Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GIL-25
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 031600 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 014A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 014A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 20.4N 134.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 134.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.2N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.7N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 21.9N 143.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 22.0N 146.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 22.3N 149.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.8N 151.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
031600Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 135.9W.
03AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1139 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 031200Z IS
1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 21 FEET.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED WARNING NR 14 TO SHOW IT IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON TS 07E (GIL).
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 031600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 20.4N 134.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 134.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.2N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.7N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 21.9N 143.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 22.0N 146.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 22.3N 149.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.8N 151.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
031600Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 135.9W.
03AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1139 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 031200Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
032200Z, 040400Z, 041000Z AND 041600Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 031432
TCDEP2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 AM HST Sun Aug 03 2025

Cool waters combined with a drier and more stable environment have
taken their toll on Gil. The system has been devoid of deep
convection overnight, with only an exposed swirl of low- to
mid-level clouds remaining. The initial intensity is lowered to 45
kt, based on a blend of the latest subjective Dvorak estimates from
TAFB and SAB and objective estimates from UW-CIMSS. Given the cool
waters, dry and stable air, and strengthening west-southwesterly
shear, no new organized convection is expected. Therefore, this will
be the final advisory on the system as it has become post-tropical.
Gil is expected to dissipate around midweek as it opens into a
trough northeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

The initial motion is estimated at 285/16 kt. The system is being
steered by a low- to mid-level ridge to its north, and this general
motion is expected to continue into tonight. A gradual decrease in
forward speed is anticipated by Monday, followed by a turn toward
the west as the shallow remnant low becomes steered by the low-level
flow. The updated track forecast remains close to the previous
advisory and continues to follow the tightly clustered guidance
envelope.

For additional information on the post-tropical low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1500Z 20.6N 135.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 04/0000Z 21.2N 138.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 04/1200Z 21.7N 141.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 05/0000Z 21.9N 143.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 05/1200Z 22.0N 146.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 06/0000Z 22.3N 149.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 06/1200Z 22.8N 151.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 031431
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 AM HST Sun Aug 03 2025

...GIL NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 135.7W
ABOUT 1660 MI...2670 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1260 MI...2025 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil
was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 135.7 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 18
mph (30 km/h). A gradual decrease in forward speed is expected
during the next couple of days, with a turn toward the west
forecast by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is expected over the next few days, and the
post-tropical low is forecast to dissipate around midweek.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Gil. Additional information on this system can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 031431
TCMEP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2025

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 135.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 60SE 30SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 135.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 134.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.2N 138.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.7N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.9N 143.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 146.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.8N 151.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 135.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 031000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 19.8N 132.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 132.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 20.8N 136.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.4N 139.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 21.8N 141.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 22.0N 144.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 22.2N 147.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.5N 149.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
031000Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 134.0W.
03AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1147 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030600Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
031600Z, 032200Z, 040400Z AND 041000Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 030832
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 02 2025

Satellite imagery shows the convection north of the low-level
circulation quickly diminishing as Gil continues west-northwestward
over progressively cooler waters and into a more stable environment.
A timely ASCAT pass revealed peak winds of around 45 kt in the
northern semicircle. Subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates
from TAFB and SAB range from 3.0/45 kt to 3.5/55 kt, which are
slightly higher than objective satellite estimates. Based on a blend
of these data and the ASCAT pass, the initial intensity is set at 50
kt.

The initial motion is estimated at 290/16 kt. Gil is being steered
by a mid-level ridge to its north, and this general motion is
expected to continue Sunday. A gradual decrease in forward
speed is anticipated by Monday, followed by a turn toward the west
as the shallow remnant low becomes steered by the low-level flow.
The updated track forecast remains close to the previous advisory
and continues to follow the tightly clustered guidance envelope.

Continued movement over progressively cooler waters, intrusion of
dry mid-level air, and the onset of increasing west-southwesterly
shear should accelerate Gil’s weakening trend. Simulated satellite
imagery from global models continues to suggest that Gil will lose
its deep convection and become post-tropical late Sunday, or in
about 24 hours. The system is then forecast to gradually spin down
and dissipate within a few days, likely by day 4, as it opens into
a trough northeast of the Hawaiian Islands.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0900Z 20.1N 133.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 03/1800Z 20.8N 136.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 04/0600Z 21.4N 139.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 04/1800Z 21.8N 141.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 05/0600Z 22.0N 144.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 05/1800Z 22.2N 147.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 06/0600Z 22.5N 149.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 030831
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gil Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 02 2025

...GIL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER COOLER WATERS...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATE SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 133.7W
ABOUT 1540 MI...2475 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1390 MI...2235 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gil was
located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 133.7 West. Gil is
moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A gradual
decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days, with a turn toward the west forecast by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Additional
weakening is forecast, and Gil is expected to become post-tropical
late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 030830
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0900 UTC SUN AUG 03 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 133.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 133.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 132.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.8N 136.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.4N 139.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N 141.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.2N 147.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.5N 149.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 133.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 030400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 19.2N 131.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 131.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.3N 134.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.1N 137.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.7N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.0N 142.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 22.2N 145.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 22.6N 148.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
030400Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 132.3W.
03AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1109 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030000Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
031000Z, 031600Z, 032200Z AND 040400Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 030239
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 PM HST Sat Aug 02 2025

Gil is now over waters of about 24 degrees Celsius, and its deep
convection is gradually losing organization and areal coverage.
Based on Dvorak estimates of T3.0/4.0 from TAFB and T3.5/3.5 from
SAB, the intensity is lowered to 55 kt. Sea surface temperatures
ahead of Gil will be getting colder by another degree or two, and
the storm will be running into a region of moderate to strong
southwesterly shear in 24-48 hours. Gil is likely to lose
organized convection, and thus become post-tropical, in about 24
hours, with continued weakening thereafter.

