.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 31.3N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 34.8N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.6N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 41.9N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 28.9N 125.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 367 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
050000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND
060300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 042100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181004191815
2018100418 30W KONG-REY 028 01 350 13 SATL RADR 020
T000 268N 1263E 055 R050 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 255 NE QD 220 SE QD 210 SW QD 235 NW QD
T012 296N 1262E 055 R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 240 NW QD
T024 329N 1273E 050 R050 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 210 NW QD
T036 366N 1308E 045 R034 220 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 404N 1370E 040 R034 200 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 441N 1553E 035 R034 120 NE QD 230 SE QD 260 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 26.8N 126.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 126.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 29.6N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 32.9N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.6N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 44.1N 155.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 27.5N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 82 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 041800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z
AND 052100Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100418 268N1263E 55
3018100418 268N1263E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 26.8N 126.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 126.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 29.6N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 32.9N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.6N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 40.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 44.1N 155.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 27.5N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 82 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 041800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z
AND 052100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 041500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181004130826
2018100412 30W KONG-REY 027 01 340 12 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 255N 1266E 060 R050 105 NE QD 095 SE QD 045 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 245 NE QD 230 SE QD 170 SW QD 225 NW QD
T012 280N 1261E 060 R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 240 NW QD
T024 310N 1264E 060 R050 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 210 NW QD
T036 346N 1285E 055 R050 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 382N 1329E 050 R050 060 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 436N 1492E 045 R034 120 NE QD 230 SE QD 260 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 027
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 027
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 30W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 25.5N 126.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N 126.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 28.0N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 31.0N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 34.6N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.2N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.6N 149.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 126.5E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 88 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100412 255N1266E 60
3018100412 255N1266E 60
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 027
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 30W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 25.5N 126.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N 126.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 28.0N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 31.0N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 34.6N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 38.2N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.6N 149.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 126.5E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 88 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
041200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND
051500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 041200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 25.5N, 126.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK
VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND LOW TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE OF


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 040900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181004074424
2018100406 30W KONG-REY 026 01 340 13 SATL SYNP 020
T000 244N 1271E 065 R064 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 265 NE QD 225 SE QD 175 SW QD 220 NW QD
T012 267N 1261E 060 R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 240 NW QD
T024 294N 1260E 060 R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 190 SW QD 200 NW QD
T036 327N 1273E 055 R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 363N 1307E 050 R050 070 NE QD 130 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 427N 1439E 040 R034 180 NE QD 250 SE QD 250 SW QD 160 NW QD
T096 444N 1616E 030
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 026
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 24.4N 127.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N 127.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 26.7N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 29.4N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 32.7N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.3N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 42.7N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 44.4N 161.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 25.0N 126.8E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 132 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND 050900Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100400 232N1276E 70
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
3018100406 244N1271E 65
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 24.4N 127.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N 127.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 26.7N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 29.4N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 32.7N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 36.3N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 42.7N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 44.4N 161.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 25.0N 126.8E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 132 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
040600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND
050900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 23.1N 127.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 127.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 25.1N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 27.5N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 30.5N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 34.0N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 41.4N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 43.8N 156.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 127.3E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 204 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 040000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 23.1N, 127.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 040000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 23.1N, 127.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT06 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 040000
WARNING 040000.
WARNING VALID 050000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 960 HPA
AT 23.1N 127.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 25.0N 126.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 27.3N 125.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 33.6N 126.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 40.9N 138.0E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 040000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040000UTC 23.1N 127.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 400NM WEST 300NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 050000UTC 27.3N 125.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 060000UTC 33.6N 126.9E 150NM 70.
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 070000UTC 40.9N 138.0E 220NM 70.
MOVE NE 29KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 080000UTC 42.1N 158.2E 300NM 70.
MOVE E 38KT
120HF 090000UTC 39.9N 176.3E 425NM 70.
MOVE E 35KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 040000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040000UTC 23.1N 127.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 400NM WEST 300NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 050000UTC 27.3N 125.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 060000UTC 33.6N 126.9E 150NM 70.
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 070000UTC 40.9N 138.0E 220NM 70.
MOVE NE 29KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 032100
WARNING 032100.
WARNING VALID 042100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 955 HPA
AT 22.8N 127.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040900UTC AT 24.6N 126.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 042100UTC AT 26.8N 125.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 032100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 032100UTC 22.8N 127.8E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM WEST 300NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 042100UTC 26.8N 125.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 051800UTC 31.9N 126.2E 150NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 061800UTC 38.8N 133.7E 220NM 70.
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 032100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181003184716
2018100318 30W KONG-REY 024 01 325 10 SATL 015
T000 224N 1281E 090 R064 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 135 SE QD 105 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 235 SE QD 210 SW QD 235 NW QD
T012 241N 1270E 085 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 240 SE QD 250 SW QD 310 NW QD
T024 263N 1261E 080 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 230 SE QD 250 SW QD 280 NW QD
T036 287N 1259E 080 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 240 SE QD 230 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 318N 1267E 075 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 230 SE QD 230 SW QD 210 NW QD
T072 394N 1348E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 270 SE QD 250 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 451N 1503E 045 R034 165 NE QD 240 SE QD 280 SW QD 125 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 128.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 128.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.1N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 26.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 28.7N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 31.8N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 39.4N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 45.1N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 22.8N 127.8E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 247 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
3018100318 224N1281E 90
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 128.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 128.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.1N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 26.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 28.7N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 31.8N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 39.4N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 45.1N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 22.8N 127.8E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 247 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND
042100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 031800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 22.4N, 128.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING
OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 031800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 22.4N, 128.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING
OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR, LOW SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 031800
WARNING 031800.
