Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for HENRIETTE-25 Off-shore from 04 Aug 2025 09:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2025 09:00 UTC

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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HENRIETTE-25

Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

13/08 08:48 WTPA43PHFO130847

13/08 08:47 WTPA33PHFO130846

13/08 08:47 WTPA23PHFO130846

13/08 02:40 WTPA43PHFO130239

13/08 02:36 WTPA33PHFO130236

13/08 02:36 WTPA23PHFO130236

12/08 20:35 WTPA43PHFO122033

12/08 20:33 WTPA33PHFO122032

12/08 20:33 WTPA23PHFO122032

12/08 16:00 WTNT82EGRR121559

12/08 16:00 WTNT80EGRR121559

12/08 15:10 WTPN31PHNC121600

12/08 14:47 WTPA43PHFO121445

12/08 14:45 WTPA23PHFO121445

12/08 14:45 WTPA33PHFO121444

12/08 12:28 WTPN31PHNC121000COR

12/08 09:18 WTPN31PHNC121000

12/08 08:46 WTPA43PHFO120844

12/08 08:44 WTPA23PHFO120843

12/08 08:44 WTPA33PHFO120843

12/08 03:05 WTPN31PHNC120400

12/08 02:49 WTPA43PHFO120248

12/08 02:49 WTPA23PHFO120248

12/08 02:48 WTPA33PHFO120247

11/08 21:02 WTPN31PHNC112200

11/08 20:44 WTPA43PHFO112043

11/08 20:41 WTPA33PHFO112041

11/08 20:40 WTPA23PHFO112040

11/08 17:04 WTPN31PHNC111600AMD

11/08 15:18 WTPN31PHNC111600

11/08 14:47 WTPA43PHFO111445

11/08 14:44 WTPA33PHFO111443

11/08 10:08 WTPN31PHNC111000

11/08 08:49 WTPA43PHFO110848

11/08 08:47 WTPA23PHFO110847

11/08 08:47 WTPA33PHFO110847

11/08 02:35 WTPA43PHFO110233

11/08 02:33 WTPA23PHFO110232

11/08 02:33 WTPA33PHFO110232

10/08 20:34 WTPA43PHFO102032

10/08 20:32 WTPA23PHFO102031

10/08 20:32 WTPA33PHFO102031

10/08 14:38 WTPA43PHFO101437

10/08 14:35 WTPA33PHFO101435

10/08 14:35 WTPA23PHFO101434

10/08 08:36 WTPA43PHFO100834

10/08 08:33 WTPA33PHFO100832

10/08 08:32 WTPA23PHFO100832

10/08 02:34 WTPA43PHFO100232

10/08 02:31 WTPA33PHFO100231

10/08 02:31 WTPA23PHFO100230

09/08 20:40 WTPA43PHFO092039

09/08 20:39 WTPA23PHFO092038

09/08 20:39 WTPA33PHFO092038

09/08 14:45 WTPA43PHFO091444

09/08 14:43 WTPA33PHFO091443

09/08 14:43 WTPA23PHFO091442

09/08 08:36 WTPA43PHFO090835

09/08 08:33 WTPA33PHFO090832

09/08 08:32 WTPA23PHFO090832

09/08 02:41 WTPA43PHFO090239

09/08 02:39 WTPA33PHFO090238

08/08 21:54 WTPN31PHNC082200

08/08 20:34 WTPA43PHFO082033

08/08 20:33 WTPA33PHFO082032

08/08 20:32 WTPA23PHFO082031

08/08 15:35 WTPA33PHFO081534CCA

08/08 14:39 WTPA43PHFO081438

08/08 14:38 WTPA33PHFO081437

08/08 14:37 WTPA23PHFO081436

08/08 08:50 WTPZ43KNHC080845

08/08 08:43 WTPZ33KNHC080841

08/08 08:41 WTPZ23KNHC080841

08/08 03:19 WTPN31PHNC080400

08/08 02:55 WTPZ43KNHC080253

08/08 02:53 WTPZ33KNHC080251

08/08 02:51 WTPZ23KNHC080251

07/08 21:29 WTPN31PHNC072200

07/08 21:22 WTPZ43KNHC072120

07/08 20:56 WTPZ33KNHC072054

07/08 20:56 WTPZ23KNHC072055

07/08 15:21 WTPN31PHNC071600

07/08 14:56 WTPZ43KNHC071454

07/08 14:53 WTPZ33KNHC071451

07/08 14:50 WTPZ23KNHC071449

07/08 09:18 WTPN31PHNC071000

07/08 08:49 WTPZ43KNHC070846

07/08 08:44 WTPZ33KNHC070842

07/08 08:43 WTPZ23KNHC070842

07/08 03:35 WTPN31PHNC070400

07/08 02:38 WTPZ43KNHC070234

07/08 02:36 WTPZ33KNHC070235

07/08 02:35 WTPZ23KNHC070233

06/08 21:39 WTPN31PHNC062200

06/08 20:57 WTPZ43KNHC062054

06/08 20:55 WTPZ33KNHC062053

06/08 20:54 WTPZ23KNHC062053

06/08 15:18 WTPN31PHNC061600

06/08 14:59 WTPZ43KNHC061457

06/08 14:58 WTPZ33KNHC061456

06/08 14:55 WTPZ23KNHC061454

06/08 09:22 WTPN31PHNC061000

06/08 08:55 WTPZ43KNHC060853

06/08 08:54 WTPZ33KNHC060853

06/08 08:53 WTPZ23KNHC060852

06/08 03:46 WTPN31PHNC060400

06/08 02:46 WTPZ43KNHC060244

06/08 02:44 WTPZ33KNHC060243

06/08 02:43 WTPZ23KNHC060242

05/08 21:23 WTPN31PHNC052200

05/08 20:43 WTPZ43KNHC052041

05/08 20:42 WTPZ33KNHC052040

05/08 20:40 WTPZ23KNHC052040

05/08 15:55 WTPN31PHNC051600

05/08 14:40 WTPZ43KNHC051438

05/08 14:40 WTPZ33KNHC051438

05/08 14:38 WTPZ23KNHC051438

05/08 09:14 WTPN31PHNC051000

05/08 08:44 WTPZ43KNHC050842

05/08 08:44 WTPZ33KNHC050842

05/08 08:42 WTPZ23KNHC050841

05/08 03:14 WTPN31PHNC050400

05/08 02:42 WTPZ43KNHC050239

05/08 02:40 WTPZ33KNHC050238

05/08 02:39 WTPZ23KNHC050238

04/08 21:39 WTPN31PHNC042200

04/08 20:36 WTPZ43KNHC042034

04/08 20:35 WTPZ33KNHC042033

04/08 20:34 WTPZ23KNHC042033

04/08 15:58 WTNT80EGRR041557

04/08 14:49 WTPN31PHNC041600

04/08 14:34 WTPZ43KNHC041432

04/08 14:27 WTPZ33KNHC041425

04/08 14:25 WTPZ23KNHC041424

04/08 08:52 WTPZ43KNHC040850

04/08 08:50 WTPZ33KNHC040849

04/08 08:49 WTPZ23KNHC040848

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 130847
TCDCP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Henriette Discussion Number 37
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 12 2025

Henriette has failed to produce any deep convection near the
low-level center for about 12 hours. Global models show that
convection is not expected to return over the low-level center in an
environment of strong vertical wind shear, dry mid-level air, and
cooling SSTs along the forecast track. With convection not
anticipated to return, Henriette is now designated as a
post-tropical cyclone. A recent scatterometer Metop-B pass at 0717
UTC showed winds around 35-39 kt, mainly in the eastern semi-circle.
Using this data, and an assumed weakening trend from the previous
advisory the intensity is set to 40 kt.

The cyclone is moving towards the northwest at 325/17 kt. This
general motion should continue through Wednesday, with a turn to the
north, then northeast around a large subtropical ridge as the system
continues to weaken. The cyclone is forecast to open into a trough
and dissipate by the end of the week.

This is the last advisory for this system. For additional
information on the post-tropical cyclone please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0900Z 36.7N 165.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 13/1800Z 38.6N 167.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 14/0600Z 41.0N 168.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 14/1800Z 43.2N 168.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 15/0600Z 43.8N 166.8W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 130846
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2025

...HENRIETTE NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.7N 165.6W
ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 165.6
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR
20 MPH (31 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW DOWN WHILE TURNING NORTHWARD AND
THEN NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE IT DISSIPATES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN, AND
DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER
FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 130846
TCMCP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC WED AUG 13 2025

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 165.6W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....130NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 165.6W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 165.0W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 38.6N 167.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 41.0N 168.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 43.2N 168.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 43.8N 166.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 165.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 130239
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 36
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Tue Aug 12 2025

Henriette is unraveling quickly. Since the prior advisory, its
low-level circulation has become decoupled northwest from the
remaining deep convection that is decreasing in coverage and
intensity. An earlier scatterometer pass had a peak wind of 47 kt,
but its likely Henriette has been weakening since that time.
Subjective Dvorak estimates are decreasing as fast as they are
allowed, and the initial intensity this advisory has been decreased
to 45 kt, close to the most recent SATCON value.

Henriette continues to move rapidly to the northwest, estimated at
315/16 kt. This general motion should continue for another 12-24 h,
though now that the circulation has become more shallow, it is
expected to now turn northward and then eastward around a large
low-level subtropical ridge until it dissipates. Vertical wind
shear diagnosed by SHIPS guidance is already near 20 kt in the
direction of very dry mid-level air. This shear increases further
from here on out, and both the global and regional-hurricane models
show deep convection not returning over the small low-level vortex
as it also moves over cooling sea-surface temperatures. Thus, the
latest NHC forecast will show Henriette becoming post-tropical in
12 h, and dissipating entirely by 72 h, with its final resting
place near the center of the North-Central Pacific subtropical
ridge. The NHC track forecast is roughly in the middle of the track
guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0300Z 35.3N 164.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 37.1N 166.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 14/0000Z 39.6N 168.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 14/1200Z 41.8N 169.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 15/0000Z 43.4N 168.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 15/1200Z 43.5N 166.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 130236
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2025

...HENRIETTE QUICKLY UNRAVELING IN THE SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL
PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 164.3W
ABOUT 1040 MI...1675 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 164.3 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH (30 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AFTERWARDS, HENRIETTE
SHOULD SLOW DOWN WHILE TURNING NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD
BEFORE IT DISSIPATES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND HENRIETTE SHOULD
BECOME POST-TROPICAL BY TOMORROW, AND DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 130236
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC WED AUG 13 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 164.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 10SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 164.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 37.1N 166.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 39.6N 168.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 41.8N 169.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 43.4N 168.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 43.5N 166.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N 164.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 122033
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 35
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 12 2025

Henriette continues to weaken. Convection has become fragmented
over the past few hours with some shallow convection to the east of
the center. A microwave image from 1740 UTC showed the low-level
eyewall open to the west. Subjective and objective Dvorak estimates
have generally decreased this cycle and a blend of these data
supports an initial intensity of 55 kt for this advisory.

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions are becoming increasingly
hostile. Sea surface temperatures are expected to drop below 26
degrees C within a few hours. The ongoing moderate wind shear is
forecast to increase and likely force additional nearby dry air into
the storm's circulation. Global models suggest that Henriette will
lose all deep convection within 24 hours. The latest official
intensity forecast now shows the storm becoming a post-tropical
cyclone on Wednesday and a remnant low by Wednesday evening, and
this is in line with the latest consensus aids.

Henriette is moving northwestward or 315/15 kt. This general motion
should continue for the next day or so as the storm is steered
between a mid-level ridge to the northeast and an upper-level low to
the west. Thereafter, the system should be steered more by the
low-level flow as it weakens and is expected to decelerate and turn
north-northwestward and northward. Only minor adjustments have been
made to the latest NHC track forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/2100Z 34.1N 162.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 13/0600Z 35.7N 164.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 13/1800Z 37.7N 167.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 14/0600Z 39.9N 169.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 14/1800Z 42.0N 169.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 15/0600Z 44.0N 169.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 122032
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST TUE AUG 12 2025

...HENRIETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON
WEDNESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 162.9W
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 162.9 WEST.
HENRIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH (30 KM/H), AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD TURN ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS, AND HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON
WEDNESDAY, AND A REMNANT LOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 122032
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 162.9W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 162.9W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 162.3W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.7N 164.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.7N 167.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.9N 169.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 42.0N 169.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 44.0N 169.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 162.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 121559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 12.08.2025

TROPICAL STORM ERIN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 35.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052025

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 12.08.2025 0 17.3N 35.4W 1008 31
0000UTC 13.08.2025 12 16.7N 39.3W 1008 29
1200UTC 13.08.2025 24 16.4N 42.2W 1008 27
0000UTC 14.08.2025 36 16.7N 45.0W 1007 29
1200UTC 14.08.2025 48 17.6N 48.5W 1008 31
0000UTC 15.08.2025 60 18.6N 51.8W 1008 31
1200UTC 15.08.2025 72 19.8N 55.4W 1006 31
0000UTC 16.08.2025 84 20.7N 58.6W 1005 32
1200UTC 16.08.2025 96 21.6N 61.6W 1001 37
0000UTC 17.08.2025 108 22.3N 64.2W 998 44
1200UTC 17.08.2025 120 23.3N 66.3W 998 48
0000UTC 18.08.2025 132 24.8N 67.7W 996 42
1200UTC 18.08.2025 144 26.9N 68.6W 992 52
0000UTC 19.08.2025 156 28.8N 68.7W 988 48
1200UTC 19.08.2025 168 30.7N 68.0W 980 58

