Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GAJA-18
in India

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 182100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118193938
2018111818 07B GAJA 033 01 235 07 SATL 060
T000 105N 0678E 025
T012 108N 0661E 025
T024 110N 0641E 025
AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 67.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 67.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.8N 66.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.0N 64.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 67.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 789 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 182100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118193938
2018111818 07B GAJA 033 01 235 07 SATL 060
T000 105N 0678E 025
T012 108N 0661E 025
T024 110N 0641E 025
AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 67.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 67.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.8N 66.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.0N 64.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 67.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 789 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z
IS 10 FEET.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 98N 728E 40
0718111712 100N 716E 40
0718111718 104N 705E 35
0718111800 105N 696E 35
0718111806 106N 690E 40
0718111812 109N 684E 40
0718111818 105N 678E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 182100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 67.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 67.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.8N 66.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.0N 64.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 67.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 789 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DIMINISHING, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE
NORTH OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 181710Z
ASCAT PASS REVEALED A COMPACT CIRCULATION WITH ONLY 15 KT WINDS
WRAPPED AROUND THE LLCC, AND A SMALL AREA OF 20 KT WINDS JUST NORTH

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 67.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 67.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.8N 66.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.0N 64.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 67.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 789 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DIMINISHING, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE
NORTH OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 181710Z
ASCAT PASS REVEALED A COMPACT CIRCULATION WITH ONLY 15 KT WINDS
WRAPPED AROUND THE LLCC, AND A SMALL AREA OF 20 KT WINDS JUST NORTH
OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KTS IS BASED ON THE
AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS AND THE DECOUPLING OF CONVECTION FROM THE
LLCC. THIS IS BELOW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0 (30
KTS) FROM PGTW AND T3.0 (45 KTS) FROM KNES, ALTHOUGH THOSE FIXES
WERE TRACKING THE CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTH AND ARE
NORTH OF THE JTWC 181800Z BEST TRACK POSITION. ADDITIONALLY, A
181500Z BUOY OBSERVATION 60NM TO THE NNE REPORTED 14 KT WINDS AND
1008 MB ENVIRONMENTAL PRESSURE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED
OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, AND ALONG WITH DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT HAS LED TO
THE DRASTIC WEAKENING AND DISORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE LLCC
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD IN LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW, WHILE
THE DECOUPLED CONVECTION IS NOW SUBJECT TO NORTHWESTWARD UPPER LEVEL
STEERING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME EVEN MORE UNFAVORABLE
AS THE DISSIPATED TC 07B TRACKS WESTWARD, WITH DRIER AIR, INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND DECREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW TO SUSTAIN ANY
REMAINING CONVECTION, AND REGENERATION IS NOT EXPECTED. THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED CLOSE TO THE NUMERICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE JTWC
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 10 FEET.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 181500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118133319
2018111812 07B GAJA 032 01 295 07 SATL 060
T000 109N 0684E 040 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 112N 0667E 040 R034 060 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 114N 0650E 040 R034 060 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 115N 0632E 035 R034 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 115N 0615E 035 R034 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 111N 0592E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 68.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 68.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.2N 66.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 181500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 68.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 68.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.2N 66.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.4N 65.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 181500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118133319
2018111812 07B GAJA 032 01 295 07 SATL 060
T000 109N 0684E 040 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 112N 0667E 040 R034 060 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 114N 0650E 040 R034 060 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 115N 0632E 035 R034 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 115N 0615E 035 R034 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 111N 0592E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 68.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 68.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.2N 66.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.4N 65.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.5N 63.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 11.5N 61.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 11.1N 59.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 68.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 795 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z, 190900Z AND 191500Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 98N 728E 40
0718111712 100N 716E 40
0718111718 104N 705E 35
0718111800 105N 696E 35
0718111806 106N 690E 40
0718111812 109N 684E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 181500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 68.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 68.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.2N 66.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.4N 65.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.5N 63.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 11.5N 61.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 11.1N 59.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 68.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 795 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING LOOSELY INTO A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). A 181220Z NOAA-19 MHS 89GHZ IMAGE INDICATES AN ILL-
DEFINED LLCC POSITIONED JUST SOUTH OF THE LOOSELY ORGANIZED
CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS ASSESSED AT 40 KNOTS BASED
ON AN AVERAGE OF DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 2.5
(35 KNOTS) TO 3.0 (45 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW OFFSET BY WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TC 07B
WILL TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
NORTH. DUE TO ITS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 24 BEFORE GRADUALLY
WEAKENING DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND SLIGHTLY INCREASED VWS.
DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED BY TAU 72 AT WHICH TIME VWS WILL HAVE
INCREASED ABOVE 20 KNOTS. THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED CLOSE TO
AND SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE NUMERICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. MODEL
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE JTWC OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK WITH LOW UNCERTAINTY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 181200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z, 190900Z
AND 191500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 180900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 10.5N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.8N 67.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.0N 65.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 10.5N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.8N 67.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.0N 65.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.0N 63.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 11.1N 61.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 10.9N 59.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 68.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 832 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING LOOSELY INTO THE
CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY A 180459Z
ASCAT IMAGE THAT JUST BARELY CAPTURES THE LLCC. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS IN THE CENTER OF A RANGE OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK
ESTIMATES FROM T2.0 (30 KNOTS) TO T3.0 (45 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO
MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (28-30
DEGREES CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW
OFFSET BY WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TC 07B WILL TRACK WESTWARD
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW
TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. DUE TO ITS
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN
INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 24 BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING DUE TO DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT AND SLIGHTLY INCREASED VWS. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED BY
TAU 72 AT WHICH TIME VWS WILL HAVE INCREASED ABOVE 20 KNOTS. THE
JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED CLOSE TO AND SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE
NUMERICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
AND SUPPORTS THE JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK WITH LOW UNCERTAINTY.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z, 190300Z AND 190900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 180900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118083203
2018111806 07B GAJA 031 01 270 07 SATL 030
T000 105N 0689E 040 R034 035 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 108N 0670E 040 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 110N 0652E 040 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 110N 0634E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 111N 0617E 035 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 109N 0593E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 10.5N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.8N 67.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 180900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118083203
2018111806 07B GAJA 031 01 270 07 SATL 030
T000 105N 0689E 040 R034 035 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 108N 0670E 040 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 110N 0652E 040 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 110N 0634E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 111N 0617E 035 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 109N 0593E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 10.5N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.8N 67.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.0N 65.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.0N 63.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 11.1N 61.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 10.9N 59.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 68.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 832 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z, 190300Z AND 190900Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 98N 728E 40
0718111712 100N 716E 40
0718111718 104N 705E 35
0718111800 105N 696E 35
0718111806 105N 689E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 180300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118014243
2018111800 07B GAJA 030 01 275 09 SATL 060
T000 105N 0696E 035 R034 035 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 109N 0674E 035 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD
T024 110N 0656E 035 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 111N 0638E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 111N 0621E 035 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 110N 0588E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.9N 67.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 180300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.9N 67.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.0N 65.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 180300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181118014243
2018111800 07B GAJA 030 01 275 09 SATL 060
T000 105N 0696E 035 R034 035 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 109N 0674E 035 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD
T024 110N 0656E 035 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 111N 0638E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 111N 0621E 035 R034 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 110N 0588E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.9N 67.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.0N 65.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.1N 63.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.1N 62.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 11.0N 58.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 69.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 861 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 98N 728E 40
0718111712 100N 716E 40
0718111718 104N 705E 35
0718111800 105N 696E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 180300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.9N 67.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.0N 65.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.1N 63.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.1N 62.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 11.0N 58.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 69.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 861 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SUSTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION COVERING
A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 172330Z AMSU 89GHZ
IMAGE REVEALS DEEPENED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL
BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
MAINTAINED AT 35 KNOTS, BETWEEN THE KNES AND PGTW DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KTS) AND T2.0 (30 KTS). UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH
LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (28-
30 DEGREES CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW SUPPORTING THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. TC 07B WILL TRACK
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER
THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) TO THE NORTH. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT
AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. NAVGEM IS THE OUTLIER FOR INTENSITY GUIDANCE, AND
SHOWS INTENSIFICATION IN THE LATER TERM, WHILE OTHER MODELS
MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR ABOUT 48 HOURS THEN WEAKEN THE SYSTEM
UNDER INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THE
JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST PORTRAYS TC 07B MAINTAINING 35 KT WIND
SPEEDS, THEN DISSIPATING OVER WATER BY TAU 72, DUE TO DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT AND WEAKENING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z,
181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 172100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117192948
2018111718 07B GAJA 029 01 290 12 SATL 060
T000 104N 0705E 035 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 106N 0682E 035 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 109N 0664E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 111N 0644E 035 R034 080 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 111N 0627E 035 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 110N 0587E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 70.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 70.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.6N 68.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 172100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 70.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 70.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.6N 68.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.9N 66.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 172100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117192948
2018111718 07B GAJA 029 01 290 12 SATL 060
T000 104N 0705E 035 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 106N 0682E 035 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 109N 0664E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 111N 0644E 035 R034 080 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 111N 0627E 035 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 110N 0587E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 70.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 70.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.6N 68.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.9N 66.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.1N 64.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.1N 62.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 11.0N 58.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 69.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 904 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 180300Z, 180900Z, 181500Z AND 182100Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 98N 728E 40
0718111712 100N 716E 40
0718111718 104N 705E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 172100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 70.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 70.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.6N 68.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.9N 66.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.1N 64.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.1N 62.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 11.0N 58.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 69.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 904 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STRUGGLING CENTRAL CONVECTION
FLARING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 171625Z
AMSU 89GHZ IMAGE REVEALS THERE IS LITTLE REMAINING DEEP
CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND ONLY LOW LEVEL BANDING WRAPPING
INTO THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 35 KNOTS
BASED ON THE DIMINISHED DEEP CONVECTION, AND IS BETWEEN
MULTIAGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 2.0
(30 KNOTS) TO 3.0 (45 KNOTS). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (28-30 DEGREES CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND SOME POLEWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, DRY
AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