WARNING VALID 041800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 955 HPA
AT 22.4N 128.1E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 24.1N 126.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 26.1N 126.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 31.9N 126.2E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 38.8N 133.7E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 031800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031800UTC 22.4N 128.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM WEST 300NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 041800UTC 26.1N 126.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 051800UTC 31.9N 126.2E 150NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 061800UTC 38.8N 133.7E 220NM 70.
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 071800UTC 43.1N 150.8E 300NM 70.
MOVE ENE 34KT
120HF 081800UTC 40.7N 171.2E 425NM 70.
MOVE E 38KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 031800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031800UTC 22.4N 128.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM WEST 300NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 041800UTC 26.1N 126.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 051800UTC 31.9N 126.2E 150NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 061800UTC 38.8N 133.7E 220NM 70.
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 031500
WARNING 031500.
WARNING VALID 041500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 950 HPA
AT 22.0N 128.4E SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040300UTC AT 23.4N 127.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041500UTC AT 25.2N 126.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 031500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031500UTC 22.0N 128.4E GOOD
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM
FORECAST
24HF 041500UTC 25.2N 126.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 051200UTC 29.5N 125.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 061200UTC 35.8N 129.8E 220NM 70.
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 031500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181003133748
2018100312 30W KONG-REY 023 01 330 09 SATL 020
T000 216N 1287E 100 R064 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 205 SE QD 175 SW QD 220 NW QD
T012 232N 1276E 085 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 210 SW QD 260 NW QD
T024 250N 1266E 080 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 220 SW QD 280 NW QD
T036 270N 1260E 080 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 295N 1258E 075 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 210 NW QD
T072 357N 1301E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 210 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 436N 1436E 045 R034 170 NE QD 250 SE QD 250 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 023
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.6N 128.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 128.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.2N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 25.0N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 27.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 29.5N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 35.7N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.6N 143.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 128.4E.
TYPHOON (TY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 298 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
3018100312 216N1287E 100
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.6N 128.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 128.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.2N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 25.0N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 27.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 29.5N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 35.7N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 43.6N 143.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 128.4E.
TYPHOON (TY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 298 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 031200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 21.6N, 128.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. IT HAS ALSO WEAKENED RAPIDLY DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF LOW SSTS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS DISAPPEARED. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 031200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 21.6N, 128.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. IT HAS ALSO WEAKENED RAPIDLY DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF LOW SSTS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS DISAPPEARED. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 031200
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 950 HPA
AT 21.6N 128.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 23.0N 127.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 24.7N 126.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 29.5N 125.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 35.8N 129.8E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 031200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031200UTC 21.6N 128.8E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM
FORECAST
24HF 041200UTC 24.7N 126.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 051200UTC 29.5N 125.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 061200UTC 35.8N 129.8E 220NM 70.
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 071200UTC 42.8N 144.1E 300NM 70.
MOVE NE 33KT
120HF 081200UTC 44.6N 159.1E 350NM 70.
MOVE E 27KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 031200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031200UTC 21.6N 128.8E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM
FORECAST
24HF 041200UTC 24.7N 126.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 051200UTC 29.5N 125.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 061200UTC 35.8N 129.8E 220NM 70.
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 030900
WARNING 030900.
WARNING VALID 040900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 940 HPA
AT 21.2N 129.0E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 22.5N 127.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040900UTC AT 24.1N 126.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 030900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030900UTC 21.2N 129.0E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 400NM
FORECAST
24HF 040900UTC 24.1N 126.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 050600UTC 27.9N 125.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 060600UTC 33.9N 127.0E 180NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 030900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181003080452
2018100306 30W KONG-REY 022 01 325 08 SATL 020
T000 208N 1292E 105 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 135 SE QD 105 SW QD 125 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 230 SE QD 190 SW QD 220 NW QD
T012 223N 1281E 095 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 240 SE QD 205 SW QD 260 NW QD
T024 240N 1270E 085 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 230 SE QD 240 SW QD 300 NW QD
T036 258N 1261E 080 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 230 SE QD 230 SW QD 280 NW QD
T048 281N 1257E 075 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 230 SE QD 220 SW QD 230 NW QD
T072 341N 1282E 070 R064 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 220 SE QD 210 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 412N 1393E 045 R034 190 NE QD 270 SE QD 270 SW QD 150 NW QD
T120 463N 1531E 040 R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 270 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 022
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 20.8N 129.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 129.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.3N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.8N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 28.1N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 34.1N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 41.2N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 46.3N 153.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 128.9E.
TYPHOON (TY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 351
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100300 201N1297E 120
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
3018100306 208N1292E 105
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 20.8N 129.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 129.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.3N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.8N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 28.1N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 34.1N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 41.2N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 46.3N 153.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 128.9E.
TYPHOON (TY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 351
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 20.8N, 129.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE EYE BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE
AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 030600
WARNING 030600.
