Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-24 Off-shore from 25 Aug 2024 21:00 UTC to 29 Aug 2024 09:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-24

Off-shore

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Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

29/08 09:04 WTPN32PHNC291000

29/08 08:37 WTPZ43KNHC290835

29/08 08:36 WTPZ33KNHC290834

29/08 08:34 WTPZ23KNHC290834

29/08 03:50 WTPN32PHNC290400

29/08 02:35 WTPZ43KNHC290232

29/08 02:33 WTPZ33KNHC290231

29/08 02:32 WTPZ23KNHC290231

28/08 21:41 WTPN32PHNC282200

28/08 20:40 WTPZ43KNHC282038

28/08 20:37 WTPZ33KNHC282036

28/08 20:36 WTPZ23KNHC282035

28/08 15:26 WTPN32PHNC281600

28/08 14:35 WTPZ43KNHC281433

28/08 14:34 WTPZ33KNHC281432

28/08 14:33 WTPZ23KNHC281432

28/08 09:21 WTPN32PHNC281000

28/08 08:36 WTPZ43KNHC280834

28/08 08:35 WTPZ33KNHC280833

28/08 08:33 WTPZ23KNHC280833

28/08 03:25 WTPN32PHNC280400

28/08 02:35 WTPZ43KNHC280233

28/08 02:34 WTPZ33KNHC280233

28/08 02:33 WTPZ23KNHC280232

27/08 21:40 WTPN32PHNC272200

27/08 20:38 WTPZ43KNHC272036

27/08 20:36 WTPZ33KNHC272034

27/08 20:34 WTPZ23KNHC272033

27/08 15:19 WTPN32PHNC271600

27/08 14:47 WTPZ43KNHC271445

27/08 14:46 WTPZ33KNHC271444

27/08 14:45 WTPZ23KNHC271444

27/08 10:40 WTPN32PHNC271000

27/08 08:33 WTPZ43KNHC270831

27/08 08:32 WTPZ33KNHC270831

27/08 08:31 WTPZ23KNHC270830

27/08 04:13 WTNT80EGRR270412

27/08 04:13 WTNT82EGRR270412

27/08 03:33 WTPN32PHNC270400

27/08 02:47 WTPZ43KNHC270246

27/08 02:47 WTPZ33KNHC270245

27/08 02:45 WTPZ23KNHC270245

26/08 21:30 WTPN32PHNC262200

26/08 20:39 WTPZ43KNHC262036

26/08 20:37 WTPZ33KNHC262036

26/08 20:37 WTPZ23KNHC262036

26/08 15:23 WTPN32PHNC261600

26/08 14:40 WTPZ43KNHC261438

26/08 14:39 WTPZ33KNHC261437

26/08 14:37 WTPZ23KNHC261437

26/08 09:37 WTPN32PHNC261000

26/08 08:35 WTPZ43KNHC260832

26/08 08:33 WTPZ33KNHC260832

26/08 08:32 WTPZ23KNHC260832

26/08 03:21 WTPN32PHNC260400

26/08 02:43 WTPZ43KNHC260241

26/08 02:42 WTPZ33KNHC260241

26/08 02:41 WTPZ23KNHC260241

25/08 22:17 WTPN32PHNC252200

25/08 20:36 WTPZ43KNHC252034

25/08 20:34 WTPZ33KNHC252033

25/08 20:34 WTPZ23KNHC252033

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 291000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/REMNANTS 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. REMNANTS 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 015
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 08E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 16.9N 134.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 134.8W
---
REMARKS:
29AUG24. REMNANTS 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1168 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290600Z
IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 290835
TCDEP3

Remnants Of Hector Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
200 AM PDT Thu Aug 29 2024

An overnight scatterometer pass showed that the low-level center of
Hector has opened up into a trough. There remains a limited area
of shallow convection displaced over 250 n mi from the remnants of
the center. The initial intensity has been reduced to 30 kt based
on the ASCAT data. The remnants of Hector should continue to move
generally westward for the next couple of days.

This is the final NHC advisory for Hector. For additional
information on this system, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO
header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 16.9N 135.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 290834
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Hector Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
200 AM PDT Thu Aug 29 2024

...HECTOR DISSIPATES...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 135.4W
ABOUT 1305 MI...2100 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the remnants of Hector were located near
latitude 16.9 North, longitude 135.4 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the system
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 290834
TCMEP3

REMNANTS OF HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0900 UTC THU AUG 29 2024

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 135.4W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 135.4W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 134.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 135.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE SYSTEM
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 290400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 17.2N 133.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 133.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 17.3N 135.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 17.3N 138.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 17.3N 141.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
290400Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 134.4W.
29AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1226
NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290000Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
291000Z, 291600Z, 292200Z AND 300400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 290232
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Wed Aug 28 2024

Satellite imagery this evening shows that Hector is still losing
organization. The low-level center is now well-removed to the
southwest of the convection, and there are indications that a new
vorticity center is trying to form near the remaining convection.
This development is distorting the circulation and stretching it
into a northeast-southwest oriented trough. Most of the various
satellite intensity estimates are now in the 30-35 kt range, and
based on them the initial intensity is reduced to a possibly
generous 35 kt.

