Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for MITAG-19 in China, Japan, Korea, Republic of from 27 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 030300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 30
NAME LOW FROM 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 030300UTC 38.0N 130.7E
MOVEMENT ENE 12KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 022100
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 28
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 022100UTC 37.1N 129.5E
MOVEMENT NE 35KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 030300UTC 38.2N 132.8E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
12HR
POSITION 030900UTC 38.7N 136.2E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
18HR
POSITION 031500UTC 38.6N 139.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 021500
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 26
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 021500UTC 34.9N 127.2E
MOVEMENT ENE 18KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 022100UTC 36.1N 128.8E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
12HR
POSITION 030300UTC 37.2N 130.8E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
18HR
POSITION 030900UTC 38.0N 133.2E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
24HR
POSITION 031500UTC 38.6N 135.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 020900
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 24
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 020900UTC 33.9N 125.4E
MOVEMENT NE 16KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 021500UTC 35.1N 127.0E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
12HR
POSITION 022100UTC 36.1N 128.7E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 43KT
18HR
POSITION 030300UTC 37.1N 130.6E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
24HR
POSITION 030900UTC 37.8N 133.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
30HR
POSITION 031500UTC 38.1N 135.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 020900
WARNING 020900.
WARNING VALID 030900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 985 HPA
AT 33.8N 125.3E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 36.6N 128.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 38.3N 131.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 020300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 22
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 020300UTC 32.7N 124.2E
MOVEMENT NNE 16KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 020900UTC 34.0N 125.3E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
12HR
POSITION 021500UTC 35.1N 126.9E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
18HR
POSITION 022100UTC 36.1N 128.7E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
24HR
POSITION 030300UTC 37.1N 130.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
30HR
POSITION 030900UTC 37.8N 132.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
36HR
POSITION 031500UTC 38.0N 135.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 020300
WARNING 020300.
WARNING VALID 030300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 985 HPA
AT 32.6N 124.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 34.9N 126.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 37.4N 129.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 012100
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 012100UTC 31.3N 123.4E
MOVEMENT NE 13KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 020300UTC 32.4N 124.2E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
12HR
POSITION 020900UTC 33.5N 125.2E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
18HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.6N 126.5E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 022100UTC 35.7N 128.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
30HR
POSITION 030300UTC 36.8N 129.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
36HR
POSITION 030900UTC 37.7N 132.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
42HR
POSITION 031500UTC 38.3N 135.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 012100
WARNING 012100.
WARNING VALID 022100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 985 HPA
AT 31.2N 123.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 33.7N 125.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 36.4N 128.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 011800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 011800UTC 30.8N 122.9E
MOVEMENT NE 8KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 020000UTC 31.9N 123.7E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
12HR
POSITION 020600UTC 33.0N 124.7E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
18HR
POSITION 021200UTC 34.0N 125.8E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 021800UTC 35.1N 127.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
30HR
POSITION 030000UTC 36.3N 128.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
36HR
POSITION 030600UTC 37.3N 131.1E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
42HR
POSITION 031200UTC 38.0N 134.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 011645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 011500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MITAG (1918) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF THREE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (30.2
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE
HONG KONG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (34.3 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (126.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (37.8 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (131.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 011500
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 011500UTC 30.5N 122.6E
MOVEMENT NNE 11KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 012100UTC 31.4N 123.3E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
12HR
POSITION 020300UTC 32.4N 124.2E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
18HR
POSITION 020900UTC 33.5N 125.2E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.6N 126.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
30HR
POSITION 022100UTC 35.7N 128.0E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 030300UTC 36.8N 129.9E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
42HR
POSITION 030900UTC 37.7N 132.4E WITHIN 85NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 031500UTC 38.1N 135.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 011500
WARNING 011500.
WARNING VALID 021500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 980 HPA
AT 30.2N 122.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 32.6N 124.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 34.7N 126.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 011500
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 191001124140
2019100112 19W MITAG 018 01 005 13 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 300N 1224E 060 R050 080 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 165 SE QD 125 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 322N 1237E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 344N 1257E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 364N 1281E 045 R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 378N 1311E 040 R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 395N 1384E 035 R034 220 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 446N 1486E 030
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 018
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 19W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 30.0N 122.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N 122.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 32.2N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 34.4N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 36.4N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 37.8N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 39.5N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 44.6N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 30.6N 122.7E.
01OCT19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 412 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KUNSAN AB, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.
//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100106 287N1223E 65
1919100106 287N1223E 65
1919100106 287N1223E 65
1919100112 300N1224E 60
1919100112 300N1224E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 018
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 19W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 30.0N 122.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N 122.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 32.2N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 34.4N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 36.4N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 37.8N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 39.5N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 44.6N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 30.6N 122.7E.
01OCT19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 412 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KUNSAN AB, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 011200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 17
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 011200UTC 30.0N 122.4E
MOVEMENT N 14KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 011800UTC 30.8N 122.9E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
12HR
POSITION 020000UTC 31.9N 123.8E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
18HR
POSITION 020600UTC 33.0N 124.7E WITHIN 40NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 021200UTC 34.0N 125.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
30HR
POSITION 021800UTC 35.2N 127.2E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 030000UTC 36.3N 128.9E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
42HR
POSITION 030600UTC 37.3N 131.1E WITHIN 85NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 031200UTC 37.9N 133.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 011045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010900 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (29.4 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
THREE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (33.6 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (125.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (37.4 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (130.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC
THREE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (38.5 N)
ONE THREE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (136.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 010900
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 010900UTC 29.3N 122.3E
MOVEMENT N 13KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 012100UTC 31.4N 123.4E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 020900UTC 33.5N 125.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 022100UTC 35.7N 128.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 030900UTC 37.7N 132.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
60HR
POSITION 032100UTC 38.0N 137.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 010900
WARNING 010900.
WARNING VALID 020900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 980 HPA
AT 29.3N 122.3E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 31.4N 123.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 33.7N 125.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 010745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010600 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (28.7 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
THREE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (33.0 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (37.2 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (129.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
THREE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (38.3 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (135.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 010900
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 191001064744
2019100106 19W MITAG 017 01 005 15 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 287N 1223E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 105 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 185 SE QD 135 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 309N 1230E 055 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 332N 1248E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 353N 1272E 045 R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 370N 1297E 040 R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 388N 1363E 035 R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 170 NW QD
T096 425N 1460E 030
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 28.7N 122.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N 122.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 30.9N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 33.2N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.3N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 37.0N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 38.8N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 42.5N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 29.2N 122.5E.
01OCT19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 156 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.
//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100106 287N1223E 65
1919100106 287N1223E 65
