Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHAN-HOM-20
in Japan

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111800
WARNING 111800.
WARNING VALID 121800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 998 HPA
AT 30.6N 142.0E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTH 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 29.6N 142.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 28.9N 143.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 111500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201011132407
2020101112 16W CHAN-HOM 028 02 125 07 SATL 045
T000 314N 1421E 035 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 304N 1427E 030
T024 294N 1430E 025
T036 285N 1435E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 028
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 028
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 31.4N 142.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N 142.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.4N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.4N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 28.5N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 31.1N 142.2E.
11OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 263
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z,
120900Z AND 121500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (LINFA) FINAL
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101006 321N1368E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101018 321N1391E 50
1620101018 321N1391E 50
1620101100 322N1405E 40
1620101106 318N1414E 35
1620101112 314N1421E 35

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 028
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 028
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 31.4N 142.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N 142.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.4N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.4N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 28.5N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 31.1N 142.2E.
11OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 263
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z,
120900Z AND 121500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (LINFA) FINAL
WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW).//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 111200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 27
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM 2014 CHAN-HOM
ANALYSIS
POSITION 111200UTC 31.6N 142.0E
MOVEMENT ESE 7KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 996 HPA
AT 31.5N 142.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 30.0N 142.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 28.8N 143.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 31.8N 141.7E FAIR
MOVE ESE 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 112100UTC 30.4N 142.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE SSE 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 120900UTC 29.2N 142.5E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 31.8N 141.7E FAIR
MOVE ESE 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 120900UTC 29.2N 142.5E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 31.8N, 141.3E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM
SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER
VORTEX UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT18. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 110900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 027
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 31.8N 141.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N 141.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 30.7N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 29.7N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 28.9N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 31.5N 141.6E.
11OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 227
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 17W (LINFA) FINAL WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW).//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 110900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201011071815
2020101106 16W CHAN-HOM 027 02 115 09 SATL 030
T000 318N 1414E 035 R034 105 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 307N 1420E 035 R034 105 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 297N 1423E 030
T036 289N 1427E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 027
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 027
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 31.8N 141.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N 141.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 30.7N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 29.7N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 28.9N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 31.5N 141.6E.
11OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 227
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101006 321N1368E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101018 321N1391E 50
1620101018 321N1391E 50
1620101100 322N1405E 40
1620101106 318N1414E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 31.8N 141.3E FAIR
MOVE ESE 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 111800UTC 30.5N 141.6E 30NM 70%
MOVE S 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 120600UTC 29.4N 141.9E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 31.8N 141.3E FAIR
MOVE ESE 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 29.4N 141.9E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110600
WARNING 110600.
WARNING VALID 120600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 996 HPA
AT 31.8N 141.3E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 30.5N 141.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 29.4N 141.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 32.1N 140.9E FAIR
MOVE E 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 111500UTC 31.0N 141.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE SSE 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 120300UTC 30.0N 141.4E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 32.1N 140.9E FAIR
MOVE E 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 30.0N 141.4E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 110300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201011022321
2020101100 16W CHAN-HOM 026 02 090 09 SATL 030
T000 322N 1405E 040 R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 314N 1414E 035 R034 065 NE QD 035 SE QD 045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 304N 1416E 030
T036 296N 1419E 025
T048 288N 1423E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 32.2N 140.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N 140.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 31.4N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.4N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.6N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 28.8N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 32.0N 140.7E.
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101006 321N1368E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101018 322N1394E 50
1620101018 322N1394E 50
1620101100 322N1405E 40

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 32.2N 140.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N 140.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 31.4N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.4N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.6N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 28.8N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 32.0N 140.7E.
11OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z
IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (LINFA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 32.1N, 140.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM
THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH
AN UPPER VORTEX UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT18. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110000
WARNING 110000.
WARNING VALID 120000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 992 HPA
AT 32.1N 140.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 31.2N 141.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 30.1N 141.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 102100
WARNING 102100.
WARNING VALID 112100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 990 HPA
AT 32.0N 140.0E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 31.2N 140.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 30.2N 141.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201010203647
2020101018 16W CHAN-HOM 025 02 080 13 SATL XTRP 040
T000 322N 1394E 050 R050 070 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 105 SE QD 115 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 316N 1408E 045 R034 090 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 307N 1414E 035 R034 130 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 299N 1417E 025
T048 289N 1420E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 32.2N 139.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N 139.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 31.6N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 30.7N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 29.9N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 28.9N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 32.0N 139.8E.
10OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 187 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101006 321N1368E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101018 322N1394E 50
1620101018 322N1394E 50
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 32.2N 139.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N 139.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 31.6N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 30.7N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 29.9N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 28.9N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 32.0N 139.8E.
10OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 187 NM
SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 24
FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 101500
WARNING 101500.
WARNING VALID 111500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 985 HPA
AT 32.0N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 31.8N 140.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 30.8N 140.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201010130252
2020101012 16W CHAN-HOM 024 02 095 09 SATL 030
T000 320N 1379E 050 R050 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 125 NW QD
T012 317N 1397E 045 R034 100 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 309N 1407E 035 R034 110 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 300N 1411E 025
T048 293N 1412E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 32.0N 137.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N 137.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 31.7N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 30.9N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.0N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.3N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 31.9N 138.4E.
10OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 217
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
101200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z
AND 111500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNINGS
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100806 288N1329E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100812 294N1333E 75
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100818 298N1332E 80
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100900 301N1332E 75
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100906 307N1335E 70
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100912 310N1341E 55
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620100918 315N1349E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101000 320N1357E 50
1620101006 321N1368E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50
1620101012 320N1379E 50

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100900
WARNING 100900.
WARNING VALID 110900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 985 HPA
AT 32.2N 137.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 32.2N 139.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 31.3N 140.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100300
WARNING 100300.
WARNING VALID 110300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 985 HPA
AT 32.1N 136.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 32.3N 138.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 31.9N 140.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 082100
WARNING 082100.
WARNING VALID 092100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 965 HPA
AT 30.3N 133.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 31.7N 134.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 32.8N 136.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 081500
WARNING 081500.
WARNING VALID 091500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 965 HPA
AT 29.8N 133.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 30.8N 133.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 32.0N 134.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 081500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201008133401
2020100812 16W CHAN-HOM 016 01 025 08 SATL 030
T000 295N 1333E 080 R064 095 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 175 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW Q
D 130 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 225 NW QD
T012 307N 1337E 075 R064 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 240 NW QD
T024 318N 1345E 065 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 329N 1362E 055 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T048 341N 1393E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 080 NW QD
T072 364N 1470E 045 R034 200 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 29.5N 133.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N 133.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 30.7N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 31.8N 134.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 32.9N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 34.1N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 36.4N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 29.8N 133.4E.
08OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM
SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100718 272N1330E 75
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100800 279N1328E 80
1620100806 288N1329E 85
1620100806 288N1329E 85
1620100806 288N1329E 85
1620100812 295N1333E 80
1620100812 295N1333E 80
1620100812 295N1333E 80

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 081200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 2014 CHAN-HOM
ANALYSIS
POSITION 081200UTC 29.4N 133.3E
MOVEMENT NE 5KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 090000UTC 30.7N 133.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 091200UTC 31.9N 134.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
36HR
POSITION 100000UTC 33.1N 136.4E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 101200UTC 34.5N 140.0E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 111200UTC 37.6N 150.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081200
WARNING 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 965 HPA
AT 29.5N 133.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 30.5N 133.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 31.8N 134.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 34.0N 138.6E WITH 105 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 36.2N 146.1E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 36.7N 154.4E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 080900
WARNING 080900.
WARNING VALID 090900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 29.1N 133.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 30.0N 132.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 31.1N 133.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 080600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 2014 CHAN-HOM
ANALYSIS
POSITION 080600UTC 28.7N 132.8E
MOVEMENT N 10KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 081800UTC 29.8N 132.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 090600UTC 31.0N 133.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
36HR
POSITION 091800UTC 32.1N 134.5E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 100600UTC 33.4N 137.1E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 110600UTC 37.3N 146.5E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
96HR
POSITION 120600UTC 40.3N 159.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080600
WARNING 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 28.7N 132.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 29.7N 132.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 30.8N 133.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 33.3N 136.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 36.4N 145.0E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 38.8N 155.6E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 080300
WARNING 080300.
WARNING VALID 090300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 28.2N 132.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081500UTC AT 29.5N 132.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 30.5N 133.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 080300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201008020733
2020100800 16W CHAN-HOM 014 01 345 07 SATL 060
T000 279N 1328E 070 R064 095 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 175 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW Q
D 140 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 180 SE QD 175 SW QD 240 NW QD
T012 292N 1328E 075 R064 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 160 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 130 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 290 NW QD
T024 303N 1330E 075 R064 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 240 NW QD
T036 316N 1337E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 329N 1356E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 362N 1427E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T096 393N 1525E 045 R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 27.9N 132.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 132.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.2N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 30.3N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 31.6N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 32.9N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 36.2N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 39.3N 152.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 28.2N 132.8E.
08OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 70
1620100800 279N1328E 70
1620100800 279N1328E 70
1620100800 279N1328E 70

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 27.9N 132.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 132.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.2N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 30.3N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 31.6N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 32.9N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 36.2N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 39.3N 152.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 28.2N 132.8E.
08OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 080000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 2014 CHAN-HOM
ANALYSIS
POSITION 080000UTC 27.8N 132.8E
MOVEMENT NNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 081200UTC 28.9N 132.7E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 090000UTC 30.0N 132.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
36HR
POSITION 091200UTC 31.3N 133.8E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 100000UTC 32.7N 135.6E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 110000UTC 35.8N 142.6E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
96HR
POSITION 120000UTC 39.5N 153.6E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080000
WARNING 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 27.9N 132.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 29.1N 132.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 30.3N 133.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 32.8N 135.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 36.2N 143.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 39.0N 154.2E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 072100
WARNING 072100.
WARNING VALID 082100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 27.6N 132.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080900UTC AT 29.0N 133.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 30.1N 133.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 072100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201007201934
2020100718 16W CHAN-HOM 013 01 320 09 SATL 060
T000 272N 1330E 070 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 185 SE QD 125 SW QD 240 NW QD
T012 284N 1325E 075 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 290 NW QD
T024 297N 1324E 080 R064 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 260 NW QD
T036 310N 1329E 075 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 323N 1344E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 348N 1401E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T096 381N 1490E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW Q
D 190 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 27.2N 133.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N 133.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.4N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 29.7N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 31.0N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 32.3N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 34.8N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 38.1N 149.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 27.5N 132.9E.
07OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 281 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100712 265N1337E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 70
1620100718 272N1330E 70

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 27.2N 133.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N 133.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.4N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 29.7N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 31.0N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 32.3N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 34.8N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 38.1N 149.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 27.5N 132.9E.
07OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 281 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 071800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 2014 CHAN-HOM
ANALYSIS
POSITION 071800UTC 27.2N 133.1E
MOVEMENT NW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 080600UTC 28.2N 132.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 081800UTC 29.3N 131.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 090600UTC 30.4N 132.1E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 091800UTC 31.2N 133.1E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 101800UTC 33.8N 138.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
96HR
POSITION 111800UTC 37.3N 147.0E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
120HR
POSITION 121800UTC 40.8N 159.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 071800
WARNING 071800.
WARNING VALID 081800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 27.2N 133.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 28.4N 132.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 29.5N 132.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 31.6N 134.0E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 35.0N 139.9E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 38.1N 149.0E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 41.0N 161.1E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 071500
WARNING 071500.
WARNING VALID 081500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 26.8N 133.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080300UTC AT 27.8N 132.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081500UTC AT 29.0N 132.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071500UTC 26.8N 133.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM EAST 210NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 080300UTC 27.8N 132.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 081500UTC 29.0N 132.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 091200UTC 30.7N 132.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 101200UTC 33.8N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 111200UTC 38.4N 146.5E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 23KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 121200UTC 42.2N 156.7E 360NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 071500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071500UTC 26.8N 133.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM EAST 210NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 081500UTC 29.0N 132.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 091200UTC 30.7N 132.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 101200UTC 33.8N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 26.5N, 133.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF A BAND
WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND
INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY
FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 071500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201007133551
2020100712 16W CHAN-HOM 012 01 305 10 SATL 020
T000 265N 1338E 070 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 185 SE QD 125 SW QD 240 NW QD
T012 275N 1328E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 250 NW QD
T024 285N 1321E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 250 NW QD
T036 297N 1321E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 250 NW QD
T048 307N 1325E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 200 NW QD
T072 335N 1372E 060 R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 180 NW QD
T096 366N 1459E 050 R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW Q
D 170 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 26.5N 133.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N 133.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.5N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.5N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 29.7N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 30.7N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 33.5N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 36.6N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 26.8N 133.5E.
07OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 322 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z,
080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100706 259N1347E 65
1620100712 265N1338E 70
1620100712 265N1338E 70
1620100712 265N1338E 70

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 012
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 26.5N 133.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N 133.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.5N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.5N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 29.7N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 30.7N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 33.5N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 36.6N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 26.8N 133.5E.
07OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 322 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z,
080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 26.5N 133.9E GOOD
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
12HF 080000UTC 27.5N 132.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 081200UTC 28.7N 132.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 091200UTC 30.7N 132.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 101200UTC 33.8N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 111200UTC 38.4N 146.5E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 23KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 121200UTC 42.2N 156.7E 360NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 26.5N 133.9E GOOD
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 081200UTC 28.7N 132.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 091200UTC 30.7N 132.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 101200UTC 33.8N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 071200
WARNING 071200.
WARNING VALID 081200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 26.5N 133.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 27.5N 132.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 28.7N 132.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 30.7N 132.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 33.8N 136.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 38.4N 146.5E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 42.2N 156.7E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070900UTC 26.3N 134.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
12HF 072100UTC 27.2N 132.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 080900UTC 28.4N 132.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 090600UTC 29.9N 131.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 100600UTC 32.1N 133.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 110600UTC 35.1N 141.7E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 120600UTC 37.9N 151.2E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 20KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 070900
WARNING 070900.
WARNING VALID 080900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 970 HPA
AT 26.3N 134.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 072100UTC AT 27.2N 132.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080900UTC AT 28.4N 132.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070900UTC 26.3N 134.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 080900UTC 28.4N 132.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 090600UTC 29.9N 131.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 100600UTC 32.1N 133.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 070900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201007073858
2020100706 16W CHAN-HOM 011 01 310 11 SATL 030
T000 260N 1348E 065 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 269N 1331E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 155 NW QD
T024 281N 1320E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 291N 1317E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 110 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 301N 1318E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 323N 1341E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 347N 1410E 055 R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
T120 367N 1510E 045 R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 210 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 011
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 26.0N 134.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N 134.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.9N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.1N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 29.1N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 30.1N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 32.3N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 34.7N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 36.7N 151.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 26.2N 134.4E.
07OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 378 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 070600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z,
080300Z AND 080900Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100618 248N1366E 55
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100700 253N1358E 60
1620100706 260N1348E 65
1620100706 260N1348E 65
1620100706 260N1348E 65

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 011
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 011
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 26.0N 134.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N 134.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.9N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.1N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 29.1N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 30.1N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 32.3N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 34.7N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 36.7N 151.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 26.2N 134.4E.
07OCT20. TYPHOON 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 378 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 070600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z,
080300Z AND 080900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 25.7N, 135.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP
AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 25.7N 135.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
12HF 071800UTC 26.9N 132.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 080600UTC 28.0N 132.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 090600UTC 29.9N 131.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 100600UTC 32.1N 133.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 110600UTC 35.1N 141.7E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 120600UTC 37.9N 151.2E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 20KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 25.7N 135.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 080600UTC 28.0N 132.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 090600UTC 29.9N 131.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 100600UTC 32.1N 133.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 070600
WARNING 070600.
WARNING VALID 080600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970
HPA
AT 25.7N 135.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 26.9N 132.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 28.0N 132.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 29.9N 131.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 32.1N 133.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 35.1N 141.7E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 37.9N 151.2E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070300UTC 25.2N 135.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
12HF 071500UTC 26.3N 133.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 080300UTC 27.3N 132.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 090000UTC 28.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 100000UTC 30.8N 132.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 110000UTC 33.7N 138.6E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 120000UTC 35.3N 145.8E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 070300
WARNING 070300.
WARNING VALID 080300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 975 HPA
AT 25.2N 135.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 26.3N 133.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080300UTC AT 27.3N 132.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070300UTC 25.2N 135.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 080300UTC 27.3N 132.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 090000UTC 28.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 100000UTC 30.8N 132.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 070300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201007023224
2020100700 16W CHAN-HOM 010 01 295 07 SATL 040
T000 251N 1361E 060 R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 155 NW QD
T012 260N 1341E 065 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 260 NW QD
T024 270N 1327E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 250 NW QD
T036 279N 1320E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 289N 1315E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 220 NW QD
T072 309N 1325E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 332N 1375E 060 R050 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 351N 1446E 050 R050 120 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 150 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 25.1N 136.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 136.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.0N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.0N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.9N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 30.9N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 33.2N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 35.1N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 135.6E.
07OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 456 NM EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 248N1368E 55
1620100618 248N1368E 55
1620100700 251N1361E 60
1620100700 251N1361E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 010 //
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 25.1N 136.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 136.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.0N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.0N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.9N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 30.9N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 33.2N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 35.1N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 135.6E.
07OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 456 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 136.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
975HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070000UTC 25.0N 136.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
12HF 071200UTC 26.0N 133.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 080000UTC 27.0N 132.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 090000UTC 28.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 100000UTC 30.8N 132.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 110000UTC 33.7N 138.6E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 120000UTC 35.3N 145.8E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070000UTC 25.0N 136.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 080000UTC 27.0N 132.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 090000UTC 28.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 100000UTC 30.8N 132.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 070000
WARNING 070000.
WARNING VALID 080000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 975 HPA
AT 25.0N 136.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 26.0N 133.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 27.0N 132.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 28.9N 131.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 30.8N 132.3E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 33.7N 138.6E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 35.3N 145.8E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 062100
WARNING 062100.
WARNING VALID 072100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 980 HPA
AT 24.8N 136.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 072100UTC AT 26.7N 132.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 062100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 062100UTC 24.8N 136.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 072100UTC 26.7N 132.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 081800UTC 28.1N 130.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 091800UTC 30.1N 130.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 101800UTC 32.6N 135.3E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 111800UTC 34.6N 141.9E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 062100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 062100UTC 24.8N 136.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 072100UTC 26.7N 132.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 081800UTC 28.1N 130.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 091800UTC 30.1N 130.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 062100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201006202910
2020100618 16W CHAN-HOM 009 01 300 08 SATL 050
T000 247N 1370E 055 R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 165 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T012 255N 1349E 065 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 240 NW QD
T024 263N 1332E 075 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 260 NW QD
T036 272N 1321E 080 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 281N 1314E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 250 NW QD
T072 300N 1311E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 205 NW QD
T096 326N 1352E 060 R050 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 342N 1411E 050 R050 110 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 24.7N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.5N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.3N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.1N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 30.0N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 32.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 34.2N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 136.5E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 509 NM EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100618 247N1370E 55
1620100618 247N1370E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 062100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 24.7N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.5N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.3N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.1N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 30.0N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 32.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 34.2N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 136.5E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 509 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS
28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 24.7N, 136.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK
VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR
IS UNFAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH
LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061800UTC 24.7N 136.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 071800UTC 26.3N 132.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 081800UTC 28.1N 130.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 091800UTC 30.1N 130.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 101800UTC 32.6N 135.3E 260NM 70%
MOVE ENE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 111800UTC 34.6N 141.9E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061800UTC 24.7N 136.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 071800UTC 26.3N 132.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 081800UTC 28.1N 130.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 091800UTC 30.1N 130.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 061800
WARNING 061800.
WARNING VALID 071800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 980 HPA
AT 24.7N 136.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 26.3N 132.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 28.1N 130.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 30.1N 130.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 32.6N 135.3E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 34.6N 141.9E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 24.6N 137.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 071500UTC 25.9N 132.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 081200UTC 27.1N 130.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 091200UTC 29.1N 129.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 101200UTC 31.5N 132.7E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 111200UTC 33.5N 138.7E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 061500
WARNING 061500.
WARNING VALID 071500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 990 HPA
AT 24.6N 137.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 25.9N 132.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 24.6N 137.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 071500UTC 25.9N 132.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 081200UTC 27.1N 130.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 091200UTC 29.1N 129.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 061500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201006133226
2020100612 16W CHAN-HOM 008 01 280 05 SATL 030
T000 243N 1377E 055 R050 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW Q
D 175 NW QD
T012 249N 1358E 060 R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 210 NW QD
T024 257N 1340E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 210 NW QD
T036 267N 1324E 075 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 275N 1314E 080 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 220 NW QD
T072 295N 1305E 075 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 230 NW QD
T096 319N 1339E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 334N 1393E 050 R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 170 SE QD 170 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 24.3N 137.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N 137.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.7N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 26.7N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.5N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.5N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 31.9N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 33.4N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 24.5N 137.2E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 552
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 061200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z
AND 071500Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1382E 50
1620100612 243N1377E 55
1620100612 243N1377E 55

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 24.3N, 137.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK
VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR
IS UNFAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS AND DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A
CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT60 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND
INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 061500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 008
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 24.3N 137.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N 137.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.7N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 26.7N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.5N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.5N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 31.9N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 33.4N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 24.5N 137.2E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 552
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 061200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z
AND 071500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 24.3N 137.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 25.6N 133.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 081200UTC 27.1N 130.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 091200UTC 29.1N 129.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 101200UTC 31.5N 132.7E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 111200UTC 33.5N 138.7E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 24.3N 137.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 25.6N 133.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 081200UTC 27.1N 130.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 091200UTC 29.1N 129.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 061200
WARNING 061200.