IS DIMINISHING, LEADING TO SLIGHT WEAKENING OVER THE LAST 6
HOURS. TC 07B WILL TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
TIGHT AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE. TC 07B SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND
WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
WATER BY TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS
10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z, 180900Z, 181500Z AND
182100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 171500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117131203
2018111712 07B GAJA 028 01 280 12 SATL 060
T000 100N 0716E 040
T012 103N 0696E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 104N 0675E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 105N 0653E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 105N 0632E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 104N 0593E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 10.0N 71.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 71.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.3N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.4N 67.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 171500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117131203
2018111712 07B GAJA 028 01 280 12 SATL 060
T000 100N 0716E 040
T012 103N 0696E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 104N 0675E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 105N 0653E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 105N 0632E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 104N 0593E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 10.0N 71.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 71.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.3N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.4N 67.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.5N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 10.5N 63.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 10.4N 59.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 71.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 968 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 98N 728E 40
0718111712 100N 716E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 171500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 10.0N 71.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 71.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.3N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.4N 67.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.5N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 10.0N 71.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 71.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.3N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.4N 67.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.5N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 10.5N 63.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 10.4N 59.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 71.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 968 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. A 171231Z SSMIS 91GHZ
IMAGE INDICATES SHALLOW CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD,
DEFINED LLCC WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 40 KNOTS BASED ON THE HIGH END OF
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 2.0 (30 KNOTS) TO
3.0 (45 KNOTS). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, SOUNDINGS FROM THIRUVANANTHAPURAM AND
COCHIN (AS WELL AS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY) INDICATE
SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS, WHICH IS HINDERING
DEVELOPMENT. TC 07B WILL TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS
THE JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. TC 07B SHOULD
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE
DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z,
180900Z AND 181500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 170900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117072458
2018111706 07B GAJA 027 01 270 12 SATL 045
T000 097N 0728E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 100N 0706E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 102N 0686E 040 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 103N 0666E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 104N 0643E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 103N 0604E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 9.7N 72.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 72.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.0N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 170900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 9.7N 72.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 72.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.0N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.2N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 9.7N 72.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 72.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.0N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.2N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.3N 66.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.4N 64.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 10.3N 60.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 72.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1033 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
FLARING, POORLY-ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. A 170443Z METOP-B 89GHZ
IMAGE INDICATES SHALLOW CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD,
DEFINED LLCC WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTH AND WEST
QUADRANTS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 40 KNOTS BASED ON AN
AVERAGE OF DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 2.5 (35
KNOTS) TO 3.0 (45 KNOTS). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, SOUNDINGS FROM THIRUVANANTHAPURAM
AND COCHIN (AS WELL AS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY) INDICATE
SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS, WHICH IS HINDERING
DEVELOPMENT. TC 07B WILL TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS
THE JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. TC 07B SHOULD
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE
DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z,
180300Z AND 180900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 170900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117072458
2018111706 07B GAJA 027 01 270 12 SATL 045
T000 097N 0728E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 100N 0706E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 102N 0686E 040 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 103N 0666E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 104N 0643E 035 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 103N 0604E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 9.7N 72.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 72.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.0N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.2N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.3N 66.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.4N 64.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 10.3N 60.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 72.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1033 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z, 180300Z AND 180900Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 97N 740E 45
0718111706 97N 728E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 170300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117014624
2018111700 07B GAJA 026 01 290 09 SATL 060
T000 100N 0743E 045 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 103N 0721E 045 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 107N 0698E 045 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 107N 0682E 040 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 107N 0658E 040 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 108N 0614E 035 R034 045 NE QD 010 SE QD 015 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 109N 0587E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 74.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 74.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 10.3N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 170300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 74.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 74.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 10.3N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.7N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 170300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181117014624
2018111700 07B GAJA 026 01 290 09 SATL 060
T000 100N 0743E 045 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 103N 0721E 045 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 107N 0698E 045 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 107N 0682E 040 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 107N 0658E 040 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 108N 0614E 035 R034 045 NE QD 010 SE QD 015 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 109N 0587E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 74.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 74.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 10.3N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.7N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.7N 68.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.7N 65.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 10.8N 61.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 10.9N 58.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 73.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1092 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 170900Z, 171500Z, 172100Z AND 180300Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
0718111700 100N 743E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 74.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 74.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 10.3N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.7N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.7N 68.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.7N 65.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 10.8N 61.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 10.9N 58.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 73.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1092 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPANSIVE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH
COOLING CLOUD TOPS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EIR
LOOP AND A 162341Z AMSU 89GHZ IMAGE WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS PLACED AT 45 KTS DUE TO THE DEEPENING
CONVECTION AND IMPROVING ORGANIZATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
IN AGREEMENT WITH THE KNES DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI)
ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KTS), UP FROM T2.5 FROM THEIR PREVIOUS FIX,
AND BETWEEN THE PGTW CI ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KTS) AND A 162024Z
SATCON ESTIMATE OF 55 KTS. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND
IS SUPPORTING SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION, WITH A POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS, AND LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). TC 07B
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE WEST UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST. A MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL PASS BY TO THE NORTH OF THE STR AT TAU 72, AND NAVGEM IS
THE OUTLIER DEPICTING A SIGNIFICANT BREAK IN THE STR DUE TO THIS
TROUGH THAT WILL ALLOW TC 07B TO SLOW AND THEN TURN POLEWARD.
