Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLOSSIE-25
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone FLOSSIE-25 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001173
Name FLOSSIE-25
From - To 29 Jun - 03 Jul
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h Category 3
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (30 Jun 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 185 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 187 km/h 0.5 m 535 mm 0.5
GFS 144 km/h 0.4 m 432 mm 0.5
ECMWF 97 km/h 0.3 m 312 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical cyclone FLOSSIE, update (ECHO 06 Jul 2025)Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:55

  • Tropical cyclone FLOSSIE continued over the North Eastern Pacific Ocean on 30 June along the coast of south-western Mexico as a tropical storm, streghtening. On 1 July at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 430 km west of the coast of central Guerrero state, with maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h (cat. 1 hurricane).
  • It is forecast to strengthen and to reach the cat. 2 hurricane intensity - with maximum sustained winds up to 176 km/h - on 2 July around 12.00 UTC, approximately 400 km west of the Jalisco state.
  • Over the next 72 hours, very heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over most of southern and central Mexico. NOAA has issued a tropical storm warning over a number of coastal area of south-western Mexico.
Mexico - Tropical cyclone FLOSSIE, update (ECHO 07 Jul 2025)Wed, 02 Jul 2025 10:04

  • Tropical cyclone FLOSSIE continued northwest over the North Eastern Pacific Ocean on 1 July along the coast of southwestern Mexico as a hurricane, strengthening. On 2 July at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 270 km west of the coast of Jalisco state, with maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h (cat. 3 hurricane).
  • FLOSSIE is forecast to strengthen to reach maximum sustained winds up to 204 km/h (cat.3) on 2 July around 12.00 UTC.
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco states. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the coast areas of north-western Mexico.
Mexico - Tropical cyclones activity (ECHO 05 Jul 2025)Mon, 30 Jun 2025 09:53

  • A new tropical storm named BARRY formed over the Gulf of Mexico on 28 June and started moving toward central-eastern Mexico. It made landfall on 30 June very early in the morning over the far northern coastal Veracruz state as a tropical storm, and at 3.00 UTC its centre was located inland approximately 10 km south of the Tampico Alto town, with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression).
  • BERRY is forecast to continue inland over Veracruz, San Luis Potosí, and Tamaulipas states on 30 June, further weakening and dissipating on 1 July.
  • Meanwhile, another tropical cyclone named FLOSSIE formed over the North Eastern Pacific Ocean in the very early morning of 30 June and started moving along the coast of south-western Mexico as a tropical storm. It is forecast to strengthen and to reach the category 2 hurricane intensity on 2 July, approximately 330 km west of the Colima state.
  • Over the next 72 hours, very heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over most of southern and central Mexico.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

NHC STORM ADVISORY: major Hurricane flossie bringing gusty winds and r.. 7/2/2025 6:15:00 AM.

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 107.9W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO Mexico ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS Mexico MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), INFORM (1), (1),