Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FAUSTO-26 Off-shore from 19 Jul 2026 03:00 UTC to 29 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 291600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/ROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) FINAL WARNING NR 043//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 043
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06E
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 24.1N 157.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.6N 160.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 25.3N 162.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
291600Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 155.8W.
29JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
196 NM NORTHEAST OF CAMP H M SMITH, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291200Z
IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 292200Z, 300400Z, 301000Z AND 301600Z. REFER TO
HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 291622

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 29.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N 118.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 29.07.2026 0 18.6N 118.9W 964 73
0000UTC 30.07.2026 12 19.4N 121.1W 973 66
1200UTC 30.07.2026 24 20.1N 123.5W 977 55
0000UTC 31.07.2026 36 20.8N 125.8W 982 51
1200UTC 31.07.2026 48 21.9N 128.5W 992 45
0000UTC 01.08.2026 60 22.8N 131.5W 997 43
1200UTC 01.08.2026 72 23.9N 134.4W 1001 40
0000UTC 02.08.2026 84 24.8N 137.4W 1006 37
1200UTC 02.08.2026 96 26.0N 140.5W 1008 33
0000UTC 03.08.2026 108 26.5N 142.7W 1008 31
1200UTC 03.08.2026 120 27.4N 143.7W 1009 26
0000UTC 04.08.2026 132 29.0N 144.6W 1011 26
1200UTC 04.08.2026 144 29.9N 145.8W 1013 22
0000UTC 05.08.2026 156 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 23.4N 155.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 29.07.2026 0 23.4N 155.0W 1011 29
0000UTC 30.07.2026 12 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 291622

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 291613

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N 118.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 29.07.2026 18.6N 118.9W STRONG
00UTC 30.07.2026 19.4N 121.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 30.07.2026 20.0N 123.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.07.2026 20.8N 125.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.9N 128.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 22.8N 131.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 23.9N 134.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.08.2026 24.8N 137.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 02.08.2026 26.0N 140.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 26.5N 142.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 27.4N 143.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 28.9N 144.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 29.9N 145.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 23.4N 155.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 29.07.2026 23.4N 155.0W WEAK
00UTC 30.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 291613

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 291434
TCDCP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto Discussion Number 43
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

It has been 18-21 h since Fausto produced convection that met the
criteria of the Dvorak Technique for tropical cyclone intensity
estimates, with just a few patches of convection occurring well to
the east and northeast of the center. Also, scatterometer data
received after the last advisory suggested the circulation is losing
definition. The cyclone is in an environment of 40-45 kt of westerly
vertical shear and a dry mid-level airmass, and thus significant
convective re-development appears unlikely. Based on these
developments, Fausto is being downgraded to a remnant low pressure
area.

Fausto continues west-northwestward with an initial motion of 290/11
kt. This general motion should continue until the system dissipates,
as the shallow circulation is steered mainly by the tradewind flow
south of the subtropical ridge. The forecast track keeps the
remnants well to the north of the Hawaiian Islands.

The dynamical models forecast the remnant low to persist for another
36 h or so, and after that it should degenerate to a open trough.
This is reflected in the intensity forecast.

This is the last advisory on Fausto. For additional information on
the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header
FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Key Messages:

1. Surf generated by Fausto is building westward across the Hawaiian
Islands along exposed east-facing shores and will remain dangerous
today as Fausto passes north of the islands. Large surf and strong
currents will lead to dangerous conditions along exposed shores.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/1500Z 23.8N 155.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 30/0000Z 24.1N 157.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 30/1200Z 24.6N 160.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 31/0000Z 25.3N 162.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 291433
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST WED JUL 29 2026

...FAUSTO DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF STILL EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 155.6W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THE REMNANTS OF FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAUSTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 155.6 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH (20 KM/H) AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, FAUSTO WILL
PASS NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED, AND THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN TO A TROUGH BY FRIDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY THE REMNANTS OF FAUSTO IS BUILDING WESTWARD
ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES AND
WILL REMAIN DANGEROUS TODAY AS THE SYSTEM PASSES NORTH OF THE
ISLANDS. LARGE SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ALONG EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02
KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 291433
TCMCP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 155.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 30SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 155.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 155.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.1N 157.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.6N 160.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.3N 162.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 155.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER
FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 291000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 042//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 042
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 23.2N 153.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N 153.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 23.7N 156.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 24.2N 158.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 24.9N 161.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
291000Z POSITION NEAR 23.4N 154.7W. 29JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E
(FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290600Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291600Z, 292200Z,
300400Z AND 301000Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 290836
TCDCP1

Tropical Depression Fausto Discussion Number 42
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

Fausto has failed to produce significant convection for the past 12
to 15 hours, although a small area of pulsing convection has
persisted in the northeast quadrant over the past several hours. The
center of Fausto passed a very short distance south of NOAA buoy
51000 a few hours ago. The buoy reported a peak 1-min wind of 27 kt
and a minimum pressure of 1009 mb. Earlier ASCAT and recon data
from the 20Z to 00Z time-frame supported winds in the 35 to 37 kt
range, and showed that these winds were only occurring in the NE
quadrant between 100-140 n mi from the center. The latest
subjective Dvorak numbers are 1.5/25 kt from JTWC and 2.5/35 kt from
PHFO. D-MINT, D-PRINT, and AiDT intensity estimates have dropped to
the 31-32 kt range. Given that convection has yet to redevelop
since the time of the aforementioned recon and ASCAT data, it is
estimated that winds have likely dropped below tropical-storm-force
by now. Fausto is being downgraded to a 30-kt tropical depression at
this time.

Fausto has been moving west-northwestward with an initial motion
estimate of 290/10 kt. This general motion is expected to continue
for the next couple of days, as the shallow circulation moves with
the low-level trade wind flow to the south of the subtropical ridge.
The NHC track forecast is basically an update of the previous one,
and lies near the HFIP corrected consensus (HCCA) and simple
consensus (TVCN).

Fausto has reached a wall of 40-kt westerly vertical wind shear as
it traverses through mid-level relative humidity values hovering
near 30 percent. In these conditions, it will be quite difficult
for Fausto to redevelop enough convection to stay alive as a
tropical cyclone. Therefore, the NHC forecast now shows Fausto
becoming a post-tropical cyclone within the next 12 h. Global
models suggest that the remnant low of Fausto will then open up into
a trough in about 36 h, and the NHC forecast shows dissipation just
after that time. It is possible that Fausto could dissipate sooner
than forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it passes north of
the Hawaiian Islands through Wednesday night. Although the forecast
indicates that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain
north of the islands, interests across the Hawaiian Islands should
continue to monitor the progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto is building westward across the Hawaiian
Islands along exposed east-facing shores and will remain dangerous
on Wednesday as Fausto passes north of the islands. Large surf and
strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions along exposed
shores. Please consult products from your local weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 23.3N 154.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/1800Z 23.7N 156.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 30/0600Z 24.2N 158.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/1800Z 24.9N 161.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 290833
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST TUE JUL 28 2026

...FAUSTO NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT SIGNIFICANT SURF STILL
EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 154.5W
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H)
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, FAUSTO WILL PASS NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY, AND FAUSTO IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO IS BUILDING WESTWARD ACROSS THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL
REMAIN DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY AS FAUSTO PASSES NORTH OF THE
ISLANDS. LARGE SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ALONG EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 290833
TCMCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 154.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 154.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.7N 156.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.2N 158.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N 161.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 154.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 290421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 29.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 117.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 29.07.2026 0 18.1N 117.2W 946 86
1200UTC 29.07.2026 12 18.9N 119.0W 961 80
0000UTC 30.07.2026 24 19.6N 121.2W 972 69
1200UTC 30.07.2026 36 20.3N 123.6W 980 52
0000UTC 31.07.2026 48 21.0N 125.9W 984 48
1200UTC 31.07.2026 60 22.4N 128.7W 993 45
0000UTC 01.08.2026 72 23.2N 132.0W 998 43
1200UTC 01.08.2026 84 24.0N 134.9W 1003 36
0000UTC 02.08.2026 96 24.8N 137.7W 1008 33
1200UTC 02.08.2026 108 26.0N 140.6W 1009 31
0000UTC 03.08.2026 120 26.7N 142.9W 1010 29
1200UTC 03.08.2026 132 27.4N 144.0W 1010 24
0000UTC 04.08.2026 144 28.7N 144.6W 1012 24
1200UTC 04.08.2026 156 29.9N 145.2W 1014 21
0000UTC 05.08.2026 168 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 152.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 29.07.2026 0 22.8N 152.7W 1008 30
1200UTC 29.07.2026 12 23.5N 155.0W 1011 28
0000UTC 30.07.2026 24 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 40.4N 73.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 29.07.2026 12 40.4N 73.0W 997 31
0000UTC 30.07.2026 24 41.3N 72.6W 999 28
1200UTC 30.07.2026 36 40.7N 72.8W 1002 25
0000UTC 31.07.2026 48 43.1N 67.8W 1004 25
1200UTC 31.07.2026 60 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 37.1N 65.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 02.08.2026 108 38.6N 63.4W 1015 31
0000UTC 03.08.2026 120 39.9N 59.0W 1016 28
1200UTC 03.08.2026 132 39.8N 55.4W 1017 27
0000UTC 04.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 290421

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 290400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 041//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 041
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 22.9N 152.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N 152.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 23.4N 155.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 23.9N 157.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.4N 160.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 25.2N 162.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
290400Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 153.6W.
29JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228
NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290000Z IS
1007 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291000Z, 291600Z, 292200Z AND 300400Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 290236
TCDCP1

Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 41
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

Most of the deep convection associated with Fausto has been sheared
well to the northeast of the low-level center. Reports from an Air
Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the storm's maximum
sustained winds have decreased to near 35 kt. The aircraft
observations and earlier ASCAT-B and ASCAT-C scatterometer data
show that tropical-storm-force winds are now confined to the
northeastern quadrant of the circulation. The center of the
cyclone will likely pass very near NOAA data buoy 51000 within the
next few hours, and should provide additional information on the
central pressure which is estimated to have risen to 1006 mb.

Center fixes from aircraft and satellite indicate that Fausto
continues on a mainly west-northward track with an initial motion
estimate of 285/10 kt. The steering winds associated with a weak
low-level ridge should result in a continued general
west-northwestward motion for the next couple of days. The official
track forecast is on the southern side of the guidance envelope and
similar to the previous NHC prediction.

Although Fausto is expected to remain over marginally warm ocean
waters, the atmospheric environment is expected to be highly
unfavorable, and become even less conducive for regeneration during
the period. Strong upper-level westerlies should result in a
further increase in vertical wind shear, and the system will be
moving through an extremely dry low- to mid-level air mass.
Therefore, continued weakening is likely, and Fausto is expected to
degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low within the next day or
so.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it passes north of
the Hawaiian Islands tonight through Wednesday night. Although the
current forecast indicates that the strongest winds and heaviest
rainfall will remain north of the islands, interests across the
Hawaiian Islands should continue to monitor the progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward across
the Hawaiian Islands along exposed east-facing shores through
tonight as Fausto begins to pass north of the islands. Large surf
and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions along exposed
shores. Please consult products from your local weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0300Z 23.0N 153.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 23.4N 155.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 23.9N 157.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/1200Z 24.4N 160.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 31/0000Z 25.2N 162.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 290235
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST TUE JUL 28 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN BUT SIGNIFICANT SURF STILL
EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 153.4W
ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 153.4 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H), AND A
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, FAUSTO SHOULD PASS NORTH OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY, AND FAUSTO IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARLY ON WEDNESDAY, AND A
REMNANT LOW BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES (260 KM)
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES
THROUGH TONIGHT AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND BEGINS TO PASS NORTH OF THE
ISLANDS. LARGE SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ALONG EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 290235
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 153.4W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 153.4W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 152.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.4N 155.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.4N 160.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.2N 162.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 153.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 282200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 040//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 040
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 151.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 151.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.9N 153.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 23.4N 156.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.9N 158.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 24.5N 161.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 25.3N 163.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
282200Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 152.4W.
28JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250
NM NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 1005 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 290400Z, 291000Z, 291600Z AND 292200Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 282046
TCDCP1

Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 40
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

Fausto continues to weaken due to 25 kt or more of southwesterly
vertical shear. The cyclone is now comprised mainly of a large
swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with what remains of the
convection well to the northeast of the center. Satellite intensity
estimates are decreasing, and the initial intensity is reduced to a
possibly generous 45 kt. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is schedule to investigate Fausto near 29/00Z.

The center of Fausto seems to have re-formed a bit to the north of
the previous track, and the initial motion is a somewhat uncertain
285/10. As Fausto continues weakening, the low-level ridge to the
north should steer the cyclone or its remnants generally west-
northwestward for the next several days as shown by the track
guidance. The new track forecast is nudged a little north of the
previous track due mainly to the more northerly initial position,
but otherwise has no major changes. On the forecast track, Fausto
should pass to the north of the Hawaiian Islands tonight through
late Wednesday.

A hostile environment of increasing shear and decreasing moisture
should keep Fausto weakening through the forecast period, with all
of the intensity guidance agreeing on this. The cyclone is now
expected to weaken to a depression by 36 h and then degenerate to a
remnant low by 48 h. After 60 h, the circulation should weaken to a
trough. If convection does not re-develop near the center during
the normal diurnal maximum late tonight, it is possible that the
cyclone could dissipate earlier than forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through today
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 22.5N 152.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 22.9N 153.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 23.4N 156.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 23.9N 158.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 24.5N 161.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 31/0600Z 25.3N 163.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 282045
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST TUE JUL 28 2026

...FAUSTO WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 152.2W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 152.2 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H), AND A
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, FAUSTO SHOULD PASS NORTH
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
ALTHOUGH FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM AS IT PASSES
NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS HAWAII ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES THROUGH TODAY AS
FAUSTO APPROACHES AND BEGINS TO PASS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. LARGE
SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ALONG
EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 282045
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 152.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 152.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 151.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.9N 153.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.4N 156.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.9N 158.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.5N 161.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.3N 163.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 152.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 281621

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 28.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 115.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.07.2026 0 17.7N 115.8W 946 100
0000UTC 29.07.2026 12 18.3N 117.6W 954 88
1200UTC 29.07.2026 24 18.6N 119.2W 959 78
0000UTC 30.07.2026 36 19.5N 121.1W 962 79
1200UTC 30.07.2026 48 20.2N 123.3W 973 61
0000UTC 31.07.2026 60 21.2N 125.6W 979 56
1200UTC 31.07.2026 72 21.9N 128.0W 990 45
0000UTC 01.08.2026 84 22.9N 130.5W 998 41
1200UTC 01.08.2026 96 23.7N 133.4W 1002 39
0000UTC 02.08.2026 108 24.2N 136.0W 1006 33
1200UTC 02.08.2026 120 25.1N 138.9W 1009 32
0000UTC 03.08.2026 132 26.0N 141.4W 1007 35
1200UTC 03.08.2026 144 26.5N 143.1W 1008 28
0000UTC 04.08.2026 156 27.3N 144.3W 1011 26
1200UTC 04.08.2026 168 27.9N 145.5W 1012 22

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 150.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.07.2026 0 22.0N 150.7W 1004 39
0000UTC 29.07.2026 12 23.2N 153.2W 1005 45
1200UTC 29.07.2026 24 23.5N 155.4W 1008 30
0000UTC 30.07.2026 36 24.2N 157.9W 1010 28
1200UTC 30.07.2026 48 25.1N 160.6W 1011 27
0000UTC 31.07.2026 60 26.3N 162.4W 1012 27
1200UTC 31.07.2026 72 27.8N 164.7W 1013 28
0000UTC 01.08.2026 84 29.6N 166.8W 1015 29
1200UTC 01.08.2026 96 32.3N 169.7W 1017 31
0000UTC 02.08.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 281621

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 281612

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 115.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.7N 115.8W INTENSE
00UTC 29.07.2026 18.3N 117.6W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 29.07.2026 18.6N 119.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 30.07.2026 19.5N 121.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 30.07.2026 20.2N 123.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2026 21.1N 125.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.9N 128.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 22.9N 130.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 23.7N 133.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.08.2026 24.2N 136.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 02.08.2026 25.2N 138.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 26.0N 141.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 26.5N 143.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 27.3N 144.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 27.8N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 150.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.07.2026 22.0N 150.7W WEAK
00UTC 29.07.2026 23.2N 153.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 23.6N 155.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 24.2N 157.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 25.1N 160.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.07.2026 26.4N 162.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2026 27.8N 164.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.08.2026 29.7N 166.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2026 32.3N 169.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 281612

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 281600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 039//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 039
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 21.8N 151.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 151.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.3N 153.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 22.7N 155.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 23.2N 158.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 23.7N 160.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 24.4N 163.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 25.0N 165.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
281600Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 151.9W. 28JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E
(FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 257 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 281200Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
281200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282200Z, 290400Z, 291000Z AND
291600Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000735100
00001

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 281435
TCDCP1

Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 39
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

Fausto is continuing to weaken due to the effects of 25 kt of
southwesterly vertical wind shear. The low-level center is exposed
to the southwest of the convective mass, and both scatterometer and
synthetic aperture radar data indicate the circulation is becoming
elongated. While the Hurricane Hunter aircraft previously in the
storm did not re-sample the maximum winds to the northeast, it did
report that the central pressure had risen to near 1004 mb. Based on
this, decreasing satellite intensity estimates, and continuity from
the previous advisory, the initial intensity is reduced to a
possibly generous 50 kt.

The initial motion is now 280/12. As Fausto weakens, the low-level
ridge to the north should steer the cyclone or its remnants
generally west-northwestward for the next several days as shown by
the track guidance. The new track forecast is similar to the
previous forecast, but a little slower, and it lies near the
southern edge of the track guidance envelope close to the HFIP
Corrected Consensus (HCCA) and Google DeepMind forecasts. On the
forecast track, Fausto should pass to the north of the Hawaiian
Islands tonight through late Wednesday.

An already hostile environment is forecast to get more hostile, with
the current strong shear over Fausto increasing during the next 72 h
as the cyclone moves into a drier mid-level air mass. This
combination should cause additional weakening, and all of the
intensity guidance agrees with this. Fausto is expected to weaken to
a depression by 48 h and then degenerate to a remnant low by 72 h.
After that time, the circulation should weaken to a trough. The new
intensity forecast has only minor adjustments from the previous
forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through today
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 21.9N 151.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 29/0000Z 22.3N 153.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 29/1200Z 22.7N 155.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 30/0000Z 23.2N 158.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 30/1200Z 23.7N 160.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 31/0000Z 24.4N 163.1W 25 KT 30 MPH
72H 31/1200Z 25.0N 165.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 281434
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST TUE JUL 28 2026

...FAUSTO TO PASS NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 151.7W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 151.7 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND A GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, FAUSTO SHOULD PASS NORTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
ALTHOUGH FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM AS IT PASSES
NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS HAWAII ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES THROUGH TODAY AS
FAUSTO APPROACHES AND BEGINS TO PASS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. LARGE
SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ALONG
EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 281433
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 151.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 151.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 151.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.3N 153.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.7N 155.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.2N 158.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.7N 160.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.4N 163.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 25.0N 165.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 151.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 281000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 038//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 038
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 149.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 149.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.1N 152.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.6N 154.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 23.1N 156.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.7N 159.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 24.2N 162.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 24.7N 164.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
281000Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 150.5W. 28JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E
(FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 328 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280600Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281600Z, 282200Z,
290400Z AND 291000Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 280851
TCDCP1

Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 38
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Mon Jul 27 2026

Fausto has been struggling this evening as it moves into an
environment of stronger west-southwesterly vertical wind shear and
is already embedded in a very dry airmass, with mid-level relative
humidity values below 40 percent. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft currently flying a mission in Fausto found
maximum 700 mb flight-level winds of 57 kt over the northeast
quadrant of the cyclone, and recent fixes indicate that the central
pressure has risen to near 1000 mb, up a few mb from the previous
flight. The aircraft data and well as recent GPMI, AMSR-2, and
WSF-M microwave overpasses are in agreement that the vortex is
tilted with height, with the low-level center located to the west of
the mid-level center. A recently received ASCAT pass shows that
Fausto has a large area of light winds near the center, and
strongest winds are located about 60 n mi to the north-northeast of
the center. Based on recent center fixes, the low-level center is
now under the very southern edge of the main convective mass, so it
wouldn't be surprising if the center becomes exposed over the next
12 h as Fausto moves into an environment of stronger wind shear.
The initial intensity is lowered to 55 kt for this advisory, which
could be slightly generous.

Fausto is still moving toward the west-northwest at about the same
speed, about 285/13 kt. There is little change to the track
forecast philosophy. Fausto should continue to be steered on a
general west-northwestward track by the mid- to low level
environmental flow for the next several days. The latest official
track forecast is practically unchanged from the previous NHC
advisory, and is closest to the HFIP Corrected Consensus (HCCA) as
well as the Google DeepMind ensemble mean. On this track, Fausto
should pass to the north of the Hawaiian Islands Tuesday night
through late Wednesday.

Fausto is currently experiencing west-southwesterly wind shear of
20-25 kt, and the shear is forecast to increase to 30 kt in about 12
h, and to near 40 kt by hour 36. This, combined with mid-level
relative humidity values remaining in the 30 to 35 percent range,
will lead to continued weakening of Fausto. GFS and ECMWF simulated
satellite imagery indicate that by 36 h, Fausto may only be
producing a few puffs of convection, and the official forecast
still shows a 35-kt tropical storm at that time. After 36 h, the
vortex should continue to spin down while possibility continuing to
produce intermittent bursts of convection. Global models show the
system opening up into a trough around, or just after 72 h. The
NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one and is near
the middle of the guidance envelope. It is possible that Fausto
could dissipate a little sooner than forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 21.7N 150.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 28/1800Z 22.1N 152.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 29/0600Z 22.6N 154.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 29/1800Z 23.1N 156.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 30/0600Z 23.7N 159.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 30/1800Z 24.2N 162.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 31/0600Z 24.7N 164.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 280420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 28.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 114.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.07.2026 0 17.0N 114.5W 935 113
1200UTC 28.07.2026 12 17.7N 116.0W 945 97
0000UTC 29.07.2026 24 18.2N 117.5W 950 89
1200UTC 29.07.2026 36 18.7N 119.1W 959 80
0000UTC 30.07.2026 48 19.4N 120.9W 964 69
1200UTC 30.07.2026 60 20.1N 122.9W 972 62
0000UTC 31.07.2026 72 21.0N 125.2W 977 56
1200UTC 31.07.2026 84 21.8N 127.4W 989 44
0000UTC 01.08.2026 96 22.8N 130.2W 995 42
1200UTC 01.08.2026 108 23.5N 132.8W 1000 43
0000UTC 02.08.2026 120 24.1N 135.4W 1005 37
1200UTC 02.08.2026 132 24.9N 138.4W 1009 33
0000UTC 03.08.2026 144 25.5N 140.5W 1009 31
1200UTC 03.08.2026 156 26.4N 142.0W 1009 27
0000UTC 04.08.2026 168 27.7N 142.6W 1011 23

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 148.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.07.2026 0 21.4N 148.4W 1000 43
1200UTC 28.07.2026 12 22.2N 151.3W 1003 46
0000UTC 29.07.2026 24 22.4N 153.6W 1007 31
1200UTC 29.07.2026 36 22.7N 155.9W 1009 31
0000UTC 30.07.2026 48 23.4N 158.6W 1011 28
1200UTC 30.07.2026 60 23.9N 161.4W 1011 27
0000UTC 31.07.2026 72 24.9N 163.2W 1011 27
1200UTC 31.07.2026 84 25.9N 165.5W 1012 26
0000UTC 01.08.2026 96 27.6N 167.5W 1014 28
1200UTC 01.08.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 280420

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 280409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 114.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 28.07.2026 16.9N 114.6W INTENSE
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.7N 116.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 29.07.2026 18.2N 117.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 29.07.2026 18.7N 119.1W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 30.07.2026 19.4N 120.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 30.07.2026 20.1N 122.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2026 21.0N 125.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.8N 127.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 22.8N 130.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 23.5N 132.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.08.2026 24.1N 135.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 02.08.2026 24.8N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 25.5N 140.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 26.4N 142.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 27.7N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 148.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 28.07.2026 21.4N 148.4W MODERATE
12UTC 28.07.2026 22.2N 151.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 22.4N 153.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 22.7N 155.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 23.3N 158.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 23.9N 161.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.07.2026 24.9N 163.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2026 25.9N 165.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.08.2026 27.5N 167.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 280409

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 280400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 037//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 037
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 06E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 148.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 148.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 22.1N 151.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.6N 153.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 23.0N 155.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 23.5N 158.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 23.9N 160.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 24.2N 163.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280400Z POSITION NEAR 21.7N 149.2W.
28JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 397
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280000Z IS
996 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 281000Z, 281600Z, 282200Z AND 290400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 280237
TCDCP1

Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 37
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Mon Jul 27 2026

Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter mission from a few hours
ago and current satellite-observed trends indicate that the
tropical cyclone is gradually weakening. The maximum 700 mb
flight-level winds from the aircraft were 64 kt over the northwest
quadrant of the circulation, and the estimated minimum central
pressure has risen to at least 996 mb. Based on these observations,
the system is being downgraded to a 60-kt tropical storm for this
advisory. Fausto's convective cloud pattern is becoming less
organized with the banding features starting to lose definition,
although there are still some very cold cloud tops near the
estimated center. Upper-level outflow remains strong over the
northern portion of the circulation.

Center fixes indicate that the tropical cyclone continues moving
west-northwestward, or 285/14 kt. There is little change to the
track forecast philosophy. Fausto should continue to be steered on
a general west-northwestward track by the mid- to low level
environmental flow for the next several days. The official
forecast is quite similar to the latest corrected consensus
dynamical guidance and the Google DeepMind ensemble mean. This is
basically an update of the previous NHC forecast. On this track,
Fausto should pass north of the Hawaiian Islands Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

West-southwesterly vertical wind shear, associated with a belt of
strong upper-level winds near the Hawaiian Islands, is likely to
increase further over Fausto. Moreover, the cyclone will be
moving through a very dry air mass, with low- to mid-level relative
humidities on the order of 35 percent as diagnosed by the SHIPS
model. These hostile atmospheric conditions should result in
continued weakening of Fausto through the forecast period. The
official forecast calls for the system to become a post-tropical
cyclone in 72 hours, but simulated satellite imagery from the
global models suggest that it could become one even sooner than
indicated here.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 21.7N 149.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 22.1N 151.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 22.6N 153.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 23.0N 155.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 23.5N 158.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 30/1200Z 23.9N 160.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 31/0000Z 24.2N 163.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 280235
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 37
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Mon Jul 27 2026

...FAUSTO NOW A TROPICAL STORM...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 149.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
located near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 149.0 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a
generally west-northwestward motion is expected to continue for the
next several days. On the forecast track, Fausto should pass north
of the Hawaiian Islands during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the
next several days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP1 and WMO header WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday as
Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands. Large
surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions along
exposed shores. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 280235
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 149.0W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 149.0W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 148.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.1N 151.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.6N 153.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 10SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 158.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N 160.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.2N 163.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 149.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 272200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 036//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 21.1N 146.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 146.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.8N 149.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.3N 152.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.8N 154.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 23.1N 156.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.6N 159.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 24.0N 161.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
272200Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 147.7W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 474 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271800Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
280400Z, 281000Z, 281600Z AND 282200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 272048
TCDCP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 36
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Mon Jul 27 2026

Another Air Force Reconnaissance mission is investigating Fausto,
and has so far found a weakening tropical cyclone. Peak 700 mb
flight level winds in the northwest quadrant were 70 kt, and the
minimum central pressure has risen to at least 994 mb. The
subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates have also
started to decrease in the past few hours. These observations
suggest that Fausto is now barely a hurricane, with an initial
intensity of 65 kt for this advisory.

Recon fixes indicate that Fausto has tracked a little right of the
previous forecast track, though its current motion remains
west-northwestward, at 285/13 kt. The track reasoning is the same as
the previous advisory, with the hurricane being steered by a low- to
mid-level ridge north of the system. This synoptic pattern should
keep Fausto on a steady west-northwest heading over the next several
days. Some wobbles in this general track could occur as the shear
increases and the convective structure becomes increasingly
asymmetric while the overall circulation becomes more vertically
shallow. The track guidance this cycle trended a bit north,
partially due to the initial position adjustment. The NHC track was
nudged a little northward and lies closest to the Google DeepMind
ensemble mean (GDMI). On this track, Fausto should pass north of the
Hawaiian Islands Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Vertical wind shear over Fausto is already diagnosed between 18-20
kt by the SHIPS guidance, and is forecast to increase to above 30 kt
in 24 h and above 40 kt in 48 h. This shear, combined with an
increasingly dry and stable environment should cause the low-level
circulation to decouple from the convection as this activity
becomes increasingly displaced down-shear. Thus, continued weakening
is anticipated, and the latest NHC intensity forecast shows Fausto
weakening below hurricane intensity in 12 h, and below tropical
storm intensity in 60 h. This forecast is in good agreement with the
overall intensity guidance. Simulated satellite imagery from the GFS
and ECMWF suggest the storm may lose organized convection between
60-72 h, marking its transition to a post-tropical remnant low,
though given the unfavorable conditions, this could occur sooner
than forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 21.3N 147.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 21.8N 149.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 28/1800Z 22.3N 152.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 29/0600Z 22.8N 154.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 29/1800Z 23.1N 156.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 30/0600Z 23.6N 159.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 30/1800Z 24.0N 161.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 272046
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST MON JUL 27 2026

...AIRCRAFT DATA FINDS FAUSTO WEAKENING...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 147.5W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED BY AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 21.3
NORTH, LONGITUDE 147.5 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H), AND A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
(220 KM).

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AIRCRAFT DROPSONDE DATA IS
994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 272045
TCMCP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 147.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 147.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 146.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.8N 149.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.3N 152.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.8N 154.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.1N 156.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.6N 159.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N 161.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 147.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 271620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 112.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.07.2026 0 15.9N 112.7W 930 113
0000UTC 28.07.2026 12 17.2N 114.6W 953 90
1200UTC 28.07.2026 24 18.0N 116.4W 955 82
0000UTC 29.07.2026 36 18.6N 118.2W 956 84
1200UTC 29.07.2026 48 18.9N 119.8W 963 75
0000UTC 30.07.2026 60 19.5N 121.7W 971 64
1200UTC 30.07.2026 72 20.1N 123.6W 978 54
0000UTC 31.07.2026 84 21.0N 125.7W 983 51
1200UTC 31.07.2026 96 21.9N 128.4W 992 45
0000UTC 01.08.2026 108 22.5N 131.1W 998 42
1200UTC 01.08.2026 120 23.2N 133.6W 1002 38
0000UTC 02.08.2026 132 24.0N 136.4W 1007 35
1200UTC 02.08.2026 144 24.9N 139.1W 1007 34
0000UTC 03.08.2026 156 25.9N 141.4W 1009 29
1200UTC 03.08.2026 168 26.6N 143.4W 1011 26

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 20.6N 145.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.07.2026 0 20.6N 145.7W 994 58
0000UTC 28.07.2026 12 21.3N 148.9W 1000 42
1200UTC 28.07.2026 24 21.6N 151.6W 1005 38
0000UTC 29.07.2026 36 22.4N 154.1W 1008 32
1200UTC 29.07.2026 48 22.9N 156.6W 1009 29
0000UTC 30.07.2026 60 23.3N 159.2W 1010 27
1200UTC 30.07.2026 72 23.5N 161.6W 1010 28
0000UTC 31.07.2026 84 24.4N 164.1W 1011 27
1200UTC 31.07.2026 96 24.7N 166.5W 1012 28
0000UTC 01.08.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 33.9N 69.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.07.2026 24 33.9N 69.3W 1006 29
0000UTC 29.07.2026 36 37.1N 63.1W 1006 33
1200UTC 29.07.2026 48 41.1N 56.8W 1004 35
0000UTC 30.07.2026 60 45.1N 49.9W 1006 31
1200UTC 30.07.2026 72 45.6N 44.7W 1006 29
0000UTC 31.07.2026 84 45.0N 40.4W 1009 28
1200UTC 31.07.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 271620

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 271600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 035//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 035
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 20.5N 145.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 145.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.2N 148.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.8N 150.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.3N 153.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 22.6N 155.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 22.9N 157.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 23.4N 160.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
271600Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 146.4W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 543 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271200Z IS 986 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
272200Z AND 280400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 271448
TCDCP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 35
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Mon Jul 27 2026

Before departing, the last leg of the overnight Air Force
Reconnaissance mission found that Fausto was more or less steady
state, with the surface pressure in the 986-988 mb range and enough
flight level winds to support maintaining the intensity of at least
70 kt. Since the plane departed, the hurricane's satellite structure
has also held steady, with an irregular central dense overcast near
and to the north of the estimated center. While there is no lack of
upper-level outflow, increasing mid-level vertical wind shear
appears to be undercutting the outflow, with increasing tilt also
noted on microwave imagery from a 12 UTC GPM pass. Satellite
intensity estimates have not changed appreciably since the last
aircraft mission, so the initial intensity remains 70 kt for this
advisory.

Fausto continues to move west-northwestward, estimated at 285/12 kt.
The track reasoning remains unchanged, with the hurricane being
steered by a low- to mid-level ridge parked north of the system.
This feature should keep Fausto on a steady west-northwest heading
through the middle part of the week. Some wobbles in this general
track could occur in the 24-60 h period as shear increases and
Fausto's convective structure becomes increasingly asymmetric.
Regardless, the track guidance has remained consistent over the last
few cycles, and the NHC track forecast is very close to the prior
one, once again blending the HFIP corrected consensus approach
(HCCA) and Google DeepMind ensemble mean (GDMI). On this track,
Fausto should pass north of the Hawaiian Islands Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

The mid-level shear affecting Fausto this morning is an early sign
that shear is beginning to disrupt its structure. Westerly vertical
wind shear increases above 30 kt in 24-36 h, which is expected to
cause the convection to become increasingly displaced northeast of
the center. As Fausto passes north of the Hawaiian Islands, it is
forecast to be a steadily weakening tropical storm. Simulated
satellite imagery from the GFS, ECMWF, and HAFS models show the
tropical cyclone losing organized convection between days 2 and 3,
and the latest NHC intensity forecast now shows Fausto becoming a
remnant low in 72 h, with dissipation shortly thereafter. The NHC
intensity forecast is similar to the prior one, near the middle to
upper portion of the guidance.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 20.7N 146.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 21.2N 148.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 21.8N 150.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 22.3N 153.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 29/1200Z 22.6N 155.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 30/0000Z 22.9N 157.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 30/1200Z 23.4N 160.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 271446
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST MON JUL 27 2026

...FAUSTO STILL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 146.2W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 146.2 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
(220 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB (29.12 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS HAWAII ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES THROUGH TUESDAY AS
FAUSTO APPROACHES AND BEGINS TO PASS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. LARGE
SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ALONG
EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 271446
TCMCP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 146.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 120SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 146.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 145.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.2N 148.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.8N 150.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.3N 153.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.6N 155.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.9N 157.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.4N 160.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 146.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 271000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 034//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 034
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 144.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 144.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 20.8N 146.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.5N 149.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.0N 151.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.5N 154.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 22.8N 156.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.3N 159.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 24.6N 164.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
271000Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 145.1W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 615 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271600Z AND 272200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 270845
TCDCP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 34
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sun Jul 26 2026

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Fausto
earlier in the evening mission found a minimum central pressure of
984 mb and peak 700-mb flight-level winds of 81 kt in the
northeastern quadrant, supporting an intensity near 75 kt. However,
a subsequent center fix closer to the advisory time indicated that
the central pressure had risen to 988 mb. Combined with the
continued degradation in Fausto's convective structure evident in
satellite imagery, these data support lowering the initial intensity
to 70 kt.

The initial motion estimate is 285/12 kt. The overall track forecast
philosophy remains unchanged, with a low- to mid-level subtropical
ridge forecast to remain positioned north of Fausto during the next
several days. This steering pattern should keep the hurricane moving
generally west to west-northwestward at a similar forward speed
through the middle of the week. As Fausto steadily weakens and
becomes increasingly shallow, it should become more influenced by
the low-level steering flow. This could result in subtle track
deviations during the next couple of days. The NHC guidance is
essentially unchanged from the previous forecast and lies near the
Google DeepMind ensemble mean and multi-model consensus (HCCA).

Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly less
favorable for Fausto during the next couple of days as the hurricane
moves into a drier mid-level environment over marginal sea surface
temperatures. Additionally, southwesterly vertical wind shear is
forecast to steadily increase over the next few days. Simulated
satellite imagery depicts a similar evolution, with the convective
structure eroding over the next day or so. By the time Fausto moves
north of the Hawaiian Islands, it is forecast to be a weakening
tropical storm, with the deepest convection becoming increasingly
displaced from the low-level center and the strongest winds confined
to the northern side of the circulation. The latest NHC intensity
forecast is little changed from the previous advisory and remains
near the middle to upper portion of the guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
vicinity of the Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current
forecast indicates that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall
will remain north of the islands, interests across Hawaii should
continue to monitor the progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across the state along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0900Z 20.4N 144.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 20.8N 146.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 21.5N 149.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 22.0N 151.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 22.5N 154.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 29/1800Z 22.8N 156.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 30/0600Z 23.3N 159.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 31/0600Z 24.6N 164.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 270844
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SUN JUL 26 2026

...FAUSTO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 144.8W
ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 144.8 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND A
GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE STATE ALONG EXPOSED EAST-FACING SHORES THROUGH TUESDAY AS
FAUSTO APPROACHES AND BEGINS TO PASS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. LARGE
SURF AND STRONG CURRENTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ALONG
EXPOSED SHORES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 270843
TCMCP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 144.8W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 210SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 144.8W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 144.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.8N 146.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.5N 149.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.0N 151.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N 154.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.8N 156.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N 159.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 24.6N 164.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 144.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 270421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 27.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 110.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.07.2026 0 14.4N 110.9W 948 96
1200UTC 27.07.2026 12 15.5N 112.9W 965 78
0000UTC 28.07.2026 24 16.7N 114.8W 961 77
1200UTC 28.07.2026 36 17.6N 116.6W 964 73
0000UTC 29.07.2026 48 18.3N 118.3W 962 73
1200UTC 29.07.2026 60 18.8N 120.1W 966 71
0000UTC 30.07.2026 72 19.2N 121.9W 969 63
1200UTC 30.07.2026 84 19.7N 123.6W 977 56
0000UTC 31.07.2026 96 20.4N 125.6W 984 52
1200UTC 31.07.2026 108 21.0N 127.9W 991 47
0000UTC 01.08.2026 120 21.6N 130.3W 997 45
1200UTC 01.08.2026 132 22.1N 132.9W 1001 40
0000UTC 02.08.2026 144 22.5N 135.9W 1004 38
1200UTC 02.08.2026 156 23.4N 138.6W 1003 37
0000UTC 03.08.2026 168 23.9N 140.8W 1005 33

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N 143.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.07.2026 0 20.1N 143.2W 988 62
1200UTC 27.07.2026 12 20.7N 145.8W 993 56
0000UTC 28.07.2026 24 21.3N 148.8W 999 47
1200UTC 28.07.2026 36 21.8N 151.7W 1004 38
0000UTC 29.07.2026 48 22.5N 154.1W 1008 31
1200UTC 29.07.2026 60 23.2N 156.5W 1009 32
0000UTC 30.07.2026 72 23.7N 159.4W 1009 30
1200UTC 30.07.2026 84 24.1N 161.8W 1010 25
0000UTC 31.07.2026 96 25.6N 163.7W 1012 27
1200UTC 31.07.2026 108 27.0N 166.1W 1013 27
0000UTC 01.08.2026 120 28.7N 168.5W 1015 28
1200UTC 01.08.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 33.4N 69.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.07.2026 36 33.4N 69.6W 1007 27
0000UTC 29.07.2026 48 35.5N 65.7W 1005 30
1200UTC 29.07.2026 60 38.5N 61.4W 1007 33
0000UTC 30.07.2026 72 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 38.5N 70.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 30.07.2026 72 38.7N 69.5W 994 36
1200UTC 30.07.2026 84 41.4N 67.8W 995 34
0000UTC 31.07.2026 96 43.2N 66.8W 997 33
1200UTC 31.07.2026 108 44.8N 64.7W 1002 29
0000UTC 01.08.2026 120 46.4N 62.3W 1006 22
1200UTC 01.08.2026 132 47.1N 59.9W 1007 21
0000UTC 02.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 270421

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 270411

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 110.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 27.07.2026 14.4N 110.9W INTENSE
12UTC 27.07.2026 15.5N 112.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 16.7N 114.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.5N 116.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 18.3N 118.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 18.8N 120.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 19.2N 121.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 19.7N 123.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2026 20.4N 125.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.0N 127.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 21.6N 130.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 22.1N 132.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.08.2026 22.5N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2026 23.5N 138.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 23.9N 140.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N 143.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 27.07.2026 20.1N 143.2W MODERATE
12UTC 27.07.2026 20.8N 145.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 21.3N 148.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.07.2026 21.7N 151.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 29.07.2026 22.5N 154.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 23.1N 156.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 23.8N 159.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 24.1N 161.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.07.2026 25.6N 163.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2026 27.0N 166.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.08.2026 28.6N 168.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 33.4N 69.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.07.2026 33.4N 69.6W WEAK
00UTC 29.07.2026 35.5N 65.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 38.4N 61.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 36.8N 73.7W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 29.07.2026 37.8N 72.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 30.07.2026 38.7N 69.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 41.4N 67.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.07.2026 43.2N 66.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2026 44.8N 64.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 46.4N 62.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 46.6N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2026 48.7N 57.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 18.2N 100.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 03.08.2026 18.2N 100.5W WEAK

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 270411

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 270400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 033
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 20.0N 143.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 143.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.5N 145.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.0N 148.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.7N 151.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.1N 153.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 22.6N 155.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 23.0N 158.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 24.1N 163.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
270400Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 143.9W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 683 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270000Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271000Z, 271600Z, 272200Z AND 280400Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 270236
TCDCP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 33
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sun Jul 26 2026

Satellite imagery indicates that Fausto's overall structure has
changed little during the past several hours. Despite the dry
surrounding environment, the cyclone has maintained its convective
structure with the low-level circulation now embedded in a central
dense overcast with cloud top temperatures around -75 C. The latest
subjective Dvorak intensity estimates range from T4.0/64 kt from
JTWC to T4.5/77 kt from HFO, which generally align with the latest
DMINT and DPRINT intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS. Based on the
satellite presentation and these intensity estimates, the initial
intensity is held at 75 kt. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate Fausto later this evening. The
reconnaissance data should help further improve confidence in
subsequent track and intensity forecasts.

The initial motion estimate is 280/13 kt. The overall track forecast
philosophy remains unchanged, with a low- to mid-level subtropical
ridge forecast to remain positioned north of Fausto during the next
several days. This steering pattern should keep the hurricane moving
generally west to west-northwestward at a similar forward speed
through the middle of the week. As Fausto steadily weakens and
becomes increasingly shallow, it should become more influenced by
the low-level steering flow. This could result in subtle track
deviations during the next couple of days. The NHC guidance is
essentially unchanged from the previous forecast and lies near the
Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly less
favorable for Fausto during the next couple of days as the hurricane
moves into a drier mid-level environment over marginal sea surface
temperatures. Additionally, southwesterly vertical wind shear is
forecast to steadily increase during the next few days. Simulated
satellite imagery depicts a similar evolution, with the convective
structure gradually eroding over the next day or so. By the time
Fausto moves north of the Hawaiian Islands, it is forecast to be a
weakening tropical storm, with the deepest convection becoming
increasingly displaced from the low-level center and the strongest
winds confined to the northern side of the circulation. The latest
NHC intensity forecast is little changed from the previous advisory
and remains near the middle to upper portion of the guidance
envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to weaken as it approaches the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across the state along exposed east-facing shores through Tuesday
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 20.1N 143.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 20.5N 145.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 28/0000Z 21.0N 148.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 28/1200Z 21.7N 151.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 29/0000Z 22.1N 153.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 29/1200Z 22.6N 155.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 30/0000Z 23.0N 158.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 31/0000Z 24.1N 163.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 270234
TCMCP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 143.7W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 35SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 143.7W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 143.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 145.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.0N 148.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.7N 151.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.1N 153.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.6N 155.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N 158.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 262200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 032//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 032
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 19.8N 141.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 141.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.1N 144.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 20.7N 147.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.3N 149.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 21.8N 152.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.2N 154.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 22.7N 157.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 23.7N 162.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
262200Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 142.6W.
26JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 757 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 261800Z IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
270400Z, 271000Z, 271600Z AND 272200Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0001027400
00002

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 262045
TCDCP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 32
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sun Jul 26 2026

Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating Fausto today
has found the hurricane is more or less steady state from this
morning. Their peak 700 mb flight level winds were 86 kt in the
northeast quadrant, though with a higher minimum pressure of 984 mb.
On satellite, the hurricane's presentation has stabilized somewhat,
with cold convective cloud tops trying to wrap around a cloud-filled
eye after dry air infiltrated the core earlier this morning. A
standard reduction of the flight-level winds still supports an
intensity of 75 kt for this advisory.

Center fixes from the aircraft also found Fausto's center a little
south of the satellite estimates, but it continues to move generally
westward at 280/12 kt. The track philosophy is unchanged from
earlier, with a low- to mid-level ridge north of Fausto expected to
steer the tropical cyclone on a west-northwest heading at a similar
forward speed over the next 3 to 4 days. As Fausto encounters higher
shear on its path in 36-48 h, convective burst on its downshear side
might result in some track fluctuation, though ultimately the storm
will become more vertically shallow, steered increasingly by the
low-level flow. Compared to the previous cycle, the track guidance
has shifted a touch south, though some of this change is a
reflection of the farther south initial position. The NHC track
forecast was also nudged in that direction, roughly in between the
reliable HFIP corrected consensus approach (HCCA) and Google
DeepMind ensemble mean (GDMI). On the forecast track, Fausto still
should pass north of the Hawaiian Islands on Tuesday night into
Wednesday with the bulk of the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall
remaining north of the islands.

Fausto's core continues to battle against dry air intrusions on its
west side, with the most recent recon fix still indicating an
eyewall that remains open to the northwest. After the next 24 h,
westerly vertical wind shear increases quite dramatically, with
EC-SHIPS showing this shear increasing above 30 kt in 48 h. Thus,
while gradual weakening should continue in the short term, a faster
rate of weakening is expected beyond the next day or so. The latest
NHC intensity forecast now shows Fausto weakening to a remnant low
in 96 h as the storm loses convective organization, with dissipation
occurring shortly thereafter. This intensity forecast is a bit on
the high side early on, but falls roughly in the middle of the
intensity guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to weaken as it approaches the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.

2. Confidence remains high that swells generated by Fausto will
reach the Hawaiian Islands well in advance of the cyclone, producing
increasing surf and dangerous rip currents. Surf is expected to
steadily build westward across the state over the next few days as
Fausto approaches and passes to the north.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 19.9N 142.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 20.1N 144.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 20.7N 147.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 28/0600Z 21.3N 149.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 28/1800Z 21.8N 152.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 29/0600Z 22.2N 154.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 29/1800Z 22.7N 157.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 30/1800Z 23.7N 162.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 262039
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST SUN JUL 26 2026

...RECON FINDS FAUSTO STILL A HURRICANE WITH 85 MPH WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 142.4W
ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED BY AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE
19.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 142.4 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST
NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND A GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM).

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AIRCRAFT DROPSONDE DATA IS
984 MB (29.06 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF HAWAII TODAY, SPREADING
WESTWARD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH TUESDAY
AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES INTO THE AREA. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 262038
TCMCP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 142.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 35SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 142.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 141.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.1N 144.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.7N 147.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.3N 149.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.8N 152.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.2N 154.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N 157.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 261600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 031//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 031
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 19.8N 140.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 140.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.1N 143.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.6N 145.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.2N 148.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.7N 151.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.2N 153.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 22.8N 155.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 24.0N 160.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 25.4N 165.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
261600Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 141.3W. 26JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 824 NM EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 261200Z IS
977 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262200Z, 270400Z, 271000Z AND 271600Z. REFER TO HURRICANE
07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 261448
TCDCP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 31
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sun Jul 26 2026

Fausto's structure on satellite imagery continues to slowly lose
organization, with the earlier cloud-filled eye no longer being
observed. The remaining central dense overcast is also starting to
become more asymmetric, likely due to dry air entrainment as seen
from an earlier AMSR2 pass that showed the inner-core was
significantly eroded on the western side. The 12 UTC subjective
Dvorak intensity estimates were T4.5/77 kt from both TAFB and PHFO,
though their Data-T numbers are decreasing. Objective intensity
estimates range from 68 to 82 kt, and the initial intensity is being
lowered to 75 kt for this advisory. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter and NOAA G-IV aircraft are scheduled to investigate the
hurricane later today, and their data will be beneficial for
refinements to the track and intensity forecast.

The hurricane continues to move westward at 280/12 kt. This motion
is expected to continue for the next several days as Fausto remains
steered by a prominent low to mid-level subtropical ridge centered
to its north. While the upper-level portion of this ridge is
becoming eroded by a mid-ocean trough located north of Hawaii,
Fausto is likely to become more vertically shallow, only being
steered by the low-level flow later on in the forecast. The latest
track guidance continues to be in good agreement through the next
4-5 days, and the latest NHC track forecast is very close to the
prior one, nearest to the HFIP corrected consensus approach (HCCA)
aid. On the forecast track, Fausto should pass to the north of the
Hawaiian islands on Tuesday night into Wednesday with the bulk of
the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall remaining north of the
islands.

Dry air entrainment is likely to continue as Fausto moves into an
even drier environment. This should result in continued slow
weakening over the next 24 to 36 h. Thereafter, westerly vertical
wind shear begins to increase sharply which will further hasten the
weakening process, even as the storm begins to move over warmer sea
surface temperatures. By the time Fausto passes north of the
Hawaiian Islands, it is forecast to be a weakening tropical storm,
with the deepest convection becoming increasingly displaced from the
low-level center and the strongest winds confined to the northern
side of the circulation. By the end of the forecast, Fausto will
likely lose convective organization, with it now forecast to become
a remnant low in 120 h. The NHC intensity forecast is quite similar
to the previous advisory and remains on the higher end of the
guidance envelope.

Now that Fausto is in the Central Pacific, additional information on
Fausto can be found under Central Pacific basin headers beginning
with this advisory, 500 AM HST. Future Tropical Cyclone Discussions
will be issued under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP1 and WMO header WTPA41
PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the web at
hurricanes.gov

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is expected to weaken as it approaches the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although confidence continues to
increase that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain
north of the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to
monitor the progress of Fausto.

2. Confidence remains high that swells generated by Fausto will
reach the Hawaiian Islands well in advance of the cyclone, producing
increasing surf and dangerous rip currents. Surf is expected to
steadily build westward across the state over the next few days as
Fausto approaches and passes to the north.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 19.9N 141.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 27/0000Z 20.1N 143.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 27/1200Z 20.6N 145.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 28/0000Z 21.2N 148.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 28/1200Z 21.7N 151.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 29/0000Z 22.2N 153.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 29/1200Z 22.8N 155.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 30/1200Z 24.0N 160.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
120H 31/1200Z 25.4N 165.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPA31 PHFO 261445
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST SUN JUL 26 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THIS WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 141.1W
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 141.1 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
(280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB (28.85 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF HAWAII LATER TODAY,
SPREADING WESTWARD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND CONTINUE BUILDING
THROUGH TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES INTO THE AREA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
FUTURE INFORMATION ON FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND UNDER CENTRAL PACIFIC
BASIN HEADERS STARTING WITH THIS ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST, UNDER AWIPS
HEADER HFOTCPCP1, WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO. PRODUCTS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV.

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 261444
TCMCP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 141.1W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 141.1W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 143.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.6N 145.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.2N 148.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.7N 151.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.2N 153.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.8N 155.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 261000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 030//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 030
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 19.6N 139.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 139.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 20.0N 141.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.4N 144.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 21.0N 146.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.5N 149.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.0N 151.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.6N 154.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 23.9N 159.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 25.5N 163.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
261000Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 140.0W.
26JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 898 NM EAST OF
HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260600Z IS 974 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261600Z, 262200Z,
270400Z AND 271000Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 260848
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 PM HST SAT JUL 25 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO'S CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE HAS
BEGUN TO GRADUALLY DETERIORATE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
MID-LEVEL DRY AIR HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ENTRAINED INTO THE
CIRCULATION, RESULTING IN THE EROSION OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTS EROSION
OF PORTIONS OF THE EYEWALL. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS T4.5/77 KT, WHILE OBJECTIVE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS GENERALLY RANGE FROM 75 TO 85 KT. GIVEN THE
RECENT DEGRADATION IN THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION, THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 80 KT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND A NOAA AIRCRAFT ARE SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE FAUSTO ON
SUNDAY. THE RECONNAISSANCE DATA SHOULD HELP IMPROVE CONFIDENCE IN
SUBSEQUENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 280/11 KT AS FAUSTO MOVES INTO
THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
REMAINS POSITIONED NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE
REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 72 H, WITH SOME INCREASE IN
CROSS-TRACK SPREAD THEREAFTER AS FAUSTO PASSES NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. THE NHC FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY, AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS (HCCA).

FAUSTO HAS LIKELY BEGUN A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES INTO A
DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
ADDITIONALLY, SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
STEADILY INCREASE BEGINNING IN AROUND 24 H. SIMULATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A SIMILAR EVOLUTION, WITH THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE
GRADUALLY ERODING LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY THE TIME
FAUSTO MOVES NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, IT IS FORECAST TO BE A
WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM, WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION BECOMING
INCREASINGLY DISPLACED FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND THE STRONGEST
WINDS CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND
REMAINS NEAR THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

BASED ON THE PREDICTED SHEARED NATURE OF THE STORM, THE RISK OF
SUSTAINED TROPICAL-FORCE-WINDS ON LAND SHOULD REMAIN LOW AS LONG AS
THE FORECAST TRACK STAYS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN HAWAII
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE VICINITY OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING
THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
THE ISLANDS, INTERESTS ACROSS HAWAII SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FAUSTO.

2. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL REACH THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE, PRODUCING
INCREASING SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. SURF IS EXPECTED TO
STEADILY BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE STATE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
FAUSTO APPROACHES AND PASSES TO THE NORTH.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 19.7N 139.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 20.0N 141.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 21.0N 146.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 21.5N 149.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 28/1800Z 22.0N 151.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 29/0600Z 22.6N 154.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 30/0600Z 23.9N 159.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 31/0600Z 25.5N 163.5W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/PIERCE/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 260846
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026

...FAUSTO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 139.8W
ABOUT 995 MI...1600 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 139.8 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Surf generated by Fausto is expected to begin building across
east-facing shores of the eastern end of Hawaii on Sunday, spreading
westward Sunday night into Monday, and continue building through
Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves into the area. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Pierce/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 260846
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 139.8W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 110SE 110SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 139.8W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 139.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 141.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 15SE 10SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 146.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.5N 149.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.0N 151.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.6N 154.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.9N 159.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 5SE 0SW 40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 25.5N 163.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 139.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/PIERCE/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 260400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 029
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 19.4N 138.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 138.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.8N 140.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.2N 143.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.7N 145.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.3N 148.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.8N 150.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.4N 153.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 23.5N 157.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 24.5N 162.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
260400Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 139.0W.
26JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 955 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260000Z IS 971 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
261000Z, 261600Z, 262200Z AND 270400Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 260236
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 PM HST SAT JUL 25 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO'S OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS
CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. DESPITE THE DRY
SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT AND THE OCCASIONAL DRY AIR INTRUSION, THE
CYCLONE HAS MAINTAINED ITS CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE WITH A SYMMETRIC
EYEWALL AND WELL-ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW. THE RAGGED EYE, HOWEVER, HAS
RECENTLY BECOME OBSCURED WITH CLOUDS. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS T5.0/90 KT, WHILE OBJECTIVE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS RANGE FROM 80 TO AROUND 95 KT.
BASED ON THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 85 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 280/11 KT, AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A
STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS POSITIONED NORTH OF THE CYCLONE.
THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT AND REMAINS
TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH THE MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK AS THE
SYSTEM PASSES NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE NHC FORECAST HAS
AGAIN BEEN NUDGED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS (HCCA) BETWEEN 60-96 H.

FAUSTO IS MOVING INTO A DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER MARGINAL
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER 36 H WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN. SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SIMILAR
EVOLUTION, MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONE INTO TOMORROW BEFORE
GRADUALLY ERODING THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. BY THE TIME FAUSTO MOVES INTO THE VICINITY OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, IT IS FORECAST TO BE A WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM
WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISPLACED FROM THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND THE STRONGEST WINDS CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN
SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS LITTLE
CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND REMAINS NEAR THE UPPER END OF
THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

BASED ON THE PREDICTED SHEARED NATURE OF THE STORM, THE RISK OF
SUSTAINED TROPICAL-FORCE-WINDS ON LAND SHOULD BE LOW AS LONG AS THE
FORECAST TRACK STAYS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN HAWAII
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE VICINITY OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING
THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE
NORTH OF THE ISLANDS, INTERESTS ACROSS HAWAII SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAUSTO.

2. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL REACH THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE, PRODUCING
INCREASING SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. SURF IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF THE
STATE ON SUNDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND
CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES
INTO THE AREA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 19.5N 138.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 20.2N 143.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 20.7N 145.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 21.3N 148.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 21.8N 150.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 22.4N 153.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 23.5N 157.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 24.5N 162.4W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 260234
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026

...FAUSTO HOLDING STEADY...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC EARLY SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 138.8W
ABOUT 1060 MI...1705 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 138.8 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Surf generated by Fausto is expected to begin building across
east-facing shores of the eastern end of Hawaii on Sunday, spreading
westward Sunday night into Monday, and continue building through
Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves into the area. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 260234
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 138.8W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 138.8W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 138.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.2N 143.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.7N 145.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.3N 148.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.8N 150.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.4N 153.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 5SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 157.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 10SE 0SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 24.5N 162.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 138.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 252200
WARNING ATCG MIL 06E NEP 260725212742
2026072518 06E FAUSTO 028 03 280 11 SATL 020
T000 192N 1370W 085 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T012 196N 1392W 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 200N 1416W 075 R064 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 204N 1443W 070 R064 025 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 209N 1470W 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T060 215N 1496W 055 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 221N 1523W 050 R050 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 230N 1570W 040 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 240N 1620W 030
AMP
SUBJ: HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 028
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 028
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 19.2N 137.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 137.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 19.6N 139.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 20.0N 141.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.4N 144.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 20.9N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.5N 149.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.1N 152.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 23.0N 157.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 24.0N 162.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
252200Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 137.7W.
25JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1024 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251800Z IS 971 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
260400Z, 261000Z, 261600Z AND 262200Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0626071618 82N1001W 20
0626071700 85N1011W 20
0626071706 89N1022W 20
0626071712 93N1033W 20
0626071718 97N1042W 20
0626071800 100N1049W 20
0626071806 102N1056W 25
0626071812 105N1064W 25
0626071818 108N1075W 25
0626071900 112N1087W 30
0626071906 117N1097W 30
0626071912 120N1109W 30
0626071918 122N1121W 35
0626072000 125N1136W 40
0626072006 128N1150W 45
0626072012 134N1159W 50
0626072012 134N1159W 50
0626072018 139N1163W 60
0626072018 139N1163W 60
0626072100 144N1170W 65
0626072100 144N1170W 65
0626072100 144N1170W 65
0626072106 151N1176W 70
0626072106 151N1176W 70
0626072106 151N1176W 70
0626072112 160N1184W 65
0626072112 160N1184W 65
0626072112 160N1184W 65
0626072118 164N1193W 65
0626072118 164N1193W 65
0626072118 164N1193W 65
0626072200 165N1198W 70
0626072200 165N1198W 70
0626072200 165N1198W 70
0626072206 166N1204W 75
0626072206 166N1204W 75
0626072206 166N1204W 75
0626072212 169N1210W 70
0626072212 169N1210W 70
0626072212 169N1210W 70
0626072218 171N1215W 70
0626072218 171N1215W 70
0626072218 171N1215W 70
0626072300 174N1224W 70
0626072300 174N1224W 70
0626072300 174N1224W 70
0626072306 177N1236W 70
0626072306 177N1236W 70
0626072306 177N1236W 70
0626072312 179N1248W 70
0626072312 179N1248W 70
0626072312 179N1248W 70
0626072318 181N1262W 75
0626072318 181N1262W 75
0626072318 181N1262W 75
0626072400 182N1277W 80
0626072400 182N1277W 80
0626072400 182N1277W 80
0626072406 185N1292W 80
0626072406 185N1292W 80
0626072406 185N1292W 80
0626072412 185N1306W 90
0626072412 185N1306W 90
0626072412 185N1306W 90
0626072418 186N1320W 90
0626072418 186N1320W 90
0626072418 186N1320W 90
0626072500 186N1333W 90
0626072500 186N1333W 90
0626072500 186N1333W 90
0626072506 187N1345W 85
0626072506 187N1345W 85
0626072506 187N1345W 85
0626072512 190N1359W 85
0626072512 190N1359W 85
0626072512 190N1359W 85
0626072518 192N1370W 85
0626072518 192N1370W 85
0626072518 192N1370W 85
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 252034
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 AM HST SAT JUL 25 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES WESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC EARLY SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 137.6W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1835 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FAUSTO.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 137.6 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES (65 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
(295 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB (28.68 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: SURF GENERATED BY FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF HAWAII ON SUNDAY, SPREADING
WESTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH
TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES INTO THE AREA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 252035
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 AM HST SAT JUL 25 2026

THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF FAUSTO HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH SINCE
EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE RAGGED, 25 N MI WIDE EYE OF THE HURRICANE
IS SURROUNDED BY A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION THAT HAS INTERMITTENTLY
BEEN DISRUPTED BY SOME INTRUSIONS OF DRY AIR. THE LATEST D-MINT,
D-PRINT, AND AIDT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS ARE ALL HOVERING AROUND 85
KT, WHICH IS THE BASIS FOR HOLDING THE INITIAL INTENSITY THERE FOR
THIS ADVISORY. A NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION IS
CURRENTLY UNDERWAY TO SAMPLE THE ENVIRONMENT AROUND FAUSTO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING INTO A DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER MARGINAL
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER 36 H WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN. THE INTENSITY MODELS UNANIMOUSLY AGREE THAT
FAUSTO WILL WEAKEN ON ITS APPROACH TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND REMAINS NEAR
THE SIMPLE (IVCN) AND CORRECTED (HCCA) CONSENSUS AIDS. A FASTER RATE
OF WEAKENING IS SHOWN FROM 60-120 H ONCE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME INCREASINGLY HOSTILE. AS FAUSTO MOVES TOWARD THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS, THE WIND FIELD IS PREDICTED TO SHRINK AND BECOME
ASYMMETRIC, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS BECOMING DISPLACED TO THE
NORTHERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION.

A NARROW SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC
OCEAN CONTINUES TO STEER THE HURRICANE TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 KT.
FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD HEADING THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK, BRINGING THE SYSTEM INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN
TOMORROW AND TOWARD HAWAII THEREAFTER. A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC MAY WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE ENOUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK TO INDUCE A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION LATER IN THE
PERIOD. THE TRACK GUIDANCE TRENDED NORTHWARD ONCE AGAIN AND IS
COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT FAUSTO SHOULD PASS NEAR BUT TO THE
NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH DURING
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE NHC FORECAST WAS NUDGED NORTH OF THE
PREVIOUS PREDICTION BETWEEN 60-120 H, TOWARD THE LATEST CONSENSUS
AIDS (TVCN, HCCA) AND GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE MEAN (GDMI).

REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT FAUSTO
WILL PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS, INCREASED SURF, AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WHILE IT APPROACHES AND PASSES NEAR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
BASED ON THE PREDICTED SHEARED NATURE OF THE STORM, THE RISK OF
SUSTAINED TROPICAL-FORCE-WINDS ON LAND SHOULD BE LOW AS LONG AS THE
FORECAST TRACK STAYS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN HAWAII
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE CHANCES OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL REMAINING OFFSHORE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS ARE
INCREASING, INTERESTS ACROSS HAWAII SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FAUSTO.

2. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL REACH THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE, PRODUCING
INCREASING SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. SURF IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF THE
STATE ON SUNDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND
CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES
INTO THE AREA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 19.3N 137.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 19.6N 139.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 26/1800Z 20.0N 141.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 27/1800Z 20.9N 147.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 28/0600Z 21.5N 149.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 28/1800Z 22.1N 152.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 29/1800Z 23.0N 157.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 30/1800Z 24.0N 162.0W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 252033
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 137.6W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 100SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 137.6W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 137.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.6N 139.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 141.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.9N 147.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.5N 149.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.1N 152.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 23.0N 157.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 137.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 251600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 027
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 19.0N 135.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N 135.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.5N 138.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.9N 140.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.3N 142.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.7N 145.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.1N 148.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.6N 151.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 22.5N 156.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 23.5N 161.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251600Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 136.6W.
25JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1087 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 971 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
260400Z AND 261600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 251432
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 AM HST Sat Jul 25 2026

...FAUSTO HOLDS STEADY WHILE CONTINUING WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 136.5W
ABOUT 1210 MI...1950 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 136.5 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Surf generated by Fausto is expected to begin building across
east-facing shores of the eastern end of the state on Sunday,
spreading westward Sunday night into Monday, and continue building
through Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves into the area. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 251433
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 AM HST SAT JUL 25 2026

THE RECENT SATELLITE EVOLUTION OF FAUSTO SUGGESTS THE HURRICANE MAY
HAVE UNDERGONE AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE. THE RAGGED EYE OF THE
HURRICANE HAS GROWN IN SIZE TO ABOUT 30 N MI, WHILE THE INNER
EYEWALL CONVECTION DECAYED EARLIER THIS MORNING. A DRY SLOT NOTED ON
THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE HURRICANE SHOWS THERE ARE STILL POCKETS OF
DRY AIR TANGLED UP WITHIN THE CIRCULATION, BUT FOR NOW THE RING OF
DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE EYE IS CLOSED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS HELD AT 85 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF THE LATEST DVORAK (77 KT) AND
OBJECTIVE (77-94 KT) ESTIMATES. A G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION
LATER TODAY WILL SAMPLE THE ENVIRONMENT AROUND FAUSTO.

BASED ON THE STRUCTURAL CHANGES OF FAUSTO, SMALL NEAR-TERM INTENSITY
FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, ALL OF THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SUPPORT GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS FAUSTO MOVES
OVER MARGINAL SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INTO AN EVEN DRIER
ENVIRONMENT. IN ADDITION, FAUSTO WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WHILE IT APPROACHES THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, WHICH
WILL DISPLACE THE CONVECTION AND STRONGEST WINDS TO THE NORTHERN
SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST, WHICH FOLLOWS THE LATEST SIMPLE (IVCN) AND
CORRECTED (HCCA) CONSENSUS AIDS. FAUSTO IS PREDICTED TO BE A
WEAKENING, SHEARED TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT PASSES NEAR HAWAII.

THE HURRICANE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KT ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A NARROW SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
PACIFIC. THIS FEATURE SHOULD KEEP FAUSTO ON A WESTWARD HEADING
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BRINGING THE CENTER INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC BASIN ON SUNDAY AND TOWARD HAWAII EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
CENTER OF FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE TRACK GUIDANCE
TRENDED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD THIS CYCLE, AND THE UPDATED NHC TRACK
FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED IN THAT DIRECTION. WHILE THE CURRENT
FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF FAUSTO JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, INTERESTS ACROSS THE STATE SHOULD CONTINUE TO PAY
CLOSE ATTENTION TO FORECAST UPDATES.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING ITS EXACT
TRACK AND INTENSITY. WHILE THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER
JUST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS, A TRACK FARTHER SOUTH WOULD RESULT IN A
GREATER RISK OF STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER RAINFALL. INTERESTS
ACROSS HAWAII SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAUSTO.

2. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL REACH THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE, PRODUCING
INCREASING SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. SURF IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF THE
STATE ON SUNDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND
CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES
INTO THE AREA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 19.1N 136.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 19.5N 138.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 19.9N 140.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 20.3N 142.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 20.7N 145.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 28/0000Z 21.1N 148.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 28/1200Z 21.6N 151.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 29/1200Z 22.5N 156.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 30/1200Z 23.5N 161.0W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 251432
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 136.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 100SW 180NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 136.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 135.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.5N 138.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.9N 140.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.3N 142.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.7N 145.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.1N 148.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.6N 151.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 156.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 161.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 136.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 251000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 18.7N 134.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N 134.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.1N 136.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 19.5N 139.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 19.9N 141.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.2N 144.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 20.6N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.0N 149.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 22.0N 155.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 22.9N 159.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251000Z POSITION NEAR 18.8N 135.3W.
25JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1168 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250600Z IS 971 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252200Z AND 261000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 250834
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 PM HST FRI JUL 24 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO'S OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS
CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER, INTERMITTENT
INTRUSIONS OF MID-LEVEL DRY AIR HAVE BEGUN TO ERODE THE DEEP
CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND EYEWALL. DESPITE THESE
FLUCTUATIONS, FAUSTO CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED EYE AND
WELL-ESTABLISHED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS T4.5/77 KT, WHILE OBJECTIVE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS RANGE FROM 75 TO 90 KT. BASED ON
THE RECENT SATELLITE TRENDS AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 85 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/12 KT. A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN POSITIONED NORTH OF FAUSTO THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, STEERING THE CYCLONE GENERALLY WESTWARD DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED THROUGH ABOUT 96 H, WITH SOMEWHAT GREATER SPREAD
DEVELOPING THEREAFTER AS THE SYSTEM PASSES JUST NORTH OF THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE NHC FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND LIES BETWEEN THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS (HCCA) TO THE
NORTH AND THE ECMWF TO THE SOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST
BRINGS FAUSTO JUST NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME, THE ISLANDS REMAIN WELL WITHIN THE
TYPICAL DAY 4-5 TRACK ERROR ENVELOPE, AND INTERESTS ACROSS THE STATE
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE HURRICANE.

A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN AS INTERMITTENT
INTRUSIONS OF MID-LEVEL DRY AIR BEGIN TO ERODE FAUSTO'S CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE. HOWEVER, THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
ORGANIZED THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY WHILE MOVING OVER WARM WATERS.
THEREAFTER, PROGRESSIVELY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, A DRIER
SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT, AND INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK SHOULD RESULT IN CONTINUED WEAKENING. SIMULATED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SIMILAR EVOLUTION, MAINTAINING A
WELL-DEFINED CYCLONE THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY ERODING THE
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY THE
TIME FAUSTO APPROACHES THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, IT IS FORECAST TO BE A
WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION BECOMING
INCREASINGLY DISPLACED FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND REMAINS
NEAR THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. ALTHOUGH FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK, UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING ITS
EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER
JUST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS, BUT A TRACK FARTHER SOUTH WOULD RESULT IN
A GREATER RISK OF STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER RAINFALL. INTERESTS
ACROSS HAWAII SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAUSTO.

2. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL REACH THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE, PRODUCING
INCREASING SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. SURF IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF THE
STATE ON SUNDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND
CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES
INTO THE AREA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0900Z 18.8N 135.1W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 19.1N 136.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 19.5N 139.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 26/1800Z 19.9N 141.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 27/0600Z 20.2N 144.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 27/1800Z 20.6N 147.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 28/0600Z 21.0N 149.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 29/0600Z 22.0N 155.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 30/0600Z 22.9N 159.7W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 250833
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 PM HST Fri Jul 24 2026

...FAUSTO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD TOWARD THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 135.1W
ABOUT 1305 MI...2100 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 135.1 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and southern California, and will begin
to affect the Hawaiian Islands by Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for southern California can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 250832
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 135.1W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 100SW 180NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 135.1W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 134.5W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N 136.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.5N 139.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.9N 141.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.2N 144.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.6N 147.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 149.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 155.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 22.9N 159.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 135.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 250400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 18.6N 133.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 133.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.0N 135.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.4N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.7N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.0N 142.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.3N 145.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 20.8N 148.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 21.9N 154.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 22.6N 159.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250400Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 134.1W.
25JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1215 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250000Z IS 967 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E
(GENEVIEVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000759400
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 250238
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 PM HST FRI JUL 24 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO'S OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS
CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE HURRICANE
CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A WELL-DEFINED AND FAIRLY SYMMETRIC INNER CORE,
WITH A CLOSED RING OF DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE EYE AND
WELL-ESTABLISHED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK
ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS
RANGE FROM AROUND 80 TO 90 KT. BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION, THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 90 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/12 KT. A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN POSITIONED NORTH OF FAUSTO THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, STEERING THE CYCLONE GENERALLY WESTWARD DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED THROUGH ABOUT 72 HOURS, WITH SOMEWHAT GREATER SPREAD
DEVELOPING THEREAFTER AS THE STORM APPROACHES THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
THE NHC FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND LIES
BETWEEN THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS (HCCA) TO THE NORTH AND THE ECMWF
TO THE SOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS FAUSTO JUST NORTH
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME, THE ISLANDS REMAINS WELL WITHIN THE TYPICAL DAY 4-5 TRACK
ERROR ENVELOPE, AND INTERESTS ACROSS THE STATE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE HURRICANE.

FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A WELL-ORGANIZED INNER CORE INTO
SATURDAY WHILE REMAINING OVER WARM WATERS IN A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT. THEREAFTER, PROGRESSIVELY COOLER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, A DRIER SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT, AND INCREASING
WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY EARLY NEXT WEEK SHOULD INITIATE A
GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND. SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
SIMILAR EVOLUTION, MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONE INTO SATURDAY
BEFORE GRADUALLY ERODING THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY THE TIME FAUSTO APPROACHES THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS, IT IS FORECAST TO BE A WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM WITH THE
DEEPEST CONVECTION BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISPLACED FROM THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND REMAINS NEAR THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. ALTHOUGH FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK, UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING ITS
EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER
JUST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS, BUT A TRACK FARTHER SOUTH WOULD RESULT IN
A GREATER RISK OF STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER RAINFALL. INTERESTS
ACROSS HAWAII SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAUSTO.

2. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL REACH THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE, PRODUCING
INCREASING SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. SURF IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN BUILDING ACROSS EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE EASTERN END OF THE
STATE ON SUNDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AND
CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH TUESDAY AS FAUSTO APPROACHES AND MOVES
INTO THE AREA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0300Z 18.7N 133.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 25/1200Z 19.0N 135.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 26/0000Z 19.4N 138.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 26/1200Z 19.7N 140.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 27/0000Z 20.0N 142.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 27/1200Z 20.3N 145.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 28/0000Z 20.8N 148.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 29/0000Z 21.9N 154.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 30/0000Z 22.6N 159.0W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 250237
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 PM HST Fri Jul 24 2026

...FAUSTO HOLDING STEADY ON A WESTWARD TRACK TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 133.9W
ABOUT 1385 MI...2225 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 133.9 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and southern California, and will begin
to affect the Hawaiian Islands by Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for southern California can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 250237
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 133.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 100SW 180NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 133.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 133.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 135.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.4N 138.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.7N 140.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.0N 142.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.3N 145.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N 148.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.9N 154.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.6N 159.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 20SE 0SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 242036
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 AM HST FRI JUL 24 2026

THE EYEWALL OF FAUSTO HAS INTERMITTENTLY OPENED UP THIS MORNING AS
INTRUSIONS OF DRIER AIR DISRUPTED THE INNER CORE CONVECTION. RECENT
SATELLITE IMAGES DEPICT A RAGGED, CLOUD-FILLED EYE WITH PROMINENT
CONVECTIVE BANDING NOTED AROUND THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SIDES OF
THE CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 90 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY, WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A BLEND OF THE LATEST UW-CIMSS
ADT/AIDT, D-PRINT, AND SATCON ESTIMATES.

THE HURRICANE CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD (275/13 KT) TO THE SOUTH
OF A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE PREVAILING
STEERING PATTERN ARE ANTICIPATED, SO FAUSTO SHOULD CONTINUE ON A
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING AT A SIMILAR SPEED WHILE IT
MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN AND TOWARD THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND A BIT
FARTHER NORTH AT 72-120 H, AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE
UPDATED NHC TRACK FORECAST AT THESE TIMES TO ACCOUNT FOR THE TRENDS.

BASED ON THE ENVIRONMENTAL AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS ALONG THE FORECAST
TRACK, AND THE LATEST INTENSITY GUIDANCE, ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
SEEMS UNLIKELY. AS FAUSTO CONTINUES MOVING INTO A DRIER ENVIRONMENT
OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS, THE MODELS AGREE THAT THE HURRICANE
SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AFTER 72 H,
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RATE OF
WEAKENING ON FAUSTO'S APPROACH TO HAWAII. IN ADDITION, THE WIND
FIELD IS PREDICTED TO SHRINK AND BECOME MORE ASYMMETRIC ON DAYS 4-5,
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
CIRCULATION. NO NOTABLE CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST THIS CYCLE, AND FAUSTO IS STILL PREDICTED TO BE A TROPICAL
STORM WHEN IT IS IN THE VICINITY OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. ALTHOUGH FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK,
THERE IS AN INCREASING RISK OF SOME IMPACTS FROM WIND AND RAINFALL.
HOWEVER, IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATION OR MAGNITUDE
OF THESE IMPACTS, AND INTERESTS THERE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS STORM.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 18.7N 132.7W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 25/0600Z 18.9N 134.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 25/1800Z 19.3N 136.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 26/0600Z 19.6N 139.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 26/1800Z 19.9N 141.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 27/0600Z 20.2N 144.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 27/1800Z 20.5N 147.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 28/1800Z 21.3N 152.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 29/1800Z 22.0N 157.5W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 242035
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2026

...FAUSTO MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 132.7W
ABOUT 1460 MI...2350 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 132.7 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and the coast of southern California.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 242035
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 132.7W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 90SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....285NE 210SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 132.7W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 132.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.9N 134.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.3N 136.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.9N 141.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 147.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 152.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 157.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 132.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 241621

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 24.07.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 9.1N 99.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 24.07.2026 0 9.1N 99.7W 1007 27
0000UTC 25.07.2026 12 10.0N 101.4W 1003 35
1200UTC 25.07.2026 24 10.8N 105.0W 1000 39
0000UTC 26.07.2026 36 11.7N 108.1W 998 43
1200UTC 26.07.2026 48 12.4N 110.3W 995 51
0000UTC 27.07.2026 60 13.5N 112.6W 990 55
1200UTC 27.07.2026 72 14.8N 114.5W 982 58
0000UTC 28.07.2026 84 16.1N 116.5W 972 67
1200UTC 28.07.2026 96 17.1N 118.3W 974 64
0000UTC 29.07.2026 108 17.7N 120.2W 971 64
1200UTC 29.07.2026 120 18.2N 122.0W 975 61
0000UTC 30.07.2026 132 18.8N 123.9W 976 61
1200UTC 30.07.2026 144 19.5N 125.9W 983 54
0000UTC 31.07.2026 156 20.4N 128.0W 984 56
1200UTC 31.07.2026 168 21.2N 130.4W 989 51

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.5N 130.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 24.07.2026 0 18.5N 130.6W 974 63
0000UTC 25.07.2026 12 18.6N 133.2W 975 59
1200UTC 25.07.2026 24 19.0N 135.6W 980 57
0000UTC 26.07.2026 36 19.4N 137.8W 985 53
1200UTC 26.07.2026 48 19.7N 140.1W 990 53
0000UTC 27.07.2026 60 20.1N 142.8W 995 51
1200UTC 27.07.2026 72 20.6N 145.9W 1000 37
0000UTC 28.07.2026 84 21.4N 148.9W 1004 37
1200UTC 28.07.2026 96 22.1N 152.3W 1007 33
0000UTC 29.07.2026 108 23.0N 154.8W 1010 27
1200UTC 29.07.2026 120 23.8N 157.5W 1011 26
0000UTC 30.07.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 241621

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 241611

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.07.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 9.1N 99.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 24.07.2026 9.1N 99.8W WEAK
00UTC 25.07.2026 10.0N 101.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 10.8N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 11.7N 108.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2026 12.4N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2026 13.6N 112.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 14.8N 114.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 16.1N 116.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.0N 118.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 17.8N 120.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 18.2N 122.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 18.8N 123.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 19.5N 125.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2026 20.4N 128.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.2N 130.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.5N 130.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 24.07.2026 18.5N 130.6W STRONG
00UTC 25.07.2026 18.6N 133.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 19.0N 135.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 26.07.2026 19.4N 137.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 19.7N 140.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 20.1N 142.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 20.6N 145.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 21.4N 148.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 22.1N 152.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 23.0N 154.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 23.8N 157.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 241611

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 241600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 18.5N 130.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 130.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.7N 133.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.0N 135.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.4N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.8N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.1N 142.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.3N 145.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.0N 151.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 21.6N 157.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
241600Z POSITION NEAR 18.6N 131.5W.
24JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1120 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241200Z IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
242200Z, 250400Z, 251000Z AND 251600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (SEVEN-E) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 241434
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2026

...FAUSTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 131.2W
ABOUT 1405 MI...2260 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1560 MI...2510 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 131.2 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and the coast of southern California.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 241435
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 AM HST FRI JUL 24 2026

FAUSTO HAS BECOME A WELL ORGANIZED HURRICANE. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS
FAIRLY SYMMETRIC, AND THERE IS A CLOSED RING OF DEEP CONVECTION
SURROUNDING A ROUGHLY 15 N MI DIAMETER EYE. BEYOND THE INNER CORE,
THE HURRICANE IS MAINTAINING SOME CURVED BANDS, ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE CENTER, AND WELL ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW. THE LATEST SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 77 TO 102 KT, AND BASED ON A BLEND OF
THAT DATA, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NUDGED UPWARD TO 90 KT. FAUSTO'S
WIND FIELD IS A LITTLE SMALLER THAN AVERAGE WHEN COMPARED TO OTHER
HURRICANES IN SIMILAR LOCATIONS OF THE PACIFIC OCEAN.

THE HURRICANE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 14 KT. THE TRACK FORECAST
APPEARS FAIRLY STRAIGHTFORWARD. A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE TO THE NORTH OF FAUSTO DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, AND THAT SHOULD CAUSE THE HURRICANE TO MOVE WESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT THE SAME PACE. THE NHC TRACK
FORECAST IS LARGELY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE, AND LIES ON THE
FAST SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE, IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH HCCA AND
GDMI. THIS TRACK TAKES FAUSTO NEAR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE
EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK.

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT FAUSTO IS LIKELY NEAR ITS PEAK
INTENSITY. HOWEVER, IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT THE GUIDANCE HAS
STRUGGLED TO CAPTURE THE TRENDS IN FAUSTO'S INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
FEW DAYS. NONETHELESS, DECREASING WATER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR
SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO GRADUALLY LOSE STRENGTH, AND AN INCREASE
IN WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY AID IN
THAT WEAKENING TREND. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST LIES NEAR THE
MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE, AND SHOWS STEADY WEAKENING THROUGH
THE PERIOD. THERE IS RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT FAUSTO WILL BE
A TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT IS IN THE VICINITY OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. ALTHOUGH FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK,
THERE IS AN INCREASING RISK OF SOME IMPACTS FROM WIND AND RAINFALL.
HOWEVER, IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATION OR MAGNITUDE
OF THESE IMPACTS, AND INTERESTS THERE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS STORM.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/1500Z 18.6N 131.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 18.7N 133.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 19.0N 135.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 26/0000Z 19.4N 137.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 27/1200Z 20.3N 145.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 28/1200Z 21.0N 151.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 29/1200Z 21.6N 157.2W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 241434
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 131.2W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 60SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 131.2W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.7N 133.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 135.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.4N 137.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.3N 145.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 151.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.6N 157.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 131.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 241000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 18.5N 129.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 129.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.8N 131.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.1N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.5N 136.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 19.8N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 20.1N 141.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 20.4N 144.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 21.0N 150.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 21.5N 156.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
241000Z POSITION NEAR 18.6N 130.1W.
24JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1073 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 240600Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
241600Z, 242200Z, 250400Z AND 251000Z.
//
NNNN

0001004800
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 240839
TCDEP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 PM HST Thu Jul 23 2026

An earlier GMI microwave pass around 0104 UTC showed the western
eyewall of Fausto starting to erode. Since the last advisory,
however, infrared satellite imagery shows that deep convection with
cold cloud tops near -75C has wrapped back around the inner core.
Meanwhile, the eye continues to appear ragged from time to time.
Objective satellite estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 81 to 88 kt,
while the subjective TAFB Dvorak satellite intensity estimate is
T4.5/77 kt. Given the latest satellite trends and a blend of these
estimates, the intensity is increased to 85 kt for this advisory.

A ridge to the north continues to steer Fausto toward the west, or
280 degrees at 13 kt. This general west to west-northwestward motion
is expected to persist throughout the forecast period. On this
track, the system should pass just north of the Hawaiian Islands by
Day 5. Little change was made to the NHC track forecast, which
remains lies near the southern edge of the guidance envelope near
the HCCA corrected-consensus aid and the Google DeepMind ensemble
mean.

Fausto remains in a marginal environment with sea surface
temperatures of 26–27C and low-to-moderate mid-level wind shear,
which could allow the intensity to fluctuate over the next day or
so. Surrounding dry air has so far failed to penetrate the inner
core. Conditions are expected to become more hostile in 36 to 48
hours as mid-level relative humidity drops below 50 percent,
followed by increasing westerly wind shear beyond Day 3.
Accordingly, the updated forecast calls for gradual to steady
weakening, in line with recent model trends. While several regional
hurricane models, particularly those with more northern tracks,
depict faster weakening and decay into a remnant low before Day 5,
the official NHC forecast maintains continuity. As the track
forecast lies on the southern edge of the guidance envelope, Fausto
is forecast to remain a tropical cyclone throughout the 5-day
period.

Key Messages:

1. Fausto is forecast to approach the Hawaiian Islands during the
early to the middle portion of next week. The risk of some impacts
from wind and rainfall is increasing. However, it is too soon to
determine the exact location or magnitude of these impacts, and
interests there should continue to monitor the progress of this
storm.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0900Z 18.5N 129.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 24/1800Z 18.8N 131.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 25/0600Z 19.1N 134.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 25/1800Z 19.5N 136.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 26/0600Z 19.8N 139.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 26/1800Z 20.1N 141.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 28/0600Z 21.0N 150.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 29/0600Z 21.5N 156.3W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 240838
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 PM HST THU JUL 23 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES WESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 129.9W
ABOUT 1325 MI...2135 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1645 MI...2645 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 129.9 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH
TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY STEADY WEAKENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
(295 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB (28.74 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FAUSTO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE AFFECTING THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP1.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 240838
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 129.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 60SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 150SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 129.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 129.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.8N 131.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.1N 134.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N 136.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.8N 139.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.1N 141.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 150.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 21.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 129.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 240419

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 24.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.4N 98.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.07.2026 0 29.4N 98.2W 1010 21
1200UTC 24.07.2026 12 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 127.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.07.2026 0 18.2N 127.7W 983 52
1200UTC 24.07.2026 12 18.5N 130.4W 984 50
0000UTC 25.07.2026 24 18.8N 132.9W 987 50
1200UTC 25.07.2026 36 19.1N 135.3W 988 46
0000UTC 26.07.2026 48 19.6N 137.4W 993 46
1200UTC 26.07.2026 60 20.2N 139.8W 997 40
0000UTC 27.07.2026 72 20.6N 142.2W 1001 41
1200UTC 27.07.2026 84 21.3N 145.5W 1004 32
0000UTC 28.07.2026 96 22.0N 148.5W 1008 28
1200UTC 28.07.2026 108 22.9N 151.9W 1009 28
0000UTC 29.07.2026 120 24.2N 154.4W 1012 23
1200UTC 29.07.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.1N 101.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.07.2026 24 10.4N 102.2W 1003 30
1200UTC 25.07.2026 36 10.7N 105.9W 1002 37
0000UTC 26.07.2026 48 11.6N 108.4W 999 42
1200UTC 26.07.2026 60 12.6N 110.9W 996 52
0000UTC 27.07.2026 72 13.5N 112.7W 990 58
1200UTC 27.07.2026 84 15.4N 114.8W 984 59
0000UTC 28.07.2026 96 16.7N 116.8W 977 63
1200UTC 28.07.2026 108 17.6N 118.5W 977 59
0000UTC 29.07.2026 120 18.5N 120.2W 980 58
1200UTC 29.07.2026 132 19.3N 121.8W 983 52
0000UTC 30.07.2026 144 20.2N 123.7W 983 50
1200UTC 30.07.2026 156 20.8N 125.7W 988 48
0000UTC 31.07.2026 168 21.7N 128.1W 990 50

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 37.0N 71.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.07.2026 60 37.1N 70.5W 1007 25
0000UTC 27.07.2026 72 37.7N 67.6W 1005 27
1200UTC 27.07.2026 84 39.2N 64.1W 1005 29
0000UTC 28.07.2026 96 42.9N 48.7W 1009 27
1200UTC 28.07.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 240419

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 240409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.0N 98.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 24.07.2026 29.0N 98.3W WEAK
12UTC 24.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 127.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 24.07.2026 18.1N 127.7W MODERATE
12UTC 24.07.2026 18.5N 130.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2026 18.8N 132.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 19.2N 135.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 19.7N 137.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 20.2N 139.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 20.6N 142.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 21.3N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 22.0N 148.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 22.9N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 24.2N 154.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.2N 101.2W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 25.07.2026 10.5N 102.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 25.07.2026 10.7N 105.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 11.7N 108.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2026 12.5N 110.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2026 13.5N 112.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 15.4N 114.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 16.7N 116.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.7N 118.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 18.5N 120.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 19.3N 121.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 20.2N 123.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 20.8N 125.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2026 21.7N 128.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 37.2N 70.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 26.07.2026 37.2N 70.5W WEAK
00UTC 27.07.2026 37.7N 67.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.07.2026 39.2N 64.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 240409

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 240400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 18.2N 127.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 127.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.5N 130.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.8N 133.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.1N 135.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.6N 137.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.8N 140.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.1N 142.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 20.7N 149.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 21.3N 154.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240400Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 128.6W.
24JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1556 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 240000Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
241000Z, 241600Z, 242200Z AND 250400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 240252
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 PM HST THU JUL 23 2026

SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, HURRICANE FAUSTO HAS STRENGTHENED A BIT
MORE. THE EYE IS LESS RAGGED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY, AND MODERATELY DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SURROUND THE
CENTER. OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ALL
SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KT.

THE DEEP-LAYER RIDGE NORTH OF FAUSTO CONTINUES TO STEER THE
HURRICANE WESTWARD AT 280/13 KT. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT, AND THEN FAUSTO WILL BEGIN A MORE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING, WITH THE SYSTEM REACHING JUST NORTH OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AT DAY 5. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE
TRACK FORECAST THIS CYCLE, AND THE UPDATED FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS
THE HCCA MODEL CONSENSUS AID AND GOOGLE DEEPMIND.

THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT AROUND FAUSTO REMAINS MARGINAL, WITH SSTS OF
26.5-27C, AND SOME MID-LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ATTEMPTING AND
FAILING TO INTRUDE THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE CORE. GIVEN THE
PRESENT STRUCTURE OF THE HURRICANE, THE INTENSITY IS LIKELY TO
REMAIN STEADY THROUGH TONIGHT. THEREAFTER, FAUSTO WILL MOVE THROUGH
A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY COOLER SSTS
(25.5-26C), AN INCREASINGLY DRIER AIR MASS, AND POTENTIALLY
INCREASING WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE NEW
INTENSITY FORECAST, WHICH SHOWS STEADY WEAKENING THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE ARE SOME SOLUTIONS WITHIN THE GLOBAL AND
HURRICANE REGIONAL MODEL GUIDANCE THAT SUGGEST A FASTER PACE OF
WEAKENING THAN FORECAST, INCLUDING THE POSSIBLE DEGENERATION OF
FAUSTO INTO A REMNANT LOW WHILE APPROACHING THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. TO
MAINTAIN CONTINUITY, THE NHC FORECAST CONTINUES TO SHOW FAUSTO AS A
TROPICAL CYCLONE THROUGH THE ENTIRE 5-DAY FORECAST PERIOD.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE
EARLY TO THE MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. THE RISK OF SOME IMPACTS
FROM WIND AND RAINFALL IS INCREASING. HOWEVER, IT IS TOO SOON TO
DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATION OR MAGNITUDE OF THESE IMPACTS, AND
INTERESTS THERE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
STORM.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0300Z 18.3N 128.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 25/0000Z 18.8N 133.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 26/0000Z 19.6N 137.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 28/0000Z 20.7N 149.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 29/0000Z 21.3N 154.9W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BERG=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 240251
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 PM HST Thu Jul 23 2026

...FAUSTO STRENGTHENS A BIT MORE...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 128.4W
ABOUT 1235 MI...1990 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1745 MI...2805 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 128.4 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion is expected
to continue over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in intensity is forecast through
tonight, followed by steady weakening through the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and the coast of southern California.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Berg

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 240250
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 15SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 60SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 150SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 127.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 65NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 133.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 65SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 20SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 85SE 60SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.6N 137.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 85SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 45SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 65SE 40SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.7N 149.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.3N 154.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 40SE 20SW 65NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BERG=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 232200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 18.1N 126.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 126.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.5N 128.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.8N 131.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.2N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.5N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 19.8N 138.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 20.1N 141.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 20.7N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 21.2N 153.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
232200Z POSITION NEAR 18.2N 127.1W.
23JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1641 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 231800Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
240400Z, 241000Z, 241600Z AND 242200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 232038
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 AM HST THU JUL 23 2026

THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF FAUSTO HAS IMPROVED DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. THE HURRICANE HAS A RAGGED EYE, WITH A RING OF COLD
CLOUD TOPS SURROUNDING THE CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP CONVECTION.
BASED ON THESE STRUCTURAL IMPROVEMENTS, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
RAISED TO 75 KT, WHICH FALLS BETWEEN RECENT D-PRINT (72 KT), D-MINT
(76 KT), AND DVORAK (77 KT) INTENSITY ESTIMATES.

A WELL-ESTABLISHED RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FAUSTO CONTINUES TO STEER
THE HURRICANE WESTWARD (280/12 KT). THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT STEERING FEATURE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, KEEPING
FAUSTO ON A WESTWARD HEADING AS IT CROSSES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
BASIN. THE TRACK MODEL ENVELOPE HAS TIGHTENED UP THIS CYCLE, WITH
DECREASED CROSS-TRACK SPREAD COMPARED TO EARLIER TODAY. SINCE THE
BULK OF THE GUIDANCE TRENDED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD, THE UPDATED NHC
TRACK FORECAST IS NUDGED IN THAT DIRECTION TO REFLECT THE LATEST
MODEL CONSENSUS AIDS (HCCA AND TVCN). WHILE THE LONGER-RANGE
FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF FAUSTO GENERALLY TOWARD THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCUSS ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS.

AFTER STRUGGLING WITH DRY AIR INTRUSIONS EARLIER TODAY, FAUSTO HAS
MANAGED TO CLOSE OFF AN EYEWALL. SLIGHT ADDITIONAL NEAR-TERM
STRENGTHENING CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT IF THE HURRICANE
MAINTAINS THIS STRUCTURE. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE
HURRICANE IS MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY DRIER AIR MASS OVER
MARGINAL (26-26.5C) SSTS, AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WESTERLY
MID-LEVEL SHEAR TO INTRODUCE DRIER AIR INTO THE CIRCULATION ONCE
AGAIN. THE LONGER-TERM NHC FORECAST SHOWS GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT STILL REMAINS ON THE
HIGHER END OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE. THIS FORECAST KEEPS FAUSTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE THROUGH DAY 5, BUT THE DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR
MASS OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL LIKELY MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR
FAUSTO TO MAINTAIN ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/2100Z 18.2N 126.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 24/0600Z 18.5N 128.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 24/1800Z 18.8N 131.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 25/0600Z 19.2N 134.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 25/1800Z 19.5N 136.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 26/0600Z 19.8N 138.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 26/1800Z 20.1N 141.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 27/1800Z 20.7N 147.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 28/1800Z 21.2N 153.1W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 232037
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Thu Jul 23 2026

...FAUSTO IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 126.9W
ABOUT 1145 MI...1845 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1840 MI...2965 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 126.9 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Small intensity fluctuations are possible today,
followed by slow weakening through the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and the coast of southern California.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 232036
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC THU JUL 23 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 126.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 90SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 150SE 150SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 126.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 126.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.5N 128.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 134.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.8N 138.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.1N 141.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.7N 147.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.2N 153.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 126.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 231600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 17.8N 124.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N 124.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 18.1N 127.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.5N 130.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.8N 132.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.1N 135.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.3N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.4N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.1N 145.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.5N 151.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
231600Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 125.7W.
23JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 986 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 231200Z IS 979 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
232200Z, 240400Z, 241000Z AND 241600Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 231442
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 AM HST Thu Jul 23 2026

...FAUSTO MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 125.3W
ABOUT 1055 MI...1695 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1950 MI...3135 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 125.3 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some small intensity fluctuations are possible today, and a
slow weakening trend is forecast over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula and the coast of southern
California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 231443
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 AM HST THU JUL 23 2026

DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT HAS ONCE AGAIN IMPACTED FAUSTO THIS MORNING.
WHILE THE HURRICANE BRIEFLY CLOSED OFF AN EYEWALL A FEW HOURS AGO,
THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT INNER CORE CONVECTION HAS
ERODED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS HELD AT 70 KT, WHICH FALLS BETWEEN THE LATEST D-MINT AND D-PRINT
ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS AND A T4.5/77 KT DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM
TAFB.

THE HURRICANE IS MOVING WESTWARD (280 DEGREES) AT 11 KT, AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS
A RIDGE STRENGTHENS TO THE NORTH OF FAUSTO. THERE IS INCREASED
SPREAD IN THE TRACK MODELS BEGINNING AROUND DAY 3, WITH THE GOOGLE
DEEP MIND NOTABLY FASTER AND FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE GFS AND THE
HURRICANE REGIONAL MODELS. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST REMAINS ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE, CLOSEST TO THE HFIP
CORRECTED CONSENSUS (HCCA) AND THE GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE MEAN.
WHILE THE LONGER-RANGE FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF FAUSTO
GENERALLY TOWARD THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE
ON POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO THE ISLANDS AT THIS POINT.

FAUSTO CONTINUES TO PERIODICALLY STRUGGLE WITH INTRUSIONS OF
DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR WITHIN ITS CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR IS FAIRLY LOW, MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT STRONGER
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL SHEAR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
MAY CAUSE CONTINUED BOUTS OF DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. THEN, THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE SHOWS MID-LEVEL HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 50 PERCENT BY
THIS WEEKEND. SO ALTHOUGH FAUSTO WILL BE OVER MARGINAL SSTS
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS PREDICTED WHILE
THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS FORECAST KEEPS
FAUSTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE THROUGH DAY 5, BUT MODEL SIMULATED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM COULD STRUGGLE TO MAINTAIN
ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/1500Z 17.9N 125.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 25/0000Z 18.8N 132.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 26/0000Z 19.3N 137.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 26/1200Z 19.4N 140.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 27/1200Z 20.1N 145.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 28/1200Z 20.5N 151.0W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 231442
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC THU JUL 23 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 10SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 50SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 124.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 132.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.4N 140.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.1N 145.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 125.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 231000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 17.7N 123.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 123.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 18.0N 126.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.3N 128.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.6N 131.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 18.8N 134.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.1N 136.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 19.5N 139.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 19.8N 144.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 20.5N 149.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
231000Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 124.3W.
23JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 964 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230600Z IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
231600Z, 232200Z, 240400Z AND 241000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02L (BERTHA) WARNINGS (WTNT01 KNGU)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 230835
TCDEP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 22 2026

Fausto's satellite appearance has become rather ragged since the
previous advisory. Proxy-vis and infrared imagery show a ragged eye
feature, with much of the convection on the western side of the
system eroded by drier air. Cloud tops have started to warm as well.
That being said, a 0600 UTC ASCAT-C scatterometer pass showed
satellite-derived winds around 58 kt, though given the instrument's
undersampling bias, peak winds are likely higher. Satellite
intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 53 to 68 kt, and the CI
value from TAFB is T4.5/77 kt, although the data-T value did drop to
T4.0/65 kt for this advisory. Taking all this into account, the
initial intensity for this advisory is held at 70 kt, although that
could be generous given the degrading satellite appearance.

The system has started to increase in forward speed and is moving at
an estimated motion of 285/10 kt. Fausto should continue to move
west-northwestward to westward along the southern edge of a
strengthening ridge to the north of the system. The track model
guidance is in fairly good agreement through day 3. Beyond that
period, there is increasing along-track spread, with the GDMI and
HCCA guidance farther south and much faster than the rest of the
model guidance, with the GFS being the slowest and farther north.
The difference is about 300 n mi between the GFS and GDMI solutions.
The official NHC forecast continues to trend toward the faster HCCA
corrected-consensus and GDMI model solutions.

Fausto will remain in a low-shear environment, tracking parallel to
the 26C–27C isotherms. The primary inhibiting factor will be the dry
air that lies ahead, with mid-level relative humidity values
dropping below 50 percent in 2–3 days. The system has already been
periodically ingesting dry air from the north and west over the last
day or so. This will lead to a gradual weakening trend, and the
intensity forecast is highly sensitive to how well Fausto can fend
off dry air from intruding into the inner core. The NHC intensity
forecast calls for gradual weakening throughout the period, although
fluctuations in intensity are possible. This forecast lies near the
higher end of the model guidance, as some models move the system
farther north and weaken it more quickly. It should be noted any
northward track deviations would cause Fausto to weaken even faster
than currently forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0900Z 17.8N 124.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 23/1800Z 18.0N 126.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 24/0600Z 18.3N 128.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 24/1800Z 18.6N 131.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 25/0600Z 18.8N 134.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 25/1800Z 19.1N 136.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 26/0600Z 19.5N 139.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 27/0600Z 19.8N 144.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 28/0600Z 20.5N 149.5W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 230834
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 22 2026

...FAUSTO HOLDING STEADY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 124.0W
ABOUT 980 MI...1575 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 2035 MI...3275 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 124.0 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A continued
west-northwestward to westward motion, along with an increase in
forward speed, is expected over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity could occur over the next day
or so but Fausto is forecast to gradually weaken thereafter.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula and are spreading northward
toward the coast of southern California. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 230833
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 124.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 50SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 165SE 135SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 124.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 123.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.3N 128.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 131.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.8N 134.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N 136.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.5N 139.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.8N 144.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 124.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 230421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 23.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 28.5N 90.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.07.2026 0 28.5N 90.6W 1004 35
1200UTC 23.07.2026 12 29.4N 92.4W 1001 38
0000UTC 24.07.2026 24 27.3N 99.6W 1005 28
1200UTC 24.07.2026 36 26.0N 100.7W 1008 22
0000UTC 25.07.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 122.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.07.2026 0 17.4N 122.5W 982 47
1200UTC 23.07.2026 12 17.9N 124.6W 984 50
0000UTC 24.07.2026 24 18.6N 127.4W 984 53
1200UTC 24.07.2026 36 18.9N 130.4W 985 52
0000UTC 25.07.2026 48 19.1N 133.3W 988 49
1200UTC 25.07.2026 60 19.3N 135.6W 989 46
0000UTC 26.07.2026 72 19.8N 137.7W 992 47
1200UTC 26.07.2026 84 20.3N 139.9W 997 42
0000UTC 27.07.2026 96 21.1N 142.6W 1003 34
1200UTC 27.07.2026 108 21.8N 145.8W 1006 29
0000UTC 28.07.2026 120 22.7N 148.8W 1009 26
1200UTC 28.07.2026 132 23.6N 151.9W 1011 24
0000UTC 29.07.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 9.6N 169.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.07.2026 48 10.2N 170.0W 1004 25
1200UTC 25.07.2026 60 11.3N 172.3W 1003 28
0000UTC 26.07.2026 72 12.6N 175.2W 1003 31
1200UTC 26.07.2026 84 13.3N 178.5W 1002 32
0000UTC 27.07.2026 96 14.1N 178.1E 1001 37
1200UTC 27.07.2026 108 14.4N 175.1E 998 38
0000UTC 28.07.2026 120 14.7N 172.4E 995 43
1200UTC 28.07.2026 132 15.2N 170.7E 991 43
0000UTC 29.07.2026 144 16.1N 168.8E 985 47
1200UTC 29.07.2026 156 17.1N 166.6E 984 49
0000UTC 30.07.2026 168 18.4N 164.5E 978 54

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.5N 105.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.07.2026 60 10.5N 105.3W 1006 30
0000UTC 26.07.2026 72 11.4N 107.6W 1004 33
1200UTC 26.07.2026 84 12.4N 109.4W 1002 41
0000UTC 27.07.2026 96 13.7N 111.7W 999 46
1200UTC 27.07.2026 108 14.6N 113.1W 995 50
0000UTC 28.07.2026 120 16.1N 114.3W 990 55
1200UTC 28.07.2026 132 17.4N 115.6W 984 69
0000UTC 29.07.2026 144 18.3N 117.1W 984 62
1200UTC 29.07.2026 156 19.1N 118.6W 983 59
0000UTC 30.07.2026 168 19.7N 120.4W 984 60

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 36.6N 71.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 26.07.2026 72 36.6N 71.6W 1010 22
1200UTC 26.07.2026 84 36.9N 69.5W 1006 25
0000UTC 27.07.2026 96 37.1N 66.8W 1004 28
1200UTC 27.07.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 230421

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 230400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 122.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 122.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.7N 124.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 18.0N 127.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.3N 130.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.6N 132.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 18.9N 135.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.2N 137.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 19.9N 142.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 20.6N 147.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230400Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 123.2W.
23JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1862 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230000Z IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
231000Z, 231600Z, 232200Z AND 240400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 230235
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 PM HST Wed Jul 22 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND HOLDING STEADY IN
STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 123.0W
ABOUT 925 MI...1490 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 123.0 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A continued
west-northwestward to westward motion, along with an increase in
forward speed, is expected over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so,
followed by gradual weakening on Friday and into the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula and are spreading northward
toward the coast of southern California. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 230236
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 PM HST WED JUL 22 2026

FAUSTO HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE HAVE
BEEN SIGNS OF A CLOUD-FILLED EYE ON GOES-18 VISIBLE IMAGERY, AT
TIMES, WITH AN IMPRESSIVE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST ALONG WITH TIGHT
BANDING NOTED. WATER VAPOR CHANNELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME DRY AIR
JUST TO THE NORTH, IMPINGING ON FAUSTO. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK NUMBERS
FROM TAFB ARE 4.5/75 KT, WHILE OBJECTIVE NUMBERS ARE WIDE-RANGING
FROM 53-81 KT. TAKING A BLEND OF THE SATELLITE ESTIMATES, THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 70 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING. THE INITIAL
MOTION IS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT. FAUSTO SHOULD
SPEED UP SOON, IN A DIRECTION BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST, AS
RIDGING STRENGTHENS TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THAT MOTION SHOULD
THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE
IS NOTABLE ALONG-TRACK SPREAD AT DAYS 4-5. THE GFS IS THE SLOWEST
AND FARTHEST NORTH, WHILE THE HCCA (CORRECTED CONSENSUS) AND GDMI
(GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE MEAN) ARE THE FASTEST AND FARTHEST SOUTH
MODELS. THE TCVN SIMPLE CONSENSUS IS IN BETWEEN THE TWO CAMPS. THE
NHC FORECAST LEANS MUCH CLOSER TO THE HCCA AND GDMI, BUT IS NOT
QUITE AS FAR SOUTH OR AS FAST AS THOSE SOLUTIONS. THIS FORECAST IS
NEARLY IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST.

FAUSTO WILL REMAIN IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY OVER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS)
BETWEEN 26-27C, AND THOSE SSTS WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY TO AROUND 26C
IN ABOUT 48 H. MEANWHILE, MID-LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITIES APPEAR
MOIST ENOUGH FOR THE HURRICANE TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH 36
H, DESPITE THE CURRENT NEARBY DRY AIR NOTED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
CYCLONE. FAUSTO WILL MOVE INTO A PROGRESSIVELY DRIER ENVIRONMENT
BETWEEN DAY 2-4, WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO GRADUAL WEAKENING. THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST IS TOWARD THE HIGHER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE FOR THE
FIRST 48 H. THEREAFTER, THE FORECAST LIES CLOSER TO THE MIDDLE OF
THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. GIVEN THE EXPECTED MID-LEVEL
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE FROM DAYS 4-5, IT
IS LIKELY THAT FAUSTO WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 17.5N 123.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 17.7N 124.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 18.0N 127.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 24/1200Z 18.3N 130.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 25/0000Z 18.6N 132.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 25/1200Z 18.9N 135.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 26/0000Z 19.2N 137.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 27/0000Z 19.9N 142.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 28/0000Z 20.6N 147.9W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 230235
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC THU JUL 23 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 70SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 122.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 124.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.0N 127.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.3N 130.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.6N 132.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.9N 135.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.9N 142.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.6N 147.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 123.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 222200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 17.1N 121.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 121.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.5N 123.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.9N 126.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.2N 128.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.4N 131.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 18.7N 134.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.0N 136.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 19.7N 141.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 20.4N 146.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
222200Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 122.2W.
22JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1916 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221800Z IS 983 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 222033
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 AM HST WED JUL 22 2026

FAUSTO HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ALTHOUGH
THE HURRICANE IS MAINTAINING A PARTIAL INNER CORE, INTRUSIONS OF DRY
AIR CONTINUE TO DISRUPT IT FROM CLOSING OFF. THAT DRY AIR HAS ALSO
WRAPPED INTO THE OUTER PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION, CAUSING THE
HURRICANE TO HAVE A RAGGED APPEARANCE. THERE IS A WIDE RANGE IN THE
LATEST SATELLITE ESTIMATES, BUT BASED ON A COMBINATION OF THE DATA,
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 70 KT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS
ESTIMATE IS A LITTLE GENEROUS. A RECENT ASCAT-B PASS WAS HELPFUL
IN ESTIMATING THE 34- AND 50-KT WIND RADII.

THE HURRICANE IS STILL MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 KT.
THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT RIDGING SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND REMAIN
ESTABLISHED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A
RESULT, FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
A FASTER PACE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DESPITE THE MODEL
AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL STEERING PATTERN, THERE IS STILL A NOTABLE
AMOUNT OF SPREAD AT DAYS 4 AND 5. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST REMAINS ON
THE FAST AND SOUTH SIDES OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE, IN BEST AGREEMENT
WITH THE TYPICALLY MOST SKILLFUL AIDS, HCCA, GDMI, AND TVCN. THIS
FORECAST IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE.

FAUSTO HAS A DAY OR TWO LEFT TO STRENGTHEN, BUT GIVEN THE DRY AIR IN
THE NEARBY ENVIRONMENT, ONLY MODEST INTENSIFICATION SEEMS LIKELY.
IN A COUPLE OF DAYS, PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS SHOULD END THE
OPPORTUNITY FOR STRENGTHENING AND CAUSE A GRADUAL DECAY. FAUSTO IS
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND
WHEN IT WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO A REGION OF WESTERLY SHEAR OVER THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED
DOWNWARD, AND STILL LIES AT THE HIGH END OF THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/2100Z 17.2N 122.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 17.5N 123.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 17.9N 126.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 18.2N 128.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 24/1800Z 18.4N 131.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 25/0600Z 18.7N 134.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 25/1800Z 19.0N 136.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 26/1800Z 19.7N 141.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 27/1800Z 20.4N 146.5W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 222032
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Wed Jul 22 2026

...FAUSTO HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 122.0W
ABOUT 875 MI...1410 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 122.0 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A continued
west-northwestward to westward motion, along with an increase in
forward speed, is expected over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day
or so, followed by slow weakening on Friday and into the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula and are spreading northward
toward the coast of southern California. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 222032
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC WED JUL 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 122.0W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 70SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 122.0W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 123.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 126.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.2N 128.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.4N 131.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 134.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 136.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.7N 141.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.4N 146.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 122.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 221600 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 16.8N 121.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 121.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.3N 122.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.7N 125.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 18.1N 127.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.4N 130.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.6N 133.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 18.8N 135.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.5N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.0N 146.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221600Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 121.6W.
22JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1948 NM
EAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221200Z IS 983 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
222200Z, 230400Z, 231000Z AND 231600Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: WRONG WARNING NUMBER ISSUED.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 221620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 22.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.8N 88.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 22.07.2026 0 29.8N 88.4W 1000 40
0000UTC 23.07.2026 12 29.3N 90.7W 1003 33
1200UTC 23.07.2026 24 29.0N 92.4W 1001 43
0000UTC 24.07.2026 36 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 120.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 22.07.2026 0 17.0N 120.9W 982 50
0000UTC 23.07.2026 12 17.7N 122.5W 983 50
1200UTC 23.07.2026 24 18.2N 124.7W 985 50
0000UTC 24.07.2026 36 19.0N 127.7W 985 54
1200UTC 24.07.2026 48 19.3N 131.1W 986 52
0000UTC 25.07.2026 60 19.1N 133.8W 989 45
1200UTC 25.07.2026 72 19.4N 136.1W 991 42
0000UTC 26.07.2026 84 19.9N 138.2W 996 43
1200UTC 26.07.2026 96 20.5N 140.6W 1000 38
0000UTC 27.07.2026 108 21.3N 143.3W 1005 30
1200UTC 27.07.2026 120 22.3N 146.1W 1007 30
0000UTC 28.07.2026 132 23.5N 148.9W 1010 25
1200UTC 28.07.2026 144 24.3N 151.9W 1012 23
0000UTC 29.07.2026 156 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 9.4N 102.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.07.2026 60 9.4N 103.0W 1004 27
1200UTC 25.07.2026 72 10.5N 104.6W 1004 32
0000UTC 26.07.2026 84 11.5N 107.5W 1001 41
1200UTC 26.07.2026 96 12.3N 109.2W 998 44
0000UTC 27.07.2026 108 13.4N 111.2W 996 45
1200UTC 27.07.2026 120 15.1N 112.8W 990 48
0000UTC 28.07.2026 132 16.6N 114.0W 983 58
1200UTC 28.07.2026 144 17.8N 115.3W 980 60
0000UTC 29.07.2026 156 19.0N 116.6W 974 65
1200UTC 29.07.2026 168 19.9N 118.1W 966 72

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.5N 174.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.07.2026 96 13.1N 176.2W 1004 30
0000UTC 27.07.2026 108 14.2N 179.8E 1002 32
1200UTC 27.07.2026 120 14.7N 176.9E 1001 36
0000UTC 28.07.2026 132 15.3N 174.4E 998 38
1200UTC 28.07.2026 144 15.6N 172.7E 996 41
0000UTC 29.07.2026 156 16.2N 171.4E 992 42
1200UTC 29.07.2026 168 17.4N 169.9E 987 43

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 221620

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 221610

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.8N 88.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 22.07.2026 29.8N 88.4W MODERATE
00UTC 23.07.2026 29.2N 90.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 29.0N 92.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 120.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 22.07.2026 16.9N 120.9W MODERATE
00UTC 23.07.2026 17.7N 122.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 18.2N 124.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 19.0N 127.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 19.2N 131.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2026 19.2N 133.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 19.4N 136.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 19.9N 138.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 20.5N 140.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 21.3N 143.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 22.3N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 23.5N 149.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 24.3N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 9.4N 102.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 25.07.2026 9.3N 102.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 10.5N 104.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 11.5N 107.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2026 12.2N 109.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2026 13.4N 111.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.07.2026 15.1N 112.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 16.6N 114.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.8N 115.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 19.0N 116.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 29.07.2026 19.8N 118.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.5N 174.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 26.07.2026 13.1N 176.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 14.2N 179.8E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.07.2026 14.7N 176.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 15.3N 174.4E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 15.6N 172.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 16.2N 171.4E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 29.07.2026 17.4N 169.9E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 37.2N 62.2W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 29.07.2026 38.5N 60.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 221610

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 221600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 16.8N 121.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 121.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.3N 122.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.7N 125.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 18.1N 127.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.4N 130.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.6N 133.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 18.8N 135.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 19.5N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.0N 146.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221600Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 121.6W.
22JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 977 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221200Z IS 983 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221500Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
222200Z AND 230400Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 221444
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 AM HST WED JUL 22 2026

FAUSTO APPEARS TO BE CONTENDING WITH INTRUSIONS OF DRY AIR BASED ON
ITS DETERIORATED SATELLITE STRUCTURE THIS MORNING. RECENT AMSR-2 AND
GMI PASSIVE MICROWAVE IMAGES SHOW THE MID-LEVEL EYEWALL OF THE
HURRICANE IS NO LONGER CLOSED, AND DRY SLOTS ARE EVIDENT IN
GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGES. AS A RESULT OF THESE CHANGES, THE
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED THIS MORNING. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 70 KT, WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE LATEST UW-CIMSS D-PRINT, D-MINT, AND SATCON ESTIMATES.

FAUSTO CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD (285/6 KT) WHILE BEING
STEERED BY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS FEATURE IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WHICH SHOULD KEEP
FAUSTO ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD HEADING WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. THE
TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 72 H, WITH INCREASED
CROSS-TRACK SPREAD NOTED AT DAYS 4-5. THE GOOGLE DEEP MIND AND HCCA
REMAIN ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE, WHILE THE GFS
AND REGIONAL HURRICANE MODELS ARE STILL SLOWER AND FARTHER NORTH.
LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FORECAST, WHICH
CONTINUES TO FOLLOW HCCA ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE.

SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE
FAUSTO MOVES OVER WARM WATERS IN A LIGHT TO MODERATE SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER, CONTINUED INTRUSIONS OF DRY AIR MAY LIMIT THE
POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION, AND THE NHC FORECAST ONLY
SHOWS MODEST STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24-36 H. AS FAUSTO MOVES
WESTWARD, IT IS PREDICTED TO ENCOUNTER A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR
MASS OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE TRACKING NEAR THE 26 DEG C ISOTHERM.
THUS, SLOW WEAKENING IS SHOWN DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. THE LATEST NHC INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS ON THE
HIGHER SIDE OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE. NOTE THAT ANY LARGE NORTHWARD
TRACK DEVIATIONS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE FAUSTO TO WEAKEN EVEN FASTER
THAN SHOWN IN THIS FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/1500Z 16.9N 121.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 23/0000Z 17.3N 122.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 23/1200Z 17.7N 125.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 25/0000Z 18.6N 133.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 25/1200Z 18.8N 135.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 26/1200Z 19.5N 141.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 27/1200Z 20.0N 146.0W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 221442
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 AM HST Wed Jul 22 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 121.4W
ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 121.4 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A continued
west-northwestward to westward motion, along with an increase in
forward speed, is expected over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or
so, followed by slow weakening on Friday and into the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula and are spreading northward
toward the coast of southern California. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 221442
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 121.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 121.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 121.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 122.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 125.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.6N 133.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.8N 135.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 121.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 221000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 16.6N 120.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 120.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.0N 121.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.4N 123.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.7N 126.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.0N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.3N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 18.7N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 19.3N 139.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 19.8N 144.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221000Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 120.9W.
22JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 982 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220900Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
221600Z AND 222200Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 220834
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 PM HST Tue Jul 21 2026

...FAUSTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 120.7W
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 120.7 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A general
west-northwestward to westward motion, with a slight increase in
forward speed is expected for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected the next day or
so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula, and should persist for a
couple more days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 220835
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 PM HST TUE JUL 21 2026

HURRICANE FAUSTO'S SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS IMPROVED THROUGHOUT
THE EVENING, WITH DEEP CONVECTION BURSTING OVER THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER, WITH COLD CLOUD TOPS NEAR -80C, AND A LARGE CURVED BAND ON
THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. EARLIER SAR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW THAT THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM WAS FARTHER
EAST THAN ANTICIPATED. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE GENERALLY
TRENDED UPWARD OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS, WITH UW-CIMSS ADT AND
AIDT AT 74 AND 65 KT, RESPECTIVELY. THE LATEST TAFB SUBJECTIVE
INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS T5.0/90 KT. GIVEN THE IMPROVED SATELLITE
PRESENTATION AND THESE ESTIMATES, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO
75 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AN ESTIMATED 285/7 KT
ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE
RIDGE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BUILD WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE HURRICANE TO CONTINUE MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
LATEST NHC TRACK FORECAST IS NEAR THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH 72 HOURS,
WITH LITTLE SPREAD IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE. BEYOND 72 HOURS, THE
FORECAST HAS ONCE AGAIN SHIFTED SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE LATEST HCCA AND
GDMI CONSENSUS AIDS, AND LIES BETWEEN THESE AIDS AND THE SIMPLE
CONSENSUS. MODEL SPREAD INCREASES TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH THE GFS AND SOME OF THE REGIONAL HURRICANE MODELS
SLOWER AND FARTHER NORTH, WHILE HCCA AND GDMI ARE FASTER AND FARTHER
SOUTH.

FAUSTO IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER WARM OCEAN TEMPERATURES WITHIN AN
ENVIRONMENT OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND ABUNDANT MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR FURTHER STRENGTHENING. ALONG THE
FORECAST TRACK, FAUSTO WILL PASS OVER GRADUALLY COOLING SSTS, AND
WILL BE MOVING ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE 26C ISOTHERM BY 36 HOURS. AT
THE SAME TIME, MID-LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE LATEST
NHC INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING THOUGH A
SLIGHTLY EARLIER PEAK THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL
WEAKENING. THIS FORECAST LIES NEAR THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE IN THE SHORT TERM, BEFORE ALIGNING CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS
AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. SHOULD FAUSTO TAKE A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK,
THE SYSTEM WOULD STRUGGLE TO SUSTAIN DEEP CONVECTION, POTENTIALLY
LEADING TO A FASTER WEAKENING TREND THAN IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0900Z 16.7N 120.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 22/1800Z 17.0N 121.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 23/0600Z 17.4N 123.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 23/1800Z 17.7N 126.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 24/0600Z 18.0N 129.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 24/1800Z 18.3N 132.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 25/0600Z 18.7N 134.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 26/0600Z 19.3N 139.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 27/0600Z 19.8N 144.6W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 220834
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 120.7W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 120SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 120.7W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 120.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 121.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 123.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.7N 126.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N 129.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 134.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.3N 139.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.8N 144.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 120.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 220400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 16.5N 120.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 120.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 16.9N 121.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.3N 123.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.6N 125.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 17.9N 127.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.2N 130.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.6N 133.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.2N 138.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.0N 143.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220400Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 120.5W.
22JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 985 NM SOUTH OF
SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220000Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z, 221600Z,
222200Z AND 230400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 220235
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 PM HST TUE JUL 21 2026

...FAUSTO STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 120.3W
ABOUT 805 MI...1295 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 120.3 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
(260 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB (29.06 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SHOULD PERSIST FOR A
COUPLE MORE DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 220236
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 PM HST TUE JUL 21 2026

A 21/2144 UTC AMSR-2 OVERPASS SHOWS A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE TUCKED
UNDER THE CONVECTION, INDICATING THAT FAUSTO MAY HAVE RE-GAINED SOME
ORGANIZATION. THE PASS ALSO INDICATES THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY MAY
HAVE BEEN ABOUT 10 TO 15 MILES TOO FAST TOWARD THE NORTHWEST.
RECENT OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN RANGING BETWEEN 60-75
KT. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS 4.5/77 KT.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 70 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY, AS A
BLEND OF ALL THE AFOREMENTIONED DATA.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KT. THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE SHOULD
BUILD WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WHICH SHOULD STEER THE
CYCLONE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THE NEW NHC FORECAST TRACK LIES SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH OF, AND IS A
BIT SLOWER THAN, THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK FOR THE FIRST 3 DAYS,
AND IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST HCCA AND GDMI DURING
THAT TIME. BEYOND 3 DAYS, THE NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED
SOUTHWARD OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, BUT NOT NEARLY AS FAR SOUTH AS
THE LATEST HCCA AND GDMI. THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK IS
MODERATE TO HIGH THROUGH 72 H, GIVEN THE RELATIVELY TIGHT CLUSTERING
OF THE GUIDANCE. SPREAD INCREASES AFTER THAT TIME, WITH THE GFS
AMONG THE SLOWER AND FARTHEST NORTH MODELS, WHILE THE ECMWF, HCCA
AND GDMI ARE FASTER AND FARTHER SOUTH.

WHILE FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO BE IN A LIGHT TO MODERATE SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, IT WILL BE MOVING OVER SLOWLY
DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) THROUGH 72 H. THE
FORECAST TRACK IS NEAR AND ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE 26C ISOTHERM. IN
ADDITION, THE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE NEAR THE STORM SHOULD SLOWLY
DECREASE THROUGH 72 H, FOLLOWED BY A FASTER DECREASE. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 H, AND NO CHANGE IS
MADE TO THE 85 KT PEAK INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWN IN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY. THE NHC FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER-END OF
THE RELIABLE INTENSITY GUIDANCE DURING THAT PERIOD. BY THURSDAY
NIGHT OR FRIDAY, GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE DRIER AIR
AND SSTS NEAR 26C. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST LIES AT THE HIGH END
OF THE MODEL SUITE FROM 60 H THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT FAUSTO COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM
BY DAY 5, GIVEN THAT SEVERAL RELIABLE MODELS SHOW THIS SCENARIO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0300Z 16.6N 120.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 22/1200Z 16.9N 121.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 23/0000Z 17.3N 123.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 23/1200Z 17.6N 125.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 24/0000Z 17.9N 127.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 24/1200Z 18.2N 130.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 25/0000Z 18.6N 133.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 26/0000Z 19.2N 138.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 27/0000Z 20.0N 143.3W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 220235
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC WED JUL 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 120.3W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 135SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 120.3W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 120.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.9N 121.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 110SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 123.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.9N 127.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N 130.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.6N 133.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 15SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.2N 138.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.0N 143.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 120.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 212200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 119.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 119.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 17.0N 121.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.4N 122.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.7N 124.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.9N 127.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.3N 129.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.6N 132.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.4N 137.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 20.1N 142.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
212200Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 120.0W.
21JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 981 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211800Z IS 987
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 220400Z, 221000Z, 221600Z AND 222200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 212033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026

...FAUSTO TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE CHANGING LITTLE IN
STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 119.9W
ABOUT 780 MI...1260 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 119.9 West. Fausto is
now moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A
general west-northwestward to westward motion is expected for the
next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. After that,
gradual strengthening is expected tonight through Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula tonight, and persist for a
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 212034
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1100 AM HST TUE JUL 21 2026

THE CORE OF FAUSTO HAS NOT REGAINED ANY ORGANIZATION SINCE THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND OVERALL THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE IS OF A
SYSTEM BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER, A SAR OVERPASS NEAR 14Z
INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM STILL HAD HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, AND THIS
IS SUPPORTED BY SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM MICROWAVE
SOUNDERS. BASED ON THESE, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 65 KT.

FAUSTO IS STARTING ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TURN AND THE INITIAL
MOTION IS NOW 295/10 KT. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE SHOULD BUILD WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT
FIVE DAYS, AND THIS EVOLUTION SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS BEFORE,
THE TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED FOR THREE DAYS. AFTER
THAT, THERE REMAINS AN INCREASE IN THE NORTH-SOUTH SPREAD BETWEEN
THE GFS AND CANADIAN MODELS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE AND THE ECMWF, GOOGLE DEEPMIND, AND THE HAFS MODELS ON THE
SOUTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. FOR THE FIRST THREE DAYS, THE
NEW FORECAST TRACK LIES NEAR THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE CENTER OF
THE GUIDANCE. AT DAYS 4 AND 5, IT IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS
TRACK AND A LITTLE NORTH OF THE VARIOUS CONSENSUS MODELS.

WHILE FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO BE IN A LIGHT- TO MODERATE SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, IT WILL BE MOVING OVER
SLOWLY DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES THROUGH 72 H.
SUBSEQUENTLY, THE FORECAST TRACK IS NEAR AND ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO
THE 26C ISOTHERM. IN ADDITION, THE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE NEAR THE
STORM SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE FOR 72 H, FOLLOWED BY A FASTER
DECREASE. THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE RESPONDS TO THESE FACTORS BY
SHOWING INTENSIFICATION FOR 48-60 H, WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTER
72 H. BASED ON THE GUIDANCE AND THE NEED FOR THE CORE TO
RE-ORGANIZE, THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH FOR 12 H, FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL STRENGTHENING UNTIL THE 60 H
POINT. THE FORECAST PEAK INTENSITY OF 85 KT IS NEAR THE UPPER EDGE
OF THE GUIDANCE. AFTER 72 H, THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND OF THE GUIDANCE. THE NEW FORECAST IS WEAKER THAN
THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST THROUGH 60 H, AND IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST THEREAFTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/2100Z 16.6N 119.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 212033
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.9W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.9W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 119.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 119.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 211619

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 21.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 28.8N 85.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.07.2026 0 28.8N 85.9W 997 52
0000UTC 22.07.2026 12 29.3N 87.4W 996 43
1200UTC 22.07.2026 24 29.4N 88.3W 996 41
0000UTC 23.07.2026 36 29.2N 89.8W 995 40
1200UTC 23.07.2026 48 29.1N 92.1W 995 47
0000UTC 24.07.2026 60 29.0N 95.1W 997 45
1200UTC 24.07.2026 72 27.9N 98.2W 1003 29
0000UTC 25.07.2026 84 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 118.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.07.2026 0 15.8N 118.4W 986 55
0000UTC 22.07.2026 12 16.5N 120.0W 978 61
1200UTC 22.07.2026 24 16.9N 121.2W 974 62
0000UTC 23.07.2026 36 17.4N 122.8W 975 64
1200UTC 23.07.2026 48 18.1N 125.3W 978 62
0000UTC 24.07.2026 60 18.5N 128.5W 977 62
1200UTC 24.07.2026 72 18.4N 131.7W 981 51
0000UTC 25.07.2026 84 18.3N 134.3W 984 47
1200UTC 25.07.2026 96 18.8N 136.7W 989 49
0000UTC 26.07.2026 108 19.6N 139.3W 995 48
1200UTC 26.07.2026 120 20.2N 141.9W 1000 36
0000UTC 27.07.2026 132 21.1N 144.5W 1005 30
1200UTC 27.07.2026 144 22.0N 147.0W 1007 26
0000UTC 28.07.2026 156 23.0N 148.9W 1010 25
1200UTC 28.07.2026 168 24.2N 150.5W 1011 23

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.0N 106.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.07.2026 96 10.1N 107.5W 1004 28
0000UTC 26.07.2026 108 11.2N 110.0W 1001 33
1200UTC 26.07.2026 120 12.4N 112.7W 998 40
0000UTC 27.07.2026 132 13.3N 115.1W 995 51
1200UTC 27.07.2026 144 14.2N 116.7W 985 55
0000UTC 28.07.2026 156 15.5N 118.4W 975 66
1200UTC 28.07.2026 168 16.3N 120.0W 974 66

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 13.8N 177.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.07.2026 132 13.8N 177.9W 1005 30
1200UTC 27.07.2026 144 14.4N 179.5W 1004 27
0000UTC 28.07.2026 156 15.7N 179.2E 1002 31
1200UTC 28.07.2026 168 16.7N 178.0E 1001 35

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 211619

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 211609

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 28.8N 86.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 21.07.2026 28.8N 86.0W MODERATE
00UTC 22.07.2026 29.2N 87.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.07.2026 29.4N 88.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2026 29.2N 89.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 29.1N 92.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 28.9N 95.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 28.0N 98.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 25.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 118.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 21.07.2026 15.8N 118.4W MODERATE
00UTC 22.07.2026 16.5N 120.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 22.07.2026 16.9N 121.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2026 17.5N 122.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 18.1N 125.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 18.5N 128.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 18.3N 131.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2026 18.3N 134.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 18.8N 136.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 26.07.2026 19.5N 139.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 20.3N 141.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 21.1N 144.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 22.0N 147.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 23.0N 148.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 24.1N 150.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.0N 106.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 25.07.2026 10.1N 107.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 26.07.2026 11.2N 110.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2026 12.5N 112.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2026 13.4N 115.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.07.2026 14.2N 116.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 15.5N 118.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.07.2026 16.3N 120.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 13.9N 177.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 27.07.2026 13.9N 177.8W WEAK
12UTC 27.07.2026 14.4N 179.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 15.6N 179.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 16.7N 178.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 36.9N 65.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 28.07.2026 36.9N 65.6W WEAK
12UTC 28.07.2026 40.3N 60.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 211609

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 211438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 AM HST TUE JUL 21 2026

...FAUSTO STOPS STRENGTHENING AND WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 118.8W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 118.8 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H), AND THAT GENERAL
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST,
ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
(260 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB (29.12 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY, AND PERSIST FOR
A COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 211439
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
500 AM HST TUE JUL 21 2026

SOMEWHAT SURPRISINGLY, THE CORE OF FAUSTO HAS LOST ORGANIZATION
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME
DISORGANIZED IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A 0913Z AMSR
OVERPASS INDICATED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAD BECOME PARTLY
EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF THE CONVECTION. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO A
RESURGENCE IN THE NORTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR THAT HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR
THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE
DECREASED SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY, AND BASED ON THESE THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 65 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 305/10 KT. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE FORECASTS A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IN THE NEXT
12 H OR SO AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE
BUILDS WESTWARD. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION
IS THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH ABOUT 72 H. THEREAFTER,
THERE REMAINS AN INCREASE IN THE NORTH-SOUTH SPREAD BETWEEN THE GFS
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND THE ECMWF AND GOOGLE
DEEPMIND ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK HAS MINOR ADJUSTMENTS FROM THE PREVIOUS TRACK, IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AT 120 H, AND LIES JUST A LITTLE TO
THE NORTH OF CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST THAT FAUSTO WILL REACH A LIGHT-SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT IN THE NEXT 12-24 H. HOWEVER, THE CYCLONE IS MOVING OVER
SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND AS A RESULT THE
INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS SHOWING LESS STRENGTHENING DURING THE FIRST
36-48 H THAN PREVIOUSLY. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THAT THE
SHEAR HAS BEEN A BIT STRONGER THAN FORECAST ALL THROUGH THE LIFE OF
FAUSTO. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL FOLLOW
THE GUIDANCE IN SHOWING A RESUMED STRENGTHENING LATER TODAY AND A
PEAK INTENSITY IN 36-60 H. BEYOND THAT TIME, A GRADUAL WEAKENING
TREND IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER
WATERS AND INTO A DRIER, MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE NEW FORECAST
IS NUDGED DOWNWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR THE FIRST 48 H
AND CHANGED LITTLE THEREAFTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/1500Z 16.3N 118.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 22/0000Z 16.8N 119.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 22/1200Z 17.2N 121.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 23/0000Z 17.5N 123.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 23/1200Z 17.8N 125.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 24/0000Z 18.2N 127.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 24/1200Z 18.6N 130.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 25/1200Z 19.5N 135.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 26/1200Z 20.3N 140.8W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 211438
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 118.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 65NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 105SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 118.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.8N 119.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.2N 121.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 123.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 125.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.2N 127.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.6N 130.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.5N 135.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.3N 140.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 118.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 211000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 117.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 117.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.1N 119.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 16.6N 120.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.1N 122.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.4N 124.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.8N 126.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.1N 129.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.1N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 20.0N 139.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211000Z POSITION NEAR 15.4N 118.1W.
21JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1056 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210600Z IS 985 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210900Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
212200Z AND 221000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05E (ELIDA) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PHNC).//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 210846
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 21 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ALTHOUGH MODEST
NORTHERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE CYCLONE, THE CENTRAL DENSE
OVERCAST HAS RECENTLY BEGUN TO EXPAND OVER THE CENTER AND INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT, SUGGESTING THAT THE INNER CORE IS BECOMING
BETTER ESTABLISHED. THE SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM
TAFB IS NOW T4.5/77 KT, WHILE OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES ARE HOVERING
AROUND 65 KT. BASED ON A BLEND OF THESE DATA AND THE IMPROVING
SATELLITE PRESENTATION, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 310/9 KT, AND THAT GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE CYCLONE MOVES
TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY WEDNESDAY, HIGH
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD WESTWARD TO THE NORTH OF FAUSTO,
CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TRACK
GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH ABOUT 72 H. THEREAFTER,
ALTHOUGH THE CROSS-TRACK SPREAD GRADUALLY INCREASES, THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS (HCCA) AND GFS HAVE SHIFTED SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE ECMWF AND
GOOGLE DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN, WHICH REMAIN ON THE SOUTHERN END OF
THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE NHC FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT SOUTHWARD, CLOSELY ALIGNING WITH
THE HCCA TRACK.

FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOWER VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR WHILE REMAINING OVER WARM WATERS AND WITHIN A MOIST AIR
MASS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS THE MODEST NORTHERLY SHEAR
BEGINS TO RELAX LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT, CONDITIONS SHOULD SUPPORT
STEADY TO RAPID STRENGTHENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST BRINGS FAUSTO TO NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY BY 36 H AND
REMAINS NEAR THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOP. A GRADUAL
WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER
PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS AND INTO A DRIER, MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0900Z 15.4N 118.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 21/1800Z 16.1N 119.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 22/0600Z 16.6N 120.7W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 22/1800Z 17.1N 122.2W 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 23/0600Z 17.4N 124.2W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 23/1800Z 17.8N 126.6W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 24/0600Z 18.1N 129.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 25/0600Z 19.1N 134.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 26/0600Z 20.0N 139.7W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 210844
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
200 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...FAUSTO STEADILY STRENGTHENING...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 118.0W
ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 118.0 West. Fausto is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and that general motion
is expected through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest,
accompanied by an increase in forward speed, is expected on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the next
couple of days, with Fausto forecast to near major hurricane
intensity by Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday, and persist for
a couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 210844
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 118.0W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 65NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 118.0W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 117.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.1N 119.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.1N 122.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 124.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.1N 129.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 19.1N 134.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.0N 139.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 118.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 210418

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 21.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 28.5N 86.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.07.2026 0 28.5N 86.2W 1005 32
1200UTC 21.07.2026 12 28.7N 86.4W 1001 42
0000UTC 22.07.2026 24 29.3N 87.1W 1001 37
1200UTC 22.07.2026 36 29.4N 87.6W 1002 37
0000UTC 23.07.2026 48 28.9N 89.0W 1002 42
1200UTC 23.07.2026 60 29.0N 90.3W 1004 37
0000UTC 24.07.2026 72 28.5N 92.6W 1000 40
1200UTC 24.07.2026 84 29.1N 94.9W 1006 38
0000UTC 25.07.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 117.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.07.2026 0 14.9N 117.0W 995 48
1200UTC 21.07.2026 12 16.3N 118.3W 992 51
0000UTC 22.07.2026 24 17.0N 120.1W 988 52
1200UTC 22.07.2026 36 17.4N 121.5W 984 59
0000UTC 23.07.2026 48 17.7N 123.3W 981 56
1200UTC 23.07.2026 60 18.0N 125.7W 982 54
0000UTC 24.07.2026 72 18.4N 128.5W 981 56
1200UTC 24.07.2026 84 18.7N 131.2W 982 54
0000UTC 25.07.2026 96 19.2N 133.9W 986 49
1200UTC 25.07.2026 108 19.7N 136.3W 988 52
0000UTC 26.07.2026 120 20.4N 138.6W 993 47
1200UTC 26.07.2026 132 21.1N 141.0W 1000 38
0000UTC 27.07.2026 144 21.9N 143.1W 1004 28
1200UTC 27.07.2026 156 22.5N 145.0W 1007 24
0000UTC 28.07.2026 168 23.5N 146.2W 1009 24

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.6N 106.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.07.2026 108 10.1N 108.0W 1005 29
0000UTC 26.07.2026 120 10.8N 110.6W 1004 36
1200UTC 26.07.2026 132 11.5N 113.0W 1001 38
0000UTC 27.07.2026 144 12.9N 115.6W 997 46
1200UTC 27.07.2026 156 14.0N 117.6W 990 60
0000UTC 28.07.2026 168 15.5N 119.4W 979 66

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 33.7N 77.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.07.2026 132 33.7N 77.6W 1010 28
0000UTC 27.07.2026 144 32.4N 76.2W 1007 24
1200UTC 27.07.2026 156 34.8N 70.5W 1004 30
0000UTC 28.07.2026 168 38.0N 66.1W 1004 33

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 210418

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 210408

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.07.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02L ANALYSED POSITION : 28.6N 86.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 21.07.2026 28.6N 86.1W WEAK
12UTC 21.07.2026 28.6N 86.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.07.2026 29.3N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.07.2026 29.4N 87.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2026 28.8N 88.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 28.9N 90.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 28.5N 92.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 29.1N 94.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 25.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 117.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 21.07.2026 14.8N 117.0W MODERATE
12UTC 21.07.2026 16.3N 118.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.07.2026 16.9N 120.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.07.2026 17.4N 121.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 23.07.2026 17.8N 123.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 18.0N 125.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 18.4N 128.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 18.6N 131.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2026 19.2N 133.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 19.7N 136.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 20.3N 138.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 21.1N 141.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 21.9N 143.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 22.5N 145.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 23.5N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.6N 106.7W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 25.07.2026 10.0N 108.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 26.07.2026 10.6N 110.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2026 11.5N 113.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2026 12.9N 115.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.07.2026 13.9N 117.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 15.4N 119.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 34.7N 70.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 27.07.2026 34.7N 70.5W WEAK
00UTC 28.07.2026 38.0N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 210408

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 210400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 009
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06E
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 14.4N 117.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 117.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 15.5N 118.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 16.2N 119.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 16.7N 121.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.1N 123.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.5N 125.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 17.9N 127.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.8N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.7N 138.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210400Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 117.5W.
21JUL26. HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1098 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 988 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 211000Z, 211600Z, 212200Z AND 220400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
05E (ELIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 210244
TCDEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
800 PM PDT MON JUL 20 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ALTHOUGH SOME
RESIDUAL NORTHERLY SHEAR REMAINS EVIDENT, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS HAVE BECOME MUCH BETTER
ALIGNED THAN THEY WERE YESTERDAY. RECENT MICROWAVE AND SCATTEROMETER
DATA ALSO SUPPORT THE IMPROVED STRUCTURE, AND THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB INDICATE THAT FAUSTO HAS REACHED
HURRICANE INTENSITY. BASED ON THESE DATA AND THE IMPROVING SATELLITE
PRESENTATION, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 65 KT, MAKING
FAUSTO THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2026 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC
HURRICANE SEASON.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 315/8 KT. A SLOWER
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE
CYCLONE MOVES TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY
WEDNESDAY, HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD NORTH OF FAUSTO,
CAUSING THE CYCLONE TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE. TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH ABOUT
72 H. THEREAFTER, A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CROSS-TRACK SPREAD DEVELOPS,
WITH THE GFS AND THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS (HCCA) ON THE RIGHT SIDE
OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND THE ECMWF AND GDMI ON THE LEFT, OR
SOUTH, SIDE. THE UPDATED NHC FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND REFLECTS A BLEND OF THE HCCA AND THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND
ENSEMBLE MEAN.

FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOWER VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR WHILE REMAINING OVER WARM WATERS AND WITHIN A MOIST AIR
MASS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD SUPPORT
STEADY TO RAPID STRENGTHENING, ALTHOUGH SOME LINGERING NORTHWESTERLY
SHEAR COULD INITIALLY TEMPER THE RATE OF INTENSIFICATION. THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR FAUSTO TO APPROACH MAJOR HURRICANE
INTENSITY IN ABOUT 48 H AND REMAINS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE THROUGH THIS TIME. A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED
THEREAFTER AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS AND
INTO A DRIER, MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 14.7N 117.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 15.5N 118.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 22/0000Z 16.2N 119.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 22/1200Z 16.7N 121.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 23/0000Z 17.1N 123.2W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 23/1200Z 17.5N 125.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 24/0000Z 17.9N 127.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 25/0000Z 18.8N 133.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 26/0000Z 19.7N 138.3W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 210243
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
800 PM PDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...FAUSTO BECOMES A HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 117.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 117.3 West. Fausto is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A slower northwestward
motion, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest by Wednesday
is expected.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during
the next couple of days, with Fausto forecast to near major
hurricane intensity by Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday, and persist for
a couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 210243
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 117.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 170SE 160SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 117.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 117.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.5N 118.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.2N 119.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.7N 121.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.1N 123.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.5N 125.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.9N 127.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 133.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.7N 138.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 117.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 202200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 14.0N 116.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 116.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 15.1N 117.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.0N 119.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 16.6N 120.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.0N 122.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.4N 124.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.7N 127.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.5N 132.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.4N 137.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
202200Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 117.0W.
20JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1122
NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201800Z IS 994 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 210400Z, 211000Z, 211600Z AND 212200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
05E (ELIDA) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PHNC).//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 202046
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
200 PM PDT MON JUL 20 2026

...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 116.7W
ABOUT 745 MI...1205 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A TURN BACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY TO RAPID STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, AND FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY, AND PERSIST FOR
A COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 202047
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
200 PM PDT MON JUL 20 2026

A MICROWAVE PASS THAT OCCURRED AROUND 1330 UTC SHOWED THAT THE
CENTER WAS NORTH OF THE CONVECTION AT THAT TIME. THE RECENT
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK FIX FROM TAFB WAS 3.5/55 KT. A RECENT ASCAT-C
PASS SHOWS SEVERAL VECTORS OVER 50 KTS AND THAT THE INNER CORE
IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. MOST RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES HAVE
ALSO SHOWN THAT THE CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF FAUSTO. BASED ON THE ASCAT PASS AND THE
IMPROVED SATELLITE PRESENTATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS, THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 60 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

FAUSTO SHOULD MOVE INTO A REGION OF LIGHTER SHEAR WHILE REMAINING IN
A MOIST ENVIRONMENT OVER WARM SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SHIPS
MODEL SUGGESTS THAT RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS STILL POSSIBLE. THE
TIMING AND POSSIBILITY OF THE INTENSIFICATION WILL BE TIED TO HOW
QUICKLY THE SYSTEM IS ABLE TO GET ORGANIZED. THE CURRENT NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY
AND REMAINS STILL ON THE HIGHER END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE.
THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST DOES HAVE FAUSTO BECOMING A HURRICANE BY
TOMORROW AND START TO APPROACH MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK ONCE
FAUSTO MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS AND
DRIER AIR.

THE STORM IS SLOWLY GAINING LATITUDE, WITH THE INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATED TO BE 305/9 KT. FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT TRACKS
TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE LEFT BEHIND BY ELIDA. BY WEDNESDAY,
HOWEVER, THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST OF
THE SYSTEM, AND THAT SHOULD CAUSE FAUSTO TO MOVE FASTER TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND CONTINUE IN THAT DIRECTION INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
CURRENT NHC TRACK HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK, BUT REMAINS WITHIN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/2100Z 14.2N 116.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 21/0600Z 15.1N 117.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 21/1800Z 16.0N 119.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 22/0600Z 16.6N 120.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 22/1800Z 17.0N 122.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 23/0600Z 17.4N 124.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 23/1800Z 17.7N 127.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 24/1800Z 18.5N 132.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.7W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 202045
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.7W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.7W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 116.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.1N 117.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 119.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 120.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 122.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 124.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.7N 127.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 132.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 116.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 201600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 116.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 116.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 14.4N 117.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 15.4N 119.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 16.1N 120.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 16.6N 122.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 16.9N 124.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.3N 126.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.0N 131.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.1N 136.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
201600Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 116.5W.
20JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1172
NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201200Z IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
202200Z, 210400Z, 211000Z AND 211600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05E (ELIDA) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 201434
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
800 AM PDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 116.4W
ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 116.4 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A decrease
in forward speed and a motion toward the northwest is expected
during the next day or two. A turn back to the west-northwest is
expected on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during
the next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a
hurricane later today or tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday, and persist for
a couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 201435
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
800 AM PDT MON JUL 20 2026

DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING IN STRENGTH AND COVERAGE OVER
THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS, AND FAUSTO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY GAIN
STRENGTH. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO LOCATE, IS
STILL NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DUE TO
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN NUDGED UP TO 55 KT, WHICH IS NEAR THE HIGH END OF THE LATEST
SATELLITE ESTIMATES.

THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE, AND SINCE FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN OVER WARM WATERS AND IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT, CONTINUED
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. IN FACT, THE SHIPS MODEL SUGGESTS THAT
THERE IS ABOUT 1 IN 3 CHANCE THAT FAUSTO COULD RAPIDLY INTENSIFY.
THIS SEEMS PLAUSIBLE, ESPECIALLY SINCE IT APPEARS TO HAVE A
DEVELOPING COMPACT CORE IN SATELLITE IMAGES. THE NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST REMAINS AT THE HIGH END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE AND SHOWS
FAUSTO BECOMING A HURRICANE TONIGHT AND APPROACHING MAJOR HURRICANE
STATUS IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TOWARD
THE END OF THE WEEK ONCE FAUSTO MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF
PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS AND DRIER AIR.

THE STORM IS SLOWLY GAINING LATITUDE, WITH THE INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATED TO BE 295/11 KT. FAUSTO WILL LIKELY MOVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT TRACKS
TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE LEFT BEHIND BY ELIDA. BY WEDNESDAY,
HOWEVER, THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST OF
THE SYSTEM, AND THAT SHOULD CAUSE FAUSTO TO MOVE FASTER TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND CONTINUE IN THAT DIRECTION INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
NHC TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND ROUGHLY
NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/1500Z 13.5N 116.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 21/0000Z 14.4N 117.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 21/1200Z 15.4N 119.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 22/0000Z 16.1N 120.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 22/1200Z 16.6N 122.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 23/0000Z 16.9N 124.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 23/1200Z 17.3N 126.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 24/1200Z 18.0N 131.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 25/1200Z 19.1N 136.7W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 201433
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC MON JUL 20 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 116.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 150SE 90SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 116.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 116.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.4N 117.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 119.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.1N 120.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.6N 122.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.9N 124.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.3N 126.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N 136.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 201000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 115.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 115.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 13.8N 116.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 15.0N 118.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 15.9N 119.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 16.4N 121.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 16.9N 123.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.3N 125.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 17.9N 130.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 18.8N 135.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
201000Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 115.8W.
20JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1205
NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 200600Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
201600Z, 202200Z, 210400Z AND 211000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05E (ELIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 200833
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
200 AM PDT MON JUL 20 2026

ALTHOUGH MODEST NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO IMPART A
SLIGHT TILT TO THE VORTEX, A WELL-ESTABLISHED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE HAS ALLOWED THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION
TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. AS A RESULT, THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE
DEEPEST CONVECTION, WHICH WAS CONFIRMED BY A RECENT SCATTEROMETER
PASS. THE SCATTEROMETER DATA ALSO SAMPLED PEAK SURFACE WINDS OF
AROUND 45 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE CYCLONE, WHICH IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB.
BASED ON THE SLIGHTLY IMPROVED SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND THE RECENT
SCATTEROMETER DATA, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 50 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST, OR 290/10
KT. A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD WESTWARD IN THE
WAKE OF ELIDA, STEERING FAUSTO ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND EXPANDS
WESTWARD, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SLOW AND BEND
SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THEREAFTER, FAUSTO SHOULD
RESUME A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WHILE ACCELERATING LATER IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND LIES NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS (HCCA) AND
THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN.

ALTHOUGH MODEST NORTHERLY SHEAR IS LIKELY CONTRIBUTING TO FAUSTO'S
ASYMMETRIC STRUCTURE, THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR
STRENGTHENING, WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, DEEP MOISTURE,
AND IMPROVING UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION
FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH FAUSTO FORECAST TO
BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED
TO REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY IN ABOUT 60 HOURS OR AROUND MIDWEEK.
THEREAFTER, GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT DECREASING UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE
AND A SOMEWHAT DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT SHOULD INDUCE A GRADUAL
WEAKENING TREND. THE LATEST NHC INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS NEAR THE
MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE THROUGH ABOUT 60 H, THEN LIES NEAR
THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE THEREAFTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0900Z 12.9N 115.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 20/1800Z 13.8N 116.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 21/0600Z 15.0N 118.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 21/1800Z 15.9N 119.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 22/0600Z 16.4N 121.5W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 22/1800Z 16.9N 123.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 23/0600Z 17.3N 125.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 24/0600Z 17.9N 130.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 25/0600Z 18.8N 135.9W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 200832
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
200 AM PDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 115.6W
ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 115.6 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion with a gradual turn toward the northwest is expected
through Tuesday. The cyclone is forecast to slow somewhat through
Wednesday before gradually increasing its forward speed later in the
week.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the
next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a hurricane
tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 200832
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC MON JUL 20 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 115.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 115.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 115.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.8N 116.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.0N 118.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.9N 119.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.4N 121.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.9N 123.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.3N 125.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 17.9N 130.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.8N 135.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 110SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 200234
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
800 PM MST SUN JUL 19 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FAUSTO'S CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION
HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. DEEP
CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ESTABLISHED NEAR THE CENTER, WITH A
WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB ARE T3.0/45 KT, WHILE
OBJECTIVE UW-CIMSS INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 30 TO 40 KT. GIVEN
THE IMPROVING SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND A BLEND OF THESE ESTIMATES,
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 40 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST, OR 310/10 KT.
WHILE THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT POSITION OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER, TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
ABOUT 96 H, WITH THE CROSS-TRACK SPREAD INCREASING SOMEWHAT
THEREAFTER. A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD WESTWARD IN THE
WAKE OF ELIDA, STEERING FAUSTO ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREAFTER, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY SLOW AND TURN SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BEFORE RESUMING A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WHILE ACCELERATING LATER
IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, BUT HAS BEEN NUDGED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT TO
BETTER ALIGN WITH THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS (HCCA) AND THE GOOGLE
DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN.

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR
STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, DEEP MOISTURE, AND MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG FAUSTO'S FORECAST TRACK. ACCORDINGLY,
FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN 24 H, AND A PERIOD
OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION APPEARS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY BY MIDWEEK.
THEREAFTER, GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT DECREASING UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE
AND A SOMEWHAT DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT SHOULD INDUCE A GRADUAL
WEAKENING TREND. THE LATEST NHC INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS NEAR THE
MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE THROUGH ABOUT 60 H, THEN LIES NEAR
THE UPPER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE THEREAFTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0300Z 12.6N 114.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 20/1200Z 13.3N 116.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 21/0000Z 14.5N 117.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 21/1200Z 15.6N 119.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 22/0000Z 16.3N 120.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 22/1200Z 16.7N 122.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 23/0000Z 17.1N 124.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 24/0000Z 17.7N 128.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 25/0000Z 18.5N 134.1W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 200231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
800 PM MST SUN JUL 19 2026

...FAUSTO STEADILY STRENGTHENING...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 114.7W
ABOUT 780 MI...1250 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO SLOW SOMEWHAT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY INCREASING ITS FORWARD SPEED LATER IN THE
WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND FAUSTO IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM MST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 200231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC MON JUL 20 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.7W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 120SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.7W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.3W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 130SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.5N 117.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.6N 119.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.3N 120.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.7N 122.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.1N 124.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.7N 128.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.5N 134.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 114.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 192200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 12.3N 112.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 112.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 13.1N 114.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 14.2N 115.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 15.4N 117.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.3N 118.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 16.7N 120.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.0N 121.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.6N 126.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 18.5N 131.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192200Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 112.8W.
19JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1253
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191800Z IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
200400Z, 201000Z, 201600Z AND 202200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05E (ELIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 192036
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
200 PM MST Sun Jul 19 2026

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.7W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.7 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and a
west-northwestward or northwestward motion at a slightly slower
forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during
the next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a
hurricane by Monday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 192036
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
200 PM MST SUN JUL 19 2026

THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED IN APPEARANCE, WITH LESS
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ELONGATION THAN SEEN EARLIER TODAY. A
RECENT ASCAT PASS OVER THE SYSTEM SHOWED A BELIEVABLE 32-KT SURFACE
WIND VECTOR OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT, AND TAFB GAVE A SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK T-NUMBER OF 2.5. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH OBJECTIVE AIDT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KT FROM UW-CIMSS. BASED ON THIS
INFORMATION, THE SYSTEM IS BEING UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO
ON THIS ADVISORY. THE STORM HAS FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW OVER ITS SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE CENTER POSITION, BUT THE
BEST ESTIMATE OF INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11 KT. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC
RIDGE LIES TO THE NORTH OF FAUSTO WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE,
ASSOCIATED WITH DEPARTING TROPICAL STORM ELIDA, TO THE NORTHWEST.
THE RIDGE SHOULD GRADUALLY BUILD BACK WESTWARD IN ELIDA'S
WAKE. HOWEVER, THERE WILL PROBABLY BE JUST ENOUGH REMAINING
WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO INDUCE A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION OF FAUSTO DURING THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. THE NHC TRACK
FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND CORRECTED DYNAMICAL
MODEL CONSENSUS GUIDANCE.

THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF FAUSTO LOOKS QUITE CONDUCIVE FOR STEADY TO
RAPID INTENSIFICATION, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A VERY
MOIST LOW- TO MID-LEVEL AIR MASS. THE SHIPS RAPID INTENSIFICATION
(RI) INDEX SHOWS A SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL LIKELIHOOD OF
RI, AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST EXPLICITLY SHOWS RI
OCCURRING IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS RAPID STRENGTHENING COULD
OCCUR SOONER DEPENDING ON HOW SOON FAUSTO DEVELOPS A
WELL-DEFINED INNER CORE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 12.4N 112.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 20/0600Z 13.1N 114.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 20/1800Z 14.2N 115.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 21/0600Z 15.4N 117.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 21/1800Z 16.3N 118.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 22/0600Z 16.7N 120.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 22/1800Z 17.0N 121.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 23/1800Z 17.6N 126.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 24/1800Z 18.5N 131.3W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 192036
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
2100 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 112.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.1N 114.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.2N 115.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.4N 117.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N 118.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.7N 120.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 121.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 17.6N 126.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 131.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 191608

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 19.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM ELIDA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.5N 125.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 19.07.2026 21.5N 125.7W MODERATE
00UTC 20.07.2026 23.4N 126.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.07.2026 26.0N 127.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 21.07.2026 28.4N 127.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.07.2026 30.9N 127.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 22.07.2026 33.4N 126.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 22.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 111.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 19.07.2026 12.5N 111.5W WEAK
00UTC 20.07.2026 12.8N 113.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.07.2026 13.9N 116.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 21.07.2026 15.5N 117.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.07.2026 16.3N 120.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.07.2026 17.2N 121.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.07.2026 18.0N 122.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2026 18.3N 124.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 18.5N 126.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 18.4N 129.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 18.0N 132.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2026 17.6N 135.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 17.5N 138.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 18.1N 141.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 18.6N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 27.2N 85.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 19.07.2026 27.2N 85.1W WEAK
00UTC 20.07.2026 28.0N 84.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.07.2026 27.5N 85.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 21.07.2026 28.2N 85.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.07.2026 28.8N 85.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.07.2026 29.3N 86.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.07.2026 29.5N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2026 29.2N 88.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2026 28.0N 90.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2026 28.1N 93.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.6N 97.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 24.07.2026 9.5N 99.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 24.07.2026 9.8N 101.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2026 11.1N 103.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2026 11.5N 106.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2026 12.8N 109.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2026 13.3N 111.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 15.0N 177.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 26.07.2026 14.7N 178.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 45.3N 13.3E

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 26.07.2026 45.3N 13.3E WEAK

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 191608

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 191600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 12.2N 111.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N 111.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 12.8N 113.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 13.7N 115.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 14.9N 116.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 15.9N 118.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 16.5N 120.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 16.9N 121.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.5N 125.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 18.4N 130.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
191600Z POSITION NEAR 12.4N 111.9W.
19JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1272 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191200Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
192200Z, 200400Z, 201000Z AND 201600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05E (ELIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

0000349500
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 191441
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
800 AM MST Sun Jul 19 2026

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 111.7W
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 111.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today
and become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 191442
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
800 AM MST SUN JUL 19 2026

THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED, BUT
CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES ARE NOT YET VERY PROMINENT AND THE
CLOUD PATTERN IS SOMEWHAT ELONGATED FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
ALSO, MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM'S INNER CORE IS NOT
WELL DEFINED AT THE MOMENT. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30
KT IN AGREEMENT WITH OBJECTIVE SATELLITE CONSENSUS, SATCON,
ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS.

ALTHOUGH THE CENTER IS A LITTLE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE, THE BEST
ESTIMATE OF INITIAL MOTION IS 290/12 KT. A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE IS CURRENTLY SITUATED THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION WITH A
WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST DUE TO THE DEPARTING
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA. AS ELIDA MOVES FARTHER NORTH, THE RIDGE IS
LIKELY TO GRADUALLY BUILD WESTWARD. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A
CONTINUED GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME REDUCTION IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN AND THE CORRECTED CONSENSUS,
HCCA, TRACK.

THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO REMAIN QUITE
CONDUCTIVE FOR STRENGTHENING, WITH ONE NEGATIVE FACTOR BEING THE
COOLING OF OCEAN WATERS DUE TO THE PREVIOUS PASSAGE OF TROPICAL
STORM ELIDA. DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SHOWS LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS REFLECTED BY THE SHIPS MODEL OUTPUT.
THEREFORE SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE CYCLONE
BECOMING A HURRICANE BY LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY. THE OFFICIAL
INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE SHIPS
SOLUTION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/1500Z 12.4N 111.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 20/0000Z 12.8N 113.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 20/1200Z 13.7N 115.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 21/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 21/1200Z 15.9N 118.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 22/0000Z 16.5N 120.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 22/1200Z 16.9N 121.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 23/1200Z 17.5N 125.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.2W 80 KT 90 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 191440
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.9N 118.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.9N 121.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.5N 125.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 111.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 191000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 110.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 110.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 12.5N 112.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 13.2N 114.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 14.4N 116.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 15.5N 117.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.3N 119.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 16.8N 120.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.3N 124.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.2N 129.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
191000Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 110.8W.
19JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1308 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190600Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
191600Z, 192200Z, 200400Z AND 201000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05E (ELIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 190837
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
200 AM MST SUN JUL 19 2026

THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, AFTER THE PRIOR ADVISORY, AN
ASCAT-B SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED THAT THE CIRCULATION REMAINS BROAD
AND IS STILL IN THE ORGANIZING STAGES. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK
CLASSIFICATION FROM TAFB WAS T2.5/35 KT, BUT THE OBJECTIVE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES ARE STILL IN THE 25-30 KT RANGE. A BLEND OF THE SUBJECTIVE
AND OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES SUPPORTS MAINTAINING THE INITIAL INTENSITY
AT 30 KT THIS ADVISORY.

THE INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES OFF TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 290/12 KT.
THE DEPRESSION REMAINS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
CENTERED OVER MEXICO, THOUGH A WEAKNESS EXISTS TO THE NORTHWEST,
CREATED BY THE DEPARTING TROPICAL STORM ELIDA. OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD WESTWARD, REMOVING
THIS WEAKNESS. THUS, WHILE TD6-E MAY GAIN A BIT OF LATITUDE IN THE
24-48 H PERIOD, A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY EVEN TURN A BIT
LEFTWARD BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE LATEST NHC TRACK
FORECAST IS JUST A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PRIOR TRACK FORECAST, BUT
REMAINS CLOSE TO THE RELIABLE TVCN AND GDMI TRACK AIDS.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER DATA SUGGESTS IT MAY TAKE 12-24 H
FOR THE DEPRESSION'S WIND FIELD TO CONTRACT AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF
THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. OTHER THAN ITS SHORT-TERM STRUCTURE,
THESE FACTORS ALL APPEAR QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
INTENSIFICATION (LOW SHEAR, AMPLE MOISTURE, VERY WARM SEA-SURFACE
TEMPERATURES). THUS, SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AFTER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO, ESPECIALLY FROM 36-60 H WHERE A PERIOD OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPLICITLY FORECAST. THERE IS A NEGATIVE FACTOR
BEYOND THIS TIME FRAME. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF THE DEPRESSION
TAKES THE SYSTEM TOWARD OCEAN WATERS CHURNED UP BY THE CIRCULATION
OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA. IF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES OVER THIS
COOL WAKE, IT COULD LIMIT THE STORM'S PEAK INTENSITY BEYOND 72 H,
WITH SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWING IT CLOSE TO STRADDLING THE 26 C
ISOTHERM. FOR NOW, THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST STILL SHOWS A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 95 KT IN 72 H, JUST SHY OF MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY,
WITH SOME MODEST WEAKENING SHOWN IN DAYS 4-5. THE NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST IS ROUGHLY IN BETWEEN THE LATEST GDMI AND HCCA INTENSITY
AIDS, BUT IS NOTABLY HIGHER THAN THE HAFS-A/B GUIDANCE THIS CYCLE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0900Z 12.1N 110.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 19/1800Z 12.5N 112.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 20/0600Z 13.2N 114.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 20/1800Z 14.4N 116.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 21/0600Z 15.5N 117.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 21/1800Z 16.3N 119.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 22/0600Z 16.8N 120.6W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 23/0600Z 17.3N 124.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 24/0600Z 18.2N 129.0W 85 KT 100 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 190834
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
200 AM MST Sun Jul 19 2026

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE LATER
THIS WEEK OVER THE OPEN EAST PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.1N 110.6W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
was located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 110.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next two to
three days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few
days. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later
today and become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 190833
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 110.6W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 110.6W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.4N 116.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.5N 117.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N 119.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.8N 120.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 65NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.3N 124.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 18.2N 129.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 110.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PHNC 190400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 11.1N 108.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N 108.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.9N 110.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 12.6N 112.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 13.4N 114.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 14.6N 116.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 15.4N 117.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 16.0N 119.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 16.7N 122.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 17.5N 127.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190400Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 109.2W.
19JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (SIX-E), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1382 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190000Z IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
191000Z, 191600Z, 192200Z AND 200400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05E (ELIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 190233
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 18 2026

...SIXTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EAST PACIFIC SEASON FORMS WELL
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 109.1W
ABOUT 805 MI...1290 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 109.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
two to three days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Sunday and
become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 190233
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
800 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA WELL SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA NOW HAS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION AND SUFFICIENT
ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO BE DESIGNATED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THUS,
ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A COMBINATION OF THE
EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM
TAFB.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/10 KT. THE DEPRESSION IS ON THE SOUTH
SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO. THIS FEATURE SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS OR SO, FOLLOWED BY A
MORE WESTWARD MOTION AS THE RIDGE BUILDS WESTWARD. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, ALTHOUGH THE HWRF
AND HMON SHOW A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN THE OTHER MODELS AFTER 36
H. THE TRACK FORECAST IS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

THE SCATTEROMETER DATA SUGGESTED THAT THE DEPRESSION'S RADIUS OF
MAXIMUM WIND IS 70-100 N MI, AND IT MAY TAKE SOME TIME FOR THIS
TO CONTRACT OR FOR THE CYCLONE TO FORM A NEW INNER WIND CORE.
ONCE THE SYSTEM GETS BETTER ORGANIZED, THOUGH, THE ENVIRONMENT IS
FAVORABLE FOR STEADY TO RAPID STRENGTHENING, PARTICULARLY AFTER 24
H. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR THE SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN TO 80
KT BY 60 H, AND THIS IS AT THE LOWER EDGE OF THE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE. THE FORECAST 95-KT PEAK INTENSITY IS MORE IN THE MIDDLE OF
THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE, BUT THERE ARE SEVERAL MODELS CALLING FOR THE
SYSTEM TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AT 72-96 H. SLOW WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TO START BY 120 H SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE
CYCLONE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0300Z 11.3N 109.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 11.9N 110.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 12.6N 112.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 13.4N 114.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 14.6N 116.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 21/1200Z 15.4N 117.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 16.0N 119.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 23/0000Z 16.7N 122.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
120H 24/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W 90 KT 105 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 190232
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 108.4W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.9N 110.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 117.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 119.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 16.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 109.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Global Telecommunication Service

Measurements Levels