Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for KRATHON-24 in China, Philippines, Taiwan from 27 Sep 2024 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2024 18:00 UTC

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Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KRATHON-24

in China, Philippines, Taiwan

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

04/10 01:20 WTPQ30RJTD040000

04/10 00:44 WTPQ50RJTD040000

03/10 21:42 WTPQ50RJTD032100

03/10 20:01 WTPN33PGTW032100

03/10 19:10 WTPQ30RJTD031800

03/10 18:41 WTJP21RJTD031800

03/10 18:41 WTPQ50RJTD031800

03/10 15:41 WTPQ50RJTD031500

03/10 13:44 WTPN33PGTW031500

03/10 13:35 WTSS20VHHH031345

03/10 13:27 WTPQ30RJTD031200

03/10 12:41 WTPQ50RJTD031200

03/10 12:41 WTJP21RJTD031200

03/10 09:41 WTJP31RJTD030900

03/10 09:41 WTPQ50RJTD030900

03/10 08:13 WTPN33PGTW030900

03/10 07:35 WTSS20VHHH030745

03/10 07:22 WTPQ30RJTD030600

03/10 06:43 WTPQ50RJTD030600

03/10 06:43 WTJP21RJTD030600

03/10 04:34 WTSS20VHHH030445

03/10 03:47 WTJP31RJTD030300

03/10 03:47 WTPQ50RJTD030300

03/10 01:35 WTSS20VHHH030145

03/10 01:21 WTPQ30RJTD030000

03/10 00:44 WTPQ50RJTD030000

03/10 00:43 WTJP21RJTD030000

02/10 22:35 WTSS20VHHH022245

02/10 21:48 WTJP31RJTD022100

02/10 21:47 WTPQ50RJTD022100

02/10 20:16 WTPN33PGTW022100

02/10 19:27 WTPQ30RJTD021800

02/10 18:49 WTPQ50RJTD021800

02/10 18:48 WTJP21RJTD021800

02/10 16:34 WTSS20VHHH021645

02/10 15:51 WTPQ50RJTD021500

02/10 15:50 WTJP31RJTD021500

02/10 13:36 WTSS20VHHH021345

02/10 13:34 WTPQ30RJTD021200

02/10 12:43 WTJP21RJTD021200

02/10 12:43 WTPQ50RJTD021200

02/10 10:35 WTSS20VHHH021045

02/10 09:46 WTJP31RJTD020900

02/10 09:46 WTPQ50RJTD020900

02/10 07:34 WTSS20VHHH020745

02/10 07:27 WTPQ30RJTD020600

02/10 06:43 WTPQ50RJTD020600

02/10 06:43 WTJP21RJTD020600

02/10 04:35 WTSS20VHHH020445

02/10 03:42 WTPQ50RJTD020300

02/10 03:41 WTJP31RJTD020300

02/10 01:47 WTPN33PGTW020300

02/10 01:41 WTSS20VHHH020145

02/10 01:34 WTPQ30RJTD020000

02/10 00:46 WTPQ50RJTD020000

02/10 00:46 WTJP21RJTD020000

01/10 22:35 WTSS20VHHH012245

01/10 21:41 WTJP31RJTD012100

01/10 21:40 WTPQ50RJTD012100

01/10 19:33 WTPQ30RJTD011800

01/10 18:41 WTPQ50RJTD011800

01/10 18:41 WTJP21RJTD011800

01/10 16:34 WTSS20VHHH011645

01/10 16:01 WTPQ50RJTD011500

01/10 16:01 WTJP31RJTD011500

01/10 13:35 WTSS20VHHH011345

01/10 13:33 WTPQ30RJTD011200

01/10 12:58 WTPQ50RJTD011200

01/10 12:58 WTJP21RJTD011200

01/10 10:35 WTSS20VHHH011045

01/10 10:04 WTJP31RJTD010900

01/10 10:04 WTPQ50RJTD010900

01/10 08:11 WTPN33PGTW010900

01/10 08:06 WTSS20VHHH010745CCA

01/10 07:35 WTSS20VHHH010745

01/10 07:28 WTPQ30RJTD010600

01/10 07:02 WTPQ50RJTD010600

01/10 07:01 WTJP21RJTD010600

01/10 04:34 WTSS20VHHH010445

01/10 04:02 WTJP31RJTD010300

01/10 02:18 WTPN33PGTW010300

01/10 01:36 WTSS20VHHH010145

30/09 22:33 WTSS20VHHH302245

30/09 21:42 WTJP31RJTD302100

30/09 19:35 WTSS20VHHH301945

30/09 16:34 WTSS20VHHH301645

30/09 15:42 WTJP31RJTD301500

30/09 14:01 WTPN33PGTW301500

30/09 13:34 WTSS20VHHH301345

30/09 10:35 WTSS20VHHH301045

30/09 09:41 WTJP31RJTD300900

30/09 07:34 WTSS20VHHH300745

30/09 04:35 WTSS20VHHH300445

30/09 01:33 WTSS20VHHH300145

29/09 20:04 WTPN33PGTW292100

29/09 19:35 WTSS20VHHH291945