WARNING VALID 040600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 940 HPA
AT 20.8N 129.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 22.1N 128.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 23.7N 127.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 27.9N 125.4E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 33.9N 127.0E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030600UTC 20.8N 129.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM
FORECAST
24HF 040600UTC 23.7N 127.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 050600UTC 27.9N 125.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 060600UTC 33.9N 127.0E 180NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 070600UTC 41.7N 140.3E 260NM 70.
MOVE NE 31KT
120HF 080600UTC 44.7N 155.6E 350NM 70.
MOVE ENE 31KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030600UTC 20.8N 129.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM
FORECAST
24HF 040600UTC 23.7N 127.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 050600UTC 27.9N 125.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 060600UTC 33.9N 127.0E 180NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 030300
WARNING 030300.
WARNING VALID 040300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 935 HPA
AT 20.4N 129.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 21.7N 128.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040300UTC AT 23.3N 127.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 030300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030300UTC 20.4N 129.5E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM NORTHWEST 350NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 040300UTC 23.3N 127.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 050000UTC 26.4N 125.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 060000UTC 32.0N 125.9E 180NM 70.
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 030300
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181003022529
2018100300 30W KONG-REY 021 01 310 09 SATL 010
T000 201N 1297E 125 R064 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 225 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 210 NW QD
T012 215N 1285E 115 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 190 SW QD 230 NW QD
T024 231N 1275E 095 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 230 SW QD 260 NW QD
T036 248N 1265E 080 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 220 SW QD 260 NW QD
T048 268N 1259E 075 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 240 NW QD
T072 325N 1267E 070 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 200 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 394N 1347E 045 R034 210 NE QD 250 SE QD 250 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 451N 1482E 035 R034 030 NE QD 160 SE QD 210 SW QD 030 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 021
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 021
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 30W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 129.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 129.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.5N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.1N 127.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.8N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.8N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 32.5N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 39.4N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 45.1N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 129.4E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 398 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100218 195N1304E 130
3018100300 201N1297E 125
3018100300 201N1297E 125
3018100300 201N1297E 125
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 021
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 30W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 129.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 129.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.5N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.1N 127.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.8N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.8N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 32.5N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 39.4N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 45.1N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 129.4E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 398 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z
IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 20.1N, 129.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND THE EYE
IN MICROWAVE IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE EYE BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE
AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL
FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 030000
WARNING 030000.
WARNING VALID 040000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 935 HPA
AT 20.1N 129.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 21.4N 128.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.9N 127.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 26.4N 125.6E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 32.0N 125.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030000UTC 20.1N 129.8E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM NORTHWEST 350NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 040000UTC 22.9N 127.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 050000UTC 26.4N 125.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 060000UTC 32.0N 125.9E 180NM 70.
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 070000UTC 38.8N 134.4E 260NM 70.
MOVE NE 24KT
120HF 080000UTC 44.9N 151.4E 350NM 70.
MOVE ENE 35KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030000UTC 20.1N 129.8E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM NORTHWEST 350NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 040000UTC 22.9N 127.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 050000UTC 26.4N 125.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 060000UTC 32.0N 125.9E 180NM 70.
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 022100
WARNING 022100.
WARNING VALID 032100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 19.8N 130.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 21.2N 128.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 22.4N 127.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 022100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 022100UTC 19.8N 130.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 350NM
FORECAST
24HF 032100UTC 22.4N 127.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 041800UTC 25.4N 126.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 051800UTC 30.2N 125.5E 140NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 19.5N 130.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 130.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.9N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.3N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.9N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.7N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 30.3N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 36.4N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 42.7N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 19.8N 130.1E.
SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 444 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 021800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 19.5N, 130.4E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER
SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. S-NPP/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 19.5N, 130.4E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER
SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. S-NPP/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND GOOD
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 021800
WARNING 021800.
WARNING VALID 031800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 19.5N 130.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 20.9N 129.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 22.2N 127.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 25.4N 126.0E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 30.2N 125.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021800UTC 19.5N 130.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 350NM
FORECAST
24HF 031800UTC 22.2N 127.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 041800UTC 25.4N 126.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 051800UTC 30.2N 125.5E 140NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 061800UTC 36.0N 130.2E 260NM 70.
MOVE NNE 18KT
120HF 071800UTC 44.2N 145.0E 350NM 70.
MOVE NE 35KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021800UTC 19.5N 130.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 350NM
FORECAST
24HF 031800UTC 22.2N 127.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 041800UTC 25.4N 126.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 051800UTC 30.2N 125.5E 140NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 021500
WARNING 021500.
WARNING VALID 031500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 19.3N 130.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 20.6N 129.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
920 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 21.8N 128.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 021500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021500UTC 19.3N 130.8E GOOD
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 350NM
FORECAST
24HF 031500UTC 21.8N 128.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 041200UTC 23.9N 126.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 051200UTC 28.1N 125.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 021500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181002134448
2018100212 30W KONG-REY 019 01 315 10 SATL 020
T000 189N 1312E 135 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 180 SE QD 135 SW QD 180 NW QD
T012 202N 1298E 125 R064 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 200 NW QD
T024 215N 1285E 110 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 229N 1274E 095 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 200 SE QD 200 SW QD 250 NW QD
T048 244N 1264E 090 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 200 SE QD 220 SW QD 250 NW QD
T072 283N 1254E 085 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 175 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 339N 1274E 070 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 210 SE QD 220 SW QD 220 NW QD
T120 401N 1355E 055 R050 010 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 310 SE QD 260 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 019
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 18.9N 131.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 131.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.2N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.5N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.9N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.4N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 28.3N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 33.9N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 40.1N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 130.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
493 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
3018100212 189N1312E 135
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 021500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 18.9N 131.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 131.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.2N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.5N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.9N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.4N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 28.3N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 33.9N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 40.1N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 130.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
493 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 18.8N, 131.3E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 021200
WARNING 021200.