WARNING VALID 071200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 990 HPA
AT 24.3N 137.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 25.6N 133.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 27.1N 130.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 29.1N 129.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 31.5N 132.7E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 33.5N 138.7E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 24.2N 137.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 25.2N 133.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 080600UTC 26.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 090600UTC 29.0N 130.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 100600UTC 31.2N 131.8E 260NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 110600UTC 33.6N 138.1E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 060900
WARNING 060900.
WARNING VALID 070900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 992 HPA
AT 24.2N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070900UTC AT 25.2N 133.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 24.2N 137.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 25.2N 133.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 080600UTC 26.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 090600UTC 29.0N 130.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 060900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201006073128
2020100606 16W CHAN-HOM 007 01 320 04 SATL 050
T000 242N 1383E 045 R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 246N 1367E 050 R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 160 NW QD
T024 254N 1345E 055 R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 200 NW QD
T036 264N 1327E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 273N 1316E 075 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 230 NW QD
T072 290N 1303E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 314N 1324E 065 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD
T120 332N 1376E 050 R050 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 24.2N 138.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N 138.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.6N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.4N 134.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.4N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.3N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 29.0N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 31.4N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 33.2N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 137.9E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 586
NM EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 060600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z,
070300Z AND 070900Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 234N1391E 40
1620100600 239N1386E 45
1620100606 242N1383E 45

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 007
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 24.2N 138.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N 138.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.6N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.4N 134.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.4N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.3N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 29.0N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 31.4N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 33.2N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 137.9E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 586
NM EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 060600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z,
070300Z AND 070900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 24.0N, 138.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND
FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GCOM-W 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOWER TCHP AND INCREASED
VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060600UTC 24.0N 138.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 070600UTC 25.2N 134.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 080600UTC 26.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 090600UTC 29.0N 130.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 100600UTC 31.2N 131.8E 260NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 110600UTC 33.6N 138.1E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060600UTC 24.0N 138.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 070600UTC 25.2N 134.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 080600UTC 26.9N 131.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 090600UTC 29.0N 130.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 060600
WARNING 060600.
WARNING VALID 070600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 992 HPA
AT 24.0N 138.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 25.2N 134.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 26.9N 131.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 29.0N 130.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 31.2N 131.8E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 33.6N 138.1E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 060300
WARNING 060300.
WARNING VALID 070300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 992 HPA
AT 24.0N 138.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070300UTC AT 25.0N 134.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060300UTC 24.0N 138.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 070300UTC 25.0N 134.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 080000UTC 26.5N 131.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 090000UTC 28.6N 129.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 100000UTC 30.6N 130.3E 260NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 110000UTC 32.4N 134.7E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060300UTC 24.0N 138.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 070300UTC 25.0N 134.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 080000UTC 26.5N 131.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 090000UTC 28.6N 129.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 060300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201006022606
2020100600 16W CHAN-HOM 006 01 300 08 SATL 040
T000 239N 1384E 045 R034 160 NE QD 115 SE QD 075 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 244N 1372E 050 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 250N 1353E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 200 NW QD
T036 260N 1333E 065 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 260 NW QD
T048 270N 1320E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 260 NW QD
T072 288N 1303E 080 R064 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 240 NW QD
T096 303N 1304E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 324N 1344E 050 R050 080 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 140 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 23.9N 138.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N 138.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.4N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.0N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.0N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.0N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.8N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 30.3N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 32.4N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 138.1E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 167 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 235N1392E 40
1620100600 239N1384E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 23.9N 138.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N 138.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.4N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.0N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.0N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.0N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.8N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 30.3N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 32.4N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 138.1E.
06OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 167 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z
IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 24.0N, 138.3E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED
VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060000UTC 24.0N 138.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 070000UTC 25.0N 135.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 080000UTC 26.5N 131.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 090000UTC 28.6N 129.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 100000UTC 30.6N 130.3E 260NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 110000UTC 32.4N 134.7E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060000UTC 24.0N 138.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 070000UTC 25.0N 135.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 080000UTC 26.5N 131.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 090000UTC 28.6N 129.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 060000
WARNING 060000.
WARNING VALID 070000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 992 HPA
AT 24.0N 138.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 25.0N 135.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 26.5N 131.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 28.6N 129.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 30.6N 130.3E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 32.4N 134.7E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 052100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 052100UTC 23.6N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 062100UTC 24.8N 136.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 071800UTC 26.4N 132.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 081800UTC 28.3N 131.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 091800UTC 30.3N 130.9E 260NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 101800UTC 32.5N 135.6E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 052100
WARNING 052100.