29/09 14:26 WTPN33PGTW291500

29/09 13:35 WTSS20VHHH291345

29/09 10:35 WTSS20VHHH291045

29/09 08:29 WTPN33PGTW290900

29/09 07:34 WTSS20VHHH290745

29/09 01:37 WTSS20VHHH290145

28/09 22:34 WTSS20VHHH282245

28/09 20:38 WTPN33PGTW282100

28/09 08:18 WTPN33PGTW280900

27/09 08:35 WTPN33PGTW270900

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 040000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TD LOCATED AT 22N 120E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
KRATHON (2418) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED AT
22N, 120E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006HPA
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS NOW ONLY A VORTEX CONSISTING OF LOW-LEVEL
CLOUDS.
3.TRACK FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 040000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040000UTC 22N 120E
MOVE SSW SLOWLY
PRES 1006HPA =

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 032100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 032100UTC 22.3N 120.1E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 040900UTC 21.7N 119.8E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 042100UTC 21.0N 119.2E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 23.0N 120.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 120.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.6N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 23.7N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 23.2N 120.9E.
03OCT24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP CLEARLY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED DEEP INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAIN
// END PART 01 //

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 031800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR TS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 22.4N, 120.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE
CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 031800
WARNING 031800.
WARNING VALID 041800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2418 KRATHON (2418) 1000 HPA
AT 22.4N 120.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 21.9N 119.9E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 21.2N 119.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 031800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031800UTC 22.4N 120.5E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 040600UTC 21.9N 119.9E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 041800UTC 21.2N 119.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 031500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031500UTC 22.5N 120.5E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 040300UTC 22.0N 120.0E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 041500UTC 21.2N 119.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 026
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 20W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 22.7N 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.2N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 23.6N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 22.8N 120.7E.
03OCT24. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 02
// END PART 01 //