BECAUSE NAVGEM MOVES TC 07B POLEWARD AND ALLOWS IT TO RE-DEVELOP
A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, NAVGEM RE-STRENGTHENS TC 07B AT
LATER TAUS. HOWEVER, OTHER MODELS SHOW A LESS DRAMATIC RE-
ORIENTATION OF THE STR TO THE NORTHEAST, AND CONTINUE TO MOVE TC
07B DUE WESTWARD UNDER AN EXTENSION OF THE STR, WITH EVENTUAL
DISSIPATION. COLD, DRIER AIR ADVECTED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHERLY
FLOW OFF OF ASIA AND DIMINISHING OUTFLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 96. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT
AGREEMENT. THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-
MODEL CONSENSUS FAVORING A DUE WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
170900Z, 171500Z, 172100Z AND 180300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 162100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116195007
2018111618 07B GAJA 025 01 270 13 SATL 060
T000 097N 0752E 040 R034 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 100N 0730E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 102N 0709E 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 104N 0688E 040 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 103N 0671E 040 R034 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 103N 0635E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 106N 0598E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z --- NEAR 9.7N 75.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 75.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.0N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 162100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z --- NEAR 9.7N 75.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 75.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.0N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.2N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 162100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116195007
2018111618 07B GAJA 025 01 270 13 SATL 060
T000 097N 0752E 040 R034 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 100N 0730E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 102N 0709E 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 104N 0688E 040 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 103N 0671E 040 R034 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 103N 0635E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 106N 0598E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z --- NEAR 9.7N 75.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 75.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.0N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.2N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.4N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.3N 67.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 10.3N 63.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 10.6N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
162100Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 74.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1145 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 170300Z, 170900Z, 171500Z AND 172100Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
0718111618 97N 752E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 162100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z --- NEAR 9.7N 75.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 75.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.0N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.2N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.4N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 10.3N 67.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 10.3N 63.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 10.6N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
162100Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 74.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1145 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IS FLARING AND BANDING IS RE-ORGANIZING
AFTER TC 07B RE-EMERGED OVER WATER IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EIR LOOP AND A 161609Z AMSU
89GHZ IMAGE WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
MAINTAINED AT 40 KTS, SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35 KTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW, BUT
BELOW A RECENT AUTOMATED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF 53 KTS. A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, INCLUDING A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL,
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) OF 29 DEGREES CELSIUS, AND
LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), HAS ALLOWED THE
CONVECTION TO RE-ORGANIZE AND DEEPEN. TC 07B WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK TO THE WEST UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO
THE NORTHWEST. A MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PASS BY TO
THE NORTH OF THE STR AT TAU 72, AND NAVGEM IS THE OUTLIER
DEPICTING A SIGNIFICANT BREAK IN THE STR DUE TO THIS TROUGH THAT
WILL ALLOW TC 07B TO TURN POLEWARD. BECAUSE NAVGEM MOVES TC 07B
POLEWARD AND ALLOWS IT TO RE-DEVELOP A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL,
NAVGEM RE-STRENGTHENS TC 07B AT LATER TAUS. HOWEVER, OTHER
MODELS SHOW A LESS DRAMATIC RE-ORIENTATION OF THE STR TO THE
NORTHEAST, AND CONTINUE TO MOVE TC 07B DUE WESTWARD UNDER AN
EXTENSION OF THE STR, WITH EVENTUAL DISSIPATION. COLD, DRIER AIR
ADVECTED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW OFF OF ASIA AND DIMINISHING
OUTFLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, LEADING TO
DISSIPATION AT TAU 96. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, NUMERICAL
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT. THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK IS PLACED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS FAVORING A
DUE WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
161800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z, 170900Z, 171500Z
AND 172100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 161500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116122616
2018111612 07B GAJA 024 01 255 13 SATL SYNP 020
T000 097N 0765E 040 R034 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD
T012 097N 0742E 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 098N 0721E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 100N 0702E 040 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 102N 0683E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T072 102N 0647E 040 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 101N 0617E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161200Z --- NEAR 9.7N 76.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 76.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 9.7N 74.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 161500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161200Z --- NEAR 9.7N 76.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 76.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 9.7N 74.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 9.8N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 161500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116122616
2018111612 07B GAJA 024 01 255 13 SATL SYNP 020
T000 097N 0765E 040 R034 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD
T012 097N 0742E 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 098N 0721E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 100N 0702E 040 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 102N 0683E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T072 102N 0647E 040 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 101N 0617E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161200Z --- NEAR 9.7N 76.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 76.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 9.7N 74.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 9.8N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.0N 70.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.2N 68.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 10.2N 64.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 10.1N 61.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
161500Z POSITION NEAR 9.7N 75.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 15 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 101N 778E 60
0718111612 97N 765E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 161500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161200Z --- NEAR 9.7N 76.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 76.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 9.7N 74.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 9.8N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.0N 70.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.2N 68.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 10.2N 64.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 10.1N 61.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
161500Z POSITION NEAR 9.7N 75.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 15 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO COLLAPSE RAPIDLY AS IT
DRAGGED ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIA. THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE
WARMED AND PERIPHERAL RAIN BANDS UNRAVELED. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
BASED ON A RAGGED CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE MSI LOOP AND
TRIANGULATED FROM NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE SURFACE OBSERVATION
SITES INCLUDING COCHIN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND REFLECTS THE
WEAKENED STATE OF THE CYCLONE. TC 07B IS ABOUT TO EXIT INTO THE
ARABIAN SEA AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE HIGH-ZONAL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE ARABIAN SEA. THE SYSTEM
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN MOSTLY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF DIMINISHING
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND THE INFLUX OF COLD DRY AIR FROM THE NORTH
OFFSETTING THE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM ALONG-TRACK SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY TAU 72, OR POSSIBLY
SOONER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT
162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 160900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116071415
2018111606 07B GAJA 023 01 255 16 SATL 030
T000 100N 0776E 060
T012 100N 0753E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 101N 0730E 045 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 103N 0712E 040 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 105N 0692E 040 R034 150 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 108N 0653E 040 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 106N 0625E 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 108N 0597E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 10.0N 77.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 77.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.0N 75.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 160900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 10.0N 77.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 77.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.0N 75.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.1N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 160900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116071415
2018111606 07B GAJA 023 01 255 16 SATL 030
T000 100N 0776E 060
