Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-26 Off-shore from 24 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC to 02 Aug 2026 21:00 UTC

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 030423

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 03.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.1N 140.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 03.08.2026 0 25.1N 140.0W 1009 32
1200UTC 03.08.2026 12 25.7N 142.6W 1010 29
0000UTC 04.08.2026 24 26.1N 144.1W 1011 25
1200UTC 04.08.2026 36 26.3N 145.2W 1011 23
0000UTC 05.08.2026 48 26.7N 146.1W 1013 19
1200UTC 05.08.2026 60 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 13.7N 159.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 10.08.2026 168 13.7N 159.9W 1006 29

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 030423

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 030412

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.1N 140.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 03.08.2026 25.1N 140.0W WEAK
12UTC 03.08.2026 25.7N 142.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 26.1N 144.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 26.4N 145.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 13.7N 159.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 10.08.2026 13.7N 159.9W WEAK

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 030412

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 022034
TCDEP2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Genevieve Discussion Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 02 2026

Cool sea surface temperatures, moderate westerly vertical wind shear
and dry mid-level air have significantly impacted Genevieve today.
Organized deep convection has slowly dissipated over the past 12 h
or so, leaving only a small area of shallow convection north of the
now completely exposed low-level center. Genevieve no longer meets
the criteria of a tropical cyclone, and this will be the final
advisory issued on this system. The most recent Dvorak intensity
estimate from TAFB was 35 kt, and objective estimates range from
29-38 kt. The intensity is lowered to 35 kt for this final
advisory.

The gale-force low is moving quickly toward the west-northwest
around 11 kt, and this general motion will continue early this week
as the system is steered along the southern periphery of a
subtropical ridge centered to its north. An eventual turn toward the
northwest accompanied by a decreased in forward speed is expected by
midweek. Gradual weakening of the post-tropical low is forecast to
continue, with the system expected to dissipate by 96 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 24.8N 139.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 03/0600Z 25.4N 141.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 03/1800Z 26.2N 142.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 04/0600Z 26.8N 144.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 04/1800Z 27.4N 145.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 05/0600Z 28.2N 145.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/1800Z 28.7N 146.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 022033
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Genevieve Advisory Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 02 2026

...GENEVIEVE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 139.5W
ABOUT 1870 MI...3010 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Genevieve was located near latitude 24.8 North, longitude 139.5
West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest
near 13 mph (20 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue
over the next day or so, followed by a decrease in forward speed and
a turn toward the northwest by Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Continued weakening is forecast over the next several days,
and the post-tropical low is expected to dissipate by late this
week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the
post-tropical cyclone please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header
FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 022033
TCMEP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC SUN AUG 02 2026

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 139.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 30SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 139.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 138.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.4N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.2N 142.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.8N 144.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.4N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.2N 145.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.7N 146.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GENEVIEVE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 021620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 02.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 137.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 02.08.2026 0 24.2N 137.7W 1006 36
0000UTC 03.08.2026 12 25.1N 139.9W 1009 32
1200UTC 03.08.2026 24 25.7N 142.4W 1009 29
0000UTC 04.08.2026 36 26.4N 144.0W 1010 25
1200UTC 04.08.2026 48 26.9N 145.3W 1011 25
0000UTC 05.08.2026 60 27.4N 146.3W 1013 20
1200UTC 05.08.2026 72 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 021620

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 021438
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Sun Aug 02 2026

Genevieve is feeling the effects of west-southwesterly shear and dry
mid-level air this morning. Convection is displaced to the north of
the center and is quickly diminishing, and the center is now
completely exposed. A recent AMSR-2 pass indicated that the vortex
was tilted with height, with the low-level circulation displaced
from the mid-level center. Despite the tilt, the low-level
circulation remains intact, although it was notably weaker on the
southern side. Recent objective Dvorak satellite intensity estimates
range from 31-48 kt, while the TAFB estimate was 2.5/35 kt. Given
these estimates and the degraded satellite appearance, the initial
intensity has been set at 40 kt for this advisory.

The tropical storm is moving toward the west-northwest around 12 kt,
along the southwest periphery of a ridge centered over the
southwestern United States. This motion is forecast to continue over
the next 36 h or so, before Genevieve turns toward the northwest and
slows. Environmental conditions will become increasingly hostile,
likely prohibiting any additional strengthening. In fact, organized
deep convection is expected to diminish later today, and the latest
NHC forecast shows the system becoming post-tropical by tonight.
Intensity guidance remains tightly clustered, and the forecast lies
within the middle of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/1500Z 24.5N 138.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 03/0000Z 25.2N 140.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 03/1200Z 26.0N 142.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 04/0000Z 26.7N 143.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 04/1200Z 27.3N 144.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 05/0000Z 28.0N 145.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/1200Z 28.6N 146.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Adams/Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 021435
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Sun Aug 02 2026

...GENEVIEVE FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 138.4W
ABOUT 1800 MI...2900 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 138.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue over the next day or so, followed by
a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest by
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast, and Genevieve is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 021434
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 138.4W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 138.4W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 137.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.2N 140.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.0N 142.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.7N 143.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.3N 144.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.0N 145.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.6N 146.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 138.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 020831
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 01 2026

Convection associated with Genevieve has been gradually diminishing
during the past several hours with any deep activity well north of
the center. Despite the loss of organization on satellite imagery,
a ASCAT-B scatterometer pass at 0531Z showed peak winds of 40-45
kt, a bit above the latest Dvorak estimates. Thus, the initial
wind speed is set to 45 kt. This is likely just a temporary bump
in strength with all the models showing steady weakening through
early next week due to cold water and increasing shear. Any deep
convection should be gone within 24 h, and post-tropical status is
shown at that time. No significant change to the intensity
forecast was made with all guidance tightly clustered on the
previous NHC intensity forecast.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward at 11 kt. This
general motion should continue through the weekend as the cyclone
is steered by a deep-layer ridge located to the northeast. By
Monday, Genevieve is forecast to turn northwestward as it moves
around the ridge. The latest models are showing a less sharp
poleward turn, and the new NHC forecast is shifted slightly
southward from the last one, a bit to the north of the recent
Google DeepMind tracker and NOAA Corrected Consensus guidance HCCA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0900Z 23.9N 137.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 02/1800Z 24.5N 139.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 03/0600Z 25.4N 141.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 03/1800Z 26.1N 143.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 04/0600Z 26.7N 144.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 04/1800Z 27.3N 145.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/0600Z 28.0N 145.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 020830
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 01 2026

...GENEVIEVE FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.9N 137.3W
ABOUT 1735 MI...2790 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve
was located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 137.3 West.
Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
This general motion is expected to continue through the end of the
weekend, followed by a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward
the northwest on Monday.

Satellite-derived winds indicate that the maximum sustained winds
are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is
forecast, and Genevieve is expected to become a post-tropical
cyclone by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 020830
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC SUN AUG 02 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 137.3W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 137.3W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 136.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.4N 141.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.1N 143.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.7N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.3N 145.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.0N 145.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 137.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 020420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 02.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 135.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.08.2026 0 23.5N 135.6W 1004 40
1200UTC 02.08.2026 12 24.1N 138.1W 1006 36
0000UTC 03.08.2026 24 24.8N 140.6W 1008 33
1200UTC 03.08.2026 36 25.3N 143.1W 1008 30
0000UTC 04.08.2026 48 25.9N 144.4W 1009 29
1200UTC 04.08.2026 60 26.2N 145.5W 1010 24
0000UTC 05.08.2026 72 26.7N 146.4W 1012 22
1200UTC 05.08.2026 84 27.0N 147.7W 1013 19
0000UTC 06.08.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 020420

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 020409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 135.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 02.08.2026 23.5N 135.7W WEAK
12UTC 02.08.2026 24.1N 138.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 24.7N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 25.3N 143.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 25.8N 144.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 26.2N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2026 26.7N 146.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2026 27.0N 147.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 020409

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 020400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 036//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 23.4N 135.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N 135.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 24.3N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 25.2N 140.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 26.1N 142.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 26.9N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 27.7N 144.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 28.7N 145.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
020400Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 136.3W.
02AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1115 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 020000Z
IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 17 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 021000Z, 021600Z, 022200Z AND 030400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 020237
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Sat Aug 01 2026

Since the previous advisory, the satellite presentation of Genevieve
has been relatively stable. Most of the deep convection is limited
to an area northeast of the center, consistent with light shear out
of the west-southwest. The latest subjective Dvorak intensity
estimate from TAFB is T2.5/35 kt, and recent objective satellite
intensity estimates range from about 35-40 kt. These estimates are
largely the same as the last advisory cycle, and with the steady
satellite presentation supports maintaining the intensity of the
tropical storm at 40 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward at 12 kt, which is
unchanged from the last advisory. This general motion will continue
through the end of the weekend as the cyclone is steered by a deep
layer ridge located to the northeast. By Monday, Genevieve will
decelerate and turn to the northwest as a post-tropical cyclone, as
the aforementioned ridge retreats to the east. The track forecast is
very similar to the last advisory, except we show a slower forward
motion beyond 60 h. This forecast remains close to the Google
DeepMind Ensemble Mean and HFIP Corrected Consensus Aid (HCCA).

Genevieve is currently over 23-24 deg C SSTs, which are likely to
stay within this range through the forecast period. The mid-level
environment around the tropical storm is dry. The current light
vertical wind shear is likely to increase later today through early
next week, and this increasing shear should herald the degeneration
of this system into a post-tropical cyclone by Monday. The intensity
forecast shows steady weakening over the next few days, and then
dissipating by 96 h. This is similar to the previous advisory. It is
noted that Genevieve is forecast to retain gale-force winds for some
time after it becomes post-tropical.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0300Z 23.5N 136.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 02/1200Z 24.3N 138.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 03/0000Z 25.2N 140.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 03/1200Z 26.1N 142.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 04/0000Z 26.9N 144.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 04/1200Z 27.7N 144.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/0000Z 28.7N 145.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Pierce/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 020236
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
500 PM HST SAT AUG 01 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 136.0W
ABOUT 1655 MI...2665 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 136.0 WEST. GENEVIEVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H). THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND,
FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND GENEVIEVE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY LATE SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/PIERCE/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 020235
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC SUN AUG 02 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 136.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 40SE 40SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 136.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 135.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.3N 138.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.2N 140.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.1N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.9N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.7N 144.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.7N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 136.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/PIERCE/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 012032
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 01 2026

The organization of Genevieve hasn’t changed much during the past 6
h. GOES-18 daytime visible imagery indicates that the low-level
center is exposed to the west of the main convective area. The
latest subjective Dvorak current intensity estimate from TAFB is
2.5/35 kt, and recent objective satellite intensity estimates range
from about 35-40 kt. The initial intensity will remain 40 kt for
this advisory.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward at 12 kt, which is
unchanged from 6 h ago. This general motion will continue through
the end of the weekend as a low- to mid-level ridge remains north of
the cyclone. By Monday, a gradual turn to the northwest and
north-northwest is expected as the ridge weakens north of the
cyclone due to a deep-layer low/trough that will be located to the
north-northwest of Genevieve. Very little change was made to the
previous NHC track forecast, which lies close to the latest Google
DeepMind Ensemble Mean and HFIP Corrected Consensus (HCCA). The
track guidance remains tightly clustered, so there is high
confidence in the track forecast.

Genevieve is starting to enter cooler sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs) now, with SSTs between 24-25C. The cyclone will reach SSTs
lower than 24C in about 12h. Genevieve is currently moving within
an environment of weak vertical wind shear dry, stable air.
Southwesterly vertical wind shear will then increase to moderate
levels (15-20 kt) by 24 h while the environment remains dry and
stable. These conditions will lead to continued gradual weakening,
and Genevieve is likely to lose its convection and become post
tropical by 36 h. Thereafter, the remnant low should gradually spin
down with dissipation occurring by 96 h, as depicted by the global
models. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar to the
previous advisory and lies near the middle of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 23.3N 135.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 02/0600Z 23.9N 137.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 02/1800Z 24.8N 139.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 03/0600Z 25.8N 141.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 03/1800Z 26.7N 143.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 04/0600Z 27.8N 145.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 04/1800Z 28.9N 145.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 012031
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 01 2026

...GENEVIEVE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 135.0W
ABOUT 1590 MI...2565 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 135.0 WEST.
GENEVIEVE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22
KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEKEND, FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND GENEVIEVE IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY LATE SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM),
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 012031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC SAT AUG 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 135.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 40SE 40SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 75SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 135.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 134.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.9N 137.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.8N 139.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.8N 141.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.7N 143.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.8N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.9N 145.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 135.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 011620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 01.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 133.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 01.08.2026 0 22.8N 133.2W 1001 39
0000UTC 02.08.2026 12 23.5N 135.6W 1004 39
1200UTC 02.08.2026 24 24.1N 138.2W 1007 34
0000UTC 03.08.2026 36 25.0N 140.7W 1009 33
1200UTC 03.08.2026 48 25.9N 143.3W 1008 33
0000UTC 04.08.2026 60 26.3N 144.5W 1008 29
1200UTC 04.08.2026 72 26.9N 145.4W 1010 24
0000UTC 05.08.2026 84 27.7N 146.0W 1012 22
1200UTC 05.08.2026 96 28.2N 147.0W 1013 20
0000UTC 06.08.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 011620

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 011435
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Sat Aug 01 2026

Genevieve’s deep convection has been gradually decreasing over the
past day or so, and there is now only a relatively small area of
cloud tops colder than -30C, mainly in the northeast quadrant.
However, a 1032 UTC AMSR-2 pass indicates that a relatively large
area of shallow to moderate convection persists, and is wrapped
halfway around the low-level center over the northeast semicircle.
The subjective current intensity (CI) estimate from TAFB has
decreased to 2.5/35 kt. The latest objective AiDT, D-PRINT, D-MINT
and SATCON intensity estimates range from 37-42 kt. Given the
latest intensity estimates, the initial intensity is brought down to
40 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward, or 285/12 kt.
This general motion will continue over the weekend as a low- to
mid-level ridge remains north of the cyclone. By Monday, a gradual
turn to the northwest and north-northwest is expected as the ridge
weakens north of the cyclone due to a deep-layer low/trough that
will be located off to the north-northwest of Genevieve. Very
little change was made to the previous NHC track forecast, which
lies close to the latest Google DeepMind Ensemble Mean. The track
guidance remains tightly clustered through day 3, so there is high
confidence in the track forecast.