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 031345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 031200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KRATHON (2418) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 031200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR TS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS KRATHON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 22.8N, 120.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
994HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE DISAPPEARANCE OF A CDO
PATTERN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LAND AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 031200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2418 KRATHON (2418) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031200UTC 22.8N 120.6E GOOD
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 040000UTC 22.2N 120.1E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 041200UTC 21.4N 119.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 031200
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2418 KRATHON (2418) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 994 HPA
AT 22.8N 120.6E TAIWAN MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.2N 120.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 21.4N 119.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 030900
WARNING 030900.
WARNING VALID 040900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2418 KRATHON (2418) 990 HPA
AT 22.8N 120.4E TAIWAN MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 22.3N 120.0E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040900UTC AT 21.3N 119.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030900UTC 22.8N 120.4E GOOD
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
12HF 032100UTC 22.3N 120.0E 45NM 70%
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 040900UTC 21.3N 119.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 22.6N 120.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N 120.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 23.2N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 030745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 030600 UTC, TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT
FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR STS 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS KRATHON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 22.6N, 120.4E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
985HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND, DRY AIR AND REDUCED TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS ALSO WEAKENED
RAPIDLY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LAND AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2418 KRATHON (2418) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030600UTC 22.6N 120.4E GOOD
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
12HF 031800UTC 22.5N 120.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 040600UTC 21.5N 119.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 030600
WARNING 030600.
WARNING VALID 040600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2418 KRATHON (2418) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 985
HPA
AT 22.6N 120.4E TAIWAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 22.5N 120.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 21.5N 119.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 030445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 030300 UTC, TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE TWO ZERO
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (120.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC
TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 030300
WARNING 030300.
WARNING VALID 040300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 975 HPA
AT 22.4N 120.1E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 22.6N 120.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040300UTC AT 21.9N 119.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030300UTC 22.4N 120.1E GOOD
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
12HF 031500UTC 22.6N 120.2E 45NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 040300UTC 21.9N 119.8E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 030145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 030000 UTC, TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N) ONE TWO ZERO
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 22.3N, 119.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND, DRY AIR AND REDUCED TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LAND, DRY AIR AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH
LAND AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 030000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030000UTC 22.3N 119.9E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
12HF 031200UTC 22.9N 120.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 040000UTC 22.2N 120.0E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 030000
WARNING 030000.
WARNING VALID 040000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 975 HPA
AT 22.3N 119.9E TAIWAN STRAIT ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 22.9N 120.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.2N 120.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 022245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 022100 UTC, TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT
NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 022100
WARNING 022100.
WARNING VALID 032100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 975 HPA
AT 22.3N 119.8E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 22.8N 120.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 22.6N 120.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 022100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 022100UTC 22.3N 119.8E GOOD
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
12HF 030900UTC 22.8N 120.3E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 032100UTC 22.6N 120.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 041800UTC 21.2N 119.1E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 22.2N 119.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N 119.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 22.8N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 23.3N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.7N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.0N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 23.2N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 22.3N 119.9E.
02OCT24. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 39 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
021800Z IS 960 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS
40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 22.2N, 119.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. NOAA-19/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021800UTC 22.2N 119.7E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
12HF 030600UTC 22.9N 120.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 031800UTC 22.6N 120.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 041800UTC 21.2N 119.1E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 021800
WARNING 021800.
WARNING VALID 031800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 970 HPA
AT 22.2N 119.7E TAIWAN STRAIT ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 22.9N 120.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 22.6N 120.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 21.2N 119.1E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 021645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 021500 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC
TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 021500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021500UTC 22.1N 119.6E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 030300UTC 23.0N 120.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 031500UTC 23.1N 120.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 041200UTC 22.4N 120.6E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 021500
WARNING 021500.
WARNING VALID 031500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 960 HPA
AT 22.1N 119.6E TAIWAN STRAIT ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 23.0N 120.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 23.1N 120.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 021345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 021200 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC
TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (23.2 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 22.0N, 119.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE INSUFFICIENT ENVIRONMENT FOR MAINTENANCE OF
ITS INTENSITY HAS CAUSED IT TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL HIT TAIWAN ISLAND BY FT15. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INSUFFICIENT
ENVIRONMENT FOR MAINTENANCE OF ITS INTENSITY DESPITE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS
CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 021200
WARNING 021200.
WARNING VALID 031200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 950 HPA
AT 22.0N 119.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 22.9N 120.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 23.2N 120.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 22.4N 120.6E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021200UTC 22.0N 119.5E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 030000UTC 22.9N 120.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 031200UTC 23.2N 120.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 041200UTC 22.4N 120.6E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 021045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 020900 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (23.2 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 020900
WARNING 020900.
WARNING VALID 030900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 950 HPA
AT 22.1N 119.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 22.6N 120.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 23.1N 120.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 020900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020900UTC 22.1N 119.5E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 022100UTC 22.6N 120.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 030900UTC 23.1N 120.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 040600UTC 24.1N 121.0E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 050600UTC 25.1N 121.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 020745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 020600 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (23.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 020600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 22.0N, 119.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
935HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 95KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT TAIWAN
ISLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 020600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020600UTC 22.0N 119.4E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 021800UTC 22.5N 120.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 030600UTC 23.0N 120.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 040600UTC 24.1N 121.0E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 050600UTC 25.1N 121.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
WARNING 020600.
WARNING VALID 030600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 935 HPA
AT 22.0N 119.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 22.5N 120.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 23.0N 120.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 24.1N 121.0E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 25.1N 121.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 020445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 020300 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (23.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 020300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020300UTC 21.8N 119.4E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 021500UTC 22.6N 120.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 030300UTC 23.2N 120.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 040000UTC 24.1N 120.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 050000UTC 24.9N 121.5E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 020300