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.5N 161.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082025

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 12.08.2025 0 32.5N 161.0W 995 58
0000UTC 13.08.2025 12 34.3N 163.6W 998 61
1200UTC 13.08.2025 24 36.3N 166.2W 1010 43
0000UTC 14.08.2025 36 38.8N 168.8W 1016 34
1200UTC 14.08.2025 48 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 37.5N 66.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.08.2025 84 37.7N 63.4W 1013 21
1200UTC 16.08.2025 96 36.9N 59.3W 1009 27
0000UTC 17.08.2025 108 37.2N 54.1W 1006 32
1200UTC 17.08.2025 120 38.5N 48.7W 1002 36
0000UTC 18.08.2025 132 40.0N 43.3W 1000 33
1200UTC 18.08.2025 144 42.2N 38.7W 996 40
0000UTC 19.08.2025 156 44.2N 35.2W 995 35
1200UTC 19.08.2025 168 45.2N 32.4W 999 30

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 121559

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 121559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.08.2025

TROPICAL STORM ERIN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 35.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 12.08.2025 17.3N 35.4W WEAK
00UTC 13.08.2025 16.7N 39.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 13.08.2025 16.4N 42.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 14.08.2025 16.7N 45.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 14.08.2025 17.6N 48.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 15.08.2025 18.6N 51.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 15.08.2025 19.8N 55.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 16.08.2025 20.7N 58.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 16.08.2025 21.6N 61.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 17.08.2025 22.3N 64.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.08.2025 23.3N 66.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 18.08.2025 24.8N 67.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 18.08.2025 26.9N 68.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 19.08.2025 28.8N 68.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 19.08.2025 30.7N 68.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.5N 161.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 12.08.2025 32.5N 161.0W MODERATE
00UTC 13.08.2025 34.3N 163.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 13.08.2025 36.3N 166.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 14.08.2025 38.8N 168.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 14.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 37.5N 66.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 16.08.2025 37.7N 63.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 16.08.2025 36.9N 59.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 17.08.2025 37.2N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.08.2025 38.5N 48.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 18.08.2025 40.0N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 18.08.2025 42.2N 38.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 19.08.2025 44.2N 35.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.08.2025 45.2N 32.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 121559

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 121600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/ TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 034//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 034
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 08E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 32.3N 161.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N 161.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 34.3N 163.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 36.2N 166.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 38.3N 168.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 40.7N 169.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 42.7N 169.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
121600Z POSITION NEAR 33.0N 161.8W.
12AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
622 NM NORTH OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 121200Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
122200Z, 130400Z, 131000Z AND 131600Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 121445
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 34
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Tue Aug 12 2025

The overall satellite presentation of Henriette has not changed
much overnight with deep convection over the small inner core of
the cyclone. Earlier microwave imagery showed that the eye had
become less distinct, and the latest subjective and objective
satellite intensity estimates have begun to decrease. A blend of
Dvorak Final-T and CI-numbers from the subjective estimates support
an initial intensity of 60 kt for this advisory.

Environmental conditions consisting of SSTs of 26-27 degrees C and
moderate vertical wind shear suggests that only gradual weakening
will occur today. However, the shear is forecast to increase
significantly overnight and on Wednesday which should result in a
faster rate of demise. Simulated satellite imagery from the
global models show the system decoupling in 24 to 36 hours, and the
updated forecast calls for Henriette to become post-tropical by
36 hours, but this could occur a little sooner. The latest NHC
intensity forecast is near the IVCN multi-model consensus aid, which
is a little above the HFIP corrected consensus that indicates an
even faster rate of weakening.

Henriette is moving northwestward or 315/15 kt, and this general
motion should continue for another 24 to 36 hours as the system is
steered between a mid-level ridge to its northeast and an
upper-level low to the west. As the cyclone weakens and is steered
more by the low-level low it is expected to decelerate and turn
north-northwestward and northward. The updated official track
forecast is essentially an update of the previous advisory and lies
close to the various consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/1500Z 32.8N 161.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 13/0000Z 34.3N 163.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 13/1200Z 36.2N 166.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 14/0000Z 38.3N 168.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 14/1200Z 40.7N 169.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 15/0000Z 42.7N 169.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown/E. Adams

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 121445
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 161.6W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 161.6W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 161.0W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.3N 163.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.2N 166.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 38.3N 168.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 40.7N 169.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 42.7N 169.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 161.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/E. ADAMS=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 121444
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST TUE AUG 12 2025

...HENRIETTE WEAKENING OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.8N 161.6W
ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 161.6 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD TURN ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110
KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS, AND HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON
WEDNESDAY, AND A REMNANT LOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/E. ADAMS=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 121000 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 033A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 033A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 31.2N 159.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.2N 159.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 33.1N 161.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 35.0N 164.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 37.0N 166.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 39.2N 169.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 41.3N 169.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 43.2N 169.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
121000Z POSITION NEAR 31.8N 160.3W.
12AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 552 NM
NORTH OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120600Z IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
121600Z, 122200Z, 130400Z AND 131000Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED CENTPAC STORM.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 121000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 31.2N 159.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.2N 159.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 33.1N 161.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 35.0N 164.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 37.0N 166.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 39.2N 169.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 41.3N 169.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 43.2N 169.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
121000Z POSITION NEAR 31.8N 160.3W.
12AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 552 NM
NORTH OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120600Z IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
121600Z, 122200Z, 130400Z AND 131000Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 120844
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 33
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 11 2025

Henriette's inner core has deteriorated during the past several
hours. Microwave overpasses from the Space Operations Command
(SpOC) WSF-M1 and an ISS TEMPEST-D CubeSat imager revealed a
collapsed, partial eyewall in the eastern half of the cyclone and
fragmented curved bands in the southwest and northeast quadrants.
Subjective intensity estimates from PGTW (17th OWS), PHFO, and SAB,
a 0710 UTC SATCON analysis of 64 kt and a blend of the UW-CIMSS
objective intensity techniques yield a lowered initial intensity of
65 kt.

Henriette is moving beneath a region of upper-level convergence
between an upper-tropospheric low to the northwest of the cyclone
and an upper-level anticyclone to the northeast. This inhibiting
dynamic contribution, along with increasing northerly shear and
progressively cooler oceanic surface temperatures, should cause
Henriette to weaken quickly through the remainder of the period.
The majority of the deterministic models predict that Henriette
should degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by early Thursday
and open up into a trough over the central north Pacific by the
weekend. Accordingly, quick weakening is indicated in the NHC
forecast and resembles the previous one, and is very close to the
LGEM and just above the HCCA and IVCN consensus intensity models.

The initial motion is estimated to be northwestward, or 315/14 kt.
Henriette should continue moving in this general heading during the
next couple of days in the mid-level steering flow provided by a
subtropical ridge to Henriette's northeast and a mid- to
upper-level low located northwest of the cyclone. Afterward, a
weakened, vertically shallow Henriette should turn toward the
north-northwest then to the north while rounding the western
periphery of a low- to mid-level high to the east. The new track
forecast is essentially an update of the previous advisory and lies
close to the various consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/0900Z 31.7N 160.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 12/1800Z 33.1N 161.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 13/0600Z 35.0N 164.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 13/1800Z 37.0N 166.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 14/0600Z 39.2N 169.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 14/1800Z 41.3N 169.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 15/0600Z 43.2N 169.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 120843
TCMCP3

HURRICANE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 160.1W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....130NE 100SE 70SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 160.1W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 159.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.1N 161.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N 166.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.2N 169.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 41.3N 169.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 43.2N 169.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 160.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 120843
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST MON AUG 11 2025

...SMALL HURRICANE HENRIETTE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER WHILE MOVING
OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.7N 160.1W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 160.1 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H) AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS, AND HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BY EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
(110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB (29.24 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 120400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 032//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 30.3N 158.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N 158.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 32.3N 160.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 34.2N 163.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 35.9N 165.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 38.0N 168.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 40.1N 170.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 41.9N 170.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
120400Z POSITION NEAR 31.0N 159.2W.
12AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 502 NM
NORTH OF LIHUE, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120000Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
121000Z, 121600Z, 122200Z AND 130400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) FINAL WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC)
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 120248
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 32
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Mon Aug 11 2025

Satellite images show that the structure of Henriette has degraded a
little over the past several hours. The eye feature seen earlier has
disappeared, and the convective pattern has lost some organization.
The initial intensity is nudged downward to 70 kt based on a
blend of the latest satellite intensity estimates. An ASCAT pass
shortly after 20Z confirmed that the wind field of Henriette is
very compact, with its tropical-storm-force winds extending no more
than 60 n mi from the center.

Henriette is likely to maintain its intensity through tonight, but
weakening should commence shortly thereafter. In fact, the weakening
trend on Tuesday and Wednesday is likely to be quite fast as the
small system will be moving over sharply cooler waters and into an
environment of strong shear. Most of the models show Henriette
becoming a post-tropical cyclone in 48 to 60 hours and dissipating
entirely in about 4 days, and that is reflected in the official
forecast.

The hurricane is moving northwestward at about 15 kt. This general
motion is expected to persist during the next couple of days as the
cyclone continues to be steered by the flow between a mid-level
ridge to its northeast and a mid- to upper-level low currently
situated northwest of Henriette. After that time, a turn to the
north-northwest is expected in the low-level flow. The models are
in good agreement, and little change was made to the previous track.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/0300Z 30.8N 159.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 12/1200Z 32.3N 160.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 13/0000Z 34.2N 163.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 13/1200Z 35.9N 165.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 14/0000Z 38.0N 168.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 14/1200Z 40.1N 170.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 15/0000Z 41.9N 170.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 120248
TCMCP3

HURRICANE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 159.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....130NE 100SE 80SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 159.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 158.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.3N 160.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.2N 163.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.9N 165.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 38.0N 168.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 40.1N 170.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 41.9N 170.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 159.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 120247
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST MON AUG 11 2025

...COMPACT HURRICANE HENRIETTE CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD WELL NORTH
OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 159.0W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 159.0 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H) AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY, AND HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
(110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB (29.15 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 112200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 031//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 29.3N 157.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N 157.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 31.4N 159.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 33.3N 162.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 35.2N 164.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 37.3N 167.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 39.4N 169.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 41.4N 170.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 43.8N 169.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
112200Z POSITION NEAR 30.0N 158.1W.
11AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 457 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LIHUE, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111800Z IS 986 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
120400Z, 121000Z, 121600Z AND 122200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) FINAL WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC)
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 112043
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 31
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 11 2025

Henriette now has a compact Central Dense Overcast, with a dimple
noted in visible satellite imagery where a small eye could be
attempting to form, surrounded by a long spiral band. Subjective
and objective satellite intensity estimates are relatively
unchanged from 6 hours ago, so the initial intensity is still
assumed to be around 75 kt.

The initial motion is also unchanged--northwestward, or 310/16 kt.
The track guidance is tightly packed for the next 48-60 hours, with
Henriette expected to continue moving northwestward between a
mid-level low northwest of the Hawaiian Islands and a large ridge
centered off the coast of the Pacific Northwest United States.
There is more significant spread after 60 hours, related to whether
or not Henriette gets picked up by a shortwave trough near the
Aleutian Islands (and turns eastward, as in the GFS) or gets left
behind and continues northward (as in the ECWMF). The new NHC
track forecast is a little east of the previous prediction at the
end of the forecast, leaning toward the new consensus aids.

Some intensification is still possible during the next 12 hours or
so while there remains some favorable divergence aloft, and the NHC
intensity forecast reflects that potential. By 24 hours,
upper-level convergence, increasing northerly to northwesterly
shear, and cooling sea surface temperatures are expected to induce
weakening. Henriette could lose its organized deep convection, and
thus become post-tropical, in about 60 hours, with the remnant low
likely dissipating by day 5 over the far northern Pacific.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/2100Z 29.8N 157.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 12/1800Z 33.3N 162.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 13/0600Z 35.2N 164.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 13/1800Z 37.3N 167.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 14/0600Z 39.4N 169.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 14/1800Z 41.4N 170.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 15/1800Z 43.8N 169.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 112041
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST MON AUG 11 2025

...HENRIETTE FORECAST TO STILL BE A HURRICANE FOR ANOTHER DAY OR
TWO...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 157.8W
ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 157.8 WEST. HENRIETTE
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH (30 KM/H), AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY, WITH HENRIETTE LIKELY
BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AND THEN BECOMING
POST-TROPICAL BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
(110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB (29.12 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 112040
TCMCP3

HURRICANE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC MON AUG 11 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 157.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....130NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 157.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 157.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.3N 162.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.2N 164.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.3N 167.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.4N 169.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 41.4N 170.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 43.8N 169.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 157.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 111600 AMD
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 030A AMENDED//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 030A AMENDED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 28.3N 155.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N 155.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.4N 158.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 32.5N 161.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 34.5N 163.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 36.5N 166.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 38.5N 168.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 40.4N 169.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 43.1N 171.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
111600Z POSITION NEAR 29.0N 156.7W.
11AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 421 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BARBERS POINT, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111200Z IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
112200Z, 120400Z, 121000Z AND 121600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: UPDATED FORECASTED WAVE HEIGHTS.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 111600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 030//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 030
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 28.3N 155.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N 155.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.4N 158.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 32.5N 161.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 34.5N 163.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 36.5N 166.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 38.5N 168.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 40.4N 169.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 43.1N 171.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
111600Z POSITION NEAR 29.0N 156.7W.
11AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 421 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BARBERS POINT, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111200Z IS
990 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112200Z, 120400Z, 121000Z AND 121600Z. REFER TO POST-
TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 111445
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 30
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Mon Aug 11 2025

Henriette has been going through some rapid structural changes
during the past several hours. A 1138 UTC GMI microwave pass
confirmed that an eyewall replacement was in the process of
occurring, with a ring of deep convection surrounding a small
remnant of the previous eyewall. Since that time, convection
appears to have redeveloped in the inner eyewall, and a small eye
is trying to form in conventional satellite imagery. Dvorak CI
numbers at 1200 UTC from PHFO, SAB, and JTWC ranged between 4.0/65
kt and 4.5/77 kt, while most of the objective numbers are between
70-80 kt. The initial intensity is raised to 75 kt as a blend of
all these numbers.