Genevieve has been traversing 25-26C sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs), while under weak vertical wind shear and within a relatively
dry, stable environment. The cyclone will move over progressively
colder SSTs over the next 18 h or so (below 24C by that time).
Southwesterly vertical wind shear will then increase to moderate
levels (15-20 kt) in 24-36 h while the environment remains dry and
stable. These conditions will lead to continued gradual weakening,
and Genevieve is likely to lose its convection and become
post-tropical in about 36 h. Thereafter, the remnant low should
gradually spin down with dissipation occurring just after 96 h, as
depicted by the global models. The latest NHC intensity forecast is
similar to the previous advisory and lies near the middle of the
guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/1500Z 23.0N 133.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 23.6N 135.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 02/1200Z 24.5N 138.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 03/0000Z 25.5N 140.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 03/1200Z 26.4N 143.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 04/0000Z 27.4N 144.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 04/1200Z 28.4N 145.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/1200Z 31.1N 146.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 011434
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Sat Aug 01 2026

...GENEVIEVE SLOWLY WEAKENING...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 133.7W
ABOUT 1510 MI...2435 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 133.7 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue over the weekend, followed by a
decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and Genevieve is
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km),
mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 011434
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC SAT AUG 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 133.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 40SE 40SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 75SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 133.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 133.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.6N 135.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N 138.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.5N 140.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.4N 143.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.4N 144.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.4N 145.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 31.1N 146.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 133.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 011000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 22.4N 131.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 131.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.1N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 23.9N 137.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.0N 139.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 26.0N 142.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 27.0N 144.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 28.1N 145.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 30.4N 146.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
011000Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 132.8W.
01AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
999 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 010600Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
011600Z, 012200Z, 020400Z, AND 021000Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 010845
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

Satellite imagery indicates that Genevieve’s convective coverage has
diminished over the past few hours as it continues
west-northwestward through a dry and stable environment. A 0551Z
ASCAT-B pass, however, showed that the circulation remains
well-defined and sampled a peak wind of 40 kt north of the
circulation. This aligns well with the latest intensity estimates
from TAFB and UW-CIMSS. Based on these data, the initial intensity
is held at 45 kt.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward, or 280/11 kt.
This general motion will continue over the weekend as a low- to
mid-level ridge remains north of the cyclone. Thereafter, a gradual
turn to the northwest, then north-northwest is forecast due to an
upper low located to its north over the far northeastern Pacific.
The track guidance remains tightly clustered through the weekend,
with some cross-track spread depicted early next week as it turns
north-northwest. The updated NHC track forecast is essentially
unchanged from the previous advisory and closely follows the
multi-model consensus (HCCA).

Guidance favors a gradual weakening trend as Genevieve remains in a
dry and stable environment with progressively cooler sea-surface
temperatures along its track. Additionally, increasing southwesterly
shear is forecast to begin by the end of the weekend. These
conditions will result in further weakening, with Genevieve expected
to degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday night. The
updated NHC intensity forecast reflects this trend and is very
similar to the previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 22.6N 132.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 01/1800Z 23.1N 134.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 02/0600Z 23.9N 137.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 02/1800Z 25.0N 139.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 03/0600Z 26.0N 142.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 03/1800Z 27.0N 144.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 04/0600Z 28.1N 145.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/0600Z 30.4N 146.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 010844
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

...GENEVIEVE HOLDING STEADY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 132.5W
ABOUT 1440 MI...2315 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve
was located near latitude 22.6 North, longitude 132.5 West.
Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h).
This general motion is expected to continue over the weekend,
followed by a decrease in forward speed as it gradually turns
north-northwestward.

Maximum sustained winds have remained near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast over the weekend, with
Genevieve expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday
night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next day or so, and are causing life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 010843
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC SAT AUG 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 132.5W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 40SE 50SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 75SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 132.5W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 131.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.1N 134.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.9N 137.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.0N 139.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 10SE 10SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.0N 142.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.0N 144.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.1N 145.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 30.4N 146.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 132.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 010420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 01.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N 130.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.08.2026 0 22.3N 130.9W 999 38
1200UTC 01.08.2026 12 22.9N 133.3W 1001 39
0000UTC 02.08.2026 24 23.4N 136.0W 1004 40
1200UTC 02.08.2026 36 24.0N 138.5W 1006 37
0000UTC 03.08.2026 48 24.8N 141.2W 1008 34
1200UTC 03.08.2026 60 25.3N 143.7W 1007 31
0000UTC 04.08.2026 72 25.8N 144.8W 1008 28
1200UTC 04.08.2026 84 26.6N 146.1W 1009 26
0000UTC 05.08.2026 96 27.0N 146.9W 1011 24
1200UTC 05.08.2026 108 28.1N 147.5W 1011 21
0000UTC 06.08.2026 120 30.4N 147.2W 1011 25
1200UTC 06.08.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 010420

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 010408

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N 130.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 01.08.2026 22.3N 130.8W MODERATE
12UTC 01.08.2026 22.8N 133.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2026 23.4N 136.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2026 23.9N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 24.7N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 25.3N 143.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 25.8N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 26.6N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2026 27.0N 147.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2026 28.1N 147.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2026 30.5N 147.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 010408

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 010400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 032//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 22.4N 130.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 130.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.1N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 23.9N 136.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 24.8N 138.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 25.8N 141.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 26.8N 143.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 27.8N 144.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 30.7N 146.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
010400Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 131.6W.
01AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
950 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 010000Z
IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 24 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 011000Z, 011600Z, 012200Z AND 020400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 010234
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

Genevieve continues to gradually lose convection in the inner-core
of the cyclone as seen in visible and infrared satellite imagery. In
addition, water vapor imagery shows evidence of dry air mixing into
the core. An OSCAT pass from 2043 UTC had a peak wind retrieval of
40 kt. The objective intensity estimates continue to trend
gradually downward, with a range of 33-50 kt, and the most recent
intensity estimate from TAFB is CI 3.0/45 kt. Thus, based on all of
the current given data, the initial intensity has been set to 45 kt
this advisory.

The initial motion continues to be west-northwestward or 285/13 kt.
A strong low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should
steer it generally west-northwestward for the next couple of days.
After that, a turn more toward the northwest is forecast due to the
ridge breaking in response to a mid- to upper-level trough forming
to the northwest of Genevieve. While the track guidance is generally
tightly clustered for the next 72 h, it is a bit slower than the
previous cycle. Thus, the NHC track forecast has been slowed
slightly to reflect the evolving track guidance. After 72 h, this
guidance does have larger spread, though overall, only slight
changes have been made to the NHC forecast compared to the previous
track.

The intensity forecast shows slightly more weakening than the
previous forecast to reflect a storm with a lower initial intensity.
However the overall trend remains the same. Genevieve is still
expected to move over a small patch of warmer water with sea surface
temperatures around 25C, which may temper the weakening rate over
the next 24 h to 36 h. Once the cyclone has moved into a region of
even cooler ocean temperatures, Genevieve is expected to become
post-tropical cyclone at around 48 h. It remains possible that
Genevieve could lose convective organization sooner, resulting in
the storm becoming post-tropical faster than currently forecast this
advisory. The NHC intensity forecast is roughly in the middle of the
guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0300Z 22.6N 131.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 23.1N 133.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 02/0000Z 23.9N 136.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 02/1200Z 24.8N 138.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 03/0000Z 25.8N 141.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 03/1200Z 26.8N 143.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 04/0000Z 27.8N 144.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/0000Z 30.7N 146.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Katz/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 010233
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 131.4W
ABOUT 1370 MI...2200 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 22.6 North, longitude 131.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed
during the next two to three days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecasted through Saturday, with
faster weakening expected starting Saturday night. Genevieve is
forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone on Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next several days, and are causing life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Katz/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 010232
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 131.4W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 131.4W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 130.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.1N 133.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.9N 136.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.8N 138.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.8N 141.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.8N 143.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.8N 144.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 30.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 131.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 312200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 031//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 22.1N 129.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 129.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.8N 132.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.6N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.4N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.4N 140.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 26.4N 142.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 27.6N 144.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 30.3N 146.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 33.7N 148.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
312200Z POSITION NEAR 22.3N 130.4W.
31JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
916 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311800Z IS 996
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010400Z, 011000Z, 011600Z AND 012200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 312034
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

Genevieve remains comprised of a large swirl of low- to mid-level
clouds with some convective banding near the center and in the
western quadrant. A synthetic aperture radar overpass a few hours
ago showed maximum winds in the 50-55 kt range. Based on this and
continuity from the previous advisory, the initial intensity
remains 50 kt.

The initial motion continues to be west-northwestward or 285/14 kt.
A strong low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should
steer it generally west-northwestward for the next two to three
days. After that, a turn more toward the northwest is forecast due
to the ridge breaking in response to a mid- to upper-level trough
forming north of 20N between 140-160W. The track guidance is showing
some spread after 72 h, with the UKMET, HWRF, and HAFS models
showing a more west-northwesterly motion, while the GFS, ECMWF, the
HFIP Corrected Consensus (HCCA), and the Google DeepMind ensemble
mean (GDMI) showing a more northwesterly motion. These latter models
are very close to the previous forecast track, and the new forecast
track follows their guidance. Overall, the guidance envelope has
shifted a little westward, and thus the new forecast track is a
little west of the previous track.

Sea surface temperature analyses indicate that Genevieve should
pass near or over a small patch of warmer water with temperatures
near 25C during the next 12-18 h. The intensity guidance suggests
this should slow the ongoing weakening, and the intensity forecast
shows only a slight weakening during the first 24 h. A steady
weakening should resume as the cyclone again moves over decreasing
sea surface temperatures. The new intensity forecast again calls
for the cyclone to decay to a remnant low by 60 h as the
associated convection dissipates. The global models remain in good
agreement that the remnant low will persist for several days,
and this is reflected in the forecast. It should be noted that if
the convection does not persist during Genevieve's passage over the
warmer water, the cyclone could degenerate to a remnant low earlier
than currently forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/2100Z 22.3N 130.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 01/0600Z 22.8N 132.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 01/1800Z 23.6N 135.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 02/0600Z 24.4N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 03/0600Z 26.4N 142.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 03/1800Z 27.6N 144.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 04/1800Z 30.3N 146.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 05/1800Z 33.7N 148.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 312034
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1100 AM HST FRI JUL 31 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATE IN THE WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 130.2W
ABOUT 1295 MI...2080 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 130.2 WEST.
GENEVIEVE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H).
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.

SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH A FASTER WEAKENING EXPECTED STARTING
SATURDAY NIGHT. GENEVIEVE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB (29.42 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL
PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND ARE CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 312033
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 130.2W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 120SW 165NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 130.2W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 129.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.8N 132.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.6N 135.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.4N 138.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.4N 142.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.6N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 30.3N 146.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 33.7N 148.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 130.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 311622

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 31.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 21.8N 127.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 31.07.2026 0 21.8N 127.8W 996 40
0000UTC 01.08.2026 12 22.5N 130.8W 1001 37
1200UTC 01.08.2026 24 23.1N 133.6W 1002 38
0000UTC 02.08.2026 36 23.6N 136.4W 1006 36
1200UTC 02.08.2026 48 24.4N 139.0W 1008 34
0000UTC 03.08.2026 60 25.4N 141.9W 1009 34
1200UTC 03.08.2026 72 25.9N 144.2W 1008 30
0000UTC 04.08.2026 84 26.4N 145.2W 1009 30
1200UTC 04.08.2026 96 26.9N 146.6W 1010 25
0000UTC 05.08.2026 108 27.7N 147.5W 1012 23
1200UTC 05.08.2026 120 28.3N 148.5W 1012 21
0000UTC 06.08.2026 132 29.2N 149.2W 1014 20
1200UTC 06.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 311622

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 311611

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 21.8N 127.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.8N 127.9W MODERATE
00UTC 01.08.2026 22.5N 130.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 23.1N 133.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2026 23.6N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2026 24.4N 139.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 25.5N 142.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 25.8N 144.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 26.4N 145.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 26.9N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2026 27.6N 147.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2026 28.3N 148.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2026 29.2N 149.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 311611

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 311600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 030//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 21.9N 127.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N 127.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.6N 130.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.4N 133.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 24.2N 136.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 25.1N 139.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 26.1N 141.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 27.2N 143.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 29.9N 145.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 33.3N 147.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
311600Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 128.8W. 31JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 866 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311200Z IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312200Z, 010400Z,
011000Z AND 011600Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 311443
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

Genevieve is mainly comprised of a large swirl of low- to mid-level
clouds with some convective banding near the center and in the
northwestern quadrant. Satellite intensity estimates continue to
decrease, with most of them suggesting an intensity near 50 kt.
That will be the initial intensity for this advisory.

The initial motion continues to be west-northwestward or 290/13 kt.
A strong low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should
steer it generally west-northwestward for the next three days or
so. After that time, a turn toward the northwest is forecast due to
the ridge breaking in response to a mid- to upper-level trough
forming north of 20N between 140-160W. The track guidance remains
in good agreement with this scenario, and the new official forecast
is again almost identical to the previous forecast.

Sea surface temperature analyses indicate that Genevieve is
approaching a small patch of warmer water with temperatures near
25C. This should result in a slight increase in the water
temperature under the core of the cyclone for the next 18 h or so.
Based on this, the intensity forecast calls for a pause in the
weakening from 12-24 h, followed by resumed steady weakening as the
system again encounters cooler water and is affected by increasing
shear. The new intensity forecast now calls for the cyclone to
decay to a remnant low by 60 hr. The global models are in good
agreement that the remnant low will persist for several days after
the convection dissipates, and this is reflected in the forecast.
It should be noted that if the convection does not persist during
Genevieve's passage over the warmer water, the cyclone could
degenerate to a remnant low earlier than currently forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/1500Z 22.1N 128.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 22.6N 130.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 01/1200Z 23.4N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 02/0000Z 24.2N 136.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 02/1200Z 25.1N 139.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 03/0000Z 26.1N 141.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 03/1200Z 27.2N 143.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 04/1200Z 29.9N 145.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 05/1200Z 33.3N 147.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 311442
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Fri Jul 31 2026

...GENEVIEVE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE
OPEN PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 128.6W
ABOUT 1195 MI...1920 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 128.6 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and
Genevieve is expected to become a remnant low late this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next several days, and are causing life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 311441
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 128.6W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 128.6W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 127.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.4N 133.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.2N 136.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.1N 139.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.1N 141.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.2N 143.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 29.9N 145.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 33.3N 147.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 128.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 311000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 21.5N 126.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 126.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.2N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.1N 132.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.9N 134.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.7N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.5N 140.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 26.6N 142.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 29.2N 145.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 32.6N 147.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
311000Z POSITION NEAR 21.7N 127.4W. 31JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 836 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
311600Z, 312200Z, 010400Z AND 011000Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 310835
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

Genevieve has continued to weaken as persistent dry-air entrainment
steadily erodes its convective structure. Although the low-level
circulation remains well-defined, the overall convective coverage
has diminished significantly over the past several hours, with the
deepest convection now limited to the western semicircle. The latest
subjective Dvorak intensity estimate from TAFB and objective
UW-CIMSS intensity estimates combined with the degraded satellite
presentation support lowering the initial intensity to 55 kt.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward at 12 kt, and that
general motion is expected to persist through the weekend as a
strong low- to mid-level ridge remains positioned north of the
cyclone. Thereafter, a gradual turn toward the northwest then the
north-northwest is forecast in response to a weakness forming in the
subtropical ridge due to an upper low over the northeast Pacific.
The latest guidance remains in good agreement, and the updated NHC
track forecast is essentially unchanged from the previous advisory.

