Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CLAUDIA-20
in Australia

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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2020-01-15 20:07

WTXS51 PGTW 152100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115190141
2020011518 07S CLAUDIA 018 01 225 10 SATL 045
T000 214S 1048E 035 R034 075 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 225S 1037E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 21.4S 104.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 104.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 104.5E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
521 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

>

2020-01-15 20:00

WTXS51 PGTW 152100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115190141
2020011518 07S CLAUDIA 018 01 225 10 SATL 045
T000 214S 1048E 035 R034 075 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 225S 1037E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 21.4S 104.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 104.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 104.5E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
521 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z
IS 15 FEET.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011418 188S1083E 45
0720011500 195S1072E 45
0720011506 201S1064E 45
0720011512 207S1056E 40
0720011518 214S1048E 35
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 19:59

WTXS31 PGTW 152100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 21.4S 104.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 104.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 104.5E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
521 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY DECAYING DEEP CONVECTION AND A
FULLY-EXPOSED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 151759Z AMSR2
89GHZ IMAGE INDICATES A DEGRADING LLC WITH FRAGMENTED, SHALLOW
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP

>

2020-01-15 19:57

WTXS31 PGTW 152100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 21.4S 104.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 104.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 104.5E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
521 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY DECAYING DEEP CONVECTION AND A
FULLY-EXPOSED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 151759Z AMSR2
89GHZ IMAGE INDICATES A DEGRADING LLC WITH FRAGMENTED, SHALLOW
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION OVER THE WEST QUADRANT. A 151529Z ASCAT-C PARTIAL IMAGE
REFLECTS THE WEAKENING TREND WITH ONLY 20-30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED CONSERVATIVELY
AT 35 KNOTS BASED ON PGTW/APRF CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 2.5
(35 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE WITH
MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOL SST
(24-25C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. TC 07S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN UNDER
UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL
DISSIPATE BY TAU 12 AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 14:25

WTXS51 PGTW 151500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115125431
2020011512 07S CLAUDIA 017 01 225 09 SATL 025
T000 208S 1057E 040 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 220S 1043E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 228S 1033E 030
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-15 14:25

WTXS31 PGTW 151500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 20.8S 105.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S 105.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 22.0S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.8S 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1S 105.4E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 477

>

2020-01-15 14:19

WTXS51 PGTW 151500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115125431
2020011512 07S CLAUDIA 017 01 225 09 SATL 025
T000 208S 1057E 040 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 220S 1043E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 228S 1033E 030
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.8S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.7S 103.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 107.0E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
411 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011418 188S1083E 45
0720011500 195S1074E 45
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 14:18

WTXS31 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 20.8S 105.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S 105.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 22.0S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.8S 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1S 105.4E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 477
NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RESUMED ITS WEAKENING PHASE AFTER BEING
IN EQUILIBRIUM FOR APPROXIMATELY 18HRS. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS
BEGUN TO UNRAVEL AND ELONGATE AS CONVECTIVE TOPS WARMED. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON RAGGED BUT DEFINED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURES IN THE 151032Z AMSU AND 150939Z SSMIS
MICROWAVE IMAGES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON OBJECTIVE AND
AGENCY OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T2.0/30KTS TO
T3.0/45KTS AND REFLECTS THE DEGRADATION. ANALYSES INDICATE RELATIVE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT 10-15KTS WITH A SUSTAINED NORTHWESTWARD
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, ALONG-TRACK SSTS ARE DOWN TO 25C AND DROPPING. THE
CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE COOLING SSTS
AND DIMINISHING OUTFLOW AS TC CLAUDIA CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD,
WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THE SYSTEM, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 24.
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE
TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
151200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 08:30

WTXS51 PGTW 150900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115063537
2020011506 07S CLAUDIA 016 01 235 12 SATL 025
T000 202S 1064E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 214S 1049E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 225S 1037E 035 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 232S 1029E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-15 08:30

WTXS31 PGTW 150900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 20.2S 106.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S 106.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.4S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-15 08:21

WTXS51 PGTW 150900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115063537
2020011506 07S CLAUDIA 016 01 235 12 SATL 025
T000 202S 1064E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 214S 1049E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 225S 1037E 035 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 232S 1029E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.8S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.7S 103.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 107.0E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
411 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011418 188S1083E 45
0720011500 195S1074E 45
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 08:20

WTXS31 PGTW 150900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 20.2S 106.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S 106.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.4S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 23.2S 102.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 20.5S 106.0E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 449
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED OVERALL CONVECTIVE
SIGNATURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED
ON A RAGGED BUT DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 150546Z
GPM 36GHZ COLORIZED IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE LOW
END OF AGENCY AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T3.0/45KTS
TO T3.5/55KTS TO REFLECT THE SUSTAINED CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE.
ANALYSES INDICATE RELATIVE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS ABATED TO 10-
15KTS AS UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW HAS BECOME IN-PHASE WITH THE STORM
MOTION. THIS, IN ADDITION TO SUSTAINED NORTHWESTWARD OUTFLOW HAS
MAINTAINED THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SSTS HAVE DROPPED
DOWN TO 25C. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWEST
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA.
THE COOLING SSTS AND DIMINISHING OUTFLOW AS TC CLAUDIA CONTINUES TO
TRACK POLEWARD, WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THE SYSTEM, LEADING TO
DISSIPATION BY TAU 36. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 02:33

