Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ONE-E-26 Off-shore on 02 Jun 2026 21:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ONE-E-26

Off-shore

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Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

02/06 20:38 WTPZ31KNHC022036

02/06 20:38 WTPZ41KNHC022037

02/06 20:37 WTPZ21KNHC022036

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 022036
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON FORMS
OVER OPEN WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 126.7W
ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 126.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH (6 KM/H), BUT A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THEN, A SLIGHTLY FASTER
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 022037
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE (90E) THAT NHC HAS BEEN MONITORING FOR
DEVELOPMENT HAS SHOWED INCREASED SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION TODAY. AN
AREA OF SHEARED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS OBSERVED TO THE NORTH OF
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, ALONG WITH FRAGMENTED CURVED BANDS OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. SCATTEROMETER WIND DATA
REVEALED THE SYSTEM HAD A CLOSED CIRCULATION, AND ITS DEFINITION HAS
IMPROVED IN RECENT PASSIVE MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES.
BASED ON THESE DEVELOPMENTS, THE NHC IS INITIATING ADVISORIES ON THE
FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2026 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON, WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD (280/3 KT), BUT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE A BIT FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF A STEERING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE BASIN. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST, AND THE OFFICIAL NHC PREDICTION
LIES BETWEEN THE SIMPLE AND CORRECTED-CONSENSUS AIDS. BY DAYS 4-5, A
SLOWDOWN IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE AND
STEERING CURRENTS COLLAPSE. THERE IS INCREASED TRACK SPREAD DURING
THIS PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOST MODELS GENERALLY SHOW A SLOW WESTWARD OR
SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT, WHICH IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

WARM SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 DEG C AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OR SO. HOWEVER,
EASTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BY LATE WEEK, WHICH WILL
LIKELY LIMIT THE EXTENT OF STRENGTHENING THAT OCCURS. THE OFFICIAL
NHC FORECAST SHOWS THE SYSTEM REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY
WEDNESDAY, WITH A PEAK INTENSITY IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE HCCA
CONSENSUS AID AND THE HAFS MODELS. A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST BY
THIS WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A DRIER AND MORE STABLE
MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER COOLER SSTS, AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
SYSTEM COULD BECOME DEVOID OF CONVECTION BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 9.4N 126.7W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 9.9N 127.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 10.6N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 05/1800Z 13.7N 133.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 06/1800Z 13.7N 134.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 07/1800Z 13.0N 135.5W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 022036
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC TUE JUN 02 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 126.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 9.9N 127.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.6N 128.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.7N 133.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 13.7N 134.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 13.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 126.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

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