Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MAYSAK-20
in Republic of Korea, Japan, Democratic Republic of Korea, China

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPED LOW FORMER TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030600UTC 42N 129E
MOVE N 30KT
PRES 974HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 200NM NORTHWEST =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPED LOW FORMER TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030600UTC 42N 129E
MOVE N 30KT
PRES 974HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 200NM NORTHWEST =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 024A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 024A CORRECTED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 35.5N 129.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.5N 129.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 41.2N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.6N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 36.9N 128.9E.
02SEP20. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 24 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BUSAN, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE TIGHTLY-CURVED
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WHICH
SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. A 021748Z AMSR2
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS ERODING CORE CONVECTION WITH EXPANSIVE
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA.
TY 10W MADE LANDFALL AT 02/17Z ABOUT 12NM WEST OF BUSAN, WHICH
REPORTED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 64 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 75 KNOTS. THESE WIND REPORTS SUPPORT THE INITIAL INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS, WHICH IS ALSO BOLSTERED BY THE RJTD DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF T4.0/5.0 (65/90 KNOTS). TY 10W IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LEADING EDGE OF
A DEEP MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND SHOULD COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 12 AS IT GAINS FRONTAL
CHARACTERISTICS. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND
INDICATES A CYCLONICALLY SHAPED FORECAST TRACK AS THE SYSTEM
OCCLUDES OVER MANCHURIA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AS A
STORM-FORCE EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW OVER NORTH KOREA AND MANCHURIA. THIS
IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN
PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (HAISHEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: UPDATED SUBJECT LINE WITH SYSTEM
INFORMATION.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 030300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 31
NAME LOW FROM 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 030300UTC 40.1N 129.0E
MOVEMENT N 24KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030300UTC 40.5N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE N 33KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 040300UTC 48.1N 123.5E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 030300
WARNING 030300.
WARNING VALID 040300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 970 HPA
AT 40.5N 129.6E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 33 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 46.1N 126.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040300UTC AT 48.1N 123.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 030300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030300UTC 40.5N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE N 33KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 040300UTC 48.1N 123.5E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 38.8N, 129.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOW SSTS AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR
AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030000UTC 38.8N 129.7E FAIR
MOVE N 33KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 040000UTC 48.0N 124.2E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030000UTC 38.8N 129.7E FAIR
MOVE N 33KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 040000UTC 48.0N 124.2E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 030000
WARNING 030000.
WARNING VALID 040000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 965 HPA
AT 38.8N 129.7E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 33 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 45.3N 126.8E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 48.0N 124.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 022100
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 29
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 022100UTC 37.3N 129.1E
MOVEMENT N 38KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 030300UTC 40.9N 128.6E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
12HR
POSITION 030900UTC 44.6N 127.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 022100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 022100UTC 37.0N 129.4E GOOD
MOVE N 31KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 032100UTC 47.2N 125.1E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 022100
WARNING 022100.
WARNING VALID 032100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 37.0N 129.4E KOREA MOVING NORTH 31 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 43.7N 128.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 47.2N 125.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 022100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 022100UTC 37.0N 129.4E GOOD
MOVE N 31KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 032100UTC 47.2N 125.1E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 35.5N, 128.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
955HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND
THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT03 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT06
DUE TO ITS PRESENCE OVER THE SEA. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT12. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021800UTC 35.5N 128.8E GOOD
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 031800UTC 46.8N 125.5E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021800UTC 35.5N 128.8E GOOD
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 031800UTC 46.8N 125.5E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 021800
WARNING 021800.
WARNING VALID 031800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 35.5N 128.8E KOREA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 42.4N 128.4E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 46.8N 125.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 021500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021500UTC 34.0N 128.4E GOOD
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 031500UTC 45.7N 125.9E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 021500
WARNING 021500.
WARNING VALID 031500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 950 HPA
AT 34.0N 128.4E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 40.3N 128.7E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 45.7N 125.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 021500
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 27
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 021500UTC 34.0N 128.4E
MOVEMENT NNE 19KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 022100UTC 37.1N 129.1E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
12HR
POSITION 030300UTC 40.8N 128.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
18HR
POSITION 030900UTC 44.4N 127.6E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 021500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021500UTC 34.0N 128.4E GOOD
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
24HF 031500UTC 45.7N 125.9E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 33.2N, 127.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, INCREASED VWS AND
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND
THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
THE KOREAN PENINSULA BY FT06. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT03 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT09 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12
DUE TO ITS PRESENCE OVER THE SEA. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM
INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT18. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 021200
WARNING 021200.
WARNING VALID 031200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 950 HPA
AT 33.2N 127.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 38.9N 128.9E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 45.2N 126.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 020900
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 25
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 020900UTC 32.4N 127.5E
MOVEMENT NNE 17KT
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.5N 128.6E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
12HR
POSITION 022100UTC 37.3N 129.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
18HR
POSITION 030300UTC 40.9N 128.7E WITHIN 50NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 030900UTC 44.1N 127.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 020900
WARNING 020900.
WARNING VALID 030900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 950 HPA
AT 32.6N 127.7E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 37.5N 129.0E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 44.3N 127.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 020300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 23
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 020300UTC 31.1N 126.9E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 020900UTC 32.6N 127.7E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
12HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.5N 128.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
18HR
POSITION 022100UTC 37.3N 129.1E WITHIN 50NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 030300UTC 40.9N 128.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
30HR
POSITION 030900UTC 43.9N 127.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 020300
WARNING 020300.