WARNING VALID 062100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 996 HPA
AT 23.6N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 062100UTC AT 24.8N 136.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 052100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 052100UTC 23.6N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 062100UTC 24.8N 136.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 071800UTC 26.4N 132.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 081800UTC 28.3N 131.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 052100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201005203415
2020100518 16W CHAN-HOM 005 01 330 04 SATL 040
T000 235N 1392E 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 242N 1383E 050 R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 248N 1368E 055 R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 255N 1349E 065 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 200 NW QD
T048 266N 1332E 075 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 230 NW QD
T072 284N 1316E 085 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 230 NW QD
T096 299N 1312E 070 R064 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 312N 1332E 050 R050 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 23.5N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.2N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.8N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.5N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.6N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.4N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 29.9N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 31.2N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 139.0E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 139 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 226N1393E 35
1620100512 232N1394E 35
1620100518 235N1392E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 052100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 23.5N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.2N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.8N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.5N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.6N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.4N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 29.9N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 31.2N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 139.0E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 139 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 21
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 23.4N, 139.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND
FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND STRONG
VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 23.4N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 24.6N 137.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 071800UTC 26.4N 132.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 081800UTC 28.3N 131.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 091800UTC 30.3N 130.9E 260NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 101800UTC 32.5N 135.6E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 23.4N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 24.6N 137.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 071800UTC 26.4N 132.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 081800UTC 28.3N 131.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 051800
WARNING 051800.
WARNING VALID 061800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 996 HPA
AT 23.4N 139.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 24.6N 137.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 26.4N 132.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 28.3N 131.2E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 30.3N 130.9E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 32.5N 135.6E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 051500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051500UTC 22.8N 139.4E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061500UTC 24.2N 137.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 071200UTC 25.7N 133.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 081200UTC 27.9N 131.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 091200UTC 30.1N 130.8E 260NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 101200UTC 32.0N 134.3E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 051500
WARNING 051500.
WARNING VALID 061500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 998 HPA
AT 22.8N 139.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061500UTC AT 24.2N 137.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 051500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051500UTC 22.8N 139.4E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061500UTC 24.2N 137.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 071200UTC 25.7N 133.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 081200UTC 27.9N 131.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 051500
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201005132025
2020100512 16W CHAN-HOM 004 01 360 03 SATL 040
T000 230N 1392E 035 R034 125 NE QD 090 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 236N 1387E 045 R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 243N 1376E 055 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 120 NW QD
T036 249N 1359E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 260N 1341E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 010 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 230 NW QD
T072 280N 1320E 085 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 210 NW QD
T096 297N 1314E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 313N 1331E 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.6N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.3N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.9N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.0N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.0N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.7N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 31.3N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 23.2N 139.1E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 738 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1395E 20
1620100418 223N1393E 30
1620100500 224N1392E 35
1620100506 227N1392E 35
1620100512 230N1392E 35

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.6N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.3N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.9N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.0N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.0N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.7N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 31.3N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 23.2N 139.1E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 738 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 22.4N, 139.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND
INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051200UTC 22.4N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061200UTC 24.0N 137.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 071200UTC 25.7N 133.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 081200UTC 27.9N 131.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 091200UTC 30.1N 130.8E 260NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 101200UTC 32.0N 134.3E 360NM 70%
MOVE ENE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051200UTC 22.4N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061200UTC 24.0N 137.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 071200UTC 25.7N 133.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 081200UTC 27.9N 131.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 051200
WARNING 051200.
WARNING VALID 061200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 998 HPA
AT 22.4N 139.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 24.0N 137.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 25.7N 133.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 27.9N 131.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 30.1N 130.8E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 32.0N 134.3E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 050900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 22.4N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 24.3N 137.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 070600UTC 25.8N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 080600UTC 27.8N 132.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 090600UTC 30.0N 131.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 100600UTC 32.4N 134.7E 320NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 050900
WARNING 050900.