T012 100N 0753E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 101N 0730E 045 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 103N 0712E 040 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 105N 0692E 040 R034 150 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 108N 0653E 040 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 106N 0625E 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 108N 0597E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 10.0N 77.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 77.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.0N 75.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.1N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.3N 71.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.5N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.8N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 10.6N 62.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 10.8N 59.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 10.0N 77.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM
EAST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z, 162100Z, 170300Z AND 170900Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111606 100N 776E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 10.0N 77.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 77.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.0N 75.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.1N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.3N 71.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 10.5N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 10.8N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 10.6N 62.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 10.8N 59.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 10.0N 77.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST OF
COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS
THE SYSTEM ERODED SIGNIFICANTLY AS EVIDENCED BY COLLAPSED CENTRAL
CONVECTION AND PERIPHERAL RAIN BANDS AS IT TRACKED ACROSS SOUTHERN
INDIA. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON A RAGGED CIRCULATION FEATURE
IN THE MSI LOOP WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
DEDUCED FROM THE DEGRADED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE IN ENHANCED INFRARED
IMAGERY AND REFLECTS THE WEAKENED STATE OF THE CYCLONE. TC 07B WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE HIGH-ZONAL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO
THE NORTH AND EXIT INTO THE ARABIAN SEA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE
SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN MOSTLY DUE TO DIMINISHING UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND INFLUX OF COLD DRY AIR FROM THE NORTH OFFSETTING THE LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG ITS
TRACK, AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY END OF FORECAST. NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z, 162100Z, 170300Z
AND 170900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 160300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116021843
2018111600 07B GAJA 022 01 260 11 SATL 025
T000 104N 0792E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
035 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD
045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 103N 0767E 055
T024 103N 0745E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 105N 0726E 035 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 108N 0706E 040 R034 150 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 111N 0666E 040 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 111N 0628E 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 111N 0592E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160000Z --- NEAR 10.4N 79.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 160300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160000Z --- NEAR 10.4N 79.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 79.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.3N 76.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.3N 74.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 160300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181116021843
2018111600 07B GAJA 022 01 260 11 SATL 025
T000 104N 0792E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 103N 0767E 055
T024 103N 0745E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 105N 0726E 035 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 108N 0706E 040 R034 150 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 111N 0666E 040 R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 111N 0628E 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 111N 0592E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160000Z --- NEAR 10.4N 79.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 79.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.3N 76.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.3N 74.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 10.5N 72.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.8N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.1N 66.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.1N 62.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 11.1N 59.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
160300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 78.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 903 NM
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z, 161500Z, 162100Z AND 170300Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
0718111600 104N 792E 75
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 160300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160000Z --- NEAR 10.4N 79.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 79.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.3N 76.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.3N 74.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 10.5N 72.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 10.8N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.1N 66.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.1N 62.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 11.1N 59.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
160300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 78.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 903 NM
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
COMPACT SYSTEM THAT HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE BUT HAS OTHERWISE
MAINTAINED ITS CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 152243Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
SHOWING A 10-NM WIDE EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS
IS BASED ON CONSISTENT CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AND SUPPORTED BY DVORAK
CI ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77KTS) FROM PGTW AND KNES. TC 07B IS OVER LAND
AND TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. DESPITE FAVORABLE (10-15 KNOT) VWS AND EXCELLENT
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, THE RELATIVELY SMALL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CROSSES OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND
INTERACTS WITH THE TOPOGRAPHY. TC 07B IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE IN THE
ARABIAN SEA BY TAU 24, AT WHICH TIME FAVORABLE VWS AMD WARM SSTS
WILL BE OFFSET BY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT. THIS WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OF TC 07B BY
TAU 48. AFTER TAU 72, VWS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND LEAD TO A
GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION BY TAU 120. DESPITE SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST, DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT ON TRACK. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK WHICH CLOSELY FOLLOWS CONSENSUS. NEXT WARNINGS AT
160900Z, 161500Z, 162100Z AND 170300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 152100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115195119
2018111518 07B GAJA 021 01 250 09 SATL 010
T000 106N 0803E 075 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050
015 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 055 SE QD
045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 103N 0779E 055
T024 103N 0755E 035 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 105N 0734E 035 R034 040 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 108N 0715E 035 R034 045 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 112N 0675E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 112N 0636E 035 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 112N 0600E 030
AMP
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 10.6N 80.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 152100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 10.6N 80.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 80.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.3N 77.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.3N 75.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 152100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115195119
2018111518 07B GAJA 021 01 250 09 SATL 010
T000 106N 0803E 075 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 103N 0779E 055
T024 103N 0755E 035 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 105N 0734E 035 R034 040 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 108N 0715E 035 R034 045 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 112N 0675E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 112N 0636E 035 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 112N 0600E 030
AMP
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 10.6N 80.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 80.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.3N 77.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.3N 75.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.5N 73.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.8N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 11.2N 67.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.2N 63.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 11.2N 60.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 79.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 857 NM
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111506 113N 822E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111512 109N 812E 65
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
0718111518 106N 803E 75
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 152100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 10.6N 80.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 80.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.3N 77.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.3N 75.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.5N 73.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.8N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 11.2N 67.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.2N 63.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 11.2N 60.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 79.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 857 NM
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY WHICH REVEALS A 10-NM WIDE, RAGGED EYE. THE POSITION IS
SUPPORTED BY A 151630Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS WHICH CLEARLY IDENTIFIES
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND CONTAINS A RAIN-FLAGGED
70 KNOT WIND BARB TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE ASCAT PASS AND FALLS
BETWEEN KNES AND PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.0-
T4.5 (65-77 KNOTS), RESPECTIVELY. THE SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT FOR
07B IS UNFAVORABLE, DESPITE LOW (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS) AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, BECAUSE LANDFALL IS IMMINENT.
AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL GENERALLY
STEER TC 07B WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. DESPITE SPENDING LESS
THAN 24 HOURS OVER LAND, THE OVER 1000 FT PEAKS AND SMALL SIZE OF
THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE CYCLONE PRIOR
TO TAU 24. IF TC 07B EMERGES INTACT OVER THE ARABIAN SEA, MODERATE
VWS AND LIMITED OUTFLOW SHOULD LIMIT ANY INTENSIFICATION UNTIL THE
CYCLONE DISSIPATES BY TAU 120. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK, WHICH FOLLOWS CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
151800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND
162100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 151500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115132058
2018111512 07B GAJA 020 01 245 10 SATL 020
T000 109N 0812E 055 R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 106N 0791E 045 R034 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 106N 0766E 035
T036 107N 0745E 030
T048 110N 0723E 030
T072 115N 0685E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 114N 0648E 035 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 114N 0615E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 81.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 81.2E

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 151500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115132058
2018111512 07B GAJA 020 01 245 10 SATL 020
T000 109N 0812E 055 R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 106N 0791E 045 R034 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 106N 0766E 035
T036 107N 0745E 030
T048 110N 0723E 030
T072 115N 0685E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 114N 0648E 035 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 114N 0615E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 81.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 81.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.6N 79.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.6N 76.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.7N 74.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 11.0N 72.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 11.5N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.4N 64.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 11.4N 61.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 80.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS
16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 821E 55
0718111506 113N 821E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 55
0718111512 109N 812E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 151500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 81.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 81.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.6N 79.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.6N 76.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 81.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 81.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.6N 79.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.6N 76.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.7N 74.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 11.0N 72.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 11.5N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.4N 64.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 11.4N 61.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 80.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A MORE COMPACT SYSTEM WITH A DIMPLE FEATURE ON THE
CENTRAL CONVECTION - INDICATIVE OF A FORMATIVE EYE. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE ON THE DIMPLE FEATURE THAT
LINED UP WELL WITH A LOW BRIGHTNESS MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE IN THE
151005Z SSMIS IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN OVERALL
ASSESSMENT OF AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS AND T4.0/65KTS
FROM PGTW AND KNES, RESPECTIVELY. TC 07B IS UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH-ZONAL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND WILL
CONTINUE ON ITS CURRENT TRACK AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS OVER SOUTHEASTERN INDIA NEAR CUDDALORE. AFTERWARD, IT WILL
TRACK MORE WESTWARD ACROSS RUGGED TERRAIN THEN EXIT INTO THE ARABIAN
SEA JUST AFTER TAU 24. THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY ERODE DUE TO FRICTION
AND WILL BE REDUCED TO 30 KNOTS WHEN IT EXITS BACK INTO WATER.
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ON THE ARABIAN SEA WILL
PROMOTE A WEAK RE-INTENSIFICATION UP TO 35 KNOTS BEFORE INCREASING
VWS STARTS ERODING THE CYCLONE, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 120.
