Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DANAS-25
in Taiwan, China

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (26.9 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000032600
02045


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TD LOCATED AT 27N 119E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
DANAS (2504) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED ON
LAND AT 27N, 119E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 27N 119E
MOVE WSW 15KT
PRES 996HPA =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 082246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 082100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (27.1 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 26.9N 119.6E FAIR
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090900UTC 26.3N 117.9E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 092100UTC 25.3N 116.5E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 082100
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250708202745
2025070818 05W DANAS 020 01 255 05 SATL 050
T000 278N 1207E 035 R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 105 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 269N 1189E 030
T024 257N 1172E 025
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 27.8N 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.9N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 25.7N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 120.3E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 168 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A STEADY TREND OF WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND
DISSIPATING CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTH, CONSISTENT WITH THE
DECAY EXPECTED NOW THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MADE
LANDFALL. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO DECAY AND TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD, REMAINING OVER
LAND UNTIL IT FULLY DISSIPATES BY TAU 24. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
TO REEMERGE DUE TO GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE KEEPING THE
SYSTEM INLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 081800Z IS
986 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 15 FEET.//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 258N1211E 40
0525070706 264N1214E 40
0525070712 270N1221E 40
0525070718 277N1226E 40
0525070800 279N1224E 35
0525070806 279N1220E 35
0525070812 279N1212E 35
0525070818 278N1207E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 27.8N 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.9N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 25.7N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 120.3E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 168 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A STEADY TREND OF WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND
DISSIPATING CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTH, CONSISTENT WITH THE
DECAY EXPECTED NOW THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MADE
LANDFALL. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO DECAY AND TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD, REMAINING OVER
LAND UNTIL IT FULLY DISSIPATES BY TAU 24. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
TO REEMERGE DUE TO GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE KEEPING THE
SYSTEM INLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 081800Z IS
986 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 27.5N, 120.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND SOON. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N) ONE
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (25.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 27.5N 120.9E FAIR
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090600UTC 26.8N 118.6E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 091800UTC 25.6N 116.8E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 994 HPA
AT 27.5N 120.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 26.8N 118.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 25.6N 116.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (27.8 N) ONE
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000106300
98962


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 27.6N 121.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090300UTC 27.2N 119.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 091500UTC 26.4N 117.2E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 27.8N, 121.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT06. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (27.8 N) ONE
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
TWO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (26.3 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (118.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000060000
98149


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 27.9N 121.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 121.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.5N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.9N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 120.8E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 081200Z IS 985 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 04W (MUN) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW).//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 27.8N 121.5E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090000UTC 27.2N 119.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 091200UTC 26.4N 117.6E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 081200
WARNING 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 992 HPA
AT 27.8N 121.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 27.2N 119.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 26.4N 117.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N) ONE
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (118.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000009600
96990


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 27.7N 121.6E FAIR
MOVE SW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 082100UTC 27.5N 120.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 090900UTC 26.6N 118.0E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 27.9N 122.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 122.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 27.7N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.2N 118.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 27.9N 121.6E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 080600Z IS 987 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 04W (MUN) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW).//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080900
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250708065104
2025070806 05W DANAS 018 02 270 04 SATL RADR 020
T000 279N 1220E 035 R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 105 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 277N 1205E 030
T024 272N 1185E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 27.9N 122.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 122.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 27.7N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.2N 118.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 27.9N 121.6E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 080600Z IS 987 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 258N1211E 40
0525070706 264N1214E 40
0525070712 270N1221E 40
0525070718 276N1224E 40
0525070800 279N1224E 35
0525070806 279N1220E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (26.8 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (118.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000008800
96027


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 27.7N, 121.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. GCOM-W/AMSR2
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 27.7N 121.6E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 081800UTC 27.7N 120.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 090600UTC 26.9N 118.3E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 080600
WARNING 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 994 HPA
AT 27.7N 121.6E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 27.7N 120.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 26.9N 118.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (26.9 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 28.0N 122.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 081500UTC 28.0N 120.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 090300UTC 27.6N 118.8E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 28.0N, 122.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. GCOM-W/AMSR2
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080300
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250708015154
2025070800 05W DANAS 017 02 350 05 SATL RADR 060
T000 281N 1223E 040 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 282N 1212E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 278N 1193E 030
T036 273N 1174E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 28.1N 122.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 122.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.2N 121.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.8N 119.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 27.3N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 28.1N 122.0E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 080000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 258N1211E 40
0525070706 264N1214E 40
0525070712 270N1221E 40
0525070718 276N1224E 40
0525070800 281N1223E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 28.1N 122.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 122.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.2N 121.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.8N 119.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 27.3N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 28.1N 122.0E.
08JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 080000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (MUN) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW).//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (27.1 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 28.0N 122.2E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 081200UTC 28.1N 121.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 090000UTC 27.6N 119.2E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 080000
WARNING 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 994 HPA
AT 28.0N 122.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 28.1N 121.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 27.6N 119.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 072246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 072100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY AT FIRST, AND TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST
AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (27.3 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 072100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 072100UTC 28.0N 122.2E FAIR
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 080900UTC 28.1N 121.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 082100UTC 27.6N 120.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 091800UTC 26.3N 117.1E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 071800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 27.7N, 122.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 27.8N 122.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N 122.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.3N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.0N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.5N 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 26.8N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 27.9N 122.1E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 166 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071800Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 072100
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250707192600
2025070718 05W DANAS 016 02 005 08 SATL RADR SYNP 060
T000 278N 1222E 040 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 283N 1216E 040 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 280N 1202E 035 R034 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 275N 1183E 025
T048 268N 1164E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 27.8N 122.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N 122.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.3N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.0N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.5N 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 26.8N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 27.9N 122.1E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 166 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071800Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 258N1211E 40
0525070706 264N1214E 40
0525070712 270N1221E 40
0525070718 278N1222E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS, AND TRACK WEST
SLOWLY LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 071800
WARNING 071800.
WARNING VALID 081800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 27.7N 122.4E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 28.2N 121.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 27.8N 120.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 26.3N 117.1E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 071800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071800UTC 27.7N 122.4E FAIR
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 080600UTC 28.2N 121.9E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 081800UTC 27.8N 120.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091800UTC 26.3N 117.1E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (27.2 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS, AND
TRACK WEST SLOWLY LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (27.8 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (121.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 071500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071500UTC 27.2N 122.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 080300UTC 28.0N 121.8E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 081500UTC 27.8N 120.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 091200UTC 27.1N 118.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 101200UTC 25.2N 116.9E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 071500
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250707133716
2025070712 05W DANAS 015 02 030 03 SATL 060
T000 271N 1217E 045 R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 278N 1219E 045 R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 280N 1209E 045 R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 275N 1192E 040 R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 269N 1173E 035
T072 253N 1143E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 27.1N 121.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N 121.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.8N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.0N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.5N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.9N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 25.3N 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 121.8E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071200Z IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 258N1211E 40
0525070706 268N1215E 40
0525070712 271N1217E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 0015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 27.1N 121.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N 121.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.8N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.0N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.5N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.9N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 25.3N 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 121.8E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071200Z IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (27.1 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS, AND
TRACK WEST SLOWLY LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (27.9 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
TWO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (26.3 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (117.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 27.1N, 121.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN TURN
SHARPLY TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 27.1N 121.7E FAIR
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 080000UTC 28.0N 122.1E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 081200UTC 27.9N 121.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091200UTC 27.1N 118.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 101200UTC 25.2N 116.9E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 071200
WARNING 071200.