The hurricane is moving quickly toward the northwest, or 310/16 kt.
The forecast track is remarkably straight and steady during the next
48 hours or so, as Henriette is steered between a mid-level low
northwest of the Hawaiian Islands and a large ridge centered off the
coast of the Pacific Northwest United States. After 48 hours, the
cyclone is expected to turn toward the north-northwest and slow down
when it reaches the western periphery of the ridge. Confidence
remains high in the track forecast, and the new NHC prediction is
right on top of the previous one, lying close to the TVCE and HCCA
consensus aids.

Henriette probably has another 12-24 hours to take advantage of an
environment of sufficiently warm sea surface temperatures, low
shear, and upper-level divergence. The NHC forecast therefore
shows a little more strengthening in the short term. Although
ocean temperatures only become gradually cooler after that time,
the atmosphere quickly becomes less conducive with an increase in
shear and convergence aloft. Weakening is therefore indicated, at
a rate similar to the bulk of the guidance, and Henriette could
become post-tropical in about 60 hours when it loses its organized
deep convection. The post-tropical cyclone/remnant low is then
likely to dissipate by day 5 over the far northern Pacific.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/1500Z 28.8N 156.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 12/0000Z 30.4N 158.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 12/1200Z 32.5N 161.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 13/0000Z 34.5N 163.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 13/1200Z 36.5N 166.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 14/0000Z 38.5N 168.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 14/1200Z 40.4N 169.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 15/1200Z 43.1N 171.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 111443
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Henriette Advisory Number 30
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Mon Aug 11 2025

...HENRIETTE A LITTLE STRONGER WHILE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD
WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 156.5W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Henriette was
located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 156.5 West. Henriette
is moving toward the northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A turn
toward the north-northwest at a slower forward speed is expected
Wednesday night and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible today, but
weakening is likely to start tonight and continue over the next few
days. Henriette could become a post-tropical cyclone as early as
Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 111000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 029
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 27.2N 154.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N 154.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 29.2N 157.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 31.4N 159.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 33.5N 162.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 35.5N 165.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 37.4N 167.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 39.6N 169.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 42.6N 171.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
111000Z POSITION NEAR 27.9N 155.3W.
11AUG25. HURRICANE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 389 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAMP H M SMITH, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 110600Z
IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 111600Z, 112200Z, 120400Z AND 121000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 110848
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 29
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 10 2025

The satellite presentation of Henriette had degraded earlier this
evening, perhaps due to what appeared to be an eye wall replacement
cycle, while the cyclone was also passing over a tongue of slightly
cooler sea surface temperatures around 25.5C. Recent satellite
images however depict the eye becoming better defined and surrounded
by cooling cloud tops. The most recent subjective Dvorak current
intensity estimates were 4.0/65 kt from PHFO and SAB, and 4.5/77 kt
from JTWC. Meanwhile, the objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have
ranged between 65 and 76 kt during the past several hours. Taking a
blend of these estimates, the initial intensity has been held at 70
kt for this advisory.

Henriette is moving toward the northwest, or 315 degrees, at 15 kt.
This general motion is expected to continue during the next couple
of days as the cyclone is steered between a mid-level low to the
northwest of Hawaii and a building mid-level ridge far to the north
of the cyclone. A turn toward the north and a decrease in forward
speed is expected beyond 60 hours as the increasingly shallow system
is steered by a low to mid-level ridge to the east. The official
track forecast is near the middle of the guidance envelope and is
very close to the previous advisory.

Henriette will remain over sufficiently warm water for some
intensification during the next day or so, however, vertical wind
shear is forecast to increase considerably by about 36 hours. As a
result, the official forecast calls for some strengthening during
the next 24 hours, followed by slight weakening between 24 and 36
hours, and more rapid weakening thereafter. Henriette is expected
to weaken into a post-tropical low by 72 hours, with dissipation
expected by 120 hours. The intensity forecast is mostly unchanged
and is slightly higher than the intensity guidance in the near term,
then close to the middle of the intensity guidance envelope beyond
36 hours.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/0900Z 27.6N 155.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 11/1800Z 29.2N 157.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 12/1800Z 33.5N 162.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 13/0600Z 35.5N 165.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 13/1800Z 37.4N 167.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 14/0600Z 39.6N 169.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 15/0600Z 42.6N 171.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 110847
TCMCP3

HURRICANE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC MON AUG 11 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 155.0W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 155.0W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 154.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.2N 157.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.5N 162.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.5N 165.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.4N 167.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.6N 169.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 42.6N 171.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 155.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 110847
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 10 2025

...HENRIETTE CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD WELL TO THE NORTH OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 155.0W
ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 155.0 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H). THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, KEEPING HENRIETTE
FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO,
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
(110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB (29.24 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 110233
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 28
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sun Aug 10 2025

Henriette's appearance on satellite imagery is similar to 6 hours
ago. The hurricane has maintained a visible eye on geostationary
imagery since about 1800 UTC (9 hours ago). The east eyewall is a
bit thin, and some dry air may be attempting to entrain into the
circulation east of the center. The latest subjective Dvorak
estimates are a consensus 4.0/65 kt from JTWC, PHFO and SAB.
Objective DPRINT and SATCON values from UW-CIMSS have been running
in the 65-70 kt range for the past several hours. The initial
intensity is held at 70 kt for this advisory.

Henriette is currently over sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) of about
26C, and the SSTs along the cyclone's path should peak close to 27C
in 24-36 h. The hurricane will encounter its coldest upper-level
temperatures in about 18-24 h as it passes east of a large mid- to
upper-level trough. This means that despite environmental dry
air, Henriette will still have access to plenty of instability for
another day or so. The NHC forecast continues to call for
additional strengthening, and is at the high end of the guidance for
the first 36 h. After that time, vertical wind shear is expected to
increase and SSTs will decrease along Henriette's path as it gains
latitude, and the NHC forecast lies near the middle of the guidance
envelope from day 2 onward. The shear and colder water should cause
the cyclone to lose its convection and become post-tropical in 60 to
72 h, with the low dissipating in about 4 days.

The hurricane is moving northwestward at 14 kt in between a large
ridge to its northeast and the aforementioned trough to its
northwest. These features will continue steering Henriette rather
quickly toward the northwest for several days until dissipation.
Only very minor changes were made to the previous official forecast,
which lies near the various consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/0300Z 26.8N 153.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 11/1200Z 28.4N 155.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 12/0000Z 30.5N 158.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 12/1200Z 32.6N 161.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 13/0000Z 34.7N 163.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 13/1200Z 36.6N 166.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 14/0000Z 38.5N 168.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 15/0000Z 42.1N 169.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 110232
TCMCP3

HURRICANE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC MON AUG 11 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 153.8W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 153.8W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 153.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.4N 155.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N 158.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.6N 161.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.7N 163.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.6N 166.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 38.5N 168.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 42.1N 169.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 153.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 110232
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST SUN AUG 10 2025

...HENRIETTE HOLDING STEADY AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.8N 153.8W
ABOUT 495 MI...800 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 153.8 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, TAKING HENRIETTE FAR
NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED
BY WEAKENING BY TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
(110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB (29.24 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 102032
TCDCP3

Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 27
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 10 2025

Henriette has put on quite the show today with a well-defined eye
emerging during the past few hours along with cooling temperatures
in the eyewall. Dvorak intensity estimates were up to 65 kt by
18Z, and with the further development on satellite since that time,
the initial wind speed is set to 70 kt for this advisory.

It remains to be seen how strong Henriette will get with an
improving environment along its path during the next day or so,
including decreasing shear, increasing SSTs and cooling upper-level
temperatures. Given that this rapid intensification period was not
well forecast, and a recent closed 37 GHz ring on AMSR2 data, I'm
inclined to go above the guidance in this situation and show near
rapid intensification for about 24 h until the environment becomes
more hostile. Henriette should lose all deep convection in about 3
days over cold waters and in very high shear.

The storm is moving northwestward at about 15 kt. A large ridge
over the north-central Pacific should cause a continued fast
northwestward track of Henriette for several days until its slows
down a bit near dissipation. The only minor change to the previous
forecast is a faster forward speed, probably a function of the
hurricane feeling stronger upper-level southeasterly flow during
the next couple of days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/2100Z 25.7N 152.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 11/0600Z 27.3N 154.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 11/1800Z 29.4N 156.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 12/0600Z 31.5N 159.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 12/1800Z 33.6N 162.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 13/0600Z 35.5N 164.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 13/1800Z 37.3N 167.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 14/1800Z 41.0N 170.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 102031
TCMCP3

HURRICANE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 152.5W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 152.5W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 151.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.3N 154.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.4N 156.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.5N 159.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.6N 162.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.5N 164.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.3N 167.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 41.0N 170.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 152.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 102031
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST SUN AUG 10 2025

...HENRIETTE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A HURRICANE...
...FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 152.5W
ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE EYE OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 152.5 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H). THIS
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
TAKING HENRIETTE FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER
STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY
WEAKENING BY TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
(110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB (29.24 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 101437
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 26
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sun Aug 10 2025

Henriette has intensified significantly overnight. Satellite
images show the formation of inner-core features, with recent
microwave data from SSMIS showing what appears to be the early
stages of a broken eyewall. Intensity estimates have risen,
ranging from 35 to 55 kt. The initial wind speed is set to 50 kt,
on the higher side of the range given recent satellite trends.

Despite the marginal water temperatures, further strengthening is
expected. Wind shear is forecast to drop to less than 10 kt by
tonight, along with a small increase in SSTs and cooling
upper-level temperatures. Given the inner-core structure present
on microwave and the forecast environment, Henriette is likely to
become a hurricane by tomorrow. This forecast is higher than the
last advisory and the model consensus, though not as high as the
HAFS models. Increasing shear and cooling waters in a few days
should cause weakening, and Henriette should dissipate in roughly
4-5 days.

The storm is moving northwestward at about 14 kt. The track
forecast of Henriette seems to be straightforward. A large ridge
over the north-central Pacific should cause a continued fast
northwestward track for several days until its slows down a bit
near dissipation. Model guidance is generally west of the last
cycle, and the new forecast follows that trend, between the old NHC
forecast and the model consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/1500Z 24.7N 151.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 11/0000Z 26.1N 153.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 11/1200Z 28.2N 155.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 12/0000Z 30.3N 158.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 12/1200Z 32.4N 160.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 13/0000Z 34.3N 163.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 13/1200Z 36.0N 165.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 14/1200Z 39.0N 169.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 101435
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST SUN AUG 10 2025

...HENRIETTE INTENSIFYING QUICKLY WELL NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 151.5W
ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 151.5 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). THIS
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
TAKING HENRIETTE FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND HENRIETTE
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.

HENRIETTE IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM) FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 101434
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 151.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS....100NE 90SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 151.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 150.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.1N 153.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.2N 155.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.3N 158.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.4N 160.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.3N 163.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 165.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 39.0N 169.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 151.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 100834
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 25
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 09 2025

Satellite imagery shows that Henriette retains a well-organized
low-level structure, with a curved band wrapping around the west
side of the circulation. However, convection within the band has
struggled to persist due to surrounding dry mid- to upper-level air.
Subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates from SAB, JTWC, and
HFO, along with objective estimates from UW-CIMSS, support holding
the initial intensity at 35 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion is toward the northwest at 13 kt, steered by a
subtropical ridge to the northeast and an amplifying mid-latitude
trough to the northwest. Henriette’s forward speed is expected to
increase through 36 hours, level off near 60 hours, and then slow
through 96 hours as the steering flow weakens. This motion will keep
Henriette well northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Guidance indicates
the sharp upper trough will cut off into an upper low on Monday and
retrograde westward, a pattern that should maintain Henriette’s
northwestward motion. The track forecast is very similar to the
previous one but is slightly left of the earlier forecast from days
3 to 4, and lies near the middle of the tightly clustered consensus
aids.

Sea-surface temperatures along Henriette’s forecast track should
gradually warm from near 25 degrees C to around 26–27 degrees C
through about 60 h. Despite surrounding dry mid- to upper-level air,
a combination of warmer waters and increasing upper-level divergence
associated with an upper trough to the northwest should enhance
outflow and support gradual strengthening. The NHC forecast
continues to show a peak near 55 kt in the 36–48 h period, nearly
identical to the previous forecast and within the middle to upper
end of the guidance envelope. Thereafter, cooler waters, increasing
shear, and diminishing upper-level outflow should result in steady
weakening, with Henriette expected to become a post-tropical remnant
low by 96 h and dissipate by 120 h as it is absorbed into the
mid-latitude flow.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/0900Z 23.8N 150.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 10/1800Z 25.1N 151.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 11/0600Z 27.2N 154.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 11/1800Z 29.3N 156.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 12/1800Z 33.7N 161.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 13/0600Z 35.4N 164.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 14/0600Z 38.7N 168.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 100832
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SAT AUG 09 2025

...HENRIETTE PASSING FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 150.3W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 150.3 WEST.
HENRIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H). THIS
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
WITH HENRIETTE PASSING FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 100832
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 150.3W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 150.3W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 149.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.1N 151.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.2N 154.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.3N 156.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 161.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.4N 164.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 10SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 38.7N 168.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 150.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 100232
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 24
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sat Aug 09 2025

Satellite imagery shows that Henriette's curved band of convection
on the west side of the circulation has fragmented with warming tops
in recent hours, though some redevelopment has begun near and
northwest of the center more recently. An AMSR2 pass at 2130 UTC
confirmed a well-organized low-level structure, and a 2012 UTC
ASCAT-C pass showed peak winds of about 35 kt, consistent with
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS. The initial intensity is held at
35 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion is northwest at 12 kt, steered by a subtropical
ridge to the northeast and an amplifying mid-latitude trough to the
northwest. This motion should persist through early next week,
keeping Henriette well northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Guidance
indicates the sharp upper trough will cut off into an upper low on
Monday and retrograde westward, a pattern that should maintain
Henriette’s northwestward motion. The updated forecast is very
similar to the previous one and lies near the middle of the tightly
clustered consensus aids.

Sea-surface temperatures along the forecast track should gradually
warm from near 25 C to around 26–27 C through 60 h. Despite the
presence of dry mid- to upper-level air, a combination of warmer
waters and increasing upper-level divergence associated with an
upper trough to the northwest should enhance outflow and support
gradual strengthening. The NHC forecast continues to show a peak
near 55 kt in the 48–60 h period, nearly identical to the previous
forecast and near the middle of the guidance envelope. Thereafter,
cooler waters, increasing shear, and diminishing upper-level outflow
should result in steady weakening, with Henriette expected to become
a post-tropical remnant low by 96 h and dissipate by 120 h as it is
absorbed into the mid-latitude flow.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/0300Z 23.0N 149.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 10/1200Z 24.2N 150.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 11/0000Z 26.2N 152.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 11/1200Z 28.3N 155.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 12/0000Z 30.5N 158.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 12/1200Z 32.7N 160.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 13/0000Z 34.9N 163.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 14/0000Z 38.8N 166.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 100231
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST SAT AUG 09 2025

...HENRIETTE HOLDING STEADY AS A TROPICAL STORM...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 149.1W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 149.1 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H). THIS
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH
HENRIETTE PASSING WELL NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 100230
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 149.1W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 20SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 149.1W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 148.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.2N 150.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.2N 152.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.3N 155.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N 158.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.7N 160.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.9N 163.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 10SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 38.8N 166.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 149.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 092039
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 23
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 09 2025

Deep convection has evolved a bit since the previous advisory with
a curved band wrapping around the west side of Henriette. The
latest subjective Dvorak classifications range from 25-30 kt, and
the objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS have been ranging
between 35-37 kt. Based mainly on the objective estimates, it is
estimated that Henriette has regained tropical storm strength with
maximum winds estimated at 35 kt.

Henriette is moving a little faster now in a direction between
west-northwest and northwest, at 14 kt. Henriette will round the
southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge tonight as a
deep-layer mid-latitude trough approaches from the west. In a
couple of days, the trough will become stationary or even retrograde
westward. This steering pattern favors a continued northwestward
motion through the forecast period. The new NHC track forecast is a
little faster than the previous one, but along a similar track line,
and is in agreement with the consensus aids.

Henriette will move over gradually warming sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs) and through gradually cooling upper-level temperatures now
through the next 60 h or so. SSTs currently near 25C are forecast
to warm to the 26.5 to 27C range along the cyclone's path. The
cyclone is also currently embedded in very dry mid-tropospheric
air, and these dry conditions are expected to persist for the next
couple of days. Given the competing factors mentioned above, slow
strengthening seems likely over the next couple of days. The
latest NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one and is
near the middle of the guidance envelope. Beyond day 3, wind shear
should increase, and Henriette will also reach cooler water again
as it gains latitude. These factors should cause the system to
lose its convection and become post-tropical by day 4, with
dissipation in about 5 days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/2100Z 22.3N 148.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 25.1N 151.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 27.2N 154.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 29.3N 156.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 33.5N 162.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 13/1800Z 37.7N 166.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 092038
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SAT AUG 09 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 148.1W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....105NE 45SE 45SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 148.1W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 147.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.1N 151.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.2N 154.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.3N 156.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.4N 159.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.5N 162.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 37.7N 166.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 148.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 092038
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 09 2025

...HENRIETTE REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 148.1W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 148.1 WEST.
HENRIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26
KM/H). A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT, KEEPING
HENRIETTE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 091444
TCDCP3

Tropical Depression Henriette Discussion Number 22
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sat Aug 09 2025

Convection has persisted and perhaps increased slightly in areal
coverage and organization over the last 6 hours. A recent AMSR2
microwave pass paints a similar picture to the GOES-18 imagery, with
the convection confined to the northwest quadrant and the center
located near the edge of the convection. The latest subjective
Dvorak classifications are 1.5/25 kt from JTWC and PHFO, and 1.0
from SAB. The UW-CIMSS objective intensity estimates are higher
than the subjective estimates, mostly in the 30-35 kt range. An
earlier ASCAT-B pass from 0655 UTC indicates that peak winds were at
least 30 kt. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this
advisory, but Henriette is close to regaining tropical storm
strength.

The initial motion is toward the west-northwest, or 300 degrees at
12 kt. The global models show that Henriette will round the
southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge tonight, which will
cause the cyclone to turn toward the northwest, in between the ridge
and an approaching large deep-layer trough to the west. In a couple
days, the trough will become stationary or even retrograde westward.
This steering pattern favors a continued northwestward motion
through the forecast period. The NHC track forecast is very similar
to the previous one and lies near the middle of the tightly
clustered consensus aids.

Henriette will move over gradually warming sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs) and through gradually cooling upper-level temperatures now
through the next 72 h. SSTs currently near 24.5 to 25C are forecast
to warm to the 26.5 to 27C range along the cyclone's path. There is
some uncertainty as to how the expected moderate wind shear may
affect the cyclone, especially given how dry the mid-troposphere
will continue to be along Henriette's path. The shear direction
could be close to the direction of the cyclone's motion, so the
shear shouldn't be as much of a negative factor as the dry air.
Given all the competing factors mentioned above, slow strengthening
seems likely over the next few days. The latest NHC intensity
forecast is similar to the previous one and is near the middle of
the guidance envelope. Beyond day 3, wind shear should increase,
and Henriette will likely reach cooler water again by day 4. These
factors should cause the system to lose its convection and become
post-tropical in 4 to 5 days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/1500Z 21.4N 146.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 10/0000Z 22.3N 148.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 10/1200Z 23.9N 150.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 11/0000Z 25.8N 152.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 11/1200Z 27.9N 155.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 12/0000Z 29.9N 157.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 12/1200Z 32.0N 160.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 13/1200Z 36.1N 165.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 14/1200Z 40.3N 168.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 091443
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST SAT AUG 09 2025

...HENRIETTE FORECAST TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATER
TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 146.8W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 146.8
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
(22 KM/H). A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT, KEEPING
HENRIETTE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB (29.80 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 091442
TCMCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC SAT AUG 09 2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 146.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS....105NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 146.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 146.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.3N 148.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.9N 150.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.8N 152.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.9N 155.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.9N 157.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.0N 160.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 36.1N 165.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 40.3N 168.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 146.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 090835
TCDCP3

Tropical Depression Henriette Discussion Number 21
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Fri Aug 08 2025

Deep convection that developed north of Henriette’s well-defined
low-level circulation earlier today has persisted during the past
several hours. Given this sustained convective activity and the
presence of a closed surface circulation, Henriette is being
reclassified as a tropical depression. A Metop-B ASCAT pass at 0655
UTC indicated peak winds up to 30 kt in the northern semicircle,
supporting the initial intensity estimate of 30 kt.

The initial motion is toward the west-northwest at about 13 kt,
steered by a low- to mid-level ridge to its north. This general
motion is expected to continue through the next 24 hours. From 24 to
72 hours, the cyclone should gradually turn toward the northwest as
it approaches a weakness in the ridge caused by an amplifying
upper-level trough well northwest of Hawaii. Between 72 and 96
hours, Henriette is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest as
the trough becomes the primary steering feature. The updated track
forecast remains very similar to the previous advisory and is near
the middle of the tightly clustered consensus aids.

The system is currently located over sea surface temperatures near
24 degrees C and within a stable, dry mid- to upper-level
environment, which should limit convective coverage in the near
term. However, global model guidance indicates that the cyclone will
traverse an area of slightly warmer water between 24 and 72 hours.
At the same time, upper-level divergence is forecast to increase in
association with the approaching trough, which should enhance
instability and support gradual strengthening beginning late
Saturday and continuing into early next week. After that time,
upper-level divergence is forecast to diminish, vertical shear will
increase, and water temperatures will cool sharply. This loss of
outflow support and more hostile environment should result in steady
weakening, with Henriette expected to become a post-tropical remnant
low by 120 h and dissipate soon thereafter as it is absorbed by a
larger mid-latitude system. The new intensity forecast is nearly
unchanged from the previous NHC forecast and lies near the middle-
to upper-end of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/0900Z 20.7N 145.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 09/1800Z 21.6N 147.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 10/0600Z 23.0N 149.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 10/1800Z 24.8N 151.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 11/0600Z 26.8N 154.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 11/1800Z 28.7N 156.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 12/0600Z 30.8N 159.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 13/0600Z 35.2N 163.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 14/0600Z 39.0N 167.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 090832
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST FRI AUG 08 2025

...HENRIETTE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN BY SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 145.7W
ABOUT 615 MI...985 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 145.7
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
(24 KM/H). THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY,
FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS WEEKEND,
KEEPING THE CENTER OF HENRIETTE WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, WITH
STRENGTHENING FORECAST TO BEGIN OVER THE WEEKEND. HENRIETTE IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN BY SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB (29.80 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 090832
TCMCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC SAT AUG 09 2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 145.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 40SE 20SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 145.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 145.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.6N 147.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 149.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.8N 151.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.8N 154.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 10SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.7N 156.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.8N 159.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 35.2N 163.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 39.0N 167.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 145.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 090239
TCDCP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Henriette Discussion Number 20
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Fri Aug 08 2025

Henriette remains a post-tropical remnant low, consisting of a
well-defined low-level swirl with a recent burst of deep convection
that has persisted north of the center for the past few hours. This
convective pulse has not persisted long enough, nor organized
sufficiently, to justify reclassifying the system as a tropical
cyclone at this time. Given the marginal environment and a recent
ASCAT pass, the initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this
advisory.

The remnant low is moving west-northwestward at 290/14 kt, steered
by a low- to mid-level ridge to its north. This general motion is
expected to continue through tonight. From 24 to 72 hours, Henriette
should gradually turn toward the northwest as it approaches a
weakness in the ridge caused by an amplifying upper-level trough
well northwest of Hawaii. Between 72 and 96 hours, the system is
forecast to turn toward the north-northwest as the trough becomes
the primary steering feature. The updated track forecast is very
similar to the previous advisory and lies close to the consensus
aids, which remain tightly clustered through the forecast period.

The system is currently located over sea-surface temperatures near
24 degrees C and within a stable, dry mid- to upper-level
environment, which should limit convective coverage in the short
term. However, global model guidance continues to indicate that the
system will traverse a tongue of slightly warmer waters over the
weekend. At the same time, increasing upper-level divergence
associated with the approaching trough should enhance instability
and favor the redevelopment of persistent deep convection. This is
expected to allow the system to regenerate into a tropical cyclone
over the weekend, with gradual strengthening into early next week.
Model phase-space diagrams indicate it will likely maintain a
shallow warm-core structure during its peak. Thereafter, increasing
shear and diminishing outflow should support a transition to steady
weakening as it becomes absorbed into the mid-latitudes. The new
intensity forecast is very similar to the previous NHC forecast and
lies near the middle- to upper-end of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/0300Z 20.2N 144.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 09/1200Z 21.1N 146.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 10/0000Z 22.3N 148.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 10/1200Z 23.9N 151.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 11/0000Z 25.8N 153.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 11/1200Z 27.8N 155.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 12/0000Z 29.9N 158.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 13/0000Z 34.5N 162.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 14/0000Z 39.7N 166.1W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 090238
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST FRI AUG 08 2025

...HENRIETTE FORECAST TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS
WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 144.6W
ABOUT 680 MI...1100 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 144.6
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
WEEKEND, KEEPING THE CENTER OF HENRIETTE WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH STRENGTHENING
FORECAST TO BEGIN OVER THE WEEKEND. HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO REGAIN
TROPICAL STORM STATUS BY SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB (29.80 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 082200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 019
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 08E
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 19.8N 142.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 142.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 20.7N 145.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 21.9N 147.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.3N 149.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 25.0N 152.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.9N 154.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 29.1N 156.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 33.5N 161.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 39.0N 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
082200Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 143.2W.
08AUG25. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 723 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 081800Z IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
090400Z, 091000Z, 091600Z AND 092200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 082033
TCDCP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Henriette Discussion Number 19
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Fri Aug 08 2025

Approximately 18 hours have passed since Henriette last produced any
significant areas of deep convection, and the cyclone has now been
downgraded to a post-tropical remnant low. The current motion is
now west-northwestward, or 285/15 kt. There are no changes to the
track forecast philosophy. Henriette will move west-northwestward
along the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge to its
northeast. A turn toward the northwest is forecast late this
weekend into early next week as Henriette becomes steered between an
amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii and the subtropical
ridge to its northeast. No significant changes were made to the NHC
track forecast, which is near the middle of the guidance envelope.
Confidence remains high that Henriette will remain far to the north
of Hawaii.

The cyclone is currently over 24C sea-surface temperatures (SSTs)
and located within a very dry environment. Over the next couple of
days, Henriette will enter an area of gradually increasing SSTs. At
the same time, an approaching longwave trough will bring colder
temperatures aloft near Henriette, which will increase the
instability. The majority of the model guidance indicates this will
be enough to reignite convection and cause Henriette to restrengthen
to a tropical storm. The peak intensity forecast in about 72 hours
has been lowered slightly from the previous NHC forecast, and now
lies between the middle and upper end of the guidance. Beyond day
4, wind shear from the longwave trough and cooling SSTs should lead
to steady weakening as Henriette moves farther into the
mid-latitudes.

Given the high likelihood of regeneration back into a tropical
cyclone and subsequent restrengthening, NHC will be maintaining
advisories during the post-tropical phase.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/2100Z 19.9N 143.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 09/1800Z 21.9N 147.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
48H 10/1800Z 25.0N 152.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 11/0600Z 26.9N 154.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 11/1800Z 29.1N 156.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 12/1800Z 33.5N 161.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 13/1800Z 39.0N 165.9W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 082032
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST FRI AUG 08 2025

...HENRIETTE DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW...
...EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 143.0W
ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 143.0
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H). THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
WEEKEND, KEEPING THE CENTER OF HENRIETTE WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEKEND,
AND HENRIETTE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN BY
SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB (29.80 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 082031
TCMCP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC FRI AUG 08 2025

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 143.0W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 45SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 143.0W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 142.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.9N 147.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.8W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N 152.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 154.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.1N 156.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 33.5N 161.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 39.0N 165.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 143.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 081534 CCA
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 18...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST FRI AUG 08 2025

CORRECTED SPELLING IN HEADLINE

...HENRIETTE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...
...FORECAST TO RESTRENGTHEN IN A FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 141.5W
ABOUT 885 MI...1420 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 141.5 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND, KEEPING THE CENTER OF HENRIETTE WELL
TO THE NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. HENRIETTE COULD DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
RESTRENGTHENING AS A TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND,
AND HENRIETTE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA43 PHFO 081438
TCDCP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 18
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Fri Aug 08 2025

Henriette has failed to produce deep convection for about 12 hours
now. The latest subjective Dvorak estimates are 25 kt from JTWC and
too weak to classify from SAB and PHFO. Recent objective intensity
estimates range from 25 to 40 kt. An earlier ASCAT pass from 0535
UTC showed a large area of 30-33 kt vectors on the north side of
Henriette. Henriette will be maintained as a 35-kt tropical storm
for this advisory, but it could degenerate to a post-tropical
remnant low at any time today.

The cyclone is moving just north of due west at 280/15 kt. A turn to
the west-northwest is expected soon as the cyclone tracks along the
southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge to its northeast. A
turn toward the northwest is forecast late this weekend into early
next week as Henriette becomes steered between an amplifying
longwave trough northwest of Hawaii and the subtropical ridge to its
northeast. The NHC track forecast is nearly identical to the
previous one and is in good agreement with the tightly clustered
consensus aids. Confidence remains high that Henriette will remain
far to the north of Hawaii.

Henriette is over 24C sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) and is
embedded within a dry airmass. These cold SSTs are expected to
persist along the cyclone's track for another 12 to 24 h. If
Henriette doesn't generate organized convection soon, it could
degenerate to a remnant low today, and this is explicitly shown in
the NHC forecast Beyond 24 h, Henriette (or its remnants) will
encounter progressively warmer water temperatures over the weekend,
peaking around 26-27C in about 3 days. Upper-level temperatures are
also expected to decrease in a couple of days as the aforementioned
trough approaches Henriette, which would increase instability. These
factors, along with relatively low shear, will likely allow
Henriette to restrengthen later this weekend into early next week,
as depicted by most of the models. The NHC intensity forecast is at
the low end of the guidance envelope through 36 h, and at the high
end of the guidance at 72-96 h. Beyond day 4, wind shear from the
longwave trough and cooling SSTs should lead to steady weakening as
Henriette moves farther into the mid-latitudes.

Even if Henriette becomes post-tropical today, given the high
likelihood of regeneration back into a tropical cyclone and
subsequent restrengthening, NHC plans on maintaining advisories
during the post-tropical phase.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/1500Z 19.7N 141.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 09/0000Z 20.3N 143.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 09/1200Z 21.3N 146.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 10/0000Z 22.6N 148.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
48H 10/1200Z 24.1N 150.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 11/0000Z 25.9N 153.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 11/1200Z 27.9N 155.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 12/1200Z 32.3N 160.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 13/1200Z 37.1N 165.1W 50 KT 60 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA33 PHFO 081437
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST FRI AUG 08 2025

...HENRIETTE BARLEY A TROPICAL STORM...
...FORECAST TO RESTRENGTHEN IN A FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 141.5W
ABOUT 885 MI...1420 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 141.5 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND, KEEPING THE CENTER OF HENRIETTE WELL
TO THE NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. HENRIETTE COULD DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
RESTRENGTHENING AS A TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND,
AND HENRIETTE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA23 PHFO 081436
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC FRI AUG 08 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 141.5W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 141.5W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 140.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.3N 143.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.3N 146.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.6N 148.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.1N 150.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.9N 153.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.9N 155.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 32.3N 160.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 37.1N 165.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 141.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 080845
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

Henriettes satellite presentation remains unimpressive this
evening, having lost nearly all deep convection and with the
low-level center fully exposed. The latest subjective Dvorak
current intensity estimate from TAFB was T2.5/35 kt, while
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have ranged from 26 to 34 kt over
the past several hours. A timely 08/0534z Metop-B Ascat pass
depicted quite a few 30 to 33 kt wind barbs and this was the basis
for holding the initial intensity steady at 35 kt for this advisory.

Henriette is moving westward, or 280 degrees at 15 kt. A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected soon, with this general motion
expected to persist over the next couple of days as the cyclone
tracks along the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge to
its northeast. A turn toward the northwest is forecast this weekend
and into early next week as Henriette becomes steered between an
amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii and the subtropical
ridge to its northeast. The official track forecast remains in close
agreement with the latest multi-model consensus aids and is very
close to the previous advisory. Confidence remains high that
Henriette will remain far to the north of Hawaii.

Henriette will traverse sea surface temperatures near 24C with
mid-level relative humidity below 50 percent during the next 24
hours or so. Despite these unfavorable thermodynamic conditions, the
cyclones well-defined circulation is expected to remain fairly
resilient within the prevailing low-shear environment, allowing for
occasional pulses of deep convection to continue. As a result,
little change in intensity is anticipated during the next day or so.
If Henriette can withstand the next 24 hours over cooler waters, as
continues to be indicated by the GFS and ECMWF models again with the
00Z cycle, re-intensification will likely occur over the weekend and
into early next week as sea surface temperatures steadily rise to
levels conducive for strengthening. The official forecast continues
to reflect intensification, bringing Henriette to hurricane strength
by 72 hours. The cyclone will begin to experience increasing
vertical wind shear as it moves toward the higher latitudes, which
should result in rather rapid weakening beginning between 96 and 120
hours. The intensity forecast is on the higher end of the guidance
envelope, and is most closely aligned with the CTCI and HMNI
intensity aids, but below the peak depicted by the HAFS models.

Future information on Henriette can be found under Central Pacific
basin headers beginning at 500 AM HST. Future Tropical Cyclone
Discussions will be issued under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP3 and WMO
header WTPA43 PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the
web at hurricanes.gov.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0900Z 19.2N 140.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 08/1800Z 19.7N 142.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 09/1800Z 21.9N 147.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 10/1800Z 24.9N 152.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 11/0600Z 26.9N 154.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 12/0600Z 31.1N 159.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 13/0600Z 35.8N 163.8W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 080841
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

...HENRIETTE ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 140.1W
ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 140.1 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h). A
gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight and
Friday, followed by a turn toward the northwest over the weekend,
keeping the center of Henriette well to the north of the Hawaiian
Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected tonight and Friday, followed
by gradual strengthening Friday night and over the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Future information on Henriette can be found under Central Pacific
basin headers beginning at 500 AM HST, under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP3
and WMO header WTPA33 PHFO. Products will continue to be available
on the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 080841
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0900 UTC FRI AUG 08 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 140.1W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 140.1W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 139.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N 142.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.9N 147.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.9N 152.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 154.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 31.1N 159.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 35.8N 163.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED UNDER EAST PACIFIC BASIN
HEADERS ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON HENRIETTE CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN
HEADERS...AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP3...WMO HEADER WTPA23
PHFO...BEGINNING AT 1500 UTC.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 080400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 19.0N 137.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N 137.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 19.6N 140.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.4N 143.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 21.6N 146.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.9N 149.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.4N 151.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 26.2N 153.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 30.2N 157.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 34.8N 161.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080400Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 138.7W.
08AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
991 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 080000Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080251Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
081000Z, 081600Z, 082200Z AND 090400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 080253
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 PM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

Henriette’s satellite presentation has changed little since the
previous advisory, with the low-level center remaining mostly
exposed and only a few small, intermittent bursts of deep convection
developing near the low-level center. The latest subjective Dvorak
intensity estimate from TAFB was 2.5/35 kt, while objective
estimates from UW-CIMSS have ranged from 28 to 41 kt over the past
several hours. Taking a blend of these data, the initial intensity
has been reduced to 35 kt for this advisory.

Henriette is moving westward, or 280 degrees at 14 kt. A turn
toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, with this general
motion expected to persist over the next couple of days as the
cyclone tracks along the southwestern periphery of a subtropical
ridge to its north. A turn toward the northwest is forecast this
weekend and into early next week as Henriette becomes
steered between an amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii
and the subtropical ridge to its northeast. The official track
forecast remains in close agreement with the latest multi-model
consensus aids and is essentially unchanged from the previous
advisory. Confidence remains high that Henriette will remain far
to the north of Hawaii.

Henriette will traverse sea surface temperatures near 24C with
mid-level relative humidity below 50 percent during the next 24 to
36 hours. Despite these unfavorable thermodynamic conditions, the
cyclone’s well-defined circulation is expected to remain fairly
resilient within the prevailing low-shear environment, allowing for
occasional pulses of deep convection to persist. As a result,
little change in intensity is anticipated in the short term. If
Henriette can withstand the period over cooler waters, as has been
consistently indicated by the GFS and ECMWF models for several days
now, re-intensification will likely occur over the weekend and into
early next week as sea surface temperatures rise to levels conducive
for strengthening. The official forecast continues to reflect
intensification, bringing Henriette to hurricane strength by 96
hours. The intensity forecast is on the higher end of the guidance
envelope, and is most closely aligned with the dynamical intensity
consensus HCCA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0300Z 19.1N 138.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 08/1200Z 19.6N 140.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 09/0000Z 20.4N 143.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 09/1200Z 21.6N 146.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 10/0000Z 22.9N 149.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 10/1200Z 24.4N 151.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 11/0000Z 26.2N 153.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 12/0000Z 30.2N 157.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 13/0000Z 34.8N 161.8W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 080251
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 PM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

...HENRIETTE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY FAR TO THE EAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 138.4W
ABOUT 1090 MI...1750 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette was
located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 138.4 West. Henriette is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A gradual turn toward
the west-northwest is expected tonight and Friday, followed by a
turn toward the northwest over the weekend, keeping the center of
Henriette well to the north of the Hawaiian Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 080251
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0300 UTC FRI AUG 08 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 138.4W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 138.4W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 137.6W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.6N 140.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.4N 143.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.6N 146.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.9N 149.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.4N 151.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.2N 153.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.2N 157.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 34.8N 161.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 138.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 072200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 136.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 136.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.3N 139.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 19.9N 142.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 20.9N 145.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.1N 147.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.5N 150.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 25.2N 152.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 28.9N 156.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 32.6N 160.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072200Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 137.1W.
07AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1083 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 072055Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080400Z, 081000Z, 081600Z AND 082200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 072120
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

Henriette has been producing a smaller area of deep convection than
earlier, as it seems to be struggling a bit with dry air and
sea-surface temperatures near 24 C. The latest subjective Dvorak
current intensity estimates are 2.5/35 kt from TAFB and 1.5/25 kt
from SAB. The latest objective estimates from UW-CIMMS range from
about 30 to 40 kt. A recent 1914 UTC ASCAT-C pass suggests that
Henriette has likely weakened a bit from earlier. Based on the
above data, the initial intensity is lowered to 40 kt for this
advisory.

The motion of 280/14 kt is unchanged from the previous advisory.
This motion will continue through today as Henriette is steered by
mid-level ridging well to its north. The cyclone will then round
the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge as a large
deep-layer trough approaches from the west. These features will
cause Henriette to gradually turn toward the northwest in a couple
of days. Very little change has been made to the NHC track
forecast, which lies near the tightly clustered consensus aids.
Confidence in the track forecast is high through the weekend, and
Henriette will not directly impact the Hawaiian Islands.

Henriette is expected to continue moving over cool ocean waters near
24C for another 36 h before it begins to gradually move over
increasing water temperatures. The tropical storm will also
continue moving through a very dry environment. Most of the
guidance shows the storm maintaining a 35-40 kt intensity during
this time. Henriette is also expected to encounter colder than
normal mid- and upper-level temperatures in a couple of days. If
Henriette survives the next 48 h or so, then strengthening would
appear likely later in the forecast period due to increasing
sea-surface temperatures, very low vertical wind shear, and
decreasing mid- to upper-level temperatures as the aforementioned
deep-layer trough approaches. The official forecast shows some
slight weakening in the short term, followed by strengthening to a
hurricane by day 4 well to the north of Hawaii. The latest NHC
forecast is near the intensity consensus and close to the higher end
of the guidance at day 4 and 5. It should be noted that the HAFS
models are showing a slightly higher intensity than the NHC
forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/2100Z 18.9N 136.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 08/0600Z 19.3N 139.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 08/1800Z 19.9N 142.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 09/0600Z 20.9N 145.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 09/1800Z 22.1N 147.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 10/0600Z 23.5N 150.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 10/1800Z 25.2N 152.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 11/1800Z 28.9N 156.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 12/1800Z 32.6N 160.6W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 072054
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

...HENRIETTE EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF HAWAII ON
SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 136.8W
ABOUT 1195 MI...1920 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 136.8 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue through today, followed by a
gradual turn toward the northwest Friday and over the weekend,
keeping the center well to the north of the Hawaiian Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the
next couple of days followed by gradual intensification.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 072055
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
2100 UTC THU AUG 07 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 136.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 45SE 60SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 136.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 136.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.3N 139.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.9N 142.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.9N 145.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.1N 147.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.2N 152.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 28.9N 156.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.6N 160.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 136.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 071600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 18.5N 134.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 134.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.0N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 19.5N 140.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.2N 143.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 21.4N 146.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.7N 148.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.3N 151.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 28.0N 155.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 31.5N 160.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071600Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 135.8W.
07AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1153 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071200Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
072200Z, 080400Z, 081000Z AND 081600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 071454
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

Henriette continues to hang in there despite straddling 25 C
sea-surface temperatures. Since the prior advisory, a little more
convection has redeveloped close to the estimated center, though
overall the appearance of the tropical storm is still rather ragged
looking. The current intensity estimate from TAFB has not changed
for 12 UTC at 45 kt. In deference to this value and earlier
scatterometer data, the initial intensity is being maintained at 45
kt this advisory.

The tropical storm continues to move westward, or 280 degrees at 14
kt. This general motion will continue through today, followed by a
turn west-northwestward and then more northwestward due to the
influence of a subtropical ridge to its north that will become
gradually eroded by a large mid-oceanic trough amplifying over the
North-Central Pacific in 2-3 days. The track guidance is essentially
a carbon copy of the previous cycle, and only slight changes were
made to the official track forecast. This forecast lies near the
various multi-model consensus aids.

Henriette is already moving over cool ocean waters, which are
expected to cool to 24C over the next 12-24 hours. While it would
not be surprising to see a little more weakening over the short
term, the storm has proven to be resilient thus far. Another
environmental factor to consider is the upper-level temperatures,
which are colder than normal due to a negatively tilted upper-level
trough to the storm's west. This trough might help to sustain some
convection over what would ordinarily be waters too cool to allow
such activity to persist. Once Henriette begins to move over warmer
ocean waters again in the Central Pacific west of 150W, the other
environmental factors are expected to remain favorable, and
intensification is shown in the latter half of the forecast period.
In fact, Henriette could become a hurricane in 96-120 h well to the
north of Hawaii. The latest NHC intensity forecast is a little
higher than the prior advisory, though there remain some guidance
aids that are even higher than the NHC forecast at the end of the
period (HAFS-B).

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/1500Z 18.6N 135.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 08/0000Z 19.0N 137.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 08/1200Z 19.5N 140.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 09/0000Z 20.2N 143.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 09/1200Z 21.4N 146.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 10/0000Z 22.7N 148.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 10/1200Z 24.3N 151.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 11/1200Z 28.0N 155.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 12/1200Z 31.5N 160.0W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 071451
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Thu Aug 07 2025

...HENRIETTE MAKING ITS WAY WESTWARD WELL TO THE EAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 135.5W
ABOUT 1280 MI...2060 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette was
located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 135.5 West. Henriette is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). This general motion is
expected to continue through today, followed by a gradual turn
toward the northwest Friday and over the weekend, keeping the center
well to the north of the Hawaiian Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of
days followed by gradual intensification.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 071449
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
1500 UTC THU AUG 07 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 135.5W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 45SE 45SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 135.5W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 134.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N 137.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.5N 140.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.2N 143.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.4N 146.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.3N 151.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.0N 155.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.5N 160.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 135.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 071000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 18.3N 133.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 133.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 18.6N 136.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.1N 139.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 19.8N 142.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 20.7N 145.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 21.9N 147.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.3N 150.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.9N 154.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 30.2N 158.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071000Z POSITION NEAR 18.4N 134.1W.
07AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1250 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070600Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
071600Z, 072200Z, 080400Z AND 081000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 070846
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

Satellite images indicate that a small burst of deep convection has
developed just to the northwest of Henriettes low-level center this
evening, after several hours with not much more than a shallow cloud
swirl. The most recent subjective Dvorak current intensity estimate
from TAFB was 3.0/45 kt, while the objective estimates from UW-CIMSS
ranged between 32 to 42 kt over the past several hours. A timely
07/0645Z Metop-C ASCAT pass depicted several 40 kt wind barbs, with
a single 4045 kt wind barb noted north of the low-level center.
The initial intensity for this advisory will be held at 45 kt,
utilizing the ASCAT data while accounting for some undersampling and
a known low bias at higher speeds.

The cyclone is moving westward, or 275 degrees, at 14 kt. This
general motion is expected to persist through Thursday, as Henriette
continues to be steered by a strengthening subtropical ridge to its
north. A gradual turn toward the west-northwest and eventually
northwest is anticipated Friday and over the weekend, as an
amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii begins to erode the
western extent of the subtropical ridge. The northwestward motion is
expected to continue into early next week. The official track
forecast remains closely aligned with the latest multi-model
consensus aids and is nearly identical to the previous advisory.

Henriette will be moving over gradually cooling sea surface
temperatures near 24C, while the environmental humidities
surrounding the cyclone will drop below 50 percent. Despite these
hostile thermodynamic conditions, Henriettes well-established
circulation is likely to remain resilient due to the low-shear
environment the cyclone will be transiting through. As a result,
only a slight weakening is forecast tonight, followed by little
change in strength during the next few days. If Henriette can
survive the passage over the cool waters, as persistently suggested
by the GFS and ECMWF models for several days now, re-intensification
appears likely over the weekend and into early next week as sea
surface temperatures warm to levels conducive for strengthening.
The official forecast continues to reflect this, bringing Henriette
to hurricane strength by 120 hours. The intensity forecast is
mostly unchanged and remains aligned best with the dynamical
intensity consensus aid HCCA and the regional hurricane models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0900Z 18.4N 133.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 07/1800Z 18.6N 136.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 08/0600Z 19.1N 139.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 08/1800Z 19.8N 142.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 09/1800Z 21.9N 147.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 10/0600Z 23.3N 150.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 11/0600Z 26.9N 154.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 12/0600Z 30.2N 158.9W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 070842
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

...HENRIETTE MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WELL TO THE EAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 133.9W
ABOUT 1385 MI...2230 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 133.9 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). This
motion is expected to continue tonight and Thursday, followed by a
gradual turn toward the northwest Friday and over the weekend,
keeping the center well to the north of the Hawaiian Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 070842
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0900 UTC THU AUG 07 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 133.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 45SE 45SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 133.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 133.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.6N 136.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.1N 139.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.8N 142.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.9N 147.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 150.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 154.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.2N 158.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 070400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 18.1N 131.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 131.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 18.3N 134.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 18.7N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 19.2N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.0N 143.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 21.1N 146.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.5N 149.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 25.5N 153.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 29.0N 157.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070400Z POSITION NEAR 18.2N 132.7W.
07AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1178 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070000Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070233Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
071000Z, 071600Z, 072200Z AND 080400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09E (IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 070234
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 PM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

Henriettes satellite presentation has deteriorated since the
previous advisory, with the cyclone now nearly devoid of all deep
convection and the low-level center fully exposed. The most recent
subjective Dvorak intensity estimates were 3.0/45 kt from TAFB,
while SAB deemed the cyclone too weak to classify. Meanwhile,
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have ranged from 37 to 51 kt over
the past several hours. An earlier 06/1755Z Metop-C ASCAT pass
depicted numerous 40 kt wind barbs, with a single 4045 kt wind barb
noted north of the low-level center. Based on these data, the
initial intensity for this advisory is maintained, at perhaps a
generous, 45 kt.

The cyclone is moving westward, or 275 degrees, at 14 kt. This
general motion is expected to persist tonight and Thursday, as
Henriette continues to be steered by a strengthening subtropical
ridge to its north. A gradual turn toward the west-northwest and
eventually northwest is expected to begin Friday and continue
through the weekend, as an amplifying longwave trough northwest of
Hawaii begins to erode the western extent of the subtropical ridge.
The official track forecast remains closely aligned with the latest
multi-model consensus aids and is largely unchanged from the
previous advisory. There is high confidence that the center of
Henriette will remain far to the north of the Hawaiian Islands.

Henriette will be moving over gradually cooling sea surface
temperatures, lowering to near 24C, while mid-level relative
humidity also falls below 50 percent. Despite these marginal
thermodynamic conditions, Henriettes well-established circulation
is likely to remain resilient due to the low-shear environment the
cyclone will be transiting through. As a result, only slight
weakening is forecast during the next 12 hours or so, followed by
little change in strength through 72 hours. If Henriette can
survive the passage over the cooler waters, as has been advertised
by the GFS and ECMWF models for several days now, re-intensification
appears likely over the weekend and into early next week as sea
surface temperatures warm to levels conducive for strengthening.
The official intensity forecast reflects this, bringing Henriette to
hurricane strength by 120 hours. The intensity forecast is mostly
unchanged and remains closely aligned with the dynamical intensity
guidance aid HCCA and the regional hurricane models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0300Z 18.2N 132.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 07/1200Z 18.3N 134.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 08/0000Z 18.7N 137.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 08/1200Z 19.2N 141.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 09/0000Z 20.0N 143.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 09/1200Z 21.1N 146.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 10/0000Z 22.5N 149.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 11/0000Z 25.5N 153.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 12/0000Z 29.0N 157.5W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 070235
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
500 PM HST WED AUG 06 2025

...HENRIETTE HEADING WESTWARD WELL TO THE EAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 132.4W
ABOUT 1485 MI...2390 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 132.4 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND, KEEPING THE
CENTER WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 070233
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0300 UTC THU AUG 07 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 132.4W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 60SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 132.4W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 131.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.3N 134.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.7N 137.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.2N 141.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 143.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.1N 146.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.5N 153.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N 157.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 132.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 062200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 18.0N 130.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N 130.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 18.3N 133.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 18.6N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.0N 139.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 19.7N 142.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 20.7N 145.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.0N 147.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 24.9N 152.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 28.5N 156.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062200Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 131.3W.
06AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1130 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061800Z IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
070400Z, 071000Z, 071600Z AND 072200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09E
(IVO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 062054
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

Henriette continues along with little change in its structure. Like
6 h ago, it is producing a relatively small area of deep convection,
with cold cloud tops present mostly to the north of its low-level
center. Recent scatterometer data showed winds just above 40 kt,
which supports maintaining the intensity at 45 kt for this
advisory, after accounting for undersampling. The scatterometer data
was also helpful with identifying the exact position of Henriette's
center, which was slightly south of previous estimates.

No significant change was made to the NHC track forecast outside a
slight southward adjustment based on the initial position estimate
in the short term. Henriette is moving westward to
west-northwestward to the south of a deep ridge centered over the
northern east Pacific. In a few days, a trough approaching from the
west will turn Henriette toward the northwest, taking the tropical
cyclone north of Hawaii. The various deterministic and global
ensemble models are all in good agreement on the forecast, so
confidence in the track forecast is fairly high.

The tropical storm is still forecast to slowly weaken during the
next few days while it moves over cool SSTs near 24C. However, once
Henriette moves north of Hawaii, it will move over warmer waters.
Upper-level difluent flow associated with a mid-latitude trough to
the northwest may also provide additional support for
intensification. As a result, most of the dynamical models forecast
strengthening to occur near the end of the forecast period, and the
NHC intensity forecast reflects this and is very similar to the
previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/2100Z 18.1N 131.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 07/0600Z 18.3N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 07/1800Z 18.6N 136.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 08/0600Z 19.0N 139.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 08/1800Z 19.7N 142.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 09/1800Z 22.0N 147.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 10/1800Z 24.9N 152.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 11/1800Z 28.5N 156.0W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Santos/D. Zelinsky

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 062053
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

...HENRIETTE CONTINUES HEADING WESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 131.3W
ABOUT 1555 MI...2505 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 131.3 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.
Henriette is then forecast to start a more northwestward turn,
keeping the center well to the north of the Hawaiian islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Santos/D. Zelinsky

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 062053
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
2100 UTC WED AUG 06 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 131.3W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 131.3W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 130.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.3N 133.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.6N 136.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N 142.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.7N 145.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.0N 147.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.9N 152.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 156.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 131.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER SANTOS/D. ZELINSKY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 061600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 18.0N 129.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N 129.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 18.3N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 18.6N 135.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.0N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 19.6N 141.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.4N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 21.5N 146.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.2N 151.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 27.5N 155.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061600Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 130.0W.
06AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1091 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061200Z IS 1004
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 062200Z, 070400Z, 071000Z AND 071600Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 061457
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

Henriette has changed very little this morning. It continues to
produce a relatively small area of deep convection, with cold cloud
tops present mostly to the north of its low-level center. The
initial intensity remains 45 kt for this advisory, based on
overnight ASCAT data and the lack of noticeable change in
Henriette's structure since that time.

Virtually no change was made to the NHC track forecast. Henriette
is moving westward to west-northwestward to the south of a deep
ridge centered over the northern east Pacific. In a few days, a
trough approaching from the west will turn Henriette toward the
northwest, taking the tropical cyclone north of Hawaii. The
various deterministic and global ensemble models are all in good
agreement on the forecast, so confidence in the track forecast is
fairly high.

The tropical storm is still forecast to slowly weaken during the
next few days while it moves over cool SSTs near 24C. However, once
Henriette moves north of Hawaii, it will move over warmer waters.
Upper-level difluent flow associated with a mid-latitude trough to
the northwest may also provide additional support for
intensification. As a result, most of the dynamical models forecast
strengthening to occur near the end of the forecast period, and the
NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted upward accordingly. Some of
the guidance is much higher, including both HAFS models, which show
Henriette developing a robust inner core by 120 h. Additional
adjustments to the intensity forecast at day 4 or 5 may be needed
with future advisories.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/1500Z 18.1N 129.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 18.3N 132.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 07/1200Z 18.6N 135.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 08/0000Z 19.0N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 08/1200Z 19.6N 141.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 09/0000Z 20.4N 144.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 09/1200Z 21.5N 146.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 10/1200Z 24.2N 151.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 11/1200Z 27.5N 155.0W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 061456
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Wed Aug 06 2025

...HENRIETTE CONTINUES HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 129.7W
ABOUT 1660 MI...2675 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette was
located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 129.7 West. Henriette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). The
tropical storm is forecast to continue heading generally
west-northwestward for the next several days at a slightly slower
forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight weakening is possible today or tomorrow, but little
overall change in strength is expected for the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 061454
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
1500 UTC WED AUG 06 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.7W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.7W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 129.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.6N 135.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.4N 144.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.5N 146.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.2N 151.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 129.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 061000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 17.7N 127.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 127.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 18.1N 130.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 18.4N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 18.7N 136.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.2N 139.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 19.9N 142.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 20.9N 145.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.3N 149.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.1N 154.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061000Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 128.4W.
06AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1058 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060600Z
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 13 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT061600Z, 062200Z, 070400Z AND 071000Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 060853
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

The satellite presentation of Henriette has changed little since the
previous advisory, with intermittent bursts of deep convection
continuing, primarily located over and west of the cyclone’s
low-level center. Recent subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from
TAFB and SAB were 3.0/45 kt and 2.5/35 kt, respectively, while
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have ranged between 34 and 46 kt
over the past several hours. A timely 06/0525Z Metop-C ASCAT pass
revealed several 40–45 kt wind barbs north of the low-level center.
Based on these data, the initial intensity for this advisory remains
45 kt.

Henriette has recently turned toward the west, or 280 degrees, at 13
kt. This general motion is expected to persist over the next couple
of days as the cyclone is steered by a strengthening subtropical
ridge situated to the north. By around 72 hours, a gradual turn
toward the west-northwest or northwest is anticipated as an
amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii begins to erode the
western periphery of the ridge. The official track forecast is
closely aligned with the latest multi-model consensus aids and
remains very similar to the previous advisory.

Henriette is forecast to remain in a low vertical wind shear
environment for the next several days. During this period, sea
surface temperatures are expected to gradually decrease to near or
slightly below 24C, while mid-level moisture drops below 50 percent.
Despite these marginal thermodynamic conditions, Henriette’s broad
circulation and well-established inner core should allow the system
to remain relatively resilient in the low shear environment. Only
slight weakening is forecast during the next few days, followed by
little change in strength. Toward the end of the forecast period,
sea surface temperatures are expected to rise again. If the system
manages to endure the cooler waters, as persistently suggested by
both the GFS and ECMWF models, some re-intensification is possible.
The official forecast reflects this potential and lies near the
middle of the intensity guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0900Z 17.8N 128.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1800Z 18.1N 130.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 07/0600Z 18.4N 133.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 07/1800Z 18.7N 136.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 08/0600Z 19.2N 139.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 08/1800Z 19.9N 142.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 09/0600Z 20.9N 145.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 11/0600Z 26.1N 154.1W 50 KT 60 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 060853
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

...HENRIETTE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FAR TO THE EAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 128.2W
ABOUT 1760 MI...2835 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 128.2 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, followed
by little change in strength during the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 060852
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0900 UTC WED AUG 06 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 128.2W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 45SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 128.2W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 127.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.1N 130.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.4N 133.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.7N 136.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.2N 139.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.9N 142.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.9N 145.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 149.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.1N 154.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 128.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 060400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 126.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 126.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 17.9N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 18.3N 132.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 18.6N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.0N 138.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 19.6N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.5N 143.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.8N 148.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 25.1N 153.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060400Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 127.2W.
06AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1042 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060000Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
061000Z, 061600Z, 062200Z AND 070400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 060244
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 PM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

The satellite presentation of Henriette had remained rather ragged
for several hours since the previous advisory, however, a new burst
of deep convection has now developed just to the west of the
low-level center of the cyclone. The latest subjective Dvorak
current intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB were 3.0/45 kt and
2.5/35 kt respectively. Meanwhile, the objective estimates from
UW-CIMSS have ranged from 34 to 47 kt during the past several hours.
Earlier today, a 05/1815Z Metop-C ASCAT pass showed several 45 knot
wind barbs to the north of the low level center and a 05/2133Z AMRS2
pass revealed a nice inner core structure of the cyclone. Based on
these data, the initial intensity for this advisory has been held at
45 kt.

The cyclone is moving west-northwest, or 290 degrees, at 14 kt. A
slight turn toward the west is expected tonight, with this motion
then continuing for the next several days as Henriette is steered by
a strengthening subtropical ridge to the north. By 72 hours, a turn
toward the west-northwest is anticipated as an amplifying longwave
trough northwest of Hawaii erodes the western extent of the
subtropical ridge steering the cyclone. The official track forecast
closely follows a blend of the latest consensus guidance, and is
very close to the previous advisory.

Henriette will remain in a low shear environment during the next
several days, while sea surface temperatures gradually cool to near
or slightly below 24C and the mid-level moisture decreases below 50
percent. Despite the cooling water and drying mid-levels, the large
circulation of the system and the well-established inner core should
keep Henriette rather resilient in the very low shear environment
during the next several days. The intensity forecast only calls for
slight weakening during this time followed by little change in
strength. By late in the forecast period, sea surface temperatures
will begin to increase, and if the cyclone manages to survive the
trip over the cooler water as suggested by the GFS and ECMWF models,
some re-intensification is possible and the official forecast
reflects this. The intensity forecast is near the middle of the
intensity guidance envelope and most closely aligned with the IVCN
intensity aid.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 17.6N 126.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 17.9N 129.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 07/0000Z 18.3N 132.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 07/1200Z 18.6N 135.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 08/0000Z 19.0N 138.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 08/1200Z 19.6N 141.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 09/0000Z 20.5N 143.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 10/0000Z 22.8N 148.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 11/0000Z 25.1N 153.2W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 060243
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
500 PM HST TUE AUG 05 2025

...HENRIETTE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FAR TO THE EAST OF
HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 126.9W
ABOUT 1850 MI...2975 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 126.9 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). A SLIGHT
TURN TOWARD THE WEST AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT,
WITH THIS GENERAL MOTION THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 060242
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0300 UTC WED AUG 06 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 126.9W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 126.9W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 126.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.9N 129.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 132.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.6N 135.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N 138.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.6N 141.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 143.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.8N 148.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.1N 153.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 126.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 052200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 16.8N 124.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 124.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 17.4N 127.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 17.9N 130.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 18.4N 133.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 18.8N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.4N 139.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.1N 142.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.3N 147.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 24.5N 152.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
052200Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 125.8W.
05AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1043 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051800Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
060400Z, 061000Z, 061600Z AND 062200Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 052041
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

This morning's satellite presentation consists of a convective
curved band on the west side of the cyclone and a cluster of strong
thunderstorms with cold cloud tops of -70 Celsius just to the west
of Henriette's surface circulation center. The initial intensity is
held at 45 kt for this advisory and is based on a blend of the
TAFB and SAB subjective and CIMSS objective intensity estimates.

Little change in strength is expected during the next couple of
days, although 5-kt fluctuations are possible, while Henriette
moves over slightly cooler water and through an increasingly
inhibiting thermodynamic environment. Toward the end of the week,
the thermodynamic environment is expected to become even more
hostile while Henriette moves over the subtropical central
Pacific waters. Therefore, some weakening of the cyclone is
forecast through day 5. The official intensity forecast is based
on the IVCN intensity consensus model and the Decay-SHIPS
statistical aid.

Henriette's initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward,
or 295/13 kt, and a west-northwestward or westward motion should
continue through day 4 while the cyclone is steered by a strong
mid-level ridge stretching across the subtropical Central Pacific.
Over the weekend, Henriette is expected to turn gradually
northwestward in response to an amplifying mid- to
upper-tropospheric trough approaching the Hawaiian Islands from the
Central North Pacific. The NHC track forecast is based on the
various consensus aids and is basically an update of the previous
advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/2100Z 17.0N 125.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 17.4N 127.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 17.9N 130.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 18.4N 133.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 18.8N 136.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 08/0600Z 19.4N 139.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 08/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 09/1800Z 22.3N 147.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 10/1800Z 24.5N 152.0W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 052040
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

...HENRIETTE HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL EAST
PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 125.6W
ABOUT 1095 MI...1765 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 125.6 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h),
and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight weakening is expected later this week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 052040
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
2100 UTC TUE AUG 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 125.6W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 125.6W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 124.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.4N 127.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.9N 130.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.4N 133.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.8N 136.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.4N 139.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.3N 147.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.5N 152.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 125.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 051600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 16.9N 126.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 17.5N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 18.0N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 18.4N 134.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 18.8N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 19.3N 140.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 21.0N 146.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 23.4N 150.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051600Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 124.6W.
05AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1053 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051200Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
052200Z, 060400Z, 061000Z AND 061600Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 051438
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

Henriette's cloud pattern has deteriorated a bit overnight. Modest
southeasterly shear, evidence of a slight southeast to northwest
tilt with height in a 0638 UTC GPM microwave image, and an
increasingly inhibiting thermodynamic environment continue to
impede strengthening. Based on a compromise of the Dvorak
intensity estimates from TAFB, SAB, and recent CIMSS SATCON
objective intensity analysis of 46 kt, the initial intensity
is held at 45 kt.

Little change in strength is expected during the next few days
due to the above mentioned adverse atmospheric conditions, and
Henriette traversing slightly cooler oceanic temperatures. Only
the HAFS-B hurricane model suggests an increase to 50 kt during the
24-36 hrs. Of course, a 5 kt increase isn't out of the question.
Beyond day 3, toward the end of the week, the thermodynamic
environment is expected to become even more stifling while
Henriette moves over the subtropical central Pacific waters.
Subsequently, gradual weakening is noted in the official forecast.
The NHC intensity forecast is near the previous one and is hedged
toward the IVCN intensity consensus, and is just above the
Decay-SHIPS statistical aid.

Henriette's initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward,
or 290/13 kt. A general west-northwestward or westward motion is
expected through day 4 while a strong subtropical ridge remains
to the north of the cyclone. Toward the end of the period,
Henriette is forecast to gradually turn northwestward in response
to an amplifying mid- to upper-tropospheric trough approaching the
Hawaiian Islands from the central north Pacific. The track
forecast is essentially an update from the previous advisory and
lies between the HCCA corrected consensus model and the ECMWF
control.

Henriette's wind radii were adjusted based on a 0839 UTC Oceansat-3
Scatterometer overpass.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 16.4N 124.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 16.9N 126.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/1200Z 17.5N 129.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 18.0N 132.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 18.4N 134.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 08/0000Z 18.8N 137.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 08/1200Z 19.3N 140.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 09/1200Z 21.0N 146.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 10/1200Z 23.4N 150.7W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 051438
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Tue Aug 05 2025

...HENRIETTE MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC...
...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 124.3W
ABOUT 1035 MI...1670 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 124.3 West. Henriette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected during the next few days
followed by gradual weakening toward the end of the week while the
cyclone passes to the east-northeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 051438
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 124.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 124.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.9N 126.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N 129.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.4N 134.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.8N 137.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N 140.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 146.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 23.4N 150.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 124.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 051000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 15.7N 122.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 122.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 16.5N 125.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 17.2N 127.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 17.8N 130.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 18.2N 133.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 18.5N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.0N 139.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 20.3N 144.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 22.3N 149.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051000Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 123.3W.
05AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1061 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050600Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
051600Z, 052200Z, 060400Z AND 061000Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 050842
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

The satellite presentation of Henriette has degraded some since the
previous advisory, with cloud tops warming and the curved band
structure becoming more fragmented. The latest subjective Dvorak
intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB are both 3.0/45 kt, while
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have ranged from 37 to 46 kt
during the past several hours. Meanwhile, a timely 05/0545Z Metop-C
ASCAT pass showed several 40-45 kt wind barbs, assisting with
determining the initial intensity as well as the extent of the
tropical-storm-force wind radii. The initial intensity for this
advisory has been held at 45 kt.