WARNING VALID 030300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 940 HPA
AT 31.2N 126.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 34.9N 128.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 41.1N 127.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 012100
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 21
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 012100UTC 30.0N 126.7E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 020300UTC 31.3N 127.3E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
12HR
POSITION 020900UTC 32.8N 127.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
18HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.6N 128.6E WITHIN 50NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
24HR
POSITION 022100UTC 37.0N 129.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
30HR
POSITION 030300UTC 39.4N 129.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 030900UTC 42.2N 128.8E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
42HR
POSITION 031500UTC 44.9N 127.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 012100
WARNING 012100.
WARNING VALID 022100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 940 HPA
AT 30.1N 126.6E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 32.7N 127.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 37.9N 128.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 011500
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 011500UTC 29.0N 126.5E
MOVEMENT NNE 12KT
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 012100UTC 30.2N 126.8E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
12HR
POSITION 020300UTC 31.4N 127.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
18HR
POSITION 020900UTC 32.6N 127.8E WITHIN 50NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
24HR
POSITION 021500UTC 34.3N 128.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
30HR
POSITION 022100UTC 36.6N 129.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 030300UTC 39.2N 129.4E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
42HR
POSITION 030900UTC 42.0N 128.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 031500UTC 44.7N 127.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 011500
WARNING 011500.
WARNING VALID 021500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 935 HPA
AT 28.9N 126.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 31.1N 126.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 34.7N 128.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 010900
WARNING 010900.
WARNING VALID 020900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 935 HPA
AT 28.1N 126.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 29.8N 126.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 32.5N 127.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 010300
WARNING 010300.
WARNING VALID 020300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 935 HPA
AT 27.3N 125.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 28.8N 126.0E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 30.9N 126.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 010000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 010000UTC 26.9N 126.0E
MOVEMENT NNW 7KT
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 011200UTC 28.6N 126.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
24HR
POSITION 020000UTC 30.3N 126.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
36HR
POSITION 021200UTC 33.3N 128.2E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 030000UTC 37.8N 129.6E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
60HR
POSITION 031200UTC 43.2N 129.3E WITHIN 115NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 040000UTC 47.0N 128.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 010000
WARNING 010000.
WARNING VALID 020000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 935 HPA
AT 26.9N 125.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 28.4N 125.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 30.3N 126.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 39.2N 128.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 46.8N 123.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 49.4N 124.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 312100
WARNING 312100.
WARNING VALID 012100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 940 HPA
AT 26.5N 126.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 28.3N 125.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 29.9N 126.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 312100
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200831192931
2020083118 10W MAYSAK 016 02 335 12 SATL 010
T000 261N 1266E 115 R064 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 145 SW QD 170 NW QD
T012 279N 1261E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 296N 1263E 115 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 322N 1271E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 361N 1281E 080 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 452N 1276E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 26.1N 126.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 126.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.9N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.6N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 36.1N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.2N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
312100Z POSITION NEAR 26.5N 126.5E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 69 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
311800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.
UPDATES.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083112 250N1272E 110
1020083112 250N1272E 110
1020083112 250N1272E 110
1020083118 261N1266E 115
1020083118 261N1266E 115
1020083118 261N1266E 115
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 312100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 26.1N 126.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 126.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.9N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.6N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 36.1N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.2N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
312100Z POSITION NEAR 26.5N 126.5E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 69 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W
(ELEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 311800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 311800UTC 26.1N 126.5E
MOVEMENT NNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 010600UTC 27.9N 126.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
24HR
POSITION 011800UTC 29.2N 126.5E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
36HR
POSITION 020600UTC 31.6N 127.4E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
48HR
POSITION 021800UTC 35.3N 129.0E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
60HR
POSITION 030600UTC 40.4N 130.2E WITHIN 115NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 031800UTC 45.2N 129.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 311800
WARNING 311800.
WARNING VALID 011800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 940 HPA
AT 26.0N 126.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 27.8N 125.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 29.3N 126.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 35.3N 128.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 45.6N 125.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 47.4N 124.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 311500
WARNING 311500.
WARNING VALID 011500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 950 HPA
AT 25.6N 126.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 27.3N 125.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 28.6N 125.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 311500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200831140856
2020083112 10W MAYSAK 015 02 340 10 SATL 020
T000 250N 1272E 110 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 175 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T012 270N 1263E 120 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 285N 1262E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 305N 1267E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 338N 1278E 095 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 443N 1278E 050 R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 220 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 015
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 25.0N 127.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 127.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.5N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.5N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.8N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 44.3N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
311500Z POSITION NEAR 25.5N 127.0E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA,
HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIG
HT AT 311200Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083112 250N1272E 110
1020083112 250N1272E 110
1020083112 250N1272E 110

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 311500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 25.0N 127.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 127.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.5N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.5N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 33.8N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 44.3N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
311500Z POSITION NEAR 25.5N 127.0E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
311200Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 11W (ELEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 311200 CCA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 311200UTC 25.0N 127.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 011200UTC 28.4N 125.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 021200UTC 32.8N 127.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 031200UTC 43.8N 126.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 28KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 041200UTC 46.7N 122.5E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 311200 CCA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 311200UTC 25.0N 127.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 011200UTC 28.4N 125.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 021200UTC 32.8N 127.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 031200UTC 43.8N 126.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 28KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 311200 CCA
WARNING 311200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 950 HPA
AT 25.0N 127.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 27.0N 125.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 28.4N 125.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 32.8N 127.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 43.8N 126.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 46.7N 122.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 311200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 311200UTC 25.0N 127.2E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 010000UTC 27.2N 126.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
24HR
POSITION 011200UTC 28.5N 126.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
36HR
POSITION 020000UTC 30.1N 126.8E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
48HR
POSITION 021200UTC 33.5N 128.1E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
60HR
POSITION 030000UTC 37.4N 129.9E WITHIN 115NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
72HR
POSITION 031200UTC 42.9N 130.4E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
84HR
POSITION 040000UTC 47.0N 129.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 311200
WARNING 311200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 950 HPA
AT 25.0N 127.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 27.0N 125.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 28.4N 125.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 32.8N 127.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 43.8N 126.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 46.7N 122.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 310900
WARNING 310900.