A combination of cool sea surface temperatures near the forecast
track, dry air entrainment, and southwesterly vertical wind shear
should cause Hector to weaken further. The new intensity forecast
is based on the global models, and it has the system weakening to a
remnant low pressure area in 24 h or less followed by degeneration
to a trough between 36-48 h. However, given current trends it is
possible that Hector could weaken to a trough at any time.

Due to the disorganization, the initial motion is uncertain and is
estimated to be 270/10 kt. A general westward motion should
continue until the system dissipates.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0300Z 17.2N 134.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 17.3N 135.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 17.3N 138.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/1200Z 17.3N 141.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 290231
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Wed Aug 28 2024

...HECTOR STILL WEAKENING...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 134.2W
ABOUT 1380 MI...2220 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 134.2 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
Hector is expected to become a remnant low on Thursday and
dissipate on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 290231
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 134.2W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 134.2W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 133.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.3N 135.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.3N 138.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.3N 141.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 134.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 282200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 17.6N 133.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 133.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 17.7N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.7N 137.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 17.7N 140.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
282200Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 133.7W.
28AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1262
NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
290400Z, 291000Z, 291600Z AND 292200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 282038
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024

The low-level center of Hector has completely decoupled from its
deep convection today. Visible satellite images and scatterometer
data indicate the center is south of previous estimates, and the
circulation still appears elongated with weak winds on the south
side. Additionally, much of the deep convection from earlier today
has collapsed, and cloud top temperatures have warmed to the
northeast of the center. Despite its degraded structure, a recent
ASCAT-B pass shows Hector is still producing tropical-storm-force
winds in its northern semicircle, and the initial intensity is set
at 40 kt.

The estimated motion of the storm is south of due west (260/8 kt). A
subtropical ridge to the north of Hector should continue steering
the cyclone westward during the next couple of days. There are no
changes to the forecast reasoning, although the latest NHC forecast
track is shifted southward based on the relocation of the center.
Additional weakening is forecast given Hector's poor organization
and the hostile environmental conditions it faces, namely the
moderate west-southwesterly shear and dry air in the surrounding
environment. Based on current satellite trends and the latest
model-simulated satellite imagery, Hector is forecast to degenerate
to a remnant low in 24 h and dissipate by 48 h. However, it is
possible that Hector could open into a trough sooner than forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 17.6N 133.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 17.7N 135.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 17.7N 137.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/0600Z 17.7N 140.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 282036
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024

...HECTOR WEAKENS...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 133.4W
ABOUT 1425 MI...2295 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 133.4 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast
during the next couple of days, and Hector is expected to become a
remnant low on Thursday and dissipate on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 282035
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.7N 135.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.7N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.7N 140.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 133.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 281600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 012 //
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.3N 132.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 132.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.4N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.5N 136.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.5N 139.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 18.4N 142.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
281600Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 133.1W.
28AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1194
NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281200Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
282200Z, 290400Z, 291000Z AND 291600Z.
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 281433
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024

GOES-18 proxy-vis imagery shows that the low-level center of Hector
is exposed to the southwest of a large area of deep convection. A
28/1040 UTC ATMS microwave pass also supports the analysis of the
exposed center located to the southwest of the convection. An
ASCAT-B pass from 28/0608 UTC showed wind vectors up to 38 kt to the
north of the center. However, the ASCAT data also shows that the
wind structure on the south side is becoming weak and elongated.
Although the scatterometer data still shows some weak west winds on
the south side, Hector could be close to opening up into a trough.
Subjective current intensity estimates are 45 kt from both TAFB and
SAB. Objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are a bit lower,
ranging from 35 to 44 kt. The initial intensity is held at 45 kt
for this advisory.

The center of Hector is becoming a bit more ambiguous as there
appears to be a couple of weak swirls, and the best estimate of the
motion is westward, or 275/9 kt. The cyclone should continue moving
close to due west, steered by a low- to mid-level subtropical ridge
to its north. The new NHC forecast is just a tad slower than the
previous official forecast and is close to the TVCE consensus aid.

