Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for POLA-19
in Tonga

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 282100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 25.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.9S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 282100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228200741
2019022818 16P POLA 012 01 175 08 SATL 030
T000 252S 1781W 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD
110 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 269S 1778W 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD
180 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 281S 1760W 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD
200 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 284S 1733W 055 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034
160 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 25.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 282100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228200741
2019022818 16P POLA 012 01 175 08 SATL 030
T000 252S 1781W 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 025 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 269S 1778W 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 281S 1760W 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD 200 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 284S 1733W 055 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW Q
D 170 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 25.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.9S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.1S 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 28.4S 173.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 469 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022806 233S1780W 95
1619022806 233S1780W 95
1619022806 233S1780W 95
1619022812 244S1782W 90
1619022812 244S1782W 90
1619022812 244S1782W 90
1619022818 252S1781W 85
1619022818 252S1781W 85
1619022818 252S1781W 85

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 25.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.9S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.1S 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 28.4S 173.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 469 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 28
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 281500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 24.4S 178.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.4S 178.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.4S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 281500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228125532
2019022812 16P POLA 011 01 190 11 SATL 015
T000 244S 1782W 090 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 045 SE QD 055 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 115 SE QD
115 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 264S 1784W 080 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
180 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 282S 1771W 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 190 SE QD
190 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 289S 1746W 060 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 290S 1711W 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034
150 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 24.4S 178.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 24.4S 178.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.4S 178.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.4S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.2S 177.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 28.9S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 29.0S 171.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 24.9S 178.2W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 423 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH A 5NM EYE. A 281156Z GMI 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A
WELL-DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT
POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND
LOW (5-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, SST (27C) VALUES
REMAIN CONDUCIVE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 90 KNOTS
BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 5.0 (90 KNOTS) FROM
PGTW AND KNES. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST.
GENERALLY POLEWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TAU 24,
AFTER WHICH TC 16P WILL ENCOUNTER A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH
AND TURN EASTWARD. INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING
ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN
OVERALL WEAKENING TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER TAU
24, TC 16P WILL ENCOUNTER AND BECOME ABSORBED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH, COMPLETING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 48.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL
FORECAST SCENARIO, ALTHOUGH THE ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL AND GLOBAL
ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS DEPICT AN EQUATORWARD COMPONENT TO TRACK MOTION
AFTER TAU 36. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS JTWC
TRACK FORECASTS, THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE PRIMARY MODEL
FORECAST GROUPING. DUE TO INCREASING UNCERTAINTY AFTER TAU 24, THERE
IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z,
010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 281500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228125532
2019022812 16P POLA 011 01 190 11 SATL 015
T000 244S 1782W 090 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 115 SE QD 115 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 264S 1784W 080 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 180 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 282S 1771W 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 190 SE QD 190 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 289S 1746W 060 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
T048 290S 1711W 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW Q
D 160 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 24.4S 178.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.4S 178.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.4S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.2S 177.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 28.9S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 29.0S 171.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 24.9S 178.2W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 423 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022806 233S1780W 95
1619022806 233S1780W 95
1619022806 233S1780W 95
1619022812 244S1782W 90
1619022812 244S1782W 90
1619022812 244S1782W 90