WARNING VALID 031200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 18.8N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 21.3N 128.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 23.9N 126.6E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 28.1N 125.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021200UTC 18.8N 131.3E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 031200UTC 21.3N 128.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 041200UTC 23.9N 126.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 051200UTC 28.1N 125.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 061200UTC 33.5N 127.0E 260NM 70.
MOVE N 14KT
120HF 071200UTC 41.9N 139.4E 350NM 70.
MOVE NE 32KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021200UTC 18.8N 131.3E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 031200UTC 21.3N 128.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 041200UTC 23.9N 126.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 051200UTC 28.1N 125.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 020900
WARNING 020900.
WARNING VALID 030900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 18.6N 131.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 21.1N 129.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 020900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020900UTC 18.6N 131.8E GOOD
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 030900UTC 21.1N 129.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
45HF 040600UTC 23.0N 127.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
69HF 050600UTC 26.8N 125.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 020900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181002080104
2018100206 30W KONG-REY 018 01 310 09 SATL 020
T000 182N 1320E 140 R064 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 190 SE QD 145 SW QD 185 NW QD
T012 194N 1306E 135 R064 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 170 SW QD 200 NW QD
T024 207N 1292E 125 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 220N 1280E 110 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 235N 1268E 095 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 220 SW QD 260 NW QD
T072 272N 1253E 080 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 210 NW QD
T096 323N 1262E 070 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 220 SE QD 210 SW QD 210 NW QD
T120 379N 1321E 060 R050 020 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 260 SE QD 240 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 018
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 132.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 132.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.4N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.7N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.0N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 27.2N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 32.3N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 37.9N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 131.7E.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
550 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND 030900Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100200 176N1327E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
3018100206 182N1320E 140
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 020900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 132.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 132.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.4N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.7N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.0N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 27.2N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 32.3N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 37.9N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 131.7E.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
550 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND 030900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 020600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 18.1N, 132.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND REDUCED TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE
AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER BECAUSE
THE POLEWARD-TURN FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND
REDUCED TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 020600
WARNING 020600.
WARNING VALID 030600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 18.1N 132.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 20.5N 129.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 23.0N 127.0E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 26.8N 125.4E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 020600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020600UTC 18.1N 132.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 030600UTC 20.5N 129.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 040600UTC 23.0N 127.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 050600UTC 26.8N 125.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 060600UTC 32.2N 125.7E 260NM 70.
MOVE N 14KT
120HF 070600UTC 39.1N 134.3E 350NM 70.
MOVE NE 25KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 020600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020600UTC 18.1N 132.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 030600UTC 20.5N 129.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 040600UTC 23.0N 127.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 050600UTC 26.8N 125.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 020300
WARNING 020300.
WARNING VALID 030300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 17.8N 132.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 20.1N 129.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 020300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020300UTC 17.8N 132.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 030300UTC 20.1N 129.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
45HF 040000UTC 22.5N 127.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 050000UTC 25.8N 125.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 17.6N 132.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 132.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.7N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.0N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.6N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.9N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 30.7N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 35.6N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 132.3E.
SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 599 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
020000Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND
030300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 020000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 17.7N, 132.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND REDUCED TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER BECAUSE THE POLEWARD-TURN FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 020000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 17.7N, 132.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND REDUCED TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER BECAUSE THE POLEWARD-TURN FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP
AND DRY AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 020000
WARNING 020000.
WARNING VALID 030000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 17.7N 132.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 19.9N 129.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.5N 127.4E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 25.8N 125.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 020000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020000UTC 17.7N 132.7E GOOD
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 030000UTC 19.9N 129.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 040000UTC 22.5N 127.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 050000UTC 25.8N 125.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
96HF 060000UTC 30.0N 124.5E 240NM 70.
MOVE N 11KT
120HF 070000UTC 34.9N 128.7E 350NM 70.
MOVE NNE 15KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 020000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020000UTC 17.7N 132.7E GOOD
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 030000UTC 19.9N 129.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 040000UTC 22.5N 127.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 050000UTC 25.8N 125.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 012100
WARNING 012100.
WARNING VALID 022100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 17.5N 133.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 19.7N 130.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 012100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 012100UTC 17.5N 133.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 022100UTC 19.7N 130.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
45HF 031800UTC 21.8N 127.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 041800UTC 24.5N 125.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 012100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181001200216
2018100118 30W KONG-REY 016 01 305 09 SATL 015
T000 173N 1336E 135 R064 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 165 SE QD 140 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 184N 1320E 140 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T024 197N 1304E 140 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 209N 1291E 125 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 230 NW QD
T048 221N 1278E 110 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 210 SW QD 260 NW QD
T072 248N 1253E 090 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 235 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 288N 1242E 080 R064 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 240 SW QD 220 NW QD
T120 337N 1266E 070 R064 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 200 SE QD 210 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 016
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 016
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 30W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 17.3N 133.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 133.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.4N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.7N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.9N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.1N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.8N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 28.8N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 33.7N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 133.2E.
SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 639 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
3018100118 173N1336E 135
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 012100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 016
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 30W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 17.3N 133.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 133.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.4N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.7N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.9N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.1N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.8N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 28.8N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 33.7N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 133.2E.
SUPER TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 639 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z
IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 011800
WARNING 011800.
WARNING VALID 021800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 915 HPA
AT 17.2N 133.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 19.3N 130.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 21.8N 127.8E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 24.5N 125.6E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 011800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 17.2N, 133.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL
FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 011800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 17.2N 133.7E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 021800UTC 19.3N 130.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 031800UTC 21.8N 127.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 041800UTC 24.5N 125.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 051800UTC 28.3N 123.9E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
120HF 061800UTC 33.0N 125.9E 290NM 70.
MOVE NNE 13KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 011800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 17.2N 133.7E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 021800UTC 19.3N 130.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 031800UTC 21.8N 127.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 041800UTC 24.5N 125.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 011500
WARNING 011500.
WARNING VALID 021500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 925 HPA
AT 17.0N 134.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 19.1N 130.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 011500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011500UTC 17.0N 134.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 021500UTC 19.1N 130.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
45HF 031200UTC 21.1N 128.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 041200UTC 23.6N 126.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 011500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181001131705
2018100112 30W KONG-REY 015 01 310 10 SATL 010
T000 168N 1344E 125 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 179N 1330E 135 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T024 189N 1315E 135 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 201N 1302E 125 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 230 NW QD
T048 213N 1288E 110 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 210 SW QD 260 NW QD
T072 239N 1264E 090 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 235 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 273N 1246E 085 R064 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 240 SW QD 220 NW QD
T120 323N 1250E 075 R064 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 200 SE QD 210 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 015
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 16.8N 134.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 134.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.1N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.9N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 27.3N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 32.3N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 134.1E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 488 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
3018100112 168N1344E 125
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 16.8N 134.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 134.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.1N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.9N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 27.3N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 32.3N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 134.1E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 488 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 011200
WARNING 011200.
WARNING VALID 021200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 935 HPA
AT 16.8N 134.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 18.9N 131.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 21.1N 128.8E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 23.6N 126.4E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 16.8N, 134.4E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 16.8N 134.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 021200UTC 18.9N 131.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 031200UTC 21.1N 128.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 041200UTC 23.6N 126.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 051200UTC 27.1N 124.4E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
120HF 061200UTC 31.2N 124.2E 290NM 70.
MOVE N 10KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 16.8N 134.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 021200UTC 18.9N 131.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 031200UTC 21.1N 128.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 041200UTC 23.6N 126.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 010900
WARNING 010900.
WARNING VALID 020900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 940 HPA
AT 16.5N 134.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 85 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 17.5N 133.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 18.6N 132.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 010900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010900UTC 16.5N 134.9E GOOD
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 85NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 020900UTC 18.6N 132.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 030600UTC 20.7N 129.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 040600UTC 22.9N 126.9E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 010900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181001073504
2018100106 30W KONG-REY 014 01 305 08 SATL 015
T000 161N 1352E 110 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 172N 1337E 125 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 182N 1323E 130 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 210 NW QD
T036 193N 1309E 125 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 230 NW QD
T048 205N 1295E 110 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 240 NW QD
T072 229N 1269E 085 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 250 SW QD 290 NW QD
T096 262N 1249E 080 R064 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 250 SW QD 240 NW QD
T120 301N 1240E 070 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 210 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 16.1N 135.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 135.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.2N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.2N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.3N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.5N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 22.9N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 26.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 30.1N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 134.8E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 431 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018093018 153N1364E 90
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100100 156N1359E 95
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
3018100106 161N1352E 110
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 16.1N 135.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 135.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.2N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.2N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.3N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.5N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 22.9N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 26.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 30.1N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 134.8E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 431 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 010600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 135.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 135.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 010600
WARNING 010600.
WARNING VALID 020600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 950 HPA
AT 16.1N 135.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 17.1N 133.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 18.2N 132.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 20.7N 129.4E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 22.9N 126.9E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010600UTC 16.1N 135.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 75NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 020600UTC 18.2N 132.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 030600UTC 20.7N 129.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 040600UTC 22.9N 126.9E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 050600UTC 26.0N 125.2E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
120HF 060600UTC 29.4N 123.3E 290NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010600UTC 16.1N 135.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 75NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 020600UTC 18.2N 132.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 030600UTC 20.7N 129.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 040600UTC 22.9N 126.9E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 010300
WARNING 010300.