WARNING VALID 081200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 27.1N 121.7E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 28.0N 122.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 27.9N 121.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 27.1N 118.9E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 25.2N 116.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 070900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070900UTC 27.0N 121.5E GOOD
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 072100UTC 28.0N 122.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080900UTC 28.4N 121.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 090600UTC 27.2N 119.0E 115NM 70%
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 100600UTC 25.3N 116.5E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 070900
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250707073804
2025070706 05W DANAS 014 02 020 11 SATL 060
T000 268N 1215E 040 R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 281N 1222E 045 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 285N 1218E 045 R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 283N 1204E 040 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 277N 1186E 035 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 260N 1152E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 26.8N 121.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 121.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 28.1N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.5N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.3N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.7N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 26.0N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 27.1N 121.7E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070600Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 258N1211E 40
0525070706 268N1215E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 26.8N 121.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 121.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 28.1N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.5N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.3N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.7N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 26.0N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 27.1N 121.7E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM
NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070600Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 070746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS, AND TRACK
WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (27.1 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (118.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 26.6N, 121.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 26.6N 121.5E GOOD
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 071800UTC 27.7N 122.9E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080600UTC 28.3N 122.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 090600UTC 27.2N 119.0E 115NM 70%
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 100600UTC 25.3N 116.5E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 070600
WARNING 070600.
WARNING VALID 080600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 26.6N 121.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 27.7N 122.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 28.3N 122.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 27.2N 119.0E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 25.3N 116.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 070446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 070300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070300UTC 26.2N 121.0E GOOD
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 071500UTC 27.6N 122.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 10KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080300UTC 28.4N 122.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 090000UTC 28.3N 118.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 100000UTC 26.5N 114.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 25.9N, 120.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. IT HAS ALSO WEAKENED RAPIDLY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND
OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE EYE HAS BECOME
OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 013
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 05W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 25.5N 121.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N 121.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 27.3N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 28.1N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.3N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.1N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 27.0N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 25.9N 121.6E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070000Z IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 070300
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250707015349
2025070700 05W DANAS 013 02 025 19 SATL 060
T000 255N 1214E 045 R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 273N 1223E 040 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 281N 1222E 040 R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 283N 1208E 035 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 281N 1189E 030
T072 270N 1153E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 013
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 05W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 25.5N 121.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N 121.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 27.3N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 28.1N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.3N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.1N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 27.0N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 25.9N 121.6E.
07JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070000Z IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070700 255N1214E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070000UTC 25.9N 120.8E GOOD
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 071200UTC 27.3N 122.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080000UTC 28.4N 122.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 090000UTC 28.3N 118.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 100000UTC 26.5N 114.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 070000
WARNING 070000.
WARNING VALID 080000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 990 HPA
AT 25.9N 120.8E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 27.3N 122.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 28.4N 122.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 28.3N 118.9E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 26.5N 114.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 062246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 062100 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N) ONE TWO ZERO
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 062100
WARNING 062100.
WARNING VALID 072100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 975 HPA
AT 25.5N 120.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070900UTC AT 27.2N 122.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 072100UTC AT 28.1N 122.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 062100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 062100UTC 25.5N 120.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 070900UTC 27.2N 122.2E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 072100UTC 28.1N 122.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 081800UTC 28.0N 120.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 091800UTC 26.1N 116.2E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 062100
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250706195153
2025070618 05W DANAS 012 02 040 12 SATL 060
T000 238N 1205E 070 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 260N 1219E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 275N 1224E 045 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 281N 1216E 040 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 280N 1197E 030
T072 268N 1166E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 23.8N 120.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 120.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.0N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.5N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.1N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.0N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 26.8N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 24.4N 120.9E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061800Z IS 973 MB.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070606 222N1189E 85
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070612 229N1196E 95
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
0525070618 238N1205E 70
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 062100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 012 //
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 23.8N 120.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 120.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.0N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.5N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.1N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.0N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 26.8N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 24.4N 120.9E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061800Z IS 973 MB.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS DANAS IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 24.5N, 120.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
975HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061800UTC 24.5N 120.7E GOOD
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 070600UTC 26.7N 122.2E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 071800UTC 27.8N 122.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 081800UTC 28.0N 120.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 091800UTC 26.1N 116.2E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 061800
WARNING 061800.
WARNING VALID 071800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975
HPA
AT 24.5N 120.7E TAIWAN MOVING NORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 26.7N 122.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 27.8N 122.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 28.0N 120.5E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 26.1N 116.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 061500
WARNING 061500.