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 280900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 23.4S 178.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S 178.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 25.4S 178.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 280900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228073555
2019022806 16P POLA 010 01 175 12 SATL 020
T000 234S 1780W 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
105 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 254S 1782W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
170 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 272S 1780W 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD
190 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 281S 1769W 070 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD
200 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 285S 1746W 055 R050 010 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034
130 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 286S 1661W 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
110 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 23.4S 178.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 23.4S 178.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S 178.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 25.4S 178.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.2S 178.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.1S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 28.5S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 28.6S 166.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 23.9S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 377 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS CONSISTENT WITH A
MICROWAVE EYE EVIDENT IN A 280352Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE AND A 280600Z
PGTW SATELLITE FIX. THE INTENSITY IS CONSISTENT WITH RECENT
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM MULTIPLE REPORTING
AGENCIES. TC 16P HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS IN RESPONSE
TO LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND PASSAGE
OVER WARM WATER. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST.
GENERALLY POLEWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TAU 36,
AFTER WHICH TC 16P WILL ENCOUNTER A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH
AND TURN EASTWARD. ALTHOUGH STORM INTENSITY MAY STILL INCREASE IN THE
NEAR-TERM, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING ALONG-TRACK
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER TAU 36, TC 16P
WILL ENCOUNTER AND BECOME ABSORBED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH, COMPLETING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 72. NUMERICAL
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL FORECAST
SCENARIO, ALTHOUGH THE ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL AND GLOBAL ENSEMBLE
SOLUTIONS DEPICT AN EQUATORWARD COMPONENT TO TRACK MOTION AFTER TAU
36. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS JTWC TRACK
FORECASTS, THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE PRIMARY MODEL FORECAST
GROUPING. GIVEN NOTED MODEL FORECAST CHARACTERISTICS, THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK FORECAST THROUGH TAU 36 AND LOW CONFIDENCE
THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 30 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228073555
2019022806 16P POLA 010 01 175 12 SATL 020
T000 234S 1780W 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 045 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 105 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 254S 1782W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 170 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 272S 1780W 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 281S 1769W 070 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD 200 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 285S 1746W 055 R050 010 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
T072 286S 1661W 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 23.4S 178.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S 178.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 25.4S 178.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.2S 178.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.1S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 28.5S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 28.6S 166.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 23.9S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 377 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022806 234S1780W 95
1619022806 234S1780W 95
1619022806 234S1780W 95

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 280300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 22.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 23.9S 178.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 280300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228020858
2019022800 16P POLA 009 01 180 09 SATL 030
T000 222S 1781W 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD
080 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 239S 1785W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD
150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 258S 1786W 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD
180 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 273S 1781W 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 190 SE QD
210 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 281S 1756W 060 R050 020 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 220 SE QD 220 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 283S 1712W 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
160 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 22.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190228020858
2019022800 16P POLA 009 01 180 09 SATL 030
T000 222S 1781W 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 239S 1785W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 258S 1786W 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 180 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 273S 1781W 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 190 SE QD 210 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 281S 1756W 060 R050 020 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 220 SE QD 220 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T072 283S 1712W 050 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW Q
D 180 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 22.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 23.9S 178.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 25.8S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 27.3S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 28.1S 175.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 28.3S 171.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 22.6S 178.2W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 010300Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85
1619022800 222S1781W 85

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 22.2S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 23.9S 178.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 25.8S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 27.3S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 28.1S 175.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 28.3S 171.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 22.6S 178.2W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS SUSTAINED CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A DEFINED EYE. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE ON A 272236Z SSMIS
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WITH A MICROWAVE EYE AND THE EYE IN THE MSI
IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS PLACED BETWEEN DVORAK
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM KNES OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND T5.5
(102 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND NFFN AS WELL AS A SATCON ESTIMATE OF 81
KNOTS AT 272135Z. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC 16P WILL
MAINTAIN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW (5-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS), STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SST) (28-29 DEGREES CELSIUS) THROUGH TAU 12 BEFORE
ENTERING A REGION OF HIGHER VWS AND LOWER SST. TC 16P IS TRACKING
SOUTHWARD ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO
ITS EAST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH,
WEAKENING THE AFOREMENTIONED STR AND ALLOWING TC 16P TO TRANSITION
TO AN EASTWARD TRACK BETWEEN TAU 36 AND TAU 48. THE CYCLONE WILL
BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AT TAU 48 AND FULLY
TRANSITION TO A COLD-CORE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH AN EXPANSIVE
WIND FIELD, ACCELERATING EASTWARD, BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48, WITH SLIGHTLY LESS AGREEMENT BY
TAU 72. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK
THROUGH TAU 48, AND LOW CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER. THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK IS PLACED CLOSE TO THE MULTIMODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 010300Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 272100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 21.3S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 23.1S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 272100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227204505
2019022718 16P POLA 008 01 195 07 SATL 030
T000 213S 1781W 080 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 150 SE QD
115 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 231S 1786W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 249S 1790W 090 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD
170 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 265S 1789W 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD
180 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 275S 1783W 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD
200 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 278S 1760W 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 21.3S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227204505
2019022718 16P POLA 008 01 195 07 SATL 030
T000 213S 1781W 080 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 150 SE QD 115 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 231S 1786W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 249S 1790W 090 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 170 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 265S 1789W 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 275S 1783W 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD 200 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 278S 1760W 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 21.3S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 23.1S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 24.9S 179.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.5S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 27.5S 178.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 27.8S 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 21.8S 178.2W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 276 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80
1619022718 213S1781W 80