WARNING 020300.
WARNING VALID 030300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 935 HPA
AT 21.8N 119.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 22.6N 120.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030300UTC AT 23.2N 120.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 119.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 119.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 22.1N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 22.9N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 23.4N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.9N 121.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 24.3N 121.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.7N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 21.7N 119.4E.
02OCT24. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 248 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 01
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 020000Z IS
956 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 19W (JEBI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 020145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 020000 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 020000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 21.5N, 119.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
935HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 95KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT TAIWAN ISLAND BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 020000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020000UTC 21.5N 119.3E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 021200UTC 22.2N 119.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
24HF 030000UTC 23.1N 120.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 040000UTC 24.1N 120.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 050000UTC 24.9N 121.5E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 020000
WARNING 020000.
WARNING VALID 030000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 935 HPA
AT 21.5N 119.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 22.2N 119.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 23.1N 120.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 24.1N 120.9E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 24.9N 121.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 012245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 012100 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC
TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (23.2 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (121.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (24.5 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 012100
WARNING 012100.
WARNING VALID 022100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 925 HPA
AT 21.5N 119.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 22.1N 119.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 22.8N 120.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 012100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 012100UTC 21.5N 119.3E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 020900UTC 22.1N 119.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
24HF 022100UTC 22.8N 120.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 031800UTC 23.9N 120.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 041800UTC 25.0N 121.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 051800UTC 25.7N 121.8E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 011800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 21.5N, 119.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
925HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 100KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 011800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 21.5N 119.2E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 020600UTC 22.0N 119.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
24HF 021800UTC 22.7N 120.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 031800UTC 23.9N 120.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 041800UTC 25.0N 121.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 051800UTC 25.7N 121.8E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 011800
WARNING 011800.
WARNING VALID 021800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 925 HPA
AT 21.5N 119.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 22.0N 119.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 22.7N 120.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 23.9N 120.5E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 25.0N 121.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 25.7N 121.8E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 011645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 011500 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 011500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011500UTC 21.4N 119.3E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
12HF 020300UTC 21.8N 119.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 021500UTC 22.4N 119.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 031200UTC 23.7N 120.4E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 041200UTC 24.9N 121.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 051200UTC 25.7N 121.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
117HF 061200UTC 26.5N 121.6E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 011500
WARNING 011500.
WARNING VALID 021500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 915 HPA
AT 21.4N 119.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 21.8N 119.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 22.4N 119.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 011345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 011200 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (25.4 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 21.3N, 119.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
915HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 105KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE INSUFFICIENT ENVIRONMENT FOR ITS FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT120.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH DRY AIR AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 21.3N 119.4E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
12HF 020000UTC 21.6N 119.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 021200UTC 22.2N 119.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 031200UTC 23.7N 120.4E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 041200UTC 24.9N 121.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 051200UTC 25.7N 121.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
120HF 061200UTC 26.5N 121.6E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 011200
WARNING 011200.
WARNING VALID 021200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 915 HPA
AT 21.3N 119.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 21.6N 119.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 22.2N 119.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 23.7N 120.4E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 24.9N 121.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 25.7N 121.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 26.5N 121.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 011045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010900 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 920 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 110 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (23.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (27.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 010900
WARNING 010900.
WARNING VALID 020900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 915 HPA
AT 21.1N 119.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 21.7N 119.4E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020900UTC AT 22.4N 119.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 010900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010900UTC 21.1N 119.5E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
12HF 012100UTC 21.7N 119.4E 25NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 020900UTC 22.4N 119.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 030600UTC 23.6N 120.3E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 040600UTC 24.8N 121.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 050600UTC 25.6N 121.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
117HF 060600UTC 26.4N 121.6E 250NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 017
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 20W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 20.9N 119.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N 119.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 21.4N 119.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 22.0N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 22.6N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 23.4N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 24.6N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 25.4N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 119.4E.
01OCT24. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 277 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 010600Z
IS 931 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 49 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z. REFER TO
TYPHOON 19W (JEBI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 010745 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010600 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 110 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (121.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 010745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010600 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 110 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (121.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY KRATHON IS LOCATED AT 20.9N, 119.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
915HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 105KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL
FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LAND AND HIGH SSTS. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2418 KRATHON (2418)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010600UTC 20.9N 119.5E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM
FORECAST
12HF 011800UTC 21.5N 119.5E 25NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 020600UTC 22.2N 119.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 030600UTC 23.6N 120.3E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 040600UTC 24.8N 121.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 050600UTC 25.6N 121.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
120HF 060600UTC 26.4N 121.6E 250NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 010600
WARNING 010600.
WARNING VALID 020600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 915 HPA
AT 20.9N 119.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 21.5N 119.5E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 22.2N 119.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 23.6N 120.3E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 24.8N 121.1E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 25.6N 121.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 26.4N 121.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 010445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010300 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE
ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC
TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (28.5 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060300 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (29.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 010300
WARNING 010300.
WARNING VALID 020300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 915 HPA
