Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for BARIJAT-24 in Russian Federation from 06 Oct 2024 06:00 UTC to 10 Oct 2024 06:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for BARIJAT-24

in Russian Federation

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

10/10 07:35 WTPN51PGTW100700

10/10 07:32 WTPN31PGTW100700

08/10 09:02 WTPQ31PGUM080901

08/10 03:13 WTPQ31PGUM080312

07/10 21:10 WTPQ31PGUM072108

07/10 15:48 WTPQ31PGUM071547

07/10 09:01 WTPQ31PGUM070900

07/10 03:16 WTPQ31PGUM070315

06/10 23:01 WTPQ31PGUM062300

06/10 15:51 WTPQ31PGUM061549

06/10 09:03 WTPQ31PGUM060902

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100700
WARNING ATCG MIL 21W NWP 241010064419
2024101006 21W BARIJAT 015 01 015 23 SATL 020
T000 348N 1509E 035 R034 210 NE QD 175 SE QD 015 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 387N 1529E 035 R034 230 NE QD 160 SE QD 040 SW QD 220 NW QD
T024 431N 1543E 045 R034 250 NE QD 180 SE QD 100 SW QD 240 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 21W (BARIJAT) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (BARIJAT) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 34.8N 150.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N 150.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 38.7N 152.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 43.1N 154.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 35.8N 151.4E.
10OCT24. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (BARIJAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
551 NM EAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
ASSESSED TO BE UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND WILL
COMPLETE TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT
POSITION WAS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTING DEEP CONVECTION EASTWARD AND
POLEWARD OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH FRONTOGENESIS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. SUBSIDENT DRY
AIR ENTRAINS INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON EARLIER
100236Z OCEANSAT-3 OSCAT DATA REVEALING A HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC WIND
FIELD WITH A BAND OF 30-35KT WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE LLCC. HIGH SHEAR OF 35-40KTS AND STRONG POLEWARD
OUTFLOW IS INDUCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED
NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. BAROCLINIC FORCING OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 45KTS WHILE TRACKING
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND BECOMING FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
UPPER-LEVEL JET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
100600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS
18 FEET.
//
2124100206 84N1567E 15
2124100212 87N1559E 15
2124100218 91N1550E 15
2124100300 95N1542E 15
2124100306 97N1531E 15
2124100312 100N1524E 15
2124100318 107N1513E 15
2124100400 112N1503E 15
2124100406 112N1494E 15
2124100412 112N1488E 20
2124100418 119N1476E 15
2124100500 128N1474E 20
2124100506 136N1472E 20
2124100512 142N1468E 20
2124100518 152N1466E 20
2124100600 167N1457E 20
2124100606 178N1455E 25
2124100612 188N1455E 30
2124100618 199N1457E 30
2124100700 209N1460E 40
2124100706 218N1465E 40
2124100712 231N1471E 35
2124100718 238N1473E 35
2124100800 240N1470E 30
2124100806 239N1469E 30
2124100812 240N1474E 30
2124100818 246N1482E 30
2124100900 259N1490E 30
2124100906 277N1493E 30
2124100912 299N1490E 30
2124100918 315N1492E 30
2124101000 326N1502E 35
2124101006 348N1509E 35

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100700
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 21W (BARIJAT) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (BARIJAT) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 34.8N 150.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N 150.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 38.7N 152.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 43.1N 154.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 35.8N 151.4E.
10OCT24. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (BARIJAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
551 NM EAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ASSESSED TO BE
UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND WILL COMPLETE TRANSITION
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION WAS ASSESSED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTING DEEP
CONVECTION EASTWARD AND POLEWARD OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRONTOGENESIS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.
SUBSIDENT DRY AIR ENTRAINS INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON EARLIER
100236Z OCEANSAT-3 OSCAT DATA REVEALING A HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC WIND
FIELD WITH A BAND OF 30-35KT WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE LLCC. HIGH SHEAR OF 35-40KTS AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS
INDUCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE
SYSTEM. BAROCLINIC FORCING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CAUSE THE
SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 45KTS WHILE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND
BECOMING FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE UPPER-LEVEL JET. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 080901
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 21W Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
701 PM ChST Tue Oct 8 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W NEARLY STATIONARY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...24.2N 147.0E

About 360 miles east of Iwo To
About 385 miles north-northeast of Agrihan
About 425 miles north of Pagan
About 440 miles west of Minamitorishima
About 460 miles north of Alamagan
About 630 miles north of Saipan
About 755 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...southwest...220 degrees at 1 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 21W
was located near Latitude 24.2 degrees North and Longitude 147.0
degrees East. 21W is moving southwest at 1 mph. It is expected to
make a turn toward the north with an increase in forward speed
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. 21W is forecast to
intensify through Wednesday possibly becoming a tropical storm again.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This will be the last advisory issued by the National Weather Service
on 21W.

$$

Hong

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 080312
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 21W Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
112 PM ChST Tue Oct 8 2024

...21W DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
21W downgraded to Tropical Depression.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...24.3N 147.1E