The storm continues to move quickly west-northwestward at 295/18
kt. The ridge north of Gil is forecast to weaken during the next
couple of days, which should cause a gradual decrease in forward
speed. A turn toward the west is forecast in about 48 hours as the
remnant low is steered by the low-level flow. The NHC track
forecast is slightly south of the previous forecast, leaning toward
the latest HCCA and AI guidance. Global models are in good
agreement that the remnant low will open up into a trough by day 4
(Wednesday) northeast of the Hawaiian Islands.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0300Z 19.5N 132.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 03/1200Z 20.3N 134.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 04/0000Z 21.1N 137.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 04/1200Z 21.7N 140.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 05/0000Z 22.0N 142.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 05/1200Z 22.2N 145.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 06/0000Z 22.6N 148.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 030238
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
500 PM HST SAT AUG 02 2025

...GIL WEAKENING...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 132.0W
ABOUT 1440 MI...2320 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1500 MI...2415 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 132.0 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH (33 KM/H). A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST FORECAST BY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND GIL IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 030238
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0300 UTC SUN AUG 03 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 132.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 132.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 131.2W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 134.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.1N 137.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.7N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 142.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.2N 145.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.6N 148.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 132.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 022200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 011
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 07E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 18.6N 129.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 129.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.0N 132.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.0N 135.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.9N 138.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.3N 141.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 22.6N 143.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 23.0N 146.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.6N 151.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
022200Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 130.8W.
02AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1084 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 021800Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
030400Z, 031000Z, 031600Z AND 032200Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 022037
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 02 2025

Gil is holding steady this afternoon as it traverses cool waters.
Geostationary satellite imagery indicates that convection remains
confined to the northeast semicircle of the circulation, with the
southwestern portion largely devoid of deep convection. Objective
and subjective satellite intensity estimates, as well as a recent
ASCAT pass, indicate that the intensity has not changed much. Based
on this data, the initial intensity of Gil remains at 60 kt.

The tropical storm continues to move west-northwestward at about
295/17 under the influence of a mid-level ridge to the north, and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.
Thereafter, as Gil continues to weaken and is increasingly steered
by the low-level flow, a gradual turn toward the west is expected.
The track forecast is very close to the previous official forecast
and represents a blend of the tightly clustered consensus aids.

Gil is forecast to weaken as it moves over increasingly cooler
waters for the next several days. Global models indicate that deep
convection will largely diminish after about 36 h, at which time the
cyclone will become post-tropical. After about 48 h, environmental
conditions are forecast to become increasingly detrimental, with
shear increasing and mid-level moisture decreasing. The cyclone is
expected to dissipate after 96 h. The new forecast is similar to
both the prior forecast and the intensity consensus aids.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 19.0N 130.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 20.0N 132.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 21.0N 135.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 21.9N 138.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 04/1800Z 22.3N 141.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 05/0600Z 22.6N 143.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/1800Z 23.0N 146.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/1800Z 23.6N 151.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hogsett


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 022036
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 02 2025

...GIL HOLDING STEADY AS A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 130.5W
ABOUT 1355 MI...2180 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 130.5 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH (31 KM/H) AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ON SUNDAY AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS BEFORE GIL
BECOMES POST-TROPICAL LATE SUNDAY OR ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB (29.33 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 022036
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
2100 UTC SAT AUG 02 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 130.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 130.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 129.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N 132.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N 135.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N 138.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.3N 141.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.6N 143.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N 146.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.6N 151.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 130.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT=


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 021559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 02.08.2025

TROPICAL STORM GIL ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N 127.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072025

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 02.08.2025 0 17.6N 127.8W 991 53
0000UTC 03.08.2025 12 19.6N 131.3W 994 48
1200UTC 03.08.2025 24 20.9N 134.9W 1002 40
0000UTC 04.08.2025 36 21.7N 138.3W 1006 33
1200UTC 04.08.2025 48 22.2N 141.1W 1008 29
0000UTC 05.08.2025 60 22.4N 143.9W 1010 27
1200UTC 05.08.2025 72 22.5N 146.5W 1011 27
0000UTC 06.08.2025 84 23.6N 149.0W 1013 26
1200UTC 06.08.2025 96 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 33.6N 71.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 04.08.2025 36 33.9N 70.6W 1011 25
1200UTC 04.08.2025 48 35.0N 69.0W 1011 25
0000UTC 05.08.2025 60 36.3N 68.0W 1013 24
1200UTC 05.08.2025 72 37.1N 66.4W 1016 26
0000UTC 06.08.2025 84 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.8N 41.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.08.2025 120 14.4N 43.3W 1009 28
0000UTC 08.08.2025 132 16.2N 46.1W 1009 29
1200UTC 08.08.2025 144 17.6N 49.2W 1010 28
0000UTC 09.08.2025 156 19.7N 52.0W 1011 28
1200UTC 09.08.2025 168 21.2N 55.3W 1011 34

