Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for JONGDARI-24
in Republic of Korea

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200600
WARNING 200600.
WARNING VALID 210600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) 1000 HPA
AT 32.5N 125.3E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 36.1N 125.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 39.0N 128.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200000
WARNING 200000.
WARNING VALID 210000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) 998 HPA
AT 31.0N 125.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 34.6N 125.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 37.8N 126.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 42.2N 132.7E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 191800
WARNING 191800.
WARNING VALID 201800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) 998 HPA
AT 29.4N 125.6E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 32.9N 125.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 36.3N 125.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 40.8N 131.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 191500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 240819135453
2024081912 10W JONGDARI 003 02 350 14 SATL 020
T000 277N 1257E 035 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 308N 1254E 030
T024 341N 1254E 025
T036 372N 1259E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 27.7N 125.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N 125.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 30.8N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 34.1N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 37.2N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 28.5N 125.6E.
19AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 133
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191200Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z.//
1024081806 243N1258E 15
1024081812 244N1256E 20
1024081818 247N1257E 30
1024081900 251N1259E 35
1024081906 263N1260E 35
1024081912 277N1257E 35


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 191500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 27.7N 125.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N 125.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 30.8N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 34.1N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 37.2N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 28.5N 125.6E.
19AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 133
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191200Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 191200
WARNING 191200.
WARNING VALID 201200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) 998 HPA
AT 27.6N 125.7E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 31.0N 125.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 34.2N 125.3E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 40.1N 128.1E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 190900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 240819073621
2024081906 10W JONGDARI 002 02 005 12 SATL 020
T000 263N 1260E 035 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 293N 1258E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 325N 1257E 030
T036 356N 1259E 025
T048 383N 1272E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 26.3N 126.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 126.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 29.3N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 32.5N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 35.6N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 38.3N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 27.1N 126.0E.
19AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 97
NM WEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190600Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z, 192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.//
1024081806 243N1258E 15
1024081812 244N1256E 20
1024081818 247N1257E 30
1024081900 251N1259E 35
1024081906 263N1260E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 190900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 26.3N 126.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 126.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 29.3N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 32.5N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 35.6N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 38.3N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 27.1N 126.0E.
19AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 10W (JONGDARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 97
NM WEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190600Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z, 192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 190600
WARNING 190600.
WARNING VALID 200600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) 998 HPA
AT 26.3N 126.0E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 29.5N 125.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 32.8N 125.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 38.6N 128.2E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2409 JONGDARI (2409)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190300UTC 25.6N 126.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 191500UTC 28.6N 125.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 200300UTC 31.9N 125.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE N 17KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 210000UTC 36.9N 125.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 220000UTC 41.7N 130.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 2 FOR TS 2409 JONGDARI (2409)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS JONGDARI IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 126.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
1000HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE KOREAN PENINSULA
BY FT60. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT60 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 190300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 240819014200
2024081900 10W JONGDARI 001 02 025 04 SATL SYNP 045
T000 251N 1259E 025
T012 275N 1259E 030
T024 308N 1257E 025
T036 336N 1255E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1N 125.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 125.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 27.5N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 30.8N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 33.6N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 25.7N 125.9E.
19AUG24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (JONGDARI), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 133 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190000Z IS 1001 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 6 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 200300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1024081806 243N1258E 15
1024081812 244N1256E 20
1024081818 247N1257E 20
1024081900 251N1259E 25
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (JONGDARI) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1N 125.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 125.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 27.5N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 30.8N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 33.6N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 25.7N 125.9E.
19AUG24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (JONGDARI), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 133 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190000Z IS 1001 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 6 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 200300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (AMPIL) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2409 JONGDARI (2409)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190000UTC 25.0N 126.1E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 191200UTC 27.7N 125.6E 30NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 200000UTC 30.9N 125.5E 42NM 70%
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 210000UTC 36.9N 125.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 220000UTC 41.7N 130.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 190000
WARNING 190000.
WARNING VALID 200000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) 1000 HPA
AT 25.0N 126.1E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 27.7N 125.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 30.9N 125.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 36.9N 125.1E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 41.7N 130.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 182100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2409 JONGDARI (2409)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 182100UTC 24.5N 125.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 190900UTC 27.0N 125.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 192100UTC 30.1N 125.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 201800UTC 35.9N 125.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 17KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 211800UTC 42.9N 126.4E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 1 FOR TS 2409 JONGDARI (2409)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 24.6N, 125.6E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(JONGDARI) STATUS. TS JONGDARI IS LOCATED AT 24.2N, 125.4E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM
SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2409 JONGDARI (2409) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181800UTC 24.2N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 190600UTC 26.3N 125.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 191800UTC 29.3N 125.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 201800UTC 35.9N 125.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 17KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 211800UTC 42.9N 126.4E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 181800
WARNING 181800.
WARNING VALID 191800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2409 JONGDARI (2409) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 24.2N 125.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 26.3N 125.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 29.3N 125.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 35.9N 125.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 42.9N 126.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=