WARNING VALID 020300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 955 HPA
AT 15.9N 135.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 16.9N 134.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 18.0N 132.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 010300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010300UTC 15.9N 135.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 75NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 020300UTC 18.0N 132.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 030000UTC 20.0N 130.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 040000UTC 22.1N 127.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 010300
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 181001010757
2018100100 30W KONG-REY 013 01 300 06 SATL 010
T000 158N 1359E 095 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 105 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 169N 1344E 110 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 179N 1330E 125 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 200 NW QD
T036 189N 1315E 130 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 220 NW QD
T048 201N 1301E 120 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 240 NW QD
T072 225N 1276E 085 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 240 SW QD 280 NW QD
T096 254N 1254E 075 R064 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 250 SW QD 260 NW QD
T120 294N 1243E 065 R064 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 15.8N 135.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 135.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.9N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.1N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.5N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.4N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 29.4N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 135.5E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 785 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z
IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 155N1364E 90
3018093018 155N1364E 90
3018093018 155N1364E 90
3018100100 158N1359E 95
3018100100 158N1359E 95
3018100100 158N1359E 95
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 010000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 15.6N, 135.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL
FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 010000
WARNING 010000.
WARNING VALID 020000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 965 HPA
AT 15.6N 135.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 16.6N 134.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 17.7N 133.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 20.0N 130.1E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.1N 127.6E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 010000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010000UTC 15.6N 135.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 020000UTC 17.7N 133.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 030000UTC 20.0N 130.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 040000UTC 22.1N 127.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 050000UTC 24.8N 125.6E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
120HF 060000UTC 27.9N 123.3E 290NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 010000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010000UTC 15.6N 135.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 020000UTC 17.7N 133.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 030000UTC 20.0N 130.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 040000UTC 22.1N 127.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 302100
WARNING 302100.
WARNING VALID 012100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 965 HPA
AT 15.5N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 16.5N 134.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 17.5N 133.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 302100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 302100UTC 15.5N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 012100UTC 17.5N 133.5E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 021800UTC 19.5N 130.7E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 031800UTC 21.7N 128.1E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 302100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180930190305
2018093018 30W KONG-REY 012 02 310 10 SATL 015
T000 155N 1364E 090 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 180 NW QD
T012 166N 1350E 110 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 176N 1335E 125 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 186N 1320E 130 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 170 SW QD 200 NW QD
T048 197N 1305E 120 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 210 NW QD
T072 219N 1277E 105 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 230 SW QD 270 NW QD
T096 244N 1254E 090 R064 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 250 SW QD 270 NW QD
T120 276N 1233E 075 R064 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 240 SE QD 240 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 15.5N 136.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 136.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.6N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.6N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.6N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.7N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.9N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.4N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 27.6N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 136.1E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 816 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z
IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.
UPDATES.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093018 155N1364E 90
3018093018 155N1364E 90
3018093018 155N1364E 90
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 15.5N 136.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 136.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.6N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.6N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.6N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.7N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.9N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.4N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 27.6N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 136.1E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 816 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 27
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 15.4N, 136.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 301800
WARNING 301800.
WARNING VALID 011800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 965 HPA
AT 15.4N 136.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 16.5N 135.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 17.5N 133.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 19.5N 130.7E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 21.7N 128.1E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 15.4N 136.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 011800UTC 17.5N 133.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 021800UTC 19.5N 130.7E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 031800UTC 21.7N 128.1E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 041800UTC 24.3N 126.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
120HF 051800UTC 28.1N 124.4E 290NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 15.4N 136.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 011800UTC 17.5N 133.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 021800UTC 19.5N 130.7E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 031800UTC 21.7N 128.1E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 301500
WARNING 301500.
WARNING VALID 011500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 970 HPA
AT 15.2N 136.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 16.2N 135.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 17.0N 134.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 301500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301500UTC 15.2N 136.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 011500UTC 17.0N 134.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 021200UTC 18.8N 131.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 031200UTC 20.8N 128.7E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 301500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180930135408
2018093012 30W KONG-REY 011 02 305 08 SATL 030
T000 149N 1372E 070 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 159N 1358E 080 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 168N 1344E 100 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 179N 1328E 115 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 189N 1313E 120 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 170 SW QD 220 NW QD
T072 212N 1285E 105 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 270 NW QD
T096 235N 1261E 090 R064 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 240 SW QD 290 NW QD
T120 268N 1243E 075 R064 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 220 SW QD 220 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 137.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 137.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 15.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.8N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.9N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.2N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.5N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 26.8N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 136.9E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 328 NM NORTH OF
YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093000 138N1386E 60
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093006 144N1379E 65
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
3018093012 149N1372E 70
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 137.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 137.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 15.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.8N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.9N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.2N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.5N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 26.8N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 136.9E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 328 NM NORTH OF
YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 15.0N, 137.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE
ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 301200
WARNING 301200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 970 HPA
AT 15.0N 137.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 16.0N 135.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 16.9N 134.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 18.8N 131.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 20.8N 128.7E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 15.0N 137.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 011200UTC 16.9N 134.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 021200UTC 18.8N 131.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 031200UTC 20.8N 128.7E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 041200UTC 22.9N 126.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
120HF 051200UTC 26.2N 123.9E 290NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 15.0N 137.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 011200UTC 16.9N 134.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 021200UTC 18.8N 131.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 031200UTC 20.8N 128.7E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 300900
WARNING 300900.
WARNING VALID 010900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 975 HPA
AT 15.0N 137.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 16.1N 136.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 17.1N 134.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 300900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300900UTC 15.0N 137.4E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 010900UTC 17.1N 134.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 020600UTC 18.3N 132.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 030600UTC 20.5N 129.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 010
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 14.4N 137.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 137.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 15.4N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.4N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.5N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.6N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 21.0N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.8N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 27.1N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 137.6E.