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 21.3S 178.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S 178.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 23.1S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 24.9S 179.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.5S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 27.5S 178.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 27.8S 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 21.8S 178.2W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 276 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEPENING CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A WELL
FORMED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND AN INTERMITTENT EYE.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE ON A 271727Z
SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WITH A MICROWAVE EYE, AND THE FORMATIVE
EYE IN THE EIR IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS IS BASED
ON MULTIAGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS)
AND SATCON OF 92 KNOTS AT 271316Z. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT
TC 16P IS ENTERING A REGION OF MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-15 KNOTS), A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 DEGREES CELSIUS)
ALLOWING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. TC 16P IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD ON
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO ITS EAST. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH, WEAKENING THE
AFOREMENTIONED STR AND ALLOWING TC 16P TO TRANSITION TO AN EASTWARD
TRACK AFTER TAU 48. THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE AT TAU 48 AND FULLY TRANSITION TO A COLD-CORE
EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH AN EXPANSIVE WIND FIELD BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48, WITH SLIGHTLY
LESS AGREEMENT BY TAU 72. ECMWF IS THE NORTHERN OUTLIER AFTER TAU
48, SHOWING A MORE DRAMATIC NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. OVERALL, THERE IS
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK THROUGH TAU 48, AND LOW
CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER. THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED BETWEEN THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND ECMWF SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z,
281500Z AND 282100Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 271500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227143126
2019022712 16P POLA 007 01 210 09 SATL 045
T000 206S 1779W 075 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 221S 1784W 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
105 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 239S 1789W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD
160 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 257S 1792W 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD
200 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 271S 1787W 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD
210 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 280S 1757W 055 R050 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 20.6S 177.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 271500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 20.6S 177.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S 177.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 22.1S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 271500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227143126
2019022712 16P POLA 007 01 210 09 SATL 045
T000 206S 1779W 075 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 221S 1784W 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 105 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 239S 1789W 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 160 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 257S 1792W 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 200 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 271S 1787W 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD 210 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 280S 1757W 055 R050 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 20.6S 177.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S 177.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 22.1S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 23.9S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 25.7S 179.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 27.1S 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 28.0S 175.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 21.0S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 258 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75
1619022712 206S1779W 75

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 20.6S 177.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S 177.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 22.1S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 23.9S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 25.7S 179.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 27.1S 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 28.0S 175.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 21.0S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 258 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WRAP AROUND
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 270916Z MHS 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS A PARTIAL MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE
OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) FROM PGTW. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC
16P IS EXPERIENCING NEUTRAL TO UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 TO
25 KNOTS) WHICH IS OFFSET BY A MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE, BETWEEN 28 AND 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS. TC 16P IS TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WHILE POSITIONED ON
THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE
SOUTHEAST. THE STR TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING
FEATURE THROUGH TAU 48. SLIGHTLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS (WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL) WILL
ALLOW FOR SOME MINOR INTENSIFICATION WITH TC 16P REACHING 90 KNOTS BY
TAU 24. BY TAU 48, TC 16P WILL BE POLEWARD OF THE STR AXIS AND WILL
BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN EASTWARD. AN APPROACHING
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL ACCELERATE TC 16P EASTWARD BY TAU 72 AND
ALLOW FOR A TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONE. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48, WITH SLIGHTLY LESS
AGREEMENT BY TAU 72. HOWEVER, OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z
IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 270900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227081121
2019022706 16P POLA 006 01 210 07 SATL 030
T000 198S 1774W 075 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD
100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 214S 1781W 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD
100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 231S 1786W 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 250S 1789W 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD
170 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 267S 1788W 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD
210 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 276S 1768W 055 R050 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034
150 NE QD 230 SE QD 230 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 19.8S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 270900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 19.8S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 21.4S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227081121
2019022706 16P POLA 006 01 210 07 SATL 030
T000 198S 1774W 075 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 214S 1781W 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 231S 1786W 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 250S 1789W 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 170 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 267S 1788W 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 210 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 276S 1768W 055 R050 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 230 SE QD 230 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 19.8S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 21.4S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 23.1S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 25.0S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.7S 178.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 27.6S 176.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 20.2S 177.6W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 259 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 182S1764W 45
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022700 192S1770W 65
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75
1619022706 198S1774W 75

