Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DOUGLAS-26 Off-shore from 01 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC to 02 Jul 2026 03:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DOUGLAS-26

Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

02/07 04:22 WTNT82EGRR020421

02/07 04:11 WTNT80EGRR020410

02/07 02:34 WTPZ44KNHC020232

02/07 02:33 WTPZ34KNHC020231

02/07 02:31 WTPZ24KNHC020231

01/07 20:40 WTPZ44KNHC012039

01/07 20:38 WTPZ34KNHC012036

01/07 20:36 WTPZ24KNHC012036

01/07 16:23 WTNT82EGRR011622

01/07 16:12 WTNT80EGRR011611

01/07 14:51 WTPZ44KNHC011450

01/07 14:51 WTPZ34KNHC011449

01/07 14:49 WTPZ24KNHC011448

01/07 08:38 WTPZ44KNHC010836

01/07 08:37 WTPZ34KNHC010835

01/07 08:34 WTPZ24KNHC010833

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 020421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 02.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 127.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.07.2026 0 16.1N 127.1W 1001 30
1200UTC 02.07.2026 12 17.2N 127.4W 1000 32
0000UTC 03.07.2026 24 17.9N 128.0W 1001 30
1200UTC 03.07.2026 36 20.1N 128.8W 1002 33
0000UTC 04.07.2026 48 20.7N 129.1W 1004 33
1200UTC 04.07.2026 60 21.4N 129.7W 1007 25
0000UTC 05.07.2026 72 22.5N 130.5W 1009 27
1200UTC 05.07.2026 84 22.9N 131.6W 1011 25
0000UTC 06.07.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 020421

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 020410

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 127.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 02.07.2026 16.1N 127.1W WEAK
12UTC 02.07.2026 17.2N 127.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.07.2026 17.8N 127.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.07.2026 20.0N 128.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.07.2026 20.7N 129.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.07.2026 21.4N 129.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.07.2026 22.5N 130.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.07.2026 22.9N 131.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 020410

Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 020232
TCDEP4

Tropical Storm Douglas Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042026
800 PM PDT Wed Jul 01 2026

Convection is increasing on the northern side of Douglas, albeit a
fair distance away from the center of the large circulation. There
has been little change in recent satellite classifications, so the
initial wind speed will stay 35 kt. Douglas basically has the
overnight convective maximum period left to intensify before it
encounters drier air, higher shear, and cooler SSTs. Thus the NHC
intensity forecast shows a brief peak at 12 h and then a slow
weakening until dissipation. None of the global models are
producing any organized convection after 36 h, so that will be the
expected time Douglas becomes a remnant low. Little change was made
to the prior intensity forecast.

Douglas continues moving northward at about 6 kt. This motion is
forecast through Thursday as the storm moves between a mid-level
ridge to the east and a mid-level trough to the west. On Friday, a
northwest turn is anticipated as the then weaker system becomes more
steered by the low-level flow. The biggest change to note is that
much of the skillful guidance is keeping this system intact for
longer due to the nearby trough. The result is the system gains
more latitude by the end of the forecast before succumbing to very
hostile conditions. The latest NHC track forecast is shifted to the
north especially beyond 24 hours, but still lies south of the Google
DeepMind and NOAA corrected-consensus HCCA models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0300Z 16.5N 127.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 02/1200Z 17.2N 127.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 03/0000Z 18.4N 127.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 03/1200Z 19.7N 127.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 04/0000Z 20.9N 128.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 04/1200Z 21.8N 129.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/0000Z 22.5N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 020231
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Douglas Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042026
800 PM PDT Wed Jul 01 2026

...DOUGLAS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON FRIDAY...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 127.0W
ABOUT 1195 MI...1925 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Douglas was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 127.0 West. Douglas is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue into Thursday. A gradual turn to the
northwest is forecast late this week.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight strengthening is possible overnight before a steady
weakening begins later on Thursday. Douglas is forecast to become
a post-tropical cyclone on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 020231
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
0300 UTC THU JUL 02 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 127.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 127.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.2N 127.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.4N 127.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.7N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.9N 128.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.8N 129.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 130.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 127.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 012039
TCDEP4

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
200 PM PDT WED JUL 01 2026

A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED A
WELL-DEFINED, ALBEIT SLIGHTLY ELONGATED CENTER, WITH A FEW 30-33 KT
WIND VECTORS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF CENTER. THE SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM TAFB WAS 35 KT, AND VARIOUS OTHER OBJECTIVE
ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 31-35 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA AND INCREASING
BANDING FEATURES, THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM
DOUGLAS WITHIN AN INITIAL INTENSITY SET AT 35 KT.