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 32.0N 73.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.08.2025 120 31.9N 74.1W 1015 23
0000UTC 08.08.2025 132 32.0N 75.3W 1012 26
1200UTC 08.08.2025 144 31.9N 76.2W 1010 29
0000UTC 09.08.2025 156 31.7N 76.8W 1010 31
1200UTC 09.08.2025 168 32.0N 77.3W 1010 32


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 021559


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 021559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.08.2025

TROPICAL STORM GIL ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N 127.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 02.08.2025 17.6N 127.8W MODERATE
00UTC 03.08.2025 19.6N 131.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2025 20.9N 134.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 04.08.2025 21.7N 138.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 04.08.2025 22.2N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2025 22.4N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2025 22.5N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 23.6N 149.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 33.6N 71.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 04.08.2025 33.9N 70.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 04.08.2025 35.0N 69.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2025 36.3N 68.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2025 37.1N 66.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.8N 41.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 07.08.2025 14.4N 43.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 08.08.2025 16.2N 46.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.08.2025 17.6N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.08.2025 19.7N 52.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.08.2025 21.2N 55.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 32.0N 73.7W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 07.08.2025 31.9N 74.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 08.08.2025 32.0N 75.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.08.2025 31.9N 76.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.08.2025 31.7N 76.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.08.2025 32.0N 77.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 021559


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 021600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 17.8N 127.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N 127.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.3N 131.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 133.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.6N 136.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.3N 139.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.7N 141.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.0N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.8N 149.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
021600Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 128.9W.
02AUG25. HURRICANE 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1064 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 021200Z IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
022200Z, 030400Z, 031000Z AND 031600Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 021435
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 AM HST Sat Aug 02 2025

Gil is weakening as the center is now over sea surface temperatures
near 25C. Satellite imagery shows that the associated convection
is decreasing and becoming asymmetric, with little convection left
in the western semicircle. Objective and subjective satellite
intensity estimates are now trending downward, and based on this
Gil is downgraded to a tropical storm with 60-kt winds.

The initial motion is 295/17. Gil is being steered by a strong
mid-level ridge to the north, and a generally west-northwestward
motion should continue for the next day or two. After that, a more
westward motion is expected as the cyclone weakens and becomes
increasingly steered by the low-level flow. There is little change
in the track guidance from the previous advisory, and the new
forecast track is similar to the previous track.

Gil should continue weakening as it moves over cooler waters and
into a drier air mass. The latest simulated satellite imagery from
the GFS and ECMWF models suggests the cyclone should stop producing
convection at around 36 h, and thus the intensity forecast again
indicates post-tropical status at that time. While the sea surface
temperatures increase along the forecast track after 36 h,
increasing westerly shear and dry air entraining should keep the
cyclone or its remnants weakening. The new forecast follows the
previous forecast in showing dissipation between 96-120 h, which is
in agreement with the global models.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/1500Z 18.3N 128.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 03/0000Z 19.3N 131.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 03/1200Z 20.6N 133.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 04/0000Z 21.6N 136.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 04/1200Z 22.3N 139.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 05/0000Z 22.7N 141.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/1200Z 23.0N 144.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/1200Z 23.8N 149.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 021435
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
500 AM HST SAT AUG 02 2025

...GIL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 128.6W
ABOUT 1250 MI...2010 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 128.6 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH (31 KM/H), AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A SLOWER MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST
ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND GIL IS
LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB (29.30 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 021434
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1500 UTC SAT AUG 02 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 128.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 128.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 127.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N 131.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.6N 133.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.6N 136.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N 139.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 141.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.8N 149.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 128.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 021000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 17.0N 126.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 126.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.4N 129.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.9N 132.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.1N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 22.0N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.5N 140.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 22.9N 142.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 23.5N 147.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
021000Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 127.1W.
02AUG25. HURRICANE 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1058 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 020600Z IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
021600Z, 022200Z, 030400Z AND 031000Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 020834
TCDEP2

Hurricane Gil Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

Gil has likely reached its peak intensity. Satellite imagery shows
convection in the northwestern quadrant has mostly eroded, likely
due to dry air entrainment and the system now moving over marginal
sea surface temperatures below 26 degrees C. However, the cyclone
still displays impressive banding features wrapping around its
southern and eastern sides. Subjective Dvorak current intensity
estimates from TAFB and SAB remain steady at 4.0/65 kt, consistent
with objective satellite estimates ranging from 50 to 70 kt. Based
on these data, the initial intensity is held at 65 kt.

The initial motion is estimated at 300/17 kt, steered by a strong
mid-level ridge to its north. This general motion is expected to
continue into Sunday, followed by a gradual turn toward the west as
the cyclone weakens and becomes increasingly steered by the
low-level flow. The new NHC track forecast is very similar to the
previous one and remains close to the consensus aids.