THERE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY THAT TC GAJA WILL COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE OVER LAND. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 150900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115071638
2018111506 07B GAJA 019 01 255 10 SATL 020
T000 113N 0821E 055 R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034
065 NE QD 055 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 109N 0802E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 107N 0778E 040
T036 108N 0754E 030
T048 109N 0733E 030
T072 111N 0697E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 112N 0659E 040 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 112N 0628E 035 R034 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 11.3N 82.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 150900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 11.3N 82.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 82.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.9N 80.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 150900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115071638
2018111506 07B GAJA 019 01 255 10 SATL 020
T000 113N 0821E 055 R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 109N 0802E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 107N 0778E 040
T036 108N 0754E 030
T048 109N 0733E 030
T072 111N 0697E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 112N 0659E 040 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 112N 0628E 035 R034 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 11.3N 82.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 82.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.9N 80.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.7N 77.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.8N 75.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.9N 73.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 11.1N 69.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.2N 65.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 11.2N 62.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 11.2N 81.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-
EAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z
IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
0718111506 113N 821E 55
0718111506 113N 821E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 150900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 11.3N 82.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 82.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.9N 80.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.7N 77.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.8N 75.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 10.9N 73.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 11.1N 69.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 11.2N 65.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 11.2N 62.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 11.2N 81.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-
EAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS RAIN BANDS HAVE CLOSED IN AND WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A MORE
COMPACT CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH A FORMATIVE EYE. THE INITIAL POSITION
IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE ON THE FORMATIVE EYE THAT LINED UP
WELL WITH A LOW BRIGHTNESS CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 150420Z AMSU
MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN OVERALL
ASSESSMENT OF AGENCY AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES AND REFLECTS THE
NOTABLE INTENSIFICATION. UNDER THE STEERING OF THE HIGH-ZONAL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, TC 07B WILL CONTINUE ON ITS CURRENT
TRACK AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEASTERN INDIA NEAR CUDDALORE
SHORTLY AFTER TAU 12. AFTERWARD, IT WILL TRACK MORE WESTWARD ACROSS
RUGGED TERRAIN THEN EXIT INTO THE ARABIAN SEA BEFORE TAU 36. THE
SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY, ENHANCED BY LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (VWS), GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, AFTER LANDFALL, IT WILL RAPIDLY ERODE DUE TO
FRICTION AND EXIT BACK INTO WATER AT 30 KNOTS. RESUMED FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE SLOW INTENSIFICATION IN THE
ARABIAN SEA, REACHING 40 KNOTS BY TAU 96 BEFORE INCREASING VWS STARTS
WEAKENING THE CYCLONE. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT TC GAJA WILL
COMPLETELY DISSIPATE OVER LAND. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 150300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115021259
2018111500 07B GAJA 018 01 245 09 SATL 030
T000 116N 0831E 045 R034 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 110N 0814E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 107N 0792E 050
T036 107N 0767E 035
T048 108N 0743E 030
T072 111N 0707E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 112N 0669E 035 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 110N 0635E 035 R034 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 83.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 83.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.0N 81.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 150300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 83.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 83.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.0N 81.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.7N 79.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 150300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181115021259
2018111500 07B GAJA 018 01 245 09 SATL 030
T000 116N 0831E 045 R034 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 110N 0814E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 107N 0792E 050
T036 107N 0767E 035
T048 108N 0743E 030
T072 111N 0707E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 112N 0669E 035 R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 110N 0635E 035 R034 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 83.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 83.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.0N 81.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.7N 79.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.7N 76.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.8N 74.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 11.1N 70.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.2N 66.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.0N 63.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 82.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 726 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 120N 839E 45
0718111500 116N 831E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 83.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 83.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.0N 81.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.7N 79.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.7N 76.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 10.8N 74.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 11.1N 70.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 11.2N 66.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 11.0N 63.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 82.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 726 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION THAT IS OBSCURING
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE USING A 142351Z GMI 37 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE WHICH DEPICTS A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
OF 45 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE KNES DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS) AND HEDGED ABOVE THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) BASED ON THE MICROWAVE EYE
FEATURE. LOW (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSIFICATION. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST, TC 07B WILL
TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL ALLOW SOME
INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL A FEW HOURS PRIOR TO TAU
24. AFTER LANDFALL, THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN INDIA WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. SHORTLY AFTER TAU 36, TC 07B WILL
EMERGE OVER THE ARABIAN SEA, LIKELY WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
DECOUPLED FROM THE MID-LEVELS BY THE TERRAIN. BETWEEN TAU 72 AND
120, THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 35 KNOTS. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF GFS, WHICH RECURVES AND INTENSIFIES THE CYCLONE AROUND
TAU 72, SPREAD IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS 224 NM AT TAU 120. BASED ON
MODEL SPREAD, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 142100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181114195049
2018111418 07B GAJA 017 01 220 08 SATL 030
T000 118N 0840E 045 R034 055 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 113N 0825E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
050 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 109N 0805E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD
030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 108N 0781E 045
T048 108N 0757E 030
T072 109N 0719E 035 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 112N 0685E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 114N 0653E 035 R034 100 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 11.8N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.3N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 142100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 11.8N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.3N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.9N 80.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 142100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181114195049
2018111418 07B GAJA 017 01 220 08 SATL 030
T000 118N 0840E 045 R034 055 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 113N 0825E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 109N 0805E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 108N 0781E 045
T048 108N 0757E 030
T072 109N 0719E 035 R034 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 112N 0685E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 114N 0653E 035 R034 100 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 11.8N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.3N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.9N 80.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.8N 78.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.8N 75.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.9N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 11.2N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.4N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 11.7N 83.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 695 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 850E 45
0718111412 124N 845E 45
0718111418 118N 840E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 142100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 11.8N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.3N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.9N 80.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 10.8N 78.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 10.8N 75.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 10.9N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 11.2N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 11.4N 65.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 11.7N 83.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 695 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR
CONFIDENCE USING ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH
REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC), WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 141548Z ASCAT
PASS WHICH SHOWED 40-45 KNOT WINDS, EXTENDING ABOUT 20 NM FROM THE
CENTER, IN ALL QUADRANTS. LOW (5-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS),
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE ARE SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSIFICATION. TC 07B IS TRACKING
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN EXTENSIVE EAST-WEST ORIENTED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THE STR IS FORECASTED TO REMAIN INTACT AND
CONTINUE TO STEER THE CYCLONE ON A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL AROUND TAU 24,
THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL ALLOW TC 07B TO INTENSIFY TO ABOUT 70
KNOTS. AFTER LANDFALL, THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN INDIA
WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 48, TC 07B WILL EMERGE
OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND IS FORECASTED TO REMAIN NEAR 35 KNOTS
THROUGH TAU 120. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFS, WHICH PREDICTS
RECURVATURE AND SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION AFTER TAU 72, MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. BASED ON
200 NM OF MODEL SPREAD (WITHOUT GFS) BY TAU 120, THERE IS FAIR
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z,
151500Z AND 152100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 141500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181114135017
2018111412 07B GAJA 016 01 235 09 SATL 060
T000 123N 0840E 045 R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 116N 0825E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 112N 0806E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD
030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 109N 0784E 060
T048 108N 0758E 045 R034 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 111N 0721E 035 R034 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 111N 0684E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 113N 0660E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 12.3N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.6N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 141500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 12.3N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.6N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.2N 80.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 141500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181114135017
2018111412 07B GAJA 016 01 235 09 SATL 060
T000 123N 0840E 045 R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 116N 0825E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 112N 0806E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 109N 0784E 060
T048 108N 0758E 045 R034 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 111N 0721E 035 R034 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 111N 0684E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 113N 0660E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 12.3N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.6N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.2N 80.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.9N 78.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.8N 75.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 11.1N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 11.1N 68.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.3N 66.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 83.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.