Moderate west-southwesterly wind shear has already caused the
convective area to be displaced well to the northeast of the
center. Given that Hector is expected to continue traveling within
an environment of marginal SSTs, dry air, and moderate
southwesterly shear, the NHC forecast will continue to show
weakening, in agreement with the latest intensity consensus
guidance. Simulated satellite imagery from the GFS and ECMWF
models suggests that Hector should lose its convection on Thursday,
and the official forecast continues to show Hector degenerating to
a remnant low at that time. Most of the global models show the
remnants of Hector opening up into a trough by Friday. However,
given the recent deteriorating surface wind structure observed on
ASCAT and GOES-18 proxy vis imagery, it would not be surprising if
Hector dissipated sooner than forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 18.3N 132.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/1200Z 18.5N 136.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart/Konarik

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 281432
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024

...HECTOR FORECAST TO WEAKEN SOON AS IT HEADS WESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 132.9W
ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 132.9 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next couple of days,
and Hector is forecast to become a remnant low on Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart/Konarik

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 281432
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 132.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 132.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 132.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 136.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 132.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/REINHART/KONARIK

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 281000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 18.3N 131.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 131.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.5N 133.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.6N 135.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 18.6N 138.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 18.5N 141.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
281000Z POSITION NEAR 18.4N 132.3W.
28AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1165
NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280600Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
281600Z, 282200Z, 290400Z AND 291000Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 280834
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

Hector continues to produce a large area of deep convection,
although it has become a little less organized this evening. Recent
microwave imagery depicts that the system is starting to tilt due to
15-20 kt of westerly wind shear. A recent scatterometer pass of
ASCAT-B depicted satellite derived winds around 38-40 kt. Subjective
and objective intensity estimates have held steady for this advisory
and range from 40-45 kt. Using a blend of ASCAT data and the
intensity estimates, the intensity is held at 45 kt for this
advisory.

The tropical storm continues to move west-northwestward at 285/10
kt. The mid-level ridge ridge to the north will keep Hector on a
west-northwestward to westward motion the next day or so. As the
system weakens and becomes vertically shallow a more westward motion
will occur as the system is steered in the low-level flow. The model
guidance is in fairly good agreement and the latest NHC track
forecast is very close to the previous advisory.

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions near the system are not very
favorable as Hector will continue to deal with westerly wind shear,
drier air, and moves over sub 26C sea surface temperatures. This
should cause Hector to gradually weaken over the next few days.
Global models are in fairly good agreement that the system will
struggle to produce organized deep convection in about 36 h, and
open into a trough and dissipate in 60 h. This is reflected in the
latest NHC intensity forecast, which lies near the consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 18.4N 132.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 28/1800Z 18.5N 133.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0600Z 18.6N 135.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 29/1800Z 18.6N 138.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/0600Z 18.5N 141.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 280833
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

...HECTOR FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 132.0W
ABOUT 1460 MI...2350 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 132.0 West. Hector is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion with a turn more westward is anticipated over the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next few days and Hector
is forecast to become a remnant low on Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 280833
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0900 UTC WED AUG 28 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 132.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 132.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 131.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.5N 133.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.6N 135.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.6N 138.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.5N 141.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 132.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 280400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 18.1N 130.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 130.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 18.4N 132.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.6N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.6N 137.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.5N 139.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 18.4N 142.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280400Z POSITION NEAR 18.2N 131.2W.
28AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1136
NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280000Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
281000Z, 281600Z, 282200Z AND 290400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 280233
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

Hector this evening continues to produce a large area of deep
convection, though this activity is struggling to become better
organized and wrap around the circulation center, possibly due to
continued 15-20 kt westerly shear helping to entrain very dry
mid-level air near its center. Subjective and objective intensity
estimates remain largely unchanged this evening, and the initial
intensity will remain 45 kt for this advisory.

The tropical storm continues to move off to the west-northwest at
285/10 kt. The mid-level ridge currently steering Hector is expected
to weaken somewhat as a mid- to upper-level weakness forms north of
Hector. However, the cyclone is also likely to become more
vertically shallow and thus steered more by a low-level ridge that
will remain in place to the north. Thus, the track forecast shows
Hector bending back more westward over the next several days. The
latest NHC track forecast is very close to the previous advisory and
lies in the middle of the guidance envelope.