WTXS51 PGTW 150300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115010527
2020011500 07S CLAUDIA 015 01 230 11 SATL 020
T000 195S 1074E 045 R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 207S 1057E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 218S 1043E 035 R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 227S 1034E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

>

2020-01-15 02:33

WTXS31 PGTW 150300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.8S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-15 02:27

WTXS51 PGTW 150300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200115010527
2020011500 07S CLAUDIA 015 01 230 11 SATL 020
T000 195S 1074E 045 R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 207S 1057E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 218S 1043E 035 R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 227S 1034E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.8S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.7S 103.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 107.0E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
411 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011418 188S1083E 45
0720011500 195S1074E 45
NNNN

>

2020-01-15 02:27

WTXS31 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.5S 107.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S 107.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.7S 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.8S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.7S 103.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 107.0E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
411 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. AN AREA OF
ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE
IN THE INITIAL POSITION, PLACED USING A 142335Z SSMIS 37 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWED A LOW BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE REGION TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS
45 KTS, STILL SLIGHTLY BELOW MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK FIX INTENSITIES OF
T3.5 (55 KTS). THIS IS DUE TO EARLIER ASCAT AND SMAP IMAGERY THAT
SHOWED THE DVORAK FIX INTENSITIES WERE HIGHER THAN REMOTELY SENSED
WIND SPEEDS. LIMITED OUTFLOW, MARGINAL (20-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, AND COOL (26-27 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAKE THE
ENVIRONMENT UNFAVORABLE. TC 07S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK AROUND THE
NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z,
152100Z AND 160300Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 20:38

WTXS51 PGTW 142100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114193105
2020011418 07S CLAUDIA 014 01 245 10 SATL 045
T000 188S 1083E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 200S 1064E 040 R034 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD
T024 211S 1049E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 221S 1038E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 18.8S 108.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S 108.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.0S 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

>

2020-01-14 20:38

WTXS31 PGTW 142100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 18.8S 108.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S 108.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.0S 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.1S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 20:33

WTXS51 PGTW 142100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114193105
2020011418 07S CLAUDIA 014 01 245 10 SATL 045
T000 188S 1083E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 200S 1064E 040 R034 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD
T024 211S 1049E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 221S 1038E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 18.8S 108.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S 108.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.0S 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.1S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.1S 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 19.1S 107.8E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 388 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011406 180S1101E 70
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011412 184S1093E 60
0720011418 188S1083E 45
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 20:32

WTXS31 PGTW 142100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 18.8S 108.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S 108.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.0S 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.1S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.1S 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 19.1S 107.8E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
388 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS FAIR
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON LOW LEVEL TURNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF ISOLATED CONVECTION IN ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY FALLS BELOW PGTW/KNES DVORAK
FIX INTENSITIES OF T3.5-4.0 (55-65 KTS) DUE TO A 141450Z METOP-B ASCAT
PASS SHOWING A MAX OF 35-40 KT WINDS AND A 141040Z SMAP FIX OF 46 KTS.
WITH FAIR NORTHWESTWARD OUTFLOW, STRONG (25-30 KT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, AND MARGINAL (26-27 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, THE
ENVIRONMENT IS HOSTILE OVERALL. THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
WILL LEAD TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 36 AS TC 07S TRACKS ALONG THE
NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
NAVGEM, WHICH IS A SLIGHT NORTHERN OUTLIER, NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. DESPITE GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG THE MODELS, THERE
IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST DUE TO FAIR CONFIDENCE
IN THE INITIAL POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS
20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 14:13

WTXS51 PGTW 141500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114130104
2020011412 07S CLAUDIA 013 01 240 11 SATL 020
T000 185S 1091E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD
100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 195S 1071E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 206S 1054E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 216S 1040E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 223S 1030E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 14:13

WTXS31 PGTW 141500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 18.5S 109.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S 109.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5S 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 14:09

WTXS51 PGTW 141500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114130104
2020011412 07S CLAUDIA 013 01 240 11 SATL 020
T000 185S 1091E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 195S 1071E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 206S 1054E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 216S 1040E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 223S 1030E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S 110.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5S 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5S 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.5S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.4S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.7S 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 22.7S 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9S 110.2E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
336 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 14:08

WTXS31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 18.5S 109.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S 109.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5S 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.6S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.6S 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.3S 103.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 18.8S 108.6E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 362
NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED FROM
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) AS IT CONTINUES TO DECAY AS
EVIDENCED BY WARMING CONVECTIVE TOPS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE DEFINED LLC FEATURE IN THE 140952Z
SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS AVERAGED FROM AGENCY
DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T4.0/60KTS TO T4.5/77KTS AND REFLECTS
THE DEGRADATION. ANALYSES INDICATE A RAPIDLY DETERIORATING
ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASING (25KTS+) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLING
SSTS (26C AND DROPPING) THAT ARE PARTLY OFFSET BY GOOD NORTHWESTWARD
OUTFLOW. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. IT WILL CONTINUE
ON THIS TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. THE HARSH ENVIRONMENT WILL
CONTINUE TO ERODE TC 07S, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 48. THE
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT WITH NAVGEM THE SOLE RIGHT
OF TRACK OUTLIER. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 26
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 08:02

WTXS51 PGTW 140900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114065705
2020011406 07S CLAUDIA 012 01 245 10 SATL 025
T000 181S 1097E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 115 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 190S 1077E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 201S 1059E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 211S 1045E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 219S 1033E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 226S 1021E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 08:02

WTXS31 PGTW 140900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 18.1S 109.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 109.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.0S 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 07:58