Gil is expected to begin weakening through the day Saturday as it
continues moving over progressively cooler waters and encounters
increasingly dry and stable mid-level air. These unfavorable
conditions should lead to a gradual erosion of the cyclone’s
convective structure. Simulated satellite imagery from global models
suggests that Gil will lose its deep convection and become
post-tropical by Sunday, or in about 36 hours. The system is then
forecast to gradually spin down and dissipate by day 5, in line with
the majority of the global model guidance.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0900Z 17.4N 126.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 02/1800Z 18.4N 129.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 03/0600Z 19.9N 132.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 03/1800Z 21.1N 135.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 04/0600Z 22.0N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 04/1800Z 22.5N 140.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 05/0600Z 22.9N 142.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/0600Z 23.5N 147.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 020832
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Gil Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

...GIL HOLDING STEADY BUT MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 126.8W
ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gil was located
near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 126.8 West. Gil is moving toward
the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through much of the weekend. A slower motion
toward the west is forecast by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin Saturday, and Gil is likely to
become post-tropical as early as Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 020831
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0900 UTC SAT AUG 02 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 126.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 126.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 126.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 129.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.9N 132.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.1N 135.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N 138.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.5N 140.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.9N 142.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 147.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 126.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 020359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 02.08.2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IONA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 178.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012025

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.08.2025 0 15.9N 178.8W 1009 26
1200UTC 02.08.2025 12 17.9N 178.4E 1011 29
0000UTC 03.08.2025 24 19.5N 176.1E 1012 28
1200UTC 03.08.2025 36 20.8N 173.7E 1012 27
0000UTC 04.08.2025 48 22.5N 171.2E 1012 30
1200UTC 04.08.2025 60 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE GIL ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 124.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072025

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.08.2025 0 16.0N 124.4W 991 51
1200UTC 02.08.2025 12 17.5N 127.7W 991 55
0000UTC 03.08.2025 24 19.2N 131.2W 994 50
1200UTC 03.08.2025 36 20.7N 134.6W 1000 41
0000UTC 04.08.2025 48 21.7N 137.8W 1005 32
1200UTC 04.08.2025 60 22.5N 140.4W 1007 28
0000UTC 05.08.2025 72 22.8N 142.9W 1009 26
1200UTC 05.08.2025 84 23.4N 145.5W 1011 28
0000UTC 06.08.2025 96 24.0N 148.2W 1013 28
1200UTC 06.08.2025 108 24.4N 151.2W 1014 28
0000UTC 07.08.2025 120 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 34.0N 77.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 02.08.2025 12 33.9N 77.1W 1012 38
0000UTC 03.08.2025 24 33.3N 75.0W 1011 31
1200UTC 03.08.2025 36 34.2N 73.4W 1009 30
0000UTC 04.08.2025 48 34.7N 71.2W 1009 26
1200UTC 04.08.2025 60 35.9N 69.3W 1010 28
0000UTC 05.08.2025 72 37.8N 66.1W 1012 28
1200UTC 05.08.2025 84 40.3N 60.7W 1014 32
0000UTC 06.08.2025 96 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.1N 121.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 05.08.2025 72 13.4N 122.6W 1007 28
1200UTC 05.08.2025 84 14.7N 124.7W 1006 33
0000UTC 06.08.2025 96 15.4N 126.6W 1007 34
1200UTC 06.08.2025 108 16.6N 129.3W 1009 30
0000UTC 07.08.2025 120 17.1N 132.4W 1010 30
1200UTC 07.08.2025 132 17.5N 136.4W 1010 31
0000UTC 08.08.2025 144 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 16.9N 48.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.08.2025 156 16.9N 48.9W 1012 25
0000UTC 09.08.2025 168 18.4N 51.5W 1012 26


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 020359


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 020359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.08.2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IONA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 178.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 02.08.2025 15.9N 178.8W WEAK
12UTC 02.08.2025 17.9N 178.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2025 19.5N 176.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2025 20.8N 173.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2025 22.5N 171.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE GIL ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 124.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 02.08.2025 16.0N 124.4W MODERATE
12UTC 02.08.2025 17.5N 127.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2025 19.2N 131.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2025 20.7N 134.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 04.08.2025 21.7N 137.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 04.08.2025 22.5N 140.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2025 22.8N 142.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2025 23.4N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 24.0N 148.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2025 24.4N 151.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 34.0N 77.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 02.08.2025 33.9N 77.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY
00UTC 03.08.2025 33.3N 75.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2025 34.2N 73.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2025 34.7N 71.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2025 35.9N 69.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2025 37.8N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2025 40.3N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.1N 121.7W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 05.08.2025 13.4N 122.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 05.08.2025 14.7N 124.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 15.4N 126.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2025 16.6N 129.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.08.2025 17.1N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.08.2025 17.5N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 16.9N 48.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 08.08.2025 16.9N 48.9W WEAK
00UTC 09.08.2025 18.4N 51.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 020359


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 020400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 16.2N 124.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 124.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.6N 127.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.0N 130.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.2N 134.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.1N 136.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.8N 139.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.2N 142.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 22.8N 147.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
020400Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 125.4W.
02AUG25. HURRICANE 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1064 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 020000Z IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
021000Z, 021600Z, 022200Z AND 030400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 020248
TCDEP2

Hurricane Gil Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 PM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

Gil appears to have rid itself of the intrusion of dry air it had
been dealing with earlier in the day. The center is now embedded
within a Central Dense Overcast, and as a result, subjective
satellite estimates are a consensus T4.0/65 kt from TAFB and SAB.
Several objective estimates from UW-CIMSS are at that level or
higher, so Gil is therefore upgraded to a 65-kt hurricane.