The overall environment near Hector currently is not all that
favorable for much additional strengthening. The current moderate
shear is not forecast to let up much as Hector also moves over the
cold wake left behind by Gilma, which itself has dramatically
weakened as it encountered less favorable conditions. Thus,
weakening continues to be forecast with Hector, in good agreement
with the intensity guidance. Both the GFS and ECMWF still show the
cyclone losing its remaining organized convection after 48 hours,
and the NHC forecast shows the system becoming a post-tropical
remnant low before it crosses into the Central Pacific basin.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 18.2N 131.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 18.4N 132.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 18.6N 134.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 18.6N 137.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 280233
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

...HECTOR FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 131.0W
ABOUT 1400 MI...2255 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 131.0 West. Hector is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion with a turn more westward is anticipated over the next
several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next several days and
Hector is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low on
Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 280232
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0300 UTC WED AUG 28 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 131.0W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 131.0W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 130.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.4N 132.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.6N 134.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.6N 137.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 131.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 272200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 17.7N 129.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 129.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 18.1N 131.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.3N 133.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.4N 135.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 18.4N 138.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 18.3N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
272200Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 130.0W.
27AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1470
NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271800Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
280400Z, 281000Z, 281600Z AND 282200Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 272036
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

Hector has shown a bit of a convective comeback today with the
well-defined center tucking in along the edge of the growing deep
convection. Both TAFB and SAB's subjective classifications of
Hector's intensity have gone up to a T3.0/45 kt, and the SATCON
indicates 42 kt, which are the basis for boosting the maximum winds
back to 45 kt for this advisory.

However, it is not anticipated that Hector will continue to
intensify. The combination of moderate westerly vertical shear,
lukewarm 26C SSTs, and a fairly dry low-level atmosphere should
cause a gradual weakening of the system. The simulated satellite
imagery from the GFS and EC suggests that deep convection will
cease in about two days, so a remnant low transition should occur
starting in 48 hr. The global models also suggest that Hector will
open up into a trough in around three days, so dissipation is shown
at 72 hr. All of the statistical and numerical guidance is in
agreement with this intensity forecast.

Hector is moving toward the west-northwest today at around 10 kt.
As the system becomes increasingly shallow, it should be steered by
the low-level trades toward the west at the same forward speed. The
global and regional models are in close agreement with this scenario
and little change was made to the previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 17.8N 129.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 18.1N 131.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/1800Z 18.3N 133.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 29/0600Z 18.4N 135.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 29/1800Z 18.4N 138.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/0600Z 18.3N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Landsea

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 272034
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

...HECTOR STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 129.8W
ABOUT 1335 MI...2145 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 129.8 West. Hector is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). The system
is expected to turn on Wednesday toward the west at a similar
forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and it is
anticipated that Hector will weaken to a tropical depression by
Wednesday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Landsea

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 272033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
2100 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 129.8W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 129.8W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 129.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.1N 131.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.3N 133.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.4N 135.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.4N 138.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.3N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 129.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 271600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 17.5N 128.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 128.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 18.0N 130.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 18.3N 132.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.4N 134.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.4N 136.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.4N 139.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 18.3N 142.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
271600Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 128.9W.
27AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1092
NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271200Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
272200Z, 280400Z, 281000Z AND 281600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 271445
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 AM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

Hector has become less organized during the past 12-24 hours. The
center is now located near the western edge of a ragged convective
mass. Objective and subjective T-numbers have decreased and the
initial intensity has been reduced to 40 kt, which is a blend of
these estimates. The environment ahead of Gilma does not look
conducive. Moderate westerly shear, dry mid-level air, and
marginal sea surface temperatures should cause gradual weakening
over the next 36-48 hours. Hector will be moving over the cool wake
of Gilma and this could result in a faster rate of weakening than
indicated below. The system is now forecast to become a remnant
low in about 60 hours, and dissipate by day 4.

Hector is moving west-northwestward at 10 kt. A turn to the west
is expected during the next day or so as a low- to mid-level ridge
builds to the north of Hector. The latest NHC track forecast is
near or slightly north of the previous forecast due to a more
northward initial position, but it still lies near the model
consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 17.6N 128.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 18.0N 130.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 18.3N 132.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 29/1200Z 18.4N 136.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 30/0000Z 18.4N 139.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 30/1200Z 18.3N 142.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 271444
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 AM HST Tue Aug 27 2024

...HECTOR CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 128.7W
ABOUT 1270 MI...2045 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 128.7 West. Hector is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected today. A westward motion at a similar
forward speed is forecast tonight through the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated today,
but gradual weakening is forecast to begin tonight and Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 271444
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 128.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 128.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 128.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 130.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.3N 132.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.4N 136.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.4N 139.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.3N 142.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 128.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 271000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 17.0N 127.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 127.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.5N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.8N 131.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.9N 133.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.0N 135.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 18.0N 138.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 18.0N 140.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 18.0N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
271000Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 127.7W.
27AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1084
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271600Z, 272200Z, 280400Z AND 281000Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 270831
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

Hector appears a little less organized tonight. Infrared satellite
images indicate that the convective pattern has become ragged with
a lack of banding features. Accordingly, the objective and
subjective Dvorak classifications have decreased some, but blending
all of the estimates still yields an intensity estimate of 45 kt.