TYPHOON 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 288 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF ULITHI, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 14.5N, 138.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 300600
WARNING 300600.
WARNING VALID 010600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 975 HPA
AT 14.5N 138.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 15.7N 136.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 16.8N 135.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 18.3N 132.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 20.5N 129.4E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300600UTC 14.5N 138.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 010600UTC 16.8N 135.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 020600UTC 18.3N 132.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 030600UTC 20.5N 129.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 040600UTC 22.6N 126.9E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
120HF 050600UTC 25.4N 124.9E 290NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300600UTC 14.5N 138.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 010600UTC 16.8N 135.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 020600UTC 18.3N 132.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 030600UTC 20.5N 129.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 300300
WARNING 300300.
WARNING VALID 010300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975
HPA
AT 14.1N 138.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 15.1N 137.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 16.2N 135.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 300300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300300UTC 14.1N 138.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 010300UTC 16.2N 135.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 020000UTC 17.5N 133.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 030000UTC 19.8N 130.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 300300
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180930013609
2018093000 30W KONG-REY 009 02 290 11 SATL 025
T000 138N 1384E 060 R050 070 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 148N 1370E 075 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 157N 1358E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 168N 1344E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 179N 1328E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 204N 1300E 115 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 230 NW QD
T096 229N 1277E 095 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 230 SW QD 270 NW QD
T120 262N 1258E 080 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 220 SE QD 250 SW QD 290 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 13.8N 138.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 138.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 14.8N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 15.7N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.8N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.4N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.9N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.2N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 138.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1013 NM EAST
OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z
IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.
UPDATES.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018092918 134N1395E 55
3018093000 138N1384E 60
3018093000 138N1384E 60
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 13.8N 138.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 138.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 14.8N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 15.7N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.8N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 17.9N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.4N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.9N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.2N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 138.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1013 NM EAST
OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z
IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 13.5N, 139.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 300000
WARNING 300000.
WARNING VALID 010000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 980 HPA
AT 13.5N 139.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 14.4N 137.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 15.6N 136.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 17.5N 133.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 19.8N 130.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300000UTC 13.5N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 010000UTC 15.6N 136.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 020000UTC 17.5N 133.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 030000UTC 19.8N 130.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 040000UTC 21.9N 127.6E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
120HF 050000UTC 24.2N 125.6E 290NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300000UTC 13.5N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 010000UTC 15.6N 136.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 020000UTC 17.5N 133.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 030000UTC 19.8N 130.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 292100
WARNING 292100.
WARNING VALID 302100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 990 HPA
AT 13.3N 139.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 14.1N 138.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 15.3N 137.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 292100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 292100UTC 13.3N 139.3E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 302100UTC 15.3N 137.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 011800UTC 16.9N 134.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 021800UTC 19.2N 131.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 292100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180929194216
2018092918 30W KONG-REY 008 02 285 15 SATL 020
T000 133N 1391E 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 085 SE QD 050 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 142N 1374E 065 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 151N 1362E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 162N 1349E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 173N 1334E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 197N 1309E 125 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 230 NW QD
T096 222N 1284E 110 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 210 SW QD 260 NW QD
T120 252N 1263E 095 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 220 SE QD 240 SW QD 290 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 13.3N 139.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 139.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.2N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 15.1N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.2N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.3N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.7N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.2N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.2N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 13.5N 138.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1015 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 40
3018092918 133N1391E 55
3018092918 133N1391E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 13.3N 139.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 139.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.2N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 15.1N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.2N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.3N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 19.7N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.2N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.2N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 13.5N 138.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1050 NM EAST OF
MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 18
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER
TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 13.2N, 139.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 291800
WARNING 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 990 HPA
AT 13.2N 139.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 13.9N 138.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 14.8N 137.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 16.9N 134.4E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 19.2N 131.4E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 13.2N 139.7E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 14.8N 137.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 011800UTC 16.9N 134.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 021800UTC 19.2N 131.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 031800UTC 21.5N 128.4E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
120HF 041800UTC 23.4N 126.0E 290NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 13.2N 139.7E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 14.8N 137.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 011800UTC 16.9N 134.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 021800UTC 19.2N 131.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 12.9N 140.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 140.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 13.6N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 14.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 15.5N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.6N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.8N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.5N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 140.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 186 NM NORTH
OF FAIS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 291500
WARNING 291500.
WARNING VALID 301500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 996 HPA
AT 12.8N 140.5E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 13.3N 138.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 14.3N 137.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 291500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291500UTC 12.8N 140.5E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 301500UTC 14.3N 137.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 011200UTC 16.4N 135.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 021200UTC 18.5N 132.2E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 291500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180929135532
2018092912 30W KONG-REY 007 02 280 15 SATL 045
T000 129N 1406E 035 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 136N 1384E 045 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 144N 1370E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 155N 1356E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 166N 1344E 080 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 188N 1318E 100 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 210 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 213N 1291E 115 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 250 NW QD
T120 235N 1271E 095 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 210 SW QD 260 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 12.9N 140.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 140.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 13.6N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 14.4N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 15.5N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 16.6N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.8N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.5N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 140.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 186 NM NORTH
OF FAIS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
3018092900 124N1442E 35
3018092906 127N1421E 35
3018092912 129N1406E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 291200
WARNING 291200.