DOUGLAS IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 350/6 KT. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE PREVAILS TO THE EAST IN THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC. THE LATEST NHC TRACK FORECAST
HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE WEST FOR THE FIRST 24 H AND LIES IN NEAR
HCCA, AND BETWEEN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND GOOGLE DEEPMIND. TOWARD
THE END OF THE WEEK, A SLOW TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST, THEN
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND TURNS INTO THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE FORECAST BEYOND 24 H HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE
RIGHT AND LIES AMONG VARIOUS CONSENSUS AIDS.

THE STORM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A MOIST LOW AND MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
WITH LOW WIND SHEAR AND WARM SSTS. A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MAY ALLOW
FOR SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING THROUGH TONIGHT, WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
HCCA AND GOOGLE DEEPMIND. AS THE STORM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING
MID-LEVEL DRY AIR, COOLER WATERS AND DECREASING UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED, AND
DOUGLAS MAY STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION BY THIS
WEEKEND. THE LATEST NHC FORECAST SHOWS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY
48 H, DISSIPATING INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 15.7N 127.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 02/0600Z 16.7N 127.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 02/1800Z 17.7N 127.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 03/0600Z 18.8N 127.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 03/1800Z 19.7N 128.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 04/0600Z 20.5N 129.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 04/1800Z 21.0N 130.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 05/1800Z 22.5N 133.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 012036
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Douglas Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042026
200 PM PDT Wed Jul 01 2026

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 127.0W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1960 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Douglas was
located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 127.0 West. Douglas is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue into Thursday. A gradual turn to the
northwest is forecast late this week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected tonight, followed by a gradual
weakening trend starting on Thursday. Douglas is forecast to become
post-tropical on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 012036
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
2100 UTC WED JUL 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 127.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 127.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.7N 127.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 127.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.8N 127.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.7N 128.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 129.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N 130.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 133.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 127.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 011622

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 01.07.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 126.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 01.07.2026 0 14.8N 126.6W 1003 32
0000UTC 02.07.2026 12 16.0N 127.0W 1002 29
1200UTC 02.07.2026 24 17.1N 127.6W 1001 29
0000UTC 03.07.2026 36 18.4N 128.3W 1002 30
1200UTC 03.07.2026 48 20.0N 129.2W 1003 35
0000UTC 04.07.2026 60 21.1N 129.7W 1005 31
1200UTC 04.07.2026 72 21.2N 131.0W 1007 27
0000UTC 05.07.2026 84 21.9N 131.8W 1010 27
1200UTC 05.07.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 011622

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 011611

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.07.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 126.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 01.07.2026 14.7N 126.6W WEAK
00UTC 02.07.2026 16.1N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.07.2026 17.2N 127.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.07.2026 18.4N 128.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.07.2026 20.0N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.07.2026 21.1N 129.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.07.2026 21.2N 131.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.07.2026 22.0N 131.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 011611

Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 011450
TCDEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
800 AM PDT WED JUL 01 2026

DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E THIS MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHWARD AND OUT OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE MONSOONAL TROUGH/ITCZ.
A MICROWAVE PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SUGGESTED THAT THE CENTER
WAS STILL SOMEWHAT ELONGATED AND FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT, AND THE INITIAL POSITION HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO REFLECT THIS.
SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 28-34
KT, SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN MAINTAINED AT 30 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AROUND 5 KT, AND THIS
MOTION WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE PREVAILS TO
THE EAST IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST, THEN WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER THIS
WEEK AND INTO THIS WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND TURNS WESTWARD
INTO THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE LATEST NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO
THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK, AND LIES BETWEEN THE SIMPLE AND
CORRECTED-CONSENSUS AIDS.