Environmental conditions are forecast to remain unfavorable during
the next several days due to a combination of very dry mid-level
air, progressively cooler sea surface temperatures along its track,
and increasing southwesterly shear. These conditions will result in
a steady weakening trend, with the cyclone forecast to degenerate
into a post-tropical remnant low by the end of the weekend. The
updated NHC intensity forecast reflects this weakening trend and is
similar to the previous forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0900Z 21.7N 127.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 31/1800Z 22.2N 129.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 01/0600Z 23.1N 132.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 01/1800Z 23.9N 134.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 02/0600Z 24.7N 137.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 02/1800Z 25.5N 140.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 03/0600Z 26.6N 142.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 04/0600Z 29.2N 145.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 05/0600Z 32.6N 147.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 310834
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO STEADILY WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 127.2W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve
was located near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 127.2 West.
Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h).
This general motion is expected to continue during the next several
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and
Genevieve is expected to become a remnant low late this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next several days, and are causing life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 310833
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 127.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 127.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 126.6W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.2N 129.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.1N 132.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 134.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.7N 137.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.5N 140.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.6N 142.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.2N 145.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 32.6N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 127.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 310422

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 31.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N 125.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 31.07.2026 0 20.9N 125.5W 983 50
1200UTC 31.07.2026 12 21.9N 128.1W 993 42
0000UTC 01.08.2026 24 22.5N 131.1W 998 40
1200UTC 01.08.2026 36 23.2N 133.9W 1001 40
0000UTC 02.08.2026 48 23.9N 136.7W 1004 38
1200UTC 02.08.2026 60 24.9N 139.8W 1007 35
0000UTC 03.08.2026 72 25.7N 142.2W 1007 35
1200UTC 03.08.2026 84 26.3N 143.7W 1008 28
0000UTC 04.08.2026 96 27.6N 144.8W 1009 30
1200UTC 04.08.2026 108 28.5N 145.9W 1010 25
0000UTC 05.08.2026 120 29.6N 146.3W 1012 23
1200UTC 05.08.2026 132 30.5N 147.1W 1013 21
0000UTC 06.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 310422

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 310411

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.07.2026

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N 125.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 31.07.2026 20.9N 125.4W MODERATE
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.9N 128.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 22.5N 131.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 23.1N 133.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2026 23.9N 136.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2026 25.0N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2026 25.6N 142.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2026 26.3N 143.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2026 27.6N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2026 28.5N 145.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.08.2026 29.6N 146.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.08.2026 30.4N 147.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 37.6N 1.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 07.08.2026 37.6N 1.6W WEAK

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 310411

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 310400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 028//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 028
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 07E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 125.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 125.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.8N 128.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.5N 130.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.3N 133.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 24.1N 136.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 25.0N 139.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 26.1N 141.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 28.4N 144.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 31.7N 146.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
310400Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 126.3W. 31JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 828 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310000Z IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311000Z, 311600Z,
312200Z AND 010400Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 310248
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

Genevieve is now a tropical storm, and the cyclone remains on a
weakening trend. Visible and infrared satellite imagery shows
that the convection in the inner core continues to degrade. Water
vapor imagery also shows that some dry air has made progress into
the inner core of the storm as well. In addition, the objective
intensity estimates continue to trend downward, in the range of
50-65 kt. The most recent current intensity estimate from TAFB is
4.0/65 kt but the T-number has decreased to 3.5/55 kt. Based on the
downward trend presented by both the satellite imagery and the
various subjective and objective estimates, the advisory intensity
is reduced to 60 kt.

Genevieve continues to move along a west-northwestward heading
today, guided by a strengthening ridge to the north. This general
motion will prevail over the next 72 h or so. By early next week, a
strong upper-level trough will advance toward the western U.S. and
evolve into a cutoff low, steering Genevieve toward the northwest
then north-northwest. Only slight adjustments have been made to the
track based on the latest guidance and the position of the storm at
this time. The track forecast continues to be in good agreement with
the consensus of the guidance.

The tropical storm has moved into cooler waters and is experiencing
dry mid-level air and less favorable upper-level winds. These
factors will lead to further steady weakening over the next several
days. Global model guidance suggests that Genevieve may struggle to
produce organized deep convection this weekend, and the forecast
calls for the system to become post-tropical by 72 h, and a remnant
low early next week. The new forecast intensity remains very similar
to the previous advisory, and is near the middle of the consensus
guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0300Z 21.3N 126.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 31/1200Z 21.8N 128.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 02/0000Z 24.1N 136.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 02/1200Z 25.0N 139.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 03/0000Z 26.1N 141.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 04/0000Z 28.4N 144.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 05/0000Z 31.7N 146.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Katz/Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 310247
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
500 PM HST THU JUL 30 2026

...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 126.0W
ABOUT 1035 MI...1665 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 126.0 WEST. GENEVIEVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H). THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
AND GENEVIEVE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATE THIS WEEKEND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB (29.21 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL
PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 310246
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 126.0W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 120SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 126.0W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 125.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.8N 128.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.1N 136.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.0N 139.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.1N 141.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.4N 144.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 31.7N 146.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 126.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 302200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 20.6N 124.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 124.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.2N 126.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 21.9N 129.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.7N 132.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.6N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.4N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.4N 140.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 27.7N 144.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 30.9N 146.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
302200Z POSITION NEAR 20.8N 125.0W. 30JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 819 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN
DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301800Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310400Z, 311000Z,
311600Z AND 312200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 302033
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

Genevieve is weakening today. Visible satellite imagery shows two
main convective bands wrapping around the center, and the eye is
obscured by cold cloud top temperatures less than -50 C. An earlier
RCM-2 pass showed a slightly elongated eye, but the weakening
hurricane maintains an otherwise generally symmetric structure.
Objective intensity estimates continue to trend downward, ranging
from 57-67 kt. Given the degraded visible and infrared satellite
appearance and the intensity estimates, the initial intensity is set
at 65 kt.

Genevieve continues to move along a west-northwestward heading
today, guided by a strengthening ridge to the north. This general
motion will prevail over the next 72 h or so. By early next week, a
strong upper-level trough will advance toward the western U.S. and
evolve into a cutoff low, steering Genevieve toward the northwest
then north-northwest. The latest forecast track has been nudged
slightly farther south than the previous forecast, but remains close
to the middle of the consensus aids, close to HCCA and the Google
DeepMind.

The hurricane has moved into cool waters and is experiencing dry
mid-level air and unfavorable upper-level dynamics. These factors
will lead to further steady weakening over the next several days.
Global model guidance suggests that Genevieve may struggle to
produce deep organized convection this weekend, and the forecast
calls for the system to become post-tropical by 72 h, and a remnant
low early next week. The new forecast intensity remains very similar
to the previous advisory, and is near the middle of the consensus
guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/2100Z 20.8N 124.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 31/0600Z 21.2N 126.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 31/1800Z 21.9N 129.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 01/0600Z 22.7N 132.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 01/1800Z 23.6N 135.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 02/0600Z 24.4N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 03/1800Z 27.7N 144.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 04/1800Z 30.9N 146.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 302032
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

...GENEVIEVE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 124.8W
ABOUT 965 MI...1555 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 124.8 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and
Genevieve is expected to weaken to a tropical storm later today and
become a remnant low late this weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next several days, and are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 302032
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC THU JUL 30 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 124.8W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 124.8W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.2W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.2N 126.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.7N 132.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.6N 135.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.4N 138.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 27.7N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 30.9N 146.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 124.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 302031
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC THU JUL 30 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 124.8W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 124.8W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.2W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.2N 126.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.7N 132.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.6N 135.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.4N 138.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 27.7N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 30.9N 146.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 124.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 301620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 30.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N 123.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 30.07.2026 0 20.3N 123.3W 971 60
0000UTC 31.07.2026 12 20.8N 125.6W 979 51
1200UTC 31.07.2026 24 21.9N 128.1W 990 45
0000UTC 01.08.2026 36 22.6N 131.2W 996 43
1200UTC 01.08.2026 48 23.4N 133.9W 1000 41
0000UTC 02.08.2026 60 24.2N 136.8W 1005 37
1200UTC 02.08.2026 72 25.3N 139.8W 1007 34
0000UTC 03.08.2026 84 26.2N 142.3W 1008 35
1200UTC 03.08.2026 96 26.9N 143.4W 1008 27
0000UTC 04.08.2026 108 28.4N 144.2W 1009 30
1200UTC 04.08.2026 120 29.2N 145.2W 1011 25
0000UTC 05.08.2026 132 30.0N 145.4W 1013 19
1200UTC 05.08.2026 144 30.6N 145.6W 1014 18
0000UTC 06.08.2026 156 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.9N 171.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 05.08.2026 132 12.1N 172.1W 1006 25
1200UTC 05.08.2026 144 13.1N 174.0W 1006 26
0000UTC 06.08.2026 156 13.9N 175.8W 1006 24
1200UTC 06.08.2026 168 14.6N 176.9W 1007 25

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 301620

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 301600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 20.4N 122.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 122.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 21.0N 125.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.7N 128.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.5N 130.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.3N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 24.2N 136.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 25.1N 139.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 27.2N 143.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 30.2N 146.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
301600Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 123.8W.
30JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 801 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301200Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
302200Z AND 310400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) FINAL
WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC).
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 301439
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

Genevieve is feeling the effects of cooler SSTs and relatively dry
mid-level air this morning. Infrared satellite presentation is
showing warming cloud tops east of the center, and the deepest
convection is displaced to the south and west. However, an earlier
GMI microwave pass showed a compact, fully intact and closed
circulation, though the eye is becoming ragged and lopsided.
Subjective Dvorak intensity estimates are slowly declining and range
from 61-69 kt, while the latest objective estimate from TAFB was
4.5/77 kt. The intensity for this advisory is lowered to 70 kt.

The hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest at a faster pace
near 13 kt, and this motion is expected to continue into this
weekend as ridging builds to the north. By the latter half of the
weekend, Genevieve is forecast to turn toward the northwest then
north-northwest as a mid-level trough develops to the northwest and
helps steer the cyclone. The latest NHC track forecast has been
nudged slightly to the left of the previous advisory, and remains in
the middle of the consensus guidance envelope, nearest to HCCA and
the Google DeepMind.

Genevieve is moving into increasingly cool waters of less than 26C,
which will be the main factor leading to gradual weakening. In
addition, drier mid-level air will impact the system over the coming
days, and the latest NHC forecast has been adjusted downward over
the next 36 h, showing Genevieve falling below hurricane strength
later today. During the upcoming weekend, the cyclone may struggle
to produce organized convection due to persistent dry air
entrainment and a more stable environment, and the system is
expected to become a post-tropical remnant low by 72 h. The latest
NHC forecast intensity lies near the middle of the intensity
consensus guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 20.6N 123.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 31/0000Z 21.0N 125.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 31/1200Z 21.7N 128.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 02/0000Z 24.2N 136.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 02/1200Z 25.1N 139.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 03/1200Z 27.2N 143.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 04/1200Z 30.2N 146.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 301435
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

Genevieve is feeling the effects of cooler SSTs and relatively dry
mid-level air this morning. Infrared satellite presentation is
showing warming cloud tops east of the center, and the deepest
convection is displaced to the south and west. However, an earlier
GMI microwave pass showed a compact, fully intact and closed
circulation, though the eye is becoming ragged and lopsided.
Subjective Dvorak intensity estimates are slowly declining and range
from 61-69 kt, while the latest objective estimate from TAFB was
4.5/77 kt. The intensity for this advisory is lowered to 70 kt.

The hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest at a faster pace
near 13 kt, and this motion is expected to continue into this
weekend as ridging builds to the north. By the latter half of the
weekend, Genevieve is forecast to turn toward the northwest then
north-northwest as a mid-level trough develops to the northwest and
helps steer the cyclone. The latest NHC track forecast has been
nudged slightly to the left of the previous advisory, and remains in
the middle of the consensus guidance envelope, nearest to HCCA and
the Google DeepMind.

Genevieve is moving into increasingly cool waters of less than 26C,
which will be the main factor leading to gradual weakening. In
addition, drier mid-level air will impact the system over the coming
days, and the latest NHC forecast has been adjusted downward over
the next 36 h, showing Genevieve falling below hurricane strength
later today. During the upcoming weekend, the cyclone may struggle
to produce organized convection due to persistent dry air
entrainment and a more stable environment, and the system is
expected to become a post-tropical remnant low by 72 h. The latest
NHC forecast intensity lies near the middle of the intensity
consensus guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 20.6N 123.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 31/0000Z 21.0N 125.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 31/1200Z 21.7N 128.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 02/0000Z 24.2N 136.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 02/1200Z 25.1N 139.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 03/1200Z 27.2N 143.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 04/1200Z 30.2N 146.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Adams

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 301434
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Thu Jul 30 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 123.5W
ABOUT 885 MI...1425 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 123.5 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next
few days, and Genevieve is expected to weaken to a tropical storm
later today and become a remnant low late this weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next several days, and are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 301433
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC THU JUL 30 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 123.5W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 123.5W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 122.9W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.7N 128.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.2N 136.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.1N 139.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 27.2N 143.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 30.2N 146.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 123.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 301000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 20.0N 121.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 121.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.7N 123.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.5N 126.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.1N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.9N 131.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.8N 135.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.5N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 26.6N 143.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 29.1N 145.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
301000Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 122.3W.
30JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 798 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300600Z
IS 973 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 301600Z AND 302200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E
(FAUSTO) FINAL WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC).
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 300835
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

The satellite presentation of Genevieve's convective structure has
degraded since the previous advisory. The low-level circulation
remains embedded beneath a central dense overcast with cloud-top
temperatures as cold as -70 C, which have been steadily warming,
likely due to increasing dry-air entrainment. Subjective Dvorak
intensity estimates from TAFB and the latest objective estimates
from UW-CIMSS range from 70 to 80 kt. Based on the satellite data
and these estimates, the initial intensity is lowered to 80 kt.

The initial motion estimate is 300/10 kt. Genevieve is expected to
continue moving generally west-northwestward during the next several
days as a low- to mid-level ridge builds north of the cyclone. A
modest increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days as the ridge builds farther west. Thereafter, a gradual turn
toward the northwest, then the north-northwest is forecast in
response to a weakness forming in the subtropical ridge. The latest
guidance remains in good agreement, and the updated NHC track
forecast is essentially unchanged from the previous advisory.

Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly
unfavorable during the next several days. Genevieve will move over
progressively cooler sea surface temperatures while encountering
increasing southwesterly shear and a drier mid-level environment.
These factors should result in a steady weakening trend, with the
cyclone forecast to weaken below hurricane strength by Friday. By
this weekend, persistent dry air entrainment and a more stable
environment should cause deep convection to gradually diminish,
resulting in Genevieve becoming a remnant low by 96 h. The updated
NHC intensity forecast reflects this weakening trend and is very
close to the previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0900Z 20.2N 122.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 30/1800Z 20.7N 123.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 31/0600Z 21.5N 126.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 31/1800Z 22.1N 129.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 01/0600Z 22.9N 131.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 01/1800Z 23.8N 135.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 02/0600Z 24.5N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 03/0600Z 26.6N 143.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 04/0600Z 29.1N 145.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 300831
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 122.1W
ABOUT 805 MI...1295 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 122.1 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general
motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during
the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and
Genevieve is expected to become a remnant low late this weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will
persist for the next several days, and are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 300830
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC THU JUL 30 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 122.1W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 122.1W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 121.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.7N 123.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.1N 129.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.9N 131.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.8N 135.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.6N 143.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.1N 145.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 122.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 300419

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 30.07.2026

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 120.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 30.07.2026 0 19.3N 120.8W 975 62
1200UTC 30.07.2026 12 20.1N 123.1W 983 51
0000UTC 31.07.2026 24 20.9N 125.3W 986 46
1200UTC 31.07.2026 36 21.9N 128.0W 993 42
0000UTC 01.08.2026 48 22.9N 130.9W 998 41
1200UTC 01.08.2026 60 23.7N 133.9W 1001 39
0000UTC 02.08.2026 72 24.5N 136.8W 1006 35
1200UTC 02.08.2026 84 25.6N 139.7W 1009 32
0000UTC 03.08.2026 96 26.7N 142.2W 1009 35
1200UTC 03.08.2026 108 27.3N 143.3W 1008 29
0000UTC 04.08.2026 120 28.1N 144.0W 1010 26
1200UTC 04.08.2026 132 28.6N 145.0W 1013 21
0000UTC 05.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 300419

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 300400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 19.4N 120.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 120.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.1N 122.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 20.8N 125.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.6N 127.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.3N 130.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.1N 133.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 23.9N 135.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 25.8N 141.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 28.0N 144.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
300400Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 121.1W. 30JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 817 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN
DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300000Z IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
301000Z, 301600Z, 302200Z AND 310400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
06E (FAUSTO) FINAL WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC).//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 300243
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

Genevieve appears to be maintaining its intensity for the time
being. Strong convection has been firing near the estimated center
position, although there is no eye evident on geostationary
imagery. The cloud pattern is quite symmetric and upper-level
outflow remains well defined over the hurricane. The current
intensity estimate is held at 85 kt for this advisory, which is a
blend of subjective and objective satellite estimates.

Genevieve continues to move toward the west-northwest with an
initial motion estimate of about 290/8 kt. This general direction
of motion is likely to continue over the next several days while the
cyclone is steered by the flow on the southwestern periphery of a
strong mid-level high pressure area extending from the southwestern
United States into the eastern North Pacific. Some increase in
Genevieve's forward speed is expected during the next 1-3 days as
the mid-level ridge builds westward. Late in the forecast period, a
trough in the vicinity of 145W should induce a turn to the right.
The official track forecast is close to the simple dynamical model
consensus, TVCN, and is also very similar to the previous NHC
prediction.

During the forecast period, sea surface temperatures are expected
to gradually cool beneath the cyclone while it continues
west-northwestward. Vertical wind shear is likely to increase
somewhat and Genevieve will be moving through an increasingly dry
air mass. Therefore, the cyclone is forecast to weaken and drop
below hurricane strength in a day or so. By the weekend, deep
convection associated with the system will probably diminish and
result in Genevieve degenerating into a post-tropical cyclone.
The NHC intensity forecast follows the model consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0300Z 19.6N 120.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 30/1200Z 20.1N 122.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 31/0000Z 20.8N 125.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 31/1200Z 21.6N 127.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 01/0000Z 22.3N 130.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 01/1200Z 23.1N 133.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 02/0000Z 23.9N 135.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 03/0000Z 25.8N 141.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 04/0000Z 28.0N 144.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 300242
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

...GENEVIEVE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 120.8W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 120.8 West. Genevieve
is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). This
general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected
during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and
Genevieve is expected to become post-tropical this weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells
will persist for the next several days, and are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 300242
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC THU JUL 30 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 120.8W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 120.8W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 120.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.1N 122.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.8N 125.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.6N 127.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N 130.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.1N 133.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.9N 135.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.8N 141.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.0N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 120.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 292200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 19.0N 119.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N 119.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.7N 121.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.4N 124.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.2N 126.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.0N 129.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.7N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.5N 134.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.4N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 27.9N 144.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
292200Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 120.3W. 29JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 833 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291800Z IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300400Z, 301000Z,
301600Z AND 302200Z.REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) FINAL
WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC).//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 292042
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 AM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

The satellite presentation of Genevieve has slowly deteriorated
today, as cold cloud top temperatures less than -30 C partially
obscure the center. A 29/1352Z RCM-2 Synthetic Aperture Radar scan
revealed that an eyewall replacement cycle had occurred earlier this
morning and was nearly complete, and subsequently, the radius of
maximum winds had expanded. Cloud top temperatures in the newly
formed eyewall are warming, despite the prevalence of deep
convection. The 1800Z intensity estimate from TAFB was 5.0/90 kt,
and subjective estimates range from 74-90 kt. Based on these data
and the satellite presentation, the initial intensity is set at 85
kt for this advisory.

The hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest around 8 kt, along
the southwestern periphery of a strong mid-level ridge over the
southern High Plains of the United States. Genevieve is expected to
continue on a west-northwestward heading through this weekend with
an increase in forward speed as the ridge expands westward. Late
this weekend into early next week, Genevieve will turn toward the
northwest then north, ahead of a strong upper-level low progressing
eastward over the eastern Pacific. The latest NHC forecast track is
slightly left of the previous track, and falls in the middle of the
consensus track guidance, nearest to the corrected (HCCA) consensus
aid.

Genevieve will continue to feel the impacts of moderate
northwesterly shear over the next 12 h or so, as well as gradually
cooling waters and unfavorable upper-level dynamics. On Thursday,
the forecast calls for the hurricane to move into an environment
with increasingly dry mid-level conditions and waters cooler than
26C, leading to further weakening. The latest NHC intensity forecast
has been adjusted further downward during the next 48 h. Genevieve
is expected to fall below hurricane strength by Thursday night or
early Friday, and may struggle to produce organized convection by
the second half of this weekend, as indicated by the GFS and ECMWF.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 19.2N 120.1W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 31/0600Z 21.2N 126.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 31/1800Z 22.0N 129.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 01/0600Z 22.7N 132.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 01/1800Z 23.5N 134.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 03/1800Z 27.9N 144.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 292038
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1100 AM HST WED JUL 29 2026

...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 120.1W
ABOUT 705 MI...1135 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 120.1 WEST. GENEVIEVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, AND GENEVIEVE IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL
THIS WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
(205 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB (28.65 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 292037
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 120.1W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 120.1W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 119.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.2N 126.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.0N 129.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.7N 132.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 134.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 25.4N 140.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 20SE 20SW 70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 27.9N 144.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 120.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 291438
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

Genevieve is feeling the impacts of moderate northwesterly shear and
mid-level dry air this morning. In addition, an earlier AMSR-2
microwave satellite pass indicated that an eyewall replacement cycle
had started early this morning, and a new eyewall is becoming
evident on infrared and first light visible satellite imagery. As a
result of this process, warming cloud tops are noted to the south
and west of the eye, and new convection on the north and east side
are leading to colder cloud tops less than -70 C. Objective
satellite estimates range from 81-99 kt, and the latest TAFB
estimate was 5.5/102 kt. The initial intensity is set at a
potentially generous 100 kt for this advisory.

The hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest around 7 kt,
wedged between a strong mid-level ridge over the southwestern U.S.
and northern Mexico and weak ridging to the northwest. This general
motion and a slight increase in forward speed is forecast through
the rest of this week into this weekend as the aforementioned
mid-level ridge expands westward into the eastern Pacific. Later
this weekend, Genevieve will turn toward the northwest then
north-northwest ahead of an upper-level low developing northwest of
the cyclone. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to the
previous advisory and falls between the latest corrected (HCCA) and
simple (TVCN) consensus aids.

The eyewall replacement cycle has led to the weakening of Genevieve
this morning. Further weakening is expected through tonight as the
hurricane experiences moderate northwesterly shear. On Thursday,
Genevieve is expected to cross the 26 C isotherm and move into an
increasingly dry mid-level environment into this weekend, supporting
additional weakening. The latest NHC intensity forecast has been
adjusted further downward during the next 48 h, and still remains on
the higher end of the consensus guidance. Genevieve is forecast to
fall below hurricane strength by Friday and become post-tropical on
Saturday, when the system may struggle to produce organized
convection.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/1500Z 18.8N 119.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 30/0000Z 19.2N 120.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 30/1200Z 19.9N 123.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 31/0000Z 20.6N 125.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 31/1200Z 21.4N 128.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 01/0000Z 22.1N 130.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 01/1200Z 23.0N 133.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 02/1200Z 24.7N 139.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 03/1200Z 26.9N 143.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 291436
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 AM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

...GENEVIEVE SLOWLY WEAKENING...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 119.2W
ABOUT 665 MI...1065 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 119.2 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general
motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during
the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is expected during the next
few days, but Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through
Thursday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and will reach Southern California today.
These swells will persist for the next several days and are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 291434
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 119.2W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 90SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 119.2W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 118.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.2N 120.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.9N 123.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.6N 125.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.4N 128.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.1N 130.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.7N 139.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 20SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 26.9N 143.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 119.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 291000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 18.3N 118.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 118.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 18.8N 119.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.5N 122.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.2N 124.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.0N 127.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 21.8N 129.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.5N 132.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.2N 138.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 26.0N 143.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291000Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 118.6W. 29JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 865 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290600Z IS 952 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291600Z, 292200Z,
300400Z AND 301000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 290834
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

The eye of Genevieve is no longer apparent in conventional satellite
imagery. The center is embedded underneath a central dense overcast
with very cold cloud top temperatures of -70 to -75 deg C.
Proxy-visible and infrared satellite images show that northwesterly
shear is restricting upper-level outflow on the west side of the
hurricane. Based on the deteriorating satellite presentation and
decreasing satellite intensity estimates (including a T5.5/102 kt
Dvorak CI from TAFB), the initial intensity is lowered to 105 kt.
The 34- and 50-kt wind radii were updated based on a recent ASCAT-C
pass over the hurricane.

Genevieve is moving west-northwestward (285/8 kt) along the
southwestern periphery of a mid-level ridge centered over the
southwestern United States and northern Mexico. This steering ridge
is forecast to strengthen and build westward over the next several
days, which should keep Genevieve on a west-northwestward heading
with some increase in forward speed late this week and through the
weekend. The NHC track forecast is essentially an update of the
previous one, generally falling between the latest corrected (HCCA)
and simple (TVCN) consensus aids.

The hurricane is experiencing moderate northwesterly shear that will
persist for the next 12-24 h while it moves over gradually
decreasing SSTs. By the time the shear is forecast to relent,
Genevieve will likely have already crossed the 26 deg C isotherm and
moved into a somewhat drier environment. The latest intensity
guidance suggests additional strengthening is unlikely, and the
updated NHC prediction shows Genevieve weakening through the
forecast period. The largest downward adjustments to the forecast
were made in the first 48 h, though NHC still lies on the upper end
of the guidance. The system is forecast to fall below hurricane
strength on Friday and become post-tropical at day 4, when the GFS
and ECMWF indicate that strengthening shear will make it difficult
for the system to sustain organized convection over sub-24 C waters.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 18.4N 118.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
12H 29/1800Z 18.8N 119.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 30/0600Z 19.5N 122.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 30/1800Z 20.2N 124.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 31/0600Z 21.0N 127.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 01/0600Z 22.5N 132.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 02/0600Z 24.2N 138.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 03/0600Z 26.0N 143.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 290833
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
1100 PM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

...GENEVIEVE STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 118.4W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 118.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). This general
motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during
the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening is expected during the next few
days, but Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through
Thursday night or early Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and will reach Southern California on
Wednesday. These swells will persist for the next several days and
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 290832
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 118.4W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 118.4W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 118.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.8N 119.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.2N 124.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N 132.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 24.2N 138.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.0N 143.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 118.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 290400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 18.2N 117.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 117.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.6N 118.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.3N 120.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.0N 123.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 20.7N 125.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.5N 128.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.2N 130.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 23.7N 136.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 25.5N 141.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290400Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 117.8W.
29JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 870 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290000Z IS 948
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 43 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291000Z, 291600Z, 292200Z AND 300400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 290233
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

Genevieve's satellite presentation has continued to oscillate this
afternoon and evening, with deep cold convection wrapping around a
cloud-filled eye with occasional lightning. A GPM microwave pass
showed that the western eyewall had started to erode. Over the last
few hours, there have been occasional breaks within the inner core,
but the inner core has been resilient and has continued to wrap deep
convection. Objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS remain
around 105–118 kt, which prompted the special advisory a few hours
ago. Using these estimates, the initial intensity is held at 115 kt
for this advisory.

The hurricane will remain in a marginal environment over the next 24
hours, characterized by low-to-moderate vertical wind shear, sea
surface temperatures near 27–28C, and mid-level relative humidity
values in the 50 to 60 percent range. Changes in convective
organization and inner core dynamics will allow for short-term
intensity fluctuations over the next day or so. Gradual weakening is
forecast through 24 hours, followed by a faster rate of decay once
the system crosses the 26C isotherm in 24–36 hours. As the cyclone
traverses cooler waters, decreasing mid-level relative humidity will
further suppress deep convection. The official NHC intensity
forecast lies near the upper end of the guidance suite in the short
term, reflecting recent intensity adjustments, and aligns closely
with the consensus aids from 48 hours through the end of the
forecast period. The timing of post-tropical transition has been
moved up to Day 4, consistent with model simulated satellite imagery
from the latest GFS and ECMWF.

Genevieve is moving west-northwestward at an estimated motion of
290/8 kt along the southwestern periphery of a ridge centered to the
northwest of the system. A slightly faster forward speed is
anticipated during the next few days as the ridge expands westward.
The NHC track forecast was shifted slightly to the left, and lies
closest to the HCCA corrected consensus aid.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0300Z 18.3N 117.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 18.6N 118.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 19.3N 120.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 30/1200Z 20.0N 123.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 31/0000Z 20.7N 125.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 31/1200Z 21.5N 128.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 01/0000Z 22.2N 130.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 02/0000Z 23.7N 136.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 03/0000Z 25.5N 141.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 290232
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM HST Tue Jul 28 2026

...MAJOR HURRICANE GENEVIEVE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 117.6W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 117.6 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected
during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible
over the next day or so, and a weakening trend should begin
thereafter.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
Baja California Peninsula and will reach Southern California on
Wednesday. These swells are likely to persist for the next several
days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 290232
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 117.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 117.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 117.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.6N 118.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.3N 120.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 123.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.7N 125.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.2N 130.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 23.7N 136.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.5N 141.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 117.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 290003
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Special Discussion Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

This is a special advisory to modify the current intensity of the
hurricane and update the intensity forecast. Recent satellite
imagery shows that deep convection has continue to wrap around the
center of Genevieve this afternoon. Latest intensity estimates from
UW-CIMSS have increased from 105 to 122 kt the last several hours.
Given the improved satellite presentation the intensity is raised to
115 kt, and Genevieve has strengthened into a category 4 hurricane
again.

The intensity forecast has been updated due to the revised current
intensity. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible the next day
or so, before a weakening trend is anticipated as the system moves
over progressively cooler sea-surface temperatures and into a drier
mid-level environment. The NHC intensity forecast lies above the
latest model guidance in the short-term and then trends towards
the consensus aids beyond day 2 through the end of the forecast
period.The track forecast is unchanged from the previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0000Z 18.2N 117.2W 115 KT 130 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 18.4N 118.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 31/0600Z 21.1N 126.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 01/1800Z 23.3N 134.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 02/1800Z 25.3N 140.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 290000
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Special Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...GENEVIEVE STRENGTHENS AGAIN...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 117.2W
ABOUT 575 MI...920 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM PDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 117.2 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity
are possible over the next day or so, then a weakening trend should
begin thereafter.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula.
These swells are likely to persist for a few more days, and could
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 282359
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0000 UTC WED JUL 29 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 117.2W AT 29/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 117.2W AT 29/0000Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.4N 118.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.1N 126.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 23.3N 134.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 25.3N 140.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 282200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 17.9N 116.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 116.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.4N 118.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.0N 119.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.7N 121.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.4N 124.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.1N 126.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 21.8N 129.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.3N 134.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 25.3N 140.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282200Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 117.0W.
28JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 889 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 955
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 290400Z, 291000Z, 291600Z AND 292200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 282037
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Recent satellite imagery shows dry air entrainment along the
northern and western side of the eye, resulting in some erosion of
the structure of Genevieve. An earlier SSMIS pass continued to show
a minor amount of northerly wind shear. Small fluctuations in
strength have likely occurred this morning and afternoon, as
evidenced by changes in the appearance of the eye and warming,
followed by cooling, cloud top temperatures in the eyewall. The
latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimate from TAFB was 5.5/102
kt, while the objective estimates range from 97-107 kt. Given these
estimates and taking into account the evolving satellite
presentation, the initial intensity has been set at 105 kt.

Genevieve is moving west-northwestward at around 8 kt along the
southwestern periphery of a ridge centered over the central and
southern United States. A slightly faster forward speed is
anticipated during the latter half of the week as the ridge expands
westward and a strengthening upper-level low approaches the
northwestern U.S. The track guidance shifted slightly farther south
on this forecast cycle, and the official forecast has followed suit,
and lies in the middle of the guidance envelope, close to HCCA. By
late this weekend, guidance begins to diverge, and the forecast is
positioned between the previous forecast track and HCCA.

After small fluctuations in strength today, Genevieve will gradually
weaken as it moves over progressively cooler sea-surface
temperatures and into a drier mid-level environment. On Thursday,
Genevieve is forecast to move north of 20N, where SSTs fall below 26
C, resulting in faster rate of weakening through the weekend. The
latest NHC official intensity forecast shows Genevieve weakening to
a tropical storm in a couple of days, and transitioning to a
post-tropical cyclone this weekend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 18.0N 116.9W 105 KT 120 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 18.4N 118.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 31/0600Z 21.1N 126.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 01/1800Z 23.3N 134.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 02/1800Z 25.3N 140.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 282036
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 116.9W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 116.9 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is forecast
over the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula.
These swells are likely to persist for a few more days, and could
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 282035
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 116.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 116.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.4N 118.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.1N 126.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 23.3N 134.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 25.3N 140.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 116.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 281600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 17.7N 115.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 115.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.3N 117.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.8N 118.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.5N 120.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.2N 122.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 20.9N 125.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.6N 127.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.1N 133.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 24.9N 138.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281600Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 116.2W. 28JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 903 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281200Z IS 950 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282200Z, 290400Z,
291000Z AND 291600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 281437
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 AM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

The eye of Genevieve has become slightly ragged and is wobbling this
morning, and the temperature in the eye is now below 0 C. An earlier
SSMIS pass over the hurricane showed the affects of weak northerly
wind shear and some erosion of the structure in the northwest
quadrant. However, colder eyewall cloud top temperatures are
wrapping back around the northern and western side of the eye, due
to an uptick in convection as noted on first light visible satellite
imagery, indicating that a small fluctuation in intensity may be
occurring over the past hour or so. The subjective Dvorak intensity
estimate from TAFB was 6.0/115 kt, while the objective estimates
range from 96-114 kt. The initial intensity is set at 110 kt for
this advisory.

Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest, or 300/8 kt, guided
by a stout mid and upper-level ridge centered over the southwestern
United States. A slight increase in forward speed is forecast later
this week as the ridge expands westward, and a strong trough
approaches the west coast of the U.S. The latest NHC forecast lies
within the tightly clustered guidance, and is closest to HCCA and
the Google DeepMind solutions.

Small fluctuations in intensity will be possible today. The
Microwave-based Probability of Eyewall Replacement Cycle (MPERC)
guidance indicates a 33 percent chance of an eyewall replacement
cycle over the next 24 h. However, a gradual weakening trend is
expected during the remainder of the week as the hurricane moves
into cooler waters and encounters drier mid-level air. On Thursday,
Genevieve is forecast to cross north of 20N into an area with cool
waters less than 26 C, and more pronounced weakening will commence
and continue into this weekend. The NHC intensity forecast lies near
the middle of the guidance envelope, and calls for Genevieve to fall
below hurricane strength in a couple of days and become
post-tropical this weekend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 17.9N 116.1W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 29/0000Z 18.3N 117.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 29/1200Z 18.8N 118.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 30/1200Z 20.2N 122.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 31/0000Z 20.9N 125.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 31/1200Z 21.6N 127.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 01/1200Z 23.1N 133.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 02/1200Z 24.9N 138.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 281434
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 AM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...GENEVIEVE SLOWLY WEAKENING...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 116.1W
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 116.1 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A
west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 125 mph (205 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is forecast
over the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km). During the night, the Mexican Navy automated weather
station on Clarion Island reported sustained winds of 63 mph (102
km/h) and a wind gust of 86 mph (138 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula.
These swells are likely to persist for a few more days, and could
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 281434
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.1W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.1W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.3N 117.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.8N 118.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.9N 125.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.6N 127.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.1N 133.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.9N 138.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 116.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 281000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 17.3N 115.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 115.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.0N 116.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.6N 118.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.1N 119.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.8N 121.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.5N 124.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.3N 126.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 22.7N 131.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 24.5N 137.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281000Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 115.5W. 28JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 931 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280600Z IS 943 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281600Z, 282200Z,
290400Z AND 291000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000364000
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 280834
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 AM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Genevieve remains a powerful major hurricane, but it is gradually
losing strength. Although the cyclone is maintaining a distinct 15
n mi diameter eye, deep convection in the eyewall has become a
little less symmetric with some dry slots occasionally evident in
the northwestern quadrant. The 06Z satellite intensity estimates
range from 105 to 120 kt, and based on that data, the initial
intensity is nudged downward to 120 kt, but this could be a little
generous. A Synthetic Aperture Radar pass did hint at the
possibility of a secondary eyewall beginning to form, but
unfortunately, there have not been any recent microwave images to
confirm that. An ASCAT pass from around 04Z was helpful in updating
the initial wind radii.

The hurricane continues to move northwestward at about 9 kt. The
track forecast philosophy appears straightforward. A mid-level
ridge centered over the southwestern U.S. is expected to expand
westward over the next few days, and that should cause Genevieve to
move at a faster pace to the west-northwest later this week and into
the weekend. The models are in fairly good agreement, and the NHC
forecast lies near the fast side of the guidance envelope, placing
greater weight on the HCCA and Google DeepMind solutions.

Although there could be some fluctuations in Genevieve's strength
in the short term due to the potential of an eyewall replacement
cycle, weakening should be the primary theme during the remainder
of the week due to progressively cooler waters and drier air along
the forecast track. The NHC intensity forecast lies near the
middle of the guidance envelope, and calls for Genevieve to fall
below hurricane strength in a few days and become post-tropical
this weekend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 17.5N 115.4W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 28/1800Z 18.0N 116.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
24H 29/0600Z 18.6N 118.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 29/1800Z 19.1N 119.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 30/0600Z 19.8N 121.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 30/1800Z 20.5N 124.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 31/0600Z 21.3N 126.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 01/0600Z 22.7N 131.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 02/0600Z 24.5N 137.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 280833
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 AM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...GENEVIEVE REMAINS A POWERFUL MAJOR HURRICANE WELL AWAY FROM
LAND...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 115.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 115.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion toward
the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher
gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is forecast over the next
several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula.
These swells are likely to persist for a few more days, and could
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 280833
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.4W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.4W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.6N 118.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.1N 119.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.8N 121.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.3N 126.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.7N 131.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 137.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 115.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 280400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.9N 114.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 114.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.8N 115.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.4N 117.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.9N 119.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.5N 120.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.2N 123.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 21.1N 125.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.6N 130.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 24.1N 135.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280400Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 114.8W.
28JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 960 NM
SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280000Z IS 939 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 47 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 281000Z, 281600Z, 282200Z AND 290400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000728400
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 280236
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

Genevieve continues to produce deep convection, but with a more
cloud-filled, circular eye that is cooler than it has been over the
past 24 hours. Over the last several hours, convection has been
warming and thinning along the western eyewall. There are also early
signs that an eyewall replacement cycle may be starting, marked by
two deep convective bands within the eastern portion of the inner
core. The latest objective intensity aids from UW-CIMSS range from
111 to 127 kt, while the most recent TAFB subjective CI Dvorak
estimate is T6.5/127 kt. Given recent satellite trends and these
latest estimates, the initial intensity has been set at 125 kt for
this advisory, although this may be generous.

The initial motion is estimated at 305/10 kt. Genevieve is currently
being steered northwestward around the western periphery of a
mid-level ridge. In 24 to 48 h, this ridge is forecast to weaken,
resulting in a slightly slower forward motion through the middle of
the forecast period. Toward the end of the foreast period, another
ridge over the eastern North Pacific is forecast to build to the
northwest of the system, allowing a faster west-northwestward motion
to resume. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the previous
in the short term, with a slight nudge to the left in the extended,
and lies close to the HCCA corrected consensus and the Google
DeepMind ensemble mean.

Genevieve continues to experience fluctuations in deep convection
within the eyewall this evening, a trend that is likely to continue
over the next day or so, along with a possible eyewall replacement
cycle that could be starting now. In about two days, the environment
will become increasingly unfavorable as the system moves into a
drier, more stable mid-level airmass and over cooler SSTs along the
forecast track. Once the system crosses the 26C isotherm near 20N, a
faster rate of weakening will ensue. As a result, the NHC intensity
forecast calls for a steady weakening trend, followed by a faster
rate of weakening late this week and into the weekend. Genevieve is
expected to degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by 120 h, as
model-simulated satellite imagery shows the system devoid of deep
convection by that time.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 17.1N 114.6W 125 KT 145 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 17.8N 115.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 18.4N 117.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 18.9N 119.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 30/1200Z 20.2N 123.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 31/0000Z 21.1N 125.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 01/0000Z 22.6N 130.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 02/0000Z 24.1N 135.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 280235
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

...GENEVIEVE REMAINS A POWERFUL MAJOR HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 114.6W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Genevieve was located
near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 114.6 West. Genevieve is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A west-northwestward to
northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected
during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is expected the next several
days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 939 mb (27.73 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 280235
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.6W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.6W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 117.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.9N 119.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.1N 125.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N 130.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 24.1N 135.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 114.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 272200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 113.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 113.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.5N 115.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.2N 116.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.7N 118.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.3N 119.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.1N 121.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.0N 124.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.6N 129.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 24.6N 134.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272200Z POSITION NEAR 16.8N 114.0W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 997 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271800Z IS
934 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 47 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280400Z, 281000Z, 281600Z AND 282200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0001035800
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 272050
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

After some warming of the eyewall cloud top temperatures this
morning, the infrared satellite presentation of Major Hurricane
Genevieve has improved over the past couple of hours, with colder
cloud tops wrapping around the western side of the clear, symmetric,
and very warm eye. It is possible Genevieve could soon undergo an
eyewall replacement cycle, though there have been no recent
microwave images to definitively determine whether one is underway.
The latest subjective intensity estimates range from 120-130 kt,
with the 1800 UTC estimate from TAFB at 6.5/127 kt. The initial
intensity has been set at 130 kt for this advisory.

The hurricane is being steered by a strong mid-level ridge centered
over the central United States, and is moving toward the northwest
around 310/11 kt. Genevieve is forecast to slow down slightly over
the next 48 h or so as the ridge weakens and progresses eastward. A
faster west-northwestward motion is expected late this week into
this weekend as a mid-level ridge builds to the northwest of the
cyclone. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to the
previous advisory and lies near the HCCA corrected consensus.

Colder cloud tops surrounding the eye indicate some fluctuations in
intensity could occur with Genevieve this afternoon. However, as the
hurricane moves toward the northwest and west-northwest this week, a
steady weakening trend is expected as it encounters cooler waters
and gradually drier mid-level relative humidity. By early Thursday,
Genevieve is forecast to move north of 20N and encounter waters
cooler than 26 C, leading to a faster weakening trend for late this
week into this weekend. The latest NHC forecast calls for Genevieve
to become post-tropical by 120 h, and this is consistent with
current model guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 16.6N 113.9W 130 KT 150 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 17.5N 115.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 28/1800Z 18.2N 116.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
36H 29/0600Z 18.7N 118.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 29/1800Z 19.3N 119.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 30/0600Z 20.1N 121.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 30/1800Z 21.0N 124.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 31/1800Z 22.6N 129.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 01/1800Z 24.6N 134.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 272048
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

...MAJOR HURRICANE GENEVIEVE CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 113.9W
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 113.9 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 150 mph (240 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity
are possible this afternoon, but steady weakening is forecast to
begin by tonight through the remainder of the week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and southern portions of the Baja
California Peninsula, and will spread northward along the remainder
of the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula by tonight. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 272048
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 113.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 934 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 113.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 113.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.2N 116.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.7N 118.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 119.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.1N 121.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 124.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.6N 129.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.6N 134.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 113.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 271600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 15.7N 112.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 112.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.8N 114.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.7N 115.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.2N 117.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.8N 118.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.5N 120.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.4N 122.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 22.1N 127.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.9N 133.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271600Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 113.2W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1048 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271200Z IS 929 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 53 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
272200Z AND 280400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 271449
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 AM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

After rapidly intensifying over the past 24-36 h, Genevieve's
impressive strengthening appears to have ended this morning. The eye
remains clear and very warm with temperatures above 20 C, however,
the IR satellite presentation is beginning to wane, with cloud top
temperatures below -70 C no longer fully wrapping around. It is
possible that Genevieve is in the beginning stages of an eyewall
replacement cycle, as suggested by an earlier GMI pass, and some
fluctuations in intensity are expected when this occurs. The 12Z
TAFB intensity estimate was 6.5/127 kt, and the latest subjective
estimates range from 130-143 kt. Based on these estimates and the
slightly less impressive satellite presentation, the initial
intensity has been set at 135 kt for this advisory.

Genevieve is moving toward the northwest around 11 kt, steered by a
strong upper-level ridge centered over the west-central United
States. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion and a slight
decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days
as the ridge axis shifts eastward. The latest NHC track forecast is
very similar to the previous advisory and lies near the HCCA
corrected consensus.

Genevieve will remain in an environment with warm SSTs near 29 C,
low vertical wind shear and favorable upper-level divergence over
the next 12 h or so. However, the Microwave-based Probability of
Eyewall Replacement Cycle (MPERC) guidance indicates a 42 percent
chance of an eyewall replacement cycle over the next 24 h, and some
fluctuations in intensity will be possible if this occurs. As
Genevieve moves toward the northwest and west-northwest through
midweek, the major hurricane will encounter cooler waters and
gradually drier mid-level relative humidity, leading to steady
weakening. By 72 h, Genevieve is forecast to move north of 20N and
encounter waters cooler than 26 C, leading to a more rapid weakening
trend for late this week into this weekend. The latest NHC lies near
the middle of the intensity consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 16.0N 113.1W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 16.8N 114.3W 125 KT 145 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 17.7N 115.8W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 18.2N 117.3W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 29/1200Z 18.8N 118.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 30/1200Z 20.4N 122.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 31/1200Z 22.1N 127.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 01/1200Z 23.9N 133.2W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 271447
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
800 AM MST MON JUL 27 2026

...GENEVIEVE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 113.1W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST. GENEVIEVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 155 MPH (250 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GENEVIEVE IS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE LIKELY TODAY. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 929 MB (27.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY TONIGHT. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM MST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 271446
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.8N 114.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.7N 115.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 117.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.8N 118.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.4N 122.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.1N 127.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.9N 133.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 113.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 271000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 111.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 111.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.3N 113.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.3N 115.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.9N 116.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.5N 117.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.2N 119.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.0N 121.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.6N 126.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.3N 131.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271000Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 112.3W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1096 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 925 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 53 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271600Z AND 272200Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

0001014200
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 270848
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 AM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

Genevieve has maintained a clear and well-defined eye for the last
12 to 18 h. During that time, eye temperatures have warmed and the
area of cold cloud tops surrounding the eye has expanded, leading to
continually increasing satellite intensity estimates. The D-PRINT,
D-MINT, SATCON, and ADT satellite intensity estimates have all
reached the 137-142 kt range over the past several hours, especially
during the 03Z to 05Z time-frame, when Genevieve's satellite
presentation looked most impressive. The latest TAFB estimate is
7.0/140 kt. Based on these numbers, Genevieve is upgraded to a
140-kt category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale. Genevieve is the first category 5 hurricane in the East
Pacific since Kristy of 2024.

Genevieve has been moving toward the northwest, or 310 degrees at 11
kt. The track forecast reasoning hasn't changed. The hurricane has
been moving along the periphery of a mid- to upper-level ridge
centered over northwestern Mexico. Genevieve is expected to
continue moving west-northwestward to northwestward through the
forecast period, as it rounds the southwestern portion of the ridge.
The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous
advisory and lies near the HCCA corrected consensus and Google
DeepMind ensemble mean.

Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are forecast to gradually decrease
from 30C right now to 28C in 48 h, and Genevieve should cross the
26C isotherm just beyond 72 h. During the same time period,
mid-level relative humidity should gradually decrease and stability
gradually increase, while vertical wind shear remains low to
moderate. These environmental conditions might be favorable enough
for Genevieve to either maintain its intensity or fluctuate in
intensity during the next day or so, depending on whether it
undergoes an eyewall replacement cycle. Microwave-based Probability
of Eyewall Replacement Cycle (MPERC) guidance indicates a 50/50
chance of an eyewall replacement cycle occurring within the next 24
h. Beyond 24 h, the decreasing SSTs and humidity values should be
enough to commence steady weakening, with more substantial weakening
after 72 h when the cyclone crosses the 26C SST isotherm. The new
NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one, perhaps
showing a slightly faster rate of weakening beyond 24 h. The
intensity forecast lies near the middle of the typically reliable
intensity model solutions.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0900Z 15.5N 112.2W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 16.3N 113.4W 135 KT 155 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 17.3N 115.0W 125 KT 145 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 17.9N 116.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 18.5N 117.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
60H 29/1800Z 19.2N 119.6W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 30/0600Z 20.0N 121.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 31/0600Z 21.6N 126.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 01/0600Z 23.3N 131.5W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 270847
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
200 AM MST MON JUL 27 2026

...GENEVIEVE BECOMES THE FIRST CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE EAST
PACIFIC SINCE KRISTY OF 2024...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 112.2W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST. GENEVIEVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH (260 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GENEVIEVE IS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE LIKELY TODAY. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST TUESDAY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES
(315 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 925 MB (27.32 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY TONIGHT. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM MST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 270847
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.2W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 80SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.2W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.3N 113.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.2N 119.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.6N 126.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N 131.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 112.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 270400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 14.4N 110.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 110.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.7N 112.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.9N 114.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.6N 115.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.1N 117.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.8N 118.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.6N 120.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 21.2N 125.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.7N 130.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270400Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 111.4W.
27JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1151 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270000Z IS
934 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 47 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 271000Z, 271600Z, 272200Z AND 280400Z. REFER TO HURRICANE
06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000545000
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 270248
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

Genevieve continues to intensify this afternoon and evening.
Satellite imagery reveals a pronounced, circular, warming eye with a
deep band of convection wrapping around the inner core. GLM
satellite data shows that lightning has been occurring in the
eastern and northern eyewalls for the last several hours. Latest
objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 126–142 kt.
The TAFB subjective Dvorak satellite intensity estimate is T6.5/127
kt. Based on these values and latest satellite trends, the current
intensity is increased to 135 kt, and Genevieve is a powerful
Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Environmental conditions remain conducive for intensification, with
low vertical wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures along the
track. Based on these conditions and the various guidance some
additional strengthening is possible, and the peak intensity
forecast has been raised to 140 kt. Thereafter, hard-to-predict
eyewall replacement cycles could cause intensity fluctuations. Given
current trends and favorable conditions, the short-term intensity
forecast lies above the model guidance. In about 2-3 days, Genevieve
is forecast to cross cooler SSTs, encounter drier mid-level air, and
enter a more stable environment. Thus, gradual to steady weakening
is expected, and the NHC intensity forecast lies near consensus aids
in the extended period.

Genevieve is moving west-northwestward at 300/12 kt. The storm is
moving along the periphery of a mid-level ridge centered over
northern Mexico. The hurricane is expected to continue moving
west-northwestward to northwestward as it rounds the southwestern
edge of the aforementioned ridge through the forecast period, with a
slight decrease in forward speed. The latest NHC track forecast is
very similar to the previous advisory and lies near the HCCA
corrected consensus and Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 14.7N 111.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 15.7N 112.6W 140 KT 160 MPH
24H 28/0000Z 16.9N 114.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
36H 28/1200Z 17.6N 115.7W 120 KT 140 MPH
48H 29/0000Z 18.1N 117.1W 110 KT 125 MPH
60H 29/1200Z 18.8N 118.7W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 30/0000Z 19.6N 120.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 31/0000Z 21.2N 125.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 01/0000Z 22.7N 130.0W 50 KT 60 MPH

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 270247
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

...GENEVIEVE IS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 111.2W
ABOUT 575 MI...920 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Genevieve was located
near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 111.2 West. Genevieve is moving
toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening
is possible during the next day or so. Genevieve is then forecast to
start weakening by the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb (27.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 270246
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC MON JUL 27 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 111.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 111.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 110.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.7N 112.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.9N 114.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.6N 115.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.1N 117.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.8N 118.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.6N 120.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.2N 125.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.7N 130.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 111.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 262200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 109.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 109.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 14.8N 111.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.0N 113.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.0N 114.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.6N 116.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.3N 117.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 18.9N 119.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.4N 123.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.0N 128.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262200Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 110.5W.
26JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1212 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 261800Z
IS 950 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 41 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 270400Z, 271000Z, 271600Z AND 272200Z. REFER TO
HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000542600
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 262037
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

Genevieve continues to rapidly intensify today. A symmetric and warm
eye has cleared out over the past few hours, and is surrounded by
very cold cloud tops. A partial Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) pass
that became available after the previous advisory showed a
contracting RMW with peak winds of 103 kt, supporting previous
evidence of rapid strengthening. The 1800 UTC subjective Dvorak
intensity estimate from TAFB was T6.0/115 kt, and objective
intensity estimates range from 115-122 kt. Thus, the initial
intensity has been set to 120 kt for this advisory.

The major hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest, or 295/12
kt, along the periphery of a mid-level ridge centered over the
southwestern United States. Genevieve is forecast to continue on a
northwestward to west-northwestward motion and slow down over the
next several days as the ridge moves eastward. The latest NHC
official forecast lies very close to the previous forecast, and
remains within the tightly clustered ensemble model track data.

Genevieve is expected to strengthen further over the next 12-24 h as
it remains over very warm sea surface temperatures around 30 C, low
vertical wind shear and strong upper-level divergence. SHIPS Rapid
Intensification (RI) guidance and DTOPS continue to show the
potential for additional rapid intensification in the short-term,
and the latest NHC official intensity guidance remains near the top
of the intensity model guidance and close to the HCCA corrected
consensus aid. However, it is still possible that the peak intensity
forecast of 130 kt is conservative, given the favorable environment.
By midweek, Genevieve will begin to encounter cooler sea surface
temperatures, slightly drier mid-level conditions and a more stable
environment, supporting steady weakening. Genevieve is now forecast
to weaken below hurricane intensity at day 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 13.9N 110.3W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 14.8N 111.7W 130 KT 150 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 16.0N 113.4W 130 KT 150 MPH
36H 28/0600Z 17.0N 114.9W 125 KT 145 MPH
48H 28/1800Z 17.6N 116.4W 120 KT 140 MPH
60H 29/0600Z 18.3N 117.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 29/1800Z 18.9N 119.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 30/1800Z 20.4N 123.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 31/1800Z 22.0N 128.7W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 262036
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

...MAJOR HURRICANE GENEVIEVE CONTINUING TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 110.3W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 110.3 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 mph (220 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued strengthening is
expected during the next day or so. Genevieve is then forecast to
start weakening by the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 947 mb (27.97 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 262035
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 110.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 110.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 109.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.8N 111.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N 113.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.3N 117.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.9N 119.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 123.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.0N 128.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 110.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 261600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 09//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 108.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 108.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 14.4N 110.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.5N 112.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.6N 114.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.5N 115.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.2N 117.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.7N 118.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.2N 122.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.8N 127.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
261600Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 109.5W. 26JUL26. HURRICANE 07E
(GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1255 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN
DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 261200Z IS 967 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
262200Z, 270400Z, 271000Z AND 271600Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 261512 CCA
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 9...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

Corrected to update radial extent of hurricane-force winds

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 109.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 109.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued rapid
intensification is expected during the next day or so. Genevieve is
then forecast to start weakening by the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 261450
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

The satellite presentation of Genevieve continues to rapidly improve
this morning. The ragged eye temperature has warmed to above 0 C and
become more symmetric over the past hour, and cloud tops colder than
-70 C almost completely surround it. The 12z TAFB subjective Dvorak
intensity estimate was T5.0/90 kt, however, objective intensity
estimates have increased and now range from 93-112 kt. Based on
these data and the improving satellite presentation, the initial
intensity has been set at 105 kt for this advisory, making Genevieve
a major hurricane.

The major hurricane is moving quickly toward the west-northwest
around 14 kt, along the periphery of a strong mid-level ridge
centered over the southwestern United States. A fast northwestward
to west-northwestward motion will continue today before Genevieve
slows down early this week as the ridge moves eastward and mid-level
troughing develops over southern Mexico. The latest NHC official
forecast has been nudged slightly to the right over the first 24 h,
and lies within the tightly clustered ensemble model track data.

Genevieve is rapidly intensifying, and has strengthened by 55 kt
over the past 24 h. Very warm sea surface temperatures, low wind
shear and strong upper-level divergence will continue to support
additional rapid strengthening over the next 24-36 h. SHIPS Rapid
Intensification (RI) guidance and DTOPS show a high chances of at
least 20 kt of additional strengthening over the next 24 h. The
latest NHC official intensity lies near the top of the model
guidance and is close to the output of HCCA, but given the favorable
environment, it is possible that this peak intensity forecast is
conservative. By midweek, Genevieve will begin to encounter cooler
sea surface temperatures, slightly drier mid-level conditions and a
more stable environment, supporting steady weakening. However,
Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through day 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 13.4N 109.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
12H 27/0000Z 14.4N 110.8W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 27/1200Z 15.5N 112.5W 130 KT 150 MPH
36H 28/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W 130 KT 150 MPH
48H 28/1200Z 17.5N 115.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
60H 29/0000Z 18.2N 117.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 29/1200Z 18.7N 118.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 30/1200Z 20.2N 122.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 31/1200Z 21.8N 127.3W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 261448
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 109.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 109.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued rapid
intensification is expected during the next day or so. Genevieve is
then forecast to start weakening by the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 261447
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 109.4W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 60SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 109.4W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 108.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.4N 110.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 117.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.7N 118.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.2N 122.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.8N 127.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 109.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 261000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 12.6N 107.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 107.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 13.8N 109.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 14.9N 111.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.1N 113.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.1N 114.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.9N 116.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.5N 117.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.8N 121.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.4N 125.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
261000Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 108.3W.
26JUL26. HURRICANE 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1314 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260600Z
IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261600Z, 262200Z, 270400Z AND 271000Z. REFER TO HURRICANE
06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 260851
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

Genevieve is rapidly intensifying. The subjective Dvorak number
from TAFB was 4.5/77 kt at 06Z, and D-PRINT numbers from UW-CIMSS
were around 82 kt at the time, so the intensity was initialized at
80 kt for 06Z. Subsequent to 06Z, a ragged eye showed up on IR
imagery for a few frames with cloud tops colder than -70C completely
surrounding it. However, the eye and core still seem to be
fluctuating and trying to organize, so the 09Z intensity will also
be 80 kt.

Genevieve has continued moving toward the west-northwest, but a bit
faster now (300 degrees at 15 kt). The hurricane is being steered
by strong mid-tropospheric ridging that extends from the
southwestern United States to the western Caribbean Sea. This
feature will continue to steer Genevieve west-northwestward or
northwestward for the next few days, although the hurricane’s speed
will likely slow down to 7-8 kt in 2 to 3 days when a mid-level
trough develops over southern Mexico. The track guidance is fairly
tightly clustered. The new NHC track is nudged slightly faster and
to the south of the previous forecast track, in between the previous
track and the latest HCCA (HFIP corrected consensus) and GDMI
(Google Deep Mind Ensemble Mean).

Genevieve has strengthened by 25 kt in the past 12 h and 35 kt in
the past 24 h. Rapid intensification is expected to continue given
the highly favorable thermodynamic environment of sea-surface
temperatures in excess of 30C and a humid mid-level airmass. The
cyclone should also remain in a low-to-moderate vertical wind shear
environment for the next couple of days. SHIPS Rapid
Intensification (RI) guidance and DTOPS continue to forecast a
fairly high probability of an additional 45 kt of strengthening over
the next 36 h. Given that some of the latest intensity guidance has
increased, the NHC intensity forecast has been increased
accordingly, now showing a peak of 125 kt in 36-48 h. The new NHC
intensity forecast is higher than most of the hurricane regional
models and GDMI, but not as high as the HCCA. Gradual weakening is
likely to begin after 48 h as Genevieve gradually encounters cooler
sea-surface temperatures, and a drier and more stable environment.
However, Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through day 5.