WARNING VALID 010900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 24.6N 127.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 312100UTC AT 26.5N 126.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 28.0N 125.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 310900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200831084149
2020083106 10W MAYSAK 014 01 335 18 SATL 020
T000 241N 1276E 100 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 264N 1266E 110 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 280N 1260E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 298N 1262E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 324N 1272E 100 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 415N 1280E 055 R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 240 SE QD 140 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 24.1N 127.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N 127.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 26.4N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.8N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.4N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 41.5N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
310900Z POSITION NEAR 24.7N 127.3E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACK
ED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310
600Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083106 241N1276E 100
1020083106 241N1276E 100

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 310900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 24.1N 127.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N 127.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 26.4N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 28.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.8N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 32.4N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 41.5N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
310900Z POSITION NEAR 24.7N 127.3E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 42
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 310600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 310600UTC 24.2N 127.7E
MOVEMENT NNW 20KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 311800UTC 26.3N 126.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
24HR
POSITION 010600UTC 27.9N 126.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
36HR
POSITION 011800UTC 29.2N 126.5E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
48HR
POSITION 020600UTC 31.8N 127.6E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
72HR
POSITION 030600UTC 39.9N 130.7E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
96HR
POSITION 040600UTC 48.1N 131.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 310600
WARNING 310600.
WARNING VALID 010600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 24.2N 127.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 26.1N 126.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 27.8N 125.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 31.2N 126.8E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 40.8N 127.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 46.3N 123.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 310300
WARNING 310300.
WARNING VALID 010300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 23.1N 128.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311500UTC AT 25.4N 126.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 27.1N 126.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 310300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200831015453
2020083100 10W MAYSAK 013 01 350 17 SATL 020
T000 225N 1284E 095 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 248N 1273E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 268N 1266E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 288N 1263E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 313N 1271E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 382N 1287E 070 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 230 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 484N 1281E 035
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 22.5N 128.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N 128.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 24.8N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.8N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.8N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 31.3N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 38.2N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 48.4N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 128.1E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 242 NM SOUTH
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 35
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083018 208N1287E 90
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95
1020083100 225N1284E 95

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 310300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 22.5N 128.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N 128.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 24.8N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.8N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.8N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 31.3N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 38.2N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 48.4N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 128.1E.
31AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 242 NM SOUTH
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 35
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 310000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 310000UTC 22.4N 128.5E
MOVEMENT NNW 17KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 311200UTC 24.6N 127.0E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
24HR
POSITION 010000UTC 26.5N 126.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
36HR
POSITION 011200UTC 28.0N 126.3E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
48HR
POSITION 020000UTC 30.4N 127.0E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
72HR
POSITION 030000UTC 37.6N 129.8E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 040000UTC 46.6N 133.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 310000
WARNING 310000.
WARNING VALID 010000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 22.4N 128.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 24.9N 127.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 26.7N 126.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 29.9N 126.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 37.2N 129.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 45.8N 124.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
972 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 302100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 302100UTC 21.6N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 312100UTC 26.4N 126.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 011800UTC 29.0N 126.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 021800UTC 34.4N 129.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 031800UTC 44.9N 126.4E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 302100
WARNING 302100.
WARNING VALID 312100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 21.6N 128.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 24.4N 127.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 312100UTC AT 26.4N 126.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 302100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 302100UTC 21.6N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 312100UTC 26.4N 126.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 011800UTC 29.0N 126.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 021800UTC 34.4N 129.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 302100
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200830194720
2020083018 10W MAYSAK 012 01 350 13 SATL 020
T000 208N 1285E 090 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 205 SE QD 135 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 235N 1277E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 210 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 254N 1270E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 273N 1265E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 294N 1262E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 351N 1282E 090 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 455N 1278E 040
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 128.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 128.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.5N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.4N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.3N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.4N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.1N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.5N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 128.3E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
344 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083000 175N1289E 70
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083006 187N1291E 75
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083012 195N1288E 85
1020083018 208N1285E 90
1020083018 208N1285E 90
1020083018 208N1285E 90

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 128.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 128.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.5N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.4N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.3N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.4N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.1N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.5N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 128.3E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
344 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 20.7N, 128.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT96 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 301800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 301800UTC 20.7N 128.9E
MOVEMENT N 15KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 310600UTC 23.5N 127.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
24HR
POSITION 311800UTC 25.7N 126.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
36HR
POSITION 010600UTC 27.3N 126.2E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
48HR
POSITION 011800UTC 29.3N 126.6E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
72HR
POSITION 021800UTC 35.2N 128.9E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 031800UTC 45.0N 132.6E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 20.7N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 311800UTC 25.9N 126.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 011800UTC 29.0N 126.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 021800UTC 34.4N 129.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 031800UTC 44.9N 126.4E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 20.7N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 311800UTC 25.9N 126.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 011800UTC 29.0N 126.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 021800UTC 34.4N 129.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 301800
WARNING 301800.