The cyclone is moving west-northwest, or 290 degrees, at 13 knots.
This general motion is expected to continue during the next day or
so, as Henriette moves along the southern edge of a subtropical
ridge to the north. Between 36 and 72 hours, a slight turn toward
the west is forecast as the ridge strengthens north of the cyclone.
Beyond 72 hours, a turn back toward the west-northwest or northwest
is anticipated as an amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii
erodes the western extent of the subtropical ridge steering the
cyclone. The official track forecast closely follows a blend of
the latest HCCA/TVCE/FSSE consensus guidance, and is very close to
the track from the previous advisory.

Henriette appears to have a brief window for further intensification
over the next 12 to 18 hours, as sea surface temperatures hover
between 26 and 26.5C, mid-level moisture remains sufficient, and
vertical wind shear stays light. Little change in strength is
expected then through 36 hours as the cyclone moves over slightly
cooler water but close to the 26C isotherm, while shear remains
light and the mid-levels remain moist. Beyond 36 hours, the cyclone
is expected to move over progressively cooler waters, with mid-level
moisture decreasing, and these conditions should lead to gradual
weakening. The official forecast maintains Henriette as a tropical
cyclone through 120 hours, however, it would not be surprising if it
transitions into a post-tropical low prior to day 5. The intensity
forecast is most closely aligned with the FSSE, which is near the
middle of the intensity guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0900Z 15.9N 123.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 16.5N 125.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 17.2N 127.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 17.8N 130.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 18.2N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 07/1800Z 18.5N 136.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 19.0N 139.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 20.3N 144.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 22.3N 149.8W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 050842
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

...HENRIETTE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL EAST
PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 123.1W
ABOUT 985 MI...1585 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 123.1 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24
km/h). This general motion is expected to continue during the next
few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast during the next day or so,
followed by gradual weakening.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 050841
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0900 UTC TUE AUG 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 123.1W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 123.1W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 122.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.2N 127.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.8N 130.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.2N 133.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 139.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.3N 144.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.3N 149.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 123.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 050400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 121.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 121.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 16.0N 123.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 16.9N 126.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 17.5N 129.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 18.0N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 18.3N 135.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 18.6N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 19.9N 143.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.0N 148.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050400Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 122.0W.
05AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1074 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
051000Z, 051600Z, 052200Z AND 060400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 050239
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 PM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

Henriette has become slightly better organized this afternoon, with
curved banding becoming more defined and a brief burst of deep
convection developing over the low-level center. The latest
subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB are both
3.0/45 knots, while objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have ranged
from 39 to 43 knots during the past few hours and show an upward
trend. Based on these data, the initial intensity for this advisory
has been increased to 45 knots.

The cyclone is moving west-northwest, or 290 degrees, at 13 knots.
This general motion is expected to continue during the next couple
of days as Henriette moves along the southern edge of a subtropical
ridge to the north. Between 48 and 72 hours, a slight turn toward
the west is forecast as the ridge strengthens north of the cyclone.
Beyond 72 hours, a turn back toward the west-northwest or northwest
is anticipated as a weakness develops in the ridge north of Hawaii
due to an amplifying longwave trough near 160W. The official track
forecast remains near the center of the tightly clustered guidance
envelope and is very close to the previous advisory.

Henriette appears to have a brief window for further intensification
over the next day or so, as sea surface temperatures hover between
26 and 27C, mid-level moisture remains sufficient, and vertical wind
shear stays light. After 36 hours, the cyclone is expected to move
over progressively cooler waters, with mid-level moisture gradually
decreasing, and these conditions should lead to steady weakening.
The official forecast maintains Henriette as a tropical cyclone
through 120 hours, however, it would not be surprising if it
transitions into a post-tropical low prior to day 5. The intensity
forecast is most closely aligned with the SHIPS and ICON guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0300Z 15.4N 121.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 05/1200Z 16.0N 123.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 06/0000Z 16.9N 126.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 06/1200Z 17.5N 129.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 07/0000Z 18.0N 132.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 07/1200Z 18.3N 135.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 08/0000Z 18.6N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 09/0000Z 19.9N 143.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 10/0000Z 22.0N 148.3W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Jelsema (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 050238
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
500 PM HST MON AUG 04 2025

...HENRIETTE STRENGTHENS SOME FAR TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 121.9W
ABOUT 940 MI...1510 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 121.9 WEST. HENRIETTE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO,
FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 050238
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0300 UTC TUE AUG 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 121.9W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 0SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 121.9W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 121.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 123.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.9N 126.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N 129.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.6N 138.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.9N 143.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.0N 148.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 121.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 042200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 14.5N 120.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 120.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 15.5N 122.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 16.3N 124.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 17.1N 127.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 17.6N 130.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 18.1N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 18.4N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 19.5N 142.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 21.5N 147.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
042200Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 120.8W.
04AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HENRIETTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1103 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050400Z, 051000Z, 051600Z AND 052200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 042034
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

Conventional satellite imagery shows that the cyclone has become
better organized, during the past several hours. A curved band has
developed over the west side of the cyclone, and deep convection is
developing over the surface center. A 1336 UTC ESA Soil Moisture
Ocean Salinity (SMOS) overpass indicated 34-40 kt winds in the
north quadrant of the cyclone, and a 1746 UTC ASCAT-B pass
revealed 38 kt winds in the same region. ADT/AiDT and ATMS
sounder objective satellite intensity estimates yield 34 kts, while
the subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB support 35 kt.
Based on these data, the depression has been upgraded to Tropical
Storm Henriette with the initial intensity set at 40 kt.

The intensity forecast philosophy is unchanged from the previous one
with gradual strengthening expected during the next couple of days.
By mid-period, Henriette should slowly weaken and then level off
with little change in strength as it traverses cooler oceanic
surface temperatures and moves into a drier, more stable surrounding
environment. The NHC intensity forecast has been lowered a bit to
agree more with the Decay-SHIPS, the IVCN intensity consensus model,
and the GFS and ECMWF deterministic models.

The initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward, or 295/13
kt. The global models indicate that a strong mid- to
upper-tropospheric ridge anchored to the north of the cyclone should
continue to steer Henriette in this general direction through 96
hours. Around day 5, a gradual turn toward the northwest is
expected in response to a mid-latitude mid-level trough moving
toward the Hawaiian Islands from the north-central Pacific.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/2100Z 14.8N 120.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 15.5N 122.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 05/1800Z 16.3N 124.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 17.1N 127.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 17.6N 130.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 07/0600Z 18.1N 133.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 18.4N 136.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 08/1800Z 19.5N 142.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 09/1800Z 21.5N 147.4W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 042033
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 120.6W
ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette
was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 120.6 West.
Henriette is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast
during the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 042033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
2100 UTC MON AUG 04 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 120.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.5N 122.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.3N 124.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.1N 127.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N 130.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.1N 133.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.4N 136.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.5N 142.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 147.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 120.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 041557

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.08.2025

TROPICAL STORM DEXTER ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N 67.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 04.08.2025 35.0N 67.5W WEAK
00UTC 05.08.2025 36.3N 65.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2025 37.8N 63.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 39.2N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2025 39.5N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.08.2025 40.3N 56.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.08.2025 41.2N 51.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 08.08.2025 43.2N 46.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 08.08.2025 45.0N 42.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.08.2025 46.0N 36.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 09.08.2025 47.2N 29.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 10.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 118.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082025

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 04.08.2025 14.0N 118.6W WEAK
00UTC 05.08.2025 15.1N 121.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2025 15.6N 123.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2025 16.4N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2025 17.5N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.08.2025 18.3N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.08.2025 19.0N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.08.2025 19.2N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.08.2025 19.7N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.08.2025 20.3N 146.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.08.2025 21.2N 149.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.08.2025 22.5N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.08.2025 24.2N 153.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.08.2025 26.3N 155.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.08.2025 28.2N 157.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 15.1N 110.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 08.08.2025 15.4N 111.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.08.2025 17.4N 114.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.08.2025 19.0N 117.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.08.2025 20.2N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.08.2025 20.4N 122.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.08.2025 20.2N 123.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.08.2025 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 32.6N 168.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 11.08.2025 32.5N 168.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY
12UTC 11.08.2025 33.0N 169.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 041557

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 041600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (EIGHT-E) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (EIGHT-E) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 13.9N 119.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 119.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 14.9N 121.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 15.9N 124.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 16.8N 126.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 17.7N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 18.4N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 18.9N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.0N 141.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 21.7N 147.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
041600Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 120.1W.
04AUG25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (EIGHT-E), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
2082 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041200Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
042200Z, 050400Z, 051000Z AND 051600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (GIL) FINAL WARNING (WTPN33 PHNC)
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 041432
TCDEP3

Tropical Depression Eight-E Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

Satellite imagery since the previous advisory shows little overall
structural change in Tropical Depression Eight-E. The system
continues to produce mainly fragmented convective bands, with a few
intermittent bursts of deeper convection over the low-level
circulation center. The overall organization has not appreciably
improved, and the most recent subjective Dvorak current intensity
estimates from TAFB and SAB remain at 2.0/30 kt. Given these
data and the satellite presentation, the initial intensity is held
at 30 kt.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest, or 295/13 kt,
along the southern side of a strong subtropical ridge. This ridge is
expected to persist through much of the forecast period, steering
the system generally west-northwestward for the next several days. A
slightly more northwestward motion is possible by day 5 as it moves
into the Central Pacific basin and responds to a weakness in the
ridge far north of Hawaii. The latest NHC track forecast is very
close to the previous one and remains close to the consensus aids.

The system is forecast to steadily strengthen during the next couple
of days as it moves over warm waters and through a moist, low-shear
environment. It is expected to become a tropical storm by tonight
and could approach hurricane strength between 36 and 60 hours. After
that time, a gradual weakening trend is anticipated as the cyclone
moves over sea surface temperatures below 26 degrees C and begins to
entrain drier mid-level air within a more stable environment.
Despite these less favorable conditions, much of the guidance
maintains a well-defined cyclone with deep convection through the
120-hour forecast period, with only gradual weakening. The official
forecast remains slightly above the intensity guidance through
midweek, then more gradually trends back toward the consensus aids
thereafter.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/1500Z 14.2N 119.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0000Z 14.9N 121.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/1200Z 15.9N 124.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 06/0000Z 16.8N 126.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 06/1200Z 17.7N 129.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 07/0000Z 18.4N 132.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 07/1200Z 18.9N 135.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 08/1200Z 20.0N 141.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 09/1200Z 21.7N 147.2W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 041425
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eight-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
500 AM HST Mon Aug 04 2025

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM BY
TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 119.9W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight-E
was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 119.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 041424
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 119.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 119.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.9N 121.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.9N 124.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.7N 129.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.4N 132.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.9N 135.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.0N 141.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.7N 147.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 119.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ43 KNHC 040850
TCDEP3

Tropical Depression Eight-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082025
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 03 2025

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
well southwest of the Baja California Peninsula have become better
organized during the past 12 hours. Additionally, an overnight ASCAT
pass showed a well-defined circulation with peak winds near 30 kt.
Given the improved convective organization and well-defined
circulation, advisories are being initiated on Tropical Depression
Eight-E. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt, based on a blend of
the ASCAT pass and Dvorak current intensity estimates from both
TAFB and SAB.

The initial motion is estimated at 300/13 kt, along the southern
side of a strong subtropical ridge. This ridge is forecast to remain
in place through the 5-day period, steering the system generally
west-northwestward for the entire forecast. A slightly more westward
motion is possible by day 4 as the cyclone becomes more shallow and
is steered within the low- to mid-level flow. The updated track
forecast is close to the consensus aids.

The system is forecast to steadily strengthen during the next couple
of days as it moves over warm waters and through a moist, low-shear
environment. It is expected to become a tropical storm on Monday
and could approach hurricane strength between 36 and 60 hours. After
that time, a gradual weakening trend is anticipated as the cyclone
moves over sea surface temperatures below 26 degrees C and begins to
entrain drier mid-level air within a more stable environment.
Simulated satellite imagery from the global models supports this
scenario, showing a reduction in deep convection as the system
continues west-northwestward into the central Pacific basin. The
forecast is slightly above the intensity guidance through 60 hours,
then is in good agreement with the consensus aids thereafter.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 13.7N 118.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 14.4N 119.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 15.4N 122.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 05/1800Z 16.4N 124.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 06/0600Z 17.4N 127.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 06/1800Z 18.2N 129.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 07/0600Z 18.8N 132.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 08/0600Z 19.8N 138.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 09/0600Z 21.2N 145.0W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ33 KNHC 040849
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 03 2025

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORMS WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 118.2W
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 118.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H)
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ23 KNHC 040848
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082025
0900 UTC MON AUG 04 2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 118.2W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 118.2W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.4N 119.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.4N 122.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.4N 124.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.4N 127.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.2N 129.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N 132.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.8N 138.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 21.2N 145.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 118.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

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