1919100106 287N1223E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 010600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR STS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 28.6N, 122.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE
OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE KOREAN PENINSULA
BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 28.7N 122.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N 122.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 30.9N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 33.2N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.3N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 37.0N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 38.8N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 42.5N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 29.2N 122.5E.
01OCT19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 156 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z
IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 010600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 010600UTC 28.6N 122.2E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 011800UTC 30.9N 123.1E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 020600UTC 32.9N 124.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 021800UTC 35.1N 127.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 030600UTC 37.1N 131.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
60HR
POSITION 031800UTC 38.0N 136.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 010445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010300 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC
THREE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (32.4 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC
THREE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (36.5 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (129.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (37.7 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (134.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 010300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 010300UTC 28.0N 122.2E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 011500UTC 30.3N 122.8E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 020300UTC 32.4N 124.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.6N 126.6E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 030300UTC 36.7N 130.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
60HR
POSITION 031500UTC 37.8N 134.8E WITHIN 115NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
72HR
POSITION 040300UTC 38.4N 139.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 010300
WARNING 010300.
WARNING VALID 020300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 970 HPA
AT 27.9N 122.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 30.5N 122.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 32.6N 124.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 010300
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 191001010454
2019100100 19W MITAG 016 01 350 12 SATL 020
T000 272N 1221E 075 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 185 SE QD 165 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 294N 1224E 065 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 316N 1235E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 337N 1254E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 355N 1279E 045 R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 376N 1347E 040 R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 407N 1443E 035 R034 190 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 27.2N 122.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N 122.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 29.4N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 31.6N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.7N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 35.5N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 37.6N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 40.7N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 27.7N 122.2E.
01OCT19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
010000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z,
012100Z AND 020300Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093006 228N1230E 80
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093012 246N1229E 90
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919093018 260N1223E 85
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100100 272N1221E 75
1919100100 272N1221E 75
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 27.2N 122.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N 122.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 29.4N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 31.6N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.7N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 35.5N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 37.6N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 40.7N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 27.7N 122.2E.
01OCT19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
010000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z,
012100Z AND 020300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 010145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010000 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (27.4 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC
THREE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (31.8 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC
THREE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (36.1 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (128.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (37.7 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (133.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 010000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 010000UTC 27.4N 122.3E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 011200UTC 29.8N 122.6E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 020000UTC 32.0N 123.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
36HR
POSITION 021200UTC 34.0N 125.8E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 030000UTC 36.2N 129.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
60HR
POSITION 031200UTC 37.5N 133.5E WITHIN 115NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
72HR
POSITION 040000UTC 38.3N 138.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 302245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 302100 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (27.0 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC
THREE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (31.3 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (123.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (35.6 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (127.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (37.6 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (133.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 302100
WARNING 302100.
WARNING VALID 012100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 965 HPA
AT 27.1N 122.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 29.4N 122.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 31.4N 123.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 302100
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190930200734
2019093018 19W MITAG 015 01 355 17 SATL SYNP 045
T000 263N 1227E 090 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 185 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 286N 1226E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 308N 1233E 075 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 329N 1248E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 350N 1270E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 376N 1331E 045 R034 190 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 170 NW QD
T096 403N 1426E 040 R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 015
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 26.3N 122.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 122.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.6N 122.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 30.8N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.9N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.0N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 37.6N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 40.3N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 26.9N 122.7E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 547 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
301800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z,
011500Z AND 012100Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093012 246N1229E 85
1919093012 246N1229E 85
1919093012 246N1229E 85
1919093018 263N1227E 90
1919093018 263N1227E 90
1919093018 263N1227E 90
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 26.3N 122.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 122.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.6N 122.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 30.8N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.9N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.0N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 37.6N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 40.3N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 26.9N 122.7E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 547 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
301800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z,
011500Z AND 012100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 301945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301800 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT
SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT
ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (30.5 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (122.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (35.0 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (126.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (37.5 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (132.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 301800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 301800UTC 26.1N 122.4E
MOVEMENT NNW 13KT
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 010600UTC 28.9N 122.1E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 011800UTC 30.5N 122.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
36HR
POSITION 020600UTC 32.6N 124.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 021800UTC 34.3N 126.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 031800UTC 37.0N 132.2E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
96HR
POSITION 041800UTC 38.3N 139.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 301800
WARNING 301800.
WARNING VALID 011800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 965 HPA
AT 26.2N 122.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 16 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 28.6N 122.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 30.5N 123.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 35.2N 127.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 37.4N 132.6E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 301645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301500 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (25.4 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC
THREE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (33.9 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (125.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC
THREE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (36.3 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (130.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 301500
WARNING 301500.
WARNING VALID 011500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 965 HPA
AT 25.4N 122.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 27.8N 122.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 29.9N 123.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 301500
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190930133139
2019093012 19W MITAG 014 01 360 18 SATL 030
T000 246N 1230E 085 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 135 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 270N 1225E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 292N 1228E 070 R064 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 313N 1239E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T048 335N 1257E 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T072 364N 1303E 045 R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 378N 1374E 040 R034 250 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 250 NW QD
T120 429N 1438E 040 R034 260 NE QD 290 SE QD 120 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 24.6N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.0N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 29.2N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 31.3N 123.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.5N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 36.4N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 37.8N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 42.9N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 25.2N 122.9E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 703 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KUNSAN AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.
//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093012 246N1230E 85
1919093012 246N1230E 85
1919093012 246N1230E 85