WARNING VALID 311800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 20.7N 128.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 23.7N 127.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 25.9N 126.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 29.0N 126.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 34.4N 129.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 44.9N 126.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 301500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301500UTC 19.8N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 311500UTC 25.3N 127.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 011200UTC 28.0N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 021200UTC 32.3N 127.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
93HF 031200UTC 42.8N 127.5E 170NM 70%
MOVE N 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
117HF 041200UTC 48.1N 125.8E 240NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 301500
WARNING 301500.
WARNING VALID 311500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 955 HPA
AT 19.8N 129.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310300UTC AT 22.9N 128.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311500UTC AT 25.3N 127.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 301500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301500UTC 19.8N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 311500UTC 25.3N 127.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 011200UTC 28.0N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 021200UTC 32.3N 127.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 301500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200830143511
2020083012 10W MAYSAK 011 01 350 11 SATL 020
T000 195N 1289E 085 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 205 SE QD 125 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 220N 1283E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 210 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 244N 1275E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 264N 1267E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 280N 1263E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 325N 1278E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 424N 1279E 055 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 220 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 19.5N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.0N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 24.4N 127.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.4N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 32.5N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 42.4N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 128.8E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 424 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 173N1288E 70
1020083000 173N1288E 70
1020083000 173N1288E 70
1020083006 184N1291E 75
1020083006 184N1291E 75
1020083006 184N1291E 75
1020083012 195N1289E 85
1020083012 195N1289E 85
1020083012 195N1289E 85
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 19.5N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.0N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 24.4N 127.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.4N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 32.5N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 42.4N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 128.8E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 424 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 19.1N, 129.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM
INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 301200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 301200UTC 19.2N 129.0E
MOVEMENT N 7KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 310000UTC 22.1N 128.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
24HR
POSITION 311200UTC 24.7N 127.1E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
36HR
POSITION 010000UTC 26.5N 126.3E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
48HR
POSITION 011200UTC 28.4N 126.4E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
72HR
POSITION 021200UTC 33.3N 128.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 031200UTC 42.0N 131.9E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
120HR
POSITION 041200UTC 49.0N 133.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 19.1N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 311200UTC 24.3N 127.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 011200UTC 28.0N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 021200UTC 32.3N 127.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
96HF 031200UTC 42.8N 127.5E 170NM 70%
MOVE N 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
120HF 041200UTC 48.1N 125.8E 240NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 19.1N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 311200UTC 24.3N 127.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 011200UTC 28.0N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 021200UTC 32.3N 127.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 301200
WARNING 301200.
WARNING VALID 311200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 965 HPA
AT 19.1N 129.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 21.8N 128.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 24.3N 127.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 28.0N 126.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 32.3N 127.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 42.8N 127.5E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 48.1N 125.8E WITH 240 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300900UTC 18.9N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 310900UTC 24.1N 127.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 010600UTC 27.3N 125.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 020600UTC 30.8N 126.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
93HF 030600UTC 39.3N 129.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 22KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 040600UTC 47.3N 126.0E 240NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 300900
WARNING 300900.
WARNING VALID 310900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 965 HPA
AT 18.9N 128.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 21.5N 128.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 24.1N 127.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 300900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300900UTC 18.9N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 310900UTC 24.1N 127.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 010600UTC 27.3N 125.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
69HF 020600UTC 30.8N 126.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 300900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200830081433
2020083006 10W MAYSAK 010 01 015 11 SATL 025
T000 184N 1291E 075 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 195 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 208N 1286E 095 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 210 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 233N 1278E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 255N 1268E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 273N 1262E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 312N 1271E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 398N 1288E 070 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 220 SE QD 170 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 485N 1268E 045
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 010
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 18.4N 129.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 129.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.8N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.3N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.3N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 31.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 39.8N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 48.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 129.0E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 491 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACK
ED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300
600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 173N1288E 70
1020083000 173N1288E 70
1020083000 173N1288E 70
1020083006 184N1291E 75
1020083006 184N1291E 75
1020083006 184N1291E 75

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 18.4N 129.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 129.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.8N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.3N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.3N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 31.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 39.8N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 48.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 129.0E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 491 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 26
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 18.4N, 128.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 300600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 300600UTC 18.5N 129.0E
MOVEMENT N 16KT
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 301800UTC 21.0N 128.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
24HR
POSITION 310600UTC 23.6N 127.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
36HR
POSITION 311800UTC 25.7N 126.6E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
48HR
POSITION 010600UTC 27.6N 126.3E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
72HR
POSITION 020600UTC 31.6N 127.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
96HR
POSITION 030600UTC 39.5N 130.9E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
120HR
POSITION 040600UTC 48.8N 134.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300600UTC 18.4N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 310600UTC 23.5N 127.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 010600UTC 27.3N 125.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 020600UTC 30.8N 126.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
96HF 030600UTC 39.3N 129.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 22KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 040600UTC 47.3N 126.0E 240NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300600UTC 18.4N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 240NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 310600UTC 23.5N 127.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 010600UTC 27.3N 125.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
72HF 020600UTC 30.8N 126.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 300600
WARNING 300600.
WARNING VALID 310600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 965 HPA
AT 18.4N 128.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 20.9N 128.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 23.5N 127.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 27.3N 125.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 30.8N 126.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 39.3N 129.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 47.3N 126.0E WITH 240 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 300300
WARNING 300300.
WARNING VALID 310300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 965 HPA
AT 17.8N 129.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 06
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 20.0N 128.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310300UTC AT 22.8N 128.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300300UTC 17.8N 129.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 310300UTC 22.8N 128.0E 42NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 010000UTC 26.4N 125.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 020000UTC 29.7N 126.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
93HF 030000UTC 37.1N 128.9E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 19KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 040000UTC 47.0N 126.2E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 300300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300300UTC 17.8N 129.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 310300UTC 22.8N 128.0E 42NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 010000UTC 26.4N 125.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 020000UTC 29.7N 126.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 300300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200830015449
2020083000 10W MAYSAK 009 01 315 03 SATL 020
T000 171N 1286E 070 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 145 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 189N 1283E 090 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 200 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 212N 1277E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 235N 1268E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 258N 1260E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 300N 1263E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 374N 1282E 070 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 220 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 465N 1276E 045
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 009
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 17.1N 128.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 128.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 18.9N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 21.2N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 23.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 25.8N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 37.4N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 46.5N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 128.5E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 566 NM SOUTH
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS
22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020082918 169N1288E 65
1020083000 171N1286E 70
1020083000 171N1286E 70
1020083000 171N1286E 70

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 17.1N 128.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 128.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 18.9N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 21.2N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 23.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 25.8N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 37.4N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 46.5N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 128.5E.
30AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 566 NM SOUTH
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS
22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 17.2N, 129.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP,
STRONG VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 300000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 300000UTC 17.0N 129.1E
MOVEMENT E 2KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 301200UTC 20.0N 128.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
24HR
POSITION 310000UTC 22.3N 128.2E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
36HR
POSITION 311200UTC 24.3N 127.1E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
48HR
POSITION 010000UTC 26.2N 126.3E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
72HR
POSITION 020000UTC 30.3N 126.7E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
96HR
POSITION 030000UTC 37.4N 129.9E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
120HR
POSITION 040000UTC 47.5N 134.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300000UTC 17.2N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 310000UTC 21.9N 128.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 010000UTC 26.4N 125.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 020000UTC 29.7N 126.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
96HF 030000UTC 37.1N 128.9E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 19KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 040000UTC 47.0N 126.2E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300000UTC 17.2N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 310000UTC 21.9N 128.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 010000UTC 26.4N 125.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 020000UTC 29.7N 126.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 300000
WARNING 300000.
WARNING VALID 310000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 965 HPA
AT 17.2N 129.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 19.2N 129.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 21.9N 128.1E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 26.4N 125.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 29.7N 126.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 37.1N 128.9E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 47.0N 126.2E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 292100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 292100UTC 17.1N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 302100UTC 21.0N 128.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 311800UTC 25.4N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 011800UTC 28.7N 125.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
93HF 021800UTC 34.3N 128.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
117HF 031800UTC 45.7N 128.1E 240NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 292100
WARNING 292100.
WARNING VALID 302100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 970 HPA
AT 17.1N 128.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 18.6N 128.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 21.0N 128.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 292100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 292100UTC 17.1N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 302100UTC 21.0N 128.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 311800UTC 25.4N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 011800UTC 28.7N 125.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 292100
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200829194345
2020082918 10W MAYSAK 008 01 290 03 SATL 020
T000 168N 1287E 065 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 075 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 120 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 183N 1286E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 204N 1281E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 227N 1272E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 250N 1265E 120 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 287N 1262E 110 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 351N 1278E 085 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 457N 1294E 050
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 008
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 16.8N 128.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 128.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 18.3N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.4N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 22.7N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.0N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.7N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.1N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.7N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 128.7E.
29AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
584 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 21 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 165N1296E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082906 167N1292E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082912 167N1290E 55
1020082918 168N1287E 65
1020082918 168N1287E 65
1020082918 168N1287E 65

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 16.8N 128.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 128.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 18.3N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.4N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 22.7N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.0N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 28.7N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.1N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 45.7N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 128.7E.
29AUG20. TYPHOON 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
584 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 21 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 17.1N, 129.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SEA SURFACE AMVS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE FORMATION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW
DISTINCT. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP,
STRONG VWS AND LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 291800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 291800UTC 17.1N 129.0E
MOVEMENT E 2KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 300600UTC 18.9N 128.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 301800UTC 21.1N 128.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 310600UTC 23.4N 127.7E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
48HR
POSITION 311800UTC 25.4N 126.5E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
72HR
POSITION 011800UTC 29.3N 126.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
96HR
POSITION 021800UTC 35.2N 128.9E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 031800UTC 45.8N 133.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 17.1N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 20.9N 128.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 311800UTC 25.4N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 011800UTC 28.7N 125.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 021800UTC 34.3N 128.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
120HF 031800UTC 45.7N 128.1E 240NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 17.1N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 20.9N 128.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 311800UTC 25.4N 126.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 011800UTC 28.7N 125.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 291800
WARNING 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 970 HPA
AT 17.1N 129.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 18.4N 128.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 20.9N 128.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 25.4N 126.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 28.7N 125.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 34.3N 128.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 45.7N 128.1E WITH 240 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 291500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291500UTC 17.0N 128.8E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 301500UTC 20.3N 128.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 311200UTC 24.6N 127.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 011200UTC 27.8N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
93HF 021200UTC 32.1N 127.6E 170NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
117HF 031200UTC 43.2N 129.6E 240NM 70%
MOVE N 28KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 291500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291500UTC 17.0N 128.8E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 301500UTC 20.3N 128.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 311200UTC 24.6N 127.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 011200UTC 27.8N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 291500
WARNING 291500.
WARNING VALID 301500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 975 HPA
AT 17.0N 128.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 20.3N 128.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 291500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200829143952
2020082912 10W MAYSAK 007 01 290 03 SATL 025
T000 169N 1289E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 075 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 120 SE QD 170 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 180N 1288E 070 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 199N 1287E 090 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 223N 1279E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 245N 1268E 110 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 283N 1260E 110 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 327N 1273E 100 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 417N 1294E 060 R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 16.9N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.0N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.9N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.3N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 24.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.3N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 32.7N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 41.7N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 128.9E.
29AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 579 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 167N1293E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 168N1292E 55
1020082906 168N1292E 55
1020082912 169N1289E 55
1020082912 169N1289E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 16.9N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.0N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.9N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.3N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 24.5N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.3N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 32.7N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 41.7N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 128.9E.
29AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 579 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
291200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND
301500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 17.0N, 129.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND THE EYE IN MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A
CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 291200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 291200UTC 17.0N 129.2E
MOVEMENT NW 7KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 300000UTC 17.9N 129.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 301200UTC 20.0N 129.2E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
36HR
POSITION 310000UTC 22.3N 128.5E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
48HR
POSITION 311200UTC 24.6N 127.5E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
72HR
POSITION 011200UTC 28.7N 126.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
96HR
POSITION 021200UTC 33.3N 128.3E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 031200UTC 42.0N 133.5E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 17.0N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 301200UTC 19.8N 129.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 311200UTC 24.6N 127.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 011200UTC 27.8N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
96HF 021200UTC 32.1N 127.6E 170NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
120HF 031200UTC 43.2N 129.6E 240NM 70%
MOVE N 28KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 17.0N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 301200UTC 19.8N 129.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 311200UTC 24.6N 127.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 011200UTC 27.8N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 291200
WARNING 291200.
WARNING VALID 301200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975
HPA
AT 17.0N 129.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 19.8N 129.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 24.6N 127.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 27.8N 125.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 32.1N 127.6E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 43.2N 129.6E WITH 240 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290900UTC 17.0N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 300900UTC 19.1N 129.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 310600UTC 23.7N 127.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 010600UTC 27.2N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
93HF 020600UTC 30.6N 127.3E 170NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
117HF 030600UTC 38.5N 131.3E 240NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 290900
WARNING 290900.
WARNING VALID 300900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 985 HPA
AT 17.0N 129.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 19.1N 129.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 290900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290900UTC 17.0N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 300900UTC 19.1N 129.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 310600UTC 23.7N 127.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 010600UTC 27.2N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 290900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200829081911
2020082906 10W MAYSAK 006 01 330 06 SATL XTRP 035
T000 168N 1292E 055 R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 140 SE QD 170 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 175N 1292E 070 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 192N 1292E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 212N 1288E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 200 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 236N 1280E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 276N 1263E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 312N 1270E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 397N 1296E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 16.8N 129.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 129.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.5N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.2N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.2N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.6N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.6N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 31.2N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 39.7N 129.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 129.2E.
29AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 587 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 167N1293E 45
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082900 163N1295E 55
1020082906 168N1292E 55
1020082906 168N1292E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 16.8N 129.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 129.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.5N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.2N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.2N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.6N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.6N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 31.2N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 39.7N 129.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 129.2E.
29AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 587 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 18
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 16.8N, 129.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE
SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL
FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 290600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 290600UTC 16.6N 129.6E
MOVEMENT NNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 291800UTC 17.3N 129.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 300600UTC 19.0N 129.7E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 301800UTC 21.1N 129.1E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 310600UTC 23.6N 127.9E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
72HR
POSITION 010600UTC 27.8N 126.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
96HR
POSITION 020600UTC 31.5N 127.3E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
120HR
POSITION 030600UTC 39.3N 131.9E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290600UTC 16.8N 129.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 300600UTC 18.5N 129.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 310600UTC 23.7N 127.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 010600UTC 27.2N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
96HF 020600UTC 30.6N 127.3E 170NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
120HF 030600UTC 38.5N 131.3E 240NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290600UTC 16.8N 129.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 300600UTC 18.5N 129.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 310600UTC 23.7N 127.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 010600UTC 27.2N 125.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 290600
WARNING 290600.
WARNING VALID 300600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 985 HPA
AT 16.8N 129.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 18.5N 129.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 23.7N 127.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 27.2N 125.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 30.6N 127.3E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 38.5N 131.3E WITH 240 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 290300
WARNING 290300.
WARNING VALID 300300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 985 HPA
AT 16.4N 129.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 18.3N 129.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290300UTC 16.4N 129.7E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 300300UTC 18.3N 129.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 310000UTC 22.7N 128.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 010000UTC 26.8N 126.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
93HF 020000UTC 29.9N 127.0E 170NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
117HF 030000UTC 36.5N 130.3E 240NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 290300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290300UTC 16.4N 129.7E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 300300UTC 18.3N 129.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 310000UTC 22.7N 128.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
69HF 010000UTC 26.8N 126.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 290300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200829013120
2020082900 10W MAYSAK 005 01 180 03 SATL 045
T000 164N 1293E 055 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 070 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 105 SE QD 190 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 168N 1292E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 179N 1293E 085 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 197N 1292E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 220N 1287E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 266N 1266E 110 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 302N 1267E 105 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 378N 1291E 070 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 16.4N 129.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 129.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.8N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 17.9N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.7N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.6N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.2N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 37.8N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 129.3E.
29AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 612
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.
//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 167N1293E 45
1020082900 164N1293E 55
1020082900 164N1293E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 290300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 16.4N 129.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 129.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.8N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 17.9N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.7N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.6N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.2N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 37.8N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 129.3E.
29AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 612
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 290000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 16.5N, 129.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE
SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.

=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 290000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 290000UTC 16.4N 129.8E
MOVEMENT SE 2KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 291200UTC 17.7N 129.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 300000UTC 18.7N 129.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 301200UTC 20.4N 129.3E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 310000UTC 22.7N 128.4E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
72HR
POSITION 010000UTC 27.1N 126.4E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
96HR
POSITION 020000UTC 30.6N 126.4E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
120HR
POSITION 030000UTC 36.4N 130.2E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290000UTC 16.5N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 300000UTC 17.8N 129.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 310000UTC 22.7N 128.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 010000UTC 26.8N 126.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
96HF 020000UTC 29.9N 127.0E 170NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
120HF 030000UTC 36.5N 130.3E 240NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 290000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290000UTC 16.5N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 300000UTC 17.8N 129.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 310000UTC 22.7N 128.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 010000UTC 26.8N 126.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 290000
WARNING 290000.
WARNING VALID 300000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 985 HPA
AT 16.5N 129.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 17.8N 129.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 22.7N 128.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 26.8N 126.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 29.9N 127.0E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 36.5N 130.3E WITH 240 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 282100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 282100UTC 16.6N 129.3E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 292100UTC 17.6N 129.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 301800UTC 21.8N 129.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
69HF 311800UTC 26.2N 126.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
93HF 011800UTC 29.2N 126.1E 170NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
117HF 021800UTC 34.8N 128.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 282100
WARNING 282100.
WARNING VALID 292100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 990 HPA
AT 16.6N 129.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 17.6N 129.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 282100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 282100UTC 16.6N 129.3E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 292100UTC 17.6N 129.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 301800UTC 21.8N 129.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
69HF 311800UTC 26.2N 126.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 282100
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200828202633
2020082818 10W MAYSAK 004 01 280 05 SATL XTRP 045
T000 167N 1294E 045 R034 095 NE QD 000 SE QD 130 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 169N 1292E 060 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T024 175N 1292E 075 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 060 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 191N 1291E 085 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 219N 1288E 095 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 262N 1266E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 296N 1257E 110 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 352N 1277E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 129.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 129.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.9N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.5N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.1N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.9N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 26.2N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.6N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.2N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 129.4E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.
//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 166N1299E 40
1020082818 167N1294E 45

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 129.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 129.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.9N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.5N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.1N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.9N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 26.2N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 29.6N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 35.2N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 129.4E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 281800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 16.6N, 129.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS
ALSO DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE
SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 281800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 281800UTC 16.7N 129.7E
MOVEMENT S 2KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 290600UTC 17.4N 129.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 291800UTC 18.1N 129.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 300600UTC 19.5N 129.7E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 301800UTC 21.7N 129.2E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 311800UTC 26.2N 127.4E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
96HR
POSITION 011800UTC 29.7N 125.8E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
120HR
POSITION 021800UTC 33.0N 127.0E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 281800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281800UTC 16.6N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE SW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 291800UTC 17.4N 129.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 301800UTC 21.8N 129.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 311800UTC 26.2N 126.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
96HF 011800UTC 29.2N 126.1E 170NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
120HF 021800UTC 34.8N 128.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 281800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281800UTC 16.6N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE SW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 291800UTC 17.4N 129.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 301800UTC 21.8N 129.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 311800UTC 26.2N 126.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 281800
WARNING 281800.
WARNING VALID 291800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
990 HPA
AT 16.6N 129.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 17.4N 129.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 21.8N 129.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 26.2N 126.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 29.2N 126.1E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 34.8N 128.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 281500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281500UTC 16.7N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE SW 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 291500UTC 17.4N 130.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 301200UTC 20.8N 130.5E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 311200UTC 25.7N 128.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
93HF 011200UTC 28.5N 126.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
117HF 021200UTC 32.4N 127.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 281500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281500UTC 16.7N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE SW 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 291500UTC 17.4N 130.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 301200UTC 20.8N 130.5E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 311200UTC 25.7N 128.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 281500
WARNING 281500.
WARNING VALID 291500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 994 HPA
AT 16.7N 129.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING SOUTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 17.4N 130.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 281500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200828141454
2020082812 10W MAYSAK 003 01 245 06 SATL 040
T000 163N 1295E 035 R034 090 NE QD 030 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 165N 1293E 055 R050 025 NE QD 060 SE QD 130 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 100 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 169N 1292E 070 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 060 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 140 SE QD 160 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 180N 1292E 085 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 202N 1290E 100 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 250N 1274E 110 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 283N 1254E 110 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 324N 1258E 090 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 16.3N 129.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 129.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.5N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.9N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.0N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.2N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 25.0N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.3N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 32.4N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 129.5E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 619
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.
//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 166N1301E 30
1020082812 163N1295E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 16.3N 129.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 129.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.5N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.9N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.0N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.2N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 25.0N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 28.3N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 32.4N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 129.5E.28AUG20. TROPICAL
STORM 10W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 619 NM SOUTH
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 16.7N, 130.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE
CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 281200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 281200UTC 17.1N 129.8E
MOVEMENT WSW 5KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 290000UTC 17.2N 129.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 291200UTC 17.6N 129.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 300000UTC 18.8N 129.8E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 301200UTC 20.7N 129.5E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
72HR
POSITION 311200UTC 25.3N 128.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 011200UTC 28.7N 125.8E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 021200UTC 32.5N 126.6E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281200UTC 16.7N 130.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 291200UTC 17.2N 129.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 301200UTC 20.8N 130.5E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 311200UTC 25.7N 128.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
96HF 011200UTC 28.5N 126.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
120HF 021200UTC 32.4N 127.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281200UTC 16.7N 130.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 291200UTC 17.2N 129.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 301200UTC 20.8N 130.5E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 311200UTC 25.7N 128.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 281200
WARNING 281200.
WARNING VALID 291200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) 996 HPA
AT 16.7N 130.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 17.2N 129.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 20.8N 130.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 25.7N 128.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 28.5N 126.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 32.4N 127.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280900UTC 17.2N 130.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 290900UTC 17.3N 129.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 300600UTC 19.7N 129.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 310600UTC 24.6N 128.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 010600UTC 27.7N 125.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 020600UTC 30.6N 125.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 280900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280900UTC 17.2N 130.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 290900UTC 17.3N 129.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 300600UTC 19.7N 129.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 310600UTC 24.6N 128.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200828072239
2020082806 10W TEN 002 01 250 08 SATL 060
T000 165N 1298E 030
T012 166N 1293E 050 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T024 169N 1289E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 170 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T036 175N 1289E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T048 193N 1287E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 200 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 236N 1273E 100 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 274N 1251E 110 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T120 313N 1248E 100 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 16.5N 129.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 129.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.6N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.9N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.5N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.3N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.6N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.4N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 31.3N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 129.7E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.
//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25
1020082806 165N1298E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 16.5N 129.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 129.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.6N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.9N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.5N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.3N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 23.6N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 27.4N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 31.3N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 129.7E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610
NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 17.4N, 131.1E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MAYSAK) STATUS. TS MAYSAK IS LOCATED AT 17.2N, 130.2E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND
STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
SOUTHWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 2009 MAYSAK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280600UTC 17.2N 130.3E
MOVEMENT WNW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 281800UTC 17.2N 130.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
24HR
POSITION 290600UTC 17.4N 129.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 291800UTC 18.1N 129.8E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 300600UTC 19.9N 129.6E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 310600UTC 24.4N 128.4E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 010600UTC 28.3N 126.1E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
120HR
POSITION 020600UTC 31.5N 126.2E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280600UTC 17.2N 130.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 290600UTC 17.2N 129.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 300600UTC 19.7N 129.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 310600UTC 24.6N 128.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 010600UTC 27.7N 125.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 020600UTC 30.6N 125.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280600UTC 17.2N 130.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 290600UTC 17.2N 129.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 300600UTC 19.7N 129.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 310600UTC 24.6N 128.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 280600
WARNING 280600.
WARNING VALID 290600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2009 MAYSAK (2009) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
996 HPA
AT 17.2N 130.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 17.2N 129.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 19.7N 129.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 24.6N 128.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 27.7N 125.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 30.6N 125.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270851ZAUG2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.8N 130.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 130.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.9N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.9N 129.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 17.5N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.7N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.7N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.8N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.6N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 16.8N 130.4E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 603
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 270900).//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 200828013917
2020082800 10W TEN 001 01 285 08 SATL 060
T000 168N 1306E 025
T012 169N 1300E 040 R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 169N 1296E 050 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 180 SW Q
D 120 NW QD
T036 175N 1293E 055 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 170 SW Q
D 120 NW QD
T048 187N 1290E 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 227N 1279E 100 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 210 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 268N 1257E 110 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 170 NW QD
T120 306N 1251E 105 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.8N 130.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 130.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.9N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.9N 129.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 17.5N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.7N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.7N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 26.8N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 30.6N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 16.8N 130.4E.
28AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 603
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.
//
1020082512 129N1348E 15
1020082518 130N1343E 15
1020082600 132N1338E 15
1020082606 136N1333E 15
1020082612 139N1329E 15
1020082618 141N1324E 15
1020082700 144N1322E 20
1020082706 151N1321E 20
1020082712 160N1321E 20
1020082718 166N1314E 20
1020082800 168N1306E 25

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