Gil is moving faster toward the west-northwest, now 295/17 kt.
Strong mid-level ridging is expected to persist to the north of the
hurricane, which should cause Gil to continue moving quickly toward
the west-northwest through much of the weekend. A slower forward
motion with a turn toward the west is forecast by Monday as the
weakening cyclone is steered by lower-level flow. The new NHC
track forecast is just a touch south of the previous prediction,
leaning toward the HCCA and AI models.

Gil only has a small window for continued strengthening since
cooler sea surface temperatures lie ahead. The NHC intensity
forecast allows for a bit more strengthening through 12 hours, but
then fast weakening is expected thereafter due to the cold waters.
In fact, model-simulated satellite images indicate Gil will likely
lose its deep convection in about 48 hours, and the NHC forecast
shows it becoming post-tropical at that time. Because of Gil's
fast motion, the decrease in its winds are likely to lag the loss
of convection, and the 45-kt forecast intensity at 48 hours is
higher than is typical for when an eastern Pacific tropical cyclone
becomes post-tropical. Gil is expected to open up into a trough by
day 5, which is supported by most of the global model guidance.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0300Z 16.5N 125.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 02/1200Z 17.6N 127.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 03/0000Z 19.0N 130.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 03/1200Z 20.2N 134.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 04/0000Z 21.1N 136.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 04/1200Z 21.8N 139.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 05/0000Z 22.2N 142.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/0000Z 22.8N 147.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 020247
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Gil Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 PM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

...GIL NOW A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 125.1W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1740 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gil was located
near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 125.1 West. Gil is moving
toward quickly the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through the weekend. A slower
motion toward the west is forecast by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
overnight. Weakening is forecast to begin on Saturday, and Gil is
likely to become post-tropical as early as Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Berg


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 020247
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0300 UTC SAT AUG 02 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 125.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 270SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 125.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 124.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.6N 127.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.0N 130.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.2N 134.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.1N 136.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.8N 139.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.2N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.8N 147.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 125.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 15.6N 122.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 122.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.9N 125.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.4N 129.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.7N 132.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 20.8N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.6N 137.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.3N 140.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 23.2N 145.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.8N 150.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
012200Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 123.6W.
01AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1067 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 011800Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
020400Z, 021000Z, 021600Z AND 022200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 012039
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 AM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

Gil has slightly strengthened over the past few hours. A
scatterometer pass from 1710 UTC showed an area of near 50 kt
vectors in the northeastern quadrant of the storm. More recent
geostationary satellite data shows fragmented convection, with a
curved band wrapping around the southern semicircle. The imagery
suggests Gil is experiencing a dry air intrusion wrapping around the
storm's core. Based on the ASCAT data (accounting for instrument
undersampling) and a blend of the latest subjective Dvorak estimates
the initial intensity is increased slightly to 60 kt.

The initial motion is 290/15 kt. The track forecast reasoning
remains unchanged. Gil should continue a west-northwestward motion
along the southern periphery of a mid-level ridge for the next few
days. As the storm weakens, a turn to the west is forecast around
day 4. The NHC track prediction is essentially unchanged from the
previous cycle's forecast.

Gil is currently crossing a cooling gradient of the sea surface
temperatures and nearing the 26 degree Celsius isotherm. Therefore,
the storm's chances for any significant strengthening are quickly
diminishing. Beyond 12 hours, global models predict increasing
shear and a dry and stable airmass will steadily weaken the storm
for the remainder of the forecast period. The latest official
intensity forecast lies near the various consensus aids. Gil is
still expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by the end of
weekend.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 15.9N 123.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 02/0600Z 16.9N 125.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 02/1800Z 18.4N 129.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 03/0600Z 19.7N 132.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 03/1800Z 20.8N 135.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 04/0600Z 21.6N 137.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 04/1800Z 22.3N 140.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/1800Z 23.2N 145.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/1800Z 23.8N 150.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Bucci


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 012038
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1100 AM HST FRI AUG 01 2025

...GIL SLIGHTLY STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 123.3W
ABOUT 995 MI...1605 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H) AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND GIL COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE LATER TODAY. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB (29.33 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 012038
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
2100 UTC FRI AUG 01 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 123.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 270SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 123.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 122.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.9N 125.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 129.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.7N 132.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.8N 135.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N 137.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.3N 140.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.2N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.8N 150.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 123.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 011600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 120.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 120.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 16.1N 123.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.6N 127.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.0N 130.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.3N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.4N 136.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.1N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.0N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.8N 149.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
011600Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 121.8W.
01AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1086 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 011200Z IS 996
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 012200Z, 020400Z, 021000Z AND 021600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 011439
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 AM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

Deep convection in the storm continues to pulse, though it is mostly
concentrated in the southern and eastern quadrants. An AMSR2 pass
from 0927 UTC showed a large curved band wrapping around much of the
circulation. Subjective satellite estimates from TAFB and SAB both
gave Gil a T3.5/55 kt. The initial intensity is held at 55 kt for
this cycle based on these estimates. An ASCAT pass over the storm
is expected later today which should help update the wind radii
estimates.

Gil is moving west-northwestward at about 14 kt along the southern
side of a subtropical ridge to its north. This general motion
should continue for the next few days. By the end of the forecast
period, the weakened storm should turn more westward in the
low-level flow. Minor adjustments have been made to the latest
track forecast which lies slightly south of the previous prediction.

Gil only has a short window of about 12 h to strengthen.
Thereafter, the storm is expected to cross over cooler sea surface
temperatures. By day 2, the vertical wind shear is expected to
increase accompanied by falling mid-level humidities. These factors
will gradually weaken the cyclone, which is now expected to become
post-tropical by 60 h. The latest NHC intensity forecast still
expects Gil to strengthen into a hurricane later today, however this
prediction lies on the high end of the model guidance.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/1500Z 15.3N 121.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 16.1N 123.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 02/1200Z 17.6N 127.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 03/0000Z 19.0N 130.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 03/1200Z 20.3N 133.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 04/0000Z 21.4N 136.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 04/1200Z 22.1N 139.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 05/1200Z 23.0N 144.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/1200Z 23.8N 149.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Bucci


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 011437
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gil Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 AM HST Fri Aug 01 2025

...GIL HOLDING STEADY AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 121.5W
ABOUT 920 MI...1480 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gil was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 121.5 West. Gil is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this
general motion with an additional increase in forward speed is
expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Further strengthening is forecast, and Gil is
expected to become a hurricane later today. Gradual weakening is
expected over the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Bucci


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 011436
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1500 UTC FRI AUG 01 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 121.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 121.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 120.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.1N 123.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.6N 127.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.0N 130.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 133.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N 136.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.1N 139.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.8N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 121.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 011000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 14.6N 119.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N 119.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.8N 122.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 17.3N 125.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.7N 129.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.1N 132.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.2N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 22.1N 138.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.0N 143.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 23.9N 148.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
011000Z POSITION NEAR 15.0N 120.3W.
01AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1093 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 010600Z IS 997
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011600Z, 012200Z, 020400Z AND 021000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 010848
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Thu Jul 31 2025

Geostationary satellite images indicate that Gil continues to become
better organized underneath the southern portion of a central dense
overcast that contains a fairly large area of -70 to -80 degree C
cloud tops. Gil is also displaying banding features that wrap most
of the way around the cyclone. The latest subjective Dvorak
estimates are a consensus 3.5/55 kt from TAFB and SAB. Objective
numbers from UW-CIMSS are a bit lower. Given continued improvement
in organization over the past few hours, the initial intensity has
been set to 55 kt, and this might be a tad conservative. ASCAT
passes from 0437 and 0527 UTC were helpful in analyzing the wind
field, and the data indicate that Gil's radius of maximum winds
(RMW) is still about 50 n mi.

The initial motion is west-northwestward, or 300/14 kt. A fairly
strong mid-tropospheric ridge will continue to prevail to the north
of Gil for the next few days, which should maintain the
west-northwestward track, with additional acceleration expected over
the next 36 h. The official forecast is very near the previous one
and lies between the faster HCCA and the slower TVCE consensus
aids. By late in the forecast period, the system will likely turn
to a more westward track following the low-level flow.

Gil should strengthen steadily over the next 12 to 24 h as the
vertical wind shear decreases to the 0-5 kt range. The chance of
rapid intensification is not very high since the RMW is currently 50
n mi, and the sea-surface temperatures that Gil is forecast to
traverse are forecast to decrease quickly, crossing the 26C isotherm
in about 24 h. Beyond 24 h, weakening is expected due to decreasing
SSTs. In about 60 h, the west-southwesterly vertical wind shear is
forecast to increase along Gil's path, and this should cause Gil to
lose its convection and become post-tropical in about 3 days, as
shown by the GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite solutions. The NHC
intensity forecast is toward the high end of the intensity guidance
during the first 36 h and down the middle of the guidance envelope
thereafter.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 14.8N 120.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 01/1800Z 15.8N 122.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 02/0600Z 17.3N 125.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 02/1800Z 18.7N 129.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 03/0600Z 20.1N 132.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 03/1800Z 21.2N 135.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 04/0600Z 22.1N 138.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 05/0600Z 23.0N 143.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/0600Z 23.9N 148.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Hagen


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 010847
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1100 PM HST THU JUL 31 2025

...GIL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 120.1W
ABOUT 870 MI...1400 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 120.1 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H) AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND GIL IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 010847
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0900 UTC FRI AUG 01 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.8N 122.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 125.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.7N 129.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.1N 132.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N 135.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.1N 138.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N 143.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.9N 148.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 120.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 010400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 13.9N 117.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 117.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 15.1N 120.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 16.4N 123.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.9N 127.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.4N 130.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 133.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.7N 137.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.9N 142.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.9N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
010400Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 118.8W.
01AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1129 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 010000Z IS
998 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 24 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 011000Z, 011600Z, 012200Z AND 020400Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 010235
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 PM HST Thu Jul 31 2025

Gil is gradually becoming better organized, with increased evidence
of banding features over the eastern and southern portions of the
circulation. However, the low-level center of the storm has been
partially exposed, possibly due to drier air being entrained into
the core. Upper-level outflow is fairly well defined over the
eastern and southern semicircles, but a bit restricted to the
northwest. The current advisory intensity is raised to 50 kt based
on a blend of subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB and
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS. In general, the objective
intensity estimates are somewhat lower than the subjective values.