The wind radii were increased significantly, based on a recent
ASCAT pass.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 12.9N 108.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 13.8N 109.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 14.9N 111.8W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 16.1N 113.4W 125 KT 145 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 17.1N 114.9W 125 KT 145 MPH
60H 28/1800Z 17.9N 116.3W 115 KT 130 MPH
72H 29/0600Z 18.5N 117.9W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 30/0600Z 19.8N 121.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 31/0600Z 21.4N 125.9W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 260850
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

...GENEVIEVE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 108.3W
ABOUT 500 MI...800 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 108.3 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Satellite images indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued
rapid intensification is expected during the next day or so, and
Genevieve is forecast to become a major hurricane by late today.

Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that hurricane-force
winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 260850
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 108.3W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 60SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 108.3W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 107.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.8N 109.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 15SE 10SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.9N 111.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.1N 114.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.9N 116.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 19.8N 121.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.4N 125.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 108.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 260420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 26.07.2026

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 138.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 26.07.2026 0 19.5N 138.0W 976 64
1200UTC 26.07.2026 12 19.8N 140.4W 983 57
0000UTC 27.07.2026 24 20.2N 142.9W 987 61
1200UTC 27.07.2026 36 20.7N 145.7W 992 57
0000UTC 28.07.2026 48 21.4N 148.5W 997 56
1200UTC 28.07.2026 60 21.8N 151.4W 1003 39
0000UTC 29.07.2026 72 22.6N 153.7W 1007 35
1200UTC 29.07.2026 84 23.4N 156.2W 1009 33
0000UTC 30.07.2026 96 24.1N 159.0W 1008 41
1200UTC 30.07.2026 108 24.2N 161.6W 1010 28
0000UTC 31.07.2026 120 25.2N 163.6W 1012 28
1200UTC 31.07.2026 132 26.5N 165.9W 1013 28
0000UTC 01.08.2026 144 28.1N 168.1W 1014 29
1200UTC 01.08.2026 156 29.7N 170.6W 1016 30
0000UTC 02.08.2026 168 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N 106.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 26.07.2026 0 11.9N 106.6W 992 57
1200UTC 26.07.2026 12 13.2N 108.7W 982 67
0000UTC 27.07.2026 24 14.3N 111.1W 973 72
1200UTC 27.07.2026 36 15.6N 113.1W 971 74
0000UTC 28.07.2026 48 16.5N 115.0W 969 68
1200UTC 28.07.2026 60 17.2N 116.7W 969 67
0000UTC 29.07.2026 72 18.1N 118.3W 965 67
1200UTC 29.07.2026 84 18.6N 119.8W 969 63
0000UTC 30.07.2026 96 19.1N 121.6W 971 62
1200UTC 30.07.2026 108 19.8N 123.3W 978 58
0000UTC 31.07.2026 120 20.5N 125.2W 982 55
1200UTC 31.07.2026 132 21.1N 127.7W 990 49
0000UTC 01.08.2026 144 21.6N 130.3W 996 45
1200UTC 01.08.2026 156 22.1N 133.0W 1002 40
0000UTC 02.08.2026 168 22.4N 136.0W 1005 34

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 260420

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 260409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.07.2026

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 138.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 26.07.2026 19.5N 138.0W STRONG
12UTC 26.07.2026 19.8N 140.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 20.2N 142.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 20.8N 145.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 28.07.2026 21.4N 148.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 28.07.2026 21.7N 151.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 29.07.2026 22.6N 153.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 23.4N 156.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 24.1N 159.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 24.2N 161.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.07.2026 25.2N 163.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2026 26.5N 165.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.08.2026 28.1N 168.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N 106.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 26.07.2026 11.9N 106.6W MODERATE
12UTC 26.07.2026 13.2N 108.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 27.07.2026 14.4N 111.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2026 15.6N 113.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2026 16.5N 115.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2026 17.2N 116.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2026 18.1N 118.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.07.2026 18.6N 119.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.07.2026 19.1N 121.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.07.2026 19.8N 123.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2026 20.5N 125.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.07.2026 21.1N 127.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 01.08.2026 21.6N 130.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.08.2026 22.2N 133.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.08.2026 22.4N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 260409

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 260235
TCDEP2

Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 25 2026

Inner-core convection continues to wrap around Genevieve's center,
while water vapor imagery shows well-established upper-level
outflow in nearly all quadrants of the storm. The Dvorak estimate
from TAFB is up to T4.0/65 kt, while the most recent UW-CIMSS ADT,
AiDT, and DPRINT estimates are between 65 and 77 kt. Based on these
data, Genevieve is upgraded to a 70-kt hurricane.

Genevieve continues to move west-northwestward (295 degrees) at 13
kt, steered by stronger-than-normal mid-tropospheric ridging that
extends from the southwestern United States down into the western
Caribbean Sea. This feature will continue to steer Genevieve
west-northwestward or northwestward for the next 5 days, although
the hurricane's speed may slow down to 7-8 kt in about 3 days when
a mid-level trough develops over southern Mexico. The track
guidance is very tightly clustered, and the new NHC track forecast
is nearly unchanged from the previous forecast.

Genevieve's strengthening hasn't reached a rapid rate quite yet,
but it might be on the verge of doing so. The hurricane will be
simultaneously experiencing a maximum of oceanic heat content and
upper-level divergence over the next 12 hours, along with generally
light shear. The consensus of SHIPS Rapid Intensification (RI)
guidance and DTOPS guidance is showing a 70-80 percent chance of a
30-kt increase over the next 24 hours, and a 55-80 percent chance
of a 45-kt increase over the next 36 hours. As a result, the NHC
intensity forecast continues to depict the occurrence of RI, with a
peak of 115 kt shown at 48 hours. This forecast still lies between
the latest HCCA and Google DeepMind ensemble mean solutions.
Gradual weakening is expected to begin by 60 hours due to a brief
increase in shear, cooler sea surface temperatures, and a drier and
more stable environment. That said, Genevieve is forecast to remain
a hurricane through day 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 12.1N 106.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 13.0N 108.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 14.2N 110.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.2W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 16.5N 113.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 17.3N 115.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 18.1N 116.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 19.3N 119.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 20.8N 123.9W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 260234
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 25 2026

...GENEVIEVE NOW A HURRICANE...
...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.1N 106.7W
ABOUT 500 MI...810 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 106.7 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is expected during the
next day or so, and Genevieve is forecast to become a major
hurricane by late Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula Sunday night or Monday. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 260234
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.7W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.7W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 106.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 13.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.2N 110.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.1N 116.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.3N 119.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 20.8N 123.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 106.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 252200
WARNING ATCG MIL 07E NEP 260725213210
2026072518 07E GENEVIEVE 006 03 295 15 SATL 030
T000 112N 1051W 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 124N 1075W 070 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 135N 1095W 085 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 147N 1113W 105 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 159N 1129W 115 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T060 169N 1143W 110 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 178N 1158W 105 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 190N 1190W 085 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T120 205N 1225W 065 R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 006
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 11.2N 105.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 105.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 12.4N 107.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 13.5N 109.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 14.7N 111.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.9N 112.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.9N 114.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.8N 115.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.0N 119.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.5N 122.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252200Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 105.9W.
25JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251800Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
260400Z, 261000Z, 261600Z AND 262200Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0726072218 76N 934W 20
0726072300 77N 942W 20
0726072306 78N 950W 25
0726072312 79N 959W 25
0726072318 81N 969W 25
0726072400 83N 978W 25
0726072406 85N 990W 25
0726072412 87N1002W 30
0726072418 89N1012W 35
0726072500 93N1021W 45
0726072506 99N1029W 45
0726072512 105N1037W 50
0726072512 105N1037W 50
0726072518 112N1051W 55
0726072518 112N1051W 55
NNNN

0001026600
00001

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 252035
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
300 PM CST Sat Jul 25 2026

...GENEVIEVE NEARLY A HURRICANE AND FORECAST TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 105.7W
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 105.7 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and a general
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected during the
next few days, keeping Genevieve well offshore of the coast of
Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast during the next
couple of days. Genevieve is forecast to become a hurricane tonight
and a major hurricane by Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are expected to begin affecting
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico starting this weekend
and will likely reach southern portions of the Baja California
Peninsula on Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 252035
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
300 PM CST Sat Jul 25 2026

Genevieve continues to intensify this afternoon. The central dense
overcast has persisted near the center and a plethora of curved
bands continue to wrap around the western and southern semicircles
of the storm. The Dvorak subjective intensity estimate from TAFB at
18 UTC was still T3.5/55 kt. Since then, the objective satellite
estimates have continued to rise. The most recent Advanced Dvorak
Technique (ADT) estimate is now at 65 kt, with D-PRINT estimates
over the past couple of hours oscillating between 55-60 kt. Given
the continued improvement in Genevieve's structure, the initial
intensity is being raised to 60 kt for this advisory. Scatterometer
data around 16 UTC also indicated that Genevieve's wind field has
expanded, especially on its eastern side.

The tropical storm continues to march on to the west-northwest,
estimated at 300/13 kt. There is not much new to report with the
forecast track evolution, as a deep-layer ridge located over the
southwestern United States extending into the Pacific should
maintain Genevieve's west-northwest to northwest motion through the
entire forecast period. The track guidance this afternoon continues
to be tightly clustered close to the previous forecast track,
though the model mean is a little bit slower beyond 72 h. Thus,
the latest NHC track forecast is very close to the previous one, but
is a little slower, roughly splitting the difference between the
reliable HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) and Google
DeepMind ensemble mean (GDMI) aids.

Genevieve appears poised to undergo a period of rapid
intensification (RI), if it is not already underway. The last
microwave pass over the tropical cyclone was several hours ago, so
it is unclear if the small inner core has fully closed off on the
western side. Regardless, environmental parameters remain quite
favorable, and SHIPS RI guidance (both the GFS and ECMWF versions)
show between a 74 to 100 percent chance of a 45 kt increase in
intensity over the next 36 h, with DTOPS RI guidance in the 90
percent range over the same time span. Thus, a 45 kt increase in
intensity is forecast over the next 36 h, with Genevieve predicted
to peak as a 115 kt category 4 hurricane in 48 h. This intensity
forecast is in between the higher HCCA guidance and lower GDMI and
HAFS-A/B solutions. After 48 h, the combination of inner-core
fluctuations, a brief increase in northwesterly shear, and gradually
decreasing sea surface temperatures (SST) could lead to gradual
weakening. This weakening rate will likely increase when Genevieve
crosses the 26 C SST isotherm between days 4 and 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 11.5N 105.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 12.4N 107.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 26/1800Z 13.5N 109.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 27/0600Z 14.7N 111.3W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 27/1800Z 15.9N 112.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
60H 28/0600Z 16.9N 114.3W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 28/1800Z 17.8N 115.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 30/1800Z 20.5N 122.5W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 252034
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 105.7W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 30SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 105.7W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 105.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.4N 107.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.7N 111.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.9N 112.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.9N 114.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N 115.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 105.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 251620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 25.07.2026

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 135.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.07.2026 0 19.0N 135.7W 973 61
0000UTC 26.07.2026 12 19.3N 138.0W 979 60
1200UTC 26.07.2026 24 19.7N 140.4W 987 52
0000UTC 27.07.2026 36 20.0N 143.0W 993 55
1200UTC 27.07.2026 48 20.6N 146.0W 998 43
0000UTC 28.07.2026 60 21.4N 149.0W 1002 43
1200UTC 28.07.2026 72 22.0N 152.2W 1006 35
0000UTC 29.07.2026 84 22.8N 154.7W 1008 31
1200UTC 29.07.2026 96 23.5N 157.4W 1010 30
0000UTC 30.07.2026 108 24.2N 160.4W 1011 30
1200UTC 30.07.2026 120 24.1N 162.9W 1011 27
0000UTC 31.07.2026 132 25.2N 165.4W 1012 27
1200UTC 31.07.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 10.6N 103.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.07.2026 0 10.6N 103.9W 999 41
0000UTC 26.07.2026 12 12.3N 107.1W 997 50
1200UTC 26.07.2026 24 12.9N 109.7W 993 52
0000UTC 27.07.2026 36 13.9N 111.8W 984 56
1200UTC 27.07.2026 48 15.1N 113.8W 979 61
0000UTC 28.07.2026 60 16.0N 115.5W 978 61
1200UTC 28.07.2026 72 17.0N 117.1W 976 60
0000UTC 29.07.2026 84 17.8N 118.6W 974 63
1200UTC 29.07.2026 96 18.6N 120.1W 972 61
0000UTC 30.07.2026 108 19.0N 121.7W 973 65
1200UTC 30.07.2026 120 19.7N 123.2W 979 59
0000UTC 31.07.2026 132 20.2N 124.6W 988 52
1200UTC 31.07.2026 144 20.5N 126.4W 996 43
0000UTC 01.08.2026 156 20.7N 128.7W 1001 39
1200UTC 01.08.2026 168 20.7N 131.5W 1005 32

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 36.3N 73.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 26.07.2026 12 36.7N 71.5W 1010 28
1200UTC 26.07.2026 24 37.9N 67.2W 1007 27
0000UTC 27.07.2026 36 39.8N 63.8W 1005 29
1200UTC 27.07.2026 48 42.1N 61.6W 1003 29
0000UTC 28.07.2026 60 42.5N 60.3W 1005 27
1200UTC 28.07.2026 72 44.5N 59.5W 1003 27
0000UTC 29.07.2026 84 45.8N 57.2W 1005 25
1200UTC 29.07.2026 96 47.0N 53.3W 1007 22
0000UTC 30.07.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 33.2N 68.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.07.2026 72 33.2N 68.1W 1007 30
0000UTC 29.07.2026 84 35.9N 64.5W 1006 32
1200UTC 29.07.2026 96 39.5N 59.9W 1007 30
0000UTC 30.07.2026 108 41.8N 55.3W 1009 25
1200UTC 30.07.2026 120 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 251620

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 251600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 10.5N 103.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 103.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.8N 106.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 12.9N 108.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 14.2N 110.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.5N 112.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.6N 113.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.6N 115.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 19.0N 118.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 20.5N 122.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251600Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 104.5W.
25JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1524 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
260400Z AND 261600Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 251435
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 AM CST Sat Jul 25 2026

Since the prior advisory, Genevieve's structure has improved, with a
formative central dense overcast with cloud tops below -75 C
blossoming over the estimated center. While earlier microwave
imagery showed the inner core was still organizing with the bulk of
the convection on its eastern flank, first light visible images
suggest this convection is now wrapping around the center. TAFB
provided a subjective Dvorak intensity estimate of T3.5/55 kt for
1200 UTC, while objective intensity estimates are a bit lower
ranging from 40 to 55 kt. Favoring the higher side of these
estimates yields an intensity of 50 kt for this advisory.

Genevieve jogged a little right of the previous forecast track, but
appears to have resumed a more west-northwestward motion at
300/13 kt. The track forecast reasoning remains unchanged; a
strong deep-layer ridge centered over the southwestern United
States extending into the Pacific should keep Genevieve on a
general west-northwestward to northwestward track through the
forecast period, with some gradual slowing. The track guidance aids
remain in excellent agreement, and other than the initial position
adjustment, the latest NHC track is quite similar to the prior one,
blending the Google DeepMind ensemble mean (GDMI) and HFIP corrected
consensus approach (HCCA) track guidance.