About 365 miles east of Iwo To
About 395 miles north-northeast of Agrihan
About 435 miles west of Minamitorishima
About 435 miles north of Pagan
About 470 miles north of Alamagan
About 640 miles north of Saipan
About 760 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...northwest...305 degrees at 3 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 21W
was located near Latitude 24.3 degrees North and Longitude
147.1 degrees East. 21W is moving northwest at 3 mph. It is
expected to make a turn toward the north-northeast with an
increase in forward speed through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 35 mph. 21W is forecast
to intensify through Wednesday possibly becoming a tropical storm
again.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Schank

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 072108
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm 21W Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
708 AM ChST Tue Oct 8 2024

...TROPICAL STORM 21W MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...24.3N 147.6E

About 395 miles east of Iwo To
About 400 miles west of Minamitorishima
About 405 miles north-northeast of Agrihan
About 440 miles north-northeast of Pagan
About 475 miles north-northeast of Alamagan
About 645 miles north of Saipan
About 770 miles north-northeast of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...north-northeast...15 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm 21W was
located near Latitude 24.3 degrees North and Longitude 147.6 degrees
East. 21W is moving north-northeast at 10 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course and speed through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. 21W is forecast to
intensify through Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
65 miles to the east and zero miles to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Schank

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 071547
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm 21W Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
147 AM ChST Tue Oct 8 2024

...TROPICAL STORM 21W MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.5N 147.4E

About 345 miles north-northeast of Agrihan
About 385 miles north-northeast of Pagan
About 395 miles east-southeast of Iwo To
About 420 miles north-northeast of Alamagan
About 420 miles west of Minamitorishima
About 590 miles north of Saipan
About 710 miles north-northeast of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...north-northeast...25 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm 21W was
located near Latitude 23.5 degrees North and Longitude 147.4 degrees
East. 21W is moving north-northeast at 18 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course with a decrease in forward speed
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 40 mph. 21W is forecast
to intensify through Wednesday, then start becoming a mid-latitude
low on Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
75 miles on the east side and zero miles on the west side.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 070900
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm 21W Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
700 PM ChST Mon Oct 7 2024

...TROPICAL STORM 21W MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...22.1N 146.7E

About 240 miles north-northeast of Agrihan
About 280 miles north-northeast of Pagan
About 315 miles north of Alamagan
About 485 miles north of Saipan
About 495 miles north of Tinian
About 561 miles north of Rota
About 610 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...north-northeast...30 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm 21W
was located near Latitude 22.1 degrees North and Longitude 146.7
degrees East. Tropical Storm 21W is moving north-northeast at 10 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with a slight decrease
in forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Tropical Storm 21W is
forecast to intensify through Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
60 miles to the east and up to 0 miles to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Tuesday morning.

$$

Williams

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 070315
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm 21W Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
115 PM ChST Mon Oct 7 2024

...21W UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
21W upgraded to Tropical Storm.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...21.4N 146.1E

About 185 miles north of Agrihan
About 225 miles north of Pagan
About 260 miles north of Alamagan
About 435 miles north of Saipan
About 445 miles north of Tinian
About 500 miles north of Rota
About 555 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...north-northeast...15 degrees at 12 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm 21W was
located near Latitude 21.4 degrees North and Longitude 146.1 degrees
East. 21W is moving north-northeast at 12 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course with a slight decrease in forward speed
through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph. 21W is forecast
to intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
60 miles to the east and up to 0 miles to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Kleeschulte

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 062300
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 21W Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
900 AM ChST Mon Oct 7 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W MOVING NORTH...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...20.4N 145.8E

About 115 miles north of Agrihan
About 155 miles north of Pagan
About 195 miles north of Alamagan
About 365 miles north of Saipan
About 375 miles north of Tinian
About 430 miles north of Rota
About 480 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...north...10 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 21W
was located near Latitude 20.4 degrees North and Longitude
145.8 degrees East. 21W is moving north at 13 mph. It is expected
to make a slight turn toward the north-northeast with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. 21W is forecast to maintain
this intensity through tonight.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 200 PM ChST this afternoon.

$$

Kleeschulte

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 061549
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 21W Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
149 AM ChST Mon Oct 7 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W NEAR AGRIHAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...19.0N 145.6E

About 20 miles north-northwest of Agrihan
About 60 miles north of Pagan
About 95 miles north of Alamagan
About 270 miles north of Saipan
About 275 miles north of Tinian
About 335 miles north of Rota
About 385 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...north...360 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 21W
was located near Latitude 19.0 degrees North and Longitude
145.6 degrees East. 21W is moving north at 8 mph. It is expected
to make a slight turn toward the north-northeast with a slight
increase in forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 35 mph. 21W is forecast
to maintain this intensity through Tuesday, then start intensifying
Wednesday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Bowsher

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 060902
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 21W Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP212024
702 PM ChST Sun Oct 6 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W FORMS NORTHWEST OF PAGAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
TD 21W forms northwest of Pagan.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...18.3N 145.5E

About 20 miles northwest of Pagan
About 35 miles south-southwest of Agrihan
About 50 miles north-northwest of Alamagan
About 220 miles north of Saipan
About 230 miles north of Tinian
About 285 miles north of Rota
About 335 miles north of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...30 mph
Present movement...north...350 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 21W
was located near Latitude 18.3 degrees North and Longitude 145.5
degrees East. 21W is moving north at 13 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course and speed through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph. 21W is forecast to maintain
this intensity through Tuesday morning.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 200 AM ChST early Monday morning.

$$

Kleeschulte/Williams

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