WARNING VALID 071500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2504 DANAS (2504) 970 HPA
AT 23.3N 120.0E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070300UTC AT 26.1N 122.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 27.3N 122.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 23.3N 120.0E GOOD
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 070300UTC 26.1N 122.0E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 071500UTC 27.3N 122.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 081200UTC 27.7N 121.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 091200UTC 26.4N 117.8E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 061500
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250706134745
2025070612 05W DANAS 011 02 045 11 SATL 020
T000 230N 1196E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 075 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 250N 1213E 070 R064 015 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 267N 1224E 065 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 045 NW QD
T036 277N 1226E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 276N 1214E 050 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 265N 1182E 035
T096 251N 1167E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 119.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 119.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.0N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.7N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.7N 122.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.6N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.5N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 25.1N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 120.0E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 163 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061200Z IS 958 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1188E 80
0525070606 222N1188E 80
0525070606 222N1188E 80
0525070612 230N1196E 90
0525070612 230N1196E 90
0525070612 230N1196E 90
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 061500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 119.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 119.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.0N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.7N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.7N 122.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.6N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.5N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 25.1N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 120.0E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 163 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061200Z IS 958 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY DANAS IS LOCATED AT 22.9N, 119.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED
TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 061200 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N) ONE ONE NINE
POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (27.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (27.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 061200
WARNING 061200.
WARNING VALID 071200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA
AT 22.9N 119.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 25.6N 121.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 27.2N 122.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 27.7N 121.8E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 26.4N 117.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 22.9N 119.6E GOOD
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 070000UTC 25.6N 121.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 071200UTC 27.2N 122.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 081200UTC 27.7N 121.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 091200UTC 26.4N 117.8E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060900 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N) ONE ONE NINE
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (27.0 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (27.3 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 060900
WARNING 060900.
WARNING VALID 070900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 975 HPA
AT 22.6N 119.2E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 062100UTC AT 25.0N 120.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070900UTC AT 26.9N 122.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 060900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 22.6N 119.2E GOOD
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 062100UTC 25.0N 120.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 070900UTC 26.9N 122.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 080600UTC 27.9N 122.2E 115NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 090600UTC 26.0N 118.4E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 060900
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250706074935
2025070606 05W DANAS 010 02 040 08 SATL 060
T000 222N 1188E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 075 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 238N 1205E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 259N 1218E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 045 NW QD
T036 272N 1224E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 120 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 276N 1220E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 268N 1189E 030
T096 255N 1169E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 010
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 22.2N 118.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N 118.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.8N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.9N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.2N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.6N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.8N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 25.5N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 119.2E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 229 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060600Z IS 964 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070606 222N1188E 80
0525070606 222N1188E 80
0525070606 222N1188E 80
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 22.2N 118.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N 118.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.8N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.9N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.2N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.6N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.8N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 25.5N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 119.2E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 229 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060600Z IS 964 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060600 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N) ONE ONE EIGHT
POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC
TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (27.4 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 22.2N, 118.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
975HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN TURN SHARPLY TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL
FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060600UTC 22.2N 118.8E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 061800UTC 24.3N 120.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 070600UTC 26.6N 122.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 080600UTC 27.9N 122.2E 115NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 090600UTC 26.0N 118.4E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 060600
WARNING 060600.
WARNING VALID 070600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 975 HPA
AT 22.2N 118.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 24.3N 120.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 26.6N 122.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 27.9N 122.2E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 26.0N 118.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060300 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE ONE EIGHT
POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (118.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC
TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (28.5 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 060300
WARNING 060300.
WARNING VALID 070300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 980 HPA
AT 21.8N 118.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070300UTC AT 26.3N 121.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 060300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060300UTC 21.8N 118.4E FAIR
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 070300UTC 26.3N 121.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 080000UTC 28.2N 122.5E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 090000UTC 27.7N 119.3E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 060300
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250706015634
2025070600 05W DANAS 009 02 025 07 SATL 060
T000 216N 1183E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 231N 1194E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 253N 1209E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 269N 1219E 055 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 278N 1218E 045 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 274N 1189E 030
T096 262N 1153E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 009
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 21.6N 118.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 118.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.1N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.3N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.9N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.8N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.4N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 26.2N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 118.6E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 274 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060000Z IS 975 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070512 208N1179E 60
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070518 210N1180E 65
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
0525070600 216N1183E 70
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 21.6N 118.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 118.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.1N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.3N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.9N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.8N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.4N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 26.2N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 118.6E.
06JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 274 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060000Z IS 975 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 21.6N, 118.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN TURN
SHARPLY TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060000 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N) ONE ONE EIGHT
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (118.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH SLOWLY AT FIRST, AND TRACK NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10
KNOTS LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (26.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (28.5 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (120.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 060000
WARNING 060000.
WARNING VALID 070000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 980 HPA
AT 21.6N 118.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 26.0N 121.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 28.2N 122.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 27.7N 119.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060000UTC 21.6N 118.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 070000UTC 26.0N 121.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 080000UTC 28.2N 122.5E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 090000UTC 27.7N 119.3E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 052246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 052100 UTC, TYPHOON DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N) ONE ONE EIGHT
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (118.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH SLOWLY AT FIRST, AND TRACK NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOT
LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (25.3 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 052100
WARNING 052100.
WARNING VALID 062100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 985 HPA
AT 21.3N 118.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 062100UTC AT 24.9N 120.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 052100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 052100UTC 21.3N 118.0E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 062100UTC 24.9N 120.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 071800UTC 28.0N 122.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 081800UTC 27.9N 120.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 091800UTC 25.7N 116.4E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 052100
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250705195905
2025070518 05W DANAS 008 02 015 03 SATL 060
T000 211N 1181E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 223N 1188E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 242N 1202E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 262N 1215E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 274N 1220E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 277N 1200E 030
T096 267N 1166E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 008
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 21.1N 118.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 118.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.3N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.2N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.2N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.4N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 27.7N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 26.7N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 118.3E.
05JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051800Z IS 977 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 24 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1180E 60
0525070512 208N1180E 60
0525070518 211N1181E 65
0525070518 211N1181E 65
0525070518 211N1181E 65
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 052100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 21.1N 118.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 118.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.3N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.2N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.2N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.4N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 27.7N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 26.7N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 118.3E.
05JUL25. TYPHOON 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051800Z IS 977 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 24 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR STS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 21.1N, 117.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE FORMATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN TURN
SHARPLY TO THE WEST UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 21.1N 117.8E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 24.4N 120.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 071800UTC 28.0N 122.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 081800UTC 27.9N 120.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 091800UTC 25.7N 116.4E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 051800
WARNING 051800.
WARNING VALID 061800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
985 HPA
AT 21.1N 117.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 24.4N 120.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 28.0N 122.1E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 27.9N 120.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 25.7N 116.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 051646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 051500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (117.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH SLOWLY AT FIRST, AND MOVE NORTHEAST
AT ABOUT 8 KNOT LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (23.5 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 051500
WARNING 051500.
WARNING VALID 061500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 20.9N 117.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061500UTC AT 23.8N 119.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 051500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051500UTC 20.9N 117.9E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061500UTC 23.8N 119.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 071200UTC 27.2N 121.7E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 081200UTC 28.0N 120.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 091200UTC 28.1N 120.0E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 051500
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250705134211
2025070512 05W DANAS 007 02 015 03 SATL 060
T000 208N 1180E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 218N 1185E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 232N 1194E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 248N 1204E 085 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 265N 1215E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 275N 1202E 045 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 271N 1171E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 20.8N 118.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 118.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.8N 118.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.2N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.8N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.5N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.5N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 27.1N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 118.1E.
05JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051200Z IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070512 208N1180E 60
0525070512 208N1180E 60
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 20.8N 118.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 118.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.8N 118.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.2N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.8N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.5N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 27.5N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 27.1N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 118.1E.
05JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051200Z IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 20.8N, 117.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GPM/GMI 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY
BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 051346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 051200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (117.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (27.3 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (121.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051200UTC 20.8N 117.9E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061200UTC 23.0N 119.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 071200UTC 27.2N 121.7E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 081200UTC 28.0N 120.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 091200UTC 28.1N 120.0E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 051200
WARNING 051200.
WARNING VALID 061200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 20.8N 117.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 23.0N 119.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 27.2N 121.7E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 28.0N 120.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 28.1N 120.0E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 051046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (117.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (27.0 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 050900
WARNING 050900.
WARNING VALID 060900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 20.6N 117.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060900UTC AT 22.6N 118.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 050900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 20.6N 117.7E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 22.6N 118.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 070600UTC 26.2N 121.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 080600UTC 27.2N 120.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 090600UTC 27.3N 119.8E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 050900
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250705074544
2025070506 05W DANAS 006 02 045 03 SATL 060
T000 205N 1179E 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 213N 1182E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 224N 1188E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 239N 1197E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 260N 1209E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 279N 1209E 045 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 278N 1176E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 20.5N 117.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 117.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.3N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.4N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.0N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.9N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.8N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 118.0E.
05JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 233 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050600Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 200N1176E 40
0525070500 203N1177E 45
0525070506 205N1179E 55
0525070506 205N1179E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 20.5N 117.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 117.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.3N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.4N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.0N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.9N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 27.8N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 118.0E.
05JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 233 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050600Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 050746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (117.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC
TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (28.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 20.5N, 117.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE
SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED
TCHP, LAND AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 050600
WARNING 050600.
WARNING VALID 060600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 990 HPA
AT 20.5N 117.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 22.5N 118.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 26.2N 121.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 27.2N 120.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 27.3N 119.8E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 20.5N 117.5E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 22.5N 118.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 070600UTC 26.2N 121.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 080600UTC 27.2N 120.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 090600UTC 27.3N 119.8E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 050300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050300UTC 20.3N 117.4E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 060300UTC 22.1N 118.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 070000UTC 25.6N 120.6E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 080000UTC 28.2N 121.7E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 090000UTC 28.5N 121.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
117HF 100000UTC 28.8N 120.7E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 050300
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250705015309
2025070500 05W DANAS 005 02 315 01 SATL 060
T000 202N 1175E 045 R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 207N 1175E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 218N 1182E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 233N 1191E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 253N 1205E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 279N 1210E 045 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 283N 1183E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 20.2N 117.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 117.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 20.7N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.8N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.3N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.3N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.9N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.3N 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 117.5E.
05JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 368 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 01
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 201N1176E 40
0525070500 202N1175E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 20.2N 117.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 117.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 20.7N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.8N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.3N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.3N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.9N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.3N 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 117.5E.
05JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 368 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 01
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 050146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N) ONE ONE
SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (118.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (28.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 20.3N, 117.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, LAND AND DRY AIR. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 050000
WARNING 050000.
WARNING VALID 060000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) 994 HPA
AT 20.3N 117.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 21.8N 118.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 25.6N 120.6E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 28.2N 121.7E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 28.5N 121.2E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 28.8N 120.7E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050000UTC 20.3N 117.4E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 060000UTC 21.8N 118.0E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 070000UTC 25.6N 120.6E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 080000UTC 28.2N 121.7E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 090000UTC 28.5N 121.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
120HF 100000UTC 28.8N 120.7E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 042246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 042100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM DANAS (2504) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N) ONE ONE
SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (117.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (121.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 042100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 042100UTC 20.1N 117.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 052100UTC 20.4N 117.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 061800UTC 23.9N 119.8E 110NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 071800UTC 27.8N 122.3E 165NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 081800UTC 28.1N 122.0E 210NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
117HF 091800UTC 29.4N 122.1E 280NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 041800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 2504 DANAS (2504)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 20.2N, 117.7E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(DANAS) STATUS. TS DANAS IS LOCATED AT 20.1N, 117.2E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
NOAA-21/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, LAND AND DRY AIR. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 042100
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250704201557
2025070418 05W FIVE 004 02 270 04 SATL 060
T000 201N 1174E 040 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 204N 1172E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 210N 1174E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 220N 1181E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 239N 1193E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 273N 1211E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 284N 1196E 030
T120 294N 1154E 015
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 20.1N 117.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 117.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 20.4N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.0N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.0N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 119.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.3N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.4N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 29.4N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 117.3E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 222 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041800Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 198N1183E 30
0525070412 201N1178E 35
0525070418 201N1174E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 20.1N 117.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 117.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 20.4N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.0N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.0N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 119.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.3N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 28.4N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 29.4N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 117.3E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 222 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041800Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 041800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041800UTC 20.1N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 051800UTC 21.3N 117.4E 70NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 061800UTC 23.9N 119.8E 110NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 071800UTC 27.8N 122.3E 165NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 081800UTC 28.1N 122.0E 210NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
120HF 091800UTC 29.4N 122.1E 280NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 041800
WARNING 041800.