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 24.6N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.0N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 29.2N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 31.3N 123.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.5N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 36.4N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 37.8N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 42.9N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 25.2N 122.9E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 703 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KUNSAN AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 28
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 301345 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301200 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT
NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (29.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC
THREE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (33.4 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (125.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC
THREE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (36.2 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (129.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (37.2 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (135.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 301345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301200 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT
NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (29.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC
THREE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (33.4 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (125.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC
THREE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (36.2 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (129.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (37.2 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (135.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 301200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MITAG IS LOCATED AT 24.6N, 122.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING
AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE EAST UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND GOOD
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, STRONG VWS AND LAND.

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 301200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 301200UTC 24.5N 122.9E
MOVEMENT N 18KT
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 010000UTC 26.9N 121.8E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 011200UTC 29.0N 121.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
36HR
POSITION 020000UTC 30.9N 122.3E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 021200UTC 33.1N 124.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 031200UTC 36.4N 130.2E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
96HR
POSITION 041200UTC 37.8N 137.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 301200
WARNING 301200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 965 HPA
AT 24.6N 122.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 27.0N 122.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 29.1N 122.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 33.4N 125.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 36.3N 130.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 37.3N 136.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 301045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300900 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (23.6 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
THREE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (32.8 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (124.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC
THREE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (36.0 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (128.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (37.1 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (134.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 300900
WARNING 300900.
WARNING VALID 010900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 970 HPA
AT 23.7N 122.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 26.3N 122.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 28.5N 122.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 300900
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190930080900
2019093006 19W MITAG 013 01 360 11 SATL 040
T000 228N 1230E 075 R064 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 135 SE QD 110 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 255N 1224E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 278N 1224E 070 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 299N 1232E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T048 321N 1247E 055 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T072 356N 1291E 045 R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 367N 1354E 040 R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD
T120 422N 1454E 040 R034 240 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 22.8N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 25.5N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.8N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.9N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.1N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 35.6N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 36.7N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 42.2N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 122.9E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 161 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093000 217N1230E 70
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093006 228N1230E 75
1919093006 228N1230E 75

