Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DUMAKO-22
in Madagascar

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone DUMAKO-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000865
Name DUMAKO-22
From - To 13 Feb - 15 Feb
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (15 Feb 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC n.a 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
WMO-RSMC La Réunion 10 min n.a 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
WMO-RSMC La Réunion 1 min n.a 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 90 km/h 0.5 m 555 mm 0.5
GFS 137 km/h 0.5 m 613 mm 0.5
ECMWF 86 km/h 0.6 m 358 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Madagascar - Tropical Storm DUMAKO (ECHO 14 Feb 2022)Mon, 14 Feb 2022 12:07

  • The newly formed Tropical Storm DUMAKO is moving westwards over the Indian Ocean, and on 14 February at 0.00 UTC its centre was located about 720 km east of the north-eastern coast of Madagascar, with maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h (Tropical Storm).
  • DUMAKO is forecast to continue westwards over the Indian Ocean and to reach the coast of north-eastern Madagascar in the midday of 15 February, making landfall in an area between Sava and Analanjirofo Regions, with maximum sustained winds up to 85 km/h. After that, DUMAKO is expected to weaken to a tropical depression, while it moves west across northern Madagascar.
  • Madagascar has been heavily impacted by the passage of Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI on 5-6 February over central and southern areas of the country. The results of the first needs assessments will be communicated officially on 14 February by the Office of Risks and Disasters (BNGRC) in Madagascar.
  • Red warnings have been issued for coastal areas in Sava and Analanjirofo Regions. Heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over north Madagascar from 15 February.
Madagascar - Tropical Storm DUMAKO, update (ECHO 15 Feb 2022)Tue, 15 Feb 2022 12:15

  • Storm DUMAKO is moving westwards over the Indian Ocean towards north-eastern Madagascar. On 15 February at 6.00 UTC its centre was located about 80 km east of Nosy Boraha Island, with maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h (Tropical Storm).
  • DUMAKO is forecast to make landfall over south-eastern Analanjirofo Region, close to Nosy Boraha Island on 15 February late morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 70-75 km/h. After that, DUMAKO will cross northern Madagascar as a tropical depression on 16 February.
  • Heavy rain and strong winds are forecast over north-eastern Madagascar, particularly over the Analanjirofo Region, where a red warning for cyclone is in effect. Yellow warnings for cyclone have been issued across the regions of Sava, Toamasina I-II, Befandriana-Avaratra, Mandritsara, Andilamena, Amparafaravola and Ambatondrazaka.
Madagascar, Mozambique - Tropical Storm DUMAKO, update (ECHO 16 Feb 2022)Wed, 16 Feb 2022 11:56

  • DUMAKO crossed Nosy Boraha Island and made landfall over the Soanierana Ivongo District area (Analanjirofo Region) approximately at 12.00 UTC bringing heavy rain and strong winds. On 16 February at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located inland about 20 km north-west of Anjiamavo Town (Betsiboka Region, northern-central Madagascar), with maximum sustained winds of 42 km/h (tropical depression).
  • DUMAKO is forecast to cross north-western Madagascar on the morning of 16 February, after that it will move over the Mozambique Channel, and will approach the north-eastern coast of Mozambique on 17-18 February, with maximum sustained winds up to 65 km/h.
  • On 16-17 February, heavy rain and moderate to strong winds are forecast over the area of Analanjirofo, Mandritsara, Andilamena, Amparafaravola, Ambatondrazaka, Brickaville, Toamasina I-II where a post-hazard vigilance is in effect, as reported by Meteo Madagascar.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),