FOUR-E IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A MOIST LOW AND MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH
LOW WIND SHEAR AND WARM SSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST,
AND FOUR-E IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT, WHICH IS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST INTENSITY AIDS.
HOWEVER, MID-LEVEL DRY AIR TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
WRAP AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM ON THURSDAY AS IT
MOVES NORTHWARD INTO COOLER WATERS. BY FRIDAY, INCREASING SHEAR AND
DECREASING UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL LIKELY INHIBIT ORGANIZED
DEEP CONVECTION, AND THE LATEST NHC FORECAST SHOWS A POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BY 48 H, DISSIPATING INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/1500Z 14.8N 126.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 15.6N 126.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 02/1200Z 16.6N 126.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 03/0000Z 17.6N 127.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 03/1200Z 18.6N 127.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 04/0000Z 19.3N 128.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 04/1200Z 19.7N 129.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 05/1200Z 20.7N 132.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 011449
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042026
800 AM PDT Wed Jul 01 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 126.7W
ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 126.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue into Thursday. A gradual turn
to the northwest is forecast late this week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 011448
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
1500 UTC WED JUL 01 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 126.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 126.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 126.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.6N 126.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 10SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.6N 126.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 10SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 127.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.6N 127.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 128.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.7N 129.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 132.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 126.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 010836
TCDEP4

Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042026
200 AM PDT Wed Jul 01 2026

The area of low pressure (95E) over the western East Pacific has
continued to become better organized over the last 12 hours.
Persistent deep convection has developed primarily over the eastern
and southern portions of the circulation, with curved banding
features becoming well defined. Recent scatterometer data
indicate that the system has developed a closed, although somewhat
elongated, low-level circulation with maximum winds around 30 kt.
Subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates have increased to T1.5
from TAFB. Based on these developments, the system has been
designated as Tropical Depression Four-E, with an initial intensity
of 30 kt.

The depression is moving north-northwestward (345/6 kt), and this
general motion is forecast to continue over the next couple of days
along the western periphery of a ridge over the central portion of
the eastern Pacific basin. Models are in fairly good agreement with
this general motion, and the official NHC forecast lies near the
simple and corrected-consensus aids. Towards the end of the period,
as the system weakens and turns westward into the low-level flow,
there is slight timing differences of when that occurs based on the
convective structure. The NHC forecast continues to lie near or
just to the left of the consensus aids towards the end of the
period.

The system has about a day or so to strengthen within a favorable
low-shear, moist environment, supported by upper-level divergence.
The official forecast has the system strengthening into a tropical
storm later today, which is good agreement with the latest intensity
aids. However, as the system moves north-northwestward, it will
encounter cooler SSTs along its track. In about 36–48 hours, wind
shear is forecast to increase, and the system will move into a drier
mid-level airmass. Given the combination of cooler SSTs and the
increasingly unfavorable environment, the system is forecast to
weaken and will eventually struggle to sustain deep convection.
Simulated IR imagery from the GFS and ECMWF suggests the system
could become devoid of deep convection by around 60 hours. Thus, the
NHC forecast calls for the system to weaken into a post-tropical
remnant low at that time, and dissipating into an open trough by
the end of the forecast period.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 14.5N 126.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 01/1800Z 15.2N 127.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 02/0600Z 16.3N 127.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 02/1800Z 17.4N 127.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 03/0600Z 18.4N 127.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 03/1800Z 19.2N 128.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 04/0600Z 19.7N 129.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/0600Z 20.3N 132.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 010835
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042026
200 AM PDT Wed Jul 01 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORMS IN WESTERN EAST PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 126.9W
ABOUT 1250 MI...2015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 126.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 010833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
0900 UTC WED JUL 01 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 126.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 126.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 126.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.2N 127.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.3N 127.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 127.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 128.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 129.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.3N 132.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 126.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

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