Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for EDOUARD-26
in United States

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 020232
TCDAT5

Tropical Depression Edouard Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

Edouard has remained well-organized in radar imagery as it moves
farther inland over southeastern Texas. However, the convective
cloud tops near the center are gradually, if unsteadily warming,
and Doppler wind velocities near the center have decreased during
the last hour or so. Based on this, it is estimated that Edouard
has weakened to a tropical depression. It should be noted that
there have been no reports of winds or pressures from the storm
core area after it passed Beaumont, Texas.

Continued weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland,
and the dynamical guidance suggests that the surface center should
dissipate between 18-36 h. The intensity forecast thus calls for
the system to last 24 h before dissipation.

Edouard is moving northwestward or 315/7 kt and will remain on this
heading through early Wednesday, bringing the center farther inland
over eastern Texas. This general motion should continue until the
surface center dissipates.

This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system
can be found in discussions issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCDAT5, WMO header
WTNT45 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
.


Key Messages:

1. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are likely near the center of
Edouard for the next several hours.

2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana through Thursday
morning as Edouard continues to track inland. Flash flooding is
likely across this region, especially in urban areas. Significant
flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be possible.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0300Z 30.5N 94.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 02/1200Z 31.2N 95.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 03/0000Z 32.2N 95.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 020231
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.6W AT 02/0300Z...INLAND
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 94.2W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.2N 95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.2N 95.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 94.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER
PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMAT5,
WMO HEADER WTNT25 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV.

RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP
.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 020231
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Edouard Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 94.6W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NW OF BEAUMONT TEXAS
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF LUFKIN TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued along the Texas ad
Louisiana coasts.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Edouard
was located near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 94.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and
this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the
forecast track, the center of Edouard will continue moving inland
over southeastern and eastern Texas through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected during the next
day or so, and Edouard is forecast to weaken to a tropical
depression tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Wind gusts to tropical-storm force may continue near the
center of Edouard for the next several hours.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 7
inches with maximum totals up to 12 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
Significant flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be
possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
with Edouard, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS5 with the
WMO header ACUS45 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc5.html.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through tonight across
parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT5, WMO header
WTNT35 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 012356
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
700 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...CENTER OF EDOUARD PASSING OVER BEAUMONT METROPOLITAN AREA...
...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 94.2W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF BEAUMONT TEXAS
ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM NW OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of Cameron,
Louisiana and west of High Island, Texas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 94.2 West. Edouard is
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track,
the center of Edouard will continue moving inland over southeastern
and eastern Texas through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected during the next day or
so, and Edouard is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression
tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center. Just before the center passed over, the
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport reported a
wind gust of 69 mph (111 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). The Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas
Regional Airport reported a minimum pressure of 998.2 mb (29.48
inches) as the center passed over the station a couple of hours ago.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are ongoing across portions of
the warning area along the northwestern Gulf Coast.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 7
inches with maximum totals up to 12 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
Significant flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be
possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through this evening across
parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 012037
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

Edouard continued to strengthen through its landfall as a 50-kt
tropical storm in southwestern Cameron Parish, Louisiana, at 1920
UTC. Current radar data shows convective bands with heavy rainfall
and gusty winds spreading over portions of southeastern Texas on the
west side of the storm. Based on the latest surface observations, it
appears a little weakening has occurred since landfall, and the
initial intensity is lowered slightly to 45 kt. A Tropical Storm
Warning remains in effect for portions of the Upper Texas coast and
southwestern Louisiana.

Edouard is moving toward the northwest (305/7 kt) and will remain on
this heading through early Wednesday, bringing the center farther
inland over eastern Texas. No notable changes were made to the NHC
track forecast. Quick weakening is expected now that the center is
inland, and Edouard is likely to become a tropical depression
tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night. Even though the system is
inland, the threat of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will
continue through the overnight hours.


Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions associated with Edouard will continue
along the Upper Texas and extreme southwestern Louisiana coasts
within the warning area through this evening.