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 22.8N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 25.5N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.8N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.9N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.1N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 35.6N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 36.7N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 42.2N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 122.9E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 161 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z
IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 300600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MITAG IS LOCATED AT 22.9N, 122.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING
AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE EAST UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM
WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 300745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300600 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
THREE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (32.2 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (123.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (35.8 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (127.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
THREE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (36.9 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (133.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 300600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 300600UTC 22.8N 122.9E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 301800UTC 24.7N 122.2E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 010600UTC 27.1N 121.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 011800UTC 29.6N 121.7E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 020600UTC 31.8N 122.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 030600UTC 35.8N 128.2E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
96HR
POSITION 040600UTC 37.5N 136.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 300600
WARNING 300600.
WARNING VALID 010600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 970 HPA
AT 22.9N 122.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 25.8N 121.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 28.1N 121.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 32.2N 124.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 35.8N 128.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 36.3N 133.9E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 300445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300300 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT
NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (27.3 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC
THREE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (31.7 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (35.5 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (127.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC
THREE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (36.8 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (133.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 300300
WARNING 300300.
WARNING VALID 010300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 970 HPA
AT 22.2N 122.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 25.1N 122.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 27.2N 121.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 300300
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190930013509
2019093000 19W MITAG 012 01 320 12 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 217N 1229E 065 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 240N 1220E 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 045 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 263N 1215E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 286N 1218E 065 R064 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 307N 1229E 060 R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 346N 1266E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 365N 1315E 040 R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 382N 1404E 035 R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 21.7N 122.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 122.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.0N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.3N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.6N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.7N 122.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 34.6N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 36.5N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 38.2N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 22.3N 122.7E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 394 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 170N1306E 45
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092812 178N1289E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092818 181N1276E 50
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092900 185N1263E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092906 193N1256E 55
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092912 201N1249E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919092918 208N1237E 65
1919093000 217N1229E 65
1919093000 217N1229E 65
1919093000 217N1229E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 21.7N 122.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 122.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.0N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.3N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.6N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.7N 122.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 34.6N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 36.5N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 38.2N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 22.3N 122.7E.
30SEP19. TYPHOON 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 394 NM SOUTHWEST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 300000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TY 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MITAG IS LOCATED AT 21.7N, 123.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 300145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300000 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (123.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
TWO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (26.7 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC
THREE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (31.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (35.2 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (126.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
THREE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (36.8 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (132.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 292245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 292100 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (121.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (30.5 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (34.8 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (125.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC
THREE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (36.8 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (131.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 292100
WARNING 292100.
WARNING VALID 302100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 975 HPA
AT 21.3N 123.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 23.8N 122.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 26.2N 121.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 291800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MITAG IS LOCATED AT 20.9N, 123.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE EAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 291945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 291800 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (30.0 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (34.3 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (125.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC
THREE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (36.7 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (130.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 291645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 291500 UTC, TYPHOON MITAG (1918) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE TWO FOUR
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (124.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (29.7 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (34.0 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (125.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (37.0 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (130.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 291500
WARNING 291500.
WARNING VALID 301500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) 975 HPA
AT 20.7N 124.1E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 22.5N 122.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 25.3N 122.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 291200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TY 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MITAG IS LOCATED AT 20.2N, 124.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS
ALSO DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO
THE EAST-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 290900
WARNING 290900.
WARNING VALID 300900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1918 MITAG (1918) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975 HPA
AT 19.7N 125.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 21.4N 123.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 23.9N 122.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 290600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR STS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 19.2N, 125.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE
CENTER IS 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT48
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, INCREASED VWS