WARNING VALID 060900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 996 HPA
AT 22.4N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060900UTC AT 24.3N 137.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 050900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 22.4N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 24.3N 137.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 070600UTC 25.8N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 080600UTC 27.8N 132.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 050900
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201005073506
2020100506 16W CHAN-HOM 003 01 270 02 SATL 030
T000 223N 1390E 035 R034 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 228N 1387E 045 R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 236N 1380E 055 R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 241N 1366E 065 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 252N 1347E 075 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 272N 1322E 085 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 290N 1313E 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 200 NW QD
T120 307N 1331E 055 R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 22.3N 139.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 139.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 22.8N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 23.6N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.1N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.2N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 29.0N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 30.7N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 22.4N 138.9E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 781 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 221N1398E 15
1620100406 222N1396E 15
1620100412 222N1394E 20
1620100418 222N1393E 30
1620100500 223N1392E 35
1620100506 223N1390E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 050900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 22.3N 139.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 139.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 22.8N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 23.6N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.1N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.2N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 29.0N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 30.7N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 22.4N 138.9E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 781 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 22.3N, 139.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND
STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH INCREASED VWS, LOWER SSTS AND
REDUCED TCHP. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 22.3N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 24.2N 138.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 070600UTC 25.8N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 080600UTC 27.8N 132.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 090600UTC 30.0N 131.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 100600UTC 32.4N 134.7E 320NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 22.3N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 24.2N 138.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 070600UTC 25.8N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 080600UTC 27.8N 132.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 050600
WARNING 050600.
WARNING VALID 060600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) 996 HPA
AT 22.3N 139.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 24.2N 138.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 25.8N 134.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 27.8N 132.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 30.0N 131.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 32.4N 134.7E WITH 320 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 050300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050300UTC 22.3N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060300UTC 23.8N 138.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 070000UTC 25.4N 136.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 080000UTC 27.0N 132.7E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 090000UTC 28.8N 131.2E 260NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
117HF 100000UTC 30.9N 131.9E 360NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 050300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050300UTC 22.3N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060300UTC 23.8N 138.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 070000UTC 25.4N 136.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 080000UTC 27.0N 132.7E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 050300
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201005020350
2020100500 16W CHAN-HOM 002 01 300 02 SATL 045
T000 226N 1390E 035 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 233N 1389E 045 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 239N 1384E 060 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 244N 1375E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 252N 1358E 075 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 269N 1326E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 220 NW QD
T096 284N 1312E 080 R064 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 200 NW QD
T120 303N 1311E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 002
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 22.6N 139.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N 139.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.3N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.4N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.2N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 26.9N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.4N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 30.3N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 22.8N 139.0E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 799
NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 222N1398E 15
1620100406 224N1396E 15
1620100412 225N1394E 20
1620100418 225N1392E 25
1620100500 226N1390E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 002
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 22.6N 139.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N 139.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.3N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.4N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.2N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 26.9N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.4N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 30.3N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 22.8N 139.0E.
05OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 799
NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 22.2N, 139.3E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(CHAN-HOM) STATUS. TS CHAN-HOM IS LOCATED AT 22.2N, 139.0E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR IS
UNFAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING
AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH
TCHP. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050000UTC 22.2N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTH 75NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060000UTC 23.5N 138.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 070000UTC 25.4N 136.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 080000UTC 27.0N 132.7E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 090000UTC 28.8N 131.2E 260NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
120HF 100000UTC 30.9N 131.9E 360NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050000UTC 22.2N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTH 75NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 060000UTC 23.5N 138.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 070000UTC 25.4N 136.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 080000UTC 27.0N 132.7E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 050000
WARNING 050000.
WARNING VALID 060000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2014 CHAN-HOM (2014) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
998 HPA
AT 22.2N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 75 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 23.5N 138.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 25.4N 136.1E WITH 105 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 27.0N 132.7E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 28.8N 131.2E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 30.9N 131.9E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 042100
WARNING ATCG MIL 16W NWP 201004204011
2020100418 16W SIXTEEN 001 01 270 02 SATL 060
T000 225N 1392E 025
T012 232N 1390E 035 R034 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 238N 1387E 045 R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 242N 1381E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 250N 1366E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 267N 1334E 085 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 210 NW QD
T096 283N 1320E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 140 SE QD 170 SW QD 200 NW QD
T120 302N 1316E 075 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 22.5N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.2N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 23.8N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.2N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.7N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.3N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 30.2N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 139.2E.
04OCT20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
800 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.
//
1620100200 193N1428E 15
1620100206 196N1423E 15
1620100212 200N1418E 15
1620100218 203N1414E 15
1620100300 207N1410E 15
1620100306 209N1405E 15
1620100312 216N1401E 15
1620100318 220N1399E 15
1620100400 222N1398E 15
1620100406 224N1396E 15
1620100412 225N1394E 20
1620100418 225N1392E 25
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Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040851ZOCT2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 22.5N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.2N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 23.8N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.2N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.7N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.3N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 30.2N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 139.2E.
04OCT20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
800 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 040900).//
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