The storm is ingesting some dry air and appears to be feeling some
influences of cool upwelled waters from Hurricane Gilma that passed
through the area a few days ago. It is starting to look
increasingly likely that Hector is missing its window to strengthen
any further. Weakening will likely commence in a day or so when the
shear begins to increase, and Hector is now forecast to become a
remnant low by day 3. This forecast remains near the high end of
the model guidance.

Hector is moving west-northwestward at 8 kt. A turn to the west
with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected during the next
few days as a low- to mid-level ridge builds to the north of the
system. No big changes were made to the track forecast, and this
one lies fairly close to the various consensus models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0900Z 17.1N 127.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 17.5N 129.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 17.8N 131.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 17.9N 133.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 18.0N 135.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 29/1800Z 18.0N 138.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 30/0600Z 18.0N 140.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/0600Z 18.0N 147.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

...HECTOR CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 127.5W
ABOUT 1210 MI...1945 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 127.5 West. Hector is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A faster
westward motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible on Tuesday, but gradual
weakening is forecast after that.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 270830
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0900 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 127.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 127.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.5N 129.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.8N 131.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.9N 133.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N 135.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 138.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 140.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 127.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 270412

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.08.2024

HURRICANE GILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.5N 137.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072024

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 27.08.2024 18.5N 137.7W STRONG
12UTC 27.08.2024 18.6N 140.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY
00UTC 28.08.2024 18.6N 142.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.08.2024 18.7N 144.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.08.2024 19.3N 146.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.08.2024 20.0N 148.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.08.2024 20.2N 150.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.08.2024 20.5N 153.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.08.2024 21.1N 155.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL STORM HONE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 162.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012024

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 27.08.2024 19.5N 162.4W WEAK
12UTC 27.08.2024 19.7N 165.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.08.2024 20.0N 167.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.08.2024 20.6N 169.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.08.2024 21.0N 172.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.08.2024 21.7N 173.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.08.2024 22.5N 175.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.08.2024 22.8N 177.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.08.2024 22.7N 178.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.08.2024 22.0N 179.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.09.2024 21.4N 178.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.09.2024 20.8N 177.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.09.2024 20.9N 176.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.09.2024 21.4N 174.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.09.2024 21.3N 173.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 126.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082024

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 27.08.2024 17.0N 126.1W MODERATE
12UTC 27.08.2024 17.5N 128.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.08.2024 18.0N 130.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.08.2024 18.3N 132.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.08.2024 18.4N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.08.2024 18.5N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 270412

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 270412

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 27.08.2024

HURRICANE GILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.5N 137.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2024 0 18.5N 137.7W 967 83
1200UTC 27.08.2024 12 18.6N 140.1W 991 57
0000UTC 28.08.2024 24 18.6N 142.5W 998 47
1200UTC 28.08.2024 36 18.7N 144.6W 1000 46
0000UTC 29.08.2024 48 19.3N 146.3W 1003 38
1200UTC 29.08.2024 60 20.0N 148.3W 1007 34
0000UTC 30.08.2024 72 20.2N 150.5W 1009 30
1200UTC 30.08.2024 84 20.5N 153.0W 1011 27
0000UTC 31.08.2024 96 21.1N 155.6W 1012 24
1200UTC 31.08.2024 108 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM HONE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 162.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2024 0 19.5N 162.4W 1003 39
1200UTC 27.08.2024 12 19.7N 165.2W 1006 38
0000UTC 28.08.2024 24 20.0N 167.7W 1007 35
1200UTC 28.08.2024 36 20.6N 169.9W 1008 31
0000UTC 29.08.2024 48 21.0N 172.0W 1008 28
1200UTC 29.08.2024 60 21.7N 173.7W 1009 29
0000UTC 30.08.2024 72 22.5N 175.5W 1009 28
1200UTC 30.08.2024 84 22.8N 177.4W 1010 26
0000UTC 31.08.2024 96 22.7N 178.6W 1011 24
1200UTC 31.08.2024 108 22.0N 179.8W 1010 25
0000UTC 01.09.2024 120 21.4N 178.9E 1010 24
1200UTC 01.09.2024 132 20.8N 177.6E 1010 23
0000UTC 02.09.2024 144 20.9N 176.2E 1009 24
1200UTC 02.09.2024 156 21.4N 174.6E 1009 25
0000UTC 03.09.2024 168 21.3N 173.2E 1009 26

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 126.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2024 0 17.0N 126.1W 999 41
1200UTC 27.08.2024 12 17.5N 128.2W 1000 43
0000UTC 28.08.2024 24 18.0N 130.5W 1003 38
1200UTC 28.08.2024 36 18.3N 132.8W 1005 34
0000UTC 29.08.2024 48 18.4N 135.2W 1007 31
1200UTC 29.08.2024 60 18.5N 137.4W 1010 29
0000UTC 30.08.2024 72 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 270412