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 290000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR STS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 18.1N, 126.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE
CENTER IS 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 281800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR STS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 17.8N, 127.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE
CENTER IS 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 281200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 17.6N, 129.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE
CENTER IS 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1918 MITAG (1918)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280900UTC 17.4N 129.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM
FORECAST
24HF 290900UTC 20.3N 124.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 300600UTC 23.3N 123.9E 75NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 010600UTC 29.3N 124.4E 120NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 020600UTC 34.3N 127.8E 170NM 70.
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
117HF 030600UTC 38.4N 133.2E 280NM 70.
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 280900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1918 MITAG (1918)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280900UTC 17.4N 129.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM
FORECAST
24HF 290900UTC 20.3N 124.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 300600UTC 23.3N 123.9E 75NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 010600UTC 29.3N 124.4E 120NM 70.
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 280900
WARNING 280900.
WARNING VALID 290900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 1000 HPA
AT 17.4N 129.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 18.8N 127.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290900UTC AT 20.3N 124.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190928074542
2019092806 19W MITAG 005 01 305 20 SATL 040
T000 173N 1305E 045 R034 155 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 187N 1278E 055 R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T024 201N 1256E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 217N 1239E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 237N 1231E 085 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 298N 1234E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 346N 1273E 075 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T120 382N 1334E 055 R050 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW Q
D 120 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 17.3N 130.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 130.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 20.1N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 21.7N 123.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.7N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 29.8N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 34.6N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 38.2N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 129.8E.
28SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 572 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 20
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.
//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40
1919092806 173N1305E 45

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 17.3N 130.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 130.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 20.1N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 21.7N 123.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.7N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 29.8N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 34.6N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 38.2N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 129.8E.
28SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 572 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 20
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
280600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND
290900Z. //
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 17.1N, 130.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 17.1N, 130.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.

