Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-26 Off-shore on 09 Sep 2026 21:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-26

Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

09/09 20:40 WTPZ44KNHC092039

09/09 20:40 WTPZ34KNHC092038

09/09 20:39 WTPZ24KNHC092038

09/09 20:33 WTPZ44KNHC092032

09/09 20:33 WTPZ34KNHC092031

09/09 20:32 WTPZ24KNHC092031

Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 092039
TCDEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026
200 PM PDT WED SEP 09 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE (INVEST
EP96) HAS DEVELOPED A MORE ORGANIZED CIRCULATION, ALONG WITH
PERSISTENT CONVECTION EAST OF ITS CENTER. SCATTEROMETRY DATA FROM
AROUND 1700 UTC REVEALED A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED BUT CLOSED CIRCULATION
WITH A MAX WIND OF AROUND 30 KT. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ANALYSIS FROM
TAFB RATED THIS SYSTEM AT 2.5/2.5, OR AN INTENSITY AT AROUND 35 KT.
GIVEN THE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, ADVISORIES HAVE
BEEN INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E, WITH AN INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM WAS ESTIMATED AT 285/8 KT, BUT
THIS IS UNCERTAIN SINCE THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY RECENTLY FORMED. GLOBAL
MODELS DEPICT MID-LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION,
SO A PRIMARILY WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. BY LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE
GUIDANCE DEPICTS A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT
WILL SHIFT THE TRACK SLIGHTLY MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, BEFORE THE
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ONCE AGAIN AND PUSHES THE SYSTEM
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REFLECTS A BLEND OF
THE HCCA AND GDMI, WHICH IS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR
GRADUAL STRENGTHENING. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE DEPICTS LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, AS WELL AS AMPLE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE SSTS, WHICH
SHOULD ALLOW THE DEPRESSION TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AND INTO A HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEKEND. THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS A SLOWER STRENGTHENING TREND
WITHIN THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS, GIVEN THAT SCATTEROMETRY DATA STILL
DEPICTS A DEPRESSION WITH A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED CENTER. BY THE END OF
THE WEEK, HOWEVER, STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND THE NHC
PREDICTION LIES ON THE HIGHER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE GIVEN THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE DEPRESSION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/2100Z 15.7N 115.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 15.9N 117.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 15.8N 119.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 15.7N 122.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 15.6N 124.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 12/0600Z 15.9N 126.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 16.2N 127.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 13/1800Z 17.4N 130.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 14/1800Z 17.9N 133.8W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 092038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026
200 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 115.2W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 115.2
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a generally westward motion is expected over the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next several days, and
the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 092038
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026
2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.9N 117.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.8N 119.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 122.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.6N 124.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 126.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 127.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.4N 130.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 133.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 092032
TCDEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026
200 PM PDT WED SEP 09 2026

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE (INVEST
EP96) HAS DEVELOPED A MORE ORGANIZED CIRCULATION, ALONG WITH
PERSISTENT CONVECTION EAST OF ITS CENTER. SCATTEROMETRY DATA FROM
AROUND 1700 UTC REVEALED A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED BUT CLOSED CIRCULATION
WITH A MAX WIND OF AROUND 30 KT. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ANALYSIS FROM
TAFB RATED THIS SYSTEM AT 2.5/2.5, OR AN INTENSITY AT AROUND 35 KT.
GIVEN THE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, ADVISORIES HAVE
BEEN INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E, WITH AN INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM WAS ESTIMATED AT 285/8 KT, BUT
THIS IS UNCERTAIN SINCE THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY RECENTLY FORMED. GLOBAL
MODELS DEPICT MID-LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION,
SO A PRIMARILY WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. BY LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE
GUIDANCE DEPICTS A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT
WILL SHIFT THE TRACK SLIGHTLY MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, BEFORE THE
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ONCE AGAIN AND PUSHES THE SYSTEM
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REFLECTS A BLEND OF
THE HCCA AND GDMI, WHICH IS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR
GRADUAL STRENGTHENING. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE DEPICTS LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, AS WELL AS AMPLE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE SSTS, WHICH
SHOULD ALLOW THE DEPRESSION TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AND INTO A HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEKEND. THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS A SLOWER STRENGTHENING TREND
WITHIN THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS, GIVEN THAT SCATTEROMETRY DATA STILL
DEPICTS A DEPRESSION WITH A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED CENTER. BY THE END OF
THE WEEK, HOWEVER, STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND THE NHC
PREDICTION LIES ON THE HIGHER END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE GIVEN THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE DEPRESSION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/2100Z 15.7N 115.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 15.9N 117.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 15.8N 119.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 15.7N 122.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 15.6N 124.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 12/0600Z 15.9N 126.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 16.2N 127.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 13/1800Z 17.4N 130.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 14/1800Z 17.9N 133.8W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 092031
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026
200 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 115.2W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 115.2
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a generally westward motion is expected over the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next several days, and
the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 092031
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026
2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.9N 117.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.8N 119.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 122.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.6N 124.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 126.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 127.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.4N 130.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 133.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI=

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