The storm is continuing on a west-northwestward heading, but at a
faster forward speed of around 13 kt. A fairly strong
mid-tropospheric ridge is expected to prevail to the north of Gil
for the next few days, which should maintain the west-northwest
track. Most of the track guidance models indicate additional
acceleration over the next 48 hours, and so does the official
forecast. This is also in good agreement with the latest corrected
consensus, HCCA, prediction. By late in the forecast period, the
system will likely turn to a more westward track following the
low-level flow.

Further strengthening is likely while the tropical cyclone moves
over sufficiently warm waters. Vertical wind shear is predicted to
decrease to very low values during the next couple of days and the
atmospheric environment should also remain moist during this time.
However, SSTs along the path of Gil are likely to decrease below 25
degrees C in about 48 hours. This should somewhat counteract the
other favorable environmental conditions. The marginal ocean
temperatures are likely one of the reasons that the intensity
guidance does not show a lot of strengthening. The official
forecast is on the high end of the model guidance envelope, as in
the previous advisory package.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0300Z 14.2N 118.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 15.1N 120.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 02/0000Z 16.4N 123.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 02/1200Z 17.9N 127.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 03/0000Z 19.4N 130.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 03/1200Z 20.6N 133.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 04/0000Z 21.7N 137.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 05/0000Z 22.9N 142.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/0000Z 23.9N 147.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 010235
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
500 PM HST THU JUL 31 2025

...GIL MOVING FASTER...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 118.5W
ABOUT 825 MI...1325 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 118.5 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H) AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND GIL WILL
LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES (260 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB (29.47 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 010234
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0300 UTC FRI AUG 01 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 118.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 118.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 117.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.1N 120.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.4N 123.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.9N 127.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.4N 130.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.6N 133.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.7N 137.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.9N 142.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 118.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 312200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 13.2N 116.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 116.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.4N 119.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.6N 122.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 17.0N 125.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.4N 129.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.7N 132.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 20.7N 135.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 21.8N 141.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 22.6N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
312200Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 117.5W.
31JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1170 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311800Z IS
1000 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 17 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 010400Z, 011000Z, 011600Z AND 012200Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 312034
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gil Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 AM HST Thu Jul 31 2025

...GIL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 117.2W
ABOUT 805 MI...1295 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gil was
located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 117.2 West. Gil is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). This
general motion with some acceleration is expected to continue
during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and Gil
is forecast to become a hurricane on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Bucci


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 312034
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 AM HST Thu Jul 31 2025

Gil has been holding steady since the last advisory. A
scatterometer pass from 1729 UTC showed the low-level center near
the northern edge of the Central Dense Overcast (CDO) suggesting the
cyclone is experiencing moderate vertical wind shear. The initial
intensity is held at 45 kt for this cycle, in agreement with the
TAFB and SAB Dvorak estimates. While the scatterometer pass only
covered the western half of the storm, it did provide information
used to update some of the tropical-storm-force radii.

The motion is west-northwestward at 11 kt along the southern
periphery of a mid-level ridge centered over the Baja California
peninsula. This general motion, with a gradual increase in forward
speed, should continue through the weekend. By early next week,
Gil should turn more westward in the trade winds. Only slight
adjustments have been made to the latest official track forecast.

Global models predict that the vertical wind shear should
gradually abate over the next 12 hours or so. After this occurs,
the warm sea surface temperatures and ample mid-level moisture
should allow Gil to continue to strengthen for the next day or so.
By Saturday, the storm is expected to cross the 26 degree isotherm
and move over progressively cooler waters. This should induce a
steady-to-rapid weakening trend through the end of the forecast
period. Gil is still predicted to lose its organized deep
convection and become a remnant low by day 4. The intensity
guidance predictions have decreased somewhat this cycle and the
official forecast now lies near the upper end of the guidance
envelope.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/2100Z 13.5N 117.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 01/0600Z 14.4N 119.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 01/1800Z 15.6N 122.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 02/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 02/1800Z 18.4N 129.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 03/0600Z 19.7N 132.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 03/1800Z 20.7N 135.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 04/1800Z 21.8N 141.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 05/1800Z 22.6N 147.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Bucci


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 312033
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
2100 UTC THU JUL 31 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 117.2W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 117.2W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 116.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.4N 119.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.6N 122.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 129.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.7N 132.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.7N 135.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N 141.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.6N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 311600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 002 //
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 12.9N 115.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 115.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 13.9N 118.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 15.0N 120.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 16.4N 124.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.8N 127.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.2N 130.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.3N 134.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.7N 140.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 22.2N 145.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
311600Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 116.4W.
31JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1191
NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311200Z IS 1000
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 312200Z, 010400Z, 011000Z AND 011600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 01C (IONA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 02C (KELI) FINAL
WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC).//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 311435
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
500 AM HST Thu Jul 31 2025

Gil continues to become better organized this morning.
Geostationary infrared imagery show steady bursts of embedded deep
convection with cloud top temperatures less than -80 degrees
Celsius. Objective and subjective satellite intensity estimates
have increased this cycle and range between 35 to 46 kt. The
initial intensity is raised to 45 kt, closest to the TAFB and
UW-CIMSS DPRINT estimates.