WARNING VALID 301200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1825 KONG-REY (1825) 996 HPA
AT 12.8N 141.5E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 13.3N 139.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 14.3N 138.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 16.4N 135.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 18.5N 132.2E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 290600
WARNING 290600.
WARNING VALID 300600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 12.6N 142.6E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 13.4N 139.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 14.1N 138.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 15.6N 136.2E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 17.9N 133.0E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS KONG-REY IS LOCATED AT 12.8N, 141.5E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE FORMATION OF A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 12.8N 141.5E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 301200UTC 14.3N 138.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 011200UTC 16.4N 135.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 021200UTC 18.5N 132.2E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 031200UTC 20.8N 129.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
120HF 041200UTC 22.5N 126.6E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 12.8N 141.5E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 301200UTC 14.3N 138.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 011200UTC 16.4N 135.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 021200UTC 18.5N 132.2E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 290900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290900UTC 12.8N 142.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 19KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 300900UTC 14.2N 138.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 010600UTC 15.6N 136.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 020600UTC 17.9N 133.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 142.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 142.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 13.5N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.5N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 15.3N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.2N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.5N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 21.0N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.2N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 141.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 152 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS (KONG-REY) STATUS. TS KONG-REY
IS LOCATED AT 12.6N, 142.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION
IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290600UTC 12.6N 142.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 20KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 300600UTC 14.1N 138.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 010600UTC 15.6N 136.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 020600UTC 17.9N 133.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 030600UTC 20.0N 130.1E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
120HF 040600UTC 21.8N 127.7E 290NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1825 KONG-REY (1825) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290600UTC 12.6N 142.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 20KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 300600UTC 14.1N 138.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 010600UTC 15.6N 136.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 020600UTC 17.9N 133.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 290300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 12.4N 144.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 144.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 13.5N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 14.4N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 15.3N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 16.0N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.2N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.8N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.4N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 143.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 79 NM SOUTH OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12
FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z. REFER TO
TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 282100
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180928193237
2018092818 30W THIRTY 004 02 320 23 SATL 025
T000 112N 1465E 035 R034 080 NE QD 065 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 126N 1435E 045 R034 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 139N 1409E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 149N 1390E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 160N 1376E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 179N 1351E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 203N 1324E 120 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 228N 1299E 100 R064 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 210 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 11.2N 146.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 146.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 12.6N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 13.9N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.9N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 16.0N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.9N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 20.3N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.8N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 145.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 177 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 23
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.
UPDATES.//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
3018092818 112N1465E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 11.2N 146.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 146.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 12.6N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 13.9N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.9N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 16.0N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.9N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 20.3N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.8N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 145.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 177 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 23
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 281500
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180928141140
2018092812 30W THIRTY 003 02 305 18 SATL 045
T000 095N 1480E 030
T012 114N 1450E 035 R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 129N 1424E 045 R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 141N 1402E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 154N 1385E 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 177N 1356E 090 R064 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD
T096 201N 1328E 105 R064 055 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 229N 1300E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 9.5N 148.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 148.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 11.4N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 12.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 14.1N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 15.4N 138.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 17.7N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 20.1N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 22.9N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 10.0N 147.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 311 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM,
HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z
AND 291500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
3018092812 95N1480E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 9.5N 148.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 148.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 11.4N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 12.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 14.1N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 15.4N 138.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 17.7N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 20.1N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 22.9N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 10.0N 147.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 311 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM,
HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z
AND 291500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180928084203
2018092806 30W THIRTY 002 02 310 20 SATL 045
T000 085N 1495E 025
T012 104N 1467E 035 R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 120N 1441E 045 R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 133N 1416E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 147N 1397E 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 170N 1365E 090 R064 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD
T096 195N 1333E 105 R064 055 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 222N 1305E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 8.5N 149.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 149.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 10.4N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 12.0N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 13.3N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.7N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 17.0N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 19.5N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 22.2N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 148.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 413 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM,
HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z
IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z
AND 290900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
3018092806 85N1495E 25
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 8.5N 149.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 149.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 10.4N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 12.0N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 13.3N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 14.7N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 17.0N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 19.5N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 22.2N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 148.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 413 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM,
HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z
IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z
AND 290900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 7.2N 151.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N 151.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.3N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 11.0N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 12.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 13.8N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 16.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.0N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.1N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 7.7N 150.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 531 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 8
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 28W (TRAMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 30W NWP 180928023433
2018092800 30W THIRTY 001 03 265 18 SATL 060
T000 072N 1510E 025
T012 093N 1480E 035 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 110N 1453E 045 R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 125N 1428E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 138N 1404E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 163N 1373E 090 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 180N 1340E 105 R064 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 201N 1307E 115 R064 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 001
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 7.2N 151.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N 151.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.3N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 11.0N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 12.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 13.8N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 16.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.0N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.1N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 7.7N 150.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 531 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
3018092418 84N1581E 15
3018092500 81N1578E 15
3018092506 78N1575E 15
3018092512 67N1577E 15
3018092518 57N1578E 15
3018092600 44N1577E 15
3018092606 36N1567E 20
3018092612 37N1563E 20
3018092618 43N1561E 20
3018092700 50N1556E 20
3018092706 53N1549E 20
3018092712 60N1540E 20
3018092718 73N1528E 20
3018092800 72N1510E 25
NNNN