WARNING VALID 051800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
996 HPA
AT 20.1N 117.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 21.3N 117.4E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 23.9N 119.8E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 27.8N 122.3E WITH 165 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 28.1N 122.0E WITH 210 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 29.4N 122.1E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 20.3N 118.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 118.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 20.7N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 21.2N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 22.2N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.5N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.1N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.2N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.7N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 117.9E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 347 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
041200Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND
051500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 041500
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250704130233
2025070412 05W FIVE 003 02 335 04 SATL 030
T000 203N 1180E 035 R034 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 207N 1176E 045 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 212N 1177E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 222N 1182E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 235N 1190E 075 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 261N 1202E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 282N 1200E 045 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 297N 1186E 030
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 20.3N 118.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 118.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 20.7N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 21.2N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 22.2N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.5N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.1N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.2N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.7N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 117.9E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 347 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
041200Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND
051500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 199N1182E 30
0525070412 203N1180E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 040900
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250704064507
2025070406 05W FIVE 002 02 260 05 SATL 045
T000 196N 1182E 030
T012 199N 1177E 040 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 203N 1174E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 210N 1177E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 222N 1186E 075 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 250N 1201E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 273N 1204E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 288N 1189E 035
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 19.6N 118.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 118.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 19.9N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 20.3N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.0N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.2N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.0N 120.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.3N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 28.8N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 118.1E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
377 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
040600Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 200N1194E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
0525070406 196N1182E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 19.6N 118.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 118.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 19.9N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 20.3N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.0N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.2N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.0N 120.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.3N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 28.8N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 118.1E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
377 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
040600Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND
050900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031851ZJUL2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 118.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 118.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 19.9N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 20.2N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 20.8N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.5N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.8N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.5N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 29.0N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 118.6E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
296 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 040000Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (MUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 031900).//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 040300
WARNING ATCG MIL 05W NWP 250704012147
2025070400 05W FIVE 001 02 250 06 SATL 060
T000 197N 1187E 025
T012 199N 1181E 035 R034 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 202N 1176E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 208N 1175E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 215N 1182E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 248N 1204E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 275N 1208E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 290N 1200E 035 R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 118.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 118.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 19.9N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 20.2N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 20.8N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.5N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.8N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.5N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 29.0N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 118.6E.
04JUL25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
296 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 040000Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0525062712 133N1416E 15
0525062718 137N1405E 15
0525062800 144N1395E 15
0525062806 146N1387E 15
0525062812 149N1381E 15
0525062818 150N1374E 15
0525062900 151N1366E 15
0525062906 150N1358E 15
0525062912 150N1348E 20
0525062918 152N1341E 20
0525063000 152N1325E 20
0525063006 147N1302E 15
0525063012 147N1285E 15
0525063018 150N1274E 15
0525070100 159N1268E 15
0525070106 167N1257E 15
0525070112 167N1244E 15
0525070118 170N1242E 20
0525070200 174N1241E 20
0525070206 178N1238E 20
0525070212 182N1231E 20
0525070218 190N1230E 20
0525070300 197N1224E 20
0525070306 204N1218E 20
0525070312 202N1204E 20
0525070318 199N1193E 20
0525070400 197N1187E 25
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