//
0718110606 78N1047E 15
0718110612 78N1041E 15
0718110618 79N1034E 15
0718110700 80N1027E 15
0718110706 79N1022E 15
0718110712 80N1018E 15
0718110718 78N1014E 20
0718110800 83N1007E 20
0718110806 89N1000E 20
0718110812 98N 993E 20
0718110818 102N 981E 20
0718110900 102N 965E 20
0718110906 106N 955E 25
0718110912 110N 945E 25
0718110918 116N 931E 25
0718111000 120N 924E 25
0718111006 123N 915E 25
0718111012 127N 905E 30
0718111018 131N 897E 35
0718111100 133N 892E 40
0718111106 133N 885E 35
0718111112 131N 876E 35
0718111118 128N 874E 35
0718111200 125N 874E 35
0718111206 125N 875E 40
0718111212 126N 876E 40
0718111218 132N 877E 35
0718111300 137N 874E 35
0718111306 138N 865E 35
0718111312 136N 861E 35
0718111318 134N 857E 35
0718111400 131N 853E 40
0718111406 128N 848E 45
0718111412 123N 840E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 12.3N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.6N 82.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.2N 80.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.9N 78.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.8N 75.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 11.1N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 11.1N 68.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.3N 66.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 83.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A FLARING MASS OF CENTRAL CONVECTION AND SPIRAL
BANDING WRAPPING IN TO THE OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE ON A
141128Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE WHICH SHOWS THE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION
AND SPIRAL BANDING STRUCTURE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS
BASED ON THE STEADY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45
KTS) FROM KNES, AND IS BETWEEN THE PGTW ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KTS),
WHICH WAS ALSO MAINTAINED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AND A 140738Z
SATCON ESTIMATE OF 55 KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC 07B
IS EXPERIENCING FAVORABLE (10 TO 15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)
AND HAS A ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(SSTS) IN THE BAY OF BENGAL REMAIN FAVORABLE, BETWEEN 29 AND 30
DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 07B IS TRACKING ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A
STR TO THE WEST, AND ACCELERATING TO THE SOUTHWEST. AFTER TAU 24, TC
07B WILL TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR OVER
THE SOUTHERN INDIAN PENINSULA. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNDER
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND REACH A PEAK OF 70 KTS BY TAU
24, JUST PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ON THE INDIAN PENINSULA, AFTER
WHICH IT WILL WEAKEN DUE TO TERRAIN EFFECTS. AS TC 07B WILL NOW
INTENSIFY MORE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO SURVIVE THE PASSAGE OVER THE INDIAN PENINSULA, EVEN
IF THE LLCC AND CONVECTION ARE DECOUPLED BY MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE
JTWC FORECAST CONTINUES TO RUN THROUGH 120 HOURS AND DEPICTS A
BORDERLINE SYSTEM IN THE ARABIAN SEA, WHERE SSTS WILL BE FAVORABLE,
BUT VWS WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH AND THE ENVIRONMENT IS DRIER. THE
MOST RECENT GFS AND NAVGEM RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IN THE LATER TAUS, AND SHOW A MARGINAL SYSTEM WITH SLIGHT
RE-DEVELOPMENT IN THE ARABIAN SEA. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES
THAT TC 07B WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE NEAR TERM AND THEN
WESTWARD. MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK, WITH
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK PLACED CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK
AND THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. OVERALL,THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 140900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 12.2N 83.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.7N 82.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 120300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181112023732
2018111200 07B GAJA 006 01 200 03 SATL 050
T000 124N 0870E 035 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 123N 0865E 040 R034 045 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 121N 0855E 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 118N 0844E 050 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
050 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 113N 0831E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 107N 0799E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 103N 0764E 035 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T120 102N 0717E 035 R034 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 12.4N 87.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 87.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 12.3N 86.5E

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 120300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 12.4N 87.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 87.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 12.3N 86.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 12.1N 85.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>