2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana through Thursday
morning as Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is likely across
this region, especially in urban areas. Significant flash flooding
is possible. River flooding may also be possible.

3. Minor coastal flooding is still possible along the Upper Texas
and southwestern Louisiana coasts through this evening.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 29.9N 94.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
12H 02/0600Z 30.7N 94.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 02/1800Z 31.6N 95.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 012037
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD JUST INLAND ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST...
...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 94.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM W OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning east of the Vermilion/Cameron Parish
Line in Louisiana has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 94.0 West. Edouard is
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track,
the center of Edouard will continue moving inland over eastern
Texas through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected during the next
day or so, and Edouard is forecast to weaken to a tropical
depression tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center. A weather station in Port Arthur, Texas, recently
reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust of 59 mph
(95 km/h). A sustained wind of 37 mph (60 km/h) and a gust to 55
mph (89 km/h) were recently measured at the Beaumont/Port Arthur
Southeast Texas Regional Airport.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are ongoing across portions of
the warning area along the northwestern Gulf Coast.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 7
inches with maximum totals up to 12 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
Significant flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be
possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through this evening across
parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 012036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 94.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 94.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 93.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.7N 94.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.6N 95.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 94.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


Original Message :

WTNT65 KNHC 011958
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
300 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...3 PM POSITION UPDATE...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD INTO EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

A National Ocean Service station at Port Arthur, Texas, (PORT2)
recently reported a sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a wind
gust to 49 mph (78 km/h).

This will be the last hourly position update. Future information
will be provided in the next full forecast at 4 PM CDT (2100 UTC).


SUMMARY OF 300 PM CDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 93.9W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM S OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM W OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg/Reinhart/Mahoney


Original Message :

WTNT65 KNHC 011925
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
225 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD MAKES LANDFALL NEAR JOHNSON BAYOU, LOUISIANA...

WSR-88D radar data from Lake Charles, Louisiana, and Houston,
Texas, indicate that Edouard made landfall near Johnson Bayou,
Louisiana, at 220 PM CDT (1920 UTC). Maximum sustained winds are
estimated to be 60 mph (95 km/h).

A National Ocean Service station near Texas Point, Texas, (TXPT2)
recently reported a sustained wind of 57 mph (93 km/h) and a wind
gust to 71 mph (114 km/h).


SUMMARY OF 220 PM CDT...1920 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 93.8W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Berg/Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT65 KNHC 011900
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
200 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD A LITTLE STRONGER, EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON...
...2 PM CDT POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE...

Surface observations indicate that Edouard has strengthened
slightly and now has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph (95 km/h).

A National Ocean Service station near Texas Point, Texas, (TXPT2)
recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (88 km/h) and a wind
gust to 67 mph (108 km/h).

A National Ocean Service station near Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana,
(CAPL1) recently reported a sustained wind of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a
wind gust to 52 mph (83 km/h).

A WeatherFlow station near Cameron, Louisiana, recently reported a
sustained wind of 40 mph (64 km/h) and a wind gust to 46 mph (74
km/h).


SUMMARY OF 200 PM CDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 93.7W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM WSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Berg/Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 011748
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
100 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN GULF
COAST SHORTLY...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 93.6W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Watch has been discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued. A Coastal Flood
Warning has been issued by the National Weather Service for portions
of the northwestern Gulf Coast.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 93.6 West. Edouard is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through early Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Edouard is forecast to reach the northwestern
Gulf Coast within the warning area later today and move inland over
southeast Texas tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before Edouard makes landfall
shortly. Rapid weakening is expected after the center moves inland.

Edouard is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). A
National Ocean Service station at Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana,
recently reported a sustained wind of 44 mph (71 km/h) and a gust
of 52 mph (84 km/h).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading across portions of
the warning area along the northwestern Gulf Coast.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening
over parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT65 KNHC 011657
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS...
...1200 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

WSR-88D radar data from Lake Charles, Louisiana, and Houston, Texas,
indicate that Edouard's maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph
(85 km/h).

