Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FAIDA-25
in Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone FAIDA-25 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001138
Name FAIDA-25
From - To 30 Jan - 03 Feb
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 95 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (07 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

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Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
WMO-RSMC La Réunion 95 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS JTWC 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 137 km/h 0.5 m 604 mm 0.5
GFS 126 km/h 0.4 m 673 mm 0.5
ECMWF 76 km/h 0.5 m 1022 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Madagascar - Tropical cyclone FAIDA (ECHO 08 Feb 2025)Mon, 03 Feb 2025 10:37

  • Tropical cyclone FAIDA, formed on 23 January over the southern Indian Ocean, passed on 2 February close to the northern coast of the Mauritius Islands and Reunion Island, and continued moving westward over northern Madagascar.
  • On 3 February at 6.00 UTC, its centre is located approximately 250 km east of the eastern coast of Madagascar with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h (tropical storm).
  • FAIDA is forecast to continue westward strengthening. It is expected to make landfall over northern Madagascar on 4 February, affecting particularly the Analamanga, Alaotra Mangoro, Analanjirofo, Atsinanana and Sofia regions.
  • On 3-4 February, heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected over the province of Toamasina.
FAIDA-25 - EC/ECHO daily mapMon, 03 Feb 2025 17:58

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
 Madagascar - Tropical storm FAIDA, update (ECHO 09 Feb 2025)Tue, 04 Feb 2025 11:16

  • On 3 February, tropical storm FAIDA continued westward over the southern Indian Ocean toward eastern Madagascar, with maximum sustained winds up to 74 km/h, weakening. On 4 February at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 135 km east of the coastal Vatomandry city, Atsinanana Region, with maximum sustained winds of 51 km/h (tropical depression).
  • FAIDA is forecast to make landfall over the coast of the central Atsinanana Region, between Vatomandry, and Toamasina cities on the late morning or early afternoon (UTC) of 4 February as a tropical depression. After that, it is forecast to further weakening and dissipating inland on the morning (UTC) of 5 February.
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is forecast over most of Madagascar.
Madagascar - Tropical storm FAIDA, update (ECHO 10 Feb 2025)Wed, 05 Feb 2025 12:05

  • Tropical storm FAIDA made landfall over the coastal Nosy-Varika city, northern Vatovavy region, bordering with the southern Atsinanana region, eastern Madagascar on 5 February soon after 0.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 46 km/h (tropical depression). On the morning (UTC) of 5 February  its centre was located inland over the eastern Amoron'i Mania region, with maximum sustained winds of 37 km/h.
  • According to media, several schools were closed by the local authorities across the Atsinanana region since 3 February.
  • FAIDA is forecast to further weakening and dissipating over central Madagascar on 5 February early in the afternoon.
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is forecast over most Madagascar.
Madagascar - Tropical storm FAIDA, update (ECHO 12 Feb 2025)Fri, 07 Feb 2025 10:07

  • The passage of the tropical storm FAIDA over eastern and central Madagascar from very late in the evening (UTC) of 4 February to 5 February caused heavy rainfall, strong winds, and floods that have resulted in population displacement and damage.
  • Media report, as of 7 February, 365 evacuated people, of whom 313 across the Toamasina province, Atsinanana region, and 52 in the Fénérive Est province, Analanjirofo region. A number of these were sheltered across six temporary accommodation centres. In addition, media also report 93 damaged houses across Atsinanana and Analanjirofo regions.
  • Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is forecast over most of Madagascar.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),