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 270400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 16.7N 126.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 126.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.2N 128.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.5N 130.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.8N 132.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 17.8N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 17.9N 137.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 17.8N 139.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 17.6N 145.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.0N 151.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
270400Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 126.9W.
27AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1079
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270000Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271000Z, 271600Z, 272200Z AND 280400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 270246
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

Hector appears to be holding steady. Deep convection has rotated to
the northeast of the surface circulation and there is outflow
present in the eastern half of the storm. An SSMIS microwave pass
from 0024 UTC suggests that while the storm may be less tilted, the
area of deep convection has decreased. The initial intensity is
held at 45 kt based on an earlier ASCAT pass. The wind radii have
also been adjusted outward based on the scatterometer data.

The cyclone is moving westward at 10 kt along the southern side of a
low- to mid-level ridge. This general westward to
west-northwestward motion, with a slight increase in forward speed,
should continue through the entire forecast period. The latest
forecast is essentially unchanged from the previous prediction.

Model guidance is showing that the window for potential
intensification should be ending in a day or so. Weak-to-moderate
shear and sufficiently warm ocean waters could allow Hector to
strengthen a little more within a day, but by Thursday, all guidance
suggests that deteriorating environmental conditions should induce
gradual weakening. This weakening could also be hastened by
Hector's passage over Hurricane Gilma's cold wake. The official
forecast is still on the high end of the guidance envelope and very
similar to the earlier intensity forecast, but now shows Hector as a
remnant low by day 4.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 16.8N 126.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 17.2N 128.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 28/0000Z 17.5N 130.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 28/1200Z 17.8N 132.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 29/0000Z 17.8N 134.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 29/1200Z 17.9N 137.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 30/0000Z 17.8N 139.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 31/0000Z 17.6N 145.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/0000Z 18.0N 151.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 270245
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

...HECTOR HOLDING STEADY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 126.7W
ABOUT 1170 MI...1880 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 126.7 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a
west-northwestward to westward motion at a slightly faster forward
speed is expected over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so
followed by gradual weakening.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 270245
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 126.7W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 126.7W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 126.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.2N 128.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N 130.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.8N 132.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.8N 134.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.9N 137.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N 139.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 17.6N 145.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.0N 151.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 126.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 262200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 125.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 125.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.9N 127.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.3N 129.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.6N 131.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.7N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 17.7N 136.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.7N 138.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 17.6N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 17.0N 149.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
262200Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 126.0W.
26AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1077
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 261800Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
270400Z, 271000Z, 271600Z AND 272200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 262036
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

Hector's cloud pattern has not become better organized since earlier
today. Most of the deep convection is over the northern and eastern
portions of the circulation. Microwave imagery suggested some
southeastward tilt of the vortex center with height. Upper-level
outflow is limited and mainly occurring over the southern portion of
the system. Subjective Dvorak satellite classifications from both
TAFB and SAB are T3.0 corresponding to an intensity of 45 kt, so the
advisory intensity remains unchanged at that value.

Hector has been moving west-northwestward with an initial motion
estimate of 285/9 kt. There is little change to the track forecast
philosophy. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone
is forecast to strengthen slightly during the next few days. This
should result in a west-northwestward to westward motion with a
gradual increase in forward speed during the forecast period. By
the end of the period, Hector should be a shallow system and be
steered mainly by the low-level easterly flow. The official track
forecast is basically an extension of the previous one, and remains
close to the model consensus aids.

Dynamical guidance indicates that weak-to-moderate vertical wind
shear is likely over Hector during the next few days which could
allow some strengthening. However, the system is expected to
continue moving near or over the cool wake of Hurricane Gilma and
drier air should be affecting the circulation within the next couple
of days. Therefore only a slight short-term increase in strength is
forecast, with the official forecast being on the high side of the
model guidance. Given the expectation of increasingly unfavorable
environmental conditions later in the forecast period, the official
forecast shows Hector becoming a remnant low in 5 days. However the
global models suggest that the system may degenerate even sooner.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 16.5N 125.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 16.9N 127.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 17.3N 129.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 28/0600Z 17.6N 131.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 28/1800Z 17.7N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 29/0600Z 17.7N 136.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 29/1800Z 17.7N 138.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 30/1800Z 17.6N 144.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
120H 31/1800Z 17.0N 149.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 262036
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