=

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280600UTC 17.1N 130.9E
MOVEMENT WNW 14KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 281800UTC 18.1N 128.5E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 290600UTC 20.0N 125.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 291800UTC 21.1N 124.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 300600UTC 24.0N 123.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 010600UTC 29.1N 123.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 020600UTC 34.5N 127.5E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
120HR
POSITION 030600UTC 38.0N 133.1E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 280600
WARNING 280600.
WARNING VALID 290600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 1000 HPA
AT 17.1N 130.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 18.2N 128.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 19.5N 126.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 23.3N 123.9E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 29.3N 124.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 34.3N 127.8E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 38.4N 133.2E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 280300
WARNING 280300.
WARNING VALID 290300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1918 MITAG (1918) 1002 HPA
AT 16.7N 131.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 17.9N 129.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 19.2N 126.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190928023419
2019092800 19W MITAG 004 01 300 23 SATL 025
T000 161N 1322E 040 R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 175N 1295E 050 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T024 189N 1270E 065 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 204N 1250E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 223N 1241E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 272N 1241E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 323N 1271E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 368N 1322E 065 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.1N 132.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 132.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.5N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.9N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.4N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 22.3N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.2N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 32.3N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 36.8N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 131.5E.
28SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 671 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HA
S TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 280000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 150N1343E 35
1919092800 161N1322E 40

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.1N 132.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 132.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.5N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.9N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.4N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 22.3N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.2N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 32.3N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 36.8N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 131.5E.
28SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 671 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 23
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
280000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND
290300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 1918 MITAG (1918)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 14.9N, 134.5E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MITAG) STATUS. TS MITAG IS LOCATED AT 15.4N, 132.1E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
1002HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND NEAR THE CENTER IS 35KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 1918 MITAG
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280000UTC 15.4N 132.2E
MOVEMENT WNW 30KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 33KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 281200UTC 16.9N 130.2E WITHIN 25NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
24HR
POSITION 290000UTC 18.6N 127.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 958HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 291200UTC 20.1N 125.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 300000UTC 22.4N 123.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
72HR
POSITION 010000UTC 27.5N 124.0E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 020000UTC 32.5N 126.7E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
120HR
POSITION 030000UTC 37.0N 132.7E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190927194708
2019092718 19W NINETEEN 003 01 290 14 SATL 040
T000 149N 1345E 035 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 164N 1316E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 178N 1290E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 191N 1269E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 208N 1253E 080 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 257N 1246E 100 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 308N 1268E 095 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 355N 1320E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 14.9N 134.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 134.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.4N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.8N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.1N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 20.8N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 25.7N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 30.8N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.5N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 133.8E.
27SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 791 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 144N1358E 30
1919092718 149N1345E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 14.9N 134.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 134.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.4N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.8N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.1N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 20.8N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 25.7N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 30.8N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.5N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 133.8E.
27SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 791 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN HAS TRACKED WEST
NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z,
281500Z AND 282100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 271500
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190927135316
2019092712 19W NINETEEN 002 01 285 15 SATL 030
T000 145N 1355E 030
T012 158N 1324E 040 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 171N 1297E 050 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD
T036 184N 1274E 060 R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T048 200N 1256E 070 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 242N 1240E 090 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 288N 1254E 090 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 338N 1294E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 14.5N 135.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 135.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.8N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.1N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.4N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.0N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.2N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.8N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.8N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 134.7E.
27SEP19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 839 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25
1919092712 145N1355E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 14.5N 135.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 135.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.8N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.1N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.4N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.0N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.2N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.8N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.8N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 134.7E.
27SEP19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 839 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
NNNN

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Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 190927081755
2019092706 19W NINETEEN 001 01 280 21 SATL 045
T000 141N 1370E 025
T012 154N 1338E 035 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 090 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 168N 1308E 045 R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 182N 1284E 055 R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD
T048 195N 1261E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 233N 1240E 080 R064 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 282N 1249E 090 R064 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 150 NW QD
T120 330N 1287E 075 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 14.1N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.4N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.2N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.5N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.3N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 33.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 136.2E.
27SEP19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 906 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z,
272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.//
1919092518 118N1471E 15
1919092600 121N1461E 20
1919092606 123N1451E 20
1919092612 128N1437E 20
1919092618 134N1415E 20
1919092700 138N1391E 20
1919092706 141N1370E 25

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261421ZSEP2019//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 14.1N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.4N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.2N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.5N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.3N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 33.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 136.2E.
27SEP19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 906 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z,
272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN PGTW 261430).//
NNNN

>

Global Telecommunication Service

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