A National Ocean Service station near Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana,
(CAPL1) recently reported a wind gust to 51 mph (81 km/h). A
WeatherFlow station near Cameron, Louisiana, recently reported a
wind gust to 46 mph (74 km/h). A National Ocean Service station near
Texas Point, Texas, (TXPT2) recently reported a wind gust to 39 mph
(63 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 93.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Berg/Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT65 KNHC 011557
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1100 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...CENTER OF EDOUARD APPROACHING THE COAST...
...1100 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

WSR-88D radar data from Lake Charles, Louisiana, and Houston, Texas,
indicate that Edouard's maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph
(85 km/h).

A National Ocean Service station near Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana,
(CAPL1) recently reported a wind gust to 39 mph (63 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 93.4W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM ESE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Berg/Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 011446
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

Edouard is a small but strengthening tropical storm. The center has
been trackable this morning using NWS radar data from Lake Charles,
Louisiana (KLCH), and recent data show the inner-core structure of
the system is becoming better organized. There has been a notable
increase in deep convection near and to the south of the center, and
a recent dropsonde released in that area reported mean boundary
layer winds of 61 kt. Doppler velocities have also notably
strengthened during the past couple of hours, and adjusting these
data to estimate a surface wind support raising the initial
intensity to 45 kt. The last center dropsonde from the Air Force
Hurricane Hunters showed the central pressure has fallen to 1000 mb.

Environmental and oceanic conditions are conducive for additional
strengthening for as long as the center remains offshore. With very
warm Gulf waters and weak vertical wind shear, the hurricane
regional models continue to highlight the potential for continued
strengthening through landfall. The 12-h forecast point for Edouard
is well inland, but note that additional strengthening is expected
that cannot be easily reflected in the official forecast. A Tropical
Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch remain in effect for portions of
the Upper Texas coast and southwestern Louisiana. Given the improved
radar structure of Edouard and the expectation of additional
strengthening, NHC will issue hourly Tropical Cyclone Updates (TCU)
beginning at 1100 am CDT (16 UTC). Once inland, Edouard is likely
to rapidly weaken and should dissipate on Wednesday.

Some short-term wobbles have been observed in radar data during the
past few hours, but the longer-term motion of Edouard is
northwestward (305/7 kt). This general motion is expected to
continue through tonight, which will bring the center of Edouard
onshore near the Texas/Louisiana border within the warning area this
afternoon and then inland across southeastern Texas tonight. The
updated NHC track forecast lies slightly to the right of the
previous prediction based on the latest consensus trends.


Key Messages:

1. Edouard is strengthening as it approaches the northwest Gulf
Coast, and tropical storm conditions are beginning along the
southwestern Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts. Hurricane conditions,
especially in gusts, are still possible from High Island to Cameron
later today.

2. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect along the immediate coast from
High Island, Texas, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana,
where peak values of 3 to 5 feet above ground level are possible.

3. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana today and Wednesday
as Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is likely across this
region, especially in urban areas. River flooding may also be
possible.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/1500Z 29.4N 93.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 30.2N 94.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
24H 02/1200Z 31.2N 95.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 011445
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND EDOUARD IS STRENGTHENING...
...CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE EDOUARD REACHES THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 93.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 12 to 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This
is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 6 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 93.3 West. Edouard is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through early Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Edouard is forecast to reach the northwestern
Gulf Coast within the warning area later today and move inland over
southeast Texas tonight.

Data from the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters indicate that
maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional strengthening is forecast before Edouard makes landfall
today, and the storm could approach hurricane strength. Rapid
weakening is expected after the center moves inland.

Edouard is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will spread over portions of the
warning area during the next few hours. Hurricane conditions
are possible within the Hurricane Watch area later today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...3-5 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening
over parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 011444
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 93.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 93.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 93.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.2N 94.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.2N 95.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 93.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


Original Message :

WTNT65 KNHC 011353
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
855 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENING...