Other than some light to moderate northwesterly vertical wind shear,
Genevieve's environment remains quite favorable for rapid
intensification (RI) with very warm sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs, 30 C) and sufficient deep-layer moisture. The small core of
the tropical cyclone is another factor that will likely enable a
rapid change in intensity. Not surprisingly, the RI indices are very
high for Genevieve, over both the next 24 and 48 h. The latest NHC
intensity forecast now shows RI beginning later today, and the
timing of peak intensity has been moved up to 48 h. After that time,
SSTs begin to gradually cool, and the ECMWF-SHIPS guidance also
shows a subtle increase in shear around the day 3 time frame.
Genevieve will also likely be undergoing inner-core oscillations by
that time that could also cause fluctuations in intensity. At the
end of the forecast, Genevieve will likely be crossing the 26 C SST
isotherm leading to a faster rate of weakening. The NHC intensity
forecast remains on the high end of the guidance envelope; only the
HCCA aid is higher. However, most of the reliable intensity models
indicate Genevieve becoming a major hurricane within the 36-60 h
period.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 10.8N 104.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 11.8N 106.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 12.9N 108.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 14.2N 110.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 15.5N 112.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
60H 28/0000Z 16.6N 113.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 28/1200Z 17.6N 115.2W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 29/1200Z 19.0N 118.5W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 30/1200Z 20.5N 122.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 251433
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 AM CST Sat Jul 25 2026

...GENEVIEVE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 104.3W
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 10.8 North, longitude 104.3 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A general
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected during the
next few days, keeping Genevieve well offshore of the coast of
Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast during the next
couple of days. Genevieve is forecast to become a hurricane by
tonight and a major hurricane by Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are expected to begin affecting
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico starting this weekend
and will likely reach southern portions of the Baja California
Peninsula on Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 251432
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 104.3W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 104.3W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 103.7W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.8N 106.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.2N 110.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N 113.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 104.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 251000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 9.7N 103.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 103.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 11.0N 105.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 12.2N 107.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 13.4N 109.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 14.7N 111.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.0N 113.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.0N 114.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.5N 117.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.1N 121.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251000Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 103.8W.
25JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1586 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250600Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250900Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252200Z AND 261000Z.
REFER TO HURRICANE 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 250834
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
300 AM CST Sat Jul 25 2026

Microwave and scatterometer data received since the previous
advisory indicates that Genevieve has a small inner wind core, with
conventional imagery showing strong convection near and just south
of the center. However, it is unclear whether a tight convective
spiral seen in the microwave data has continued to develop since
the overpass. Satellite intensity estimates are generally near
45 kt, so that will be the initial intensity. The initial 34-kt
wind radii have been decreased a little based on the scatterometer
data.

The track forecast reasoning is unchanged since the previous
advisory. A strong mid-level anticyclone system is centered over
the western United States, with a ridge axis extending west-
southwestward over the Pacific Ocean. This will be the main driver
of Genevieve's motion over the next 5 days and should keep the storm
away from the coast of Mexico. The track guidance remains in good
agreement that the cyclone will move west-northwestward or
northwestward during the forecast period with some ups and downs in
forward speed. The new forecast track is almost identical to the
previous forecast and lies near both HCCA and the Google DeepMind
Ensemble Mean.

The cyclone is forecast to be in an environment favorable for steady
to rapid strengthening, especially given the presence of the small
inner core. While there could be a little northerly shear, the
rapid intensification indices of the SHIPS model are very high, with
a 75-90 percent chance of 55 kt of strengthening during the next 48
h. The main issue remains just how strong Genevieve will get. The
HCCA model continues to show a peak intensity near 130 kt, while
most of the other guidance is clustered between peak intensities of
100-115 kt. The new intensity forecast will keep the 115 kt peak
intensity from the previous forecast, which is at the upper edge of
everything but HCCA. After reaching peak intensity in about 60 h,
Genevieve is expected to encounter a drier air mass and eventually
cooler waters. This combination should cause slow to steady
weakening.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0900Z 10.0N 103.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 11.0N 105.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 12.2N 107.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 26/1800Z 13.4N 109.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 27/0600Z 14.7N 111.7W 105 KT 120 MPH
60H 27/1800Z 16.0N 113.4W 115 KT 130 MPH
72H 28/0600Z 17.0N 114.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 29/0600Z 18.5N 117.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 30/0600Z 20.1N 121.5W 85 KT 100 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 250833
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
300 AM CST Sat Jul 25 2026

...GENEVIEVE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A MAJOR HURRICANE BY EARLY MONDAY...

SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.0N 103.6W
ABOUT 550 MI...880 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 103.6 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion well offshore of the
coast of Mexico is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Significant to rapid intensification is expected during the next few
days. Genevieve is forecast to become a hurricane tonight and a
major hurricane by early Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are expected to begin affecting
portions of the southwestern coast Mexico over the weekend and will
likely reach southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula on
Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 250833
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 103.6W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 103.6W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 103.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 11.0N 105.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.4N 109.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.7N 111.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N 113.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.0N 114.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.1N 121.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 103.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 250420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 25.07.2026

HURRICANE FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 133.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.07.2026 0 18.7N 133.2W 972 64
1200UTC 25.07.2026 12 19.1N 135.7W 975 62
0000UTC 26.07.2026 24 19.4N 138.0W 981 58
1200UTC 26.07.2026 36 19.8N 140.3W 988 53
0000UTC 27.07.2026 48 20.1N 143.0W 994 52
1200UTC 27.07.2026 60 20.5N 146.0W 998 45
0000UTC 28.07.2026 72 21.3N 149.3W 1003 37
1200UTC 28.07.2026 84 22.0N 152.7W 1006 35
0000UTC 29.07.2026 96 23.3N 155.5W 1010 31
1200UTC 29.07.2026 108 24.3N 158.5W 1012 28
0000UTC 30.07.2026 120 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 9.4N 101.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.07.2026 0 9.4N 101.8W 1004 33
1200UTC 25.07.2026 12 11.0N 104.2W 1003 37
0000UTC 26.07.2026 24 11.9N 107.5W 1001 44
1200UTC 26.07.2026 36 12.6N 110.1W 999 47
0000UTC 27.07.2026 48 13.2N 112.2W 996 50
1200UTC 27.07.2026 60 14.6N 113.9W 992 50
0000UTC 28.07.2026 72 15.8N 115.8W 988 51
1200UTC 28.07.2026 84 16.7N 117.3W 985 51
0000UTC 29.07.2026 96 17.6N 118.9W 983 56
1200UTC 29.07.2026 108 18.5N 120.7W 983 53
0000UTC 30.07.2026 120 19.1N 122.3W 983 53
1200UTC 30.07.2026 132 19.9N 124.0W 986 52
0000UTC 31.07.2026 144 20.6N 125.7W 990 51
1200UTC 31.07.2026 156 21.3N 127.9W 997 44
0000UTC 01.08.2026 168 21.8N 130.4W 1001 40

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 250420

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 250400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 9.2N 102.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N 102.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 10.4N 104.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.6N 106.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 12.8N 108.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 14.0N 110.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.4N 112.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.6N 114.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.1N 117.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.6N 120.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250400Z POSITION NEAR 9.6N 102.8W.
25JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1637 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250000Z
IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 17 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 250239
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 PM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

A burst of deep convection has recently developed over Genevieve's
center, and a recent GMI microwave pass reveals a well-defined
low-level structure with an elongated but somewhat broken
convective band wrapping around the entire circulation. Given
the improved structure, three separate UW-CIMSS DMINT estimates
from AMSR2, GMI, and SSMIS microwave passes at 2036, 2245, and
2322 UTC, respectively, all yielded estimates around 45 kt, and
that is the current intensity used for this advisory.

A strong mid-level high pressure system over the western United
States, with a ridge axis extending west-southwestward over the
Pacific Ocean, will be the main driver of Genevieve's motion over
the next 5 days and should keep the storm away from the coast of
Mexico. The track guidance is in very good agreement that the
cyclone will move west-northwestward or northwestward, picking up a
little speed over the next couple of days but then slowing down on
days 3-5. No significant changes were made to the official track
forecast, which lies very near the various consensus aids.

Genevieve is expected to be in a nearly ideal environment conducive
for rapid intensification. These ingredients include very warm ocean
waters near 30 degrees Celsius, relatively little deep-layer shear,
a moist and unstable air mass, and increasing upper-level
divergence. Most of the intensity guidance is supportive of some
degree of rapid intensification occurring over the next few days,
but the main forecast challenge is Genevieve's ultimate peak
intensity. Interestingly, the HCCA and Google DeepMind ensemble
mean (GDM), which have proven to have some of the best recent skill
in intensity forecasting, are at the upper and lower bounds of the
intensity guidance (HCCA peaks at 130 kt while GDM maxes out around
100 kt). The NHC intensity forecast has been nudged upward from the
previous prediction, showing Genevieve reaching category 4 status
in about 3 days. This solution is also supported by the HAFS-A and
-B, Florida State Superensemble, and LGEM models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0300Z 9.5N 102.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 25/1200Z 10.4N 104.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 26/0000Z 11.6N 106.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 26/1200Z 12.8N 108.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
60H 27/1200Z 15.4N 112.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 28/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
96H 29/0000Z 18.1N 117.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 30/0000Z 19.6N 120.3W 95 KT 110 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 250238
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 PM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

...GENEVIEVE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 102.6W
ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was
located near latitude 9.5 North, longitude 102.6 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion well offshore the coast
of Mexico is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Significant to rapid intensification is expected
during the next few days. Genevieve is forecast to become a
hurricane on Saturday and a major hurricane by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are expected to begin
affecting portions of the southwestern coast Mexico over the weekend
and will likely reach southern portions of the Baja California
peninsula on Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 250238
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC SAT JUL 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 102.6W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 102.6W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 102.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.4N 104.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.6N 106.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.8N 108.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.1N 117.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.5N 102.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 242037
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
300 PM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

GOES-18 RGB composite imagery and a 1606 UTC METOP-B scatterometer
overpass indicate that the cloud pattern has become better
organized and the surface circulation is better defined. Deep
convective coverage continues to expand, and a developing curved
band wraps halfway around the center. The ASCAT data (which showed
35-38 kt believable surface vector winds) and the TAFB Dvorak
satellite intensity estimate of T2.5 support 35-40 kt. However,
Dvorak rules prevent a reasonable T3.0 (45 kt) classification. Based
on these data, the depression has been upgraded to a 40-kt Tropical
Storm Genevieve.

The global model forecast soundings indicate modest
west-northwesterly shear is undercutting the lighter diffluent flow
above 250 mb, and appears to be impinging on the northeast quadrant
of the convective mass. The SHIPS and the global model fields
suggest, however, that the shear will diminish during the next 12
hours. The latest NOAA AOML ocean analysis indicates that
Genevieve will be traversing a region of very high tropical cyclone
ocean heat potential within the next 36 hrs or so. As a result,
various rapid intensification techniques and the Google DeepMind
(GDM) ensemble continue to predict a high probability that
Genevieve will undergo a period of rapid intensification (RI) by
mid-period. Accordingly, the official intensity forecast continues
to reflect RI between 24 and 48 hours and Genevieve becoming a major
hurricane early next week, using a blend of the HFIP HCCA corrected
consensus and the GDM.

Genevieve's initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward,
or 290/11 kt while being steered by mid-tropospheric high pressure
anchored over northwestern Mexico. The bulk of the models remain in
good agreement with a continued west-northwest heading through the
period, and the NHC forecast follows suit, while lying closely to
the HCCA consensus and the GDM ensemble mean.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 9.2N 101.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/0600Z 9.9N 103.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 25/1800Z 11.2N 105.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 26/0600Z 12.4N 108.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 26/1800Z 13.5N 110.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 27/0600Z 14.8N 112.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 27/1800Z 16.1N 113.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 28/1800Z 17.9N 116.7W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 29/1800Z 19.4N 119.5W 95 KT 110 MPH

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 242037
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
300 PM CST FRI JUL 24 2026

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE...
...EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.2N 101.9W
ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. GENEVIEVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H), AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REACH HURRICANE
INTENSITY OVER THE WEEKEND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 PM CST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 242037
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 101.9W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 101.9W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 101.4W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 9.9N 103.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 11.2N 105.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.4N 108.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.5N 110.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.8N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.1N 113.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.9N 116.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.4N 119.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.2N 101.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 241600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (SEVEN-E) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (SEVEN-E) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 8.9N 99.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N 99.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 9.3N 101.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 10.5N 103.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.7N 106.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 12.9N 108.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 14.0N 110.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.3N 112.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.2N 115.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 19.0N 118.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
241600Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 100.5W.
24JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (SEVEN-E), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1717 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241200Z IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
242200Z, 250400Z, 251000Z AND 251600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FAUSTO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 241437
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 AM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized with the area
of low pressure that the NHC has been monitoring well offshore of
southern Mexico. In addition, 0807 UTC AMSR-2 passive microwave
images indicate the system has a closed low-level circulation with
good definition. The current satellite presentation suggests it
could be dealing with some northeasterly shear, with deep convection
mostly west and southwest of the estimated center position. Since
this system meets tropical cyclone criteria, we are initiating
advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E with an initial intensity
of 30 kt based on a T2.0 Dvorak classification from TAFB. Some
scatterometer data expected later today should help refine the
center position and intensity estimates.

The estimated initial motion is west-northwestward (285/10 kt), but
this is somewhat uncertain since the depression just formed. The
system should maintain a west-northwestward or northwestward heading
during the next several days with a ridge entrenched to its north
and northeast. Overall, the track model guidance is tightly
clustered with limited cross-track spread. There are more
differences in the along-track direction, with the Google Deep Mind
ensemble mean significantly faster than the rest of the models. The
first NHC track forecast uses a consensus approach and generally
falls between the simple (IVCN) and corrected (HCCA) consensus aids.

Generally weak deep-layer vertical wind shear, very warm SSTs around
30C, and a strongly divergent upper-level environment are likely to
support steady to rapid intensification (RI) during the next few
days. The bulk of the intensity guidance is very aggressive with
strengthening, particularly in the 24-72 h window when the shear
falls below 10 kt. The DTOPS shows a 76 percent chance of a 65-kt
increase in 72 h, and more than 60 percent of the Google Deep Mind
ensemble members show the system becoming a major hurricane. The
NHC intensity forecast explicitly shows RI between 36-72 h and has
it reaching major hurricane status early next week, in agreement
with the simple consensus (IVCN) and slightly below the HCCA aid.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/1500Z 9.0N 100.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 9.3N 101.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 10.5N 103.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 26/0000Z 11.7N 106.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 12.9N 108.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 28/1200Z 17.2N 115.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 29/1200Z 19.0N 118.0W 90 KT 105 MPH

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 241436
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 AM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN
PACIFIC...
...EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.0N 100.5W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 9.0 North, longitude 100.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Significant strengthening is forecast during the next few days. The
system is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight
and could reach hurricane strength by late this weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 241436
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 100.5W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 100.5W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 99.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 9.3N 101.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.5N 103.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.7N 106.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.0N 100.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Global Telecommunication Service

Measurements Levels