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 19.8S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 21.4S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 23.1S 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 25.0S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 26.7S 178.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 27.6S 176.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 20.2S 177.6W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 259 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A
LOW-LEVEL MICROWAVE EYE EVIDENT IN 270618Z SSMIS 37 GHZ IMAGERY. THE
INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH RECENT SUBJECTIVE DVORAK AND
AUTOMATED SATELLITE INTENSITY CONSENSUS ESTIMATES FROM MULTIPLE
REPORTING AGENCIES. TC 16P HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS UNDER THE FAVORABLE INFLUENCES OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A
VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY POLEWARD THROUGH TAU 48 ALONG THE PERIPHERY
OF THE CURRENT STEERING RIDGE BEFORE IT ENCOUNTERS A DEVELOPING
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND TURNS EASTWARD. STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN
FAVORABLE AND TC 16P PASSES OVER WARM WATER. AFTER TAU 24, INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND PASSAGE OVER COOLER WATER SHOULD RESULT IN
STEADY WEAKENING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION BETWEEN TAU 48 AND TAU 72 AS IT ENCOUNTERS AND MERGES WITH
THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. NUMERICAL MODEL TRACK
FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48, BUT DIVERGES
THEREAFTER DUE TO UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH EVENTUAL INTERACTION
BETWEEN THE CYCLONE AND MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE CURRENT JTWC TRACK
FORECAST LIES SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS JTWC FORECAST, IN
LINE WITH THE CURRENT MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. BASED ON NOTED MODEL
FORECAST CHARACTERISTICS, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT
TRACK FORECAST THROUGH TAU 48, AND LOWER CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 270300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 19.3S 176.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 176.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 21.1S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 270300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227013430
2019022700 16P POLA 005 01 200 11 SATL 020
T000 193S 1769W 065 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 085 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 165 SE QD
085 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 211S 1777W 070 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD
100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 230S 1781W 070 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD
100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 250S 1781W 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 272S 1777W 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD
150 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 290S 1743W 060 R050 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 19.3S 176.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 270300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190227013430
2019022700 16P POLA 005 01 200 11 SATL 020
T000 193S 1769W 065 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 085 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 165 SE QD 085 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 211S 1777W 070 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 230S 1781W 070 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 250S 1781W 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 272S 1777W 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 290S 1743W 060 R050 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 19.3S 176.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 176.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 21.1S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 23.0S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 25.0S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.2S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 29.0S 174.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 177.1W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 277 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 183S1765W 45
1619022700 193S1769W 65
1619022700 193S1769W 65
1619022700 193S1769W 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 19.3S 176.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 176.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 21.1S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 23.0S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 25.0S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.2S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 29.0S 174.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 177.1W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 277 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE IN THE LAST SIX HOURS THAT HAS
SINCE FILLED INTO A DIMPLE FEATURE. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS
FURTHER DEEPENED AND CONSOLIDATED AS RAIN BANDS WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE ON THE CLOUD-FILLED EYE, ADJUSTED FOR TILT, AND LINED UP
WITH A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE IN THE 262046Z AMSU IMAGE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T4.0/65KTS FROM ALL
REPORTING AGENCIES. TC 16P IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) THAT IS OFFSET BY STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) AT 29-30 CELSIUS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE.
THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST. BY TAU 48, IT WILL ROUND
THE STR AXIS AND ACCELERATE SOUTHEASTWARD. THE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
WILL PROMOTE MORE INTENSIFICATION UP TO 70 KNOTS BUT BY TAU 48,
INCREASING VWS AND COOLING SSTS WILL TRIGGER A GRADUAL WEAKENING.
CONCURRENTLY, BY TAU 36, TC POLA WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION
AND BY TAU 72, WILL BECOME A STRONG STORM-FORCE COLD CORE LOW WITH A
LARGE CORE AND AN EXPANDING WIND FIELD. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT
AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 262100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 18.3S 176.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S 176.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2S 177.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 22.0S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 262100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226192931
2019022618 16P POLA 004 01 190 14 SATL 025
T000 183S 1765W 045 R034 115 NE QD 125 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 202S 1773W 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
160 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 220S 1778W 055 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
150 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 242S 1780W 055 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
130 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 260S 1779W 050 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 288S 1756W 050 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
130 NE QD 190 SE QD 210 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 18.3S 176.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S 176.5W
---
FORECASTS:

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 262100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226192931
2019022618 16P POLA 004 01 190 14 SATL 025
T000 183S 1765W 045 R034 115 NE QD 125 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 202S 1773W 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T024 220S 1778W 055 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T036 242S 1780W 055 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T048 260S 1779W 050 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 080 NW QD
T072 288S 1756W 050 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 190 SE QD 210 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 18.3S 176.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S 176.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2S 177.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 22.0S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 24.2S 178.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 26.0S 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.8S 175.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 18.8S 176.7W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291 NM EAST OF
SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40
1619022618 183S1765W 45

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 262100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 18.3S 176.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S 176.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2S 177.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 22.0S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 24.2S 178.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 26.0S 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.8S 175.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 18.8S 176.7W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291 NM EAST
OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
FURTHER DEEPENED AND CONSOLIDATED AS RAIN BANDS WRAP TIGHTER INTO
AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON THE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE IN THE 261745Z SSMIS
NEAR-SURFACE 37GHZ COLOR-ENHANCED IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS FROM ALL REPORTING AGENCIES.
TC 16P IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS) THAT IS OFFSET BY STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SSTS) AT 29-30 CELSIUS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE. THE CYCLONE
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST. BY TAU 48, IT WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS
AND ACCELERATE SOUTHEASTWARD. THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
WILL PROMOTE A MODEST INTENSIFICATION UP TO 55 KNOTS BUT BY TAU 48,
INCREASING VWS AND COOLING SSTS TAKE THEIR TOLL. CONCURRENTLY, TC
POLA WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND BY TAU 72, WILL BECOME
A STRONG STORM-FORCE COLD CORE LOW WITH A LARGE CORE AND AN EXPANDING
WIND FIELD. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z,
271500Z AND 272100Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 261500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 16.9S 176.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 176.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.8S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.6S 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 261500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226132244
2019022612 16P SIXTEEN 003 01 190 10 SATL 030
T000 169S 1762W 040 R034 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 030 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 188S 1769W 045 R034 115 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 206S 1775W 055 R050 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
150 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 226S 1778W 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 140 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 245S 1779W 050 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 283S 1766W 045 R034 120 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 16.9S 176.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 176.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.8S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 261500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 16.9S 176.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 176.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.8S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.6S 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 22.6S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 24.5S 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.3S 176.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 17.4S 176.4W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 283 NM
SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC AROUND THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 261206Z 36GHZ GMI IMAGE SHOWING A WELL
DEFINED LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS HEDGED BETWEEN A
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) FROM PGTW
AND AN ADT CI OF T2.9 (43 KNOTS). TC 16P IS EXPERIENCING NEUTRAL TO
UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT,
BETWEEN 29 AND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 16P IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE
SOUTHEAST. THE STR TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING
FEATURE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. TC 16P WILL TRACK GENERALLY
SOUTHWARD WHILE REACHING A PEAK INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS BY TAU 24 AS A
RESULT OF FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. BY
TAU 48, TC 16P WILL ENCOUNTER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND START
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). BY TAU 72, TC 16P WILL COMPLETE ETT
AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT,
THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z AND 271500Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 261500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226132244
2019022612 16P SIXTEEN 003 01 190 10 SATL 030
T000 169S 1762W 040 R034 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 030 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 188S 1769W 045 R034 115 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 206S 1775W 055 R050 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T036 226S 1778W 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 120 NW QD
T048 245S 1779W 050 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T072 283S 1766W 045 R034 120 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 16.9S 176.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 176.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.8S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.6S 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 22.6S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 24.5S 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.3S 176.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 17.4S 176.4W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 283 NM
SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z AND 271500Z.//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35
1619022612 169S1762W 40

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 260900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.9S 176.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 176.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 18.1S 176.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2S 177.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 260900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226084836
2019022606 16P SIXTEEN 002 01 190 10 SATL 030
T000 159S 1760W 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 181S 1764W 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 202S 1772W 045 R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 222S 1777W 050 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
140 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 244S 1777W 045 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 283S 1763W 040 R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 170 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.9S 176.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 176.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 18.1S 176.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 260900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226084836
2019022606 16P SIXTEEN 002 01 190 10 SATL 030
T000 159S 1760W 035 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 181S 1764W 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 202S 1772W 045 R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 222S 1777W 050 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T048 244S 1777W 045 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 283S 1763W 040 R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 170 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.9S 176.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 176.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 18.1S 176.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2S 177.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 22.2S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 24.4S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.3S 176.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 176.1W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (TC) (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM
SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35
1619022606 159S1760W 35