The storm is moving at 280/12 kt along the southern side of a
subtropical ridge. This mid-level ridge will steer Gil generally
west-northwestward for the next few days, with some increase in
forward motion. By day 4, the weaker, more shallow cyclone is
expected to turn more westward in the low-level flow. The track
guidance envelope remains tightly clustered and only minor changes
were made to the latest NHC track forecast.

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions appear generally conducive for
Gil to continue strengthening. Statistical indicators even suggest
an above average possibility of strong-to-rapid intensification in
the next day or so. Thus, the predicted peak intensity has been
raised to 75 kt in 36 h based on these factors and an overall
increase in the model intensity guidance. Gil is still expected to
reach cooler waters and a dry, stable airmass in a couple of days
which will cause steady weakening. The latest NHC intensity
forecast now shows Gil becoming a post-tropical cyclone by day 4,
when global model show the cyclone will lose all convection.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/1500Z 13.2N 116.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 13.9N 118.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 01/1200Z 15.0N 120.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 02/0000Z 16.4N 124.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 02/1200Z 17.8N 127.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 03/0000Z 19.2N 130.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 03/1200Z 20.3N 134.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 04/1200Z 21.7N 140.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 05/1200Z 22.2N 145.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Bucci


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 311434
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
500 AM HST THU JUL 31 2025

...GIL STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 116.2W
ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.2 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H). A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND THIS MOTION WITH SOME
ACCELERATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, AND GIL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES (260 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 311434
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
1500 UTC THU JUL 31 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 116.2W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 50SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 116.2W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.9N 118.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.0N 120.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.4N 124.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 127.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.2N 130.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 134.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.7N 140.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.2N 145.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 116.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=


Original Message :

WTPN33 PHNC 311000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301921ZJUL2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 12.6N 114.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 114.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 13.4N 117.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.5N 119.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.7N 122.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 17.1N 125.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.6N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 20.1N 132.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.7N 138.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 22.3N 144.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
311000Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 115.3W.
31JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 07E (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1214
NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310600Z IS 1005 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 311600Z, 312200Z, 010400Z AND 011000Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN22 PHNC 301930).//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 310845
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 30 2025

Satellite imagery indicates that the disturbance NHC has been
tracking for the past several days has become much better organized
during the past 12 hours. The latest subjective Dvorak estimates
are 2.5/35 kt from TAFB and 1.5/25 kt from SAB. A 0457 UTC ASCAT-B
pass showed a well-defined circulation with peak winds near 35 kt.
Since that time, the convective organization has continued to
improve significantly, with a central convective area containing
cloud tops that are becoming colder and more circular on infrared
imagery, along with developing banding features. The system is
upgraded to Tropical Storm Gil based on the above data, and the
initial intensity estimate is 40 kt to reflect the improved
structure since the time of the ASCAT pass.

Gil is moving westward, or 275/13 kt. The track forecast is fairly
straightforward. A mid-level ridge to the north of Gil will steer
the cyclone west-northwestward for the next 3 to 4 days. As Gil
weakens and becomes shallow, it should bend more to the west by day
4. The track forecast is near the middle of the guidance envelope
and is close to the TVCE consensus.

Gil is currently located in a moist environment with warm
sea-surface temperatures and low to moderate vertical wind shear,
and the cyclone is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane over the
next 36 h. The shear is forecast to decrease further over the next
24 h while upper-level divergence increases. Given the current
impressive outflow and relatively fast recent development trends, it
is possible Gil could strengthen a bit more than forecast over the
next day or two. However, Gil is forecast to reach colder water and
more stable conditions by hour 48 as it gains latitude, which should
lead to weakening. The NHC intensity forecast is near the middle of
the guidance envelope. Gil is forecast to lose its convection and
become a remnant low by day 5.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0900Z 12.7N 115.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 31/1800Z 13.4N 117.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 01/0600Z 14.5N 119.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 01/1800Z 15.7N 122.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 02/0600Z 17.1N 125.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 02/1800Z 18.6N 129.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 03/0600Z 20.1N 132.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 04/0600Z 21.7N 138.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 05/0600Z 22.3N 144.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Hagen


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 310844
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gil Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 30 2025

...TROPICAL STORM GIL FORMS WELL TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 115.1W
ABOUT 785 MI...1260 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gil was
located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 115.1 West. Gil is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn to the
west-northwest with some acceleration is expected over the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
Gil is forecast to become a hurricane on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 310843
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025
0900 UTC THU JUL 31 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 115.1W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 50SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 115.1W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.4N 117.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 80SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.5N 119.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.7N 122.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N 125.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 129.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.1N 132.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 21.7N 138.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.3N 144.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=