...HECTOR MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 125.8W
ABOUT 1125 MI...1805 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 125.8 West. Hector is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and a
west-northwestward to westward motion at a slightly faster forward
speed is expected over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the
next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 262036
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 125.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 125.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 125.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 127.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.3N 129.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N 131.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.7N 133.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.7N 136.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.7N 138.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 17.6N 144.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 17.0N 149.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 125.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 261600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 16.1N 124.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 124.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.6N 126.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.1N 128.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.4N 130.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.6N 132.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 17.7N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 17.7N 137.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 17.5N 142.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 17.5N 148.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
261600Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 125.1W.
26AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1074
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 261200Z IS 1000
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262200Z, 270400Z, 271000Z AND 271600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 261438
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

Microwave imagery continues to show evidence of northerly shear
over the cyclone, with the mid-level center displaced a little to
the south of the surface center. However, the overall cloud
pattern appears to be slightly better organized than it was
yesterday with some evidence of banding features over the eastern
portion of the circulation. The advisory intensity has been
increased a bit, to 45 kt, in agreement with subjective Dvorak
Current Intensity Numbers from TAFB and SAB.

Center fixes from geostationary and microwave imagery give a
westward motion at around 270/9 kt. A weak low- to mid-level ridge
is currently situated to the north of Hector, and the global
models suggest that the ridge will build a little in a few days.
The track guidance calls for a west-northwestward to westward
heading with a slight increase in forward speed for the next 3-5
days. The official forecast is similar to the previous one and
follows the dynamical model consensus predictions.

Although the vertical shear is not forecast to be very strong,
Hector is expected to traverse marginal SSTs for the next few days
while it moves over or near the oceanic wake of Hurricane Gilma.
Also, the global models show the system encountering increasingly
dry air at low- to mid-levels. The intensity guidance does not
call for much additional strengthening and the official
forecast is at the high end of the model predictions. With the
expected less favorable environment, a weakening trend is likely to
begin in a couple of days. Simulated satellite imagery from the
ECMWF and GFS models show little or no deep convection associated
with Hector by the end of the forecast period, so the official
forecast calls for the system to become a remnant low at that time.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 16.2N 124.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 27/0000Z 16.6N 126.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 27/1200Z 17.1N 128.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 28/0000Z 17.4N 130.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 28/1200Z 17.6N 132.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 29/0000Z 17.7N 134.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 29/1200Z 17.7N 137.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 30/1200Z 17.5N 142.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 31/1200Z 17.5N 148.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 261437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024

...HECTOR A BIT STRONGER...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 124.9W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1735 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 124.9 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and a
west-northwestward to westward motion is expected over the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some slight additional strengthening is possible
during the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 261437
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 124.9W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 124.9W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 124.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.6N 126.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.1N 128.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 130.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.6N 132.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N 134.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.7N 137.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 142.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 17.5N 148.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 124.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 261000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.6N 125.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 17.0N 127.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.4N 129.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.7N 131.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.8N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 17.9N 135.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 17.6N 140.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 17.0N 146.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
261000Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 124.0W.
26AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1047
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260600Z IS 1001
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261600Z, 262200Z, 270400Z AND 271000Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 260832
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 25 2024

Hector has generally changed little during the past several hours.
The storm remains sheared with the low-level center located near the
northern edge of the main area of deep convection as seen in
microwave images. The latest objective and subjective Dvorak
estimates range from 35 to 45 kt, and a recent ASCAT-C pass showed a
swath of 35-40 kt winds to the east of the center. Based on all of
this information, the initial intensity is again held at 40 kt.

The storm is moving westward (280 degrees) at 8 kt, and a continued
relatively slow westward to west-northwestward motion should persist
for another day or two. Thereafter, a slightly faster westward
motion is forecast as a low- to mid-level ridge builds to the north
of the system. There is some along-track spread in the guidance,
but most of the models show a similar theme. Little change was made
to the previous NHC track, and this one lies fairly close to the
various consensus models.

Hector is currently experiencing some northerly wind shear. The
shear should decrease a little during the next couple of days, which
could allow Hector to gain some strength. However, the
strengthening will likely be tempered due to Hector passing over
Gilma's cool wake. As Hector nears the central Pacific basin in a
few days, the models show the storm moving into a region of stronger
shear and drier air, which should end the opportunity for
strengthening and induce weakening. The NHC forecast shows Hector
becoming a remnant low by day 5, but most of the global models
depict this transition occurring sooner than that. The intensity
forecast is nudged downward from the previous one, but still lies at
the high end of the latest model guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 16.3N 123.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 16.6N 125.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 17.0N 127.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 17.4N 129.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 17.7N 131.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 28/1800Z 17.8N 133.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 29/0600Z 17.9N 135.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 30/0600Z 17.6N 140.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 31/0600Z 17.0N 146.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 260832
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 25 2024