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.9S 176.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 176.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 18.1S 176.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2S 177.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 22.2S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 24.4S 177.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.3S 176.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 176.1W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (TC) (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM
SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
DEEP CONVECTION, MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 260602Z 37GHZ WINDSAT IMAGE SHOWING A
WELL DEFINED LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) FROM PGTW
AND NFFN. TC 16P IS EXPERIENCING NEUTRAL TO UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR WHICH IS OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, BETWEEN 29 AND 30
DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 16P IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE STR
TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST. TC 16P WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WHILE REACHING A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS BY TAU 36. BY TAU 48, TC 16P WILL ENCOUNTER
COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE AND START EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). BY TAU 72,
TC 16P WILL COMPLETE ETT AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 260300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226021032
2019022600 16P SIXTEEN 001 01 175 10 SATL 060
T000 149S 1758W 035 R034 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 172S 1758W 040 R034 160 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 194S 1769W 045 R034 170 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 216S 1775W 050 R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
170 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 236S 1778W 045 R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 280S 1766W 040 R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 175.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 175.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.2S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 175.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 175.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.2S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 19.4S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 21.6S 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 23.6S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 28.0S 176.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 175.8W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A CONSOLIDATING AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND A
DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 252037Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS
A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LLCC WITH 35 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT, AND GRADIENT ENHANCED 40 KNOT WINDS FURTHER REMOVED FROM
THE CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED BASED ON THE PGTW FIX AND
THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE INTENSITY WAS
ALSO BASED ON THE ASCAT PASS, AND IS CONSISTENT WITH DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 FROM MULTIPLE AGENCIES. TC 16P IS IN A
HIGH AMPLITUDE STEERING PATTERN WITH A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO
THE EAST. OVERALL MOTION SHOULD BE GENERALLY SOUTHERLY THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER, A SLIGHT WESTWARD DEFLECTION IS EXPECTED
AROUND TAU 24 AS THIS STEERING RIDGE BUILDS. AFTER TAU 48, A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN A DEFLECTION BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS
DEEP TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH 16P, LEADING TO EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION (ET) BEGINNING AT TAU 48. THE ET WILL BE COMPLETE BY TAU
72 AS STRONG BAROCLINICITY BECOMES ESTABLISHED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z AND 270300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 260300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16P SWP 190226021032
2019022600 16P SIXTEEN 001 01 175 10 SATL 060
T000 149S 1758W 035 R034 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 172S 1758W 040 R034 160 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 194S 1769W 045 R034 170 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 216S 1775W 050 R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T048 236S 1778W 045 R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 280S 1766W 040 R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 175.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 175.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.2S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 19.4S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 21.6S 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 23.6S 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 28.0S 176.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 175.8W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A CONSOLIDATING AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND A DEVELOPING
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 252037Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS A
SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LLCC WITH 35 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT,
AND GRADIENT ENHANCED 40 KNOT WINDS FURTHER REMOVED FROM THE CENTER.
THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED BASED ON THE PGTW FIX AND THE AFOREMENTIONED
ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE INTENSITY WAS ALSO BASED ON THE ASCAT
PASS, AND IS CONSISTENT WITH DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 FROM
MULTIPLE AGENCIES. TC 16P IS IN A HIGH AMPLITUDE STEERING PATTERN WITH A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. OVERALL MOTION SHOULD BE GENERALLY
SOUTHERLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER, A SLIGHT WESTWARD DEFLECTION
IS EXPECTED AROUND TAU 24 AS THIS STEERING RIDGE BUILDS. AFTER TAU 48, A
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN A DEFLECTION BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS DEEP TROUGH WILL
INTERACT WITH 16P, LEADING TO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ET) BEGINNING AT TAU 48.
THE ET WILL BE COMPLETE BY TAU 72 AS STRONG BAROCLINICITY BECOMES ESTABLISHED.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261500Z AND 270300Z.
//
1619022500 123S1762W 25
1619022506 129S1761W 25
1619022512 134S1760W 30
1619022518 138S1759W 30
1619022521 144S1759W 30
1619022600 149S1758W 35

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 260300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 175.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 175.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.2S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 19.4S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>