WTXS51 PGTW 140900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114065705
2020011406 07S CLAUDIA 012 01 245 10 SATL 025
T000 181S 1097E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 190S 1077E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 201S 1059E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 211S 1045E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 219S 1033E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 226S 1021E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S 110.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5S 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5S 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.5S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.4S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.7S 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 22.7S 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9S 110.2E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
336 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 07:58

WTXS31 PGTW 140900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 18.1S 109.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 109.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.0S 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.1S 105.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.1S 104.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 21.9S 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 22.6S 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 18.3S 109.2E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 353 NM
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS SHEARED FURTHER AWAY
FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT HAS NOW BECOME MORE EXPOSED,
RAGGED, AND ELONGATED. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE MSI LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON
AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF OBJECTIVE AND AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES AND
REFLECTS THE DEGRADATION. ANALYSES INDICATE A RAPIDLY DETERIORATING
ENVIRONMENT AS THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO INCREASING (25KTS+)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLING SSTS (27C AND DROPPING) THAT ARE
PARTLY OFFSET BY GOOD NORTHWESTWARD OUTFLOW THAT IS PROVIDING
VENTILATION TO THE OFFSET CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG
THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER WESTERN
AUSTRALIA. IT WILL CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST.
THE HARSH ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE TC 07S, LEADING TO
DISSIPATION BY TAU 72, POSSIBLY SOONER. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN
TIGHT AGREEMENT UP TO TAU 48; AFTERWARD, THEY DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY,
AN INDICATION OF A WEAK VORTEX. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z, 150300Z AND 150900Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 03:10

WTXS51 PGTW 140300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114011718
2020011400 07S CLAUDIA 011 01 270 16 SATL 050
T000 177S 1107E 080 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 125 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 185S 1087E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 195S 1069E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 205S 1054E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 214S 1043E 050 R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 227S 1031E 040 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 227S 1011E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 03:01

WTXS51 PGTW 140300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200114011718
2020011400 07S CLAUDIA 011 01 270 16 SATL 050
T000 177S 1107E 080 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 185S 1087E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 195S 1069E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 205S 1054E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 214S 1043E 050 R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 227S 1031E 040 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 227S 1011E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S 110.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5S 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5S 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.5S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.4S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.7S 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 22.7S 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9S 110.2E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
336 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011318 177S1124E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
0720011400 177S1107E 80
NNNN

>

2020-01-14 02:24

WTXS31 PGTW 140300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S 110.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5S 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-14 02:11

WTXS31 PGTW 140300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 17.7S 110.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S 110.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.5S 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.5S 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.5S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.4S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.7S 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 22.7S 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9S 110.2E.
14JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
336 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS TIGHTLY WRAPPING DEEP CONVECTION WHICH IS OBSCURING
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF TC 07S. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE, EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 132209Z
AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE WITH
THE PRIMARY CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE NORTHEAST. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 80 KNOTS WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF WARMING CLOUD TOPS, A 140010Z ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS, MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT
ESTIMATES OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW, AND A 132208Z
SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 86 KNOTS. TC 07S REMAINS IN A REGION
OF UNFAVORABLE (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE
NEGATIVE IMPACT OF THE SHEAR IS OFFSET BY THE FACT THAT THE SHEAR
AND STORM MOTION ARE IN-PHASE. THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL FOR
TC 07S CONTINUES TO DIMINISH AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS LIMITED AS
IT TRANSITS THROUGH AN AREA OF WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. TC 07S IS TRACKING WEST ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY
OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THIS
STR WILL ACT AS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THE SYSTEM
THROUGH TAU 72. THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,
STEADILY COOLING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND CONVERGENCE ALOFT WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN TC 07S. THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL
TAU 72 AT WHICH POINT IT WILL BEGIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TURN AS IT
ENCOUNTERS A SECONDARY STR, WHICH BECOMES THE MAJOR STEERING
INFLUENCE. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM'S MORE EQUATORWARD SOLUTION, THROUGH TAU 72,
WITH A MODEL SPREAD OF 120 NM. THE REMAINING GLOBAL MODEL SOLUTIONS
SHOW THE EXPECTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TURN. HOWEVER, THERE IS SOME
VARIATION IN THE TIMING OF THE TURN. THUS, MODEL SPREAD INCREASES AT
TAU 96. OVERALL, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK
WHICH IS PLACED EQUATORWARD OF MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE
AFOREMENTIONED OUTLIER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z
IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 20:44

WTXS51 PGTW 132100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113194150
2020011318 07S CLAUDIA 010 01 260 14 SATL 050
T000 175S 1123E 085 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 125 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 183S 1100E 075 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 192S 1082E 065 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 202S 1066E 055 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 211S 1053E 050 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 227S 1038E 040 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 229S 1021E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 17.5S 112.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-13 20:44

WTXS31 PGTW 132100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 17.5S 112.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S 112.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.3S 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-13 20:34

WTXS51 PGTW 132100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113194150
2020011318 07S CLAUDIA 010 01 260 14 SATL 050
T000 175S 1123E 085 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 183S 1100E 075 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 192S 1082E 065 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 202S 1066E 055 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 211S 1053E 050 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 227S 1038E 040 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 229S 1021E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 17.5S 112.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S 112.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.3S 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.2S 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.2S 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.1S 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.7S 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 22.9S 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 111.7E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
305 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.
//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011312 173S1138E 80
0720011318 175S1123E 85
0720011318 175S1123E 85
0720011318 175S1123E 85
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 20:32

WTXS31 PGTW 132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 17.5S 112.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S 112.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.3S 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.2S 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.2S 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.1S 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.7S 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 22.9S 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 111.7E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
305 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TIGHTLY WRAPPING DEEP CONVECTION
WHICH IS OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF TC
07S. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE FROM AN
1809Z AMSR2 36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE
WITH THE PRIMARY CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE NORTHWEST. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 85 KTS WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF A 131740Z ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF
77 KNOTS, MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT ESTIMATES OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS)
FROM KNES AND PGTW, AND A 131055Z SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 87
KNOTS. TC 07S REMAINS IN A REGION OF UNFAVORABLE (25-30 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF THE SHEAR IS
OFFSET BY THE FACT THAT THE SHEAR AND STORM MOTION ARE IN-PHASE. THE
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL FOR TC 07S IS DIMINISHING AND POLEWARD
OUTFLOW REMAINS LIMITED AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH AN AREA OF WARM (27-
28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TC 07S IS TRACKING WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THIS STR WILL ACT AS THE
PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THE SYSTEM THROUGH TAU 72. THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, STEADILY COOLING SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AND DECREASING DIVERGENCE ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TC
07S. THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL TAU 72 AT WHICH
POINT IT WILL BEGIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TURN AS IT ENCOUNTERS A
SECONDARY STR, WHICH BECOMES THE MAJOR STEERING INFLUENCE. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
NAVGEMS MORE EQUATORWARD SOLUTION, THROUGH TAU 72, WITH A MODEL
SPREAD OF 150 NM. THE REMAINING GLOBAL MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW THE
EXPECTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TURN. HOWEVER, THERE IS SOME VARIATION
IN THE TIMING OF THE TURN. THUS, MODEL SPREAD INCREASES AT TAU 96.
OVERALL, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH
IS PLACED EQUATORWARD OF MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE
AFOREMENTIONED OUTLIER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z
IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 14:57

WTXS51 PGTW 131500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113133850
2020011312 07S CLAUDIA 009 01 250 19 SATL 025
T000 176S 1137E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 105 SE QD
100 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 185S 1111E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 193S 1091E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 201S 1073E 060 R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 211S 1059E 055 R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 227S 1040E 045 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 232S 1025E 040 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 226S 1002E 035 R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 17.6S 113.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-13 14:57

WTXS31 PGTW 131500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 17.6S 113.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 113.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 18.5S 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-13 14:43

WTXS51 PGTW 131500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113133850
2020011312 07S CLAUDIA 009 01 250 19 SATL 025
T000 176S 1137E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 105 SE QD 100 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 185S 1111E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 193S 1091E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 201S 1073E 060 R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 211S 1059E 055 R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 227S 1040E 045 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 232S 1025E 040 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 226S 1002E 035 R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 17.6S 113.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 113.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 18.5S 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 19.3S 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 20.1S 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 21.1S 105.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.7S 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 23.2S 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.6S 100.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 17.8S 113.1E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 283 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011312 176S1137E 80
0720011312 176S1137E 80
0720011312 176S1137E 80
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 14:42

WTXS31 PGTW 131500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 17.6S 113.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 113.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 18.5S 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 19.3S 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 20.1S 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 21.1S 105.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.7S 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 23.2S 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.6S 100.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 17.8S 113.1E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
283 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 19 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TIGHTLY WRAPPING DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION OF
A 131055Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING A MICROWAVE EYE
FEATURE, THE INITIAL POSITION IS SET WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 80 KTS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE
OF T4.6 (80 KTS), MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77
KTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW, AND A 130618Z SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE
OF 79 KTS. TC 07S REMAINS IN A REGION OF UNFAVORABLE (25-30 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF THE SHEAR IS
OFFSET BY THE FACT THAT THE SHEAR AND STORM MOTION ARE IN-PHASE. TC
07S HAS EXCELLENT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS IT
TRANSITS THROUGH AN AREA OF WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. TC 07S IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
AUSTRALIA. THIS STR WILL ACT AS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE FOR
THE SYSTEM THROUGH TAU 72. THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, STEADILY COOLING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND DECREASING
DIVERGENCE ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TC 07S. THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL TAU 72 AT WHICH POINT IT WILL BEGIN A
NORTHWESTWARD TURN AS IT ENCOUNTERS A SECONDARY STR, WHICH BECOMES
THE MAJOR STEERING INFLUENCE. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 36, WITH A MODEL SPREAD OF 140 NM. ALL MODEL
SOLUTIONS SHOW THE EXPECTED NORTHWESTWARD TURN. HOWEVER, THERE IS
SOME ALONG-TRACK VARIATION IN THE TIMING OF THE TURN. THUS, MODEL
SPREAD INCREASES IN THE LATER TAUS. OVERALL, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 31 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 08:59

WTXS51 PGTW 130900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113081502
2020011306 07S CLAUDIA 008 01 245 18 SATL 025
T000 169S 1155E 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD
110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 179S 1126E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 187S 1103E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 196S 1085E 070 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 205S 1068E 065 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 222S 1045E 055 R050 035 NE QD 055 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 228S 1033E 045 R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 226S 1015E 040 R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 16.9S 115.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

>

2020-01-13 08:41

WTXS31 PGTW 130900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 16.9S 115.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 115.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.9S 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-13 08:38

WTXS51 PGTW 130900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113081502
2020011306 07S CLAUDIA 008 01 245 18 SATL 025
T000 169S 1155E 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 179S 1126E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 187S 1103E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 196S 1085E 070 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 205S 1068E 065 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 222S 1045E 055 R050 035 NE QD 055 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 228S 1033E 045 R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 226S 1015E 040 R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 16.9S 115.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 115.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.9S 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.7S 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.6S 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.5S 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.2S 104.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 22.8S 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 22.6S 101.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 17.2S 114.8E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
0720011306 169S1155E 80
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 08:38

WTXS31 PGTW 130900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 16.9S 115.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 115.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.9S 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.7S 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.6S 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 20.5S 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 22.2S 104.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 22.8S 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 22.6S 101.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 17.2S 114.8E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
270 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION THAT IS
CONTINUING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE SYMMETRIC AROUND THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). BASED ON A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE
IN A 130556Z GMI 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KTS IS BASED ON THE
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.6 (80
KTS), HEDGED BETWEEN THE DVORAK CURRENT ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77 KTS)
FROM KNES AND PGTW AND A 130528Z SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 82
KTS. TC 07S CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS; HOWEVER, THIS IS OFFSET BY THE FACT THAT THE SHEAR
AND STORM MOTION REMAIN IN-PHASE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL,
AND HIGH (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TC 07S IS TRACKING
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR)
TO THE SOUTHEAST, LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THE STR WILL REMAIN
THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM THROUGH TAU 96. IN THE NEAR TERM, THE
MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW TC 07S A SHORT PERIOD
OF CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION, PEAKING TO 85 KTS BY TAU 12. BEYOND TAU
12, STEADILY COOLING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LIMITED OUTFLOW
WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TC 07S. AROUND TAU 96, THE SYSTEM TURNS TO A
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A SECONDARY STR.
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48 WHERE
IT HAS A MODEL SPREAD OF 119 NM. ALL MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW THE
NORTHWESTWARD TURN; HOWEVER, THERE IS VARIATION IN THE TIMING OF THE
TURN, RESULTING IN INCREASED SPREAD IN THE LATER TAUS. OVERALL, THERE
IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH LIES NEAR THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS
29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 02:39

WTXS51 PGTW 130300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113012337
2020011300 07S CLAUDIA 007 01 250 15 SATL 030
T000 162S 1172E 075 R064 005 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
015 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 120 SE QD
085 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 171S 1141E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 179S 1115E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 188S 1094E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 196S 1077E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD
070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 215S 1050E 055 R050 025 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 226S 1035E 050 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
045 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 225S 1022E 040 R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 16.2S 117.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2020-01-13 02:39

WTXS31 PGTW 130300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 16.2S 117.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 117.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-13 02:25

WTXS51 PGTW 130300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200113012337
2020011300 07S CLAUDIA 007 01 250 15 SATL 030
T000 162S 1172E 075 R064 005 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 015 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 120 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 171S 1141E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 179S 1115E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 188S 1094E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 196S 1077E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 215S 1050E 055 R050 025 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 226S 1035E 050 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 225S 1022E 040 R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 16.2S 117.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 117.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.9S 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.8S 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.6S 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.5S 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.6S 103.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 22.5S 102.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 16.4S 116.4E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
259 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z AND 140300Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
0720011300 162S1172E 75
NNNN

>

2020-01-13 02:24

WTXS31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 16.2S 117.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 117.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.9S 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.8S 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.6S 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.5S 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.6S 103.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 22.5S 102.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 16.4S 116.4E.
13JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
259 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE
AND IS BASED ON A 122220Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS A MICROWAVE
EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE ADT
CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATE OF T4.4 (75 KNOTS) AND HEDGED
BETWEEN THE DVORAK CI ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND
PGTW AND THE SATCON ESTIMATE OF 85 KNOTS. TC 07S CONTINUES TO
EXPERIENCE UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, 25 TO 30 KNOTS. HOWEVER,
THIS IS OFFSET BY THE FACT THAT THE SHEAR AND STORM MOTION REMAIN IN-
PHASE. TC 07S CONTINUES TO HAVE STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND A
DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, BETWEEN 29 AND 31 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 07S
IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WHILE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) WHICH IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER
CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THE STR WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE
TROUGH TAU 96. FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL
ALLOW FOR STEADY INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 12. BEYOND TAU 12, TC
07S WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND THE
OUTFLOW BECOMES CONSTRICTED. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THOUGH TAU 48 WITH A SPREAD OF 80 NM. BY TAU 120, THE
SPREAD INCREASES TO 290 NM. THE GFS ENSEMBLE REMAINS THE OUTLIER TO
THE SOUTHEAST WITH THE REMAINING CONSENSUS MEMBERS INDICATING A WEST
TO NORTHWESTWARD TURN AFTER TAU 96 AS A SECONDARY STR BECOMES THE
PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z AND 140300Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 20:59

WTXS51 PGTW 122100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112195424
2020011218 07S CLAUDIA 006 01 250 21 SATL 020
T000 157S 1187E 070 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
025 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 120 SE QD
085 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 167S 1154E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 176S 1127E 090 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 184S 1104E 080 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 192S 1085E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 209S 1056E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 224S 1039E 050 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 227S 1025E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 15.7S 118.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

>

2020-01-12 20:59

WTXS31 PGTW 122100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 15.7S 118.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S 118.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.7S 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-12 20:38

WTXS51 PGTW 122100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112195424
2020011218 07S CLAUDIA 006 01 250 21 SATL 020
T000 157S 1187E 070 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 120 SE QD 085 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 167S 1154E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 176S 1127E 090 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 184S 1104E 080 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 192S 1085E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 209S 1056E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 224S 1039E 050 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 227S 1025E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 15.7S 118.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S 118.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.7S 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.6S 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.4S 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.2S 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.9S 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.4S 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 22.7S 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
122100Z POSITION NEAR 16.0S 117.9E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
240 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 130300Z, 130900Z, 131500Z AND 132100Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011206 144S1222E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
0720011218 157S1187E 70
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 20:37

WTXS31 PGTW 122100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 15.7S 118.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S 118.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.7S 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.6S 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.4S 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.2S 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.9S 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.4S 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 22.7S 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
122100Z POSITION NEAR 16.0S 117.9E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
240 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT BUT ASYMMETRIC DEEP
CONVECTION LOCATED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC.
HOWEVER, MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE IN
BOTH THE UPPER AND LOWER LEVELS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 121831Z GMI 37GHZ IMAGE, WHICH
SHOWS A DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS IS
HEDGED ABOVE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65
KNOTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW BASED ON THE IMPRESSIVE STRUCTURE SEEN IN
THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. TC 07S IS EXPERIENCING UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, 25 TO 30 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THIS IS OFFSET BY THE FACT THAT
THE SHEAR AND STORM MOTION ARE IN-PHASE. TC 07S CONTINUES TO HAVE
STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND AN IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT,
BETWEEN 29 AND 31 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 07S IS TRACKING WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD WHILE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR)
WHICH IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE STR WILL BE THE PRIMARY
STEERING FEATURE TROUGH TAU 96. FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR STEADY, TO NEAR RAPID, INTENSIFICATION
IN THE SHORT TERM. BEYOND TAU 24, TC 07S WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT
TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND EXPERIENCES
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48 WITH A SPREAD OF 116 NM. BY TAU 120, THE
SPREAD INCREASES TO 250 NM WITH THE GFS ENSEMBLE THE OUTLIER TO THE
SOUTHEAST. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
130300Z, 130900Z, 131500Z AND 132100Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 15:09

WTXS51 PGTW 121500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112142422
2020011212 07S CLAUDIA 005 01 250 18 SATL 020
T000 150S 1207E 060 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 160S 1176E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 169S 1145E 085 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 178S 1119E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 186S 1099E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 203S 1067E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 219S 1049E 050 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 228S 1034E 045 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 15.0S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

>

2020-01-12 15:09

WTXS31 PGTW 121500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 15.0S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-12 15:07

WTXS51 PGTW 121500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112142422
2020011212 07S CLAUDIA 005 01 250 18 SATL 020
T000 150S 1207E 060 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 160S 1176E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 169S 1145E 085 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 178S 1119E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 186S 1099E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 203S 1067E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 219S 1049E 050 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 228S 1034E 045 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 15.0S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 16.9S 114.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.8S 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.6S 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.3S 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 21.9S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 22.8S 103.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 15.3S 119.9E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1224E 55
0720011206 144S1224E 55
0720011212 150S1207E 60
0720011212 150S1207E 60
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 15:06

WTXS31 PGTW 121500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 15.0S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 16.9S 114.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.8S 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 18.6S 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.3S 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 21.9S 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 22.8S 103.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 15.3S 119.9E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
194 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION CYCLING
OVERHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 121108Z SSMIS
91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO
A LLCC WITH A FORMATIVE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE, PLACING GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 60 KTS
IS SET BETWEEN THE MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
T4.0 (65 KTS) BY APRF AND T3.5 (55 KTS) BY PGTW AND KNES. TC 07S
REMAINS IN AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH (30-31 DEGREES
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, FAIR
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND NEUTRAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, NEAR 20 KTS. AS
THE WIND SHEAR IS IN-PHASE WITH THE SYSTEM?S MOVEMENT, THE IMPACT ON
TC 07S IS LESSENED. TC 07S IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), WHICH IS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
AUSTRALIA. THE STR WILL ACT AS THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR 30 DEGREES CELSIUS, ALLOWING TC 07S TO
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. BEYOND TAU 24, SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE TRACK STEADILY COOL, CAUSING TC 07S TO WEAKEN.
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE ONE NOTABLE
OUTLIER IS GFS WHICH DEPICTS A SOLUTION THAT TRACKS TO THE NORTH OF
THE MAJORITY OF THE MODELS AFTER TAU 24. MODEL SPREAD BEGINS TO
INCREASE AFTER TAU 36, INCREASING TO 220 NM BY TAU 72. DESPITE THIS,
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE BEGINNING OF THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK
WHICH LIES NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. HOWEVER, DUE TO THE
GRADUALLY INCREASING MODEL SPREAD, THERE IS ONLY FAIR CONFIDENCE IN
THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z,
130900Z AND 131500Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 09:27

WTXS51 PGTW 120900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112081713
2020011206 07S CLAUDIA 004 01 240 11 SATL SYNP 020
T000 144S 1224E 055 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 110 SE QD 115 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 154S 1194E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 163S 1163E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 173S 1135E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 182S 1111E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 197S 1076E 065 R064 005 NE QD 025 SE QD 005 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 214S 1056E 060 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD
T120 222S 1043E 055 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
045 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 055 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 14.4S 122.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS

>

2020-01-12 09:27

WTXS31 PGTW 120900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 14.4S 122.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S 122.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.4S 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-12 08:49

WTXS51 PGTW 120900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112081713
2020011206 07S CLAUDIA 004 01 240 11 SATL SYNP 020
T000 144S 1224E 055 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 110 SE QD 115 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 154S 1194E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 163S 1163E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 173S 1135E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 182S 1111E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 197S 1076E 065 R064 005 NE QD 025 SE QD 005 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 214S 1056E 060 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD
T120 222S 1043E 055 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 055 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 14.4S 122.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S 122.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.4S 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.3S 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.3S 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.2S 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 19.7S 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 21.4S 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 22.2S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7S 121.6E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z, 130300Z AND 130900Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011200 138S1234E 50
0720011206 144S1224E 55
0720011206 144S1224E 55
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 08:48

WTXS31 PGTW 120900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 14.4S 122.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S 122.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.4S 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.3S 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.3S 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 18.2S 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 19.7S 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 21.4S 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 22.2S 104.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7S 121.6E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
210 NM NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WRAP
TIGHTLY AROUND THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED NATURE OF
THE LLCC PLACES GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 55 KTS, HEDGED BETWEEN A 120548Z SATCON ESTIMATE
OF 62 KTS AND MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.0
(45 KTS) BY PGTW AND KNES AND T3.5 (55KTS) BY APRF. TC 07S REMAINS IN
AN AREA OF WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WITH NEUTRAL
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NEAR 20 KTS; HOWEVER,
THE SHEAR IS IN-PHASE WITH THE SYSTEM?S MOTION AND THUS THE IMPACT ON
TC 07S IS LIMITED. TC 07S IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY EXCELLENT
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND LIMITED POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MAINTAINING AN
OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. TC 07S IS
TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) WHICH IS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THIS STR WILL
ACT AS THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AS TC 07S TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD, IT WILL TRANSIT THROUGH SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES NEAR 30 CELSIUS UNTIL AROUND TAU 30 WHICH WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO ITS STEADY INTENSIFICATION. FOLLOWING THAT, THE ALONG-
TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY COOL AND CAUSE TC 07S TO
WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE
REMAINS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. HOWEVER, MODEL SPREAD HAS BEEN
INCREASING AS TWO NOTABLE OUTLIERS HAVE EMERGED: GFS TO THE NORTH AND
NAVGEM TO THE SOUTH. DESPITE THESE OUTLIERS, THERE IS STILL HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-
MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z, 130300Z AND 130900Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 02:42

WTXS51 PGTW 120300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112013536
2020011200 07S CLAUDIA 003 01 255 17 SATL 030
T000 140S 1233E 050 R050 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
035 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 150S 1204E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 160S 1174E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 171S 1144E 085 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 180S 1118E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 197S 1080E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 215S 1052E 060 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 222S 1036E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 14.0S 123.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM

>

2020-01-12 02:42

WTXS31 PGTW 120300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 14.0S 123.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S 123.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 15.0S 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-12 02:31

WTXS51 PGTW 120300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200112013536
2020011200 07S CLAUDIA 003 01 255 17 SATL 030
T000 140S 1233E 050 R050 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 035 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 150S 1204E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 160S 1174E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 171S 1144E 085 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 180S 1118E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 197S 1080E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 215S 1052E 060 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 222S 1036E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 14.0S 123.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S 123.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 15.0S 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 18.0S 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.7S 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.5S 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.2S 103.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 122.6E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
242 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
0720011200 140S1233E 50
0720011200 140S1233E 50
NNNN

>

2020-01-12 02:31

WTXS31 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 14.0S 123.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S 123.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 15.0S 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 18.0S 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.7S 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 21.5S 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.2S 103.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 122.6E.
12JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
242 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES
TO WRAP TIGHTLY AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON AN
112232Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH SHOW A FORMATIVE
MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS HEDGED SLIGHTLY
ABOVE THE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS)
FROM KNES AND PGTW AND BASED ON A 120005Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS WHICH
SHOWS 50 KNOTS. TC 07S IS EXPERIENCING NEUTRAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
NEAR 20 KNOTS. THERE IS A ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL BUT
LIMITED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AND GREATER THAN 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 07S IS TRACKING
SOUTHWESTWARD WHILE POSITIONED ON THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), WHICH REMAINS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
AUSTRALIA. THE STR WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS TC 07S TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD IT WILL CONTINUE
TO ENCOUNTER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR 30 DEGREES CELSIUS
THROUGH TAU 36 WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STEADY INTENSIFICATION.
BEYOND TAU 36, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE TRACK WILL COOL
AND ALLOW FOR A STEADY WEAKENING OF TC 07S. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE
REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. HOWEVER, THE MODELS SPREAD HAS SLIGHTLY
INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MODEL SPREAD IS NOW 112 NM BY TAU
48 AND IS NOW 230 NM BY TAU 120. HOWEVER, THERE IS STILL HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-
MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 17
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-11 20:54

WTXS51 PGTW 112100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200111200845
2020011118 07S CLAUDIA 002 01 255 13 SATL 030
T000 135S 1250E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 143S 1225E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 154S 1195E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 164S 1166E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 175S 1137E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 194S 1094E 075 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 212S 1063E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 222S 1045E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 13.5S 125.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2020-01-11 20:54

WTXS31 PGTW 112100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 13.5S 125.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S 125.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.3S 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.4S 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2020-01-11 20:50

WTXS51 PGTW 112100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200111200845
2020011118 07S CLAUDIA 002 01 255 13 SATL 030
T000 135S 1250E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 143S 1225E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 154S 1195E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 164S 1166E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 175S 1137E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 194S 1094E 075 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 212S 1063E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 222S 1045E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 13.5S 125.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S 125.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.3S 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.4S 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.4S 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.5S 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.4S 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.2S 106.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.2S 104.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7S 124.4E.
11JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
310 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1272E 30
0720011112 132S1263E 35
0720011118 135S1250E 45
NNNN

>

2020-01-11 20:49

WTXS31 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 13.5S 125.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S 125.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.3S 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.4S 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.4S 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.5S 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.4S 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 21.2S 106.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.2S 104.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7S 124.4E.
11JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
310 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITH A
SMALL AND PERSISTENT AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED WITH THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH
GOOD CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON AN 111642Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS EXCELLENT BANDING. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45
KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATE OF T3.0
(45 KNOTS) FROM KNES. THE INTENSITY IS ALSO HEDGED BETWEEN THE PGTW
DVORAK CI ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND AN 111624Z SATCON ESTIMATE
OF 49 KNOTS. TC 07S IS EXPERIENCING NEUTRAL TO UNFAVORABLE (20 TO 25
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THERE IS A ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL BUT LIMITED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND GREATER THAN 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC
07S IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD WHILE POSITIONED ON THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), WHICH IS LOCATED OVER
CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THE STR WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. AS TC 07S TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD IT WILL
CONTINUE TO ENCOUNTER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR 30 DEGREES
CELSIUS THROUGH TAU 48 WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STEADY
INTENSIFICATION. BEYOND TAU 48, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE
TRACK WILL COOL AND ALLOW FOR A STEADY WEAKENING OF TC 07S. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A MODEL SPREAD OF 100
NM BY TAU 48 AND 150 NM BY TAU 120. THEREFORE, THERE HIS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z,
121500Z AND 122100Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-11 15:11

WTXS31 PGTW 111500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110700ZJAN2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT REISSUED.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 126.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 126.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 13.8S 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-11 15:06

WTXS31 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110700ZJAN2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT REISSUED AND CORRECTED.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 126.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 126.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 13.8S 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.8S 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 19.0S 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.8S 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.1S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4S 125.7E.
11JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365
NM NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING UNDER FLARING,
DEEP CONVECTION WHICH OBSCURES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) AND IS BEING SHEARED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON THE LOW LEVEL TURNING IN EIR IMAGERY ALONG WITH
AN EXTRAPOLATION OF AN 110849Z SSMIS 91 GHZ COLORPCT MICROWAVE IMAGE
WHICH SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A LLCC. THERE IS
GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON AN 111259Z BULLSEYE
METOP-A ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING A WELL-DEFINED LLCC WITH A SWATH OF 35 KT
WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET
AT 35 KTS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT
IMAGE AND MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35
KTS) BY PGTW AND KNES. TC 07S IS TRANSITING THROUGH AN AREA OF HIGH
(30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. THE MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS
IN-PHASE WITH THE STORM MOTION, CURRENTLY LESSENING THE UNFAVORABLE
SHEAR EFFECT AND CONTRIBUTING TO AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
INTENSIFICATION. A DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TC 07S IS
ACTING AS THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM FOR THE SYSTEM. THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM WILL FOLLOW THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS RIDGE, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT INTENSIFIES TO A PEAK
OF 80 KTS AROUND TAU 48. AFTER THAT, COOLING SST AND DECREASING
UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL CAUSE TC 07S TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN.
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE
FORECAST PERIOD, INCREASING TO ONLY 112 NM OF CROSS-TRACK SPREAD AT
TAU 72. THIS LENDS GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST WHICH
LIES NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 111200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND
121500Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 110300 COR).//
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>

2020-01-11 15:03

WTXS51 PGTW 111500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200111143332
2020011112 07S SEVEN 001 01 265 11 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 132S 1262E 035 R034 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 138S 1241E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 148S 1215E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 160S 1186E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 171S 1156E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD
090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 190S 1109E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 208S 1075E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD
080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 221S 1054E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 126.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF

>

2020-01-11 14:57

WTXS51 PGTW 111500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 200111143332
2020011112 07S SEVEN 001 01 265 11 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 132S 1262E 035 R034 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 138S 1241E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 148S 1215E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 160S 1186E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 171S 1156E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 190S 1109E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 208S 1075E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 221S 1054E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 126.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 126.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 13.8S 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.8S 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.0S 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 17.1S 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 19.0S 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 20.8S 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 22.1S 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4S 125.7E.
11JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.//
0720010412 80S1334E 15
0720010418 82S1336E 15
0720010500 86S1340E 15
0720010506 90S1346E 20
0720010512 94S1353E 20
0720010518 96S1360E 20
0720010600 97S1365E 20
0720010606 99S1367E 25
0720010612 106S1371E 25
0720010618 107S1372E 25
0720010700 108S1375E 25
0720010706 112S1376E 25
0720010712 116S1368E 25
0720010718 113S1364E 25
0720010800 113S1358E 25
0720010806 114S1354E 25
0720010812 115S1350E 25
0720010818 116S1345E 25
0720010900 117S1339E 25
0720010906 122S1334E 20
0720010912 123S1327E 20
0720010918 125S1319E 20
0720011000 126S1309E 25
0720011006 126S1302E 25
0720011012 128S1298E 25
0720011018 128S1294E 25
0720011100 129S1281E 25
0720011106 131S1273E 30
0720011112 132S1262E 35
NNNN

>