...HECTOR COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 123.9W
ABOUT 1015 MI...1635 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 123.9 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 260832
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0900 UTC MON AUG 26 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 123.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 123.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.0N 127.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.4N 129.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.7N 131.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N 133.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 135.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 17.6N 140.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 17.0N 146.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 123.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 260400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 16.2N 122.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 122.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.5N 124.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.9N 126.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.3N 128.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.6N 130.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 18.0N 133.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.0N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.1N 140.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 17.6N 145.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
260400Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 123.5W.
26AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1847
NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260000Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
261000Z, 261600Z, 262200Z AND 270400Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 260241
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Sun Aug 25 2024

Hector remains a sheared tropical storm this evening. Recent
microwave imagery from AMSR2 and GMI showed the low-level
circulation on the northern edge of the deep convection, with a rain
band extending to the south. Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB
were T3.0/45-kt and T2.5/35-kt, respectively. The initial
intensity remains at 40 kt, representing a blend of these estimates.

The storm is moving along the southern side of mid-level ridge at an
estimated 275/10 kt. The ridge should be the dominant steering
feature for the majority of the forecast period, and Hector should
generally move westward to west-northwestward through the end of
the week. There is a bit of along-track spread in the model
guidance, with the European model suggesting a faster forward
motion compare to the American global and regional models. The
latest track forecast is slightly slower than the previous
prediction and close to the corrected consensus aid, HCCA.

Environmental conditions should allow for gradual strengthening over
the next couple of days. The deep-layer vertical wind shear is
expected to be light-to-moderate with sufficiently warm sea surface
temperatures along the forecast track. By mid-week, most global
models show drier mid-level air wrapping around the circulation and
increasing vertical wind shear. These conditions, and possibly the
cold wake of Hurricane Gilma, should lead to steady weakening and
most guidance shows Hector losing its deep convection by the end of
forecast period. The NHC intensity prediction is similar to
earlier advisory, but now shows Hector as a remnant low by day 5.
The forecast lies near the high end of the model guidance envelope,
closest to the regional model HWRF.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 16.2N 123.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 16.5N 124.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 16.9N 126.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 17.3N 128.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 17.6N 130.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 18.0N 133.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 18.0N 135.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 18.1N 140.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 17.6N 145.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 260241
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
500 PM HST Sun Aug 25 2024

...HECTOR HEADING WESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 123.2W
ABOUT 980 MI...1580 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 123.2 West. Hector is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a
west-northwestward to westward motion at about the same forward
speed is expected for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 260241
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
0300 UTC MON AUG 26 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.2W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.2W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 122.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.5N 124.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.9N 126.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.3N 128.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 130.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 135.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 18.1N 140.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 17.6N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 123.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 252200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 15.9N 122.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 122.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 16.2N 123.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.5N 126.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.9N 128.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.3N 130.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.7N 132.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.0N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 18.0N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 18.0N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252200Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 122.6W.
25AUG24. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HECTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1902
NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251800Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
260400Z, 261000Z, 261600Z AND 262200Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GILMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC 252200)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 252034
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 25 2024

Two ASCAT overpasses recently sampled the tropical disturbance well
to the southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. These scatterometer
observations revealed that the system now has a well-defined
surface circulation with maximum winds of around 40 kt. Although
some higher wind speeds were noted, these vectors are believed to
be rain-contaminated and a little inflated. Based on these data,
the system is being upgraded to Tropical Storm Hector. The
low-level center is situated near the northern edge of a rather
ragged-looking area of deep convection, and banding features are
not well-defined at this time.

The earlier center fixes from conventional satellite imagery had
considerable spread, making the initial motion a rather uncertain
270/10 kt. A mid-level ridge should be maintained to the north of
Hector for the next several days. Therefore, a west-northwestward
or westward track is forecast during the upcoming 5-day period.
The NHC track forecast is close to the simple model consensus.

Over the next couple of days, Hector should be moving through an
environment that is marginally conducive for strengthening. The
tropical cyclone is likely to pass near or over the wake of
Hurricane Gilma, which could limit strengthening. The official
intensity forecast is similar to the latest Decay-SHIPS prediction,
and shows only modest strengthening over the next few days followed
by gradual weakening. It should be noted that some of the global
models, such as the ECMWF, suggest that Hector could weaken faster
than shown here during the latter part of the forecast period.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 15.9N 122.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 16.2N 123.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/1800Z 16.5N 126.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 27/0600Z 16.9N 128.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 27/1800Z 17.3N 130.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 28/0600Z 17.7N 132.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 28/1800Z 18.0N 134.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 29/1800Z 18.0N 139.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 30/1800Z 18.0N 144.0W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 252033
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 25 2024

...NEW EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPS WELL OUT AT SEA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 122.5W
ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was
located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 122.5 West. The storm
is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a
west-northwestward to westward motion at about the same forward
speed is expected for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 252033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024
2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.5W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.5W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 128.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.3N 130.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.7N 132.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 139.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 122.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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