AT 20.7N 119.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 21.4N 119.5E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 22.1N 119.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 20.6N 119.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 119.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 20.8N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 21.4N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 22.1N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 23.0N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 24.4N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 24.7N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 25.2N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 119.5E.
01OCT24. SUPER TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 010000Z IS
927 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 53 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON
19W (JEBI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 010145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010000 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE
ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 120 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (26.0 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (123.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060000 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (29.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 302245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 302100 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (23.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (25.3 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (123.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (27.2 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (124.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 302100
WARNING 302100.
WARNING VALID 012100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 925 HPA
AT 20.6N 119.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 21.2N 119.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 012100UTC AT 21.8N 119.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 301945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301800 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC
TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (23.2 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (25.0 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC
TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (26.9 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (124.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 301645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301500 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 920 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 110 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC
TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 301500
WARNING 301500.
WARNING VALID 011500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 935 HPA
AT 20.6N 120.2E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 21.4N 119.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 20.5N 120.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 120.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 20.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 21.5N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 22.2N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 23.1N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 25.2N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 27.1N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 28.5N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 120.4E.
30SEP24. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 539 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301200Z IS
932 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 53 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JEBI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 301345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 301200 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 920 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 110 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (24.4 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (123.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (28.7 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 301045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300900 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (24.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 300900
WARNING 300900.
WARNING VALID 010900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2418 KRATHON (2418) 935 HPA
AT 20.5N 120.8E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010900UTC AT 21.1N 119.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 300745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300600 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 105 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (24.3 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 300445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300300 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3
N) ONE TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (121.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 105 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (24.3 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC
TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (26.8 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (28.5 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 300145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 300000 UTC, THE SUPER TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 115 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 105 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (24.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (121.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (28.3 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 20.0N 122.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 122.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.4N 121.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 291945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 291800 UTC, THE SEVERE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 105 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (23.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (25.7 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (123.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (124.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 19.7N 123.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 123.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 20.2N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.6N 121.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 21.0N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 21.8N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 23.8N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 26.6N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 30.0N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 19.8N 122.8E.
29SEP24. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 483 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
291200Z IS 961 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z
IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND
301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JEBI) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 291345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 291200 UTC, THE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (123.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (125.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 291045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 290900 UTC, THE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE
TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (23.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (121.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (27.8 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (125.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 009
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 19.2N 123.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 123.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.7N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.1N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.6N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 21.4N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 23.0N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 25.4N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 28.9N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 123.7E.
29SEP24. TYPHOON 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 488 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
AT 290600Z IS 973 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
290600Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z,
300300Z AND 300900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JEBI)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 290745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 290600 UTC, THE TYPHOON KRATHON (2418) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (23.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (123.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC
TWO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (29.8 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (125.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 290145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 290000 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KRATHON (2418)
WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN
60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH
(18.9 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (124.4 E) AND
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (30.0 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (125.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 282245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 282100 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KRATHON (2418)
WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN
90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH
(18.9 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (124.5 E) AND
IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (24.7 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (125.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 18.7N 124.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N 124.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.0N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.5N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.9N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.7N 122.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 22.0N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 24.5N 122.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 28.4N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 18.8N 124.7E.
28SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 333
NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (JEBI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KRATHON) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 18.5N 125.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 125.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.6N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.9N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //

Original Message :

WTPN33 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY) WARNING NR 001
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 20.3N 126.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 126.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 19.3N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 18.5N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.3N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.6N 123.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.2N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.1N 122.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.4N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 126.1E.
27SEP24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
381 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (CIMARON) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31
PGTW).
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JEBI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

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