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data and WSR-88D radar
data from Lake Charles, Louisiana, indicate that Edouard is now
strengthening, and maximum sustained winds are up to 50 mph (85
km/h).

SUMMARY OF 855 AM CDT...1355 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 93.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg/Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 011149
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
700 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING EDOUARD...
...SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE EDOUARD REACHES THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 93.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 12 to 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This
is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 93.0 West. Edouard is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard is
forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning
area later today and move inland over southeast Texas tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Significant strengthening is forecast today and Edouard could
approach hurricane strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf
coast later today. Rapid weakening is expected after the center
moves inland.

Edouard is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

The minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 1003 mb
(29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area later this morning. Hurricane conditions
are possible within the Hurricane Watch area later today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...3-5 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening
over parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 010848
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

It has been easy to track the center of Edouard this morning,
showing up as a well-defined core of shallow convection on shortwave
infrared satellite imagery and radar reflectivity from Lake Charles,
Louisiana (KLCH). While the final fixes from the prior Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance mission did not show an additional pressure
drop, their remarks did note a nascent low-level eyewall was trying
to form, which can also be seen from land-based radar. This
structure could prove important for Edouard's near-term
intensification prospects as deep convection begins to reform close
to the storm center. For now, the initial intensity remains 35 kt
this advisory, in agreement with radial velocity data from KLCH and
the 06 UTC TAFB Dvorak intensity estimate. Another Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance mission is scheduled to investigate Edouard again
this morning.

The intensity forecast today is problematic. Edouard has managed to
develop a small core that could be prone to rapid changes in
intensity. In addition, environmental conditions are quite favorable
for intensification while Edouard remains over water, with 31 C
sea-surface temperatures, and low vertical wind shear diagnosed at
4 kt by UW-CIMSS. The raw output from the hurricane-regional models
responds to these factors by showing substantial intensification
today, with both HMON and HAFS-A making Edouard a hurricane before
landfall. HAFS-B and HWRF show a somewhat more tempered rate of
intensification. Given Edouard's current structure, a rapid
increase in intensity before landfall is still anticipated, and the
latest NHC forecast shows a 55 kt intensity near landfall, which is
close to the raw model HAFS-B output at that time. Of note, this is
well above the interpolated intensity guidance which can struggle
to depict rapid short-term intensity changes in these cases close
to landfall. After landfall, Edouard should quickly weaken, likely
becoming post-tropical in 36 h and dissipating by 48 h.

Edouard continues to move off to the west-northwest at 300/7 kt. A
prominent low- to mid-level ridge centered over the southeastern
United States should continue to steer the tropical cyclone to the
west-northwest then turning more northwest after 24 h as the storm
rounds the ridge. On this track, Edouard should make landfall later
today near the Louisiana/Texas border, and then push inland over
eastern Texas by tonight. The track guidance remains in good
agreement, though with just a slight westward shift, and the NHC
track forecast is just a touch west of the previous advisory,
closest to the HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA).


Key Messages:

1. Edouard is expected to strengthen and it could approach hurricane
strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf Coast later today.
Tropical Storm conditions are expected along the northwest Gulf
Coast with hurricane conditions possible from High Island to
Cameron.

2. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from High Island, Texas to
the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana where peak values of
3 to 5 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate
coast within the warning area.

3. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana today and
tomorrow as Tropical Storm Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is
likely across this region, especially in urban areas. River flooding
may also be possible.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 29.0N 92.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1800Z 29.7N 93.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...ON THE COAST
24H 02/0600Z 30.6N 95.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 02/1800Z 31.7N 95.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 010845
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD POISED TO SIGNIFICANTLY STRENGTHEN BEFORE REACHING THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 92.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* High Island to the Cameron Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 12 to 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 92.8 West. Edouard is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard is
forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning
area later today and move inland over southeast Texas tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Significant strengthening is forecast today and Edouard could
approach hurricane strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf
coast later today. Rapid weakening is expected after the center
moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area later this morning. Hurricane conditions
are possible within the Hurricane Watch area later today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...3-5 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening
over parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 010842
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 92.8W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 92.8W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 92.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.7N 93.8W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 5SE 5SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.6N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N 95.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 92.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 010535
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
100 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

...EDOUARD EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHWEST
GULF COAST LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 92.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* High Island to the Cameron Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located by Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude
28.8 North, longitude 92.5 West. Edouard is moving toward the
west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A west-northwestward to
northwestward motion is forecast during the next day or two. On the
forecast track, the center of Edouard is predicted to reach the
northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning area later today and move
inland over southeast Texas tonight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast and Edouard could approach
hurricane strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf coast later
today. Rapid weakening is expected after the center moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated by reconnaissance dropsonde
data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area later this morning. Hurricane conditions
are possible within the Hurricane Watch area later today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...3-5 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 3 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 010253
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Satellite and radar data showed an increase in banding near the
center of the small tropical cyclone during the late afternoon and
early evening hours. Subjective and objective satellite intensity
estimates increased to around 35-40 kt, and the initial wind speed
was therefore increased to 35 kt on the 0000 UTC intermediate
advisory. Since that time, there has been a pause in the
organization of the system, but curved bands are noted over the
northern and western portions of the circulation. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft that has been sampling the system
this evening reported earlier that the pressure has fallen to
around 1004 mb, which is quite a bit lower than from this
afternoon's mission, though the last fix was up a millibar or two.
The flight-level winds do not appear to have responded to the
pressure drop yet, so the initial intensity remains 35 kt for this
advisory.

Edouard will be moving over very warm waters of the northwestern
Gulf within a low shear and a sufficiently moist environment
tonight and Tuesday morning. As a result, nearly all of the
dynamical models indicate that the system will strengthen on its
approach to the coast, with most showing much of the strengthening
occuring in the final hours before landfall. Given that the system
is small, a period of quick organization and strengthening seems
likely Tuesday morning. The NHC forecast calls for intensification
during the next 12 hours and additional strengthening could result
in Edouard nearing hurricane strength when it approaches the
coast on Tuesday. Therefore, a Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge
Warning has been issued for a portion of the northwest Gulf coast
with this advisory. The NHC intensity forecast is near the upper-end
of the guidance envelope. Note that since the peak intensity is
expected to occur at landfall (between the 12 and 24 hour forecast
points), it is not possible to explicitly reflect Edouard's peak
intensity in the forecast points below.

Edouard is moving west-northwestward or 300/6 kt. A low- to
mid-level ridge over the southeastern United States is expected to
steer the cyclone toward the west-northwest to northwest during the
next couple of days. This motion should bring the center onshore
along the northwestern Gulf Coast on Tuesday and inland over eastern
Texas Tuesday night. The track guidance is in good agreement on
this scenario and the new NHC track forecast is essentially an
update of the previous track.


Key Messages:

1. Edouard is expected to strengthen and it could approach
hurricane strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf Coast on
Tuesday. Tropical Storm conditions are expected along the northwest
Gulf Coast with hurricane conditions possible from High Island to
Cameron.

2. A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from High Island, Texas to
the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana where peak values of
3 to 5 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate
coast within the warning area.

3. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana Tuesday and
Wednesday as Tropical Storm Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is
likely across this region, especially in urban areas. River flooding
may also be possible.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0300Z 28.6N 91.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 29.2N 93.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 02/0000Z 30.1N 94.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 02/1200Z 31.1N 95.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 010252
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...EDOUARD EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHWEST
GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...
...A STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR A
PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 91.8W
ABOUT 125 MI...195 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from High Island Texas to the
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from High Island to Cameron
Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* High Island to the Cameron Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 91.8 West. Edouard is
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard
is predicted to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the
warning area on Tuesday and move inland over southeast Texas on
Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is likely and Edouard could approach hurricane
strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf coast on Tuesday.
Rapid weakening is expected after the center moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data form an Air
Force reconnaissance aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area by Tuesday morning. Hurricane conditions
are possible within the Hurricane Watch area on Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...3-5 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
to 3 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with TS
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 010252
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 91.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 91.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 91.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 29.2N 93.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.1N 94.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 91.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 312350
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
700 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD...
...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.4N 91.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the
National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 91.6 West. The
storm is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard
is predicted to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the
warning area on Tuesday and move inland over southeast Texas on
Tuesday night.

Recent radar and satellite data indicate that the maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional strengthening is likely before the center reaches
the northwest Gulf coast on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (40 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area by Tuesday morning, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...2-4 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of the Upper Texas
Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2 to 3
inches in far Southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 312054
TCDAT5

Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft data through early this
afternoon showed the low-level circulation of this system gradually
becoming better defined, and it was sufficient to designate it as
Tropical Depression Five for the 18 UTC intermediate advisory. This
is consistent with the improved radar and satellite presentation of
the system, with a prominent curved band now evident to the south of
the center. The aircraft measured peak 850-mb flight-level winds of
38 kt earlier today, and TAFB provided a T2.0/30 kt Dvorak estimate
at 18 UTC. These data support a 30-kt intensity for this advisory.
Another Air Force Hurricane Hunter mission is scheduled to
investigate the system tonight.

The center of the depression lies to the north and east of prior
estimates based on the aircraft data and recent surface
observations. A low-level ridge over the southeastern United States
is steering the system toward the west-northwest (300/5 kt), and
this general motion should continue through the next couple of days.
The system is expected to move onshore along the northwestern Gulf
Coast within the warning area on Tuesday, with the updated 24-h
forecast point just offshore. There were no significant changes to
the track guidance this cycle, and the updated NHC forecast was
adjusted slightly north of the previous prediction mainly due to the
repositioning of the center.

The tropical cyclone is fairly compact and has a small radius of
maximum wind. Although it only has about a day over the very warm
Gulf waters, strengthening is expected within a generally low shear
environment. Since the small size of the system makes it more
susceptible to quicker intensity changes, the NHC intensity forecast
has been raised and now lies above almost all of the intensity
guidance, including HCCA and IVCN. The legacy hurricane regional
models (HWRF/HMON) show even more strengthening than is forecast
here. While this does not appear to be the most likely scenario,
interests in the warning area are reminded to closely monitor the
latest forecast updates.


Key Messages:

1. The system is expected to bring tropical storm conditions to
portions of the Upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts on
Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Port Bolivar,
Texas, to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line, Louisiana.

2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana Tuesday and
Wednesday as the system tracks inland. Flash flooding is likely
across this region, especially in urban areas. River flooding may
also be possible.

3. A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from High Island, Texas, to
the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana. Peak values of up to
4 feet above ground level are possible within the watch area.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/2100Z 28.2N 91.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 01/0600Z 28.8N 92.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 01/1800Z 29.6N 93.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 02/0600Z 30.6N 95.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 02/1800Z 31.6N 96.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 312053
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...STORM SURGE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 91.5W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended eastward to the
Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line in Louisiana.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the U.S. Gulf Coast from
High Island, Texas, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours or so.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was
located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 91.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).
A west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the system
is predicted to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning
area on Tuesday and move inland over southeast Texas on Tuesday
night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is expected, and the depression is likely to become a
tropical storm this evening.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Five can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area by Tuesday morning, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...2-4 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of
the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with
potential for 2 to 3 inches in far Southwest Louisiana. This
rainfall is likely to produce flash flooding, especially in
low-lying and urban areas. River flooding may also be possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with TD
Five, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 312052
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 91.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 91.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 91.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.8N 92.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.6N 93.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.6N 95.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.6N 96.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 91.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 311751
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Five Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
100 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 90.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24-36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the depression was centered near latitude
28.0 North, longitude 90.8 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next day or two. On the forecast track,
the center of the system is predicted to reach the northwestern Gulf
Coast within the warning area on Tuesday.

Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that maximum
sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some
strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is
1012 mb (29.89 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Five can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area on Tuesday, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of
the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with 2 to 3
inches for Southwest Louisiana. This rainfall could produce flash
flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Depression Five, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 311523
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 91.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the northwestern Gulf
Coast from Port Bolivar, Texas, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish
Line in Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24-36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 27.8 North, longitude 91.0 West. The system is moving
toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. On the
forecast track, the center of the system is predicted reach the
northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning area on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Five can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area on Tuesday, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: PTC Five is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of the Upper Texas
Coast inland through east-central Texas, with 2 to 3 inches for
Southwest Louisiana. This rainfall could produce flash flooding,
especially in low-lying and urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with PTC
Five, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT35 KNHC 311455
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 91.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the northwestern Gulf
Coast from Port Bolivar, Texas, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish
Line in Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24-36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 27.8 North, longitude 91.0 West. The system is moving
toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. On the
forecast track, the center of the system is predicted reach the
northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning area on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Five can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area on Tuesday, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

High Island, TX to Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line, LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: PTC Five is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of the Upper Texas
Coast inland through east-central Texas, with 2 to 3 inches for
Southwest Louisiana. This rainfall could produce flash flooding,
especially in low-lying and urban areas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT45 KNHC 311456
TCDAT5

Potential Tropical Cyclone Five Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
1000 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The disturbance (AL97) that the NHC has been tracking over the
northern Gulf of America continues to produce a small area of
showers and thunderstorms with modest signs of organization.
Overnight scatterometer data indicated the circulation lacked
definition on the western side, and recent surface observations and
data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters suggest the center is
still elongated and ill defined. However, given the expectation that
the system will become a tropical cyclone, and the risk of tropical
storm conditions for portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, we
are initiating advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five. The
initial intensity is set at a possibly generous 30 kt based on the
overnight scatterometer data.

The initial motion is uncertain given the system is still in its
formative stage, but our best estimate is west-northwestward (285/4
kt). The track models agree that the system should continue
west-northwestward during the next day or so and approach the Upper
Texas and southwestern Louisiana coast within the warning area on
Tuesday. The official NHC track forecast lies very near the HFIP
corrected consensus (HCCA), near the center of the guidance
envelope. A 48-h post-tropical forecast point is shown for
continuity, but the system will likely be dissipated by that time.

The small system is located over SSTs greater than 30 deg C, and the
deep-layer shear appears fairly weak as diagnosed from the SHIPS
guidance. Some strengthening is expected before the system reaches
the coast on Tuesday, as long as it is able to develop a more
cohesive tropical cyclone structure. Since the center is predicted
to move onshore between 24-36 h, additional strengthening could
occur between those forecast points that cannot be reflected in the
official forecast. Given the anticipated small size of the system,
it could be prone to quicker intensity changes, so additional
strengthening beyond what is shown cannot be ruled out. The NHC
intensity forecast lies at the top of the latest guidance.


Key Messages:

1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Five is expected to bring tropical
storm conditions to portions of the Upper Texas and southwestern
Louisiana coasts on Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect
from Port Bolivar, Texas, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line,
Louisiana.

2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far southwestern Louisiana Tuesday and
Wednesday as the system tracks inland. Flash flooding is likely
across this region, especially in urban areas.

3. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible along the Upper
Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/1500Z 27.8N 91.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 01/0000Z 28.3N 91.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
24H 01/1200Z 29.1N 93.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 02/0000Z 29.9N 94.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 02/1200Z 31.1N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT25 KNHC 311455
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2026

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 91.0W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 91.0W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 90.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 28.3N 91.8W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 29.1N 93.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.9N 94.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 95.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 91.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART