Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FAUSTO-20 Off-shore from 16 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 17 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FAUSTO-20

Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

17/08 16:00 WTNT80EGRR171559

17/08 16:00 WTNT82EGRR171559

17/08 15:08 WTPN32PHNC171600

17/08 14:52 WTPZ21KNHC171450

17/08 14:52 WTPZ31KNHC171450

17/08 14:52 WTPZ41KNHC171451

17/08 09:13 WTPN32PHNC171000

17/08 08:40 WTPZ21KNHC170838

17/08 08:40 WTPZ31KNHC170838

17/08 08:40 WTPZ41KNHC170839

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 171559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.08.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90C ANALYSED POSITION : 10.5N 160.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP902020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 17.08.2020 10.5N 160.1W WEAK
00UTC 18.08.2020 10.5N 162.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 18.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 59.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 17.08.2020 12.0N 59.3W WEAK
00UTC 18.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N 102.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 17.08.2020 13.8N 102.4W MODERATE
00UTC 18.08.2020 15.9N 105.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 18.08.2020 17.3N 108.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 19.08.2020 18.5N 110.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.08.2020 19.9N 111.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.08.2020 21.1N 113.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 20.08.2020 22.4N 114.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 21.08.2020 23.7N 116.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 21.08.2020 24.7N 117.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 22.08.2020 25.9N 119.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 22.08.2020 27.0N 121.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 23.08.2020 28.5N 122.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 23.08.2020 29.6N 123.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 135.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 17.08.2020 14.7N 135.8W WEAK
00UTC 18.08.2020 14.9N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 18.08.2020 14.7N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 19.08.2020 14.6N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.08.2020 14.0N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.08.2020 13.5N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.08.2020 13.1N 141.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 21.08.2020 12.9N 141.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.08.2020 12.7N 141.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.08.2020 12.8N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.08.2020 13.0N 142.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.08.2020 13.6N 144.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.08.2020 13.7N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 23.3N 124.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 17.08.2020 23.3N 124.9W WEAK
00UTC 18.08.2020 23.6N 127.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 18.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 11.1N 145.0W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 18.08.2020 11.9N 145.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 19.08.2020 12.9N 146.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.08.2020 14.0N 147.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.08.2020 14.6N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 17.8N 54.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 21.08.2020 17.8N 54.4W WEAK
12UTC 21.08.2020 18.9N 56.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.08.2020 20.1N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.08.2020 20.9N 63.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.08.2020 21.9N 66.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.08.2020 22.9N 70.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 171559

>

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 171559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 17.08.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90C ANALYSED POSITION : 10.5N 160.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP902020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2020 0 10.5N 160.1W 1007 23
0000UTC 18.08.2020 12 10.5N 162.4W 1008 24
1200UTC 18.08.2020 24 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 59.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2020 0 12.0N 59.3W 1011 25
0000UTC 18.08.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N 102.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2020 0 13.8N 102.4W 993 51
0000UTC 18.08.2020 12 15.9N 105.9W 978 62
1200UTC 18.08.2020 24 17.3N 108.6W 975 64
0000UTC 19.08.2020 36 18.5N 110.6W 976 61
1200UTC 19.08.2020 48 19.9N 111.9W 973 61
0000UTC 20.08.2020 60 21.1N 113.2W 961 72
1200UTC 20.08.2020 72 22.4N 114.2W 966 62
0000UTC 21.08.2020 84 23.7N 116.0W 972 61
1200UTC 21.08.2020 96 24.7N 117.8W 980 50
0000UTC 22.08.2020 108 25.9N 119.5W 989 41
1200UTC 22.08.2020 120 27.0N 121.4W 994 33
0000UTC 23.08.2020 132 28.5N 122.9W 1000 28
1200UTC 23.08.2020 144 29.6N 123.8W 1005 23

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 135.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2020 0 14.7N 135.8W 1007 23
0000UTC 18.08.2020 12 14.9N 136.9W 1008 21
1200UTC 18.08.2020 24 14.7N 138.5W 1009 27
0000UTC 19.08.2020 36 14.6N 139.7W 1008 27
1200UTC 19.08.2020 48 14.0N 140.6W 1008 27
0000UTC 20.08.2020 60 13.5N 141.1W 1007 27
1200UTC 20.08.2020 72 13.1N 141.3W 1007 26
0000UTC 21.08.2020 84 12.9N 141.4W 1005 25
1200UTC 21.08.2020 96 12.7N 141.3W 1004 24
0000UTC 22.08.2020 108 12.8N 141.8W 1002 29
1200UTC 22.08.2020 120 13.0N 142.8W 1000 35
0000UTC 23.08.2020 132 13.6N 144.1W 1000 35
1200UTC 23.08.2020 144 13.7N 146.2W 1000 37

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 23.3N 124.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2020 0 23.3N 124.9W 1007 22
0000UTC 18.08.2020 12 23.6N 127.7W 1010 20
1200UTC 18.08.2020 24 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 11.1N 145.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 18.08.2020 24 11.9N 145.1W 1009 21
0000UTC 19.08.2020 36 12.9N 146.1W 1008 26
1200UTC 19.08.2020 48 14.0N 147.9W 1009 25
0000UTC 20.08.2020 60 14.6N 150.0W 1009 27
1200UTC 20.08.2020 72 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 17.8N 54.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2020 84 17.8N 54.4W 1009 28
1200UTC 21.08.2020 96 18.9N 56.6W 1006 38
0000UTC 22.08.2020 108 20.1N 59.8W 1005 38
1200UTC 22.08.2020 120 20.9N 63.0W 1004 40
0000UTC 23.08.2020 132 21.9N 66.6W 1002 44
1200UTC 23.08.2020 144 22.9N 70.1W 999 48

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 171559

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 171600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 007
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 23.3N 125.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N 125.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 23.8N 127.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 23.8N 130.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 23.4N 132.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
171600Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 126.2W.
17AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
711 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WANCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 171200Z IS 10 FEET.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10E (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL
WARNING.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 171450
TCMEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112020
1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.9W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.9W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 125.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.8N 127.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.8N 130.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.4N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 125.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FAUSTO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 171450
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020
800 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020

...FAUSTO BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 125.9W
ABOUT 1015 MI...1635 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto
was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 125.9 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20
km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight,
followed by a turn toward the west-southwest with a gradual
decrease in forward speed on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate
by Wednesday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 171451
TCDEP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020
800 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020

Fausto has been absent of deep convection for about 12 hours, and
with the system over SSTs below 23 degrees Celsius, it is unlikely
organized deep convection will return. Therefore, Fausto has
become a remnant low, and this will be the final NHC advisory on
this system. The initial wind speed has been set at 25 kt, which
is a blend of the TAFB Dvorak T- and CI-numbers. The low should
continue to spin down over cooler waters over the next day or so,
and the global models indicate it will dissipate by Wednesday
morning.

The initial motion estimate is now westward or 280/11 kt. The
remnant low should turn west-southwestward on Tuesday while it
continues to weaken and comes under the influence of the
low-level trade wind flow. The track guidance remains in good
agreement, and the NHC forecast is close to the multi-model
consensus.

This is the last NHC advisory on Fausto. For additional
information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/1500Z 23.4N 125.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 18/0000Z 23.8N 127.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 18/1200Z 23.8N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 19/0000Z 23.4N 132.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 171000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 006
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 22.9N 123.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N 123.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 23.7N 126.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 23.9N 128.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.7N 130.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 23.0N 133.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
171000Z POSITION NEAR 23.2N 124.5W.
17AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
679 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 171600Z, 172200Z, 180400Z AND 181000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10E (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR FINAL WARNING.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 170838
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112020
0900 UTC MON AUG 17 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 124.2W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 124.2W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 123.5W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.7N 126.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.9N 128.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.7N 130.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 124.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 170838
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fausto Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020
200 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020

...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 124.2W
ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fausto
was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 124.2 West. Fausto
is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through midday today. A
turn toward the west and west-southwest with a gradual decrease in
forward speed is expected to begin this afternoon and continue
through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and Fausto is
forecast to degenerate into a remnant low later today. The remnant
low is expected to dissipate late Tuesday or early Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 170839
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression Fausto Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020
200 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020

The last remaining bit of Fausto's deep convection dissipated
around 10 PM PDT (0500 UTC), with the depression's center now over
sea surface temperatures of about 23 degrees Celsius. An ASCAT
pass from several hours ago showed an area of 20-25 kt winds mainly
to the northwest of the center, so the initial intensity is lowered
to 25 kt. Fausto is expected to move over slightly colder waters
during the next few days, and it is unlikely that significant deep
convection will be able to redevelop. Therefore, maximum winds
will continue to gradually decrease, and Fausto is expected to
degenerate into a remnant low later today. Based on global model
fields, the remnant low is expected to dissipate in 2-3 days.

The ASCAT pass indicated that Fausto's center was a little farther
south than previously estimated, and the initial motion is
west-northwestward, or 295/15 kt. High pressure in the low levels
of the atmosphere to the west of California is expected to cause
Fausto and its remnants to turn westward and west-southwestward
with a gradual decrease in forward speed during the next couple of
days. The NHC track forecast is close to HCCA and the model
consensus aids, and it's a little bit south of the previous
official track to account for the southward adjustment of the
initial position.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/0900Z 23.1N 124.2W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 17/1800Z 23.7N 126.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 18/0600Z 23.9N 128.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 18/1800Z 23.7N 130.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 19/0600Z 23.0N 133.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

>

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.